{"id":23217,"date":"2024-11-22T18:45:51","date_gmt":"2024-11-22T18:45:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/?p=23217"},"modified":"2024-11-22T18:45:56","modified_gmt":"2024-11-22T18:45:56","slug":"chien-tranh-ukraine-da-tro-thanh-mot-cuoc-chien-tranh-the-gioi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/?p=23217","title":{"rendered":"Chi\u1ebfn tranh Ukraine \u0111\u00e3 tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn tranh th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi?<\/strong>
Michael Kimmage & Hanna Notte<\/span>"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n
\"\"
============<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

Ngu\u1ed3n:<\/strong> Michael Kimmage v\u00e0 Hanna Notte, \u201cHow Ukraine Became a World War,\u201d Foreign Affairs<\/em><\/mark><\/strong>,<\/em> 07\/11\/2024<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bi\u00ean d\u1ecbch:<\/strong> Nguy\u1ec5n Th\u1ecb Kim Ph\u1ee5ng<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nh\u1eefng t\u00e1c nh\u00e2n m\u1edbi \u0111ang bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed5i xung \u0111\u1ed9t \u2013 v\u00e0 l\u00e0m ph\u1ee9c t\u1ea1p con \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u1ec3 k\u1ebft th\u00fac n\u00f3.<\/mark><\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Cu\u1ed9c x\u00e2m l\u01b0\u1ee3c Ukraine c\u1ee7a Nga v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 2\/2022 l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t s\u1ef1 ki\u1ec7n c\u00f3 quy m\u00f4 to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u. Quy m\u00f4 c\u1ee7a cu\u1ed9c x\u00e2m l\u01b0\u1ee3c, t\u01b0\u01a1ng x\u1ee9ng v\u1edbi m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau x\u00f3a b\u1ecf nh\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc Ukraine, l\u00e0 r\u1ea5t l\u1edbn.<\/strong> H\u00e0ng tri\u1ec7u ng\u01b0\u1eddi t\u1ecb n\u1ea1n \u0111\u00e3 ch\u1ea1y tr\u1ed1n kh\u1ecfi Ukraine \u0111\u1ebfn ph\u1ea7n c\u00f2n l\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a ch\u00e2u \u00c2u. Gi\u00e1 nhi\u00ean li\u1ec7u v\u00e0 ph\u00e2n b\u00f3n t\u0103ng v\u1ecdt, k\u00edch th\u00edch l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t tr\u00ean to\u00e0n th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi. Cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn c\u0169ng l\u00e0m gi\u00e1n \u0111o\u1ea1n s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t v\u00e0 ph\u00e2n ph\u1ed1i ng\u0169 c\u1ed1c, g\u00e2y quan ng\u1ea1i v\u1ec1 ngu\u1ed3n cung \u1edf nh\u1eefng n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u1eb1m c\u00e1ch xa Nga v\u00e0 Ukraine. V\u00e0 khi xung \u0111\u1ed9t k\u00e9o d\u00e0i sang n\u0103m th\u1ee9 hai v\u00e0 th\u1ee9 ba, ph\u1ea1m vi h\u1eadu qu\u1ea3 qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf c\u1ee7a n\u00f3 l\u1ea1i c\u00e0ng m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Trong giai \u0111o\u1ea1n \u0111\u1ea7u c\u1ee7a cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn, c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia b\u00ean ngo\u00e0i ch\u00e2u \u00c2u ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu ch\u1ec9 c\u1ed1 g\u1eafng qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd c\u00e1c t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a n\u00f3<\/strong>. \u0110\u1ed1i v\u1edbi nh\u1eefng qu\u1ed1c gia ch\u1ecdn kh\u00f4ng tr\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 Ukraine \u2013 kh\u00f4ng cung c\u1ea5p v\u0169 kh\u00ed cho Kyiv ho\u1eb7c tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t Nga \u2013 c\u00f3 hai \u01b0u ti\u00ean n\u1ed5i tr\u1ed9i. Nh\u1eadn th\u1ea5y c\u00f3 nh\u1eefng th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn c\u1ea7n th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n, m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 qu\u1ed1c gia \u0111\u00e3 t\u00ecm c\u00e1ch h\u01b0\u1edfng l\u1ee3i t\u1eeb vi\u1ec7c Nga m\u1ea5t th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng kh\u00ed \u0111\u1ed1t, d\u1ea7u m\u1ecf, v\u00e0 c\u00e1c m\u1eb7t h\u00e0ng kh\u00e1c \u1edf ch\u00e2u \u00c2u v\u00e0 M\u1ef9. Nh\u1eefng qu\u1ed1c gia kh\u00e1c t\u1ef1 \u0111\u1ec1 ngh\u1ecb l\u00e0m trung gian v\u1edbi hy v\u1ecdng ch\u00e2n th\u00e0nh (ho\u1eb7c kh\u00f4ng ch\u00e2n th\u00e0nh) l\u00e0 gi\u1ea3m thi\u1ec3u c\u00e1c chi ph\u00ed tr\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp v\u00e0 th\u1ee9 c\u1ea5p c\u1ee7a cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn, ho\u1eb7c th\u1eadm ch\u00ed ch\u1ea5m d\u1ee9t n\u00f3 ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n. Ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng ngo\u1ea1i giao c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd m\u1ed9t ph\u1ea7n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y b\u1edfi uy t\u00edn \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u1eeb vi\u1ec7c gi\u1ea3i quy\u1ebft m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c xung \u0111\u1ed9t quy m\u00f4 l\u1edbn.<\/p>\n\n\n

\n
\"\"
Ph\u00e1o binh Ukraine \u0111ang x\u1ea1 k\u00edch<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

Tuy nhi\u00ean, khi chi\u1ebfn tranh k\u00e9o d\u00e0i, c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia ngo\u00e0i ch\u00e2u \u00c2u d\u1ea7n can d\u1ef1 nhi\u1ec1u h\u01a1n. M\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 \u0111\u00e3 cung c\u1ea5p cho Nga ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ti\u1ec7n \u0111\u1ec3 k\u00e9o d\u00e0i cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn, ch\u1eb3ng h\u1ea1n nh\u01b0 qu\u00e2n l\u00ednh v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea1n d\u01b0\u1ee3c. B\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng Ukraine l\u00e0m n\u01a1i th\u1eed nghi\u1ec7m, h\u1ecd hy v\u1ecdng chu\u1ea9n b\u1ecb t\u1ed1t h\u01a1n cho c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn m\u00e0 ch\u00ednh h\u1ecd c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 tham gia trong t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai.<\/mark><\/strong> Quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u1ee7a Tri\u1ec1u Ti\u00ean nh\u1eb1m tri\u1ec3n khai h\u00e0ng ngh\u00ecn qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ebfn gi\u00fap Nga gi\u00e0nh l\u1ea1i khu v\u1ef1c Kursk \u0111ang b\u1ecb bao v\u00e2y ch\u1ec9 l\u00e0 v\u00ed d\u1ee5 m\u1edbi nh\u1ea5t.<\/strong> C\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia ngo\u00e0i ph\u01b0\u01a1ng T\u00e2y kh\u00e1c c\u0169ng \u0111ang c\u1ed1 g\u1eafng \u0111\u1ecbnh h\u00ecnh ti\u1ebfn tr\u00ecnh c\u1ee7a cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn, ho\u1eb7c \u0111\u1ecbnh v\u1ecb b\u1ea3n th\u00e2n trong qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh t\u1ea1o ra m\u1ed9t ch\u00e2u \u00c2u h\u1eadu chi\u1ebfn \u2013 t\u1ee9c l\u00e0 tham gia v\u00e0o c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n ch\u1ea5m d\u1ee9t xung \u0111\u1ed9t, b\u1ea5t k\u1ec3 tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng \u0111\u00f3 c\u00f3 xa v\u1eddi \u0111\u1ebfn \u0111\u00e2u. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Gi\u1eefa cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn kh\u1ee7ng khi\u1ebfp n\u00e0y, c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia ngo\u00e0i ch\u00e2u \u00c2u \u0111ang bi\u1ebfn ch\u00e2u \u00c2u th\u00e0nh m\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ed1i t\u01b0\u1ee3ng trong ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch \u0111\u1ed1i ngo\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd. Nhi\u1ec1u nh\u00e0 b\u00ecnh lu\u1eadn \u0111\u00e3 n\u00f3i r\u1eb1ng ti\u1ec1n l\u1ec7 t\u1eeb chi\u1ebfn th\u1eafng c\u1ee7a Nga \u1edf Ukraine \u2013 vi\u1ec7c m\u1ed9t c\u01b0\u1eddng qu\u1ed1c h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n chi\u1ebfm gi\u1eef l\u00e3nh th\u1ed5 c\u1ee7a m\u1ed9t n\u01b0\u1edbc kh\u00e1c theo \u00fd mu\u1ed1n \u2013 s\u1ebd l\u00e0m thay \u0111\u1ed5i tr\u1eadt t\u1ef1 to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u<\/strong>. S\u1ef1 can d\u1ef1 s\u00e2u r\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c c\u01b0\u1eddng qu\u1ed1c b\u00ean ngo\u00e0i ch\u00e2u \u00c2u c\u00e0ng l\u00e0m gia t\u0103ng ti\u1ec1m n\u0103ng bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed5i c\u1ee7a cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn. Sau nhi\u1ec1u th\u1ebf k\u1ef7 ph\u00f4 tr\u01b0\u01a1ng s\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh ra b\u00ean ngo\u00e0i, ch\u00e2u \u00c2u gi\u1edd \u0111\u00e2y tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh s\u00e2n kh\u1ea5u \u0111\u1ec3 c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc ngo\u00e0i ch\u00e2u \u00c2u ph\u00f4 tr\u01b0\u01a1ng s\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh. Brussels, Kyiv, v\u00e0 Washington s\u1ebd ph\u1ea3i ch\u1ea5p nh\u1eadn th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf m\u1edbi n\u00e0y.<\/mark><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

NH\u1eeeNG NG\u01af\u1edcI Y\u00caU H\u00d2A B\u00ccNH<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

C\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc ngo\u00e0i ph\u01b0\u01a1ng T\u00e2y \u0111\u00e3 l\u01b0u \u00fd \u0111\u1ebfn nh\u1eefng h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf trong ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch c\u1ee7a ph\u01b0\u01a1ng T\u00e2y \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi Ukraine. Ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng ngo\u1ea1i giao c\u1ee7a ph\u01b0\u01a1ng T\u00e2y, d\u00f9 r\u1ea5t m\u1ea1nh, nh\u01b0ng v\u1eabn ch\u1ec9 gi\u1edbi h\u1ea1n \u1edf vi\u1ec7c h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 Ukraine ch\u1ed1ng l\u1ea1i nh\u1eefng g\u00ec m\u00e0 c\u00e1c th\u1ee7 \u0111\u00f4 ph\u01b0\u01a1ng T\u00e2y xem l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c x\u00e2m l\u01b0\u1ee3c b\u1ea5t c\u00f4ng.<\/strong> H\u1ecd \u0111\u00e3 c\u1ed1 g\u1eafng thuy\u1ebft ph\u1ee5c b\u1ea5t k\u1ef3 n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0o ch\u1ecbu l\u1eafng nghe v\u1ec1 t\u00ednh ch\u00ednh ngh\u0129a c\u1ee7a n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c chi\u1ebfn tranh c\u1ee7a Ukraine, v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 ch\u1ea5p nh\u1eadn khi nh\u01b0\u1ee3ng b\u1ed9 c\u00e1c y\u00eau c\u1ea7u c\u1ee7a Nga, v\u00e0 t\u1ea7m quan tr\u1ecdng c\u1ee7a to\u00e0n v\u1eb9n l\u00e3nh th\u1ed5 v\u00e0 ch\u1ee7 quy\u1ec1n c\u1ee7a Ukraine. Tuy nhi\u00ean, Ukraine v\u00e0 ph\u01b0\u01a1ng T\u00e2y v\u1eabn ch\u01b0a khu\u1ea5t ph\u1ee5c \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c Nga, v\u00e0 s\u1ef1 \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 c\u1ee7a ph\u01b0\u01a1ng T\u00e2y \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi Ukraine r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng \u0111\u00e3 b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u \u0111\u00ecnh tr\u1ec7 k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb khi chi\u1ebfn tranh b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u. N\u1ed7i s\u1ee3 leo thang \u0111\u00e3 h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf c\u00e1c lo\u1ea1i v\u0169 kh\u00ed m\u00e0 c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia ph\u01b0\u01a1ng T\u00e2y cung c\u1ea5p cho Ukraine, c\u0169ng nh\u01b0 c\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec1u kho\u1ea3n s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng c\u00e1c v\u0169 kh\u00ed \u0111\u00f3<\/mark>. C\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc ph\u01b0\u01a1ng T\u00e2y c\u0169ng kh\u00f4ng mu\u1ed1n b\u00f9 \u0111\u1eafp cho t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng thi\u1ebfu h\u1ee5t binh s\u0129 tr\u1ea7m tr\u1ecdng \u1edf Ukraine b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch g\u1eedi qu\u00e2n l\u00ednh c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd, d\u00f9 h\u1ecd m\u00f4 t\u1ea3 cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn n\u00e0y l\u00e0 mang t\u00ednh s\u1ed1ng c\u00f2n \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi tr\u1eadt t\u1ef1 an ninh ch\u00e2u \u00c2u.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n

\n
\"\"
Tr\u1ee5c “Ma Qu\u1ef7” h\u00ecnh th\u00e0nh: Nga v\u1edbi Putin, Trung c\u1ed9ng v\u1edbi T\u1eadp, Iran v\u1edbi Khomeini v\u00e0 B\u1eafc H\u00e0n v\u1edbi Kim Jong Un<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

Nh\u1eefng gi\u1edbi h\u1ea1n r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng c\u1ee7a ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch v\u00e0 \u0111\u00f2n b\u1ea9y c\u1ee7a ph\u01b0\u01a1ng T\u00e2y \u0111\u00e3 m\u1edf ra c\u00e1nh c\u1eeda cho c\u00e1c nh\u00e2n t\u1ed1 b\u00ean ngo\u00e0i ch\u00e2u \u00c2u<\/strong>. V\u1ec1 m\u1eb7t ngo\u1ea1i giao, v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i v\u1edbi ph\u01b0\u01a1ng T\u00e2y. B\u1ea5t k\u1ef3 qu\u1ed1c gia n\u00e0o kh\u00f4ng \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 Ukraine v\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t Moscow \u0111\u1ec1u c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng Nga Vladimir Putin v\u1edbi c\u00e1c k\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch ngo\u1ea1i giao \u0111\u1ec3 ch\u1ea5m d\u1ee9t chi\u1ebfn tranh. Nh\u01b0ng n\u1ebfu h\u1ecd \u00e1p d\u1ee5ng th\u00e1i \u0111\u1ed9 trung l\u1eadp ho\u1eb7c \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 Nga, s\u1ebd r\u1ea5t kh\u00f3 \u0111\u1ec3 h\u1ecd thuy\u1ebft ph\u1ee5c Ukraine. Cho d\u00f9 l\u00e0 \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 Nga hay \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 Ukraine, hay \u1edf \u0111\u00e2u \u0111\u00f3 \u1edf gi\u1eefa, kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 th\u1ebf l\u1ef1c n\u00e0o \u2013 kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 qu\u1ed1c gia, nh\u00f3m qu\u1ed1c gia, hay t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf n\u00e0o \u2013 \u0111\u1ee7 m\u1ea1nh \u0111\u1ec3 \u00e1p \u0111\u1eb7t l\u1ec7nh ng\u1eebng b\u1eafn \u1edf Ukraine, ch\u1ee9 ch\u01b0a n\u00f3i \u0111\u1ebfn m\u1ed9t th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn \u0111\u00ecnh chi\u1ebfn hay m\u1ed9t th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n. <\/mark><\/strong>Tuy nhi\u00ean, kh\u00f4ng ai mu\u1ed1n b\u1ecb xem l\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng c\u1ed1 g\u1eafng l\u00e0m trung gian.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

B\u1ea5t ch\u1ea5p nh\u1eefng tr\u1edf ng\u1ea1i n\u00e0y, nhi\u1ec1u qu\u1ed1c gia \u0111\u00e3 cam k\u1ebft \u0111\u00f3ng vai tr\u00f2 trung gian. Th\u1ed5 Nh\u0129 K\u1ef3 \u0111\u00e3 tham gia trong nhi\u1ec1u v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 kh\u00e1c nhau k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb khi b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u chi\u1ebfn tranh, v\u1eadn \u0111\u1ed9ng k\u00eau g\u1ecdi th\u00e0nh l\u1eadp c\u00e1c h\u00e0nh lang nh\u00e2n \u0111\u1ea1o trong cu\u1ed9c bao v\u00e2y Mariupol c\u1ee7a Nga, gi\u00fap \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n S\u00e1ng ki\u1ebfn Ng\u0169 c\u1ed1c Bi\u1ec3n \u0110en, v\u00e0 t\u1ea1o \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n \u0111\u1ec3 trao \u0111\u1ed5i v\u1ec1 v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 an ninh c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 m\u00e1y \u0111i\u1ec7n h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n c\u1ee7a Ukraine. Th\u1ed5 Nh\u0129 K\u1ef3 c\u0169ng t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n h\u00f2a b\u00ecnh gi\u1eefa Nga v\u00e0 Ukraine v\u00e0o giai \u0111o\u1ea1n \u0111\u1ea7u cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn. V\u1ec1 ph\u1ea7n m\u00ecnh, \u1ea2 R\u1eadp Saudi v\u00e0 C\u00e1c Ti\u1ec3u v\u01b0\u01a1ng qu\u1ed1c \u1ea2 R\u1eadp Th\u1ed1ng nh\u1ea5t \u0111\u00e3 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 trao \u0111\u1ed5i t\u00f9 nh\u00e2n gi\u1eefa Nga v\u00e0 Ukraine; Abu Dhabi g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 r\u1eb1ng nh\u1eefng n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd \u0111\u00e3 cho ph\u00e9p 2.200 t\u00f9 nh\u00e2n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c tr\u1edf v\u1ec1 nh\u00e0. Ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 \u1ea2 R\u1eadp Saudi c\u0169ng tri\u1ec7u t\u1eadp kho\u1ea3ng 40 qu\u1ed1c gia (kh\u00f4ng bao g\u1ed3m Nga) t\u1ea1i Jeddah v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 8\/2023 \u0111\u1ec3 th\u1ea3o lu\u1eadn v\u1ec1 c\u00e1c nguy\u00ean t\u1eafc ch\u1ea5m d\u1ee9t chi\u1ebfn tranh. G\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y h\u01a1n, Qatar \u0111\u00e3 t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n m\u1edbi gi\u1eefa Nga v\u00e0 Ukraine v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c ng\u1eebng t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng v\u00e0o c\u01a1 s\u1edf h\u1ea1 t\u1ea7ng n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng c\u1ee7a nhau. Nhi\u1ec1u qu\u1ed1c gia ngo\u00e0i ch\u00e2u \u00c2u kh\u00e1c, t\u1eeb Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ebfn Brazil \u0111\u1ebfn m\u1ed9t ph\u00e1i \u0111o\u00e0n c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia ch\u00e2u Phi, \u0111\u00e3 c\u00f9ng nhau l\u1eadp ra c\u00e1c s\u1ee9 m\u1ec7nh ho\u1eb7c k\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch h\u00f2a b\u00ecnh. H\u00ecnh th\u1ee9c ngo\u1ea1i giao \u0111i\u00ean cu\u1ed3ng n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e1ng ch\u00fa \u00fd kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 v\u00ec vi\u1ec7c thi\u1ebfu ti\u1ebfn tri\u1ec3n, hay v\u00ec b\u1ea3n ch\u1ea5t r\u1eddi r\u1ea1c c\u1ee7a n\u00f3, m\u00e0 c\u00f2n v\u00ec quy m\u00f4 v\u00e0 ph\u1ea1m vi \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 c\u1ee7a n\u00f3.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nh\u1eefng k\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch h\u00f2a b\u00ecnh n\u00e0y c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 c\u00f3 gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb, v\u00ec c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y ch\u00fang c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 mu\u1ed1n gi\u00fap \u0111\u1ea3m b\u1ea3o h\u00f2a b\u00ecnh<\/strong>. Cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn \u1edf Ukraine \u0111\u00e3 gieo r\u1eafc b\u1ea5t \u1ed5n v\u00e0 g\u00e2y ra nh\u1eefng t\u1ed5n th\u1ea5t kinh t\u1ebf b\u00ean ngo\u00e0i ch\u00e2u \u00c2u, v\u00e0 vi\u1ec7c ng\u1ed3i v\u00e0o b\u00e0n \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ec3 x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh kinh t\u1ebf v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb th\u1eddi h\u1eadu chi\u1ebfn. B\u00e0i h\u1ecdc r\u00fat ra t\u1eeb c\u00e1c h\u1ed9i ngh\u1ecb t\u1ea1i Versailles, Yalta, v\u00e0 Potsdam sau hai cu\u1ed9c th\u1ebf chi\u1ebfn l\u00e0 chi\u1ebfn l\u1ee3i ph\u1ea9m thu\u1ed9c v\u1ec1 ng\u01b0\u1eddi \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n. C\u1ea5u tr\u00fac c\u1ee7a Ukraine sau chi\u1ebfn tranh th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 quan tr\u1ecdng \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u00e0 Th\u1ed5 Nh\u0129 K\u1ef3, nh\u01b0ng c\u00f3 l\u1ebd \u00edt quan tr\u1ecdng h\u01a1n \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi Brazil v\u00e0 Nam Phi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Tuy nhi\u00ean, c\u00e1c k\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch h\u00f2a b\u00ecnh c\u0169ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c hi\u1ec3u l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p k\u00edch th\u00edch cho n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c chi\u1ebfn tranh c\u1ee7a Nga.<\/strong> Ch\u00fang d\u1ec5 \u0111\u1ec1 xu\u1ea5t v\u00e0 g\u1ea7n nh\u01b0 kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n. Ngo\u00e0i vi\u1ec7c n\u00f3i su\u00f4ng v\u1ec1 ch\u1ee7 quy\u1ec1n v\u00e0 to\u00e0n v\u1eb9n l\u00e3nh th\u1ed5 c\u1ee7a Ukraine, c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia n\u00e0y kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u01b0a ra con \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng kh\u1ea3 thi n\u00e0o cho Kyiv.<\/mark><\/strong> Ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng th\u1edd \u01a1 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111o\u00e1n tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi c\u00e1c k\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd \u1edf Ukraine v\u00e0 ph\u01b0\u01a1ng T\u00e2y c\u0169ng ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p v\u1edbi c\u00e1c c\u00e2u chuy\u1ec7n v\u1ec1 s\u1ef1 ngoan c\u1ed1 c\u1ee7a ph\u01b0\u01a1ng T\u00e2y, m\u1ed9t \u0111i\u1ec3m th\u1ea3o lu\u1eadn ch\u00ednh \u1edf Nga, r\u1eb1ng ph\u01b0\u01a1ng T\u00e2y \u0111\u00e3 g\u00e2y ra chi\u1ebfn tranh ngay t\u1eeb \u0111\u1ea7u v\u00e0 \u0111ang t\u00ecm c\u00e1ch k\u00e9o d\u00e0i v\u00e0 l\u1ee3i d\u1ee5ng n\u00f3 \u0111\u1ec3 l\u00e0m suy y\u1ebfu Nga.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

NH\u00c2N L\u1ef0C V\u00c0 V\u0168 KH\u00cd<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n

\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

N\u1ebfu ngo\u1ea1i giao qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf li\u00ean quan \u0111\u1ebfn Ukraine v\u1eeba mang t\u00ednh tham v\u1ecdng v\u1eeba mang t\u00ednh ng\u1eafn ng\u1ee7i, th\u00ec s\u1ef1 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 cho doanh nghi\u1ec7p qu\u1ed1c ph\u00f2ng Nga l\u1ea1i qu\u00e1 r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng. C\u00e1c l\u1ec7nh tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t c\u1ee7a ph\u01b0\u01a1ng T\u00e2y kh\u00f4ng h\u01b0\u1edbng \u0111\u1ebfn m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau thay \u0111\u1ed5i ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9, ho\u1eb7c th\u1eadm ch\u00ed l\u00e0 thay \u0111\u1ed5i t\u00ednh to\u00e1n c\u1ee7a Nga v\u1ec1 cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn, d\u00f9 \u0111i\u1ec1u th\u1ee9 hai s\u1ebd \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c hoan ngh\u00eanh. M\u1ee5c \u0111\u00edch c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c l\u1ec7nh tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t c\u1ee7a ph\u01b0\u01a1ng T\u00e2y l\u00e0 l\u00e0m suy y\u1ebfu n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c chi\u1ebfn tranh c\u1ee7a Nga, c\u1eaft \u0111\u1ee9t ngu\u1ed3n v\u1ed1n v\u00e0 c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 c\u1ee7a n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y, v\u00e0 theo \u0111\u00f3 mang l\u1ea1i cho Ukraine l\u1ee3i th\u1ebf v\u1ec1 m\u1eb7t c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac l\u00e2u d\u00e0i trong cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn. V\u00ec l\u1ee3i \u00edch kinh t\u1ebf, c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia ngo\u00e0i ch\u00e2u \u00c2u \u0111\u00e3 l\u00e0m suy y\u1ebfu c\u00e1ch ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn n\u00e0y b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch duy tr\u00ec quan h\u1ec7 v\u1edbi Nga; b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch mua d\u1ea7u, kh\u00ed \u0111\u1ed1t, v\u00e0 ph\u00e2n b\u00f3n c\u1ee7a Nga; v\u00e0 b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch t\u1ea1o \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n cho ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i \u201c\u0111\u01b0\u1eddng v\u00f2ng\u201d c\u1ee7a n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y.<\/mark><\/strong> Vi\u1ec7c cung c\u1ea5p c\u00e1c bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p c\u1ee9u c\u00e1nh cho n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf c\u1ee7a Nga \u0111\u00e3 gi\u00fap c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 c\u1ed7 m\u00e1y qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 c\u1ee7a n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y, d\u00f9 vi\u1ec7c c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 ng\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p qu\u1ed1c ph\u00f2ng Nga c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i l\u00e0 m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau ch\u00ednh c\u1ee7a Brazil, \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9, ho\u1eb7c \u1ea2 R\u1eadp Saudi khi ti\u1ebfn h\u00e0nh kinh doanh v\u1edbi \u0110i\u1ec7n Kremlin. Tuy nhi\u00ean, n\u1ebfu \u01b0u ti\u00ean c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia n\u00e0y l\u00e0 Nga thua \u1edf Ukraine, h\u1ecd h\u1eb3n \u0111\u00e3 \u00e1p d\u1ee5ng m\u1ed9t ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch kinh t\u1ebf kh\u00e1c.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

H\u1eadu qu\u1ea3 l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t l\u00e0 khi c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 tr\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp cho qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed9i Nga. Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111\u00e3 cung c\u1ea5p h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a l\u01b0\u1ee1ng d\u1ee5ng, t\u1eeb m\u00e1y c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 \u0111\u1ebfn vi m\u1ea1ch, m\u00e0 c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t v\u0169 kh\u00ed Nga r\u1ea5t th\u00e8m mu\u1ed1n. Vi\u1ec7c ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t ngu\u1ed3n cung c\u00e1c s\u1ea3n ph\u1ea9m n\u00e0y trao cho B\u1eafc Kinh \u0111\u00f2n b\u1ea9y \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 trong cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn c\u1ee7a Nga. C\u00e1c quan ch\u1ee9c ph\u01b0\u01a1ng T\u00e2y c\u0169ng c\u00e1o bu\u1ed9c Trung Qu\u1ed1c h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed9i Nga theo nh\u1eefng c\u00e1ch c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n h\u01a1n \u2013 v\u00ed d\u1ee5 nh\u01b0 b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch cung c\u1ea5p m\u00e1y bay kh\u00f4ng ng\u01b0\u1eddi l\u00e1i t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng<\/mark><\/strong>. V\u1ec1 ph\u1ea7n m\u00ecnh, Iran h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 Nga r\u1ea5t \u0111a d\u1ea1ng khi Tehran cung c\u1ea5p m\u00e1y bay kh\u00f4ng ng\u01b0\u1eddi l\u00e1i chi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ea5u (v\u00e0 c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t li\u00ean quan), \u0111\u1ea1n d\u01b0\u1ee3c, v\u00e0 t\u00ean l\u1eeda \u0111\u1ea1n \u0111\u1ea1o t\u1ea7m ng\u1eafn. Iran \u0111ang x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng quan h\u1ec7 qu\u1ed1c ph\u00f2ng v\u1edbi Nga ngay c\u1ea3 khi xung \u0111\u1ed9t leo thang v\u1edbi Israel c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u1ea1m th\u1eddi khi\u1ebfn h\u1ecd c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m c\u00e1c chuy\u1ebfn h\u00e0ng v\u0169 kh\u00ed. D\u00f9 t\u00ean l\u1eeda c\u1ee7a Iran v\u1eabn ch\u01b0a xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n tr\u00ean chi\u1ebfn tr\u01b0\u1eddng Ukraine, nh\u01b0ng Nga \u0111\u00e3 tri\u1ec3n khai t\u00ean l\u1eeda Tri\u1ec1u Ti\u00ean k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m nay. Theo m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 \u01b0\u1edbc t\u00ednh, B\u00ecnh Nh\u01b0\u1ee1ng c\u0169ng \u0111\u00e3 cung c\u1ea5p m\u1ed9t n\u1eeda s\u1ed1 \u0111\u1ea1n ph\u00e1o m\u00e0 Nga \u0111ang s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng \u1edf Ukraine.<\/strong> B\u1ecb ch\u1ebf gi\u1ec5u trong giai \u0111o\u1ea1n \u0111\u1ea7u c\u1ee7a cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn l\u00e0 nh\u1eefng \u201cqu\u1ed1c gia b\u1ecb b\u00e0i x\u00edch\u201d m\u00e0 Nga t\u00ecm \u0111\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ec3 h\u1ee3p t\u00e1c, gi\u1edd \u0111\u00e2y, Iran v\u00e0 Tri\u1ec1u Ti\u00ean hi\u1ec7n \u0111ang t\u00edch c\u1ef1c \u0111\u1ecbnh h\u00ecnh qu\u1ef9 \u0111\u1ea1o c\u1ee7a cu\u1ed9c xung \u0111\u1ed9t.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

X\u00e9t \u0111\u1ebfn t\u1ea7m quan tr\u1ecdng c\u1ee7a nh\u00e2n l\u1ef1c trong m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn ti\u00eau hao, vi\u1ec7c h\u00e0ng ngh\u00ecn l\u00ednh Tri\u1ec1u Ti\u00ean g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c tri\u1ec3n khai tr\u00ean chi\u1ebfn tr\u01b0\u1eddng Nga \u0111\u00e1nh d\u1ea5u m\u1ed9t b\u01b0\u1edbc leo thang kh\u00e1c trong s\u1ef1 can d\u1ef1 c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i ch\u00e2u \u00c2u. <\/strong>D\u00f9 Nga c\u00f3 l\u1ee3i th\u1ebf v\u1ec1 nh\u00e2n l\u1ef1c so v\u1edbi Ukraine, nh\u01b0ng h\u1ecd v\u1eabn m\u1ea5t m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 l\u01b0\u1ee3ng l\u1edbn binh l\u00ednh trong cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn. Putin kh\u00f4ng mu\u1ed1n ph\u00e1t \u0111\u1ed9ng m\u1ed9t l\u1ec7nh \u0111\u1ed9ng vi\u00ean l\u1edbn kh\u00e1c, v\u1ed1n c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 khi\u1ebfn ng\u01b0\u1eddi Nga kh\u00f4ng c\u00f2n h\u1ee9ng th\u00fa v\u1edbi cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn. Trong hai n\u0103m qua, th\u1ec9nh tho\u1ea3ng c\u0169ng c\u00f3 b\u00e1o c\u00e1o v\u1ec1 nh\u1eefng ng\u01b0\u1eddi l\u00ednh v\u00e0 t\u00ecnh nguy\u1ec7n vi\u00ean Cuba, \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9, v\u00e0 Nepal b\u1ecb d\u1ee5 d\u1ed7 chi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ea5u cho Nga. Nh\u01b0ng c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ee3t tri\u1ec3n khai c\u1ee7a l\u00ednh Tri\u1ec1u Ti\u00ean l\u1ea1i c\u00f3 quy m\u00f4 ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n kh\u00e1c, v\u00e0 ph\u01b0\u01a1ng T\u00e2y c\u00f3 r\u1ea5t \u00edt c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 \u0111\u1ec3 thay \u0111\u1ed5i t\u00ednh to\u00e1n c\u1ee7a Tri\u1ec1u Ti\u00ean, v\u00ec qu\u1ed1c gia n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 b\u1ecb c\u00f4 l\u1eadp v\u00e0 ch\u1ecbu l\u1ec7nh tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t n\u1eb7ng n\u1ec1.<\/p>\n\n\n

\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

Cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn c\u1ee7a ch\u00e2u \u00c2u \u0111ang d\u1ea7n tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn c\u1ee7a th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi, m\u1ed9t s\u1ef1 b\u00e0nh tr\u01b0\u1edbng kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 l\u1ee3i cho ch\u00e2u \u00c2u. \u0110\u1ed1i v\u1edbi Trung Qu\u1ed1c, Iran, v\u00e0 Tri\u1ec1u Ti\u00ean, vi\u1ec7c can d\u1ef1 s\u00e2u h\u01a1n v\u00e0o Ukraine c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 gi\u00fap h\u1ecd chu\u1ea9n b\u1ecb cho c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn m\u00e0 h\u1ecd c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 tham gia trong t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai. <\/mark><\/strong>V\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 l\u00e0 nh\u1eefng \u0111\u00f3ng g\u00f3p h\u1eefu h\u00ecnh c\u1ee7a Nga v\u00e0o n\u0103ng l\u1ef1c ph\u00f2ng th\u1ee7 c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia n\u00e0y \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ec1n \u0111\u00e1p cho s\u1ef1 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 m\u00e0 Moscow \u0111\u00e3 nh\u1eadn \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c, m\u00e0 c\u00f2n l\u00e0 c\u00e2u h\u1ecfi v\u1ec1 nh\u1eefng g\u00ec h\u1ecd s\u1ebd h\u1ecdc \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u1eeb chi\u1ebfn tr\u01b0\u1eddng. C\u00e1c nh\u00e0 chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c cho l\u00e0 \u0111\u00e3 nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u hi\u1ec7u su\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c v\u0169 kh\u00ed \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng \u1edf Ukraine \u2013 ch\u1eb3ng h\u1ea1n nh\u01b0 m\u00e1y bay kh\u00f4ng ng\u01b0\u1eddi l\u00e1i v\u00e0 HIMARS \u2013 m\u00e0 h\u1ecd c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 g\u1eb7p ph\u1ea3i trong cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn gi\u00e0nh \u0110\u00e0i Loan.<\/strong> Iran \u0111\u00e3 n\u1eafm \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 ph\u01b0\u01a1ng T\u00e2y nh\u1edd c\u00e1c v\u0169 kh\u00ed thu \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u1edf Ukraine, bao g\u1ed3m t\u00ean l\u1eeda ch\u1ed1ng t\u0103ng v\u00e0 ph\u00f2ng kh\u00f4ng, m\u00e0 h\u1ecd c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u theo ki\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ea3o ng\u01b0\u1ee3c k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt ho\u1eb7c ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n c\u00e1c bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p \u0111\u1ed1i ph\u00f3. Tri\u1ec1u Ti\u00ean c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u00e3 quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh g\u1eedi qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ebfn Nga kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 \u0111\u1ec3 t\u00f4n tr\u1ecdng hi\u1ec7p \u01b0\u1edbc ph\u00f2ng th\u1ee7 m\u1edbi c\u1ee7a hai n\u01b0\u1edbc m\u00e0 c\u00f2n \u0111\u1ec3 qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed9i Tri\u1ec1u Ti\u00ean c\u00f3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c kinh nghi\u1ec7m chi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ea5u tr\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp. (Tri\u1ec1u Ti\u00ean \u0111\u00e3 kh\u00f4ng tham gia chi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ea5u k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb Chi\u1ebfn tranh Tri\u1ec1u Ti\u00ean n\u0103m 1950-1953.) Ukraine \u0111\u00e3 tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh ph\u00f2ng th\u00ed nghi\u1ec7m cho c\u00e1c c\u01b0\u1eddng qu\u1ed1c ngo\u00e0i ch\u00e2u \u00c2u \u0111ang c\u00e2n nh\u1eafc c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn trong t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai.<\/mark><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

TH\u1ebe GI\u1edaI C\u00d9NG \u0110\u1ebeN CH\u00c2U \u00c2U<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

K\u1ec3 t\u1eeb th\u1ebf k\u1ef7 16, n\u1ebfu kh\u00f4ng mu\u1ed1n n\u00f3i l\u00e0 tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3, ch\u00e2u \u00c2u \u0111\u00e3 ti\u1ebfn h\u00e0nh chi\u1ebfn tranh v\u01b0\u1ee3t ra ngo\u00e0i bi\u00ean gi\u1edbi l\u1ee5c \u0111\u1ecba c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh.<\/strong> Ch\u1ec9 trong v\u00e0i th\u1eadp k\u1ef7 qua, c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc ch\u00e2u \u00c2u \u0111\u00e3 chi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ea5u \u1edf Afghanistan v\u00e0 Iraq. Cho \u0111\u1ebfn g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y, Ph\u00e1p v\u1eabn c\u00f3 s\u1ef1 hi\u1ec7n di\u1ec7n qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 r\u00f5 r\u1ec7t \u1edf D\u1ea3i Sahel. Ch\u00e2u \u00c2u l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t nh\u00e2n t\u1ed1 qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1, d\u00f9 khi\u00eam t\u1ed1n, \u1edf \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 D\u01b0\u01a1ng-Th\u00e1i B\u00ecnh D\u01b0\u01a1ng, v\u00e0 c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc ch\u00e2u \u00c2u cung c\u1ea5p vi\u1ec7n tr\u1ee3 qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 cho Israel, qu\u1ed1c gia \u0111ang tham gia nhi\u1ec1u cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn \u1edf Trung \u0110\u00f4ng. \u0110\u1ed1i v\u1edbi c\u00e1c ki\u1ebfn tr\u00fac s\u01b0 M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 ch\u00e2u \u00c2u c\u1ee7a quan h\u1ec7 xuy\u00ean \u0110\u1ea1i T\u00e2y D\u01b0\u01a1ng sau Th\u1ebf chi\u1ebfn II, vi\u1ec7c s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng s\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh c\u1ee7a ch\u00e2u \u00c2u v\u01b0\u1ee3t ra ngo\u00e0i ch\u00e2u \u00c2u kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i \u0111i\u1ec1u g\u00ec b\u1ea5t th\u01b0\u1eddng. N\u00f3 l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t \u0111i\u1ec1u c\u1ea7n thi\u1ebft c\u1ee7a Chi\u1ebfn tranh L\u1ea1nh. C\u00e1c l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng ch\u00e2u \u00c2u \u0111\u00e3 tham gia c\u00f9ng l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng M\u1ef9 trong c\u1ea3 Chi\u1ebfn tranh Tri\u1ec1u Ti\u00ean v\u00e0 Chi\u1ebfn tranh Vi\u1ec7t Nam. Ngay c\u1ea3 li\u00ean minh NATO, \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c giao nhi\u1ec7m v\u1ee5 b\u1ea3o v\u1ec7 c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia th\u00e0nh vi\u00ean c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh, c\u0169ng \u0111\u00e3 ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng b\u00ean ngo\u00e0i bi\u00ean gi\u1edbi c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c th\u00e0nh vi\u00ean, g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y nh\u1ea5t l\u00e0 \u1edf Libya v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2011. M\u1ef9 \u0111\u00e3 ch\u00e0o \u0111\u00f3n m\u1ed9t ch\u00e2u \u00c2u vi\u1ec5n chinh, cho d\u00f9 th\u00e1ch th\u1ee9c l\u00e0 ch\u1ed1ng kh\u1ee7ng b\u1ed1 hay qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd c\u00e1c ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng x\u00e9t l\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c ho\u1eb7c Nga.<\/p>\n\n\n

\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

L\u1ecbch s\u1eed l\u00e2u d\u00e0i v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c th\u1ec3 hi\u1ec7n s\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh c\u1ee7a ch\u00e2u \u00c2u \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1ecbnh h\u00ecnh th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi quan \u1edf c\u00e1c th\u1ee7 \u0111\u00f4 ph\u01b0\u01a1ng T\u00e2y, khi\u1ebfn cho vi\u1ec7c t\u01b0\u1edfng t\u01b0\u1ee3ng r\u1eb1ng c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia nh\u01b0 Iran hay Tri\u1ec1u Ti\u00ean c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh an ninh ch\u00e2u \u00c2u tr\u1edf n\u00ean g\u1ea7n nh\u01b0 kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3. Nh\u01b0ng \u0111i\u1ec1u t\u1eebng kh\u00f3 hi\u1ec3u gi\u1edd \u0111\u00e3 tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh hi\u1ec7n th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec3n nhi\u00ean. N\u1ebfu M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 ch\u00e2u \u00c2u mu\u1ed1n ch\u1ed1ng l\u1ea1i c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c can thi\u1ec7p kh\u00e1c nhau v\u00e0o Ukraine c\u00f3 ngu\u1ed3n g\u1ed1c t\u1eeb b\u00ean ngo\u00e0i l\u1ee5c \u0111\u1ecba, h\u1ecd ph\u1ea3i hi\u1ec3u \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ch\u01b0\u01a1ng tr\u00ecnh ngh\u1ecb s\u1ef1 c\u1ee7a t\u1eebng qu\u1ed1c gia v\u00e0 t\u1eebng khu v\u1ef1c, t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng ti\u1ec1m t\u00e0ng c\u1ee7a ch\u00fang c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0 g\u00ec, v\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec3m y\u1ebfu c\u1ee7a ch\u00fang n\u1eb1m \u1edf \u0111\u00e2u.<\/strong> Vai tr\u00f2 c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia ngo\u00e0i ch\u00e2u \u00c2u trong cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn s\u1ebd ch\u1ec9 t\u0103ng th\u00eam v\u00e0 c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia n\u00e0y s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng v\u1eafng m\u1eb7t trong ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng ngo\u1ea1i giao k\u1ebft th\u00fac cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn. Nhi\u1ec1u n\u01b0\u1edbc trong nh\u00f3m n\u00e0y c\u0169ng s\u1ebd tham gia v\u00e0o qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh t\u00e1i thi\u1ebft Ukraine. C\u01a1 h\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ec3 c\u00f3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ch\u1ed7 \u0111\u1ee9ng \u1edf ch\u00e2u \u00c2u l\u00e0 qu\u00e1 t\u1ed1t (v\u00e0 qu\u00e1 r\u1ebb) \u0111\u1ec3 b\u1ecf qua.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

S\u1ef1 tham gia c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc ngo\u00e0i ch\u00e2u \u00c2u v\u00e0o cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn kh\u00f4ng h\u1ee9a h\u1eb9n d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn th\u1ea5t b\u1ea1i cho Ukraine. <\/strong>Nh\u01b0ng c\u0169ng kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i m\u1ed9t l\u1ee3i \u00edch r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng cho Nga. Khi bu\u1ed9c ph\u1ea3i quay sang c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ec3 c\u1ed1 g\u1eafng duy tr\u00ec s\u1ee9c chi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ea5u c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh tr\u00ean chi\u1ebfn tr\u01b0\u1eddng, Nga \u0111\u00e3 ph\u1ea3i c\u00e2n b\u1eb1ng m\u1ed9t lo\u1ea1t c\u00e1c quan h\u1ec7 kinh t\u1ebf, qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1, v\u00e0 ngo\u1ea1i giao. V\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u01a1 v\u00e0 l\u1ee3i \u00edch c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia \u0111\u00f3ng g\u00f3p v\u00e0o n\u0103ng l\u1ef1c qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 c\u1ee7a Nga r\u1ea5t kh\u00e1c nhau. M\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 mu\u1ed1n chi\u1ebfn tranh k\u1ebft th\u00fac; s\u1ed1 kh\u00e1c c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 mu\u1ed1n Nga chi\u1ebfn th\u1eafng. M\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 l\u1ea1i mu\u1ed1n Nga kh\u00f4ng th\u1ea5t b\u1ea1i \u2013 \u0111\u00e2y l\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec3m kh\u00e1c bi\u1ec7t r\u1ea5t nh\u1ecf, nh\u01b0ng quan tr\u1ecdng \u2013 v\u00e0 m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 ch\u1ec9 mu\u1ed1n khai th\u00e1c s\u1ef1 ph\u1ee5 thu\u1ed9c c\u1ee7a Nga v\u00e0o ti\u1ec1n b\u1ea1c v\u00e0 v\u1eadt ch\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd<\/mark><\/strong>. C\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia nh\u01b0 Iran v\u00e0 Tri\u1ec1u Ti\u00ean chia s\u1ebb ch\u1ee7 ngh\u0129a b\u00e0i ph\u01b0\u01a1ng T\u00e2y m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd c\u1ee7a Nga. Nh\u1eefng qu\u1ed1c gia kh\u00e1c, ch\u1eb3ng h\u1ea1n nh\u01b0 Brazil v\u00e0 \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9, l\u1ea1i h\u1ee3p t\u00e1c v\u1edbi Nga v\u00ec t\u01b0 c\u00e1ch l\u00e0 th\u00e0nh vi\u00ean BRICS, nh\u01b0ng h\u1ecd mu\u1ed1n c\u1ea3i c\u00e1ch thay v\u00ec t\u1eeb b\u1ecf tr\u1eadt t\u1ef1 to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i.<\/mark><\/strong> Nh\u1eefng kh\u00e1c bi\u1ec7t trong th\u00e1i \u0111\u1ed9 n\u00e0y s\u1ebd c\u00e0ng gia t\u0103ng khi chi\u1ebfn tranh \u0111i \u0111\u1ebfn h\u1ed3i k\u1ebft v\u00e0 khi t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng h\u1eadu chi\u1ebfn c\u1ee7a Ukraine tr\u1edf n\u00ean r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

V\u00f4 s\u1ed1 qu\u1ed1c gia c\u00f3 l\u1ee3i \u00edch li\u00ean quan \u0111\u1ebfn cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn \u1edf Ukraine, v\u00e0 nhi\u1ec1u qu\u1ed1c gia trong s\u1ed1 \u0111\u00f3 c\u00f3 c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 \u0111\u1ec3 h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng theo l\u1ee3i \u00edch c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh. N\u1ebfu Nga ch\u00f9n b\u01b0\u1edbc trong cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn v\u00e0 b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u t\u00ecm c\u00e1ch tho\u00e1t ra, c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia b\u00ean ngo\u00e0i ch\u00e2u \u00c2u c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u00f3ng vai tr\u00f2 quan tr\u1ecdng \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng ngo\u1ea1i giao sau \u0111\u00f3. N\u1ebfu c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n \u0111\u01b0a ra nh\u1eefng \u0111i\u1ec1u kho\u1ea3n ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p v\u1edbi Ukraine, ch\u00e2u \u00c2u v\u00e0 M\u1ef9, th\u00ec vi\u1ec7c qu\u1ed1c gia n\u00e0o t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n hay k\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch n\u00e0o l\u00e0 ch\u1ea5t x\u00fac t\u00e1c cho c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n \u0111\u00f3 s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 quan tr\u1ecdng. V\u1ec1 c\u00e1c h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 m\u00e0 Trung Qu\u1ed1c, Iran, v\u00e0 Tri\u1ec1u Ti\u00ean d\u00e0nh cho Nga, c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 c\u00f3 nh\u1eefng c\u00e1ch \u0111\u1ec3 h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 ho\u1eb7c t\u0103ng c\u00e1i gi\u00e1 c\u1ee7a vi\u1ec7c h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3. Nh\u01b0ng bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p ph\u00f2ng th\u1ee7 t\u1ed1t nh\u1ea5t ch\u1ed1ng l\u1ea1i s\u1ef1 suy y\u1ebfu c\u1ee7a tr\u1eadt t\u1ef1 an ninh ch\u00e2u \u00c2u do m\u1ed9t n\u01b0\u1edbc Nga \u0111ang ti\u1ebfn l\u00ean tr\u00ean chi\u1ebfn tr\u01b0\u1eddng v\u1eabn l\u00e0 c\u00e1c kho\u1ea3n h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 th\u00f4ng minh v\u00e0 ki\u00ean nh\u1eabn d\u00e0nh cho Ukraine, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t l\u00e0 khi cam k\u1ebft t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh (v\u00e0 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0 qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1) c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi Ukraine nhi\u1ec1u kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng s\u1ebd gi\u1ea3m trong nhi\u1ec7m k\u1ef3 t\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng th\u1ee9 hai c\u1ee7a Donald Trump. C\u1ea3 th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi \u0111\u1ec1u \u0111ang theo d\u00f5i.<\/mark><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Michael Kimmage <\/strong>
Gi\u00e1o s\u01b0 l\u1ecbch s\u1eed t\u1ea1i \u0110\u1ea1i h\u1ecdc C\u00f4ng gi\u00e1o M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 l\u00e0 nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u vi\u00ean t\u1ea1i Vi\u1ec7n H\u00e0n l\u00e2m M\u1ef9 \u1edf Berlin. \u00d4ng l\u00e0 t\u00e1c gi\u1ea3 cu\u1ed1n s\u00e1ch \u201cCollisions: The Origins of the War in Ukraine and the New Global Instability.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hanna Notte <\/strong>
Gi\u00e1m \u0111\u1ed1c Ch\u01b0\u01a1ng tr\u00ecnh Kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ed5 bi\u1ebfn V\u0169 kh\u00ed h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n \u00c1-\u00c2u t\u1ea1i Trung t\u00e2m Nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u Kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ed5 bi\u1ebfn V\u0169 kh\u00ed h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n James Martin \u1edf Monterey, California v\u00e0 l\u00e0 v\u00e0 c\u1ed9ng t\u00e1c vi\u00ean cao c\u1ea5p kh\u00f4ng th\u01b0\u1eddng tr\u00fa c\u1ee7a Ch\u01b0\u01a1ng tr\u00ecnh Ch\u00e2u \u00c2u, Nga, v\u00e0 \u00c1-\u00c2u t\u1ea1i Trung t\u00e2m Nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u Chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c v\u00e0 Qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ngu\u1ed3n tr\u00edch: Nghi\u00ean C\u1ee9u Qu\u1ed1c T\u1ebf<\/strong>
https:\/\/nghiencuuquocte.org\/2024\/11\/21\/chien-tranh-ukraine-da-tro-thanh-mot-cuoc-chien-tranh-the-gioi\/#more-59429<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u1ea2nh minh ho\u1ea1: V\u1eadn H\u1ed9i M\u1edbi<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Ngu\u1ed3n: Michael Kimmage v\u00e0 Hanna Notte, \u201cHow Ukraine Became a World War,\u201d Foreign Affairs, 07\/11\/2024 Bi\u00ean d\u1ecbch: Nguy\u1ec5n Th\u1ecb Kim Ph\u1ee5ng Nh\u1eefng t\u00e1c nh\u00e2n m\u1edbi \u0111ang bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed5i xung \u0111\u1ed9t \u2013 v\u00e0 l\u00e0m ph\u1ee9c t\u1ea1p con \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u1ec3 k\u1ebft th\u00fac n\u00f3. Cu\u1ed9c x\u00e2m l\u01b0\u1ee3c Ukraine c\u1ee7a Nga v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 2\/2022 l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t s\u1ef1 ki\u1ec7n c\u00f3 quy m\u00f4\u0111\u1ecdc ti\u1ebfp…<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":23219,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[7,8,12,9],"tags":[398,165,118,212,119,82,284],"class_list":["entry","author-ntviet","post-23217","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-binhluan","category-chinhtri-xahoi","category-chuyenmuc","category-kinhte","tag-au-chau","tag-binh-luan","tag-chinh-tri","tag-chuyen-de","tag-hoa-ky","tag-kinh-te","tag-nga"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23217","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=23217"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23217\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/23219"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=23217"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=23217"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=23217"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}