{"id":12756,"date":"2021-12-06T02:49:25","date_gmt":"2021-12-06T02:49:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/?p=12756"},"modified":"2021-12-06T02:51:00","modified_gmt":"2021-12-06T02:51:00","slug":"putin-co-muon-mot-cuoc-chien-tranh-moi-voi-ukraine","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/?p=12756","title":{"rendered":"Putin c\u00f3 mu\u1ed1n m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn tranh m\u1edbi v\u1edbi Ukraine?<\/strong>
Pavel Lokshin<\/span>"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"\"<\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n

Ngu\u1ed3n:\u00a0<\/strong>Pavel Lokshin,\u00a0Ukraine: Will Putin einen neuen Krieg?<\/em><\/strong><\/span>,\u00a0WELT,<\/em>\u00a004\/12\/2021.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bi\u00ean d\u1ecbch: <\/strong>Nguy\u1ec5n Xu\u00e2n Ho\u00e0i<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nga \u0111\u01b0a m\u1ed9t l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng l\u1edbn qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ebfn bi\u00ean gi\u1edbi Ukraine. Ch\u01b0a bao gi\u1edd Vladimir Putin l\u1ea1i c\u00f3 c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i t\u1ed1t nh\u01b0 th\u1ebf n\u00e0y \u0111\u1ec3 th\u00f4n t\u00ednh Ukraine trong m\u00f9a \u0111\u00f4ng n\u0103m nay.<\/strong> M\u1ed9t ph\u1ea7n c\u0169ng do s\u1ef1 y\u1ebfu k\u00e9m c\u1ee7a ph\u01b0\u01a1ng T\u00e2y. Nh\u01b0ng cu\u1ed9c t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng n\u00e0y c\u0169ng c\u00f3 nhi\u1ec1u r\u1ee7i ro \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

T\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh bi\u00ean gi\u1edbi v\u1edbi Ukraine \u0111ang h\u1ebft s\u1ee9c nghi\u00eam tr\u1ecdng.<\/strong> Theo B\u1ed9 Qu\u1ed1c ph\u00f2ng Ukraine, Nga \u0111\u00e3 bao v\u00e2y qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 \u1edf n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y. G\u1ea7n bi\u00ean gi\u1edbi, \u0110i\u1ec7n Kremlin \u0111\u00e3 t\u1eadp trung 115.000 binh s\u0129, h\u01a1n 4.000 xe t\u0103ng v\u00e0 xe b\u1ecdc th\u00e9p, h\u00e0ng tr\u0103m m\u00e1y bay chi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ea5u v\u00e0 tr\u1ef1c th\u0103ng. C\u00f3 75 t\u00e0u chi\u1ebfn v\u00e0 6 t\u00e0u ng\u1ea7m \u1edf Bi\u1ec3n \u0110en ngo\u00e0i kh\u01a1i Crimea, n\u01a1i \u0111ang b\u1ecb chi\u1ebfm \u0111\u00f3ng. B\u00e1o ch\u00ed M\u1ef9 \u0111\u01b0a tin, theo t\u00ecnh b\u00e1o M\u1ef9, \u0110i\u1ec7n Kremlin \u0111\u00e3 l\u00ean k\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch cho cu\u1ed9c x\u00e2m l\u01b0\u1ee3c Ukraine v\u1edbi 175.000 binh s\u0129, c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n s\u1edbm nh\u1ea5t l\u00e0 v\u00e0o \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m sau.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Do \u0111\u00f3, Kiev, ch\u00e2u \u00c2u, NATO v\u00e0 M\u1ef9 \u0111\u00e3 c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o v\u1ec1 m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn tranh x\u00e2m l\u01b0\u1ee3c m\u1edbi c\u1ee7a n\u01b0\u1edbc Nga<\/strong>. T\u1ed5ng th\u01b0 k\u00fd NATO Jens Stoltenberg \u0111e d\u1ecda Nga s\u1ebd tr\u1ea3 m\u1ed9t \u201cc\u00e1i gi\u00e1 \u0111\u1eaft\u201d n\u1ebfu x\u00e2m l\u01b0\u1ee3c Ukraine. Ngo\u1ea1i tr\u01b0\u1edfng M\u1ef9 Antony Blinken c\u0169ng c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o v\u1ec1 \u201cnh\u1eefng h\u1eadu qu\u1ea3 nghi\u00eam tr\u1ecdng\u201d \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi Nga. Nh\u01b0ng li\u1ec7u T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng Nga Vladimir Putin c\u00f3 th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 l\u00ean k\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch cho m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c x\u00e2m l\u01b0\u1ee3c m\u1edbi v\u00e0o Ukraine hay kh\u00f4ng?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

D\u00f9 sao ng\u01b0\u1eddi M\u1ef9 \u0111\u00e3 c\u1ea3nh gi\u00e1c v\u00e0 \u0111ang th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n c\u00e1c bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng.<\/strong> T\u1ea1i h\u1ed9i ngh\u1ecb th\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u0111\u1ec9nh T\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c An ninh v\u00e0 H\u1ee3p t\u00e1c Ch\u00e2u \u00c2u (OSCE) h\u00f4m th\u1ee9 N\u0103m, Blinken \u0111\u00e3 c\u00f3 cu\u1ed9c g\u1eb7p \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean v\u1edbi B\u1ed9 tr\u01b0\u1edfng Ngo\u1ea1i giao Ukraine Dmytro Kuleba v\u00e0 sau \u0111\u00f3 m\u1edbi g\u1eb7p B\u1ed9 tr\u01b0\u1edfng Ngo\u1ea1i giao Nga Sergei Lavrov. T\u1eeb Moscow, \u00f4ng Putin n\u00f3i l\u1ea7n cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng v\u00e0o h\u00f4m th\u1ee9 hai: \u201cCh\u00fang t\u00f4i kh\u00f4ng \u0111e d\u1ecda b\u1ea5t k\u1ef3 ai\u201d. Ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i, n\u01b0\u1edbc Nga c\u1ee7a \u00f4ng \u0111\u00e3 ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng tr\u01b0\u1edbc nh\u1eefng m\u1ed1i \u0111e d\u1ecda ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng \u0111\u1ebfn g\u1ea7n bi\u00ean gi\u1edbi Nga.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u0110\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi, Putin y\u00eau c\u1ea7u M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 ch\u00e2u \u00c2u \u0111\u1ea3m b\u1ea3o s\u1ebd ki\u1ec1m ch\u1ebf, kh\u00f4ng m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng NATO v\u1ec1 ph\u00eda \u0111\u00f4ng.<\/span><\/strong> Nh\u01b0ng li\u00ean minh n\u00e0y kh\u00f3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea3m b\u1ea3o cho \u00f4ng \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y, Putin bi\u1ebft r\u00f5 \u0111i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00f3. <\/strong>V\u00e0 \u00f4ng c\u0169ng bi\u1ebft ch\u00ednh n\u01b0\u1edbc Nga c\u1ee7a \u00f4ng n\u0103m 2014 \u0111\u00e3 tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 bi\u00ean gi\u1edbi c\u1ee7a Ukraine l\u00e0 v\u00f4 hi\u1ec7u. Hai m\u01b0\u01a1i n\u0103m tr\u01b0\u1edbc, Moscow \u0111\u00e3 h\u1ee9a s\u1ebd t\u00f4n tr\u1ecdng \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y trong B\u1ea3n ghi nh\u1edb Budapest. \u0110\u1ed5i l\u1ea1i, Ukraine \u0111\u00e3 t\u1eeb b\u1ecf c\u00e1c v\u0169 kh\u00ed h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n c\u1ee7a Li\u00ean X\u00f4 tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00e2y \u0111\u00f3ng t\u1ea1i n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y \u2013 \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y khi\u1ebfn Ukraine gi\u1edd d\u1ec5 b\u1ecb t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nh\u1eefng l\u1eadp lu\u1eadn \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 chi\u1ebfn d\u1ecbch qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 m\u1edbi c\u1ee7a Putin \u1edf Ukraine c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u00f3m t\u1eaft nh\u01b0 sau: \u0110i\u1ec7n Kremlin v\u1eabn c\u00f3 m\u1ed9t k\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch m\u1edf v\u1edbi ph\u01b0\u01a1ng T\u00e2y. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 lu\u1eadn \u0111i\u1ec3m c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 khoa h\u1ecdc ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb Eugene Rumer v\u00e0 Andrew S. Weiss t\u1eeb t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u Carnegie c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nga n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c mu\u1ed1n quay l\u1ea1i tr\u1eadt t\u1ef1 c\u1ee7a th\u1eddi k\u1ef3 X\u00f4 Vi\u1ebft, th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m m\u00e0 Nga v\u00e0 ph\u01b0\u01a1ng T\u00e2y ngang t\u1ea7m nhau \u1edf ch\u00e2u \u00c2u \u2013 v\u00e0 Washington ch\u1ea5p nh\u1eadn ph\u1ea1m vi \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng c\u1ee7a Nga \u1edf ch\u00e2u \u00c2u. Sau khi B\u1ee9c m\u00e0n s\u1eaft s\u1ee5p \u0111\u1ed5, Moscow mu\u1ed1n x\u00f3a b\u1ecf quy\u1ec1n t\u1ef1 do li\u00ean k\u1ebft c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc c\u1ed9ng h\u00f2a thu\u1ed9c Li\u00ean X\u00f4 c\u0169 nh\u01b0 Ukraine v\u00e0 Georgia.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

M\u1ee5c ti\u00eau n\u00e0y kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u00f4ng qua c\u00e1c bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p ngo\u1ea1i giao. Trong m\u1ecdi tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p, cu\u1ed9c g\u1eb7p v\u1edbi T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng M\u1ef9 Joe Biden t\u1ea1i Geneva v\u00e0o m\u00f9a h\u00e8 \u0111\u00e3 kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u01b0a Putin ti\u1ebfn g\u1ea7n h\u01a1n \u0111\u1ebfn m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c \u0111\u1ed1i tho\u1ea1i ngang vai v\u1ebf v\u1edbi n\u01b0\u1edbc M\u1ef9.<\/strong> M\u1ed9t Ukraine \u0111\u1ed9c l\u1eadp v\u00e0 c\u00f3 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng th\u00e2n ph\u01b0\u01a1ng T\u00e2y l\u00e0 r\u00e0o c\u1ea3n l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t. \u0110i\u1ec7n Kremlin mu\u1ed1n c\u1eaft \u0111\u1ee9t con \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u01b0a Ukraina t\u1edbi EU v\u00e0 NATO b\u1eb1ng cu\u1ed9c x\u00e2m l\u01b0\u1ee3c 7 n\u0103m tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00e2y.<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Tuy nhi\u00ean, cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn c\u1ee7a Nga l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t s\u1ef1 ti\u00ean tri m\u00e0 Nga \u0111\u00e3 t\u1ef1 ho\u00e0n th\u00e0nh: ch\u1ec9 c\u00f3 b\u1ea1o l\u1ef1c c\u1ee7a Nga ch\u1ed1ng l\u1ea1i \u201cnh\u1eefng ng\u01b0\u1eddi anh em\u201d Ukraine, c\u00e1ch n\u00f3i \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c Putin vi\u1ec7n d\u1eabn r\u1ea5t nhi\u1ec1u, m\u1edbi c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ch\u1eb7n \u0111\u1ee9ng con \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111i v\u1ec1 ph\u00eda t\u00e2y c\u1ee7a Ukraine. Ng\u00e0y nay, \u0111a s\u1ed1 ng\u01b0\u1eddi d\u00e2n Ukraine \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 vi\u1ec7c gia nh\u1eadp NATO. T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng Ukraine Volodymyr Selenskyj li\u00ean t\u1ee5c, kh\u00f4ng m\u1ec7t m\u1ecfi \u0111\u00f2i ph\u01b0\u01a1ng T\u00e2y ch\u1ea5p nh\u1eadn \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nga m\u1ea5t quy\u1ec1n l\u1ef1c \u1edf Ukraine<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

B\u1ea5t ch\u1ea5p vi\u1ec7c s\u00e1p nh\u1eadp Crimea v\u00e0 th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf chi\u1ebfm \u0111\u00f3ng c\u00e1c khu v\u1ef1c ph\u00eda \u0111\u00f4ng Ukraine, Moscow \u0111\u00e3 m\u1ea5t quy\u1ec1n l\u1ef1c \u1edf qu\u1ed1c gia l\u00e1ng gi\u1ec1ng k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb n\u0103m 2014. Nga kh\u00f4ng h\u00e0i l\u00f2ng v\u1edbi hi\u1ec7n tr\u1ea1ng c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn Minsk v\u00ec ch\u00fang kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 ng\u0103n ch\u1eb7n nhi\u1ec1u cu\u1ed9c th\u1eed nghi\u1ec7m \u1edf Ukraine: b\u1ea3n s\u1eafc Ukraine \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 \u1edf n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y, \u0111i\u1ec1u m\u00e0 ngay c\u1ea3 nhi\u1ec1u ng\u01b0\u1eddi Ukraine n\u00f3i ti\u1ebfng Nga c\u0169ng chia s\u1ebb.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

C\u00e1c ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ti\u1ec7n truy\u1ec1n th\u00f4ng v\u00e0 c\u00e1c nh\u00f3m l\u1ee3i \u00edch th\u00e2n Nga, \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u1ea1i di\u1ec7n b\u1edfi \u0110\u1ea3ng C\u00e1c khu v\u1ef1c \u1edf Rada tr\u01b0\u1edbc Euromaidan, \u0111\u00e3 b\u1ecb g\u1ea1t ra ngo\u00e0i l\u1ec1 trong nh\u1eefng n\u0103m g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y. Volodymyr Selenskyj kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c ki\u00ean tr\u00ec con \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u00e2y c\u1ee7a ng\u01b0\u1eddi ti\u1ec1n nhi\u1ec7m Petro Poroshenko. \u00d4ng c\u0169ng c\u00f3 h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng d\u1ee9t kho\u00e1t ch\u1ed1ng l\u1ea1i c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 t\u00e0i phi\u1ec7t th\u00e2n Nga \u1edf n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y, ch\u1eb3ng h\u1ea1n nh\u01b0 Viktor Medvedschuk, ng\u01b0\u1eddi b\u1ea1n th\u00e2n c\u1ee7a Putin \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi l\u00e0 nh\u00e2n v\u1eadt \u0111\u1ec3 Nga li\u00ean l\u1ea1c v\u1edbi Ukraine, \u00f4ng n\u00e0y t\u1eeb nhi\u1ec1u th\u00e1ng nay b\u1ecb qu\u1ea3n th\u00fac sau c\u00e1o bu\u1ed9c ph\u1ea3n qu\u1ed1c.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Tu\u1ea7n tr\u01b0\u1edbc, Zelenskyi \u0111\u00e3 c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o v\u1ec1 m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c \u0111\u1ea3o ch\u00ednh \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c cho l\u00e0 l\u1ea5y c\u1ea3m h\u1ee9ng t\u1eeb Nga, trong \u0111\u00f3 ng\u01b0\u1eddi gi\u00e0u nh\u1ea5t Ukraine, Rinat Akhmetov, b\u1ecb cho l\u00e0 c\u00f3 li\u00ean quan \u2013 v\u00e0 \u0111ang khi\u1ebfn nh\u00e0 t\u00e0i phi\u1ec7t ch\u1ecbu nhi\u1ec1u \u00e1p l\u1ef1c \u0111\u1ebfn m\u1ee9c \u00f4ng ta kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c li\u00ean h\u1ec7 v\u1edbi c\u00e1c ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u00e2n Nga trong nh\u1eefng n\u0103m g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y.<\/strong> B\u1ea5t k\u1ef3 nghi ng\u1edd n\u00e0o v\u1ec1 c\u00e1c ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u00e2n Nga \u0111\u1ec1u b\u1ecb coi l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed9c h\u1ea1i \u1edf Ukraine.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

R\u00f5 r\u00e0ng, nh\u1eefng v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 n\u00e0y \u0111ang l\u00e0m cho Moscow th\u1ea5t v\u1ecdng, v\u00e0 c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 ni\u1ec1m tin c\u1ee7a Putin r\u1eb1ng ng\u01b0\u1eddi Ukraine ch\u1eb3ng kh\u00e1c g\u00ec ng\u01b0\u1eddi Nga b\u1ecb ph\u01b0\u01a1ng T\u00e2y l\u1eeba g\u1ea1t. H\u01a1n h\u1ebft, Putin nh\u00ecn th\u1ea5y m\u1ed1i nguy hi\u1ec3m trong h\u1ee3p t\u00e1c qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 c\u1ee7a Ukraine v\u1edbi ph\u01b0\u01a1ng T\u00e2y. Theo quan \u0111i\u1ec3m c\u1ee7a \u0110i\u1ec7n Kremlin, l\u00e3nh th\u1ed5 Ukraine s\u1ebd tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh \u201cc\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 ch\u1ed1ng l\u1ea1i Nga \u0111\u1ec3 ph\u1ee5c v\u1ee5 Hoa K\u1ef3\u201d, theo c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 khoa h\u1ecdc ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb Michael Kimmage v\u00e0 Michael Kofman vi\u1ebft tr\u00ean t\u1ea1p ch\u00ed \u201cForeign Policy\u201d. M\u1ed9t v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 m\u00e0 Nga cho r\u1eb1ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 gi\u1ea3i quy\u1ebft \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c v\u1ec1 m\u1eb7t qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nh\u00ecn t\u1eeb Moscow th\u00ec NATO hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i t\u1ecf ra y\u1ebfu \u1edbt v\u00e0 chia r\u1ebd: vi\u1ec7c r\u00fat kh\u1ecfi Afghanistan, th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn AUKUS, d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn tranh ch\u1ea5p gi\u1eefa Washington v\u00e0 Paris. Sau \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 s\u1ef1 \u0111\u1ecbnh h\u00ecnh c\u1ee7a Hoa K\u1ef3 \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi Trung Qu\u1ed1c. Nh\u1eefng th\u00e1ng m\u00f9a \u0111\u00f4ng s\u1eafp t\u1edbi c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0 th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m t\u1ed1t \u0111\u1ec3 t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng. Nh\u01b0ng Putin c\u0169ng c\u1ea7n ph\u1ea3i t\u00ednh \u0111\u1ebfn \u200b\u200bnh\u1eefng kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3. B\u1ea5t ch\u1ea5p t\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh nh\u01b0 th\u1ebf n\u00e0o, \u00f4ng ta c\u0169ng \u00f4ng kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 hy v\u1ecdng v\u00e0o m\u1ed9t phi\u00ean b\u1ea3n m\u1edbi c\u1ee7a n\u0103m 2014 khi qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed9i Nga \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u1ed1i \u0111\u1ea7u v\u1edbi c\u00e1c ti\u1ec3u \u0111o\u00e0n l\u00ednh t\u00ecnh nguy\u1ec7n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u1eadp h\u1ee3p m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch g\u1ea5p g\u00e1p.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nh\u1eefng r\u1ee7i ro c\u1ee7a cu\u1ed9c x\u00e2m l\u01b0\u1ee3c<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed9i Ukraine hi\u1ec7n c\u00f3 250.000 binh s\u0129 v\u00e0 s\u0129 quan, v\u00e0 \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c chu\u1ea9n b\u1ecb t\u1ed1t h\u01a1n nhi\u1ec1u<\/strong>. Nga l\u00e0 si\u00eau c\u01b0\u1eddng trong khu v\u1ef1c v\u00e0 v\u01b0\u1ee3t tr\u1ed9i h\u01a1n Ukraine, nh\u01b0ng Kiev c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng m\u1ea1nh v\u00e0o \u0111\u1ed9i qu\u00e2n x\u00e2m l\u01b0\u1ee3c v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea9y chi ph\u00ed c\u1ee7a cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn l\u00ean cao. Ukraine \u0111ang m\u1ea1nh h\u01a1n tr\u01b0\u1edbc kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i v\u00ec nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u v\u0169 kh\u00ed nh\u01b0 v\u0169 kh\u00ed ch\u1ed1ng t\u0103ng lo\u1ea1i Javelin c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9, m\u00e0 v\u00ec qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed9i n\u00e0y gi\u1edd \u0111\u00e2y \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u1eed th\u00e1ch trong th\u1ef1c chi\u1ebfn v\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng c\u00f2n e ng\u1ea1i g\u00ec v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng v\u0169 kh\u00ed ch\u1ed1ng l\u1ea1i nh\u1eefng \u201cng\u01b0\u1eddi anh em\u201d t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng h\u1ecd.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nh\u01b0ng li\u1ec7u cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn c\u00f3 th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 \u0111\u00e1ng v\u1edbi r\u1ee7i ro? Ivan Timofejew, m\u1ed9t chuy\u00ean gia t\u1ea1i Vi\u1ec7n nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u Valdai c\u1ee7a Nga, t\u1ecf ra ho\u00e0i nghi v\u1ec1 \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y. Ngay c\u1ea3 m\u1ed9t chi\u1ebfn th\u1eafng ch\u00f3ng v\u00e1nh \u1edf Ukraine, vi\u1ec7c ch\u00ednh th\u1ee9c chi\u1ebfm \u0111\u00f3ng c\u00e1c v\u00f9ng l\u00e3nh th\u1ed5 \u1edf mi\u1ec1n \u0111\u00f4ng Ukraine hay th\u1eadm ch\u00ed l\u00e0 s\u1ef1 ph\u00e2n chia Ukraine th\u00e0nh m\u1ed9t qu\u1ed1c gia th\u00e2n ph\u01b0\u01a1ng T\u00e2y v\u00e0 th\u00e2n Nga, c\u0169ng s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng mang l\u1ea1i s\u1ef1 b\u00ecnh y\u00ean cho Moscow. T\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh ng\u00e0y nay s\u1ebd l\u00e0m cho c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc \u201cC\u1ed9ng h\u00f2a Nh\u00e2n d\u00e2n\u201d t\u1ef1 x\u01b0ng c\u00e0ng chuy\u1ec3n d\u1ecbch sang h\u01b0\u1edbng T\u00e2y.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Vi\u1ec7c ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t c\u00e1c v\u00f9ng l\u00e3nh th\u1ed5 b\u1ecb chi\u1ebfm \u0111\u00f3ng s\u1ebd r\u1ea5t kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n. Ngay c\u1ea3 Crimea nh\u1ecf b\u00e9 c\u0169ng \u0111\u00e3 ng\u1ed1n h\u00e0ng tr\u0103m t\u1ef7 r\u00fap cho c\u00e1c kho\u1ea3n \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 m\u00e0 hi\u1ec7n \u0111ang thi\u1ebfu \u1edf nh\u1eefng n\u01a1i kh\u00e1c. Ng\u01b0\u1eddi d\u00e2n \u1edf mi\u1ec1n \u0111\u00f4ng Ukraine s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng nh\u1ea5t thi\u1ebft h\u00e0i l\u00f2ng v\u1edbi s\u1ef1 chi\u1ebfm \u0111\u00f3ng, \u00edt nh\u1ea5t l\u00e0 \u1edf ph\u1ea7n \u0111\u1ea5t do Kiev hi\u1ec7n \u0111ang ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t, b\u1edfi v\u00ec h\u1ecd coi m\u00ecnh nh\u01b0 m\u1ed9t d\u00e2n t\u1ed9c ri\u00eang.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ngo\u00e0i ra, s\u1ebd c\u00f3 m\u1ed9t l\u1ec7nh tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t kh\u1eafc nghi\u1ec7t ch\u01b0a t\u1eebng c\u00f3 c\u1ee7a ph\u01b0\u01a1ng T\u00e2y. Sau cu\u1ed9c t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng c\u1ee7a Nga v\u00e0o Gruzia n\u0103m 2008, Putin \u0111\u00e3 kh\u00f4ng g\u1eb7p b\u1ea5t k\u1ef3 h\u1eadu qu\u1ea3 n\u00e0o; n\u0103m 2014, sau cu\u1ed9c t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng v\u00e0o Ukraine, c\u00e1c l\u1ec7nh tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t c\u0169ng ch\u1ec9 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c gia t\u0103ng m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch th\u1eadn tr\u1ecdng. Nh\u01b0ng Putin kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 tr\u00f4ng ch\u1edd v\u00e0o s\u1ef1 nu\u00f4ng chi\u1ec1u \u0111\u00f3 n\u1eefa.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Chuy\u00ean gia Timofejew cho r\u1eb1ng c\u00e1c l\u1ec7nh tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng Nga c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 di\u1ec5n ra. V\u1edbi kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda m\u1ea1ng li\u00ean l\u1ea1c ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Swift, Nga s\u1ebd b\u1ecb ng\u1eaft k\u1ebft n\u1ed1i v\u1edbi h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi.<\/strong> C\u0169ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u00ednh \u0111\u1ebfn c\u00e1c l\u1ec7nh c\u1ea5m nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi d\u1ea7u m\u1ecf ho\u1eb7c kh\u00ed \u0111\u1ed1t c\u1ee7a Nga, \u0111i\u1ec1u s\u1ebd g\u00e2y thi\u1ec7t h\u1ea1i to l\u1edbn cho n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf Nga, m\u1ed9t v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 nh\u00e3n ti\u1ec1n. K\u1ebft th\u00fac d\u1ef1 \u00e1n D\u00f2ng ch\u1ea3y Ph\u01b0\u01a1ng B\u1eafc 2, th\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 ph\u00ea b\u00ecnh k\u00eau g\u1ecdi, l\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec1u trong t\u1ea7m tay.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

M\u1ed9t ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng kh\u00e1c n\u1eefa c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 x\u1ea9y ra t\u1eeb ph\u01b0\u01a1ng T\u00e2y l\u00e0 h\u1ee3p t\u00e1c qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 s\u1ebd t\u0103ng l\u00ean, v\u0169 kh\u00ed s\u1ebd \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c cung c\u1ea5p nhi\u1ec1u h\u01a1n cho Kiev. Nga m\u1ed9t l\u1ea7n n\u1eefa c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 bi\u1ebfn l\u1eddi ti\u00ean tri x\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh th\u00e0nh s\u1ef1 th\u1eadt th\u00f4ng qua c\u00e1c h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh. Sau \u0111\u00f3, s\u1ebd c\u00f3 s\u1ef1 c\u00f4 l\u1eadp v\u1ec1 ngo\u1ea1i giao \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi Nga, b\u1edfi v\u00ec, kh\u00f4ng gi\u1ed1ng nh\u01b0 n\u0103m 2014, \u0111\u00e2y kh\u00f4ng c\u00f2n l\u00e0 vi\u1ec7c s\u00e1p nh\u1eadp m\u1ed9t b\u00e1n \u0111\u1ea3o hay m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn tranh \u1ee7y nhi\u1ec7m v\u1edbi vi\u1ec7c tri\u1ec3n khai qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed9i ch\u00ednh quy b\u00ed m\u1eadt \u1edf Donbass, m\u00e0 l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn c\u00f3 tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 ch\u1ed1ng l\u1ea1i m\u1ed9t qu\u1ed1c gia r\u1ed9ng l\u1edbn.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ch\u1ec9 c\u00f3 nh\u1eefng ng\u01b0\u1eddi hi\u1ec3u r\u00f5 nh\u1ea5t t\u00e2m can c\u1ee7a Putin m\u1edbi c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 thi v\u1ecb h\u00f3a h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a Nga. Ngo\u00e0i ra, \u1edf Nga h\u1ea7u nh\u01b0 kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 b\u1ea5t k\u1ef3 nhu c\u1ea7u v\u1ec1 m\u1eb7t n\u1ed9i ch\u00ednh \u0111\u1ec3 leo thang cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1eabm m\u00e1u m\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y ch\u00ednh th\u1ee9c ti\u1ebfn h\u00e0nh. Cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng, ch\u1ec9 c\u00f3 m\u1ed9t ng\u01b0\u1eddi duy nh\u1ea5t, Vladimir Putin, bi\u1ebft li\u1ec7u nh\u1eefng l\u1eadp lu\u1eadn ph\u1ea3n b\u00e1c n\u00e0y c\u00f3 \u0111\u1ee7 \u0111\u1ec3 ng\u0103n ch\u1eb7n m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn hay kh\u00f4ng.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ngu\u1ed3n: Nghi\u00ean C\u1ee9u Qu\u1ed1c T\u1ebf<\/strong>
http:\/\/nghiencuuquocte.org\/2021\/12\/05\/putin-co-muon-mot-cuoc-chien-tranh-moi-voi-ukraine\/#more-42923<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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Ngu\u1ed3n:\u00a0Pavel Lokshin,\u00a0Ukraine: Will Putin einen neuen Krieg?,\u00a0WELT,\u00a004\/12\/2021. Bi\u00ean d\u1ecbch: Nguy\u1ec5n Xu\u00e2n Ho\u00e0i Nga \u0111\u01b0a m\u1ed9t l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng l\u1edbn qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ebfn bi\u00ean gi\u1edbi Ukraine. Ch\u01b0a bao gi\u1edd Vladimir Putin l\u1ea1i c\u00f3 c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i t\u1ed1t nh\u01b0 th\u1ebf n\u00e0y \u0111\u1ec3 th\u00f4n t\u00ednh Ukraine trong m\u00f9a \u0111\u00f4ng n\u0103m nay. M\u1ed9t ph\u1ea7n c\u0169ng do s\u1ef1\u0111\u1ecdc ti\u1ebfp…<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":12757,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[7,8,9],"tags":[165,118,119,325,284],"class_list":["entry","author-ntviet","post-12756","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-binhluan","category-chinhtri-xahoi","category-kinhte","tag-binh-luan","tag-chinh-tri","tag-hoa-ky","tag-nato","tag-nga"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12756","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=12756"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12756\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/12757"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=12756"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=12756"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=12756"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}