{"id":13000,"date":"2021-12-22T07:48:02","date_gmt":"2021-12-22T07:48:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/?p=13000"},"modified":"2021-12-22T07:49:05","modified_gmt":"2021-12-22T07:49:05","slug":"lao-cua-ngo-de-trung-quoc-banh-truong-anh-huong-vao-dong-nam-a","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/?p=13000","title":{"rendered":"L\u00e0o: C\u1eeda ng\u00f5 \u0111\u1ec3 Trung Qu\u1ed1c b\u00e0nh tr\u01b0\u1edbng \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng v\u00e0o \u0110\u00f4ng Nam \u00c1 ?<\/strong>
T\u1ea1p Ch\u00ed Ti\u00eau \u0110i\u1ec3m c\u1ee7a RFI<\/span>"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"L\u00e0o
\u1ea2nh minh h\u1ecda: Nh\u00e0 ga Pu’er t\u1ec9nh V\u00e2n Nam, Trung Qu\u1ed1c n\u1eb1m trong \u0111o\u1ea1n \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng t\u1ea7u cao t\u1ed1c n\u1ed1i C\u00f4n Minh v\u1edbi th\u1ee7 \u0111\u00f4 Vi\u00ean Ch\u0103n c\u1ee7a L\u00e0o.\u00a0AP
<\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n

RFI: T\u1ea0P CH\u00cd TI\u00caU \u0110I\u1ec2M<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Ng\u00e0y 03\/12\/2021, L\u00e0o v\u00e0 Trung Qu\u1ed1c kh\u00e1nh th\u00e0nh tuy\u1ebfn \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng t\u1ea7u cao t\u1ed1c n\u1ed1i th\u00e0nh ph\u1ed1 C\u00f4n Minh, t\u1ec9nh V\u00e2n Nam, mi\u1ec1n nam Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u1edbi th\u1ee7 \u0111\u00f4 Vi\u00ean\u00a0Ch\u0103n, c\u1ee7a L\u00e0o. V\u1edbi tuy\u1ebfn \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng s\u1eaft n\u00e0y, L\u00e0o hy v\u1ecdng ph\u00e1 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u1ebf c\u00f4 l\u1eadp c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ea5t n\u01b0\u1edbc. Nh\u01b0ng v\u1edbi B\u1eafc K\u00ednh, qu\u1ed1c gia nh\u1ecf b\u00e9 ch\u1ec9 c\u00f3 kho\u1ea3ng 7 tri\u1ec7u d\u00e2n n\u00e0y l\u1ea1i l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t tr\u1ee5c chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c quan tr\u1ecdng cho ph\u00e9p B\u1eafc Kinh m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng kinh t\u1ebf v\u00e0 ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb t\u1ea1i v\u00f9ng \u0110\u00f4ng Nam \u00c1.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sau nhi\u1ec1u l\u1ea7n th\u00f4ng b\u00e1o v\u00e0 tr\u00ec ho\u00e3n, d\u1ef1 \u00e1n x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng tuy\u1ebfn \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng s\u1eaft cao t\u1ed1c n\u1ed1i Boten \u2013 Luang Prabang \u2013 Vi\u00ean\u00a0Ch\u0103n<\/strong> \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c kh\u1edfi \u0111\u1ed9ng n\u0103m 2016. \u0110\u01b0\u1eddng t\u1ea7u d\u00e0i 420 km, ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n do Trung Qu\u1ed1c th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n, bao g\u1ed3m 10 nh\u00e0 ga, 75 \u0111o\u1ea1n \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ea7m (198 km) v\u00e0 \u0111i qua 167 chi\u1ebfc c\u1ea7u (62 km) n\u1eb1m tr\u00ean tuy\u1ebfn \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng n\u1ed1i th\u1eb3ng C\u00f4n Minh (V\u00e2n Nam, Trung Qu\u1ed1c) v\u1edbi Bangkok (Th\u00e1i Lan).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

M\u1ed9t khi kh\u00e1nh th\u00e0nh, \u0111o\u1ea1n \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng n\u1ed1i C\u00f4n Minh \u2013 Vi\u00ean\u00a0Ch\u0103n s\u1ebd cho ph\u00e9p r\u00fat ng\u1eafn th\u1eddi gian v\u1eadn chuy\u1ec3n h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a v\u00e0 du kh\u00e1ch xu\u1ed1ng c\u00f2n t\u1eeb 6-7 gi\u1edd thay v\u00ec ph\u1ea3i m\u1ea5t nhi\u1ec1u ng\u00e0y b\u1eb1ng \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng b\u1ed9 nh\u01b0 hi\u1ec7n nay. T\u1ed5ng tr\u1ecb gi\u00e1 c\u00f4ng tr\u00ecnh n\u1eb1m trong kho\u1ea3ng 6 t\u1ef7 \u0111\u00f4 la M\u1ef9. L\u00e0o v\u00e0 Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed3ng thu\u1eadn chia s\u1ebb chi ph\u00ed theo t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 30%-70% v\u00e0 giao quy\u1ec1n khai th\u00e1c tuy\u1ebfn \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng s\u1eaft m\u1edbi n\u00e0y cho c\u00f4ng ty Laos \u2013 China Railway Company Limited, m\u1ed9t li\u00ean doanh gi\u1eefa L\u00e0o v\u00e0 Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u1edbi t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 chia l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn l\u00e0 40%-60%.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Tuy nhi\u00ean, c\u00f4ng tr\u00ecnh to l\u1edbn n\u00e0y c\u0169ng l\u00e0m d\u1ea5y l\u00ean nhi\u1ec1u lo l\u1eafng, ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 L\u00e0o c\u0169ng nh\u01b0 l\u00e0 doanh nghi\u1ec7p L\u00e0o \u0111\u00e3 k\u00fd nhi\u1ec1u h\u1ee3p \u0111\u1ed3ng vay v\u1ed1n v\u1edbi nhi\u1ec1u t\u00e1c nh\u00e2n Trung Qu\u1ed1c nh\u01b0 Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Xu\u1ea5t \u2013 Nh\u1eadp Kh\u1ea9u Trung Qu\u1ed1c (Eximbank) v\u1edbi l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t trong kho\u1ea3ng t\u1eeb 2-3% trong v\u00f2ng t\u1eeb 30-35 n\u0103m.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

L\u00e0o t\u00ednh g\u00ec khi quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n d\u1ef1 \u00e1n b\u1ea5t ch\u1ea5p r\u1ee7i ro m\u1eafc n\u1ee3 cao v\u00e0 nguy c\u01a1 m\u1ea5t quy\u1ec1n ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t nh\u01b0 \u0111\u00e3 t\u1eebng x\u1ea3y ra khi ph\u1ea3i nh\u01b0\u1ee3ng m\u1ed9t ph\u1ea7n l\u1edbn quy\u1ec1n ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t m\u1ea1ng l\u01b0\u1edbi \u0111i\u1ec7n qu\u1ed1c gia cho m\u1ed9t t\u1eadp \u0111o\u00e0n Nh\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc Trung Qu\u1ed1c ? V\u00e0 B\u1eafc Kinh s\u1ebd \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c g\u00ec khi t\u1eadp trung n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c \u0111\u1ec3 th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n d\u1ef1 \u00e1n t\u1ea1i m\u1ed9t qu\u1ed1c gia n\u1eb1m l\u1ecdt th\u1ecfm \u1edf v\u00f9ng \u0110\u00f4ng Nam \u00c1, th\u01b0a th\u1edbt d\u00e2n c\u01b0 ?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u0110\u1ec3 gi\u1ea3i \u0111\u00e1p nh\u1eefng th\u1eafc m\u1eafc n\u00e0y, RFI Ti\u1ebfng Vi\u1ec7t \u0111\u1eb7t c\u00e2u h\u1ecfi v\u1edbi chuy\u00ean gia v\u1ec1 \u0110\u00f4ng Nam \u00c1, Eric Mottet, tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u1ea1i h\u1ecdc C\u00f4ng gi\u00e1o Lille, c\u1ed9ng t\u00e1c vi\u00ean v\u1edbi Vi\u1ec7n Quan H\u1ec7 Qu\u1ed1c T\u1ebf v\u00e0 Chi\u1ebfn L\u01b0\u1ee3c IRIS.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

**********<\/p>\n\n\n\n

RFI Ti\u1ebfng Vi\u1ec7t : Tr\u01b0\u1edbc h\u1ebft, \u00f4ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 cho bi\u1ebft \u0111\u00e2u l\u00e0 th\u1ef1c tr\u1ea1ng n\u1ee3 c\u1ee7a L\u00e0o \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi Trung Qu\u1ed1c ? So v\u1edbi c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc trong khu v\u1ef1c, n\u1ee3 Trung Qu\u1ed1c c\u1ee7a L\u00e0o n\u1eb1m \u1edf m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 n\u00e0o ?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Eric Mottet<\/em><\/strong>\u00a0: V\u1ec1 m\u1eb7t ch\u00ednh th\u1ee9c, n\u1ee3 c\u00f4ng c\u1ee7a L\u00e0o n\u1eb1m trong kho\u1ea3ng 15 t\u1ef7 \u0111\u00f4 la M\u1ef9. Trong s\u1ed1 n\u00e0y, c\u00f3 6 t\u1ef7 \u0111\u00f4 la d\u01b0\u1eddng nh\u01b0 do Trung Qu\u1ed1c n\u1eafm gi\u1eef theo nh\u01b0 c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 ch\u00ednh th\u1ee9c.<\/strong> Nh\u01b0ng c\u00f3 nhi\u1ec1u s\u1ed1 li\u1ec7u l\u01b0u h\u00e0nh cho r\u1eb1ng n\u1ee3 c\u1ee7a L\u00e0o \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi Trung Qu\u1ed1c d\u01b0\u1eddng nh\u01b0 cao g\u1ea5p hai l\u1ea7n, n\u1eb1m trong kho\u1ea3ng t\u1eeb 10-12 t\u1ef7 \u0111\u00f4 la. \u0110\u00fang l\u00e0 kh\u00f3 bi\u1ebft \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u00e2u l\u00e0 s\u1ef1 th\u1eadt, nh\u01b0ng trong m\u1ecdi tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p, con s\u1ed1 ch\u00ednh th\u1ee9c ch\u1eafc ch\u1eafn l\u00e0 th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n so v\u1edbi th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Li\u00ean quan \u0111\u1ebfn t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 n\u1ee3 so v\u1edbi GDP, n\u1ee3 c\u1ee7a L\u00e0o chi\u1ebfm x\u1ea5p x\u1ec9 \u1edf kho\u1ea3ng 70% c\u1ee7a GDP<\/strong>. T\u00f4i l\u01b0u \u00fd l\u00e0 t\u1ed5ng s\u1ea3n ph\u1ea9m n\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ecba GDP c\u1ee7a L\u00e0o n\u1eb1m trong kho\u1ea3ng 19 t\u1ef7 \u0111\u00f4 la M\u1ef9 m\u1ed7i n\u0103m v\u00e0 do v\u1eady, L\u00e0o n\u1eb1m trong s\u1ed1 nh\u1eefng n\u01b0\u1edbc m\u1eafc n\u1ee3 cao nh\u1ea5t n\u1ebfu so v\u1edbi t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 GDP c\u1ee7a L\u00e0o. Th\u1ebf nh\u01b0ng, t\u1ea1i v\u00f9ng \u0110\u00f4ng Nam \u00c1, qu\u1ed1c gia c\u00f3 t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 n\u1ee3 cao nh\u1ea5t l\u00e0 Singapore chi\u1ebfm 130% c\u1ee7a GDP, r\u1ed3i ph\u1ea7n l\u1edbn c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc nh\u01b0 Malaysia, Th\u00e1i Lan, Philippines c\u00f3 t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 n\u1ee3 trong kho\u1ea3ng 60% so v\u1edbi GDP, th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n nhi\u1ec1u.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

C\u00f3 th\u1ec3 n\u00f3i, L\u00e0o v\u00e0 Singapore l\u00e0 hai qu\u1ed1c gia m\u1eafc n\u1ee3 cao nh\u1ea5t, nh\u01b0ng \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 s\u1ed1 li\u1ec7u c\u1ee7a n\u0103m 2020. Ch\u00fang t\u00f4i ch\u01b0a c\u00f3 s\u1ed1 li\u1ec7u c\u1ee7a n\u0103m nay, v\u00e0 nh\u1ea5t l\u00e0 ch\u00fang t\u00f4i ch\u01b0a c\u00f3 c\u00e1c s\u1ed1 li\u1ec7u v\u1ec1 t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a d\u1ecbch Covid-19 \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi t\u1ed5ng n\u1ee3 c\u1ee7a nh\u1eefng n\u01b0\u1edbc trong khu v\u1ef1c, c\u00f3 nhi\u1ec1u kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng n\u1ee3 c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc \u0110\u00f4ng Nam \u00c1 c\u00f2n b\u1ecb \u0111\u00e0o s\u00e2u th\u00eam n\u1eefa.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u0110\u00e2u l\u00e0 nh\u1eefng l\u1eadp lu\u1eadn c\u1ee7a ch\u00ednh quy\u1ec1n Vi\u00ean Ch\u0103n \u0111\u1ec3 thuy\u1ebft ph\u1ee5c ng\u01b0\u1eddi d\u00e2n b\u1ea5t ch\u1ea5p nh\u1eefng r\u1ee7i ro m\u1eafc n\u1ee3 cao v\u00e0 nguy c\u01a1 m\u1ea5t quy\u1ec1n ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t ?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Eric Mottet<\/em><\/strong> : N\u1ebfu ng\u01b0\u1eddi ta theo d\u00f5i v\u00e0 nghe nh\u1eefng g\u00ec ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 L\u00e0o n\u00f3i t\u1eeb nhi\u1ec1u th\u00e1ng, th\u1eadm ch\u00ed l\u00e0 nhi\u1ec1u n\u0103m qua th\u00ec ch\u1eb3ng c\u00f3 g\u00ec ph\u1ea3i lo l\u1eafng c\u1ea3. Theo t\u00ednh to\u00e1n c\u1ee7a ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7, tuy\u1ebfn \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng cao t\u1ed1c n\u00e0y, nh\u1edd v\u00e0o d\u00f2ng du kh\u00e1ch v\u00e0 v\u1eadn chuy\u1ec3n h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a, s\u1ebd cho ph\u00e9p ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 L\u00e0o gia t\u0103ng kh\u1ed1i l\u01b0\u1ee3ng chuy\u00ean ch\u1edf th\u00eam 20%, v\u00e0 nh\u01b0 v\u1eady s\u1ebd t\u0103ng th\u00eam thu nh\u1eadp. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y s\u1ebd cho ph\u00e9p ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 ho\u00e0n tr\u1ea3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c n\u1ee3, nh\u1ea5t l\u00e0 kho\u1ea3n n\u1ee3 vay t\u1eeb Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ec3 x\u00e2y tuy\u1ebfn \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng t\u1ea7u cao t\u1ed1c n\u00e0y.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ti\u1ebfp \u0111\u1ebfn, c\u00f2n c\u00f3 s\u1ef1 gia t\u0103ng k\u1ebft n\u1ed1i l\u00e3nh th\u1ed5 L\u00e0o v\u1edbi Trung Qu\u1ed1c, Vi\u1ec7t Nam, Th\u00e1i Lan, r\u1ed3i s\u1ebd c\u00f3 m\u1ed9t l\u00e0n s\u00f3ng h\u00ecnh th\u00e0nh c\u00e1c \u0111\u1eb7c khu kinh t\u1ebf, cho ph\u00e9p ti\u1ebfp nh\u1eadn c\u00e1c kho\u1ea3n \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 tr\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp n\u01b0\u1edbc ngo\u00e0i, t\u1ea1o ra nhi\u1ec1u c\u00f4ng \u0103n vi\u1ec7c l\u00e0m, c\u00f3 th\u00eam nhi\u1ec1u ngu\u1ed3n thu thu\u1ebf, v\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00f3 c\u0169ng s\u1ebd cho ph\u00e9p t\u0103ng th\u00eam s\u1ee9c mua \u1edf m\u1ed9t kh\u00eda c\u1ea1nh n\u00e0o \u0111\u00f3 c\u1ee7a ng\u01b0\u1eddi d\u00e2n L\u00e0o. Nh\u1edd v\u00e0o tuy\u1ebfn \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng t\u1ea7u cao t\u1ed1c n\u00e0y m\u00e0  ngu\u1ed3n thu c\u1ee7a ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u0103ng th\u00eam \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Trung Qu\u1ed1c l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c c\u1ef1c k\u1ef3 quan tr\u1ecdng. Nh\u01b0ng c\u0169ng gi\u1ed1ng nh\u01b0 Vi\u1ec7t Nam, ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 L\u00e0o c\u0169ng t\u00ecm c\u00e1ch gi\u1eef th\u1ebf c\u00e2n b\u1eb1ng trong quan h\u1ec7 v\u1edbi c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc l\u1edbn. Ch\u1ec9 c\u00f3 \u0111i\u1ec1u v\u1edbi tuy\u1ebfn \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng t\u1ea7u cao t\u1ed1c n\u00e0y, t\u1ea7m \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng c\u1ee7a B\u1eafc Kinh \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi Vi\u00ean Ch\u0103n c\u00f3 l\u1ebd s\u1ebd c\u00f2n t\u0103ng th\u00eam. L\u00e0m th\u1ebf n\u00e0o Vi\u00ean Ch\u0103n duy tr\u00ec \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u1ebf c\u00e2n b\u1eb1ng \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u00f3 ?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Eric Mottet<\/em><\/strong> : L\u00e0o t\u1eeb nhi\u1ec1u th\u1ebf k\u1ef7 qua \u0111\u1ec1u ch\u01a1i tr\u00f2 c\u00e2n b\u1eb1ng gi\u1eefa ba n\u01b0\u1edbc l\u1edbn l\u00e0 Trung Qu\u1ed1c, Vi\u1ec7t Nam v\u00e0 Th\u00e1i Lan. Th\u1ebf c\u00e2n b\u1eb1ng n\u00e0y v\u1eabn \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c duy tr\u00ec cho \u0111\u1ebfn t\u1eadn ng\u00e0y nay. Nh\u01b0ng t\u00f4i c\u0169ng hi\u1ec3u l\u00e0 v\u1ec1 ph\u00eda H\u00e0 N\u1ed9i, c\u00f3 m\u1ed9t n\u1ed7i lo l\u1eafng n\u00e0o \u0111\u00f3 v\u1ec1 th\u1ebf c\u00e2n b\u1eb1ng n\u00e0y d\u01b0\u1eddng nh\u01b0 c\u00f3 ch\u00fat g\u00ec \u0111\u00f3 h\u01a1i kh\u1eadp khi\u1ec5ng v\u00e0 c\u00f3 l\u1ee3i h\u01a1n cho Trung Qu\u1ed1c.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ch\u00fang ta c\u0169ng \u0111\u1eebng qu\u00ean r\u1eb1ng quan h\u1ec7 gi\u1eefa L\u00e0o v\u00e0 Vi\u1ec7t Nam v\u1eabn v\u00f4 c\u00f9ng ch\u1eb7t ch\u1ebd, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t l\u00e0 tr\u00ean b\u00ecnh di\u1ec7n ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb. T\u00f4i l\u01b0u \u00fd l\u00e0 t\u1ea5t c\u1ea3 c\u00e1c th\u00e0nh vi\u00ean trong B\u1ed9 Ch\u00ednh Tr\u1ecb c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ea3ng C\u1ed9ng S\u1ea3n L\u00e0o \u0111\u1ec1u h\u1ecdc t\u1eadp v\u00e0 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u00e0o t\u1ea1o \u1edf tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0110\u1ea3ng c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7t Nam. Do \u0111\u00f3, tr\u00ean b\u00ecnh di\u1ec7n ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb, m\u1ed1i quan h\u1ec7 gi\u1eefa \u0110\u1ea3ng v\u1edbi \u0110\u1ea3ng l\u00e0 r\u1ea5t m\u1eadt thi\u1ebft.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ngo\u00e0i ra, Vi\u1ec7t Nam c\u00f2n l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c kinh t\u1ebf, nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 l\u1edbn th\u1ee9 ba \u1edf L\u00e0o. T\u1ea5t c\u1ea3 nh\u1eefng \u0111i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00f3 s\u1ebd c\u00f2n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 h\u01a1n n\u1eefa trong nh\u1eefng n\u0103m s\u1eafp t\u1edbi. \u0110\u00fang l\u00e0 hi\u1ec7n nay c\u00f3 m\u1ed9t d\u1ef1 \u00e1n k\u1ebft n\u1ed1i L\u00e0o v\u1edbi Trung Qu\u1ed1c b\u1eb1ng \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng t\u1ea7u cao t\u1ed1c, nh\u01b0ng L\u00e0o v\u00e0 Vi\u1ec7t Nam t\u1eeb nhi\u1ec1u n\u0103m qua \u0111ang nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u nhi\u1ec1u d\u1ef1 \u00e1n li\u00ean th\u00f4ng gi\u1eefa hai n\u01b0\u1edbc.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Tr\u01b0\u1edbc h\u1ebft l\u00e0 tuy\u1ebfn \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng b\u1ed9 cao t\u1ed1c n\u1ed1i Vi\u00ean Ch\u0103n v\u1edbi H\u00e0 N\u1ed9i, r\u1ed3i c\u00f3 tuy\u1ebfn \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng s\u1eaft n\u1ed1i Vi\u00ean Ch\u0103n \u2013 V\u0169ng \u00c1ng \u2013 H\u00e0 N\u1ed9i, cho ph\u00e9p L\u00e0o s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng r\u1ed9ng r\u00e3i c\u1ea3ng bi\u1ec3n V\u0169ng \u00c1ng, m\u00e0 L\u00e0o c\u0169ng \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 v\u00e0i ch\u1ee5c tri\u1ec7u \u0111\u00f4 la nh\u1eefng n\u0103m g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y. Hay nh\u01b0 nh\u1eefng d\u1ef1 \u00e1n th\u1ee7y \u0111i\u1ec7n l\u1edbn \u1edf mi\u1ec1n nam n\u01b0\u1edbc L\u00e0o, do Vi\u1ec7t Nam t\u00e0i tr\u1ee3, v\u00e0 sau \u0111\u00f3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u tr\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp sang Vi\u1ec7t Nam.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Tr\u00ean th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf, chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00e2n b\u1eb1ng truy\u1ec1n th\u1ed1ng gi\u1eefa c\u00e1c c\u01b0\u1eddng qu\u1ed1c c\u1ee7a L\u00e0o v\u1eabn \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c duy tr\u00ec, nh\u01b0ng \u0111\u00fang l\u00e0 l\u00fac n\u00e0y h\u1ecd \u0111ang c\u00f3 m\u1ed9t c\u00fa h\u00edch, m\u1ed9t l\u1ef1c \u0111\u1ea9y v\u1edbi \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng t\u1ea7u cao t\u1ed1c ph\u1ea7n l\u1edbn do Trung Qu\u1ed1c t\u00e0i tr\u1ee3. Nh\u01b0ng c\u00f9ng l\u00fac, ch\u00fang ta c\u0169ng \u0111\u1eebng qu\u00ean r\u1eb1ng c\u00f2n c\u00f3 nh\u1eefng d\u1ef1 \u00e1n mang t\u00ednh k\u1ebft n\u1ed1i, li\u00ean th\u00f4ng kh\u00e1c kh\u00e1 m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd gi\u1eefa ba n\u01b0\u1edbc L\u00e0o, Vi\u1ec7t Nam v\u00e0 Th\u00e1i Lan.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Tr\u00ean trang m\u1ea1ng IRIS, \u00f4ng cho r\u1eb1ng L\u00e0o l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t tr\u1ee5c \u0111\u1ecba chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c quan tr\u1ecdng, cho ph\u00e9p Trung Qu\u1ed1c th\u00e2m nh\u1eadp v\u00e0o \u0110\u00f4ng Nam \u00c1 v\u00e0 c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 c\u00e1c m\u1ed1i k\u1ebft n\u1ed1i \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng b\u1ed9 v\u00e0 \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng s\u1eaft c\u1ee7a khu v\u1ef1c. C\u1ee5 th\u1ec3, vai tr\u00f2 th\u1ef1c th\u1ee5 c\u1ee7a L\u00e0o trong chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c n\u00e0y c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c l\u00e0 g\u00ec ?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Eric Mottet<\/em><\/strong> : Ng\u01b0\u1eddi ta lu\u00f4n c\u00f3 c\u1ea3m gi\u00e1c r\u1eb1ng m\u1ecdi th\u1ee9 \u0111\u1ec1u do ph\u00eda Trung Qu\u1ed1c ngh\u0129 ra nh\u01b0ng tr\u00ean th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf trong tr\u00f2 ch\u01a1i n\u00e0y, L\u00e0o \u0111ang ch\u01a1i tr\u00f2 c\u1ee7a ch\u00ednh m\u00ecnh, v\u00e0 \u0111ang th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n \u0111i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00f3 v\u1edbi s\u1ef1 gi\u00fap \u0111\u1ee1 c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c. \u0110\u01b0\u01a1ng nhi\u00ean, b\u1edfi v\u00ec Trung Qu\u1ed1c l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t c\u01b0\u1eddng qu\u1ed1c m\u00e0 ng\u01b0\u1eddi ta kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 n\u00e0o b\u1ecf qua, v\u00e0 c\u00f3 m\u1ed9t kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 to l\u1edbn, nh\u1ea5t l\u00e0 khi so s\u00e1nh v\u1edbi nhi\u1ec1u t\u00e1c nh\u00e2n kh\u00e1c trong khu v\u1ef1c.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Th\u00e1i<\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n

V\u1eady chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1ee7a L\u00e0o l\u00e0 g\u00ec\u00a0? D\u0129 nhi\u00ean ch\u00ednh l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ec3 ph\u00e1 th\u1ebf c\u00f4 l\u1eadp c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ea5t n\u01b0\u1edbc. <\/strong>\u0110\u00e2y th\u1eadm ch\u00ed c\u00f2n l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t n\u1ed7i \u00e1m \u1ea3nh chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1ee7a ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 L\u00e0o t\u1eeb nhi\u1ec1u th\u1eadp ni\u00ean qua, v\u00e0 do v\u1eady \u0111\u1ec3 th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n vi\u1ec7c ph\u00e1 th\u1ebf c\u00f4 l\u1eadp \u0111\u00f3, L\u00e0o ph\u1ea3i d\u1ef1a v\u00e0o Trung Qu\u1ed1c, nh\u01b0ng c\u0169ng d\u1ef1a c\u1ea3 v\u00e0o Vi\u1ec7t Nam, Th\u00e1i Lan n\u1eefa.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Qu\u1ea3 th\u1eadt d\u1ef1 \u00e1n tuy\u1ebfn \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng s\u1eaft cao t\u1ed1c n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y v\u00e0 c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 m\u1ed1i li\u00ean h\u1ec7 gi\u1eefa L\u00e0o v\u00e0 Trung Qu\u1ed1c. Nh\u01b0ng b\u00ean c\u1ea1nh \u0111\u00f3 c\u00f2n c\u00f3 nhi\u1ec1u d\u1ef1 \u00e1n k\u1ebft n\u1ed1i kh\u00e1c v\u1edbi Th\u00e1i Lan, Malaysia, Singapore s\u1ebd ph\u1ea3i \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n, nh\u1ea5t l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t khi tuy\u1ebfn \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng s\u1eaft n\u00e0y c\u1ee7a L\u00e0o \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c n\u1ed1i v\u1edbi \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng t\u1ea7u c\u1ee7a Th\u00e1i Lan.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u0110\u1ed1i v\u1edbi L\u00e0o, ch\u00fang ta c\u0169ng n\u00ean hi\u1ec3u r\u1eb1ng v\u1ec1 m\u1eb7t k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt v\u00e0 t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh, L\u00e0o kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 n\u00e0o l\u00e0m c\u00e1ch kh\u00e1c n\u00ean \u0111\u00e0nh ph\u1ea3i nh\u1edd \u0111\u1ebfn Trung Qu\u1ed1c trong ki\u1ec3u d\u1ef1 \u00e1n n\u00e0y. C\u00f2n \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi Trung Qu\u1ed1c, d\u1ef1 \u00e1n n\u00e0y th\u1eadt s\u1ef1 h\u1ea5p d\u1eabn, b\u1edfi v\u00ec n\u00f3 cho ph\u00e9p B\u1eafc Kinh ch\u00ed \u00edt tr\u00e1nh \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng h\u00e0ng h\u1ea3i Bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u00f4ng v\u00e0 eo bi\u1ec3n Malacca.<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u0110i\u1ec1u th\u00fa v\u1ecb tr\u00ean b\u00ecnh di\u1ec7n chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u00e0 khi ch\u00fang ta nh\u00ecn v\u00e0o b\u1ea3n \u0111\u1ed3, \u0111\u00e2y s\u1ebd l\u00e0 con \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng ng\u1eafn nh\u1ea5t n\u1ed1i Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u1edbi ph\u1ea7n c\u00f2n l\u1ea1i \u1edf \u0110\u00f4ng Nam \u00c1. Ch\u00ednh v\u00ec \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y m\u00e0 Trung Qu\u1ed1c c\u0169ng nh\u01b0 L\u00e0o \u0111\u00e3 t\u1eadp trung \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 v\u00e0 x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng cho tuy\u1ebfn \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng s\u1eaft cao t\u1ed1c n\u00e0y.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y c\u0169ng c\u00f3 ngh\u0129a l\u00e0 trong tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p x\u1ea3y ra xung \u0111\u1ed9t th\u1eadt s\u1ef1 \u1edf Bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u00f4ng, tuy\u1ebfn \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng s\u1eaft n\u1ed1i Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u1edbi c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc kh\u00e1c \u1edf \u0110\u00f4ng Nam \u00c1 s\u1ebd l\u00e0 \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng v\u1eadn chuy\u1ec3n h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a thay th\u1ebf an to\u00e0n nh\u1ea5t cho Trung Qu\u1ed1c ?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Eric Mottet<\/em><\/strong>\u00a0: D\u0129 nhi\u00ean r\u1ed3i, khi ch\u00fang ta h\u00ecnh dung c\u00f3 nh\u1eefng xung \u0111\u1ed9t d\u1eef d\u1ed9i t\u1ea1i Bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u00f4ng. Ng\u01b0\u1eddi ta \u01b0\u1edbc t\u00ednh c\u00f3 g\u1ea7n 5.000 t\u1ef7 \u0111\u00f4 la M\u1ef9 h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a trung chuy\u1ec3n qua Bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u00f4ng v\u00e0 bi\u1ec3n Hoa \u0110\u00f4ng. Do v\u1eady, n\u1ebfu ng\u00e0y mai, v\u00ec m\u1ed9t l\u00fd do n\u00e0o \u0111\u00f3 c\u00f3 m\u1ed9t s\u1ef1 bao v\u00e2y qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1, Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u1eabn c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 v\u1eadn chuy\u1ec3n h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a b\u1eb1ng \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng s\u1eaft \u0111\u1ebfn t\u1eadn Singapore hay nhi\u1ec1u c\u1ea3ng bi\u1ec3n kh\u00e1c, nh\u01b0 Malaysia ch\u1eb3ng h\u1ea1n, v\u00e0 nh\u01b0 v\u1eady Trung Qu\u1ed1c ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n tr\u00e1nh \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c v\u00f2ng v\u00e2y qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 \u1edf Bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u00f4ng.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

M\u1ed9t khi m\u1ea1ng l\u01b0\u1edbi k\u1ebft n\u1ed1i n\u00e0y \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ho\u00e0n th\u00e0nh, v\u1ecb th\u1ebf c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c t\u1ea1i \u0110\u00f4ng Nam \u00c1 s\u1ebd c\u00f2n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd h\u01a1n c\u1ea3 v\u1ec1 m\u1eb7t kinh t\u1ebf l\u1eabn ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb ?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Eric Mottet <\/em><\/strong>: Ch\u1eafc ch\u1eafn r\u1ed3i. Trung Qu\u1ed1c s\u1ebd c\u00f2n c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 h\u01a1n n\u1eefa c\u00e1c l\u1ee3i \u00edch kinh t\u1ebf, ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb, \u0111\u1ecba chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u1ea1i v\u00f9ng \u0110\u00f4ng Nam \u00c1, m\u1ed9t khi tuy\u1ebfn \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng s\u1eaft cao t\u1ed1c n\u00e0y s\u1ebd \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ho\u00e0n th\u00e0nh. T\u00f4i l\u01b0u \u00fd l\u00e0 hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng t\u1ea7u n\u00e0y ch\u1ec9 d\u1eebng l\u1ea1i \u1edf Vi\u00ean Ch\u0103n, ch\u01b0a b\u0103ng qua \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c s\u00f4ng M\u00ea K\u00f4ng. \u0110o\u00e0n t\u1ea7u n\u00e0y s\u1ebd c\u00f2n ph\u1ea3i \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c n\u1ed1i v\u1edbi h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng s\u1eaft c\u1ee7a Th\u00e1i Lan \u0111\u1ebfn t\u1eadn Bangkok kho\u1ea3ng t\u1eeb 2026 \u0111\u1ebfn 2030. Hi\u1ec7n v\u1eabn lu\u00f4n ch\u01b0a c\u00f3 d\u1ef1 \u00e1n n\u1ed1i Bangkok v\u1edbi Kuala Lumpur, v\u00e0 nh\u1ea5t l\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng c\u00f2n d\u1ef1 \u00e1n \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng t\u1ea7u cao t\u1ed1c Kuala Lumpur \u2013 Singapore, b\u1edfi v\u00ec Singapore \u0111\u00e3 quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh ng\u01b0ng d\u1ef1 \u00e1n n\u00e0y h\u1ed3i \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m nay. Th\u1ebf n\u00ean, vi\u1ec7c c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 th\u1ebf m\u1ea1nh \u0111\u00f3 v\u1eabn ch\u01b0a th\u1ec3 ho\u00e0n thi\u1ec7n v\u00e0 ch\u1ec9 s\u1ebd \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c h\u00ecnh th\u00e0nh d\u1ea7n theo th\u1eddi gian. Hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i, chuy\u1ebfn t\u1ea7u \u0111\u00f3 ch\u1ec9 d\u1eebng l\u1ea1i \u1edf Vi\u00eang Ch\u0103n v\u00e0 ch\u01b0a \u0111i xa h\u01a1n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

RFI Ti\u1ebfng Vi\u1ec7t xin c\u1ea3m \u01a1n nh\u00e0 nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u Eric Mottet, tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u1ea1i h\u1ecdc C\u00f4ng gi\u00e1o Lille<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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RFI: T\u1ea0P CH\u00cd TI\u00caU \u0110I\u1ec2M Ng\u00e0y 03\/12\/2021, L\u00e0o v\u00e0 Trung Qu\u1ed1c kh\u00e1nh th\u00e0nh tuy\u1ebfn \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng t\u1ea7u cao t\u1ed1c n\u1ed1i th\u00e0nh ph\u1ed1 C\u00f4n Minh, t\u1ec9nh V\u00e2n Nam, mi\u1ec1n nam Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u1edbi th\u1ee7 \u0111\u00f4 Vi\u00ean\u00a0Ch\u0103n, c\u1ee7a L\u00e0o. V\u1edbi tuy\u1ebfn \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng s\u1eaft n\u00e0y, L\u00e0o hy v\u1ecdng ph\u00e1 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u1ebf c\u00f4 l\u1eadp c\u1ee7a\u0111\u1ecdc ti\u1ebfp…<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":13003,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[7,8,9],"tags":[165,118,206,390,98],"class_list":["entry","author-ntviet","post-13000","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-binhluan","category-chinhtri-xahoi","category-kinhte","tag-binh-luan","tag-chinh-tri","tag-dia-chinh-tri","tag-dong-nam-a","tag-trung-cong"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13000","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=13000"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13000\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/13003"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=13000"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=13000"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=13000"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}