{"id":18409,"date":"2023-09-18T05:01:38","date_gmt":"2023-09-18T05:01:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/?p=18409"},"modified":"2023-09-18T05:01:39","modified_gmt":"2023-09-18T05:01:39","slug":"chung-ta-nen-doi-pho-voi-su-suy-tan-cua-trung-quoc-nhu-the-nao","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/?p=18409","title":{"rendered":"Ch\u00fang ta n\u00ean \u0111\u1ed1i ph\u00f3 v\u1edbi s\u1ef1 suy t\u00e0n c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c nh\u01b0 th\u1ebf n\u00e0o?<\/strong>
Bret Stephens<\/span>"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Ngu\u1ed3n:<\/strong>\u00a0Bret Stephens, \u201cHow Do We Manage China\u2019s Decline?,\u201d\u00a0New York Times<\/em><\/mark><\/strong>,<\/em>\u00a029\/08\/2023<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bi\u00ean d\u1ecbch:<\/strong> Nguy\u1ec5n Th\u1ecb Kim Ph\u1ee5ng<\/p>\n\n\n\n

M\u1ea5y n\u0103m tr\u01b0\u1edbc, nh\u00e0 khoa h\u1ecdc ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb c\u1ee7a tr\u01b0\u1eddng Harvard Graham Allison<\/strong> \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1eb7t ra thu\u1eadt ng\u1eef \u201cb\u1eaby Thucydides.<\/strong>\u201d Kh\u00e1i ni\u1ec7m n\u00e0y d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean quan s\u00e1t c\u1ee7a nh\u00e0 s\u1eed h\u1ecdc th\u1eddi c\u1ed5 \u0111\u1ea1i Thucydides, r\u1eb1ng nguy\u00ean nh\u00e2n th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 c\u1ee7a Chi\u1ebfn tranh Peloponnese \u201cl\u00e0 s\u1ef1 tr\u1ed7i d\u1eady c\u1ee7a Athens v\u00e0 n\u1ed7i s\u1ee3 h\u00e3i m\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 gieo r\u1eafc \u1edf Sparta.\u201d Allison nh\u1eadn th\u1ea5y m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng th\u01b0\u1eddng xuy\u00ean \u2013 v\u00e0 chi\u1ebfn tranh th\u01b0\u1eddng xuy\u00ean \u2013 gi\u1eefa c\u00e1c c\u01b0\u1eddng qu\u1ed1c \u0111ang tr\u1ed7i d\u1eady v\u00e0 c\u00e1c c\u01b0\u1eddng qu\u1ed1c b\u00e1 quy\u1ec1n lu\u00f4n l\u1eb7p \u0111i l\u1eb7p l\u1ea1i su\u1ed1t l\u1ecbch s\u1eed. V\u00e0 \u00f4ng tin r\u1eb1ng v\u00ed d\u1ee5 g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y nh\u1ea5t l\u00e0 th\u00e1ch th\u1ee9c m\u00e0 m\u1ed9t Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111ang tr\u1ed7i d\u1eady \u0111\u1eb7t ra cho b\u00e1 quy\u1ec1n c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u0110\u00f3 l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t lu\u1eadn \u0111i\u1ec3m h\u1ea5p d\u1eabn, nh\u01b0ng trong tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c, c\u00f3 m\u1ed9t l\u1ed7 h\u1ed5ng r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng: Th\u00e1ch th\u1ee9c ch\u00ednh m\u00e0 ch\u00fang ta s\u1ebd ph\u1ea3i \u0111\u1ed1i m\u1eb7t t\u1eeb C\u1ed9ng h\u00f2a Nh\u00e2n d\u00e2n Trung Hoa trong th\u1eadp ni\u00ean t\u1edbi <\/mark>kh\u00f4ng b\u1eaft ngu\u1ed3n t\u1eeb s\u1ef1 tr\u1ed7i d\u1eady m\u00e0 t\u1eeb s\u1ef1 suy t\u00e0n c\u1ee7a n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y<\/mark> \u2013 m\u1ed9t \u0111i\u1ec1u v\u1ed1n \u0111\u00e3 hi\u1ec3n nhi\u00ean trong nhi\u1ec1u n\u0103m v\u00e0 \u0111\u00e3 tr\u1edf n\u00ean kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 ph\u1ee7 nh\u1eadn trong n\u0103m ngo\u00e1i, v\u1edbi s\u1ef1 s\u1ee5p \u0111\u1ed5 c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n Trung Qu\u1ed1c.<\/mark><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n

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C\u00e1c nh\u00e0 ho\u1ea1ch \u0111\u1ecbnh ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch ph\u01b0\u01a1ng T\u00e2y c\u1ea7n \u0111\u1ecbnh h\u01b0\u1edbng l\u1ea1i suy ngh\u0129 c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd xung quanh th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf n\u00e0y. Nh\u01b0ng b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch n\u00e0o? D\u01b0\u1edbi \u0111\u00e2y l\u00e0 n\u0103m \u0111i\u1ec1u kh\u00f4ng n\u00ean v\u00e0 hai \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00ean l\u00e0m.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u0110\u1ea7u ti\u00ean, \u0111\u1eebng coi b\u1ea5t h\u1ea1nh c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c l\u00e0 v\u1eadn may c\u1ee7a ch\u00fang ta.<\/mark><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

M\u1ed9t Trung Qu\u1ed1c c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 mua \u00edt h\u01a1n t\u1eeb th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi \u2013 d\u00f9 d\u01b0\u1edbi d\u1ea1ng t\u00fai x\u00e1ch t\u1eeb Italy, \u0111\u1ed3ng t\u1eeb Zambia, hay ng\u0169 c\u1ed1c t\u1eeb M\u1ef9 \u2013 ch\u1eafc ch\u1eafn s\u1ebd c\u1ea3n tr\u1edf t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u. \u0110\u1ed1i v\u1edbi nh\u00e0 s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t chip Qualcomm c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9, 64% doanh thu n\u0103m ngo\u00e1i \u0111\u1ebfn t\u1eeb Trung Qu\u1ed1c; \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi nh\u00e0 s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t xe h\u01a1i Mercedes-Benz c\u1ee7a \u0110\u1ee9c, 37% doanh s\u1ed1 b\u00e1n l\u1ebb xe h\u01a1i \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n \u1edf Trung Qu\u1ed1c. V\u00e0o n\u0103m 2021, Boeing d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o r\u1eb1ng Trung Qu\u1ed1c s\u1ebd chi\u1ebfm kho\u1ea3ng 1\/5 t\u1ed5ng s\u1ed1 m\u00e1y bay th\u00e2n r\u1ed9ng m\u00e0 h\u00e3ng n\u00e0y s\u1ebd giao trong 20 n\u0103m t\u1edbi. C\u00f3 m\u1ed9t s\u1ef1 th\u1eadt hi\u1ec3n nhi\u00ean c\u1ea7n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c nh\u1eafc l\u1ea1i, l\u00e0 ch\u1ec9 c\u00f3 m\u1ed9t n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf duy nh\u1ea5t: n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Th\u1ee9 hai, \u0111\u1eebng cho r\u1eb1ng kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng s\u1ebd ch\u1ec9 di\u1ec5n ra trong th\u1eddi gian ng\u1eafn.<\/mark><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nh\u1eefng ng\u01b0\u1eddi l\u1ea1c quan cho r\u1eb1ng kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng \u1edf Trung Qu\u1ed1c s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng qu\u00e1 n\u1eb7ng n\u1ec1 t\u1edbi c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc ph\u01b0\u01a1ng T\u00e2y, v\u00ec xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd sang Trung Qu\u1ed1c ch\u1ec9 chi\u1ebfm m\u1ed9t ph\u1ea7n nh\u1ecf trong t\u1ed5ng s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd. Nh\u01b0ng quy m\u00f4 ti\u1ec1m t\u00e0ng c\u1ee7a kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng l\u00e0 r\u1ea5t l\u1edbn<\/strong>. Theo m\u1ed9t b\u00e0i b\u00e1o xu\u1ea5t b\u1ea3n n\u0103m 2020 c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 kinh t\u1ebf Ken Rogoff v\u00e0 Yuanchen Yang, b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n v\u00e0 c\u00e1c l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c li\u00ean quan chi\u1ebfm g\u1ea7n 30% t\u1ed5ng s\u1ea3n ph\u1ea9m qu\u1ed1c n\u1ed9i c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c. N\u00f3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u00e0i tr\u1ee3 ph\u1ea7n l\u1edbn b\u1edfi ng\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p qu\u1ef9 t\u00edn th\u00e1c tr\u1ecb gi\u00e1 2,9 ngh\u00ecn t\u1ef7 USD c\u1ee7a n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y, v\u00e0 ng\u00e0nh n\u00e0y d\u01b0\u1eddng nh\u01b0 c\u0169ng \u0111ang lung lay<\/strong>. Ngay c\u1ea3 khi Trung Qu\u1ed1c ng\u0103n ch\u1eb7n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c cu\u1ed9c kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng to\u00e0n di\u1ec7n, t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n s\u1ebd b\u1ecb h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf r\u1ea5t nhi\u1ec1u, b\u1edfi kh\u1ed1i d\u00e2n s\u1ed1 trong \u0111\u1ed9 tu\u1ed5i lao \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ebd gi\u1ea3m g\u1ea7n 1\/4 v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2050.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Th\u1ee9 ba, \u0111\u1eebng cho r\u1eb1ng \u0111\u1ed9i ng\u0169 c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd c\u00f3 n\u0103ng l\u1ef1c qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd kinh t\u1ebf<\/mark>.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Th\u00e1ng tr\u01b0\u1edbc, Donald Trump m\u00f4 t\u1ea3 s\u1ef1 cai tr\u1ecb c\u1ee7a Ch\u1ee7 t\u1ecbch Trung Qu\u1ed1c T\u1eadp C\u1eadn B\u00ecnh l\u00e0 \u201cth\u00f4ng minh, xu\u1ea5t s\u1eafc, m\u1ecdi th\u1ee9 \u0111\u1ec1u ho\u00e0n h\u1ea3o.\u201d Nh\u01b0ng s\u1ef1 th\u1eadt g\u1ea7n v\u1edbi \u0111i\u1ec1u ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i h\u01a1n. Theo m\u1ed9t ng\u01b0\u1eddi b\u1ea1n th\u1eddi ni\u00ean thi\u1ebfu, khi c\u00f2n tr\u1ebb, T\u1eadp \u201c\u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c coi l\u00e0 c\u00f3 tr\u00ed th\u00f4ng minh trung b\u00ecnh,\u201d s\u1edf h\u1eefu b\u1eb1ng \u0111\u1ea1i h\u1ecdc ch\u01b0\u01a1ng tr\u00ecnh ba n\u0103m v\u1ec1 \u201cch\u1ee7 ngh\u0129a M\u00e1c \u1ee9ng d\u1ee5ng,\u201d v\u00e0 \u0111\u00e3 v\u01b0\u1ee3t qua C\u00e1ch m\u1ea1ng V\u0103n h\u00f3a c\u0169ng nh\u01b0 h\u1eadu qu\u1ea3 c\u1ee7a n\u00f3 b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch tr\u1edf n\u00ean \u201c\u0111\u1ecf h\u01a1n c\u1ea3 \u0111\u1ecf.\u201d<\/strong> Nhi\u1ec7m k\u1ef3 l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o t\u1ed1i cao c\u1ee7a \u00f4ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u00e1nh d\u1ea5u b\u1eb1ng s\u1ef1 chuy\u1ec3n h\u01b0\u1edbng sang s\u1ef1 ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t l\u1edbn h\u01a1n c\u1ee7a nh\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf<\/mark><\/strong>, s\u1ef1 qu\u1ea5y r\u1ed1i ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng gia t\u0103ng \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi c\u00e1c doanh nghi\u1ec7p n\u01b0\u1edbc ngo\u00e0i, v\u00e0 m\u1ed9t chi\u1ebfn d\u1ecbch kh\u1ee7ng b\u1ed1 ch\u1ed1ng l\u1ea1i c\u00e1c l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o doanh nghi\u1ec7p c\u00f3 t\u01b0 t\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ed9c l\u1eadp.<\/mark><\/strong> K\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 l\u00e0 t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng th\u00e1o v\u1ed1n ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng t\u0103ng, b\u1ea5t ch\u1ea5p c\u00e1c bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t v\u1ed1n ch\u1eb7t ch\u1ebd.<\/strong> Nh\u1eefng ng\u01b0\u1eddi gi\u00e0u nh\u1ea5t Trung Qu\u1ed1c c\u0169ng \u0111\u00e3 r\u1eddi b\u1ecf \u0111\u1ea5t n\u01b0\u1edbc v\u1edbi s\u1ed1 l\u01b0\u1ee3ng ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng nhi\u1ec1u trong nhi\u1ec7m k\u1ef3 c\u1ee7a T\u1eadp \u2013 m\u1ed9t d\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng cho th\u1ea5y h\u1ecd ngh\u0129 c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 n\u1eb1m \u1edf \u0111\u00e2u v\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng n\u1eb1m \u1edf \u0111\u00e2u.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Th\u1ee9 t\u01b0, \u0111\u1eebng tin v\u00e0o s\u1ef1 \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh n\u1ed9i b\u1ed9.<\/mark><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n

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Quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y c\u1ee7a ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 T\u1eadp C\u1eadn B\u00ecnh \u2013 ng\u1eebng c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 d\u1eef li\u1ec7u v\u1ec1 t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1ea5t nghi\u1ec7p trong gi\u1edbi tr\u1ebb, v\u1ed1n \u0111\u00e3 \u1edf tr\u00ean m\u1ee9c 21% trong th\u00e1ng 6, g\u1ea5p \u0111\u00f4i so v\u1edbi 4 n\u0103m tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u2013 l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t ph\u1ea7n c\u1ee7a m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh che gi\u1ea5u th\u00f4ng tin \u0111\u1ec3 kh\u00f4ng l\u00e0m gi\u1ea3m ni\u1ec1m tin c\u1ee7a nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0. Nh\u01b0ng c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c \u0111\u1ea5u tranh c\u1ee7a gi\u1edbi tr\u1ebb g\u1ea7n nh\u01b0 lu\u00f4n l\u00e0 ngu\u1ed3n g\u1ed1c c\u1ee7a nh\u1eefng bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed5i l\u1edbn, nh\u01b0 \u0111\u00e3 x\u1ea3y ra v\u00e0o n\u0103m 1989, ngay tr\u01b0\u1edbc th\u1ec1m Bi\u1ec3u t\u00ecnh Qu\u1ea3ng tr\u01b0\u1eddng Thi\u00ean An M\u00f4n.<\/mark><\/strong> \u0110\u1eebng b\u1eadn t\u00e2m \u0111\u1ebfn b\u1eaby Thucydides, c\u00e2u chuy\u1ec7n th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c c\u00f3 l\u1ebd n\u1eb1m trong m\u1ed9t phi\u00ean b\u1ea3n c\u1ee7a th\u1ee9 \u0111\u00f4i khi \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c g\u1ecdi l\u00e0 ngh\u1ecbch l\u00fd Tocqueville<\/strong>, r\u1eb1ng c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c c\u00e1ch m\u1ea1ng x\u1ea3y ra khi nh\u1eefng k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng t\u0103ng b\u1ecb c\u1ea3n \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng b\u1edfi c\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n kinh t\u1ebf v\u00e0 x\u00e3 h\u1ed9i x\u1ea5u \u0111i \u0111\u1ed9t ng\u1ed9t.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Th\u1ee9 n\u0103m, \u0111\u1eebng cho r\u1eb1ng quy\u1ec1n l\u1ef1c suy t\u00e0n l\u00e0 quy\u1ec1n l\u1ef1c \u00edt nguy hi\u1ec3m h\u01a1n.<\/mark><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Theo nhi\u1ec1u c\u00e1ch, quy\u1ec1n l\u1ef1c \u0111\u00f3 th\u1eadm ch\u00ed nguy hi\u1ec3m h\u01a1n. C\u00e1c c\u01b0\u1eddng qu\u1ed1c \u0111ang l\u00ean c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ch\u1edd \u0111\u1ee3i th\u1eddi c\u01a1 c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh, nh\u01b0ng c\u00e1c c\u01b0\u1eddng qu\u1ed1c \u0111ang suy t\u00e0n s\u1ebd c\u1ed1 g\u1eafng ch\u1edbp l\u1ea5y m\u1ecdi c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i.<\/mark><\/strong> Trong th\u00e1ng n\u00e0y, T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng Biden \u0111\u00e3 v\u00f4 t\u00ecnh n\u00f3i ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c khi \u00f4ng nh\u1eafc \u0111\u1ebfn c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o Trung Qu\u1ed1c, r\u1eb1ng \u201ckhi k\u1ebb x\u1ea5u g\u1eb7p v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1, h\u1ecd s\u1ebd l\u00e0m \u0111i\u1ec1u x\u1ea5u.\u201d N\u00f3i c\u00e1ch kh\u00e1c, khi v\u1eadn may kinh t\u1ebf c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c suy t\u00e0n, r\u1ee7i ro \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi \u0110\u00e0i Loan s\u1ebd t\u0103ng l\u00ean.<\/mark><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Th\u1ee9 s\u00e1u, h\u00e3y tu\u00e2n th\u1ee7 b\u1ed1n l\u1eb1n ranh \u0111\u1ecf.<\/mark><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

C\u00e1c nh\u00e0 ho\u1ea1ch \u0111\u1ecbnh ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch M\u1ef9 c\u1ea7n ph\u1ea3i c\u01b0\u01a1ng quy\u1ebft v\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng khu\u1ea5t ph\u1ee5c khi \u0111\u1ec1 c\u1eadp \u0111\u1ebfn l\u1ee3i \u00edch c\u1ed1t l\u00f5i trong quan h\u1ec7 gi\u1eefa hai b\u00ean:<\/strong> t\u1ef1 do h\u00e0ng h\u1ea3i, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t l\u00e0 \u1edf Bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u00f4ng; an ninh c\u1ee7a \u0110\u00e0i Loan v\u00e0 c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed3ng minh \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 D\u01b0\u01a1ng-Th\u00e1i B\u00ecnh D\u01b0\u01a1ng kh\u00e1c; b\u1ea3o v\u1ec7 s\u1edf h\u1eefu tr\u00ed tu\u1ec7 v\u00e0 an ninh qu\u1ed1c gia c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9; v\u00e0 s\u1ef1 an to\u00e0n c\u1ee7a c\u00f4ng d\u00e2n M\u1ef9 (c\u1ea3 \u1edf Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u00e0 M\u1ef9) v\u00e0 nh\u00f3m c\u01b0 d\u00e2n g\u1ed1c Hoa<\/mark><\/strong>. Gi\u00fap Ukraine \u0111\u00e1nh b\u1ea1i Nga c\u0169ng l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t ph\u1ea7n trong chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u1ed5ng th\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi Trung Qu\u1ed1c<\/strong>, theo \u0111\u00f3 g\u1eedi t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u v\u1ec1 quy\u1ebft t\u00e2m ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb v\u00e0 n\u0103ng l\u1ef1c qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 c\u1ee7a ph\u01b0\u01a1ng T\u00e2y, khi\u1ebfn B\u1eafc Kinh ph\u1ea3i suy ngh\u0129 k\u1ef9 v\u1ec1 cu\u1ed9c phi\u00eau l\u01b0u qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 qua Eo bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u00e0i Loan.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Th\u1ee9 b\u1ea3y, lu\u00f4n theo \u0111u\u1ed5i ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch h\u00f2a ho\u00e3n.<\/mark><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ch\u00fang ta kh\u00f4ng n\u00ean t\u00ecm ki\u1ebfm m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c Chi\u1ebfn tranh L\u1ea1nh m\u1edbi v\u1edbi Trung Qu\u1ed1c. Ch\u00fang ta c\u0169ng s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 tr\u1ea3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00e1i gi\u00e1 c\u1ee7a m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn tranh n\u00f3ng. Ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng t\u1ed1t nh\u1ea5t tr\u01b0\u1edbc nh\u1eefng tai \u01b0\u01a1ng kinh t\u1ebf c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c l\u00e0 s\u1ef1 h\u00e0o ph\u00f3ng v\u1ec1 kinh t\u1ebf c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9. \u0110i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00f3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u b\u1eb1ng vi\u1ec7c lo\u1ea1i b\u1ecf h\u00e0ng r\u00e0o thu\u1ebf quan c\u1ee7a ch\u00ednh quy\u1ec1n Trump, v\u1ed1n \u0111\u00e3 g\u00e2y t\u1ed5n h\u1ea1i cho c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng ty v\u00e0 ng\u01b0\u1eddi ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng M\u1ef9 nhi\u1ec1u nh\u01b0 c\u00e1ch ch\u00fang g\u00e2y t\u1ed5n h\u1ea1i cho ng\u01b0\u1eddi Trung Qu\u1ed1c.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Li\u1ec7u \u0111i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00f3 c\u00f3 gi\u00fap thay \u0111\u1ed5i m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n v\u1ec1 h\u00e0nh vi x\u1ea5u c\u1ee7a B\u1eafc Kinh hay kh\u00f4ng? Kh\u00f4ng ch\u1eafc. Nh\u01b0ng khi Trung Qu\u1ed1c d\u1ea7n tr\u01b0\u1ee3t v\u00e0o kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng, ch\u00fang ta c\u1ea7n ph\u1ea3i th\u1eed c\u00e1c bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p \u0111\u00f3.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bret Stephens<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ngu\u1ed3n tr\u00edch: Nghi\u00ean C\u1ee9u Qu\u1ed1c T\u1ebf<\/strong>
https:\/\/nghiencuuquocte.org\/2023\/09\/06\/chung-ta-nen-doi-pho-voi-su-suy-tan-cua-trung-quoc-nhu-the-nao\/<\/p>\n\n\n\n

H\u00ecnh \u1ea3nh minh h\u1ecda: V\u1eadn H\u1ed9i M\u1edbi<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Ngu\u1ed3n:\u00a0Bret Stephens, \u201cHow Do We Manage China\u2019s Decline?,\u201d\u00a0New York Times,\u00a029\/08\/2023 Bi\u00ean d\u1ecbch: Nguy\u1ec5n Th\u1ecb Kim Ph\u1ee5ng M\u1ea5y n\u0103m tr\u01b0\u1edbc, nh\u00e0 khoa h\u1ecdc ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb c\u1ee7a tr\u01b0\u1eddng Harvard Graham Allison \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1eb7t ra thu\u1eadt ng\u1eef \u201cb\u1eaby Thucydides.\u201d Kh\u00e1i ni\u1ec7m n\u00e0y d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean quan s\u00e1t c\u1ee7a nh\u00e0 s\u1eed h\u1ecdc th\u1eddi c\u1ed5 \u0111\u1ea1i Thucydides,\u0111\u1ecdc ti\u1ebfp…<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":18419,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[7,8,12,9,53],"tags":[165,118,212,82,98],"class_list":["entry","author-ntviet","post-18409","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-binhluan","category-chinhtri-xahoi","category-chuyenmuc","category-kinhte","category-kinhte-chinhtri","tag-binh-luan","tag-chinh-tri","tag-chuyen-de","tag-kinh-te","tag-trung-cong"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18409","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=18409"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18409\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/18419"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=18409"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=18409"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=18409"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}