{"id":20132,"date":"2024-02-06T08:14:35","date_gmt":"2024-02-06T08:14:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/?p=20132"},"modified":"2024-02-06T21:49:16","modified_gmt":"2024-02-06T21:49:16","slug":"nam-2024-viet-nam-khung-hoangchinh-tri-va-tai-chanh","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/?p=20132","title":{"rendered":"<strong>N\u0103m 2024 Vi\u1ec7t Nam Kh\u1ee7ng Ho\u1ea3ng<br>CH\u00cdNH TR\u1eca v\u00e0 T\u00c0I CH\u00c1NH (?)<\/strong><br><span style='color:#00a0ff;font-size:.9em;font-weight:500;'>-Tr\u1ea7n Nguy\u00ean Thao<\/span>"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><em><strong>Tr\u1ea7n Nguy\u00ean Thao<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong><em>S\u1ee9c kh\u1ecfe l\u00e3nh t\u1ee5 s\u1ed1 1 Vi\u1ec7t Nam suy ki\u1ec7t, d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o.<\/em><\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong><em>10 Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i (NHTM) Vi\u1ec7t Nam y\u1ebfu k\u00e9m.<\/em><\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong><em>N\u0103m 2023, ch\u1ec9 13 ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng thu l\u1ee3i, nhi\u1ec1u nh\u00e0 b\u0103ng l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn \u00e2m.<\/em><\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong><em>T\u00edn d\u1ee5ng ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c t\u0103ng cao 140%\/GDP s\u1ebd d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn r\u1ee7i ro kinh t\u1ebf v\u0129 m\u00f4.<\/em><\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><em>N<\/em><em>\u1ec1n Kinh T\u1ebf Vi\u1ec7t Nam <\/em><em>n\u0103m 2024 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ch\u00ednh th\u1ee9c <\/em><em>nh\u00ecn nh\u1eadn c\u00f2n nhi\u1ec1u r\u1ee7i ro, kh\u1ed1i ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i (NHTM) c\u00f3 \u0111\u1ebfn 33% y\u1ebfu k\u00e9m v\u00e0<\/em><em> tr\u00e0n ng\u1eadp n\u1ee3 x\u1ea5u. Trong khi nguy c\u01a1 \u0111e d\u1ecda x\u00e1o tr\u1ed9n ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb n\u01a1i th\u01b0\u1ee3ng t\u1ea7ng ki\u1ebfn tr\u00fac &#8211; c\u00e1i \u201cn\u00f4i\u201d \u0111\u01b0a ra m\u1ec7nh l\u1ec7nh \u0111\u1ed9c quy\u1ec1n cai tr\u1ecb \u0111ang \u201cxi\u00eau v\u1eb9o\u201d nhi\u1ec1u kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ea5u \u0111\u00e1 n\u1ed9i b\u1ed9, g\u00e2y ra \u201cb\u1ea5t \u1ed5n ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb\u201d khi\u1ebfn n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf \u201c\u1ecdp \u1eb9p\u201d ngay t\u1eeb tr\u01b0\u1edbc T\u1ebft Gi\u00e1p Th\u00ecn.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>G\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y nh\u1ea5t, ng\u00e0y 29 th\u00e1ng 01 n\u0103m 2024, TBT Nguy\u1ec5n ph\u00fa Tr\u1ecdng kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n trong d\u1ecbp Vi\u1ec7t Nam \u0111\u00f3n T\u1ed5ng Th\u1ed1ng Phi Lu\u1eadt T\u00e2n, Ferdinand Romualdez Marcos Jr. th\u0103m ch\u00ednh th\u1ee9c Vi\u1ec7t Nam. Tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3 40 ng\u00e0y, \u00f4ng Tr\u1ecdng c\u0169ng \u0111\u00e3 kh\u00f4ng hi\u1ec7n di\u1ec7n trong chuy\u1ebfn th\u0103m c\u1ee7a Th\u1ee7 t\u01b0\u1edbng V\u01b0\u01a1ng qu\u1ed1c Campuchia &#8211; Samdech Moha Bovor Thipadei Hun Manet th\u0103m ch\u00ednh th\u1ee9c Vi\u1ec7t Nam hai ng\u00e0y 11-12 th\u00e1ng 12 n\u0103m 2023.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"alignleft size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"300\" height=\"237\" src=\"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/NPTrong.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-20134\"\/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p>Nhi\u1ec7m k\u1ef3 c\u1ee7a v\u1ecb T\u1ed5ng B\u00ed Th\u01b0 tham quy\u1ec1n c\u00f2n m\u00e3i \u0111\u1ebfn n\u0103m 2026, th\u1eddi k\u1ef3 c\u00f2n l\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a \u00f4ng Tr\u1ecdng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c m\u00f4 t\u1ea3 nh\u01b0 m\u1ed9t ng\u01b0\u1eddi \u201ckh\u00f4ng minh m\u1eabn \u0111\u1ee7 \u0111\u1ec3 c\u00e2n nh\u1eafc nh\u1eefng vi\u1ec7c l\u1edbn c\u1ee7a qu\u1ed1c gia\u201d gi\u1eefa l\u00fac ch\u01b0a c\u00f3 ng\u01b0\u1eddi k\u1ebf v\u1ecb t\u1ea1o ra kho\u1ea3ng tr\u1ed1ng quy\u1ec1n l\u1ef1c. \u00a0Nh\u00f3m c\u00e1n b\u1ed9 c\u1eadn th\u1ea7n nh\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a v\u1ecb T\u1ed5ng B\u00ed Th\u01b0 b\u1ec7nh ho\u1ea1n, nhi\u1ec1u kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng \u0111ang t\u00ecm c\u00e1ch duy tr\u00ec hi\u1ec7n tr\u1ea1ng \u0111\u1ec3 thao t\u00fang n\u1ed9i cung. T\u00ecnh hu\u1ed1ng n\u00e0y s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng gi\u1eef \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u00e2u v\u00e0 s\u1ebd \u0111\u01b0a \u0111\u1ebfn nh\u1eefng \u0111\u1ea5u \u0111\u00e1 kh\u1ed1c li\u1ec7t \u0111\u1ec3 tranh \u0111o\u1ea1t l\u1ee3i quy\u1ec1n r\u1ea5t tai h\u1ea1i cho n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf \u0111ang \u201cch\u00e0o t\u1eeb bi\u1ec7t th\u1eddi ho\u00e0ng kim\u201d \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111i v\u00e0o th\u1eddi k\u1ef3 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng ch\u1eadm l\u1ea1i, nh\u01b0 n\u0103m 2023, GDP Vi\u1ec7t Nam ch\u1ec9 c\u00f3 5,05%, th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n n\u0103m 2022 t\u1edbi 2,97%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Hi\u1ec7n nay Ph\u00f3 Th\u1ee7 T\u01b0\u1edbng \u0111\u1eb7c tr\u00e1ch Kinh T\u1ebf L\u00ea minh Kh\u00e1i v\u00e0 Ng\u00e2n H\u00e0ng Nh\u00e0 N\u01b0\u1edbc (NHNN) \u0111ang \u201cg\u1eddm\u201d nhau sau khi ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 ra l\u1ec7nh th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n kh\u1ea9n tr\u01b0\u01a1ng thanh tra NHNN t\u1eeb \u0111\u1ea7u th\u00e1ng 12 n\u0103m ngo\u00e1i v\u1ec1 ph\u00e2n ph\u1ed1i t\u00edn d\u1ee5ng n\u0103m 2023, cho \u0111\u1ebfn nay ch\u01b0a c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3, nh\u01b0ng NHNN \u0111\u00e3 b\u1ecb \u201cg\u1ee1 tay\u201d kh\u1ecfi ph\u1ea7n h\u00e0nh ph\u00e2n ph\u1ed3i t\u00edn d\u1ee5ng th\u01b0\u1eddng l\u1ec7. To\u00e0n ch\u1ec9 ti\u00eau 15% t\u00edn d\u1ee5ng n\u0103m 2024 \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c NHNN trao cho kh\u1ed1i NHTM t\u1eeb \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m nay. &nbsp;(<a href=\"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/?p=19863\">https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/?p=19863<\/a>)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>N\u1ebfu t\u00ednh l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn tr\u01b0\u1edbc thu\u1ebf, th\u00ec nhi\u1ec1u ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Qu\u00fd IV n\u0103m ngo\u00e1i, \u0111\u00e3 l\u00e0m \u0103n l\u1ed7 l\u00e3, l\u1ea7n l\u01b0\u1ee3t \u201c\u1ed1 danh\u201d ch\u1ed1n th\u01b0\u01a1ng tr\u01b0\u1eddng, g\u1ed3m: NCBank -436%; ABB l\u00e0 -124%; PGB -5%. To\u00e0n n\u0103m 2023 c\u00f3 \u0111\u1ebfn 6 ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn tr\u01b0\u1edbc thu\u1ebf \u0111i l\u00f9i: TPB l\u00e0 -67%; Ki\u00ean Long Bank l\u00e0 -53%; MSBank l\u00e0 -37%; OCBank l\u00e0 -25%; VIBank l\u00e0 -14%; v\u00e0 VCBank -6%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Trong 31 NHTM t\u1ea1i Vi\u1ec7t nam, ch\u1ec9 c\u00f3 13 ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng c\u00f3 l\u00e3i n\u0103m 2023, c\u00f2n \u0111\u1ebfn 10 ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng b\u1ecb x\u1ebfp v\u00e0o lo\u1ea1i y\u1ebfu k\u00e9m v\u1ec1 chuy\u00ean ng\u00e0nh t\u00e0i ch\u00e1nh: bao g\u1ed3m qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd kh\u00f4ng hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3, r\u1ee7i ro t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh kh\u00f4ng ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c, nh\u01b0 n\u1ee3 x\u1ea5u, thi\u1ebfu ngu\u1ed3n v\u1ed1n \u0111\u1ee7 m\u1ea1nh ho\u1eb7c c\u00e1c v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 ph\u00e1p l\u00fd. Khi t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng \u201cy\u1ebfu k\u00e9m\u201d kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c gi\u1ea3i quy\u1ebft k\u1ecbp th\u1eddi, ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 b\u1ecb \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng nghi\u00eam tr\u1ecdng, g\u00e2y nguy c\u01a1 th\u1ea5t tho\u00e1t t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n, b\u1ea5t \u1ed5n trong h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh v\u00e0 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn nguy c\u01a1 ph\u00e1 s\u1ea3n \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn to\u00e0n b\u1ed9 n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf. [1]<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Nh\u1eefng ng\u00e0y s\u00e1t T\u1ebft Gi\u00e1p Th\u00ecn, kh\u1ed1i NHTM b\u0103n kho\u0103n v\u00ec l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t ti\u1ebft ki\u1ec7m \u0111\u1ecbnh k\u1ef3 b\u1ecb \u201c\u0111\u1ed5 d\u1ed1c\u201d to\u00e0n di\u1ec7n xu\u1ed1ng \u0111\u1ebfn m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p nh\u1ea5t \u201cph\u00e1 \u0111\u00e1y l\u1ecbch s\u1eed\u201d trong 10 n\u0103m g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y; v\u1edbi d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o c\u1ea3 n\u0103m s\u1ebd \u0111i ngang, kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 \u201cc\u1eeda l\u00ean\u201d. Do doanh nghi\u1ec7p s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t \u1ef3 \u1ea1ch, ch\u01b0a c\u1ea7n vay v\u1ed1n, cho n\u00ean n\u0103m 2024 l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t cho vay ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c gi\u1ea3m. Ngu\u1ed3n c\u01a1n \u0111\u01b0a \u0111\u1ebfn t\u00ecnh hu\u1ed1ng n\u00e0y l\u00e0 do s\u1ee9c c\u1ea7u n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf suy y\u1ebfu v\u00e0 r\u1ee7i ro n\u1ee3 x\u1ea5u c\u00f3 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gia t\u0103ng.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"alignleft size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"300\" height=\"194\" src=\"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/KinhTeVN_02.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-20135\"\/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p>Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n (B\u0110S) chi\u1ebfm t\u1ef7 tr\u1ecdng tr\u00ean 20% so v\u1edbi t\u1ed5ng t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n to\u00e0n n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf; l\u1ea1i tr\u1ea7m m\u00ecnh trong \u1ea3m \u0111\u1ea1m k\u00e9o d\u00e0i, s\u1ebd t\u1ea1o \u00e1p l\u1ef1c l\u00ean th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu. Ngay \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m 2024, \u0111\u00e3 c\u00f3 2.000 doanh nghi\u1ec7p kinh doanh B\u0110S t\u1ea1m ng\u1eebng ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng, b\u1eb1ng 138% so v\u1edbi c\u00f9ng k\u1ef3. S\u1ed1 doanh nghi\u1ec7p B\u0110S gi\u1ea3i th\u1ec3 l\u00e0 149, b\u1eb1ng 97,4% so v\u1edbi c\u00f9ng k\u1ef3. T\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng m\u1eb7t b\u1eb1ng cho thu\u00ea t\u1ea1i c\u00e1c khu ph\u1ed1 trung t\u00e2m H\u00e0 N\u1ed9i nh\u01b0 Hai B\u00e0 Tr\u01b0ng, Nguy\u1ec5n Th\u00e1i H\u1ecdc, Ph\u00f9ng H\u01b0ng, v\u1ed1n r\u1ea5t \u0111\u1eaft \u0111\u1ecf v\u00e0 nh\u1ed9n nh\u1ecbp x\u01b0a nay, b\u1ed7ng tr\u1edf l\u00ean v\u1eafng v\u1ebb ti\u00eau \u0111i\u1ec1u t\u1eeb tr\u01b0\u1edbc T\u1ebft Gi\u00e1p Th\u00ecn.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>N\u1ebfu t\u00ednh c\u1ea3 n\u1ee3 x\u1ea5u ti\u1ec1m \u1ea9n thu\u1ed9c kh\u1ed1i t\u00edn d\u1ee5ng NHTM, trong \u0111\u00f3 c\u00f3 \u0111\u1ebfn 70% n\u1ee3 x\u1ea5u do t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n th\u1ebf ch\u1ea5p l\u00e0 B\u0110S \u2013 kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 ph\u00e1t m\u00e3i \u0111\u1ec3 thu ti\u1ec1n v\u1ec1 th\u00ec m\u1ee9c n\u1ee3 x\u1ea5u c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00ean \u0111\u1ebfn 6%, cao nh\u1ea5t t\u1eeb n\u0103m 2015. Trong t\u00ecnh hu\u1ed1ng n\u00e0y, c\u00e1c ng\u00e0nh kinh t\u1ebf kh\u00e1c ch\u01b0a k\u1ecbp l\u1ea5y l\u1ea1i \u0111\u00e0 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i, \u00e1p l\u1ef1c n\u1ee3 x\u1ea5u ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng gia t\u0103ng s\u1ebd t\u1ea1o th\u00e0nh \u201cn\u00fat th\u1eaft\u201d kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 g\u1ee1 trong n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf \u0111ang \u1ecdp \u1eb9p.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 Nh\u00e0 Qu\u1ea3n Tr\u1ecb Mua H\u00e0ng &#8211; Manufacturing Purchasing Managers&#8217; Index\u2122 (PMI\u00ae) ng\u00e0nh s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t Vi\u1ec7t Nam \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c S&amp;P Global ghi nh\u1eadn \u0111\u00e3 quay tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i tr\u00ean ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng 50 \u0111i\u1ec3m trong th\u00e1ng \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m, t\u0103ng l\u00ean m\u1ee9c 50,3 \u0111i\u1ec3m so v\u1edbi 48,9 \u0111i\u1ec3m c\u1ee7a th\u00e1ng 12 n\u0103m 2023. M\u1ee9c t\u0103ng khi\u00eam t\u1ed1n trong th\u00e1ng ch\u01b0a \u0111\u1ee7 s\u1ee9c thuy\u1ebft ph\u1ee5c c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng ty tuy\u1ec3n d\u1ee5ng th\u00eam nh\u00e2n vi\u00ean. D\u00f9 trong nh\u1eefng ng\u00e0y gi\u00e1p T\u1ebft Gi\u00e1p Th\u00ecn, l\u01b0\u1ee3ng h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a v\u00e0 gi\u00e1 c\u1ea3 v\u1eabn gi\u1ea3m, nh\u01b0ng s\u1ee9c mua c\u1ee7a gi\u1edbi ti\u00eau th\u1ee5 t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ed1i ch\u1eadm ph\u1ea3n \u1ea3nh nhu c\u1ea7u chung v\u1eabn c\u00f2n y\u1ebfu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Do th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf th\u01b0\u1ee3ng d\u1eabn, n\u1ebfu 15% t\u00edn d\u1ee5ng n\u0103m 2024, t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u01b0\u01a1ng 2 tri\u1ec7u t\u1ef7 \u0111\u1ed3ng; ch\u1ec9 m\u1ed9t ph\u1ea7n l\u1ecdt v\u00e0o 10 ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng y\u1ebfu k\u00e9m th\u00ec coi nh\u01b0 \u201cgiao tr\u1ee9ng cho \u00e1c\u201d. B\u1edfi v\u00ec trong s\u1ed1 4 ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng y\u1ebfu k\u00e9m nh\u1ea5t t\u1eebng c\u00f3 ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng n\u0103m 2019 nh\u01b0 OceanBank l\u1ed7 h\u01a1n 17.900 t\u1ef7 \u0111\u1ed3ng; CBBank l\u1ed7 lu\u1ef9 31.000 t\u1ef7 \u0111\u1ed3ng. Ngo\u00e0i ra, ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng SCB b\u1ecb \u201cr\u00fat ru\u1ed9t\u201d \u0111\u1ebfn 12 t\u1ef7 M\u1ef9 kim, \u0111ang trong t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng b\u1ecb ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Doanh nghi\u1ec7p Vi\u1ec7t Nam tr\u00f4ng c\u1eady tr\u00ean 70% t\u00edn d\u1ee5ng n\u01a1i kh\u1ed1i NHTM. N\u1ebfu n\u0103m 2024, Ch\u00ednh Ph\u1ee7 c\u0169ng \u00e9p nh\u01b0 n\u0103m ngo\u00e1i \u0111\u1ec3 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng t\u00edn d\u1ee5ng \u0111\u1ea1t g\u1ea7n 15%; t\u1ed5ng s\u1ea3n ph\u1ea9m qu\u1ed1c n\u1ed9i (GDP) \u0111\u1ea1t g\u1ea7n ch\u1ec9 ti\u00eau l\u00e0 6,5% th\u00ec \u0111\u1ebfn cu\u1ed1i n\u0103m 2024 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 d\u01b0 n\u1ee3 tr\u00ean GDP ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c leo l\u00ean g\u1ea7n m\u1ee9c 143-144%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Theo s\u1ed1 li\u1ec7u ch\u00ednh th\u1ee9c, t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 d\u01b0 n\u1ee3 c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7t Nam tr\u00ean GDP t\u0103ng li\u00ean t\u1ee5c m\u1ed7i n\u0103m: 2015, l\u00e0 89,7%; 2016 l\u00e0 97,6%; 2017 l\u00e0 103,5%; 2018 l\u00e0 102,9%; 2019 l\u00e0 110,2%, 2020 l\u00e0 114,3%; 2021 l\u00e0 113,2%; 2022 l\u00e0 h\u01a1n 125%. Ng\u00e2n H\u00e0ng Th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi (WB) t\u1eebng c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o nhi\u1ec1u l\u1ea7n, d\u01b0 n\u1ee3 trong n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf Vi\u1ec7t Nam \u201ckh\u00e1 cao\u201d so v\u1edbi c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc thu nh\u1eadp trung b\u00ecnh th\u1ea5p c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn r\u1ee7i ro v\u0129 m\u00f4 trong n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf.&nbsp; (<a href=\"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/?p=19947\">https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/?p=19947<\/a>).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u0110\u1ed1i v\u1edbi c\u00e1c l\u00e3nh v\u1ef1c kh\u00e1c, trong th\u00e1ng 01\/2024, c\u00f3 43,9 ngh\u00ecn doanh nghi\u1ec7p \u0111\u0103ng k\u00fd t\u1ea1m ng\u1eebng kinh doanh c\u00f3 th\u1eddi h\u1ea1n, t\u0103ng 25,5% so v\u1edbi c\u00f9ng k\u1ef3 n\u0103m tr\u01b0\u1edbc; c\u00f3 7.798 doanh nghi\u1ec7p ng\u1eebng ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng ch\u1edd l\u00e0m th\u1ee7 t\u1ee5c gi\u1ea3i th\u1ec3, t\u0103ng 14%; c\u00f3 2.165 doanh nghi\u1ec7p ho\u00e0n t\u1ea5t th\u1ee7 t\u1ee5c gi\u1ea3i th\u1ec3, t\u0103ng 6,2%. S\u1ed1 doanh nghi\u1ec7p r\u00fat lui kh\u1ecfi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng l\u00e0 53,9 ngh\u00ecn doanh nghi\u1ec7p, t\u0103ng 22,8% so v\u1edbi c\u00f9ng k\u1ef3 n\u0103m tr\u01b0\u1edbc. \u0110i\u1ec3m s\u00e1ng c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7t Nam l\u1ea1i d\u1ef1a v\u00e0o \u0111\u00f4i ch\u00e2n c\u1ee7a ng\u01b0\u1eddi ngo\u00e0i, t\u00ednh \u0111\u1ebfn ng\u00e0y 20\/01\/2024 bao g\u1ed3m v\u1ed1n \u0111\u0103ng k\u00fd c\u1ea5p m\u1edbi, v\u1ed1n \u0111\u0103ng k\u00fd \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh v\u00e0 gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb g\u00f3p v\u1ed1n, mua c\u1ed5 ph\u1ea7n c\u1ee7a nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 n\u01b0\u1edbc ngo\u00e0i \u0111\u1ea1t 2,36 t\u1ef7 M\u1ef9 kim, t\u0103ng 40,2% so v\u1edbi c\u00f9ng k\u1ef3 n\u0103m tr\u01b0\u1edbc.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"alignleft size-full is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"300\" height=\"186\" src=\"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/Tien_DaoDuc.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-20136\" style=\"width:353px;height:auto\"\/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p>Gi\u1ea3i ng\u00e2n v\u1ed1n \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u00f4ng trong th\u00e1ng 1 \u0111\u1ea1t 2,58%, t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u01b0\u01a1ng 16.900 t\u1ef7 \u0111\u1ed3ng. Trung \u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u00e3 giao cho \u0111\u1ecba ph\u01b0\u01a1ng 632.000 t\u1ef7 \u0111\u1ed3ng, t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u01b0\u01a1ng g\u1ea7n 97% v\u1ed1n \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u00f4ng n\u0103m 2024. Ch\u00ednh Ph\u1ee7 hy v\u1ecdng \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u00f4ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecba ph\u01b0\u01a1ng gi\u1ea3i ng\u00e2n \u0111\u1ea7y \u0111\u1ee7 gi\u00fap cho t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng GDP, nh\u01b0ng quan ch\u1ee9c th\u00ec quen v\u1edbi v\u0103n h\u00f3a \u201ckh\u00f4ng b\u00f4i tr\u01a1n\u201d th\u00ec vi\u1ec7c g\u00ec c\u0169ng \u201c\u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u00f3\u201d, n\u00ean v\u1eabn x\u1ea9y ra t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng \u201cl\u00e3n c\u00f4ng\u201d trong h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng quan quy\u1ec1n csVN.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>H\u00f4m m\u00f9ng 03 th\u00e1ng 02 n\u0103m 2024, \u0111\u00e0i VOA thu\u1eadt tin t\u1eeb L\u01b0\u1ee1ng Vi\u1ec7n Qu\u1ed1c H\u1ed9i Hoa K\u1ef3 cho bi\u1ebft c\u00f3 30 Th\u01b0\u1ee3ng Ngh\u1ecb S\u1ef9 M\u1ef9 k\u00eau g\u1ecdi ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 Biden kh\u00f4ng c\u1ea5p quy ch\u1ebf kinh t\u1ebf th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng cho Vi\u1ec7t Nam, v\u00e0 c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o \u201cquy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh v\u1ed9i v\u00e0ng \u2026 s\u1ebd l\u00e0m suy y\u1ebfu vi\u1ec7c th\u1ef1c thi lu\u1eadt th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i v\u00e0 an ninh qu\u1ed1c gia c\u1ee7a Hoa K\u1ef3, ch\u1ec9 c\u00e0ng khu\u1ebfch tr\u01b0\u01a1ng v\u00e0 t\u1ea1o l\u1ee3i th\u1ebf cho \u0111\u1ea3ng c\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n Trung c\u1ed9ng v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea3ng csVN m\u00e0 th\u00f4i\u201d, v\u00e0 <em>\u201cl\u00e0m t\u1ed5n th\u01b0\u01a1ng c\u00e1c ng\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p M\u1ef9 c\u0169ng nh\u01b0 ng\u01b0\u1eddi lao \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a Hoa K\u1ef3\u201d<\/em>. T\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1 v\u1edbi Th\u01b0\u1ee3ng Vi\u1ec7n, 25 D\u00e2n Bi\u1ec3u, c\u0169ng g\u1eedi th\u01b0 chung \u0111\u1ebfn B\u1ed9 tr\u01b0\u1edfng Th\u01b0\u01a1ng M\u1ea1i Gina Raimondo, l\u1eadp lu\u1eadn r\u1eb1ng Vi\u1ec7t Nam kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u00e1p \u1ee9ng c\u00e1c y\u00eau c\u1ea7u v\u1ec1 th\u1ee7 t\u1ee5c \u0111\u1ec3 thay \u0111\u1ed5i t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng hi\u1ec7n nay sang quy ch\u1ebf Kinh T\u1ebf Th\u1ecb Tr\u01b0\u1eddng. [2]<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3, The Economist c\u01a1 quan ng\u00f4n lu\u1eadn chuy\u00ean v\u1ec1 Kinh T\u1ebf &amp; Ch\u00ednh Tr\u1ecb c\u00f3 \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng g\u1ea7n 200 n\u0103m tr\u00ean th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi, l\u01b0\u1ee3ng gi\u00e1 r\u1eb1ng \u201cC\u00f3 r\u1ea5t \u00edt qu\u1ed1c gia s\u1edf h\u1eefu nhi\u1ec1u l\u1ee3i th\u1ebf nh\u01b0 Vi\u1ec7t Nam \u0111\u1ec3 tr\u1edf n\u00ean gi\u00e0u c\u00f3, nh\u01b0ng s\u1ef1 t\u1eafc ngh\u1ebdn tr\u00ean th\u01b0\u1ee3ng t\u1ea7ng ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb qu\u1ed1c gia do s\u1ee9c kh\u1ecfe c\u1ee7a TBT Nguy\u1ec5n ph\u00fa Tr\u1ecdng suy y\u1ebfu, \u0111ang tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh \u201cn\u00fat th\u1eaft\u201d ch\u01b0a g\u1ee1 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c. V\u00ec v\u1eady, The Economist, \u0111\u00e3 c\u1ed5 x\u00fay \u0111\u1ec3 \u201cVi\u1ec7t Nam c\u1ea7n m\u1ed9t nh\u00e0 l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o m\u1edbi\u201d. \u00a0[3]<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em><strong>Tr\u1ea7n Nguy\u00ean Thao<\/strong><\/em><br><em>(\u00c1p t\u1ebft Gi\u00e1p Th\u00ecn)<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p>[1] https:\/\/visacanada.edu.vn\/danh-sach-cac-ngan-hang-yeu-kem-tai-viet-nam.html<br>[2] https:\/\/www.voatiengviet.com\/a\/hon-30-nghi-si-my-phan-doi-viec-xet-cong-nhan-kinh-te-thi-truong-cho-viet-nam\/7469363.html<br>[3] https:\/\/www.economist.com\/leaders\/2024\/01\/25\/vietnam-needs-a-new-leader<br><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Tr\u1ea7n Nguy\u00ean Thao N\u1ec1n Kinh T\u1ebf Vi\u1ec7t Nam n\u0103m 2024 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ch\u00ednh th\u1ee9c nh\u00ecn nh\u1eadn c\u00f2n nhi\u1ec1u r\u1ee7i ro, kh\u1ed1i ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i (NHTM) c\u00f3 \u0111\u1ebfn 33% y\u1ebfu k\u00e9m v\u00e0 tr\u00e0n ng\u1eadp n\u1ee3 x\u1ea5u. Trong khi nguy c\u01a1 \u0111e d\u1ecda x\u00e1o tr\u1ed9n ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb n\u01a1i th\u01b0\u1ee3ng t\u1ea7ng ki\u1ebfn tr\u00fac<span class=\"more-link\"><a href=\"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/?p=20132\">\u0111\u1ecdc ti\u1ebfp&#8230;<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":20136,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[7,12,9,53],"tags":[165,118,212,82,81,226],"class_list":["entry","author-nduong","post-20132","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-binhluan","category-chuyenmuc","category-kinhte","category-kinhte-chinhtri","tag-binh-luan","tag-chinh-tri","tag-chuyen-de","tag-kinh-te","tag-viet-nam","tag-xa-hoi"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20132","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=20132"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20132\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/20136"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=20132"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=20132"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=20132"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}