{"id":13331,"date":"2022-01-22T05:37:09","date_gmt":"2022-01-22T05:37:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/?p=13331"},"modified":"2022-01-22T05:37:10","modified_gmt":"2022-01-22T05:37:10","slug":"chien-tranh-nga-ukraine-co-the-dien-ra-theo-nhung-kich-ban-nao","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/?p=13331","title":{"rendered":"Chi\u1ebfn tranh Nga \u2013 Ukraine c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 di\u1ec5n ra theo nh\u1eefng k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n n\u00e0o?<\/strong>
The Economist<\/span>"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"\"<\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n

Ngu\u1ed3n:\u00a0\u201cAs war looms larger, what are Russia\u2019s military options in Ukraine?\u201d<\/span><\/strong>,\u00a0The Economist,\u00a0<\/em>21\/01\/2022.<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bi\u00ean d\u1ecbch:\u00a0<\/strong>Phan Nguy\u00ean<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cNh\u1eefng g\u00ec ch\u00fang ta \u0111ang \u0111\u1ed1i m\u1eb7t, c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ch\u1ec9 c\u00f2n v\u00e0i tu\u1ea7n n\u1eefa s\u1ebd x\u1ea3y ra, l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn tranh ngang h\u00e0ng \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean gi\u1eefa hai qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed9i h\u00e0ng \u0111\u1ea7u, \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p h\u00f3a, s\u1ed1 h\u00f3a, di\u1ec5n ra tr\u00ean l\u1ee5c \u0111\u1ecba n\u00e0y trong nhi\u1ec1u th\u1ebf h\u1ec7 qua.<\/strong>\u201d \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o v\u00e0o ng\u00e0y 19 th\u00e1ng 1 c\u1ee7a James Heappey, B\u1ed9 tr\u01b0\u1edfng Qu\u00e2n l\u1ef1c Anh, khi n\u00f3i v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c Nga \u0111ang t\u0103ng c\u01b0\u1eddng h\u01a1n 100.000 qu\u00e2n \u1edf bi\u00ean gi\u1edbi Ukraine. \u201cH\u00e0ng ch\u1ee5c ngh\u00ecn ng\u01b0\u1eddi c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ch\u1ebft.\u201d B\u1ed9 tr\u01b0\u1edfng qu\u1ed1c ph\u00f2ng Estonia l\u1eb7p l\u1ea1i l\u1eddi c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o. \u00d4ng n\u00f3i: \u201cM\u1ecdi th\u1ee9 \u0111ang ti\u1ebfn t\u1edbi xung \u0111\u1ed9t v\u0169 trang<\/strong>\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sergei Lavrov, ngo\u1ea1i tr\u01b0\u1edfng Nga, s\u1ebd g\u1eb7p Antony Blinken, ngo\u1ea1i tr\u01b0\u1edfng M\u1ef9, t\u1ea1i Geneva v\u00e0o ng\u00e0y 21 th\u00e1ng 1. Nh\u01b0ng tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng ngo\u1ea1i giao l\u00e0 r\u1ea5t m\u1edd m\u1ecbt. V\u00e0o ng\u00e0y 19 th\u00e1ng 1, Sergei Ryabkov, m\u1ed9t trong nh\u1eefng c\u1ea5p ph\u00f3 c\u1ee7a \u00f4ng Lavrov, n\u00f3i r\u1eb1ng ngay c\u1ea3 quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh \u0111\u00f3ng b\u0103ng trong 20 n\u0103m \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi vi\u1ec7c xem x\u00e9t t\u01b0 c\u00e1ch th\u00e0nh vi\u00ean NATO c\u1ee7a Ukraine c\u0169ng s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng l\u00e0m Nga h\u00e0i l\u00f2ng. Trong nh\u1eefng tu\u1ea7n g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y, Nga \u0111\u00e3 \u0111i\u1ec1u \u0111\u1ed9ng qu\u00e2n d\u1ef1 b\u1ecb v\u00e0 tri\u1ec3n khai binh l\u00ednh v\u00e0 t\u00ean l\u1eeda t\u1eeb t\u1eadn bi\u00ean gi\u1edbi Tri\u1ec1u Ti\u00ean \u0111\u1ebfn khu v\u1ef1c n\u00e0y.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

C\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc ph\u01b0\u01a1ng T\u00e2y \u0111ang chu\u1ea9n b\u1ecb cho \u0111i\u1ec1u t\u1ed3i t\u1ec7 nh\u1ea5t. H\u00f4m 17 th\u00e1ng 1, Anh b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u v\u1eadn chuy\u1ec3n h\u00e0ng ngh\u00ecn t\u00ean l\u1eeda ch\u1ed1ng t\u0103ng t\u1edbi Ukraine. V\u00e0i ng\u00e0y tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3, Th\u1ee5y \u0110i\u1ec3n \u0111\u00e3 cho xe b\u1ecdc th\u00e9p t\u1edbi \u0111\u1ea3o Gotland khi ba t\u00e0u \u0111\u1ed5 b\u1ed9 Nga \u0111i qua Bi\u1ec3n Baltic, kh\u00f4ng r\u00f5 \u0111i\u1ec3m \u0111\u1ebfn<\/strong>. C\u00f9ng ng\u00e0y, Ukraine b\u1ecb t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng m\u1ea1ng, trong \u0111\u00f3 c\u00e1c trang web c\u1ee7a ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 b\u1ecb \u0111\u1ed5i giao di\u1ec7n v\u00e0 m\u00e1y t\u00ednh c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c c\u01a1 quan nh\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc b\u1ecb kh\u00f3a. Trong khi \u0111\u00f3, Nh\u00e0 Tr\u1eafng cho bi\u1ebft h\u1ecd c\u00f3 th\u00f4ng tin t\u00ecnh b\u00e1o cho th\u1ea5y Nga \u0111ang l\u00ean k\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch d\u00e0n d\u1ef1ng c\u00e1c h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng ph\u00e1 ho\u1ea1i ch\u1ed1ng l\u1ea1i c\u00e1c l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u1ee7y nhi\u1ec7m c\u1ee7a Nga \u1edf mi\u1ec1n \u0111\u00f4ng Ukraine \u0111\u1ec3 l\u1ea5y c\u1edb t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

M\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng nh\u01b0 v\u1eady c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 c\u00f3 nhi\u1ec1u h\u00ecnh th\u1ee9c. M\u1ed9t kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng l\u00e0 Nga s\u1ebd ch\u1ec9 ti\u1ebfn h\u00e0nh m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch c\u00f4ng khai nh\u1eefng g\u00ec h\u1ecd \u0111\u00e3 l\u00e0m trong b\u1ea3y n\u0103m qua: \u0111\u01b0a qu\u00e2n v\u00e0o c\u00e1c \u201cn\u01b0\u1edbc c\u1ed9ng h\u00f2a\u201d Donetsk v\u00e0 Luhansk, c\u00e1c l\u00e3nh th\u1ed5 ly khai \u1edf v\u00f9ng Donbas, mi\u1ec1n \u0111\u00f4ng Ukraine, ho\u1eb7c \u0111\u1ec3 m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng ranh gi\u1edbi v\u1ec1 ph\u00eda t\u00e2y, ho\u1eb7c \u0111\u1ec3 c\u00f4ng nh\u1eadn ch\u00fang l\u00e0 c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia \u0111\u1ed9c l\u1eadp, nh\u01b0 h\u1ecd \u0111\u00e3 l\u00e0m sau khi Nga \u0111\u01b0a qu\u00e2n v\u00e0o Abkhazia v\u00e0 Nam Ossetia, hai khu v\u1ef1c c\u1ee7a Gruzia, h\u1ed3i n\u0103m 2008.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

M\u1ed9t k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n kh\u00e1c, \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u1ea3o lu\u1eadn r\u1ed9ng r\u00e3i trong nh\u1eefng n\u0103m g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y, l\u00e0 Nga c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u00ecm c\u00e1ch thi\u1ebft l\u1eadp m\u1ed9t h\u00e0nh lang \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng b\u1ed9 t\u1edbi Cr\u01b0m, b\u00e1n \u0111\u1ea3o m\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y s\u00e1p nh\u1eadp v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2014<\/strong>. \u0110i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00f3 bu\u1ed9c Nga ph\u1ea3i chi\u1ebfm m\u1ed9t d\u1ea3i \u0111\u1ea5t d\u00e0i 300 km d\u1ecdc theo Bi\u1ec3n Azov, bao g\u1ed3m c\u1ea3 h\u1ea3i c\u1ea3ng quan tr\u1ecdng c\u1ee7a Ukraine, c\u1ea3ng Mariupol, k\u00e9o d\u00e0i \u0111\u1ebfn s\u00f4ng Dnieper.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Vi\u1ec7c chi\u1ebfm nh\u1eefng v\u00f9ng \u0111\u1ea5t h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf nh\u01b0 v\u1eady s\u1ebd n\u1eb1m trong kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u1eadp h\u1ee3p \u1edf mi\u1ec1n t\u00e2y n\u01b0\u1edbc Nga. \u0110i\u1ec1u ch\u01b0a r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng l\u00e0 li\u1ec7u h\u1ecd c\u00f3 nh\u1eb1m ph\u1ee5c v\u1ee5 m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau chi\u1ebfn tranh c\u1ee7a \u0110i\u1ec7n Kremlin hay kh\u00f4ng. N\u1ebfu m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau c\u1ee7a Nga l\u00e0 khi\u1ebfn Ukraine ph\u1ea3i qu\u1ef3 g\u1ed1i v\u00e0 ng\u0103n n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y gia nh\u1eadp NATO, ho\u1eb7c th\u1eadm ch\u00ed ng\u0103n Ukraine h\u1ee3p t\u00e1c v\u1edbi li\u00ean minh n\u00e0y, th\u00ec vi\u1ec7c ch\u1ec9 c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 quy\u1ec1n ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi Donbas ho\u1eb7c chi\u1ebfm m\u1ed9t d\u1ea3i \u0111\u1ea5t nh\u1ecf \u1edf mi\u1ec1n nam Ukraine l\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ee7 \u0111\u1ec3 gi\u00fap \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau n\u00e0y.<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u0110\u1ec3 l\u00e0m nh\u01b0 v\u1eady, Nga ph\u1ea3i bu\u1ed9c ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 Kyiv ch\u1ecbu nh\u1eefng t\u1ed5n th\u1ea5t l\u1edbn, cho d\u00f9 b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch l\u00e0m suy y\u1ebfu c\u00e1c l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng v\u0169 trang Ukraine, ph\u00e1 h\u1ee7y c\u01a1 s\u1edf h\u1ea1 t\u1ea7ng quan tr\u1ecdng, hay l\u1eadt \u0111\u1ed5 ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y.<\/strong> M\u1ed9t l\u1ef1a ch\u1ecdn l\u00e0 Nga s\u1ebd s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng v\u0169 kh\u00ed m\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng c\u1ea7n tri\u1ec3n khai qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed9i tr\u00ean b\u1ed9, m\u00f4 ph\u1ecfng cu\u1ed9c kh\u00f4ng k\u00edch c\u1ee7a NATO ch\u1ed1ng l\u1ea1i Serbia n\u0103m 1999. C\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng b\u1eb1ng rocket v\u00e0 t\u00ean l\u1eeda s\u1ebd g\u00e2y t\u00e0n ph\u00e1 cho Ukraine. Nh\u1eefng v\u0169 kh\u00ed n\u00e0y c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c b\u1ed5 sung b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1c v\u0169 kh\u00ed ki\u1ec3u m\u1edbi h\u01a1n, ch\u1eb3ng h\u1ea1n nh\u01b0 c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng m\u1ea1ng nh\u1eafm v\u00e0o c\u01a1 s\u1edf h\u1ea1 t\u1ea7ng c\u1ee7a Ukraine gi\u1ed1ng nh\u01b0 nh\u1eefng cu\u1ed9c t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng l\u00e0m gi\u00e1n \u0111o\u1ea1n l\u01b0\u1edbi \u0111i\u1ec7n c\u1ee7a n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y h\u1ed3i n\u0103m 2015 v\u00e0 2016.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

V\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 l\u00e0 c\u00e1c chi\u1ebfn d\u1ecbch tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t nh\u01b0 v\u1eady c\u00f3 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng k\u00e9o d\u00e0i h\u01a1n v\u00e0 t\u1ecf ra kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n h\u01a1n so v\u1edbi suy ngh\u0129 ban \u0111\u1ea7u. N\u1ebfu chi\u1ebfn tranh x\u1ea3y ra, c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c kh\u00f4ng k\u00edch c\u00f3 nhi\u1ec1u kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng ch\u1ec9 l\u00e0 m\u00e0n d\u1ea1o \u0111\u1ea7u v\u00e0 chu\u1ea9n b\u1ecb cho m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn tr\u00ean b\u1ed9 h\u01a1n l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p thay th\u1ebf cho n\u00f3. David Shlapak, \u0111\u1ebfn t\u1eeb Rand Corporation, m\u1ed9t vi\u1ec7n nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch, n\u00f3i r\u1eb1ng: \u201cT\u00f4i kh\u00f4ng th\u1ea5y c\u00f3 nhi\u1ec1u tr\u1edf ng\u1ea1i c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ng\u0103n c\u1ea3n ng\u01b0\u1eddi Nga\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

M\u1ee5c \u0111\u00edch c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0<\/strong> l\u00e0m t\u1ed5n th\u01b0\u01a1ng Ukraine ch\u1ee9 kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i chi\u1ebfm \u0111\u00f3ng n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y.<\/strong> \u0110\u1ea5t n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y r\u1ed9ng l\u1edbn v\u00e0 \u0111\u00f4ng d\u00e2n ngang Afghanistan, v\u00e0 k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb n\u0103m 2014, h\u01a1n 300.000 ng\u01b0\u1eddi Ukraine \u0111\u00e3 t\u00edch l\u0169y \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 kinh nghi\u1ec7m qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1; h\u1ea7u h\u1ebft \u0111\u1ec1u s\u1edf h\u1eefu ho\u1eb7c c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn v\u0169 kh\u00ed. C\u00e1c quan ch\u1ee9c M\u1ef9 \u0111\u00e3 n\u00f3i v\u1edbi c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed3ng minh r\u1eb1ng c\u1ea3 L\u1ea7u N\u0103m G\u00f3c l\u1eabn CIA \u0111\u1ec1u s\u1ebd h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c kh\u00e1ng chi\u1ebfn c\u00f3 v\u0169 trang [ch\u1ed1ng l\u1ea1i qu\u00e2n Nga].<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Shlapak n\u00f3i, Nga c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 c\u00e2n nh\u1eafc \u0111i\u1ec1u m\u00e0 qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed9i M\u1ef9 g\u1ecdi l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t \u201ccu\u1ed9c t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng s\u1ea5m s\u00e9t\u201d (\u201cthunder run\u201d), t\u1ee9c m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng nhanh v\u00e0 th\u1ecdc s\u00e2u tr\u00ean m\u1ed9t m\u1eb7t tr\u1eadn h\u1eb9p, nh\u1eb1m g\u00e2y s\u1ed1c v\u00e0 l\u00e0m t\u00ea li\u1ec7t k\u1ebb th\u00f9, ch\u1ee9 kh\u00f4ng nh\u1eb1m chi\u1ebfm \u0111\u00f3ng l\u00e3nh th\u1ed5. V\u00e0 m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng nh\u01b0 v\u1eady kh\u00f4ng nh\u1ea5t thi\u1ebft ph\u1ea3i \u0111\u1ebfn t\u1eeb ph\u00eda \u0111\u00f4ng.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

V\u00e0o ng\u00e0y 17 th\u00e1ng Gi\u00eang, binh s\u0129 Nga, m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 \u0111\u1ebfn t\u1eeb v\u00f9ng Vi\u1ec5n \u0110\u00f4ng, b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u t\u1eadp trung v\u00e0o Belarus, b\u1ec1 ngo\u00e0i l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ec3 tham gia c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c di\u1ec5n t\u1eadp qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u00ean l\u1ecbch \u200b\u200bv\u00e0o th\u00e1ng Hai. Nga cho bi\u1ebft h\u1ecd c\u0169ng s\u1ebd g\u1eedi 12 m\u00e1y bay chi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ea5u v\u00e0 hai h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng ph\u00f2ng kh\u00f4ng S-400. M\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng t\u1eeb ph\u00eda b\u1eafc, th\u1ecdc qua bi\u00ean gi\u1edbi Belarus-Ukraine, s\u1ebd cho ph\u00e9p Nga ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn v\u00e0 bao v\u00e2y th\u1ee7 \u0111\u00f4 Ukraine t\u1eeb ph\u00eda t\u00e2y.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Shlapak \u0111\u1eb7t c\u00e2u h\u1ecfi: \u201cM\u1ed9t khi l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 v\u00e0o \u0111\u1ebfn m\u1ed9t khu v\u1ef1c m\u00e0 t\u1eeb \u0111\u00f3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ph\u00f3ng rocket v\u00e0o trung t\u00e2m th\u00e0nh ph\u1ed1 Kyiv, th\u00ec \u0111\u00f3 c\u00f3 ph\u1ea3i l\u00e0 t\u00ecnh hu\u1ed1ng m\u00e0 ng\u01b0\u1eddi Ukraine mu\u1ed1n s\u1ed1ng chung hay kh\u00f4ng?\u201d Ngay c\u1ea3 khi Volodymyr Zelensky, t\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng Ukraine, s\u1eb5n s\u00e0ng ch\u1ea5p nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ed1i \u0111\u1ea7u v\u1edbi cu\u1ed9c bao v\u00e2y, Nga c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u00e1nh c\u01b0\u1ee3c r\u1eb1ng ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 c\u1ee7a \u00f4ng s\u1ebd s\u1ee5p \u0111\u1ed5, v\u00e0 h\u1ecd c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng gi\u00e1n \u0111i\u1ec7p, l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t v\u00e0 c\u00e1c chi\u1ebfn d\u1ecbch tin gi\u1ea3 \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea9y nhanh qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh \u0111\u00f3.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Tuy nhi\u00ean, c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn tranh th\u01b0\u1eddng di\u1ec5n ra theo nh\u1eefng c\u00e1ch kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 \u0111o\u00e1n tr\u01b0\u1edbc. Nga \u0111\u00e3 kh\u00f4ng tham gia m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng quy m\u00f4 l\u1edbn n\u00e0o c\u00f3 s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng b\u1ed9 binh, thi\u1ebft gi\u00e1p v\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng qu\u00e2n k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb sau c\u00e1c tr\u1eadn chi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ec9nh cao th\u1eddi Chi\u1ebfn tranh th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi l\u1ea7n th\u1ee9 hai.<\/strong> C\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia b\u1ecb t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng c\u0169ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 d\u1ec5 d\u00e0ng \u0111\u1ee9ng v\u1eefng ho\u1eb7c s\u1ee5p \u0111\u1ed5. Ivan Timofeev \u0111\u1ebfn t\u1eeb H\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ed3ng C\u00e1c v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 Qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf Nga c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o v\u1ec1 m\u1ed9t \u201ccu\u1ed9c \u0111\u1ed1i \u0111\u1ea7u k\u00e9o d\u00e0i v\u00e0 ti\u00eau hao\u201d, l\u00e0m ch\u00ednh n\u01b0\u1edbc Nga c\u0169ng g\u1eb7p nhi\u1ec1u b\u1ea5t \u1ed5n.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ngay c\u1ea3 n\u1ebfu Nga gi\u00e0nh chi\u1ebfn th\u1eafng, h\u1ecd c\u0169ng s\u1ebd ph\u1ea3i tr\u1ea3 gi\u00e1 \u0111\u1eaft. Peter Zwack, m\u1ed9t v\u1ecb t\u01b0\u1edbng h\u1ed3i h\u01b0u v\u00e0 t\u1eebng l\u00e0 t\u00f9y vi\u00ean qu\u1ed1c ph\u00f2ng c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 t\u1ea1i Moscow th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m Nga x\u00e2m l\u01b0\u1ee3c Ukraine l\u1ea7n \u0111\u1ea7u h\u1ed3i n\u0103m 2014, n\u00f3i r\u1eb1ng \u201cNg\u01b0\u1eddi Ukraine s\u1ebd chi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ea5u v\u00e0 g\u00e2y nh\u1eefng t\u1ed5n th\u1ea5t l\u1edbn cho ng\u01b0\u1eddi Nga. \u0110\u00e2y s\u1ebd l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t nhi\u1ec7m v\u1ee5 kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n c\u1ee7a Nga, v\u00e0 v\u1ec1 c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n h\u1ecd ch\u1ec9 c\u00f3 m\u1ed9t m\u00ecnh<\/strong>\u201d. C\u00f9ng v\u1edbi m\u1ed1i \u0111e d\u1ecda b\u1ecb \u00e1p \u0111\u1eb7t c\u00e1c bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t n\u1eb7ng n\u1ec1 m\u00e0 M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed3ng minh ch\u00e2u \u00c2u \u0111ang chu\u1ea9n b\u1ecb, c\u00f9ng v\u1edbi s\u1ef1 v\u1eafng b\u00f3ng b\u1ea5t k\u1ef3 s\u1ef1 \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 n\u00e0o t\u1eeb ng\u01b0\u1eddi d\u00e2n trong n\u01b0\u1edbc cho m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c phi\u00eau l\u01b0u m\u1edbi, t\u1ea5t c\u1ea3 nh\u1eefng \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y, ngay c\u1ea3 b\u00e2y gi\u1edd, c\u0169ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 khi\u1ebfn Putin ph\u1ea3i t\u1ea1m d\u1eebng \u0111\u1ec3 suy ngh\u0129.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ngu\u1ed3n: Nghi\u00ean C\u1ee9u Qu\u1ed1c T\u1ebf<\/strong>
http:\/\/nghiencuuquocte.org\/2022\/01\/21\/chien-tranh-nga-ukraine-co-the-dien-ra-theo-nhung-kich-ban-nao\/#more-43551<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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Ngu\u1ed3n:\u00a0\u201cAs war looms larger, what are Russia\u2019s military options in Ukraine?\u201d,\u00a0The Economist,\u00a021\/01\/2022. Bi\u00ean d\u1ecbch:\u00a0Phan Nguy\u00ean \u201cNh\u1eefng g\u00ec ch\u00fang ta \u0111ang \u0111\u1ed1i m\u1eb7t, c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ch\u1ec9 c\u00f2n v\u00e0i tu\u1ea7n n\u1eefa s\u1ebd x\u1ea3y ra, l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn tranh ngang h\u00e0ng \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean gi\u1eefa hai qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed9i h\u00e0ng \u0111\u1ea7u, \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p\u0111\u1ecdc ti\u1ebfp…<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":12757,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[7,8,9],"tags":[165,118,119,387],"class_list":["entry","author-ntviet","post-13331","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-binhluan","category-chinhtri-xahoi","category-kinhte","tag-binh-luan","tag-chinh-tri","tag-hoa-ky","tag-nga-nato"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13331","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=13331"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13331\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/12757"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=13331"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=13331"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=13331"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}