{"id":12039,"date":"2021-09-22T02:17:45","date_gmt":"2021-09-22T02:17:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/?p=12039"},"modified":"2021-09-22T02:17:47","modified_gmt":"2021-09-22T02:17:47","slug":"khung-hoang-tau-ngam-anh-huong-ra-sao-den-bien-dong-va-vai-tro-viet-nam","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/?p=12039","title":{"rendered":"“Kh\u1ee7ng Ho\u1ea3ng T\u1ea7u Ng\u1ea7m” \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng ra sao \u0111\u1ebfn Bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u00f4ng v\u00e0 vai tr\u00f2 Vi\u1ec7t Nam?<\/strong>
VOA Ph\u1ecfng V\u1ea5n GS Carl Thayer<\/span>"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
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Vi\u1ec7c Australia hu\u1ef7 b\u1ecf h\u1ee3p \u0111\u1ed3ng mua t\u00e0u ng\u1ea7m th\u00f4ng th\u01b0\u1eddng c\u1ee7a Ph\u00e1p tr\u1ecb gi\u00e1 40 t\u1ef7 \u0111\u00f4 la \u0111\u1ec3 chuy\u1ec3n sang tho\u1ea3 thu\u1eadn \u0111\u00f3ng \u00edt nh\u1ea5t 8 t\u00e0u ng\u1ea7m ch\u1ea1y b\u1eb1ng n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n v\u1edbi Hoa K\u1ef3 v\u00e0 Anh sau khi c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 m\u1ed1i quan h\u1ec7 \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c an ninh ba b\u00ean v\u00e0o cu\u1ed1i tu\u1ea7n qua \u0111ang g\u00e2y ra \u201cs\u00f3ng gi\u00f3\u201d trong quan h\u1ec7 c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed3ng minh ph\u01b0\u01a1ng T\u00e2y.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ph\u00eda Ph\u00e1p t\u1ecf ra r\u1ea5t t\u1ee9c gi\u1eadn, n\u00f3i r\u1eb1ng \u00dac \u0111\u00e3 \u201cph\u1ea1m sai l\u1ea7m ngo\u1ea1i giao to l\u1edbn\u201d v\u00e0 vi\u1ec7c hu\u1ef7 b\u1ecf h\u1ee3p \u0111\u1ed3ng \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u1eeb n\u0103m 2016 l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t \u201cc\u00fa \u0111\u00e2m sau l\u01b0ng\u201d c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed3ng minh. N\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y c\u0169ng hu\u1ef7 b\u1ecf c\u00e1c s\u1ef1 ki\u1ec7n li\u00ean quan ngo\u1ea1i giao \u1edf Washington v\u00e0 l\u1eadp t\u1ee9c tri\u1ec7u h\u1ed3i \u0111\u1ea1i s\u1ee9 t\u1eeb Washington v\u00e0 Canberra v\u1ec1 n\u01b0\u1edbc.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Trong khi \u0111\u00f3, Th\u1ee7 t\u01b0\u1edbng Morrison b\u1ea3o v\u1ec7 quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u1ee7a Australia v\u1edbi l\u00fd do \u201cl\u1ee3i \u00edch qu\u1ed1c gia\u201d v\u00e0 kh\u1eb3ng \u0111\u1ecbnh r\u1eb1ng \u0111\u00e3 th\u00f4ng b\u00e1o cho Ph\u00e1p v\u1ec1 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng h\u1ee7y \u201ch\u1ee3p \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1ebf k\u1ef7\u201d n\u00e0y t\u1eeb h\u1ed3i th\u00e1ng 06\/2021.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Gi\u1eefa l\u00fac t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng gi\u1eefa c\u00e1c c\u01b0\u1eddng qu\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed3ng minh ph\u01b0\u01a1ng T\u00e2y ch\u01b0a c\u00f3 d\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c gi\u1ea3i quy\u1ebft, ph\u00f3ng vi\u00ean Kh\u00e1nh An c\u1ee7a VOA th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n cu\u1ed9c ph\u1ecfng v\u1ea5n v\u1edbi Gi\u00e1o s\u01b0 Carl Thayer c\u1ee7a H\u1ecdc vi\u1ec7n Qu\u1ed1c ph\u00f2ng Australia, \u0110\u1ea1i h\u1ecdc New South Wales<\/strong>, \u0111\u1ec3 t\u00ecm hi\u1ec3u v\u1ec1 nh\u1eefng \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng v\u00e0 t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a s\u1ef1 ki\u1ec7n n\u00e0y \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 an ninh v\u00e0 c\u00e2n b\u1eb1ng quy\u1ec1n l\u1ef1c tr\u00ean Bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u00f4ng, c\u0169ng nh\u01b0 vai tr\u00f2 c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7t Nam trong chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1ee7a m\u1ed1i quan h\u1ec7 an ninh v\u1eeba m\u1edbi th\u00e0nh l\u1eadp AUKUS.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

VOA: Th\u01b0a gi\u00e1o s\u01b0, trong s\u1ef1 vi\u1ec7c c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng m\u1edbi nh\u1ea5t x\u1ea3y ra gi\u1eefa c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed3ng minh ph\u01b0\u01a1ng T\u00e2y, v\u1ec1 ph\u00eda Ph\u00e1p, m\u00e0 c\u1ee5 th\u1ec3 \u1edf \u0111\u00e2y l\u00e0 B\u1ed9 tr\u01b0\u1edfng Ngo\u1ea1i giao Jean-Yves Le Drian, \u0111\u00e3 l\u00ean \u00e1n vi\u1ec7c Australia hu\u1ef7 h\u1ee3p \u0111\u1ed3ng mua t\u00e0u ng\u1ea7m c\u1ee7a Ph\u00e1p v\u00e0 \u00f4ng n\u00f3i r\u1eb1ng th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn t\u00e0u ng\u1ea7m m\u1edbi c\u1ee7a Australia v\u1edbi Hoa K\u1ef3 v\u00e0 V\u01b0\u01a1ng qu\u1ed1c Anh l\u00e0 h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng \u201c\u0111\u00e2m sau l\u01b0ng\u201d c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed3ng minh. L\u00e0 m\u1ed9t nh\u00e0 nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u c\u00e1c v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 quan h\u1ec7 qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf v\u00e0 l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t c\u00f4ng d\u00e2n Australia, \u00f4ng \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 th\u1ebf n\u00e0o v\u1ec1 s\u1ef1 ki\u1ec7n n\u00e0y?<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

GS. Carl Thayer: Trong ch\u00edn n\u0103m qua, Australia v\u00e0 Ph\u00e1p \u0111\u00e3 ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n m\u1ed1i quan h\u1ec7 qu\u1ed1c ph\u00f2ng-an ninh<\/strong>. N\u0103m 2012, hai b\u00ean \u0111\u00e3 th\u00f4ng qua Tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 chung v\u1ec1 quan h\u1ec7 \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c. N\u0103m 2016, Ph\u00e1p v\u00e0 Australia \u0111\u00e3 k\u00fd m\u1ed9t th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn \u0111\u1ec3 Ph\u00e1p \u0111\u00f3ng t\u00e0u ng\u1ea7m th\u00f4ng th\u01b0\u1eddng cho Australia.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sau khi \u00f4ng Emmanuel Macron \u0111\u1eafc c\u1eed t\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng Ph\u00e1p, \u00f4ng \u0111\u00e3 d\u00e0nh nhi\u1ec1u th\u1eddi gian v\u00e0 n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c \u0111\u1ec3 x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng n\u1ec1n t\u1ea3ng n\u00e0y. Ph\u00e1p v\u00e0 Australia \u0111\u00e3 c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 Tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 chung v\u1ec1 quan h\u1ec7 \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c n\u00e2ng cao v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2017 nh\u1eb1m t\u0103ng c\u01b0\u1eddng s\u1ef1 tham gia c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd \u1edf \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 D\u01b0\u01a1ng – Th\u00e1i B\u00ecnh D\u01b0\u01a1ng, mang l\u1ea1i l\u1ee3i \u00edch \u01b0u ti\u00ean cho c\u00e1c m\u1ed1i quan h\u1ec7 ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb, qu\u1ed1c ph\u00f2ng, an ninh v\u00e0 t\u00ecnh b\u00e1o.<\/strong> N\u0103m 2018, hai n\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00e3 th\u00f4ng qua Tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 T\u1ea7m nh\u00ecn v\u1ec1 M\u1ed1i quan h\u1ec7 \u00dac-Ph\u00e1p.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn t\u00e0u ng\u1ea7m v\u1edbi T\u1eadp \u0111o\u00e0n H\u1ea3i qu\u00e2n c\u1ee7a Ph\u00e1p l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 nan gi\u1ea3i v\u1ec1 chi ph\u00ed th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n v\u00e0 th\u1eddi h\u1ea1n k\u00e9o d\u00e0i. <\/strong>Kh\u00f4ng nghi ng\u1edd g\u00ec vi\u1ec7c Th\u1ee7 t\u01b0\u1edbng Scott Morrison \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1ec1 c\u1eadp v\u1edbi T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng Macron v\u1ec1 nh\u1eefng kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n n\u00e0y khi h\u1ecd g\u1eb7p m\u1eb7t tr\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp trong n\u0103m nay, nh\u01b0ng \u00f4ng Morrison \u0111\u00e3 kh\u00f4ng n\u00f3i v\u1edbi \u00f4ng Macron r\u1eb1ng v\u00ec ho\u00e0n c\u1ea3nh chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c thay \u0111\u1ed5i nhanh ch\u00f3ng m\u00e0 nh\u1eefng t\u00e0u ng\u1ea7m c\u1ee7a Ph\u00e1p s\u1ebd \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c thay th\u1ebf b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1c t\u00e0u ng\u1ea7m ch\u1ea1y b\u1eb1ng n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n do M\u1ef9 thi\u1ebft k\u1ebf.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng Macron ch\u01b0a bao gi\u1edd \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ti\u1ebft l\u1ed9 v\u1ec1 c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n k\u00e9o d\u00e0i nhi\u1ec1u th\u00e1ng gi\u1eefa Australia, M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 Anh. \u00d4ng Macron ch\u1ec9 bi\u1ebft v\u1ec1 quan h\u1ec7 \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c AUKUS v\u00e0o \u0111\u00eam tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi n\u00f3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1<\/strong>. D\u0129 nhi\u00ean \u00f4ng Macron v\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc Ph\u00e1p c\u1ea3m th\u1ea5y b\u1ecb ph\u1ea3n b\u1ed9i v\u00ec c\u00e1ch x\u1eed l\u00fd k\u00e9m c\u1ee7a \u00f4ng Morrison trong v\u1ee5 n\u00e0y. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y \u0111\u1eb7t ra c\u00e2u h\u1ecfi v\u1ec1 nh\u1eefng n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c trong 9 n\u0103m qua trong vi\u1ec7c Ph\u00e1p v\u00e0 Australia h\u1ee3p t\u00e1c v\u1edbi t\u01b0 c\u00e1ch l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c nh\u1eb1m \u0111\u1ea3m b\u1ea3o m\u1ed9t \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 D\u01b0\u01a1ng – Th\u00e1i B\u00ecnh D\u01b0\u01a1ng h\u00f2a b\u00ecnh v\u00e0 \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

VOA: Ph\u00e1p n\u00f3i r\u1eb1ng n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y \u0111ang g\u1eb7p \u201ckh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng\u201d v\u1edbi Australia v\u00e0 M\u1ef9 sau khi h\u1ee3p \u0111\u1ed3ng t\u00e0u ng\u1ea7m tr\u1ecb gi\u00e1 h\u00e0ng ch\u1ee5c t\u1ef7 \u0111\u00f4 la b\u1ecb h\u1ee7y b\u1ecf. Trong khi Ph\u00e1p c\u0169ng l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t trong c\u00e1c b\u00ean tham gia v\u00e0o nh\u1eefng n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c c\u1ee7a ph\u01b0\u01a1ng T\u00e2y trong vi\u1ec7c ki\u1ec1m ch\u1ebf nh\u1eefng h\u00e0nh vi l\u1ea5n l\u01b0\u1edbt v\u00e0 quy\u1ebft \u0111o\u00e1n c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u1edf Bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u00f4ng, theo gi\u00e1o s\u01b0, li\u1ec7u cu\u1ed9c kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng c\u00f3 \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng g\u00ec \u0111\u1ebfn nh\u1eefng n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c c\u1ee7a ph\u01b0\u01a1ng T\u00e2y hay kh\u00f4ng? V\u00e0 li\u1ec7u n\u00f3 c\u00f3 \u0111\u1ec1 ra b\u1ea5t k\u1ef3 m\u1ed1i quan ng\u1ea1i hay r\u1ee7i ro n\u00e0o v\u1ec1 an ninh \u1edf Bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u00f4ng hay kh\u00f4ng?<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

GS. Carl Thayer: Vi\u1ec7c h\u00ecnh th\u00e0nh quan h\u1ec7 \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c an ninh ba b\u00ean AUKUS l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t b\u01b0\u1edbc ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c quan tr\u1ecdng g\u1eafn k\u1ebft Australia v\u1edbi Hoa K\u1ef3 trong nhi\u1ec1u th\u1eadp ni\u00ean t\u1edbi.<\/strong> Nh\u01b0ng nh\u1eefng b\u01b0\u1edbc ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n kh\u00f4ng k\u00e9m ph\u1ea7n quan tr\u1ecdng kh\u00e1c c\u0169ng \u0111ang di\u1ec5n ra b\u00ean c\u1ea1nh vi\u1ec7c chuy\u1ec3n giao c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n. Nh\u00f3m B\u1ed9 t\u1ee9 s\u1eafp t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c cu\u1ed9c h\u1ecdp tr\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean \u0111\u1ec3 v\u1ea1ch ra chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c nh\u1eb1m ch\u1ed1ng l\u1ea1i s\u1ef1 tr\u1ed7i d\u1eady c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u1edf \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 – Th\u00e1i B\u00ecnh D\u01b0\u01a1ng.<\/strong> Ri\u00eang Australia \u0111\u00e3 c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 quan h\u1ec7 qu\u1ed1c ph\u00f2ng song ph\u01b0\u01a1ng v\u1edbi Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n, \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9, Indonesia v\u00e0 H\u00e0n Qu\u1ed1c.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

D\u1ea5u \u1ea5n v\u1ec1 ph\u00f2ng th\u1ee7 c\u1ee7a Hoa K\u1ef3 t\u1ea1i Australia s\u1ebd ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n m\u1ea1nh h\u01a1n c\u00f9ng v\u1edbi vi\u1ec7c gia t\u0103ng tri\u1ec3n khai lu\u00e2n phi\u00ean Th\u1ee7y qu\u00e2n l\u1ee5c chi\u1ebfn Hoa K\u1ef3, v\u00e0 vi\u1ec7c \u0111\u1ed3n tr\u00fa c\u00e1c t\u00e0u chi\u1ebfn v\u00e0 m\u00e1y bay qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 c\u1ee7a Hoa K\u1ef3 t\u1ea1i c\u00e1c c\u0103n c\u1ee9 qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 c\u1ee7a \u00dac. Australia s\u1ebd c\u00f3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng t\u00ean l\u1eeda t\u1ea7m xa tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi c\u00e1c t\u00e0u ng\u1ea7m ch\u1ea1y b\u1eb1ng n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c tri\u1ec3n khai.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nh\u1eefng l\u1ee3i \u00edch chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1ee7a Ph\u00e1p trong vi\u1ec7c b\u1ea3o v\u1ec7 c\u00e1c v\u00f9ng l\u00e3nh th\u1ed5 c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd \u1edf \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 D\u01b0\u01a1ng v\u00e0 Nam Th\u00e1i B\u00ecnh D\u01b0\u01a1ng s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng thay \u0111\u1ed5i, c\u0169ng nh\u01b0 l\u1ee3i \u00edch c\u1ee7a Ph\u00e1p trong vi\u1ec7c gi\u1eef cho c\u00e1c tuy\u1ebfn thu\u1ef7 l\u1ed9 tr\u00ean Bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u00f4ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c an to\u00e0n v\u00e0 an ninh c\u0169ng kh\u00f4ng thay \u0111\u1ed5i. Th\u1eddi gian s\u1ebd tr\u1ea3 l\u1eddi n\u1ebfu nh\u01b0 Ph\u00e1p quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh \u0111i m\u1ed9t m\u00ecnh. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y s\u1ebd ch\u1ec9 \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng nh\u1eb9 \u0111\u1ebfn s\u1ef1 c\u00e2n b\u1eb1ng \u1edf Bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u00f4ng, n\u01a1i M\u1ef9, Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n v\u00e0 Australia s\u1ebd \u0111\u00f3ng vai tr\u00f2 l\u1edbn h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

VOA: V\u00e2ng. Nh\u01b0 v\u1eady, li\u1ec7u cu\u1ed9c kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng gi\u1eefa c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed3ng minh ph\u01b0\u01a1ng T\u00e2y c\u00f3 mang l\u1ea1i l\u1ee3i \u00edch g\u00ec cho Trung Qu\u1ed1c hay kh\u00f4ng?<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

GS. Carl Thayer: Trung Qu\u1ed1c c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 c\u00f3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 l\u1ee3i \u00edch ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n t\u1eeb cu\u1ed9c kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng n\u00e0y \u1edf ch\u00e2u \u00c2u. Nh\u01b0ng Trung Qu\u1ed1c nay ph\u1ea3i \u0111\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ea7u v\u1edbi m\u1ed9t th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf l\u00e0 vi\u1ec7c hi\u1ec7n \u0111\u1ea1i h\u00f3a qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed9i c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd s\u1ebd ph\u1ea3i \u0111\u1ed1i m\u1eb7t v\u1edbi m\u1ed9t th\u00e1ch th\u1ee9c th\u1eadm ch\u00ed c\u00f2n gh\u00ea g\u1edbm h\u01a1n \u1edf Bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u00f4ng, kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 b\u00e2y gi\u1edd nh\u01b0ng trong nh\u1eefng th\u1eadp ni\u00ean t\u1edbi khi Australia c\u00f3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c 8 t\u00e0u ng\u1ea7m ch\u1ea1y b\u1eb1ng n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

VOA: C\u00f3 \u00fd ki\u1ebfn cho r\u1eb1ng Hoa K\u1ef3 s\u1ebd \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ba m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau n\u1ebfu mua l\u1ea1i c\u00e1c t\u00e0u ng\u1ea7m Shortfin Barracuda c\u1ee7a Ph\u00e1p v\u00e0 sau \u0111\u00f3 chuy\u1ec3n giao ch\u00fang cho Vi\u1ec7t Nam. C\u00e1c m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau s\u1ebd \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c bao g\u1ed3m: Ch\u00ednh quy\u1ec1n Biden s\u1ebd s\u1eeda ch\u1eefa \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c m\u1ed1i quan h\u1ec7 v\u1edbi \u0111\u1ed3ng minh l\u00e2u \u0111\u1eddi nh\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 l\u00e0 Ph\u00e1p. Th\u1ee9 hai, cung c\u1ea5p cho m\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c an ninh \u0111ang l\u00ean b\u1eb1ng nh\u1eefng ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ti\u1ec7n m\u1edbi m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd \u0111\u1ec3 th\u00e1ch th\u1ee9c ch\u1ee7 ngh\u0129a b\u00e0nh tr\u01b0\u1edbng c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c. Th\u1ee9 ba, h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng n\u00e0y s\u1ebd ki\u1ec3m tra \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c cam k\u1ebft c\u1ee7a T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng Emmanuel Macron \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi an ninh qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf \u1edf Bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u00f4ng. Gi\u00e1o s\u01b0 b\u00ecnh lu\u1eadn g\u00ec v\u1ec1 \u00fd ki\u1ebfn n\u00e0y? Li\u1ec7u \u0111\u00e2y c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t l\u1ef1a ch\u1ecdn kh\u1ea3 thi \u0111\u1ec3 gi\u1ea3i quy\u1ebft cu\u1ed9c kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng gi\u1eefa c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed3ng minh ph\u01b0\u01a1ng T\u00e2y hi\u1ec7n nay?<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

GS. Carl Thayer: \u0110\u1ec1 xu\u1ea5t n\u00e0y ch\u1ec9 l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t chi\u1ebfc b\u00e1nh v\u1ebd. Vi\u1ec7t Nam \u0111ang s\u1edf h\u1eefu 6 t\u00e0u ng\u1ea7m th\u00f4ng th\u01b0\u1eddng Varshavyanka (l\u1edbp Kilo) do Nga s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t. Vi\u1ec7t Nam ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n ph\u1ee5 thu\u1ed9c v\u00e0o Nga v\u00e0 m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 qu\u1ed1c gia quen thu\u1ed9c v\u1edbi c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 c\u1ee7a Nga (nh\u01b0 \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9, Belarus, Ukraine) v\u1ec1 h\u1ea3i qu\u00e2n, trong \u0111\u00f3 c\u00f3 h\u1ea1m \u0111\u1ed9i t\u00e0u ng\u1ea7m. S\u1ebd l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t c\u01a1n \u00e1c m\u1ed9ng v\u1ec1 chi ph\u00ed n\u1ebfu t\u00edch h\u1ee3p c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 c\u1ee7a Ph\u00e1p v\u00e0o c\u01a1 c\u1ea5u l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng hi\u1ec7n nay c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7t Nam.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Kh\u00f4ng r\u00f5 li\u1ec7u Vi\u1ec7t Nam c\u00f3 \u0111\u1ee7 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng \u0111\u1ec3 t\u00edch h\u1ee3p t\u00e0u ng\u1ea7m c\u1ee7a Ph\u00e1p v\u00e0o h\u1ea1m \u0111\u1ed9i h\u1ea3i qu\u00e2n c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh hay kh\u00f4ng.<\/strong> C\u0169ng kh\u00f4ng r\u00f5 li\u1ec7u Vi\u1ec7t Nam c\u00f3 th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n ch\u01b0\u01a1ng tr\u00ecnh v\u1ec1 h\u1ea1m \u0111\u1ed9i t\u00e0u ng\u1ea7m \u0111\u1ec3 b\u1ed5 sung cho chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c h\u00e0ng h\u1ea3i c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh hay kh\u00f4ng. B\u00ean c\u1ea1nh \u0111\u00f3, vi\u1ec7c th\u00eam c\u00e1c t\u00e0u ng\u1ea7m Shortfin Barracuda c\u1ee7a Ph\u00e1p c\u0169ng s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng l\u00e0m thay \u0111\u1ed5i c\u00e1n c\u00e2n s\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh h\u00e0ng h\u1ea3i tr\u00ean Bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u00f4ng.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

C\u00f3 b\u1ed1n y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 kh\u00e1c c\u1ea7n ph\u1ea3i \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u00ednh \u0111\u1ebfn.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Th\u1ee9 nh\u1ea5t, Vi\u1ec7t Nam \u0111\u00e3 ch\u1eadm l\u1ea1i \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 trong vi\u1ec7c mua l\u1ea1i c\u00e1c ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ti\u1ec7n ph\u00f2ng th\u1ee7 l\u1edbn trong nh\u1eefng n\u0103m g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y do chi ph\u00ed b\u1ea3o tr\u00ec v\u00e0 b\u1ea3o d\u01b0\u1ee1ng hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i<\/strong>. Vi\u1ec7c mua l\u1ea1i c\u00e1c t\u00e0u ng\u1ea7m Shortfin Barracudas s\u1ebd ch\u1ec9 l\u00e0m cho t\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh th\u00eam nghi\u00eam tr\u1ecdng.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Th\u1ee9 hai, Vi\u1ec7t Nam l\u00e2u nay c\u00f3 ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch qu\u1ed1c ph\u00f2ng \u201cba kh\u00f4ng\u201d v\u00e0 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng th\u00e0nh \u201cb\u1ed1n kh\u00f4ng\u201d v\u00e0o cu\u1ed1i n\u0103m 2019<\/strong>. \u0110\u00f3 l\u00e0: kh\u00f4ng li\u00ean minh qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1, kh\u00f4ng cho n\u01b0\u1edbc ngo\u00e0i \u0111\u1eb7t c\u0103n c\u1ee9 qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1, kh\u00f4ng li\u00ean k\u1ebft v\u1edbi m\u1ed9t n\u01b0\u1edbc ch\u1ed1ng l\u1ea1i n\u01b0\u1edbc th\u1ee9 ba v\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng v\u0169 l\u1ef1c tr\u01b0\u1edbc<\/strong>. V\u00ec v\u1eady, Vi\u1ec7t Nam kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 b\u1ecb mua chu\u1ed9c trong vi\u1ec7c tham gia c\u00f9ng Hoa K\u1ef3 \u0111\u1ec3 ch\u1ed1ng l\u1ea1i Trung Qu\u1ed1c.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Th\u1ee9 ba, b\u1ea5t ch\u1ea5p tranh ch\u1ea5p Bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u00f4ng, quan h\u1ec7 song ph\u01b0\u01a1ng gi\u1eefa Vi\u1ec7t Nam v\u00e0 Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u1eabn \u0111ang ti\u1ebfn tri\u1ec3n kh\u00e1 t\u1ed1t.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Th\u1ee9 t\u01b0, v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 l\u00e0 li\u1ec7u lu\u1eadt ph\u00e1p Hoa K\u1ef3 v\u00e0\/ho\u1eb7c Qu\u1ed1c h\u1ed9i M\u1ef9 hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i c\u00f3 cho ph\u00e9p m\u1ed9t th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn nh\u01b0 v\u1eady x\u1ea3y ra hay kh\u00f4ng.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

VOA: V\u00e2ng, th\u01b0a gi\u00e1o s\u01b0, n\u00f3i v\u1ec1 AUKUS, li\u1ec7u quan h\u1ec7 \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c an ninh ba b\u00ean m\u1edbi h\u00ecnh th\u00e0nh n\u00e0y c\u00f3 mang l\u1ea1i l\u1ee3i \u00edch cho c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc ASEAN l\u00e0 c\u00e1c b\u00ean tranh ch\u1ea5p ch\u1ee7 quy\u1ec1n tr\u00ean Bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u00f4ng hay kh\u00f4ng? Li\u1ec7u Vi\u1ec7t Nam c\u00f3 l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t trong nh\u1eefng qu\u1ed1c gia quan tr\u1ecdng trong chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1ee7a m\u1ed1i quan h\u1ec7 v\u1eeba h\u00ecnh th\u00e0nh gi\u1eefa Australia, M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 Anh hay kh\u00f4ng?<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

GS. Carl Thayer: C\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc ASEAN, bao g\u1ed3m c\u1ea3 Singapore, kh\u00f4ng mu\u1ed1n b\u1ecb bu\u1ed9c ph\u1ea3i ch\u1ecdn phe. Nh\u01b0ng \u0111a s\u1ed1 \u0111\u1ec1u cho r\u1eb1ng s\u1ef1 hi\u1ec7n di\u1ec7n li\u00ean t\u1ee5c c\u1ee7a Hoa K\u1ef3 l\u00e0 mang l\u1ea1i s\u1ef1 c\u00e2n b\u1eb1ng v\u00e0 \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh trong vi\u1ec7c k\u1ec1m ch\u1ebf h\u00e0nh vi c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c.<\/strong> S\u1ef1 k\u1ebft h\u1ee3p c\u1ee7a B\u1ed9 t\u1ee9 c\u1ed9ng v\u1edbi AUKUS s\u1ebd quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh s\u1ef1 c\u00e2n b\u1eb1ng quy\u1ec1n l\u1ef1c trong t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai trong khu v\u1ef1c. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y gi\u00fap cho c\u00e1c b\u00ean tranh ch\u1ea5p ASEAN c\u00f3 th\u1eddi gian \u0111\u1ec3 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i sau \u0111\u1ea1i d\u1ecbch COVID-19 v\u00e0 ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd. Tuy nhi\u00ean, c\u1ea7n ph\u1ea3i n\u00f3i r\u00f5 r\u1eb1ng \u0111\u1ed1i tr\u1ecdng v\u1edbi vi\u1ec7c hi\u1ec7n \u0111\u1ea1i h\u00f3a qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c kh\u00f4ng gi\u1ed1ng nh\u01b0 gi\u1ea3i quy\u1ebft c\u00e1c tranh ch\u1ea5p l\u00e3nh th\u1ed5 \u1edf Bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u00f4ng.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ri\u00eang Vi\u1ec7t Nam s\u1ebd \u0111\u00f3ng m\u1ed9t vai tr\u00f2 quan tr\u1ecdng nh\u01b0 m\u1ed9t l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng trung gian m\u1edbi n\u1ed5i.<\/strong> Vi\u1ec7t Nam s\u1ebd t\u00ecm c\u00e1ch t\u0103ng c\u01b0\u1eddng quy\u1ec1n t\u1ef1 ch\u1ee7 trong c\u00e1c h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u1ed9c l\u1eadp v\u00e0 tr\u00e1nh ng\u1ea3 v\u1ec1 ph\u00eda Hoa K\u1ef3 hay Trung Qu\u1ed1c. Tuy nhi\u00ean, Vi\u1ec7t Nam c\u0169ng \u0111\u00e3 th\u00eam v\u00e0o m\u1ed9t c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o trong \u201cb\u1ed1n kh\u00f4ng\u201d. S\u00e1ch Tr\u1eafng Qu\u1ed1c ph\u00f2ng n\u0103m 2019 c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7t Nam n\u00f3i th\u00eam r\u1eb1ng, \u201cT\u00f9y v\u00e0o ho\u00e0n c\u1ea3nh v\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n c\u1ee5 th\u1ec3, Vi\u1ec7t Nam s\u1ebd xem x\u00e9t ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n c\u00e1c m\u1ed1i quan h\u1ec7 qu\u1ed1c ph\u00f2ng v\u00e0 qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 c\u1ea7n thi\u1ebft, ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p v\u1edbi c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc\u2026<\/strong>\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

VOA: V\u00e2ng. C\u00e1m \u01a1n Gi\u00e1o s\u01b0 Carl Thayer \u0111\u00e3 d\u00e0nh th\u1eddi gian cho VOA.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ngu\u1ed3n: VOA Ti\u1ebfng Vi\u1ec7t<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Vi\u1ec7c Australia hu\u1ef7 b\u1ecf h\u1ee3p \u0111\u1ed3ng mua t\u00e0u ng\u1ea7m th\u00f4ng th\u01b0\u1eddng c\u1ee7a Ph\u00e1p tr\u1ecb gi\u00e1 40 t\u1ef7 \u0111\u00f4 la \u0111\u1ec3 chuy\u1ec3n sang tho\u1ea3 thu\u1eadn \u0111\u00f3ng \u00edt nh\u1ea5t 8 t\u00e0u ng\u1ea7m ch\u1ea1y b\u1eb1ng n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n v\u1edbi Hoa K\u1ef3 v\u00e0 Anh sau khi c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 m\u1ed1i quan h\u1ec7 \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c\u0111\u1ecdc ti\u1ebfp…<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":6994,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[7,8],"tags":[85,165,118,119,98,81],"class_list":["entry","author-ntviet","post-12039","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-binhluan","category-chinhtri-xahoi","tag-bien-dong","tag-binh-luan","tag-chinh-tri","tag-hoa-ky","tag-trung-cong","tag-viet-nam"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12039","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=12039"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12039\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/6994"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=12039"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=12039"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=12039"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}