{"id":13556,"date":"2022-02-25T22:07:41","date_gmt":"2022-02-25T22:07:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/?p=13556"},"modified":"2022-02-25T22:10:56","modified_gmt":"2022-02-25T22:10:56","slug":"dieu-gi-xay-ra-sau-khi-nga-thang-o-ukraine","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/?p=13556","title":{"rendered":"\u0110i\u1ec1u g\u00ec x\u1ea3y ra sau khi Nga th\u1eafng \u1edf Ukraine?<\/strong>
Liana Fix & Michael Kimmage<\/span>"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"Binh
Binh s\u0129 Ukraine canh g\u00e1c khu trung t\u00e2m Kyiv, 25\/2. Ngu\u1ed3n: VOA<\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n

Ngu\u1ed3n:<\/strong>\u00a0Liana Fix v\u00e0 Michael Kimmage, \u201cWhat if Russia Wins?\u201d<\/mark>,\u00a0Foreign Affairs<\/em>, 18\/02\/2022.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bi\u00ean d\u1ecbch:<\/strong>\u00a0Nguy\u1ec5n Th\u1ecb Kim Ph\u1ee5ng<\/p>\n\n\n\n

M\u1ed9t Ukraine do \u0110i\u1ec7n Kremlin ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t s\u1ebd thay \u0111\u1ed5i ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n ch\u00e2u \u00c2<\/mark><\/strong>u.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

M\u00f9a h\u00e8 n\u0103m 2015, khi Nga tham gia cu\u1ed9c n\u1ed9i chi\u1ebfn \u0111ang di\u1ec5n ra \u1edf Syria, h\u1ecd \u0111\u00e3 g\u00e2y ch\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ed9ng cho M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c. V\u00ec th\u1ea5t v\u1ecdng, T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng Barack Obama khi \u0111\u00f3 tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 r\u1eb1ng Syria s\u1ebd tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh m\u1ed9t \u201cv\u0169ng l\u1ea7y\u201d \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi Nga v\u00e0 T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng Vladimir Putin. Syria s\u1ebd l\u00e0 Vi\u1ec7t Nam c\u1ee7a Nga, hay Afghanistan c\u1ee7a Putin, <\/strong>m\u1ed9t sai l\u1ea7m \u0111\u00e1ng ti\u1ebfc m\u00e0 cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng s\u1ebd ph\u1ea3n l\u1ea1i l\u1ee3i \u00edch c\u1ee7a Nga.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nh\u01b0ng Syria \u0111\u00e3 kh\u00f4ng l\u00e0 v\u0169ng l\u1ea7y \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi Putin.<\/strong> Nga \u0111\u00e3 thay \u0111\u1ed5i c\u1ee5c di\u1ec7n cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn, c\u1ee9u T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng Syria Bashar al-Assad kh\u1ecfi th\u1ea5t b\u1ea1i nh\u00e3n ti\u1ec1n, v\u00e0 sau \u0111\u00f3 bi\u1ebfn l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 th\u00e0nh \u0111\u00f2n b\u1ea9y ngo\u1ea1i giao. H\u1ecd gi\u1eef cho chi ph\u00ed v\u00e0 th\u01b0\u01a1ng vong \u1edf m\u1ee9c ch\u1ea5p nh\u1eadn \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c, v\u00e0 gi\u1edd \u0111\u00e2y, Nga tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh ti\u1ebfng n\u00f3i kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 b\u1ecb b\u1ecf qua \u1edf Syria. Kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 m\u1ed9t d\u00e0n x\u1ebfp ngo\u1ea1i giao n\u00e0o. Thay v\u00e0o \u0111\u00f3, Moscow \u0111\u00e3 g\u1ea7y d\u1ef1ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u1ea7m \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng l\u1edbn h\u01a1n trong khu v\u1ef1c, tr\u1ea3i r\u1ed9ng t\u1eeb Israel \u0111\u1ebfn Libya, v\u00e0 t\u00ecm \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c trung th\u00e0nh \u2013 Assad \u2013 cho vi\u1ec7c ph\u00e1t huy s\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh c\u1ee7a Nga.<\/mark><\/strong> \u1ede Syria, \u0111i\u1ec1u m\u00e0 ch\u00ednh quy\u1ec1n Obama kh\u00f4ng l\u01b0\u1eddng tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u00e0 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng s\u1ef1 can thi\u1ec7p c\u1ee7a Nga s\u1ebd th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng.<\/mark><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

M\u00f9a \u0111\u00f4ng n\u0103m 2021\u201322, M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 ch\u00e2u \u00c2u m\u1ed9t l\u1ea7n n\u1eefa d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c can thi\u1ec7p qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 l\u1edbn c\u1ee7a Nga, l\u1ea7n n\u00e0y l\u00e0 \u1edf ch\u00ednh ch\u00e2u \u00c2u. V\u00e0 m\u1ed9t l\u1ea7n n\u1eefa, nhi\u1ec1u nh\u00e0 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch \u0111\u01b0a ra c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o v\u1ec1 nh\u1eefng h\u1eadu qu\u1ea3 th\u1ea3m kh\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi k\u1ebb x\u00e2m l\u01b0\u1ee3c. Ng\u00e0y 11\/02, Qu\u1ed1c v\u1ee5 khanh B\u1ed9 Ngo\u1ea1i giao Anh ph\u1ee5 tr\u00e1ch ch\u00e2u \u00c2u James Cleverly d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n r\u1eb1ng m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn quy m\u00f4 l\u1edbn h\u01a1n \u1edf Ukraine \u201cs\u1ebd tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh m\u1ed9t v\u0169ng l\u1ea7y\u201d cho ng\u01b0\u1eddi Nga. N\u1ebfu \u0111\u1eb7t v\u00e0o trong m\u1ed9t ph\u00e2n t\u00edch chi ph\u00ed-l\u1ee3i \u00edch, th\u00ec c\u00e1i gi\u00e1 c\u1ee7a m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn to\u00e0n di\u1ec7n \u1edf Ukraine s\u1ebd l\u00e0 r\u1ea5t cao \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi \u0110i\u1ec7n Kremlin, v\u00e0 s\u1ebd k\u00e9o theo \u0111\u1ed5 m\u00e1u \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3. M\u1ef9 \u01b0\u1edbc t\u00ednh s\u1ebd c\u00f3 kho\u1ea3ng 50.000 th\u01b0\u01a1ng vong d\u00e2n s\u1ef1. Song song v\u1edbi vi\u1ec7c m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 Putin b\u1ecb suy gi\u1ea3m trong gi\u1edbi tinh hoa Nga, nh\u1eefng c\u00e1 nh\u00e2n sau n\u00e0y s\u1ebd ph\u1ea3i h\u1ee9ng ch\u1ecbu c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng t\u1eeb ch\u00e2u \u00c2u, m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 g\u00e2y nguy hi\u1ec3m cho n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf Nga v\u00e0 khi\u1ebfn d\u01b0 lu\u1eadn xa l\u00e1nh n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y. \u0110\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi, n\u00f3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u01b0a qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed9i NATO \u0111\u1ebfn g\u1ea7n bi\u00ean gi\u1edbi c\u1ee7a Nga, bu\u1ed9c h\u1ecd ph\u1ea3i chi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ea5u v\u1edbi qu\u00e2n kh\u00e1ng chi\u1ebfn Ukraine trong nhi\u1ec1u n\u0103m t\u1edbi. Theo quan \u0111i\u1ec3m n\u00e0y, Nga s\u1ebd b\u1ecb m\u1eafc k\u1eb9t trong m\u1ed9t th\u1ea3m h\u1ecda do ch\u00ednh h\u1ecd t\u1ea1o ra.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"
Chi\u1ebfn xa Nga \u0111ang ti\u1ebfn v\u00e0o Ukraine<\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n

Tuy nhi\u00ean, ph\u00e2n t\u00edch chi ph\u00ed-l\u1ee3i \u00edch c\u1ee7a Putin d\u01b0\u1eddng nh\u01b0 l\u1ea1i \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 thay \u0111\u1ed5i hi\u1ec7n tr\u1ea1ng ch\u00e2u \u00c2u. Gi\u1edbi l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o Nga \u0111ang ch\u1ea5p nh\u1eadn nhi\u1ec1u r\u1ee7i ro h\u01a1n, v\u00e0 b\u00ean c\u1ea1nh nh\u1eefng v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb th\u01b0\u1eddng nh\u1eadt, Putin \u0111ang th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n m\u1ed9t s\u1ee9 m\u1ec7nh l\u1ecbch s\u1eed l\u00e0 c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 \u0111\u00f2n b\u1ea9y c\u1ee7a Nga \u1edf Ukraine<\/strong> (nh\u01b0 g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y \u00f4ng \u0111\u00e3 l\u00e0m \u1edf Belarus v\u00e0 Kazakhstan). V\u00e0 theo Moscow, m\u1ed9t chi\u1ebfn th\u1eafng \u1edf Ukraine c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 n\u1eb1m trong t\u1ea7m tay. T\u1ea5t nhi\u00ean, Nga c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ch\u1ec9 \u0111\u01a1n gi\u1ea3n k\u00e9o d\u00e0i cu\u1ed9c kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i m\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng ti\u1ebfn h\u00e0nh x\u00e2m l\u01b0\u1ee3c, ho\u1eb7c t\u00ecm ra m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 c\u00e1ch d\u1ec5 d\u00e0ng h\u01a1n \u0111\u1ec3 gi\u1ea3i t\u1ecfa c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng. Nh\u01b0ng n\u1ebfu t\u00ednh to\u00e1n c\u1ee7a \u0110i\u1ec7n Kremlin l\u00e0 \u0111\u00fang, nh\u01b0 k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 \u1edf Syria, th\u00ec M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 ch\u00e2u \u00c2u c\u0169ng n\u00ean chu\u1ea9n b\u1ecb cho m\u1ed9t t\u00ecnh hu\u1ed1ng kh\u00f4ng-ph\u1ea3i-v\u0169ng-l\u1ea7y. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

V\u1eady \u0111i\u1ec1u g\u00ec s\u1ebd x\u1ea3y ra n\u1ebfu Nga th\u1eafng \u1edf Ukraine?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

N\u1ebfu Nga gi\u00e0nh \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c quy\u1ec1n ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t Ukraine ho\u1eb7c t\u00ecm c\u00e1ch g\u00e2y m\u1ea5t \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh tr\u00ean quy m\u00f4 l\u1edbn, m\u1ed9t k\u1ef7 nguy\u00ean m\u1edbi s\u1ebd m\u1edf ra cho M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 ch\u00e2u \u00c2u.<\/strong> C\u00e1c nh\u00e0 l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 ch\u00e2u \u00c2u s\u1ebd ph\u1ea3i \u0111\u1ed1i m\u1eb7t v\u1edbi th\u00e1ch th\u1ee9c k\u00e9p trong vi\u1ec7c c\u00e2n nh\u1eafc l\u1ea1i v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 an ninh ch\u00e2u \u00c2u v\u00e0 c\u1ed1 g\u1eafng \u0111\u1ec3 kh\u00f4ng b\u1ecb cu\u1ed1n v\u00e0o m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn l\u1edbn h\u01a1n v\u1edbi Nga. T\u1ea5t c\u1ea3 c\u00e1c b\u00ean s\u1ebd ph\u1ea3i xem x\u00e9t ti\u1ec1m n\u0103ng s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng v\u0169 kh\u00ed h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n trong cu\u1ed9c \u0111\u1ed1i \u0111\u1ea7u tr\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp. Hai tr\u00e1ch nhi\u1ec7m n\u00e0y \u2013 m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd b\u1ea3o v\u1ec7 h\u00f2a b\u00ecnh ch\u00e2u \u00c2u v\u00e0 th\u1eadn tr\u1ecdng tr\u00e1nh leo thang qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 v\u1edbi Nga \u2013 s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng nh\u1ea5t thi\u1ebft ph\u1ea3i t\u01b0\u01a1ng th\u00edch v\u1edbi nhau. M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed3ng minh c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 s\u1ebd nh\u1eadn ra m\u00ecnh ch\u01b0a \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c chu\u1ea9n b\u1ecb k\u1ef9 l\u01b0\u1ee1ng cho nhi\u1ec7m v\u1ee5 thi\u1ebft l\u1eadp m\u1ed9t tr\u1eadt t\u1ef1 an ninh m\u1edbi \u1edf ch\u00e2u \u00c2u, do h\u1eadu qu\u1ea3 t\u1eeb c\u00e1c h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 c\u1ee7a Nga \u1edf Ukraine.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nhi\u1ec1u c\u00e1ch \u0111\u1ec3 th\u1eafng<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u0110\u1ed1i v\u1edbi Nga, chi\u1ebfn th\u1eafng \u1edf Ukraine c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n d\u01b0\u1edbi nhi\u1ec1u h\u00ecnh th\u1ee9c kh\u00e1c nhau. Nh\u01b0 \u1edf Syria, chi\u1ebfn th\u1eafng kh\u00f4ng nh\u1ea5t thi\u1ebft ph\u1ea3i d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn m\u1ed9t d\u00e0n x\u1ebfp b\u1ec1n v\u1eefng. N\u00f3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 li\u00ean quan \u0111\u1ebfn vi\u1ec7c th\u00e0nh l\u1eadp m\u1ed9t ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 b\u00f9 nh\u00ecn \u1edf Kiev, ho\u1eb7c m\u1ed9t v\u00f9ng n\u00e0o \u0111\u00f3 c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ea5t n\u01b0\u1edbc. Ngo\u00e0i ra, vi\u1ec7c qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed9i Ukraine b\u1ecb \u0111\u00e1nh b\u1ea1i v\u00e0 \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n \u0111\u1ea7u h\u00e0ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 bi\u1ebfn Ukraine th\u00e0nh m\u1ed9t qu\u1ed1c gia th\u1ea5t b\u1ea1i. Nga c\u0169ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng tr\u00ean m\u1ea1ng t\u00e0n kh\u1ed1c v\u00e0 c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 th\u00f4ng tin sai l\u1ec7ch, \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 b\u1edfi \u0111e d\u1ecda v\u0169 l\u1ef1c, \u0111\u1ec3 l\u00e0m t\u00ea li\u1ec7t Ukraine v\u00e0 d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn thay \u0111\u1ed5i ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9. D\u00f9 k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n n\u00e0o trong s\u1ed1 n\u00e0y x\u1ea3y ra, Ukraine c\u0169ng s\u1ebd b\u1ecb t\u00e1ch r\u1eddi kh\u1ecfi ph\u01b0\u01a1ng T\u00e2y m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

N\u1ebfu Nga \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00e1c m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh \u1edf Ukraine b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1c bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1, th\u00ec ch\u00e2u \u00c2u s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng c\u00f2n nh\u01b0 tr\u01b0\u1edbc chi\u1ebfn tranh. Kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ea7u c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 \u1edf ch\u00e2u \u00c2u b\u1ecb suy gi\u1ea3m, m\u00e0 b\u1ea5t k\u1ef3 suy ngh\u0129a n\u00e0o, r\u1eb1ng Li\u00ean minh ch\u00e2u \u00c2u ho\u1eb7c NATO c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea3m b\u1ea3o h\u00f2a b\u00ecnh cho to\u00e0n l\u1ee5c \u0111\u1ecba n\u00e0y, c\u0169ng s\u1ebd tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh d\u0129 v\u00e3ng.<\/mark><\/strong> Thay v\u00e0o \u0111\u00f3, an ninh \u1edf ch\u00e2u \u00c2u s\u1ebd ph\u1ea3i gi\u1ea3m xu\u1ed1ng, ch\u1ec9 c\u00f2n b\u1ea3o v\u1ec7 c\u00e1c th\u00e0nh vi\u00ean c\u1ed1t l\u00f5i c\u1ee7a EU v\u00e0 NATO. T\u1ea5t c\u1ea3 nh\u1eefng ai \u0111\u1ee9ng ngo\u00e0i v\u00f2ng tr\u00f2n \u0111\u00f3 s\u1ebd ph\u1ea3i t\u1ef1 l\u1ef1c c\u00e1nh sinh, ngo\u1ea1i tr\u1eeb Ph\u1ea7n Lan v\u00e0 Th\u1ee5y \u0110i\u1ec3n. \u0110\u00e2y kh\u00f4ng nh\u1ea5t thi\u1ebft l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh ch\u1ee7 \u0111\u1ed9ng ch\u1ea5m d\u1ee9t c\u00e1c ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng ho\u1eb7c li\u00ean k\u1ebft; nh\u01b0ng n\u00f3 s\u1ebd l\u00e0 ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch tr\u00ean th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf. V\u1edbi s\u1ef1 bao v\u00e2y c\u1ee7a Nga, EU v\u00e0 NATO s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng c\u00f2n \u0111\u1ee7 n\u0103ng l\u1ef1c \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u01b0a ra c\u00e1c ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch \u0111\u1ea7y tham v\u1ecdng v\u01b0\u1ee3t ra ngo\u00e0i bi\u00ean gi\u1edbi c\u1ee7a ch\u00ednh h\u1ecd.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 ch\u00e2u \u00c2u c\u0169ng s\u1ebd \u1edf trong t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng chi\u1ebfn tranh kinh t\u1ebf th\u01b0\u1eddng tr\u1ef1c v\u1edbi Nga.<\/mark> Ph\u01b0\u01a1ng T\u00e2y s\u1ebd t\u00ecm c\u00e1ch th\u1ef1c thi c\u00e1c bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t s\u00e2u r\u1ed9ng, v\u00e0 Nga c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng s\u1ebd \u1ee9ng ph\u00f3 b\u1eb1ng t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng m\u1ea1ng v\u00e0 \u2018t\u1ed1ng ti\u1ec1n\u2019 n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng, v\u00ec l\u00fd do b\u1ea5t c\u00e2n x\u1ee9ng v\u1ec1 kinh t\u1ebf. Trung Qu\u1ed1c c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ee9ng v\u1ec1 ph\u00eda Nga trong cu\u1ed9c \u0103n mi\u1ebfng tr\u1ea3 mi\u1ebfng v\u1ec1 kinh t\u1ebf n\u00e0y. <\/mark><\/strong>Trong khi \u0111\u00f3, ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb trong n\u01b0\u1edbc \u1edf c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia ch\u00e2u \u00c2u s\u1ebd tr\u1edf n\u00ean gi\u1ed1ng nh\u01b0 m\u1ed9t \u2018v\u00e1n b\u00e0i v\u0129 \u0111\u1ea1i\u2019 c\u1ee7a th\u1ebf k\u1ef7 21, trong \u0111\u00f3 Nga s\u1ebd soi x\u00e9t ch\u00e2u \u00c2u \u0111\u1ec3 t\u00ecm ki\u1ebfm b\u1ea5t k\u1ef3 s\u1ef1 \u0111\u1ed5 v\u1ee1 n\u00e0o trong cam k\u1ebft c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd v\u1edbi NATO v\u00e0 v\u1edbi m\u1ed1i quan h\u1ec7 xuy\u00ean \u0110\u1ea1i T\u00e2y D\u01b0\u01a1ng. Th\u00f4ng qua c\u00e1c ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ph\u00e1p, c\u1ea3 t\u1ed1t l\u1eabn x\u1ea5u, Nga s\u1ebd t\u1eadn d\u1ee5ng b\u1ea5t c\u1ee9 c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i n\u00e0o \u0111\u1ec3 t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u1ebfn d\u01b0 lu\u1eadn v\u00e0 c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c b\u1ea7u c\u1eed \u1edf c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc ch\u00e2u \u00c2u. Nga s\u1ebd l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t s\u1ef1 hi\u1ec7n di\u1ec7n v\u00f4 ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 \u2013 \u0111\u00f4i khi l\u00e0 th\u1eadt, \u0111\u00f4i khi l\u00e0 t\u01b0\u1edfng t\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u2013 trong m\u1ecdi tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p b\u1ea5t \u1ed5n ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb \u1edf ch\u00e2u \u00c2u.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n

Nh\u1eefng so s\u00e1nh v\u1edbi th\u1eddi Chi\u1ebfn tranh L\u1ea1nh s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng h\u1eefu \u00edch trong m\u1ed9t th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi n\u01a1i Ukraine b\u1ecb \u201cNga h\u00f3a\u201d. <\/strong>Bi\u00ean gi\u1edbi th\u1eddi Chi\u1ebfn tranh L\u1ea1nh \u1edf ch\u00e2u \u00c2u d\u00f9 c\u00f3 nh\u1eefng \u0111i\u1ec3m b\u00f9ng ph\u00e1t, nh\u01b0ng \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh theo c\u00e1ch m\u00e0 c\u1ea3 hai b\u00ean ch\u1ea5p nh\u1eadn \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c trong Hi\u1ec7p \u0111\u1ecbnh Helsinki n\u0103m 1975. Ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i, quy\u1ec1n th\u1ed1ng tr\u1ecb c\u1ee7a Nga \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi Ukraine s\u1ebd m\u1edf ra m\u1ed9t v\u00f9ng b\u1ea5t \u1ed5n v\u00e0 m\u1ea5t an ninh r\u1ed9ng l\u1edbn, t\u1eeb Estonia, Ba Lan \u0111\u1ebfn Romania, Th\u1ed5 Nh\u0129 K\u1ef3. C\u00e0ng k\u00e9o d\u00e0i, s\u1ef1 hi\u1ec7n di\u1ec7n c\u1ee7a Nga \u1edf Ukraine s\u1ebd c\u00e0ng b\u1ecb c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc l\u00e1ng gi\u1ec1ng c\u1ee7a Ukraine coi l\u00e0 h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng khi\u00eau kh\u00edch v\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 ch\u1ea5p nh\u1eadn \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c, v\u00e0 th\u1eadm ch\u00ed v\u1edbi m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 n\u01b0\u1edbc, \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 m\u1ed1i \u0111e d\u1ecda \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi an ninh c\u1ee7a ch\u00ednh h\u1ecd. <\/strong>Gi\u1eefa \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c thay \u0111\u1ed5i n\u00e0y, tr\u1eadt t\u1ef1 \u1edf ch\u00e2u \u00c2u s\u1ebd ph\u1ea3i \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c h\u00ecnh th\u00e0nh ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu v\u1ec1 m\u1eb7t qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 \u2013 v\u00ec s\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 c\u1ee7a Nga m\u1ea1nh h\u01a1n s\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh kinh t\u1ebf, n\u00ean tr\u1eadt t\u1ef1 n\u00e0y s\u1ebd \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0110i\u1ec7n Kremlin quan t\u00e2m \u2013 g\u1ea1t sang b\u00ean l\u1ec1 c\u00e1c th\u1ec3 ch\u1ebf phi qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 nh\u01b0 Li\u00ean minh ch\u00e2u \u00c2u.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nga s\u1edf h\u1eefu qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed9i th\u01b0\u1eddng tr\u1ef1c l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t ch\u00e2u \u00c2u, m\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 s\u1eb5n s\u00e0ng s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng s\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh \u0111\u00f3. Ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch qu\u1ed1c ph\u00f2ng c\u1ee7a EU \u2013 tr\u00e1i ng\u01b0\u1ee3c v\u1edbi NATO \u2013 c\u00f2n l\u00e2u m\u1edbi c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 cung c\u1ea5p an ninh cho c\u00e1c th\u00e0nh vi\u00ean c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh. Do \u0111\u00f3, s\u1ef1 tr\u1ea5n an qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi c\u00e1c th\u00e0nh vi\u00ean ph\u00eda \u0111\u00f4ng c\u1ee7a EU, s\u1ebd l\u00e0 ch\u00eca kh\u00f3a. \u0110\u1ed1i ph\u00f3 v\u1edbi m\u1ed9t n\u01b0\u1edbc Nga theo ch\u1ee7 ngh\u0129a ph\u1ee5c th\u00f9 b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1c bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t, v\u00e0 c\u00e1c lu\u1eadn \u0111i\u1ec7u v\u1ec1 m\u1ed9t tr\u1eadt t\u1ef1 qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean lu\u1eadt l\u1ec7, s\u1ebd l\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ee7.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u0110\u00f4ng \u00c2u g\u1eb7p nguy hi\u1ec3m<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Trong tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p Nga th\u1eafng \u1edf Ukraine, v\u1ecb th\u1ebf c\u1ee7a \u0110\u1ee9c \u1edf ch\u00e2u \u00c2u s\u1ebd b\u1ecb th\u1eed th\u00e1ch nghi\u00eam tr\u1ecdng.<\/mark><\/strong> \u0110\u1ee9c l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t c\u01b0\u1eddng qu\u1ed1c qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean b\u1ea3n s\u1eafc ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb th\u1eddi h\u1eadu chi\u1ebfn l\u00e0 t\u1eeb ch\u1ed1i tham chi\u1ebfn. V\u00e0nh \u0111ai b\u1ea1n b\u00e8 bao quanh n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t l\u00e0 \u1edf ph\u00eda \u0111\u00f4ng v\u1edbi Ba Lan v\u00e0 c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc Baltic, c\u00f3 nguy c\u01a1 b\u1ecb Nga g\u00e2y b\u1ea5t \u1ed5n. Ph\u00e1p v\u00e0 Anh s\u1ebd \u0111\u1ea3m nh\u1eadn vai tr\u00f2 h\u00e0ng \u0111\u1ea7u trong c\u00e1c v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 ch\u00e2u \u00c2u, nh\u1edd l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ed1i m\u1ea1nh v\u00e0 truy\u1ec1n th\u1ed1ng can thi\u1ec7p qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 l\u00e2u \u0111\u1eddi c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd.<\/strong> Tuy nhi\u00ean, nh\u00e2n t\u1ed1 quan tr\u1ecdng \u1edf ch\u00e2u \u00c2u v\u1eabn l\u00e0 M\u1ef9. NATO c\u0169ng nh\u01b0 c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia \u0111ang lo l\u1eafng v\u00e0 hoang mang \u1edf ph\u00eda \u0111\u00f4ng ch\u00e2u \u00c2u \u2013 c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia ti\u1ec1n tuy\u1ebfn n\u1eb1m d\u1ecdc theo m\u1eb7t tr\u1eadn ti\u1ebfp gi\u00e1p v\u1edbi Nga, hi\u1ec7n r\u1ea5t r\u1ed9ng l\u1edbn v\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh, bao g\u1ed3m Belarus v\u00e0 c\u00e1c v\u00f9ng do Nga ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t \u1edf Ukraine \u2013 v\u1eabn s\u1ebd ph\u1ee5 thu\u1ed9c v\u00e0o s\u1ef1 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

C\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia th\u00e0nh vi\u00ean ph\u00eda \u0111\u00f4ng c\u1ee7a EU, bao g\u1ed3m Estonia, Latvia, Litva, Ba Lan v\u00e0 Romania, nhi\u1ec1u kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng s\u1ebd \u0111\u1ec3 m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 l\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed9i NATO th\u01b0\u1eddng tr\u00fa tr\u00ean \u0111\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd.<\/strong> Y\u00eau c\u1ea7u gia nh\u1eadp NATO v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea3m b\u1ea3o th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n\u00a0\u0110i\u1ec1u 5\u00a0t\u1eeb Ph\u1ea7n Lan v\u00e0 Th\u1ee5y \u0110i\u1ec3n s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 b\u1ecb t\u1eeb ch\u1ed1i. \u1ede Ukraine, c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc EU v\u00e0 NATO s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng bao gi\u1edd c\u00f4ng nh\u1eadn m\u1ed9t ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9 m\u1edbi th\u00e2n Nga do Moscow t\u1ea1o ra. Nh\u01b0ng h\u1ecd s\u1ebd ph\u1ea3i \u0111\u1ed1i m\u1eb7t v\u1edbi th\u00e1ch th\u1ee9c t\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1 nh\u01b0 \u1edf Belarus: \u00e1p d\u1ee5ng c\u00e1c bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t m\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t d\u00e2n th\u01b0\u1eddng, v\u00e0 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 nh\u1eefng ng\u01b0\u1eddi c\u00f3 nhu c\u1ea7u m\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn v\u1edbi h\u1ecd. M\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 th\u00e0nh vi\u00ean NATO s\u1ebd th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c n\u1ed5i d\u1eady \u1edf Ukraine, c\u00f2n Nga s\u1ebd \u0111\u00e1p tr\u1ea3 b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch \u0111e d\u1ecda c\u00e1c th\u00e0nh vi\u00ean NATO.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

T\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n c\u1ee7a Ukraine s\u1ebd r\u1ea5t nghi\u00eam tr\u1ecdng. D\u00f2ng ng\u01b0\u1eddi t\u1ecb n\u1ea1n s\u1ebd ch\u1ea1y tr\u1ed1n theo nhi\u1ec1u h\u01b0\u1edbng, c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00ean t\u1edbi h\u00e0ng tri\u1ec7u ng\u01b0\u1eddi.<\/strong> V\u00e0 nh\u1eefng b\u1ed9 ph\u1eadn trong qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed9i Ukraine kh\u00f4ng tr\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp b\u1ecb \u0111\u00e1nh b\u1ea1i s\u1ebd ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c chi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ea5u, t\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1 nh\u01b0 cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn tranh gi\u1eefa c\u00e1c phe ph\u00e1i v\u1ed1n x\u00e9 n\u00e1t to\u00e0n b\u1ed9 khu v\u1ef1c ch\u00e2u \u00c2u trong v\u00e0 sau Th\u1ebf chi\u1ebfn 2.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

T\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng leo thang th\u01b0\u1eddng tr\u1ef1c gi\u1eefa Nga v\u00e0 ch\u00e2u \u00c2u c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 v\u1eabn \u201cl\u1ea1nh\u201d t\u1eeb g\u00f3c \u0111\u1ed9 qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1. Tuy nhi\u00ean, chi\u1ebfn tranh kinh t\u1ebf c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 s\u1ebd n\u00f3ng.<\/mark><\/strong> C\u00e1c bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi Nga v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2014, li\u00ean quan \u0111\u1ebfn ngo\u1ea1i giao ch\u00ednh th\u1ee9c (th\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c g\u1ecdi l\u00e0 qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh \u201cMinsk,\u201d \u0111\u1eb7t theo t\u00ean th\u00e0nh ph\u1ed1 n\u01a1i t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n), l\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng qu\u00e1 h\u00e0 kh\u1eafc. Ch\u00fang th\u1eadm ch\u00ed c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea3o ng\u01b0\u1ee3c v\u00e0 c\u00f3 \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n. Sau khi Nga x\u00e2m l\u01b0\u1ee3c Ukraine, c\u00e1c bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t m\u1edbi \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng v\u00e0 chuy\u1ec3n giao c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 s\u1ebd c\u00f3 \u00fd ngh\u0129a quan tr\u1ecdng v\u00e0 l\u00e2u d\u00e0i. Theo ch\u00ednh quy\u1ec1n M\u1ef9, ch\u00fang s\u1ebd \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u01b0a ra sau khi ngo\u1ea1i giao th\u1ea5t b\u1ea1i, v\u00e0 s\u1ebd b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u \u1edf \u201c\u0111\u1ec9nh thang.\u201d \u0110\u00e1p l\u1ea1i, Nga s\u1ebd tr\u1ea3 \u0111\u0169a, r\u1ea5t c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 trong l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c an ninh m\u1ea1ng c\u0169ng nh\u01b0 n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng. Moscow s\u1ebd h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf vi\u1ec7c ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn c\u00e1c m\u1eb7t h\u00e0ng quan tr\u1ecdng nh\u01b0 titan, m\u00e0 Nga l\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u l\u1edbn th\u1ee9 hai th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi.<\/strong> Cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn ti\u00eau hao n\u00e0y s\u1ebd th\u1eed th\u00e1ch c\u1ea3 hai b\u00ean. Nga s\u1ebd tr\u1edf n\u00ean t\u00e0n nh\u1eabn \u0111\u1ec3 c\u1ed1 g\u1eafng khi\u1ebfn m\u1ed9t, ho\u1eb7c m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1, qu\u1ed1c gia ch\u00e2u \u00c2u r\u00fat kh\u1ecfi xung \u0111\u1ed9t kinh t\u1ebf b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch g\u1eafn s\u1ef1 n\u1edbi l\u1ecfng c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng v\u1edbi l\u1ee3i \u00edch c\u00e1 nh\u00e2n c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y, do \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0m suy y\u1ebfu s\u1ef1 \u0111\u1ed3ng thu\u1eadn trong EU v\u00e0 NATO.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

S\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh c\u1ee7a ch\u00e2u \u00c2u l\u00e0 \u0111\u00f2n b\u1ea9y kinh t\u1ebf.<\/strong> L\u1ee3i th\u1ebf c\u1ee7a Nga s\u1ebd l\u00e0 b\u1ea5t k\u1ef3 ngu\u1ed3n g\u1ed1c g\u00e2y chia r\u1ebd ho\u1eb7c gi\u00e1n \u0111o\u1ea1n trong n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0o \u1edf ch\u00e2u \u00c2u, ho\u1eb7c \u1edf c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c xuy\u00ean \u0110\u1ea1i T\u00e2y D\u01b0\u01a1ng c\u1ee7a ch\u00e2u \u00c2u. L\u00fac \u1ea5y, Nga s\u1ebd ch\u1ee7 \u0111\u1ed9ng ch\u1edbp th\u1eddi c\u01a1. N\u1ebfu m\u1ed9t phong tr\u00e0o ho\u1eb7c \u1ee9ng vi\u00ean th\u00e2n Nga xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n, \u1ee9ng vi\u00ean \u0111\u00f3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c khuy\u1ebfn kh\u00edch tr\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp ho\u1eb7c gi\u00e1n ti\u1ebfp. N\u1ebfu m\u1ed9t \u0111i\u1ec3m y\u1ebfu n\u00e0o \u0111\u00f3 v\u1ec1 kinh t\u1ebf ho\u1eb7c ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb l\u00e0m gi\u1ea3m hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch \u0111\u1ed1i ngo\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed3ng minh, th\u00ec \u0111\u00f3 s\u1ebd l\u00e0 v\u0169 kh\u00ed cho c\u00e1c n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c tuy\u00ean truy\u1ec1n v\u00e0 ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng gi\u00e1n \u0111i\u1ec7p c\u1ee7a Nga.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ph\u1ea7n l\u1edbn nh\u1eefng \u0111i\u1ec1u trong s\u1ed1 n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 x\u1ea3y ra. Tuy nhi\u00ean, m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn \u1edf Ukraine s\u1ebd l\u00e0m gia t\u0103ng r\u1ee7i ro. Nga s\u1ebd s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng nhi\u1ec1u ngu\u1ed3n l\u1ef1c h\u01a1n v\u00e0 s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng ng\u1ea7n ng\u1ea1i l\u1ef1a ch\u1ecdn c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh. D\u00f2ng ng\u01b0\u1eddi t\u1ecb n\u1ea1n \u1ed3 \u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed5 v\u1ec1 ch\u00e2u \u00c2u s\u1ebd l\u00e0m tr\u1ea7m tr\u1ecdng th\u00eam ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch t\u1ecb n\u1ea1n ch\u01b0a \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c gi\u1ea3i quy\u1ebft c\u1ee7a EU, v\u00e0 tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh m\u1ea3nh \u0111\u1ea5t m\u00e0u m\u1ee1 cho nh\u1eefng ng\u01b0\u1eddi theo ch\u1ee7 ngh\u0129a d\u00e2n t\u00fay<\/strong>. \u2018Ch\u00e9n th\u00e1nh\u2019 trong nh\u1eefng cu\u1ed9c \u0111\u1ea5u tr\u00ed th\u00f4ng tin, ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb, v\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng gian m\u1ea1ng n\u00e0y s\u1ebd l\u00e0 cu\u1ed9c b\u1ea7u c\u1eed t\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng n\u0103m 2024 \u1edf M\u1ef9. T\u01b0\u01a1ng lai c\u1ee7a ch\u00e2u \u00c2u s\u1ebd ph\u1ee5 thu\u1ed9c v\u00e0o cu\u1ed9c b\u1ea7u c\u1eed n\u00e0y. Vi\u1ec7c th\u1eafng c\u1eed c\u1ee7a Donald Trump ho\u1eb7c m\u1ed9t \u1ee9ng vi\u00ean gi\u1ed1ng Trump c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 s\u1ebd ph\u00e1 h\u1ee7y m\u1ed1i quan h\u1ec7 xuy\u00ean \u0110\u1ea1i T\u00e2y D\u01b0\u01a1ng v\u00e0o gi\u1edd kh\u1eafc hi\u1ec3m nguy c\u1ee7a ch\u00e2u \u00c2u, \u0111\u1eb7t ra c\u00e2u h\u1ecfi v\u1ec1 v\u1ecb tr\u00ed c\u1ee7a NATO v\u00e0 c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ea3m b\u1ea3o an ninh c\u1ee7a kh\u1ed1i n\u00e0y \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi ch\u00e2u \u00c2u.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

M\u1ed9t NATO h\u01b0\u1edbng v\u00e0o trong<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u0110\u1ed1i v\u1edbi M\u1ef9, m\u1ed9t chi\u1ebfn th\u1eafng c\u1ee7a Nga s\u1ebd c\u00f3 \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng s\u00e2u s\u1eafc \u0111\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ea1i chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1ee7a n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y \u1edf ch\u00e2u \u00c2u, ch\u00e2u \u00c1 v\u00e0 Trung \u0110\u00f4ng. Th\u1ee9 nh\u1ea5t, th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng c\u1ee7a Nga \u1edf Ukraine s\u1ebd \u0111\u00f2i h\u1ecfi Washington ph\u1ea3i xoay tr\u1ee5c sang ch\u00e2u \u00c2u.<\/mark> Kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 s\u1ef1 m\u01a1 h\u1ed3 n\u00e0o v\u1ec1 \u0110i\u1ec1u 5 c\u1ee7a Hi\u1ec7p \u01b0\u1edbc NATO (nh\u1eefng g\u00ec t\u1eebng tr\u1ea3i qua d\u01b0\u1edbi th\u1eddi Trump) \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c cho ph\u00e9p. M\u1ed9t cam k\u1ebft m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi an ninh ch\u00e2u \u00c2u l\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec1u duy nh\u1ea5t c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ng\u0103n c\u1ea3n Nga chia r\u1ebd c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc ch\u00e2u \u00c2u<\/strong>. Kh\u00f3 m\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh c\u00e1c \u01b0u ti\u00ean c\u1ea1nh tranh l\u1eabn nhau, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t l\u00e0 nh\u1eefng \u01b0u ti\u00ean c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 trong m\u1ed1i quan h\u1ec7 ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng x\u1ea5u \u0111i v\u1edbi Trung Qu\u1ed1c. Nh\u01b0ng c\u00e1c l\u1ee3i \u00edch \u0111ang b\u1ecb \u0111e d\u1ecda v\u1eabn l\u00e0 l\u1ee3i \u00edch c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n. M\u1ef9 c\u00f3 l\u1ee3i \u00edch th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i r\u1ea5t l\u1edbn \u1edf ch\u00e2u \u00c2u. EU v\u00e0 M\u1ef9 l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a nhau, v\u1edbi th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a v\u00e0 d\u1ecbch v\u1ee5 \u0111\u1ea1t t\u1ed5ng tr\u1ecb gi\u00e1 1,1 ngh\u00ecn t\u1ef7 \u0111\u00f4 la v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2019. M\u1ed9t ch\u00e2u \u00c2u h\u00f2a b\u00ecnh, ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng t\u1ed1t s\u1ebd t\u1ea1o \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n cho ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch \u0111\u1ed1i ngo\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 \u2013 v\u1ec1 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed5i kh\u00ed h\u1eadu, v\u1ec1 kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ed5 bi\u1ebfn v\u0169 kh\u00ed h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n, y t\u1ebf c\u00f4ng to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u v\u00e0 qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng v\u1edbi Trung Qu\u1ed1c ho\u1eb7c Nga. N\u1ebfu ch\u00e2u \u00c2u m\u1ea5t \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh, th\u00ec M\u1ef9 s\u1ebd \u0111\u01a1n \u0111\u1ed9c h\u01a1n nhi\u1ec1u tr\u00ean tr\u01b0\u1eddng qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

NATO l\u00e0 ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ti\u1ec7n h\u1ee3p l\u00fd m\u00e0 M\u1ef9 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 qua \u0111\u00f3 \u0111\u1ea3m b\u1ea3o an ninh cho ch\u00e2u \u00c2u v\u00e0 r\u0103n \u0111e Nga. <\/strong>M\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn \u1edf Ukraine s\u1ebd h\u1ed3i sinh NATO, kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i v\u1edbi t\u01b0 c\u00e1ch l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t \u2018d\u1ef1 \u00e1n\u2019 x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng n\u1ec1n d\u00e2n ch\u1ee7, hay m\u1ed9t c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 cho c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c phi\u00eau l\u01b0u ngo\u00e0i khu v\u1ef1c nh\u01b0 cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn \u1edf Afghanistan, m\u00e0 l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t li\u00ean minh qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 ph\u00f2ng th\u1ee7 v\u01b0\u1ee3t tr\u1ed9i \u2013 v\u1ed1n l\u00e0 m\u1ee5c \u0111\u00edch ban \u0111\u1ea7u c\u1ee7a n\u00f3. D\u00f9 ng\u01b0\u1eddi d\u00e2n ch\u00e2u \u00c2u s\u1ebd \u0111\u00f2i h\u1ecfi M\u1ef9 cam k\u1ebft qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 l\u1edbn h\u01a1n \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi ch\u00e2u \u00c2u, nh\u01b0ng m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c x\u00e2m l\u01b0\u1ee3c r\u1ed9ng l\u1edbn h\u01a1n c\u1ee7a Nga v\u00e0o Ukraine v\u1eabn s\u1ebd bu\u1ed9c m\u1ecdi th\u00e0nh vi\u00ean NATO ph\u1ea3i t\u0103ng chi ti\u00eau qu\u1ed1c ph\u00f2ng. \u0110\u1ed1i v\u1edbi ng\u01b0\u1eddi ch\u00e2u \u00c2u, \u0111\u00e2y s\u1ebd l\u00e0 l\u1eddi k\u00eau g\u1ecdi cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng \u0111\u1ec3 c\u1ea3i thi\u1ec7n kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng ph\u00f2ng th\u1ee7 c\u1ee7a ch\u00e2u \u00c2u \u2013 song song v\u1edbi M\u1ef9 \u2013 \u0111\u1ec3 gi\u00fap M\u1ef9 gi\u1ea3i quy\u1ebft th\u1ebf l\u01b0\u1ee1ng nan v\u1edbi Nga v\u00e0 Trung Qu\u1ed1c.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u0110\u1ed1i v\u1edbi m\u1ed9t Moscow hi\u1ec7n \u0111ang \u0111\u1ed1i \u0111\u1ea7u l\u00e2u d\u00e0i v\u1edbi ph\u01b0\u01a1ng T\u00e2y, B\u1eafc Kinh c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u00f3ng vai tr\u00f2 l\u00e0 h\u1eadu thu\u1eabn kinh t\u1ebf v\u00e0 l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c ch\u1ed1ng l\u1ea1i b\u00e1 quy\u1ec1n M\u1ef9.<\/mark><\/strong> Trong tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p x\u1ea5u nh\u1ea5t cho \u0111\u1ea1i chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9, Trung Qu\u1ed1c c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 b\u1ecb kh\u00edch \u0111\u1ed9ng b\u1edfi s\u1ef1 quy\u1ebft \u0111o\u00e1n c\u1ee7a Nga v\u00e0 s\u1ebd theo ch\u00e2n \u0111e d\u1ecda \u0111\u1ed1i \u0111\u1ea7u v\u1edbi \u0110\u00e0i Loan<\/mark><\/strong>. Nh\u01b0ng kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 g\u00ec \u0111\u1ea3m b\u1ea3o r\u1eb1ng m\u1ed9t s\u1ef1 leo thang \u1edf Ukraine s\u1ebd c\u00f3 l\u1ee3i cho m\u1ed1i quan h\u1ec7 Trung-Nga. Tham v\u1ecdng tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh trung t\u00e2m c\u1ee7a n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf \u00c1-\u00c2u c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c s\u1ebd b\u1ecb t\u1ed5n h\u1ea1i do chi\u1ebfn tranh \u1edf ch\u00e2u \u00c2u, b\u1edfi s\u1ef1 b\u1ea5t \u1ed5n t\u00e0n kh\u1ed1c m\u00e0 chi\u1ebfn tranh t\u1ea1o ra. S\u1ef1 kh\u00f3 ch\u1ecbu c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u1edbi Nga s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng t\u1ea1o ra m\u1ed1i quan h\u1ec7 h\u1ee3p t\u00e1c gi\u1eefa Washington v\u00e0 B\u1eafc Kinh, nh\u01b0ng n\u00f3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 gi\u00fap kh\u1edfi \u0111\u1ea7u c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c \u0111\u1ed1i tho\u1ea1i m\u1edbi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n

C\u00fa s\u1ed1c tr\u01b0\u1edbc m\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u00e1i qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 l\u1edbn c\u1ee7a Nga c\u0169ng s\u1ebd l\u00e0m d\u1ea5y l\u00ean c\u00e2u h\u1ecfi \u1edf Ankara. Th\u1ed5 Nh\u0129 K\u1ef3 c\u1ee7a T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng Recep Tayyip Erdogan \u0111\u00e3 lu\u00f4n th\u00edch th\u00fa v\u1edbi tr\u00f2 ch\u01a1i Chi\u1ebfn tranh L\u1ea1nh, l\u00e0 khi\u1ebfn c\u00e1c si\u00eau c\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u1ed1i \u0111\u1ea7u \u0111\u1ec3 b\u1ea3n th\u00e2n c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 tr\u1ee5c l\u1ee3i. Tuy nhi\u00ean, Th\u1ed5 Nh\u0129 K\u1ef3 c\u00f3 quan h\u1ec7 nh\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ecbnh v\u1edbi Ukraine. L\u00e0 m\u1ed9t th\u00e0nh vi\u00ean NATO, h\u1ecd s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c h\u01b0\u1edfng l\u1ee3i t\u1eeb vi\u1ec7c qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 h\u00f3a Bi\u1ec3n \u0110en v\u00e0 \u0111\u00f4ng \u0110\u1ecba Trung H\u1ea3i. C\u00e1c h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a Nga \u2013 v\u1ed1n g\u00e2y b\u1ea5t \u1ed5n tr\u00ean m\u1ed9t khu v\u1ef1c r\u1ed9ng l\u1edbn h\u01a1n \u2013 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea9y Th\u1ed5 Nh\u0129 K\u1ef3 quay tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i v\u1edbi M\u1ef9, t\u1eeb \u0111\u00f3 t\u1ea1o ra m\u1ed9t c\u00e1i n\u00eam chen gi\u1eefa Ankara v\u00e0 Moscow. <\/strong>\u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y s\u1ebd t\u1ed1t cho NATO, v\u00e0 n\u00f3 c\u0169ng s\u1ebd m\u1edf ra kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng l\u1edbn h\u01a1n cho quan h\u1ec7 \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c M\u1ef9-Th\u1ed5 Nh\u0129 K\u1ef3 \u1edf Trung \u0110\u00f4ng. Thay v\u00ec g\u00e2y th\u00eam phi\u1ec1n to\u00e1i, Th\u1ed5 Nh\u0129 K\u1ef3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed3ng minh \u0111\u00edch th\u1ef1c.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

M\u1ed9t h\u1eadu qu\u1ea3 cay \u0111\u1eafng c\u1ee7a m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn tranh quy m\u00f4 l\u1edbn h\u01a1n \u1edf Ukraine l\u00e0 Nga v\u00e0 M\u1ef9 gi\u1edd \u0111\u00e2y s\u1ebd \u0111\u1ed1i \u0111\u1ea7u v\u1edbi nhau nh\u01b0 nh\u1eefng k\u1ebb th\u00f9 \u1edf ch\u00e2u \u00c2u<\/mark><\/strong>. Tuy nhi\u00ean, h\u1ecd s\u1ebd l\u00e0 hai k\u1ebb th\u00f9 kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 c\u00f3 nh\u1eefng h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u00f9 \u0111\u1ecbch v\u01b0\u1ee3t qu\u00e1 m\u1ed9t ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng nh\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ecbnh. B\u1ea5t ch\u1ea5p nh\u1eefng kh\u00e1c bi\u1ec7t trong th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi quan, hay \u0111\u1ed1i l\u1eadp nhau trong \u00fd th\u1ee9c h\u1ec7, hai c\u01b0\u1eddng qu\u1ed1c h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n quan tr\u1ecdng nh\u1ea5t th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi s\u1ebd ph\u1ea3i ki\u1ec1m ch\u1ebf s\u1ef1 ph\u1eabn n\u1ed9 c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y s\u1ebd d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn m\u1ed9t m\u00e0n tung h\u1ee9ng v\u00f4 c\u00f9ng ph\u1ee9c t\u1ea1p: t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng chi\u1ebfn tranh kinh t\u1ebf v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea5u tranh \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb tr\u00ean kh\u1eafp l\u1ee5c \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00e2u \u00c2u, nh\u01b0ng l\u1ea1i l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t tr\u1ea1ng th\u00e1i kh\u00f4ng cho ph\u00e9p leo thang d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn chi\u1ebfn tranh. \u0110\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi, \u0111\u1ed1i \u0111\u1ea7u M\u1ef9-Nga trong tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p x\u1ea5u nh\u1ea5t c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn tranh \u1ee7y nhi\u1ec7m \u1edf Trung \u0110\u00f4ng ho\u1eb7c ch\u00e2u Phi, n\u1ebfu M\u1ef9 quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh t\u00e1i l\u1eadp s\u1ef1 hi\u1ec7n di\u1ec7n c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh sau cu\u1ed9c r\u00fat qu\u00e2n th\u1ea3m kh\u1ed1c \u1edf Afghanistan.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Duy tr\u00ec li\u00ean l\u1ea1c, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t l\u00e0 v\u1ec1 \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c v\u00e0 an ninh m\u1ea1ng, s\u1ebd r\u1ea5t quan tr\u1ecdng. \u0110\u00e1ng ch\u00fa \u00fd l\u00e0 s\u1ef1 h\u1ee3p t\u00e1c gi\u1eefa M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 Nga v\u1ec1 c\u00e1c ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng kh\u00f4ng gian m\u1ea1ng \u0111\u1ed9c h\u1ea1i v\u1eabn ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c ngay c\u1ea3 trong th\u1eddi k\u1ef3 c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng hi\u1ec7n nay. Vi\u1ec7c duy tr\u00ec c\u00e1c th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t v\u0169 kh\u00ed nghi\u00eam ng\u1eb7t s\u1ebd c\u00e0ng tr\u1edf n\u00ean c\u1ea7n thi\u1ebft, sau khi n\u1ed5 ra chi\u1ebfn tranh \u1edf Ukraine v\u00e0 vi\u1ec7c \u00e1p d\u1ee5ng c\u00e1c ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9 tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t sau \u0111\u00f3.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 chi\u1ebfn th\u1eafng n\u00e0o l\u00e0 v\u0129nh c\u1eedu<\/mark><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Khi cu\u1ed9c kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng \u1edf Ukraine b\u00f9ng ph\u00e1t, ph\u01b0\u01a1ng T\u00e2y kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ph\u00e9p \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 th\u1ea5p Nga. H\u1ecd kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c tin v\u00e0o nh\u1eefng d\u00f2ng quan \u0111i\u1ec3m d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean nh\u1eefng suy ngh\u0129 vi\u1ec3n v\u00f4ng. Chi\u1ebfn th\u1eafng c\u1ee7a Nga \u1edf Ukraine kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i l\u00e0 khoa h\u1ecdc vi\u1ec5n t\u01b0\u1edfng.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nh\u01b0ng d\u00f9 ph\u01b0\u01a1ng T\u00e2y kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 l\u00e0m g\u00ec nhi\u1ec1u \u0111\u1ec3 ng\u0103n ch\u1eb7n m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c chinh ph\u1ea1t qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 c\u1ee7a Nga, h\u1ecd v\u1eabn c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 g\u00e2y \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn nh\u1eefng g\u00ec x\u1ea3y ra sau \u0111\u00f3. Th\u01b0\u1eddng th\u00ec m\u1ea7m m\u1ed1ng c\u1ee7a r\u1eafc r\u1ed1i n\u1eb1m ngay b\u00ean d\u01b0\u1edbi l\u1edbp v\u1ecf chi\u1ebfn th\u1eafng qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1. Nga c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u00e8 b\u1eb9p Ukraine tr\u00ean chi\u1ebfn tr\u01b0\u1eddng, c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0m cho Ukraine tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh m\u1ed9t qu\u1ed1c gia th\u1ea5t b\u1ea1i. Nh\u01b0ng h\u1ecd ch\u1ec9 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0m v\u1eady b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch ph\u00e1t \u0111\u1ed9ng m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn tranh t\u1ed9i l\u1ed7i, v\u00e0 b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch t\u00e0n ph\u00e1 cu\u1ed9c s\u1ed1ng c\u1ee7a m\u1ed9t qu\u1ed1c gia-d\u00e2n t\u1ed9c ch\u01b0a bao gi\u1edd x\u00e2m l\u01b0\u1ee3c Nga. M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 ch\u00e2u \u00c2u, c\u00f9ng c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed3ng minh c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd, c\u0169ng nh\u01b0 c\u00e1c khu v\u1ef1c kh\u00e1c tr\u00ean th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi, s\u1ebd \u0111\u01b0a ra k\u1ebft lu\u1eadn v\u00e0 ch\u1ec9 tr\u00edch c\u00e1c h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a Nga. Th\u00f4ng qua c\u00e1c li\u00ean minh v\u00e0 vi\u1ec7c \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 ng\u01b0\u1eddi d\u00e2n Ukraine, M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 ch\u00e2u \u00c2u c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0 hi\u1ec7n th\u00e2n thay th\u1ebf cho c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn tranh x\u00e2m l\u01b0\u1ee3c, v\u00e0 cho quan \u0111i\u1ec3m r\u1eb1ng k\u1ebb m\u1ea1nh lu\u00f4n \u0111\u00fang. Nh\u1eefng n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c c\u1ee7a Nga trong vi\u1ec7c gieo r\u1eafc s\u1ef1 h\u1ed7n lo\u1ea1n c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111em ra so s\u00e1nh v\u1edbi nh\u1eefng n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c c\u1ee7a ph\u01b0\u01a1ng T\u00e2y nh\u1eb1m kh\u00f4i ph\u1ee5c tr\u1eadt t\u1ef1.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nh\u01b0 vi\u1ec7c Washington, D.C. v\u1eabn gi\u1eef nguy\u00ean c\u00e1c c\u01a1 s\u1edf ngo\u1ea1i giao c\u1ee7a ba qu\u1ed1c gia Baltic sau khi h\u1ecd b\u1ecb Li\u00ean X\u00f4 s\u00e1p nh\u1eadp trong Th\u1ebf chi\u1ebfn 2, ph\u01b0\u01a1ng T\u00e2y c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u1eb7t m\u00ecnh v\u1ec1 ph\u00eda ch\u00ednh tr\u1ef1c v\u00e0 ph\u1ea9m gi\u00e1 trong cu\u1ed9c xung \u0111\u1ed9t n\u00e0y. Ch\u1eb3ng c\u00f3 chi\u1ebfn th\u1eafng n\u00e0o l\u00e0 m\u00e3i m\u00e3i. Th\u01b0\u1eddng th\u00ec c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia t\u1ef1 khi\u1ebfn m\u00ecnh l\u1ee5n b\u1ea1i v\u00ec \u0111\u00e3 ph\u00e1t \u0111\u1ed9ng v\u00e0 sau \u0111\u00f3 gi\u00e0nh chi\u1ebfn th\u1eafng trong c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn tranh sai tr\u00e1i.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Liana Fix & Michael Kimmage<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Liana Fix l\u00e0 Nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u vi\u00ean th\u01b0\u1eddng tr\u00fa c\u1ee7a Qu\u1ef9 German Marshall, \u1edf Washington, D.C.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Michael Kimmage l\u00e0 Gi\u00e1o s\u01b0 L\u1ecbch s\u1eed t\u1ea1i \u0110\u1ea1i h\u1ecdc C\u00f4ng gi\u00e1o M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 l\u00e0 Nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u vi\u00ean kh\u00f4ng th\u01b0\u1eddng tr\u1ef1c c\u1ee7a Qu\u1ef9 German Marshall. T\u1eeb n\u0103m 2014 \u0111\u1ebfn n\u0103m 2016, \u00f4ng ph\u1ee5c v\u1ee5 trong Nh\u00f3m Ho\u1ea1ch \u0111\u1ecbnh Ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch t\u1ea1i B\u1ed9 Ngo\u1ea1i giao M\u1ef9, n\u01a1i \u00f4ng ch\u1ecbu tr\u00e1ch nhi\u1ec7m khu v\u1ef1c Nga\/Ukraine.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ngu\u1ed3n Tr\u00edch: Nghi\u00ean C\u1ee9u Qu\u1ed1c T\u1ebf<\/strong>
https:\/\/nghiencuuquocte.org\/2022\/02\/25\/dieu-gi-xay-ra-sau-khi-nga-thang-o-ukraine\/#more-44003<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Ngu\u1ed3n:\u00a0Liana Fix v\u00e0 Michael Kimmage, \u201cWhat if Russia Wins?\u201d,\u00a0Foreign Affairs, 18\/02\/2022. Bi\u00ean d\u1ecbch:\u00a0Nguy\u1ec5n Th\u1ecb Kim Ph\u1ee5ng M\u1ed9t Ukraine do \u0110i\u1ec7n Kremlin ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t s\u1ebd thay \u0111\u1ed5i ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n ch\u00e2u \u00c2u. M\u00f9a h\u00e8 n\u0103m 2015, khi Nga tham gia cu\u1ed9c n\u1ed9i chi\u1ebfn \u0111ang di\u1ec5n ra \u1edf Syria, h\u1ecd \u0111\u00e3 g\u00e2y ch\u1ea5n\u0111\u1ecdc ti\u1ebfp…<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":13557,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[7,8],"tags":[165,118,119,387],"class_list":["entry","author-ntviet","post-13556","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-binhluan","category-chinhtri-xahoi","tag-binh-luan","tag-chinh-tri","tag-hoa-ky","tag-nga-nato"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13556","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=13556"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13556\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/13557"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=13556"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=13556"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=13556"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}