{"id":14533,"date":"2022-07-04T19:58:04","date_gmt":"2022-07-04T19:58:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/?p=14533"},"modified":"2022-07-04T20:01:19","modified_gmt":"2022-07-04T20:01:19","slug":"bong-ma-vo-no-cua-lao-va-sri-lanka-phu-kin-ba-dinh","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/?p=14533","title":{"rendered":"\u201cB\u00f3ng ma\u201d v\u1ee1 n\u1ee3 c\u1ee7a L\u00e0o v\u00e0 Sri Lanka ph\u1ee7 k\u00edn Ba-\u0110\u00ecnh<\/strong>
Tr\u1ea7n nguy\u00ean Thao<\/span>"},"content":{"rendered":"
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B\u1eaby N\u1ee3 c\u1ee7a Trung C\u1ed9ng<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

C\u00e1c kho\u1ea3n n\u1ee3 c\u1ee7a Ch\u00ednh Ph\u1ee7, Doanh Nghi\u1ec7p hay c\u00e1 nh\u00e2n vay b\u1eb1ng \u0111\u1ed3ng M\u1ef9 kim s\u1ebd ph\u1ea3i tr\u1ea3 n\u1ee3 theo l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t m\u1edbi k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb khi Fed quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t \u0111i\u1ec1u h\u00e0nh li\u00ean t\u1ee5c t\u1eeb 0,50% ng\u00e0y 4\/5 th\u00eam 0,75 \u0111i\u1ec3m % v\u00e0o ng\u00e0y 15\/6, v\u1edbi d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o s\u1ebd ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh theo chi\u1ec1u h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng t\u1eeb nay \u0111\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m 2023, t\u00f9y theo m\u1ee9c l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t. Tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p Vi\u1ec7t Nam, n\u1ebfu kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ee7 ti\u1ec1n tr\u1ea3 n\u1ed5i n\u1ee3, s\u1ebd r\u01a1i v\u00e0o c\u1ea3nh qu\u1ed1c gia ng\u1ea5p ngh\u00e9 \u201cng\u01b0\u1ee1ng b\u00e1o \u0111\u1ed9ng\u201d. . . \u00a0\u0111i d\u1ea7n \u0111\u1ebfn v\u1ee1 n\u1ee3. <\/mark><\/em>B\u00f3ng ma v\u1ee1 n\u1ee3 c\u1ee7a L\u00e0o v\u00e0 Sri Lanka t\u1ecf d\u1ea7n tr\u00ean b\u1ea7u tr\u1eddi H\u00e0-n\u1ed9i, khi\u1ebfn nh\u1ecbp \u0111\u1ed9 \u201c\u0111\u1ea5u \u0111\u00e1\u201d\u0111\u1ed5 l\u1ed7i cho nhau \u0111\u1ec3 tranh \u0111o\u1ea1t l\u1ee3i quy\u1ec1n trong n\u1ed9i b\u1ed9 Ba-\u0110\u00ecnh t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u1ee9ng v\u1edbi \u0111\u1ed9 n\u00f3ng m\u00f9a H\u00e8, g\u1ea7n 100 \u0111\u1ed9<\/em> Fahrenheit, bao ph\u1ee7 kh\u1eafp Vi\u1ec7t Nam.<\/em><\/mark><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u1ee6y Ban Th\u1ecb Tr\u01b0\u1eddng M\u1edf Li\u00ean Bang, The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) v\u1edbi nhi\u1ec7m v\u1ee5 ho\u1ea1ch \u0111\u1ecbnh ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 cho C\u1ee5c D\u1ef1 Tr\u1eef Li\u00ean Bang Hoa K\u1ef3 (Federal Reserves, vi\u1ebft t\u1eaft l\u00e0 Fed), d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t \u0111i\u1ec1u h\u00e0nh c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u0103ng l\u00ean m\u1ee9c 3,1-3,6% v\u00e0o cu\u1ed1i n\u0103m 2022 (cao h\u01a1n 1,5% so v\u1edbi \u01b0\u1edbc t\u00ednh h\u1ed3i th\u00e1ng 3) v\u00e0 l\u00ean 3,6-4,1% v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2023 (cao h\u01a1n 1% so v\u1edbi d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3). Khi M\u1ef9 kim t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t th\u00ec c\u00e1c ngo\u1ea1i t\u1ec7 kh\u00e1c trong kh\u1ed1i Ng\u00e2n H\u00e0ng Trung \u01af\u01a1ng \u00c2u Ch\u00e2u c\u0169ng t\u0103ng theo. T\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 \u0111\u1ed3ng n\u1ed9i t\u1ec7 c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc m\u1edbi n\u1ed5i, trong \u0111\u00f3 c\u00f3 Vi\u1ec7t Nam so v\u1edbi c\u00e1c lo\u1ea1i ngo\u1ea1i t\u1ec7 \u0111\u1ec1u gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ngay sau khi Fed t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t, m\u1ed9t lo\u1ea1t ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc ch\u00e2u \u00c1 \u0111\u00e3 \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t ngay l\u1eadp t\u1ee9c, v\u1edbi h\u1ea7u h\u1ebft c\u00e1c ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ec1u t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t t\u1eeb 0,5 \u0111\u1ebfn 1 \u0111i\u1ec3m ph\u1ea7n tr\u0103m. T\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 M\u1ef9 kim v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed3ng Euro ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c c\u00f3 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng t\u1ea1i th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng. Tu\u1ea7n l\u1ec5 cu\u1ed1i th\u00e1ng 6\/2022, gi\u00e1 M\u1ef9 Kim t\u1ea1i c\u00e1c ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng th\u00eam 50 – 70 \u0111\u1ed3ng m\u1ed7i M\u1ef9 kim \u1edf m\u1ed7i chi\u1ec1u giao d\u1ecbch. So v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p nh\u1ea5t ghi nh\u1eadn v\u00e0o g\u1ea7n cu\u1ed1i th\u00e1ng 1, ti\u1ec1n \u0111\u1ed3ng \u0111\u00e3 m\u1ea5t gi\u00e1 kho\u1ea3ng 2,5%.<\/p>\n\n\n

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Vay, tr\u1ea3 n\u1ee3 n\u01b0\u1edbc ngo\u00e0i \u0111\u1ec1u t\u00ednh b\u1eb1ng ngo\u1ea1i t\u1ec7. Khi \u0111\u1ed3ng n\u1ed9i t\u1ec7 b\u1ecb m\u1ea5t gi\u00e1 th\u00ec c\u1ea7n nhi\u1ec1u ti\u1ec1n h\u01a1n \u0111\u1ec3 mua ngo\u1ea1i t\u1ec7, do \u0111\u00f3 ti\u1ec1n tr\u1ea3 n\u1ee3 v\u00e0 chi ph\u00ed vay n\u1ee3 ph\u1ea3i t\u0103ng, b\u1ea5t k\u1ec3 n\u1ee3 c\u00f4ng, n\u1ee3 c\u1ee7a doanh nghi\u1ec7p hay c\u1ee7a c\u00e1 nh\u00e2n c\u0169ng s\u1ebd tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh \u201cg\u00e1nh n\u1eb7ng\u201d cho con n\u1ee3. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec3m l\u00e0m cho doanh nghi\u1ec7p v\u00e0 t\u01b0 nh\u00e2n c\u00f3 nhu c\u1ea7u vay n\u1ee3 e ng\u1ea1i, c\u00e2n nh\u1eafc h\u01a1n khi ra quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0, ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng, t\u1eeb \u0111\u00f3 \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn d\u00e2y chuy\u1ec1n s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t, c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0m gi\u1ea3m nhu c\u1ea7u \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi h\u00e0ng xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u, \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng t\u1edbi \u0111\u00e0 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i kinh t\u1ebf c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7t Nam.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

World Bank \u0111\u1ecbnh ngh\u0129a n\u1ee3 c\u00f4ng g\u1ed3m c\u00f3 n\u1ee3 ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7, n\u1ee3 ch\u00ednh quy\u1ec1n \u0111\u1ecba ph\u01b0\u01a1ng, n\u1ee3 ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 b\u1ea3o l\u00e3nh, n\u1ee3 \u1edf ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng, c\u00e1c t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c c\u00f4ng l\u1eadp, c\u00e1c doanh nghi\u1ec7p nh\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00e0 \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t l\u00e0 c\u00e1c kho\u1ea3n ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 \u0111\u00e3 cam k\u1ebft chi tr\u1ea3 nh\u01b0 l\u01b0\u01a1ng h\u01b0u, b\u1ea3o hi\u1ec3m x\u00e3 h\u1ed9i cho ng\u01b0\u1eddi lao \u0111\u1ed9ng.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Vi\u1ec7t Nam \u0111\u01b0a ra c\u00e1ch t\u00ednh n\u1ee3 c\u00f4ng kh\u00e1c v\u1edbi th\u00f4ng l\u1ec7 th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi.<\/strong> Theo Lu\u1eadt Qu\u1ea3n L\u00fd N\u1ee3 C\u00f4ng c\u1ee7a csVN n\u0103m 2009, n\u1ee3 c\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 bao g\u1ed3m: n\u1ee3 ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7, n\u1ee3 ch\u00ednh quy\u1ec1n \u0111\u1ecba ph\u01b0\u01a1ng v\u00e0 n\u1ee3 ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 b\u1ea3o l\u00e3nh. Ngay kho\u1ea3n ti\u1ec1n l\u1edbn r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng nh\u1ea5t, n\u0103m 2015 Ng\u00e2n s\u00e1ch Nh\u00e0 N\u01b0\u1edbc vay c\u1ee7a Qu\u1ef9 B\u1ea3o Hi\u1ec3m X\u00e3 H\u1ed9i l\u00ean t\u1edbi 324.000 t\u1ef7 \u0111\u1ed3ng, chi\u1ebfm 74,46% d\u01b0 n\u1ee3 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0, c\u0169ng ch\u01b0a \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u00ednh v\u00e0o n\u1ee3 c\u00f4ng, do Ch\u00ednh Ph\u1ee7 chuy\u1ec3n kho\u1ea3n vay n\u00e0y sang C\u00f4ng Phi\u1ebfu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

N\u1ebfu t\u00ednh \u0111\u1ea7y \u0111\u1ee7 theo th\u00f4ng l\u1ec7 qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf, n\u1ee3 c\u00f4ng c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7t Nam c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u00e3 l\u00ean t\u1edbi h\u01a1n 200% GDP, v\u01b0\u1ee3t qu\u00e1 ch\u1ec9 ti\u00eau an to\u00e0n n\u1ee3 l\u00e0 65% GDP, bao g\u1ed3m n\u1ee3 c\u1ee7a ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng v\u00e0 c\u00e1c \u0111\u01a1n v\u1ecb c\u00f4ng l\u1eadp kh\u00e1c. [1]<\/sup><\/p>\n\n\n\n

C\u01a1 quan Nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u Kinh t\u1ebf Qu\u1ed1c gia M\u1ef9 National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) cho bi\u1ebft, t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng kinh t\u1ebf s\u1ebd gi\u1ea3m 4% khi n\u1ee3 c\u00f4ng v\u01b0\u1ee3t ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng 90% GDP<\/strong>. Kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng n\u1ee3 c\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m 2010 l\u00e0 nguy\u00ean nh\u00e2n d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn th\u1ea5t nghi\u1ec7p, t\u0103ng t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 \u0111\u00f3i ngh\u00e8o \u1edf n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

M\u1eb7c d\u00f9 theo c\u00e1ch t\u00ednh kh\u00e1c, nh\u01b0ng ng\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u00f2ng th\u1eddi gian, t\u1eeb n\u0103m 2016, khi c\u00f2n t\u1ea1i ch\u1ee9c, b\u1ed9 tr\u01b0\u1edfng T\u00e0i Ch\u00ednh \u0110inh Ti\u1ebfn D\u0169ng \u0111\u00e3 nh\u00ecn nh\u1eadn, t\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 t\u0103ng n\u1ee3 c\u00f4ng c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7t Nam giai \u0111o\u1ea1n 2011 \u2013 2015 l\u00e0 18,4% m\u1ed9t n\u0103m, g\u1ea5p 3 l\u1ea7n t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng kinh t\u1ebf. C\u0169ng theo l\u1eddi \u00f4ng \u0110inh Ti\u1ebfn D\u0169ng, n\u1ebfu nh\u01b0 n\u1ee3 c\u00f4ng n\u0103m 2011 ch\u1ec9 l\u00e0 36,5% GDP th\u00ec \u0111\u1ebfn n\u0103m 2015 \u0111\u00e3 l\u00ean t\u1edbi 62,2%. N\u0103m 2016, n\u1ee3 c\u00f4ng t\u0103ng l\u00ean m\u1ee9c 64%, g\u1ea7n \u0111\u1ebfn m\u1ee9c tr\u1ea7n cho ph\u00e9p (65% GDP), theo quy \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u1ee7a Qu\u1ed1c H\u1ed9i. [2]<\/sup><\/p>\n\n\n\n

D\u00f9 theo c\u00e1ch t\u00ednh c\u1ee7a csVN, th\u00ec n\u1ee3 c\u00f4ng v\u1eabn t\u0103ng theo th\u1eddi gian, ch\u1ec9 m\u1edbi \u0111\u1ebfn cu\u1ed1i n\u0103m 2020 n\u1ee3 c\u00f4ng Vi\u1ec7t Nam \u0111\u00e3 l\u00e0 3.52 tri\u1ec7u t\u1ef7 \u0111\u1ed3ng, n\u0103m 2021 l\u00e0 3.7 tri\u1ec7u t\u1ef7 \u0111\u1ed3ng. Giai \u0111o\u1ea1n 2022 \u0111\u1ebfn h\u1ebft n\u0103m 2024 n\u1ee3 c\u00f4ng s\u1ebd ti\u1ec7m c\u1eadn m\u1ed1c 5 tri\u1ec7u t\u1ef7 \u0111\u1ed3ng. T\u00ednh trung b\u00ecnh m\u1ed7i ng\u01b0\u1eddi d\u00e2n Vi\u1ec7t Nam ph\u1ea3i g\u00e1nh kho\u1ea3ng 50 tri\u1ec7u n\u1ee3 c\u00f4ng.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Giai \u0111o\u1ea1n 2022-2024 csVN ph\u1ea3i tr\u1ea3 v\u1ed1n v\u00e0 l\u00e3i cho ch\u1ee7 n\u1ee3 kho\u1ea3ng 1,2 tri\u1ec7u t\u1ef7 \u0111\u1ed3ng, t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u01b0\u01a1ng 51 t\u1ef7 M\u1ef9 kim. https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/?p=14431<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Th\u00e1ng 11-2016, v\u1edbi 82,39% \u0111\u1ea1i bi\u1ec3u t\u00e1n th\u00e0nh, Qu\u1ed1c h\u1ed9i (QH) \u0111\u00e3 th\u00f4ng qua Ngh\u1ecb quy\u1ebft v\u1ec1 k\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch c\u01a1 c\u1ea5u l\u1ea1i n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf giai \u0111o\u1ea1n 2016-2020<\/strong>. Theo \u0111\u00f3, quy m\u00f4 n\u1ee3 h\u1eb1ng n\u0103m giai \u0111o\u1ea1n n\u00e0y kh\u00f4ng qu\u00e1 65% t\u1ed5ng s\u1ea3n ph\u1ea9m qu\u1ed1c n\u1ed9i (GDP), n\u1ee3 Ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 kh\u00f4ng qu\u00e1 54% GDP v\u00e0 n\u1ee3 n\u01b0\u1edbc ngo\u00e0i c\u1ee7a qu\u1ed1c gia kh\u00f4ng qu\u00e1 50% GDP [<\/sup>3]<\/sup><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Do nhu c\u1ea7u ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c ph\u1ea3i vay th\u00eam n\u1ee3, n\u0103m 2021, Ba-\u0110\u00ecnh \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 l\u1ea1i GDP nh\u1eb1m n\u1edbi r\u1ed9ng tr\u1ea7n n\u1ee3. Sau khi GDP \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c n\u00e2ng l\u00ean cao, t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 n\u1ee3 c\u00f4ng t\u00ednh tr\u00ean GDP gi\u1ea3m t\u1eeb 56,1% xu\u1ed1ng c\u00f2n 44,7%; n\u1ee3 ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 tr\u00ean GDP gi\u1ea3m t\u1eeb 49,2% c\u00f2n 39,2%; n\u1ee3 n\u01b0\u1edbc ngo\u00e0i tr\u00ean GDP gi\u1ea3m t\u1eeb 45,8% c\u00f2n 36,5%; th\u00e2m h\u1ee5t ng\u00e2n s\u00e1ch tr\u00ean GDP gi\u1ea3m t\u1eeb 3,6% c\u00f2n 2,9%.<\/p>\n\n\n

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GDP n\u0103m 2021 theo gi\u00e1 hi\u1ec7n h\u00e0nh \u01b0\u1edbc t\u00ednh \u0111\u1ea1t 9 tri\u1ec7u t\u1ef7 \u0111\u1ed3ng sau khi \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c T\u1ed5ng c\u1ee5c Th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea ti\u1ebfn h\u00e0nh \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 l\u1ea1i, \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh t\u0103ng 25,4%.<\/strong> Ch\u1ec9 ti\u00eau n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c Ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 ch\u00ednh th\u1ee9c tr\u00ecnh Qu\u1ed1c h\u1ed9i trong b\u00e1o c\u00e1o s\u1ed1 530\/BC-CP ng\u00e0y 16\/10\/2020.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

C\u1ea7n n\u00f3i r\u00f5 r\u1eb1ng, d\u00f9 GDP \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh theo h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng cao, nh\u01b0ng gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb c\u1ee7a n\u1ec1n Kinh T\u1ebf Vi\u1ec7t Nam v\u1eabn kh\u00f4ng thay \u0111\u1ed5i. <\/strong>GDP Vi\u1ec7t Nam qu\u00fd III\/2021 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng \u00e2m 6,17% \u2013 M\u1ee9c gi\u1ea3m s\u00e2u nh\u1ea5t t\u1eeb tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u1ebfn nay.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Trong tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p s\u1ed1 thu ng\u00e2n s\u00e1ch b\u1ecb thi\u1ebfu h\u1ee5t, nh\u01b0 B\u1ed9 T\u00e0i Ch\u00e1nh lo ng\u1ea1i th\u00ec kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng tr\u1ea3 n\u1ee3 c\u1ee7a csVN s\u1ebd b\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00e0o \u201cng\u01b0\u1ee1ng r\u1ee7i ro\u201d. Ng\u00e2n S\u00e1ch n\u0103m 2022 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 b\u1ed9i chi tr\u00ean m\u1ee9c t\u00ednh to\u00e1n hi\u1ec7n l\u00e0 372,9 ngh\u00ecn t\u1ef7 \u0111\u1ed3ng.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

L\u00e0o, Sri Lanka hay Vi\u1ec7t Nam \u0111\u1ec1u m\u1eafc n\u1ee3 qua r\u1ea5t nhi\u1ec1u d\u1ef1 \u00e1n vay v\u1ed1n c\u1ee7a B\u1eafc Kinh v\u1edbi \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n ph\u1ea3i ch\u1ea5p nh\u1eadn thu\u00ea c\u00e1c t\u1ed5ng th\u1ea7u l\u00e0 c\u00f4ng ty qu\u1ed1c doanh Trung c\u1ed9ng, v\u00e0 ch\u1ecbu cho c\u00f4ng nh\u00e2n Trung c\u1ed9ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u1edbi c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc \u201ccon n\u1ee3\u201d l\u00e0m vi\u1ec7c.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

D\u00f9 B\u1eafc Kinh v\u1eabn tuy\u00ean truy\u1ec1n r\u1eb1ng c\u00e1c d\u1ef1 \u00e1n \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd l\u00e0 \u201ckh\u00f4ng r\u00e0ng bu\u1ed9c\u201d b\u1ea5t c\u1ee9 \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n g\u00ec, nh\u01b0ng th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf cho th\u1ea5y B\u1eafc Kinh th\u01b0\u1eddng d\u00f9ng c\u00e1c d\u1ef1 \u00e1n \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 \u0111\u1ec3 d\u1ee5 c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia \u0111ang ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n r\u01a1i v\u00e0o b\u1eaby n\u1ee3, sau \u0111\u00f3 \u00e9p c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y ch\u1ea5p nh\u1eadn c\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n kh\u1eafc nghi\u1ec7t c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

T\u1edd Vientiane Times d\u1eabn s\u1ed1 li\u1ec7u c\u1ee7a Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi (WB) cho bi\u1ebft n\u1ee3 c\u00f4ng v\u00e0 n\u1ee3 do Ch\u00ednh Ph\u1ee7 L\u00e0o b\u1ea3o tr\u1ee3 trong n\u0103m 2021 \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng l\u00ean m\u1ee9c t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u01b0\u01a1ng 88% GDP. D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef ngo\u1ea1i h\u1ed1i c\u1ee7a L\u00e0o ch\u1ec9 c\u00f3 1,48 t\u1ef7 M\u1ef9 kim, nh\u01b0ng \u0111\u1ebfn n\u0103m 2025, t\u1ed5ng s\u1ed1 n\u1ee3 L\u00e0o ph\u1ea3i tr\u1ea3 h\u00e0ng n\u0103m \u0111\u00e3 x\u1ea5p x\u1ec9 con s\u1ed1 n\u00e0y.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Trong th\u1eadp k\u1ef7 qua, ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 Sri Lanka th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n r\u1ea5t nhi\u1ec1u d\u1ef1 \u00e1n l\u1edbn kh\u00f4ng c\u1ea7n thi\u1ebft nh\u01b0 c\u1ea3ng bi\u1ec3n Hambantota, s\u00e2n bay qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf Rajapakse<\/strong>, th\u00e0nh ph\u1ed1 Colombo. . . H\u1ea7u h\u1ebft c\u00e1c d\u1ef1 \u00e1n n\u00e0y kh\u00f4ng mang l\u1ea1i l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn, ch\u00fang \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1c kho\u1ea3n vay l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t cao g\u1ea7n 8% t\u1eeb B\u1eafc Kinh<\/strong>. K\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 l\u00e0 t\u1ed5ng n\u1ee3 n\u01b0\u1edbc ngo\u00e0i c\u1ee7a Sri Lanka l\u00ean t\u1edbi 51 t\u1ef7 M\u1ef9 kim, trong khi T\u1ed5ng s\u1ea3n ph\u1ea9m qu\u1ed1c n\u1ed9i (GDP) ch\u1ec9 c\u00f3 80 t\u1ef7 M\u1ef9 kim. Do \u0111\u00f3, Sri Lanka kh\u00f4ng tr\u1ea3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c n\u1ee3, n\u00ean ph\u1ea3i nh\u01b0\u1ee3ng c\u1ea3ng Hambantota trong 99 n\u0103m v\u00e0 h\u00e0ng ngh\u00ecn m\u1eabu \u0111\u1ea5t n\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p xung quanh cho Trung c\u1ed9ng.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

T\u1ea1i Vi\u1ec7t nam c\u00f3 \u0111\u1ebfn 90% c\u00e1c d\u1ef1 \u00e1n t\u1ed5ng th\u1ea7u Engineering Procurement and Construction (EPC) [*]<\/sup> c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7t Nam do nh\u00e0 th\u1ea7u Trung c\u1ed9ng \u0111\u1ea3m nhi\u1ec7m. Trong \u0111\u00f3, ph\u1ea7n l\u1edbn l\u00e0 c\u00e1c d\u1ef1 \u00e1n d\u1ea7u kh\u00ed, h\u00f3a ch\u1ea5t, \u0111i\u1ec7n. . . . \u0110\u00e1ng ch\u00fa \u00fd, c\u00f3 t\u1edbi 30 d\u1ef1 \u00e1n tr\u1ecdng \u0111i\u1ec3m qu\u1ed1c gia, v\u1edbi gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb h\u00e0ng t\u1ef7 M\u1ef9 kim. H\u1ea7u h\u1ebft d\u1ef1 \u00e1n do nh\u00e0 th\u1ea7u T\u1ea7u c\u1ed9ng l\u00e0m ch\u1ee7 \u0111\u1ec1u ch\u1eadm ti\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9 t\u1eeb v\u00e0i ba n\u0103m \u0111\u1ebfn c\u1ea3 ch\u1ee5c n\u0103m v\u00e0 ch\u1ea5t l\u01b0\u1ee3ng thi\u1ebft b\u1ecb kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ed3ng \u0111\u1ec1u.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

T\u00ednh \u0111\u1ebfn th\u00e1ng 11\/2020, B\u1eafc Kinh \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 t\u1ed5ng c\u1ed9ng 18 t\u1ef7 M\u1ef9 kim v\u00e0o Vi\u1ec7t Nam v\u1edbi kho\u1ea3ng 3.087 d\u1ef1 \u00e1n. FDI c\u1ee7a Trung c\u1ed9ng c\u00f3 m\u1eb7t t\u1ea1i h\u1ea7u h\u1ebft c\u00e1c t\u1ec9nh, th\u00e0nh Vi\u1ec7t Nam. [4]<\/sup><\/sup> Th\u1eddi gian 10 n\u0103m qua, csVN nh\u00ecn nh\u1eadn \u0111\u00e3 k\u1ef7 lu\u1eadt h\u01a1n 2.700 t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ea3ng, g\u1ea7n 168 ng\u00e0n \u0111\u1ea3ng vi\u00ean; trong s\u1ed1 n\u00e0y h\u01a1n 7.390 \u0111\u1ea3ng vi\u00ean b\u1ecb k\u1ef7 lu\u1eadt v\u00ec tham nh\u0169ng. Kho\u1ea3ng 170 c\u00e1n b\u1ed9 c\u1ea5p cao thu\u1ed9c di\u1ec7n trung \u01b0\u01a1ng qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd b\u1ecb k\u1ef7 lu\u1eadt. Trong s\u1ed1 n\u00e0y c\u00f3 33 \u1ee7y vi\u00ean Trung \u01af\u01a1ng, kho\u1ea3ng 50 s\u0129 quan c\u1ea5p t\u01b0\u1edbng trong qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed9i.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

G\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y nh\u1ea5t l\u00e0 v\u1ee5 c\u00f4ng ty Vi\u1ec7t \u00c1 l\u1ed9 di\u1ec7n tham nh\u0169ng to\u00e0n h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng c\u1ea7m quy\u1ec1n, cho \u0111\u1ebfn nay m\u1edbi l\u1ed9 ra t\u1eeb c\u1ea5p B\u1ed9 Tr\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn c\u1ea5p T\u1ec9nh, Th\u00e0nh b\u1ecb truy t\u1ed1, nh\u01b0ng c\u00f4ng lu\u1eadn tin r\u1eb1ng n\u1ed9i v\u1ee5 c\u00f2n c\u00f3 nh\u1eefng \u00f4ng tr\u00f9m \u1edf c\u1ea5p cao h\u01a1n n\u1eefa ch\u01b0a l\u1ed9 di\u1ec7n. <\/strong>Th\u1eddi gian n\u00e0y \u0111ang l\u00e0 cao \u0111i\u1ec3m c\u1ee7a v\u00f2ng quay \u201c\u0111\u1ea5u \u0111\u00e1\u201d tranh gi\u00e0nh quy\u1ec1n l\u1ef1c t\u1ea1i Ba-\u0110\u00ecnh.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

C\u00e1c v\u1ee5 tham nh\u0169ng b\u1ecb truy t\u1ed1 thu\u1ed9c \u0111\u1ee7 m\u1ecdi lo\u1ea1i, trong \u0111\u00f3 ph\u1ed5 th\u00f4ng h\u01a1n l\u00e0 c\u00e1c d\u1ef1 \u00e1n \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u00f4ng. Trong \u0111\u00f3, tham quan c\u1ea5u k\u1ebft v\u1edbi t\u1ed5ng th\u1ea7u l\u1eadp h\u1ed3 s\u01a1 k\u00e9o d\u00e0i ti\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9 v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed9i v\u1ed1n \u0111\u1ec3 chia ch\u00e1c. Tham nh\u0169ng t\u0103ng th\u00ec t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 n\u1ee3 c\u0169ng t\u0103ng theo, n\u1ee3 kh\u00f4ng bao gi\u1edd gi\u1ea3m.<\/p>\n\n\n

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\"\"<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

Ngay c\u1ea3 t\u01b0 nh\u00e2n Vi\u1ec7t Nam c\u0169ng mang n\u1ee3 cao h\u01a1n c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc trong v\u00f9ng. C\u00f3 s\u1ef1 gia t\u0103ng r\u1ee7i ro trong l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c cho vay ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng, \u0111i c\u00f9ng v\u1edbi t\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh n\u1ee3 c\u00e1c gia \u0111\u00ecnh t\u0103ng cao. N\u1ebfu nh\u01b0 n\u0103m 2013, n\u1ee3 c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c gia \u0111\u00ecnh ch\u1ec9 chi\u1ebfm 28% t\u1ed5ng cho vay c\u1ee7a t\u1ea1i 4 ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng qu\u1ed1c doanh, th\u00ec n\u0103m 2020, t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1ea1t 46%. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y \u0111\u1ed3ng ngh\u0129a, n\u1ee3 c\u00e1c gia \u0111\u00ecnh \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng nhanh t\u1eeb 25% GDP l\u00ean 61% trong c\u00f9ng giai \u0111o\u1ea1n. [<\/sup><\/strong>5]<\/sup><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Tr\u00ean th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi c\u00f3 t\u1edbi 15 n\u01b0\u1edbc mang nh\u1eefng kho\u1ea3n n\u1ee3 r\u1ea5t cao, trong \u0111\u00f3 nhi\u1ec1u n\u01b0\u1edbc c\u00f3 n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n, nh\u01b0ng h\u1ecd \u0111\u1ec1u c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng tr\u1ea3 n\u1ee3 r\u1ea5t t\u1ed1t. Tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p Vi\u1ec7t Nam, m\u1edbi \u0111\u00e2y B\u1ed9 tr\u01b0\u1edfng T\u00e0i Ch\u00e1nh H\u1ed3 \u0111\u1ee9c Ph\u01b0\u1edbc c\u00f4ng khai t\u1ecf b\u1ea7y lo ng\u1ea1i s\u1ed1 thu s\u1ebd gi\u1ea3m s\u00fat, th\u00ec kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng tr\u1ea3 n\u1ee3 c\u1ee7a csVN s\u1ebd b\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00e0o \u201cng\u01b0\u1ee1ng r\u1ee7i ro\u201d kh\u00e1 cao. T\u00ecnh hu\u1ed1ng n\u00e0y x\u1ea9y \u0111\u1ebfn s\u1ebd \u0111\u1ea9y Vi\u1ec7t Nam b\u01b0\u1edbc theo g\u00f3t ch\u00e2n c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc L\u00e0o, Sri Lanka.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

N\u1ebfu ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c chi ti\u00eau b\u1eeba b\u00e3i, \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u00f4ng c\u1ee9 t\u0103ng v\u1ed1n v\u00e0 k\u00e9o d\u00e0i ti\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9 \u0111\u1ec3 c\u1ea3 h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng tham nh\u0169ng nh\u01b0 b\u00e2y gi\u1edd, th\u00ec vi\u1ec5n \u1ea3nh kh\u00e1 u \u00e1m gi\u1ed1ng nh\u01b0 Zimbabwe v\u1ee1 n\u1ee3 v\u00e0 l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t l\u00ean 200% l\u00e0 ti\u1ebfng chu\u00f4ng c\u1ea3nh t\u1ec9nh v\u00e0 b\u00e0i h\u1ecdc cho Vi\u1ec7t Nam.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ng\u00e0y 26\/6 Hoa K\u1ef3 loan b\u00e1o k\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch huy \u0111\u1ed9ng 600 t\u1ef7 M\u1ef9 kim c\u00f9ng v\u1edbi c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia \u0111\u1ed3ng minh thu\u1ed9c kh\u1ed1i G7, \u0111\u1ec3 t\u1ea1o n\u00ean m\u1ed9t d\u1ef1 \u00e1n \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u01a1 s\u1edf h\u1ea1 t\u1ea7ng nh\u1eb1m h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia Ch\u00e2u \u00c1 n\u00e2ng c\u1ea5p h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng c\u01a1 s\u1edf h\u1ea1 t\u1ea7ng cho 5 n\u0103m t\u1edbi \u0111\u00e2y. K\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch n\u00e0y nh\u1eb1m \u0111\u1ed1i tr\u1ecdng v\u1edbi S\u00e1ng ki\u1ebfn V\u00e0nh \u0111ai v\u00e0 Con \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng (BRI) c\u1ee7a B\u1eafc Kinh.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

B\u1ea3n tin c\u0169ng n\u00f3i r\u00f5, D\u00f9 \u0111ang c\u00f3 nhu c\u1ea7u r\u1ea5t l\u1edbn v\u1ec1 v\u1ed1n \u0111\u1ec3 c\u1ea3i thi\u1ec7n h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng giao th\u00f4ng nh\u01b0ng theo c\u00e1c chuy\u00ean gia th\u00ec Vi\u1ec7t Nam s\u1ebd \u0111\u1eb7t an ninh c\u1ee7a ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9 l\u00ean h\u00e0ng \u0111\u1ea7u, n\u00ean kh\u00f4ng m\u1ea5y m\u1eb7n m\u00e0 v\u1edbi \u0111\u1ec1 ngh\u1ecb c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc G7 do Hoa K\u1ef3 d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ea7u. [6]<\/sup><\/p>\n\n\n\n

C\u00e1c gi\u1edbi ch\u1ee9c scVN e ng\u1ea1i c\u0169ng ph\u1ea3i, v\u00ec l\u00e0m \u0103n v\u1edbi t\u1ed5ng th\u1ea7u Trung c\u1ed9ng t\u1eeb l\u00e2u \u0111\u00e3 x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng chia ch\u00e1c th\u00e0nh th\u00f4ng l\u1ec7, b\u00e2y gi\u1edd x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng h\u1ea1 t\u1ea7ng c\u01a1 s\u1edf v\u1edbi T\u00e2y Ph\u01b0\u01a1ng tuy v\u1ec1 m\u1eb7t ph\u1ea9m ch\u1ea5t v\u00e0 k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt kh\u00e1 b\u1ea3o \u0111\u1ea3m, nh\u01b0ng mu\u1ed1n \u201cx\u01a1 m\u00fai\u201d kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i d\u1ec5.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

T\u1eeb tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u1ebfn nay, D\u00e2n T\u1ed9c Vi\u1ec7t m\u1ea5t nhi\u1ec1u c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i do csVN \u0111\u1eb7t \u01b0u ti\u00ean gi\u1eef l\u1ee3i quy\u1ec1n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Tr\u1ea7n nguy\u00ean Thao<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Tham kh\u1ea3o:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

[1] https:\/\/nhipcaudautu.vn\/kinh-doanh\/no-world-bank-cua-viet-nam-tang-115-lan-3320705\/
[2] https:\/\/1thegioi.vn\/toc-do-tang-no-cong-giai-doan-2011-2015-la-18-4-nam-106049.html
[3] https:\/\/nld.com.vn\/thoi-su-trong-nuoc\/no-cong-khong-duoc-qua-65-gdp-20161108222255836.htm
[4] https:\/\/voh.com.vn\/kinh-te\/nhieu-cong-ty-trung-quoc-rot-von-dau-tu-vao-viet-nam-411188.html
[5] https:\/\/vnexpress.net\/hsbc-no-ho-gia-dinh-o-viet-nam-tang-cao-4275793.html
[6]https:\/\/www.rfa.org\/vietnamese\/news\/vietnamnews\/g7-aims-to-raise-600-billion-usd-to-counter-china-s-belt-n-oad-06292022052102.html<\/p>\n\n\n\n

[*] T\u1ed5ng th\u1ea7u https:\/\/saigonoffice.com.vn\/engineering-procurement-construction-epc-la-gi.html<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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C\u00e1c kho\u1ea3n n\u1ee3 c\u1ee7a Ch\u00ednh Ph\u1ee7, Doanh Nghi\u1ec7p hay c\u00e1 nh\u00e2n vay b\u1eb1ng \u0111\u1ed3ng M\u1ef9 kim s\u1ebd ph\u1ea3i tr\u1ea3 n\u1ee3 theo l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t m\u1edbi k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb khi Fed quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t \u0111i\u1ec1u h\u00e0nh li\u00ean t\u1ee5c t\u1eeb 0,50% ng\u00e0y 4\/5 th\u00eam 0,75 \u0111i\u1ec3m % v\u00e0o ng\u00e0y 15\/6, v\u1edbi d\u1ef1\u0111\u1ecdc ti\u1ebfp…<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":5367,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[12,57,53],"tags":[118,212,119,82,98,187,226],"class_list":["entry","author-ntviet","post-14533","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-chuyenmuc","category-giaoduc-vanhoc-lichsu","category-kinhte-chinhtri","tag-chinh-tri","tag-chuyen-de","tag-hoa-ky","tag-kinh-te","tag-trung-cong","tag-viet-cong","tag-xa-hoi"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14533","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=14533"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14533\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/5367"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=14533"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=14533"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=14533"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}