{"id":19947,"date":"2024-01-21T08:31:16","date_gmt":"2024-01-21T08:31:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/?p=19947"},"modified":"2024-01-21T08:31:17","modified_gmt":"2024-01-21T08:31:17","slug":"tet-giap-thin-boi-kinh-te-viet-nam","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/?p=19947","title":{"rendered":"T\u1ebeT GI\u00c1P TH\u00ccN: B\u00f3i Kinh T\u1ebf Vi\u1ec7t Nam<\/strong>
Tr\u1ea7n nguy\u00ean Thao<\/span>"},"content":{"rendered":"
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T\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u01b0 b\u00ean T\u1ea7u, sau khi \u0111\u1ed5i m\u1edbi, kinh t\u1ebf Vi\u1ebft Nam c\u00f3 th\u1eddi k\u1ef3 d\u00e0i t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng ngo\u1ea1n m\u1ee5c. N\u0103m 2023, t\u1ed5ng s\u1ea3n ph\u1ea9m qu\u1ed1c n\u1ed9i (GDP) c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7t Nam \u0111\u1ed9t nhi\u00ean th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n n\u0103m 2022 g\u1ea7n 3%; ch\u1ec9 c\u00f2n 5,05%. D\u00f9 v\u1eady, truy\u1ec1n th\u00f4ng v\u00e0 c\u00e1c c\u01a1 quan Ch\u00ednh Ph\u1ee7 v\u1eabn x\u01b0ng t\u1ee5ng kinh t\u1ebf Vi\u1ec7t Nam l\u00e0 \u201c\u0111i\u1ec3m s\u00e1ng trong khu v\u1ef1c v\u00e0 tr\u00ean th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi.\u201d T\u1eeb h\u00ecnh h\u00e0i \u201cc\u00f2i c\u1ecdc\u201d, nhi\u1ec1u\u201cqu\u1ebb b\u00f3i\u201d v\u1ec1 Kinh T\u1ebf Vi\u1ec7t Nam cho n\u0103m Gi\u00e1p Th\u00ecn \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c thi nhau d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n.<\/mark><\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ng\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u00f2ng th\u1eddi gian, nh\u00ecn t\u1eeb c\u0103n b\u1ea3n 10 n\u0103m (1990-2000), th\u1eddi \u0111\u00f3 n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf Vi\u1ec7t Nam \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c m\u00f4 t\u1ea3 c\u00f2n y\u1ebfu k\u00e9m nhi\u1ec1u m\u1eb7t: s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t nh\u1ecf, l\u1ebb; ch\u1ea5t l\u01b0\u1ee3ng k\u00e9m, kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ee7 s\u1ee9c c\u1ea1nh tranh, tr\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed9 nh\u00e2n l\u1ef1c v\u00e0 ki\u1ebfn th\u1ee9c tay ngh\u1ec1 gi\u1edbi h\u1ea1n . . . h\u1ea1 t\u1ea7ng c\u01a1 s\u1edf kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u00e1p \u1ee9ng v\u1edbi \u0111\u00e0 ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n. Nh\u01b0ng, t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng GDP v\u1eabn quanh m\u1ee9c 7 – 8% r\u1ed3i ch\u1eadm d\u1ea7n ngay t\u1eeb n\u0103m 2000 \u2013 Kh\u1edfi \u0111\u1ea7u \u201cth\u1eddi k\u1ef3 ho\u00e0ng kim\u201d n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf b\u1eaft ngu\u1ed3n t\u1eeb Trung c\u1ed9ng \u0111ang k\u1ebft th\u00fac, c\u1ed7 m\u00e1y kinh t\u1ebf kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ee7 s\u1ee9c leo d\u1ed1c n\u00ean m\u1ec7t m\u1ecfi, suy nh\u01b0\u1ee3c. \u0110\u1ebfn n\u0103m 2022, d\u1ef1a v\u00e0o xu\u1ea5t c\u1ea3ng, trong \u0111\u00f3 tr\u00ean 73% do doanh nghi\u1ec7p FDI, nh\u1edd v\u1eady GDP l\u1ea1i \u201cnh\u00f4\u201d l\u00ean tr\u00ean 8%. Sang n\u0103m 2023, t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng GDP ch\u1ec9 c\u00f3 5,05%, th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n n\u0103m 2022 \u0111\u1ebfn g\u1ea7n 3%, v\u1eady m\u00e0 truy\u1ec1n th\u00f4ng Nh\u00e0 N\u01b0\u1edbc d\u00f9ng uy\u1ec3n ng\u1eef hu\u00eanh hoang l\u00e0 \u201c\u0111i\u1ec3m s\u00e1ng\u201d t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng nhanh nh\u1ea5t khu v\u1ef1c v\u00e0 th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi\u201d!<\/p>\n\n\n

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\u0110\u1ea7u n\u0103m 2023 (Qu\u00fd M\u00e3o), d\u00e2n gian \u0111\u1ed3n th\u1ed5i, B\u1eafc Kinh x\u00fai b\u1ea9y \u0111\u1ec3 Ba-D\u00ecnh l\u00e2m c\u1ea3nh GATO(*) <\/sup><\/strong>\u0111\u01b0a cung \u0111\u00ecnh Vi\u1ec7t Nam v\u00e0o \u201cm\u1ea1t v\u1eadn\u201d: Ch\u1ee7 T\u1ecbch N\u01b0\u1edbc Nguy\u1ec5n xu\u00e2n Ph\u00fac, hai Ph\u00f3 Th\u1ee7 T\u01b0\u1edbng, Pham b\u00ecnh Minh v\u00e0 V\u0169 \u0111\u1ee9c \u0110am \u0111\u1ec1u b\u1ecb sao qu\u1ea3 t\u1ea1 ph\u1ee7 tr\u00ean cung quan l\u1ed9c, v\u1eadn tr\u00ecnh xui x\u1ebbo, \u0103n T\u1ebft Qu\u00fd M\u00e3o trong c\u1ea3nh \u201cv\u1ec1 v\u01b0\u1eddn\u201d. <\/strong>Bi\u1ebfn c\u1ed1 n\u00e0y \u0111\u1ea9y \u201cn\u0103ng l\u1ef1c n\u1ed9i sinh\u201d n\u01a1i th\u01b0\u1ee3ng t\u1ea7ng ki\u1ebfn tr\u00fac c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ea3ng csVN v\u00e0o r\u1ec7u r\u00e3 v\u00e0 b\u1ecb \u201cm\u1ea5t ni\u1ec1m tin\u201d trong con m\u1eaft m\u1ecdi gi\u1edbi. \u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch \u201cCh\u1ed1ng tham nh\u0169ng kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 v\u00f9ng c\u1ea5m\u201d<\/strong> t\u1eeb n\u0103m 2013 cho \u0111\u1ebfn nay; l\u1ea1i kh\u00f4ng ai bi\u1ebft t\u1eeb khi n\u00e0o tham nh\u0169ng \u0111\u00e3 khai th\u00f4ng sang \u201cc\u00e1t v\u1eadn\u201d hi\u00ean ngang tung ho\u00e0nh \u201ckh\u00f4ng c\u1ea5m v\u00f9ng n\u00e0o\u201d<\/strong>;<\/strong> l\u00e0m cho s\u1ed1 v\u1ee5 ph\u1ea1m t\u1ed9i v\u1ec1 tr\u1eadt t\u1ef1 qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd kinh t\u1ebf \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ph\u00e1t hi\u1ec7n nhi\u1ec1u h\u01a1n 11,69%, s\u1ed1 v\u1ee5 ph\u1ea1m t\u1ed9i v\u1ec1 tham nh\u0169ng v\u00e0 ch\u1ee9c v\u1ee5 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ph\u00e1t hi\u1ec7n nhi\u1ec1u h\u01a1n 51,63%\u201d. M\u1edbi ch\u1ec9 c\u00f3 s\u1ed1 li\u1ec7u 7 n\u0103m (2013-2020) \u0111\u00e3 c\u00f3 1900 v\u1ee5 \u00e1n tham nh\u0169ng; 131.000 \u0111\u1ea3ng vi\u00ean, trong \u0111\u00f3 c\u00f3 t\u1edbi 110 c\u00e1n b\u1ed9 thu\u1ed9c di\u1ec7n Trung \u01b0\u01a1ng qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd (27 \u1ee6y vi\u00ean v\u00e0 nguy\u00ean \u1ee6y vi\u00ean Trung \u01b0\u01a1ng \u0110\u1ea3ng, 4 \u1ee6y vi\u00ean B\u1ed9 Ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb, 30 s\u0129 quan c\u1ea5p t\u01b0\u1edbng thu\u1ed9c l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng v\u0169 trang) \u0111\u00e3 b\u1ecb x\u1eed l\u00fd k\u1ef7 lu\u1eadt [1]<\/a><\/strong>. C\u00e1c n\u0103m g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y s\u1ed1 v\u1ee5 \u0111\u1ea1i \u00e1n tham nh\u0169ng, h\u1ed1i l\u1ed9 l\u1ea1i gia t\u0103ng \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 nh\u01b0: v\u1ee5 Vi\u1ec7t \u00c1, Trung t\u00e2m \u0110\u0103ng Ki\u1ec3m, Chuy\u1ebfn bay gi\u1ea3i c\u1ee9u hay v\u1ee5 V\u1ea1n Thinh Ph\u00e1t m\u1ee9c thi\u1ec7t h\u1ea1i \u0111\u1ebfn 10% GDP . . . ch\u01b0a c\u00f3 s\u1ed1 li\u1ec7u chi ti\u1ebft!<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Tr\u01b0\u1edbc T\u1ebft Gi\u00e1p Th\u00ecn, T\u1ed5ng B\u00ed Th\u01b0 Nguy\u1ec5n ph\u00fa Tr\u1ecdng, tu\u1ed5i Gi\u00e1p Th\u00e2n (1944), m\u1ea1ng tuy\u00ean trung th\u1ee7y, x\u01b0\u01a1ng con kh\u1ec9, t\u01b0\u1edbng tinh con heo, \u0111\u1ed9t ng\u1ed9t g\u1eb7p hung tinh chi\u1ebfu v\u00e0o cung m\u1ec7nh khi\u1ebfn b\u1ec7nh b\u1ea5t ng\u1edd ch\u01b0a \u201cx\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh\u201d nguy\u00ean nh\u00e2n. S\u1ee9c kh\u1ecfe c\u1ee7a ng\u01b0\u1eddi quy\u1ec1n uy nh\u1ea5t Vi\u1ec7t Nam, 79 tu\u1ed5i, theo t\u1eed vi c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 suy y\u1ebfu h\u01a1n n\u1eefa t\u1eeb th\u00e1ng 2 \u0111\u1ebfn th\u00e1ng 5. T\u00ecnh hu\u1ed1ng n\u00e0y khi\u1ebfn nh\u1eefng Nam nh\u00e2n uy quy\u1ec1n m\u1ed9t c\u00f5i nh\u01b0 \u00f4ng Tr\u1ecdng, t\u1eebng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c sao M\u1ed9c \u0110\u1ee9c ph\u00f9 tr\u00ec v\u00f4 v\u00e0n t\u00e0i l\u1ed9c tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3, nay ph\u00fat ch\u1ed1c c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 bi\u1ebfn th\u00e0nh c\u1ee7a \u201cv\u00f4 ngh\u0129a\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n

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G\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y, \u00f4ng Tr\u1ecdng \u0111\u00e3 xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n trong h\u00ecnh h\u00e0i \u201cxi\u00eau v\u1eb9o\u201d h\u00f4m 15 th\u00e1ng Gi\u00eang (tr\u01b0\u1edbc T\u1ebft Gi\u00e1p Th\u00ecn ch\u1ec9 26 ng\u00e0y) t\u1ea1i phi\u00ean h\u1ecdp b\u1ea5t th\u01b0\u1eddng Qu\u1ed1c H\u1ed9i. H\u00ecnh \u1ea3nh tr\u00ean video cho th\u1ea5y, \u00f4ng Tr\u1ecdng c\u1ed1 \u0111\u1ee9ng l\u00ean, nh\u01b0ng ph\u1ea3i \u201cv\u1ed9i b\u1ea5u tay v\u00e0o b\u00e0n\u201d v\u00e0 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c Ch\u1ee7 t\u1ecbch n\u01b0\u1edbc V\u00f5 V\u0103n Th\u01b0\u1edfng \u00e2n c\u1ea7n n\u00e2ng \u0111\u1ee1<\/strong>. (https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/?p=19863<\/a>)<\/p>\n\n\n\n

T\u1eeb b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh c\u1ee7a c\u01a1 ch\u1ebf ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb n\u1ea3y sinh tham nh\u0169ng b\u1ea5t tr\u1ecb l\u00e0m \u201cch\u1ea3y m\u00e1u\u201d kinh t\u1ebf, \u0111\u1ebfn l\u00e3nh t\u1ee5 s\u1ed1 m\u1ed9t suy nh\u01b0\u1ee3c, kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 \u0111i\u1ec1u h\u00e0nh gu\u1ed3ng m\u00e1y to\u00e0n tr\u1ecb, . . . \u0111\u01b0a \u0111\u1ebfn c\u00e1c khuynh h\u01b0\u1edbng b\u00f3i kinh t\u1ebf n\u0103m Gi\u00e1p Th\u00ecn (2024) t\u00f3m l\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u01b0\u1edbi \u0111\u00e2y trong 3 qu\u1ebb:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

1. N\u0103m Gi\u00e1p Th\u00ecn kinh t\u1ebf Vi\u1ec7t Nam b\u1ecb sao \u0110\u00e0 La h\u00e3m \u0111\u1ecba, n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf thi\u1ebfu h\u1eb3n \u0111i\u1ec1m l\u00e0nh:<\/strong> c\u00f3 ho\u1ea1ch ph\u00e1t c\u1ee5c b\u1ed9, nh\u01b0ng ho\u1ea1ch ph\u00e1 mau l\u1eb9, nhi\u1ec1u l\u00e3nh v\u1ef1c ph\u1ea3i d\u1ef1a v\u00e0o ng\u01b0\u1eddi ngo\u00e0i, ph\u00fac l\u1ee3i b\u1ea1o ph\u00e1t, b\u1ea1o t\u00e0n, vay n\u1ee3 t\u1ee9 ph\u01b0\u01a1ng do chi ti\u00eau vung v\u00edt, nh\u01b0ng ch\u01b0a \u0111\u1ebfn n\u1ed7i ph\u00e1 s\u1ea3n, do c\u00e1c nguy\u00ean nh\u00e2n d\u01b0\u1edbi \u0111\u00e2y:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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