{"id":26734,"date":"2025-10-27T04:57:11","date_gmt":"2025-10-27T04:57:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/?p=26734"},"modified":"2025-10-27T04:57:12","modified_gmt":"2025-10-27T04:57:12","slug":"chau-au-dang-trong-chien-tranh","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/?p=26734","title":{"rendered":"Ch\u00e2u \u00c2u \u0111ang trong chi\u1ebfn tranh<\/strong>
Michael Kimmage<\/span>"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Ngu\u1ed3n:\u00a0Michael Kimmage, \u201cEurope Is At War,\u201d\u00a0Foreign Policy<\/em><\/strong>,\u00a0<\/em>20\/10\/2025<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bi\u00ean d\u1ecbch:<\/strong> Nguy\u1ec5n Th\u1ecb Kim Ph\u1ee5ng<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Putin xem Ukraine l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t ph\u1ea7n trong cu\u1ed9c \u0111\u1ea5u tranh l\u1edbn h\u01a1n v\u1edbi ch\u00e2u \u00c2u. <\/mark><\/strong><\/em>
Ng\u01b0\u1eddi ch\u00e2u \u00c2u c\u0169ng n\u00ean nh\u01b0 v\u1eady.<\/mark><\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Vi\u1ec7c Nga ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng gia t\u0103ng x\u00e2m nh\u1eadp kh\u00f4ng ph\u1eadn ch\u00e2u \u00c2u th\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c m\u00f4 t\u1ea3 l\u00e0 h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng chi\u1ebfn tranh h\u1ed7n h\u1ee3p (hybrid war). \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y ng\u1ee5 \u00fd r\u1eb1ng trong l\u00fac chi\u1ebfn tranh th\u00f4ng th\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111ang di\u1ec5n ra \u1edf Ukraine, v\u1edbi qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed9i Nga tr\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp nh\u1eafm v\u00e0o th\u01b0\u1eddng d\u00e2n Ukraine, th\u00ec cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn c\u1ee7a Nga \u1edf ch\u00e2u \u00c2u v\u1eabn \u0111ang n\u1eb1m trong v\u00f9ng x\u00e1m.<\/strong> \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t \u0111\u00f2n t\u00e2m l\u00fd nh\u1eb1m l\u00e0m suy y\u1ebfu \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c v\u00e0 quy\u1ebft t\u00e2m c\u1ee7a ch\u00e2u \u00c2u.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Tuy nhi\u00ean, s\u1ef1 ph\u00e2n bi\u1ec7t n\u00e0y l\u1ea1i g\u00e2y hi\u1ec3u l\u1ea7m.<\/strong> T\u1ed1t h\u01a1n h\u1ebft, ch\u00fang ta n\u00ean xem cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn \u1edf Ukraine l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn duy nh\u1ea5t, v\u1edbi c\u00e1c m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 tham gia kh\u00e1c nhau.<\/strong> Vi\u1ec7c Nga vi ph\u1ea1m kh\u00f4ng ph\u1eadn ch\u00ed \u00edt c\u0169ng cho th\u1ea5y r\u1eb1ng Moscow kh\u00f4ng h\u1ec1 ph\u00e2n bi\u1ec7t r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng gi\u1eefa ch\u00e2u \u00c2u v\u00e0 Ukraine.<\/strong><\/mark> V\u00ec th\u1ebf, c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch ph\u1ea3i t\u1eeb b\u1ecf ph\u00e2n bi\u1ec7t n\u00e0y n\u1ebfu h\u1ecd mu\u1ed1n hi\u1ec3u \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c suy ngh\u0129 c\u1ee7a Nga, v\u00e0 c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia ch\u00e2u \u00c2u c\u0169ng ph\u1ea3i t\u1eeb b\u1ecf ph\u00e2n bi\u1ec7t n\u00e0y n\u1ebfu h\u1ecd mu\u1ed1n gi\u00e0nh \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ee3i th\u1ebf l\u00e2u d\u00e0i trong cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Trong l\u00fac M\u1ef9 d\u1ea7n r\u00fat lui kh\u1ecfi cu\u1ed9c xung \u0111\u1ed9t, gi\u1ea3m b\u1edbt h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 tr\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp cho Ukraine, th\u00ec ch\u00e2u \u00c2u \u0111\u00e3 b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u1ebfn l\u00ean, \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd v\u00e0o vi\u1ec7c b\u1ea3o v\u1ec7 Ukraine. M\u1ee5c ti\u00eau m\u00e0 ch\u00e2u \u00c2u th\u01b0\u1eddng tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 \u2013 m\u1ed9t Ukraine h\u1ed9i nh\u1eadp v\u00e0o c\u00e1c c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb v\u00e0 an ninh c\u1ee7a ch\u00e2u \u00c2u \u2013 v\u1ed1n l\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec1u m\u00e0 Nga c\u1ef1c k\u1ef3 gh\u00e9t. Nh\u01b0ng b\u1ea5t ch\u1ea5p tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 \u0111\u00f3, ch\u00e2u \u00c2u v\u1eabn c\u1ed1 g\u1eafng gi\u1eef kho\u1ea3ng c\u00e1ch an to\u00e0n v\u1edbi cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn.<\/p>\n\n\n

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Trong t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai, ch\u00e2u \u00c2u n\u00ean t\u1eeb b\u1ecf c\u00e1i c\u1edb c\u1ee7a chi\u1ebfn tranh h\u1ed7n h\u1ee3p. Khi l\u00e0m \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00f3, h\u1ecd s\u1ebd nh\u1eadn ra l\u1eadp tr\u01b0\u1eddng c\u1ee7a ch\u00e2u \u00c2u \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi Ukraine c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 v\u1eefng ch\u1eafc h\u01a1n h\u1ecd ngh\u0129, v\u00e0 g\u1eafn ch\u1eb7t v\u1edbi cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn h\u01a1n h\u1ecd mong mu\u1ed1n. Trong cu\u1ed9c \u0111\u1ed1i \u0111\u1ea7u l\u00e2u d\u00e0i v\u1edbi Nga, ch\u00e2u \u00c2u \u0111ang n\u1eafm trong tay nhi\u1ec1u qu\u00e2n b\u00e0i t\u1ed1t nh\u1ea5t.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn c\u1ee7a Nga ch\u1ed1ng l\u1ea1i Ukraine lu\u00f4n li\u00ean quan \u0111\u1ebfn nhi\u1ec1u th\u1ee9 v\u01b0\u1ee3t xa l\u00e3nh th\u1ed5 Ukraine, lu\u1eadt ng\u00f4n ng\u1eef Ukraine, ho\u1eb7c t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng c\u1ee7a \u201cng\u01b0\u1eddi Nga b\u1ea3n \u0111\u1ecba\u201d \u1edf Ukraine. \u0110i\u1ec1u quan tr\u1ecdng \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi Nga l\u00e0 v\u1ecb tr\u00ed c\u1ee7a Ukraine t\u1ea1i ch\u00e2u \u00c2u. <\/mark><\/strong>Tr\u01b0\u1edbc C\u00e1ch m\u1ea1ng Maidan n\u0103m 2014, Moscow t\u1eebng c\u00f3 m\u1ed9t kh\u00e1ch h\u00e0ng trung th\u00e0nh l\u00e0 Viktor Yanukovych, T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng Ukraine l\u00fac b\u1ea5y gi\u1edd. T\u1ea1i Crimea, Ukraine khi \u0111\u00f3 \u0111\u00e3 cho Nga thu\u00ea c\u1ea3ng h\u1ea3i qu\u00e2n Sevastopol. V\u00e0 trong l\u00fac h\u1ee3p t\u00e1c kinh doanh v\u1edbi Nga, Ukraine kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 \u00fd \u0111\u1ecbnh gia nh\u1eadp NATO. Vi\u1ec7c \u0111\u1ed9t ng\u1ed9t m\u1ea5t \u0111i v\u1ecb kh\u00e1ch n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y Nga s\u00e1p nh\u1eadp Crimea v\u00e0 x\u00e2m nh\u1eadp v\u00e0o mi\u1ec1n \u0111\u00f4ng Ukraine. Sau n\u0103m 2014, Nga gi\u1eef quy\u1ec1n ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t Crimea v\u00e0 m\u1ed9t ph\u1ea7n mi\u1ec1n \u0111\u00f4ng Ukraine, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi b\u00ecnh th\u01b0\u1eddng h\u00f3a quan h\u1ec7 v\u1edbi ch\u00e2u \u00c2u. T\u1ea1i Moscow, hy v\u1ecdng l\u00e0 quay tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i nh\u1eefng ng\u00e0y th\u00e1ng y\u00ean b\u00ecnh tr\u01b0\u1edbc Maidan, nh\u01b0ng \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 kh\u00f4ng bao gi\u1edd x\u1ea3y ra.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nga \u0111\u00e3 ti\u1ebfn h\u00e0nh cu\u1ed9c x\u00e2m l\u01b0\u1ee3c Ukraine n\u0103m 2022 v\u1edbi m\u1ee5c \u0111\u00edch ch\u00ednh l\u00e0 nh\u1eafm v\u00e0o ch\u00e2u \u00c2u. N\u1ebfu Ukraine r\u01a1i v\u00e0o tay Nga m\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ed5 m\u00e1u, \u0111\u00fang nh\u01b0 d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n c\u1ee7a k\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch chi\u1ebfn tranh \u1ea3o t\u01b0\u1edfng c\u1ee7a Nga, th\u00ec ch\u00e2u \u00c2u c\u00f3 l\u1ebd \u0111\u00e3 b\u1ecb \u0111e d\u1ecda v\u00e0 bu\u1ed9c ph\u1ea3i thi\u1ebft l\u1eadp m\u1ed9t quan h\u1ec7 m\u1edbi v\u1edbi Nga<\/mark><\/strong>. Suy cho c\u00f9ng, ch\u00e2u \u00c2u ch\u01b0a t\u1eebng c\u1eaft \u0111\u1ee9t quan h\u1ec7 v\u1edbi Nga v\u00ec vi\u1ec7c s\u00e1p nh\u1eadp Crimea c\u0169ng nh\u01b0 c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng c\u1ee7a Nga v\u00e0o mi\u1ec1n \u0111\u00f4ng Ukraine.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Tuy nhi\u00ean, cu\u1ed9c x\u00e2m l\u01b0\u1ee3c n\u0103m 2022 c\u1ee7a Nga l\u1ea1i th\u1ea5t b\u1ea1i, khi\u1ebfn T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng Nga Vladimir Putin sa l\u1ea7y v\u00e0o m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn kh\u00f4ng h\u1ed3i k\u1ebft. Nga kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 n\u0103ng l\u1ef1c qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 \u0111\u1ec3 chi\u1ebfn th\u1eafng (b\u1ea5t k\u1ec3 chi\u1ebfn th\u1eafng c\u00f3 ngh\u0129a l\u00e0 g\u00ec), v\u00e0 c\u0169ng kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 b\u1ea5t k\u1ef3 chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c r\u00fat lui n\u00e0o. T\u1ec7 h\u01a1n n\u1eefa, h\u1ea7u h\u1ebft ch\u00e2u \u00c2u \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1ee9ng v\u1ec1 ph\u00eda Ukraine. \u0110\u1ee9c, n\u01b0\u1edbc t\u1eebng \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 Nga \u1edf ch\u00e2u \u00c2u, gi\u1edd \u0111\u00e2y tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh k\u1ebb th\u00f9 cay \u0111\u1eafng c\u1ee7a Nga.<\/mark><\/p>\n\n\n\n

V\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 l\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc Nga c\u1ee7a Putin kh\u00f4ng xem th\u1ea5t b\u1ea1i \u1edf Ukraine l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t l\u1ef1a ch\u1ecdn. Cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn ph\u1ea3i ti\u1ebfp di\u1ec5n cho \u0111\u1ebfn khi c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 v\u1ea1ch ra hai ranh gi\u1edbi ch\u1ea5p nh\u1eadn \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c, m\u1ed9t l\u00e0 xuy\u00ean qua Ukraine v\u00e0 m\u1ed9t l\u00e0 gi\u1eefa Nga v\u00e0 ch\u00e2u \u00c2u. Theo quan \u0111i\u1ec3m c\u1ee7a Nga, ch\u00e2u \u00c2u \u0111ang tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh m\u1ed9t phe ph\u00e1i v\u0169 trang v\u00e0 th\u00f9 \u0111\u1ecbch. Do \u0111\u00f3, nh\u1eefng n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c c\u1ee7a ch\u00e2u \u00c2u nh\u1eb1m h\u1ed9i nh\u1eadp Ukraine s\u1ebd ph\u1ea3i \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u1ed1i ph\u00f3 b\u1eb1ng s\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 b\u1ec1n b\u1ec9, ho\u1eb7c \u0111\u1ec3 bu\u1ed9c ng\u01b0\u1eddi ch\u00e2u \u00c2u t\u1eeb b\u1ecf n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd, ho\u1eb7c n\u1ebfu \u0111i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 b\u1ea5t kh\u1ea3 thi, th\u00ec l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ec3 bu\u1ed9c ch\u00e2u \u00c2u ph\u1ea3i tr\u1ea3 gi\u00e1 cho th\u00e1i \u0111\u1ed9 th\u00f9 \u0111\u1ecbch kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh.<\/mark><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

V\u1edbi vi\u1ec7c ch\u00e2u \u00c2u (v\u00e0 \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t l\u00e0 \u0110\u1ee9c) \u0111\u1ed5 ti\u1ec1n v\u00e0o quan h\u1ec7 \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 v\u1edbi Ukraine, Moscow \u0111\u00e3 k\u1ebft lu\u1eadn r\u1eb1ng h\u1ecd kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 c\u00f4 l\u1eadp ch\u00e2u \u00c2u kh\u1ecfi cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn. K\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 l\u00e0, h\u1ecd \u0111ang c\u1ed1 g\u1eafng di chuy\u1ec3n ranh gi\u1edbi chia c\u1eaft Ukraine c\u00e0ng xa v\u1ec1 ph\u00eda t\u00e2y c\u00e0ng t\u1ed1t b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch qu\u1ea5y r\u1ed1i ch\u00e2u \u00c2u.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nga c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 s\u1ebd gia t\u0103ng n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c \u0111e d\u1ecda tr\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp ch\u00e2u \u00c2u. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ph\u00e1p c\u1ee7a Nga nh\u1eb1m t\u1ea1o ra \u0111\u00f2n b\u1ea9y tr\u01b0\u1edbc c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia ch\u00e2u \u00c2u. C\u00e1ch n\u00e0y kh\u00f4ng qu\u00e1 t\u1ed1n k\u00e9m, nh\u01b0ng l\u1ea1i \u0111\u1eb7t ch\u00e2u \u00c2u v\u00e0o th\u1ebf l\u01b0\u1ee1ng nan l\u00e0 leo thang c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 v\u00e0o th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m cam k\u1ebft c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi an ninh ch\u00e2u \u00c2u \u0111ang lung lay, v\u00e0 n\u00f3 c\u0169ng khai th\u00e1c th\u00e1ch th\u1ee9c l\u00e2u d\u00e0i c\u1ee7a ch\u00e2u \u00c2u trong vi\u1ec7c th\u1ed1ng nh\u1ea5t ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch \u0111\u1ed1i ngo\u1ea1i v\u00e0 an ninh. Li\u00ean minh ch\u00e2u \u00c2u c\u00f3 qu\u00e1 \u00edt ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ti\u1ec7n qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1, trong khi NATO l\u1ea1i do m\u1ed9t si\u00eau c\u01b0\u1eddng mu\u1ed1n gi\u1ea3m b\u1edbt s\u1ef1 hi\u1ec7n di\u1ec7n qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 t\u1ea1i ch\u00e2u \u00c2u d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ea7u. V\u1ec1 m\u1eb7t qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1, ch\u00e2u \u00c2u kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t li\u00ean bang, v\u00e0 \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 nan gi\u1ea3i khi ph\u1ea3i \u0111\u1ed1i \u0111\u1ea7u v\u1edbi m\u1ed9t qu\u1ed1c gia-d\u00e2n t\u1ed9c duy nh\u1ea5t do m\u1ed9t nh\u00e2n v\u1eadt chuy\u00ean ch\u1ebf quy\u1ebft t\u00e2m l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n

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Nh\u1eefng th\u00e1ch th\u1ee9c ch\u1ed3ng ch\u1ea5t n\u00e0y kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ed3ng ngh\u0129a v\u1edbi vi\u1ec7c ch\u00e2u \u00c2u ch\u1eafc ch\u1eafn s\u1ebd th\u1ea5t b\u1ea1i. Thay v\u00e0o \u0111\u00f3, ch\u00ednh nh\u1eefng n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c leo thang c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng c\u1ee7a Moscow m\u1edbi c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 th\u1ea5t b\u1ea1i. <\/mark><\/strong>Gi\u1ed1ng nh\u01b0 \u1edf Ukraine n\u0103m 2022, Nga l\u1ea1i m\u1ed9t l\u1ea7n n\u1eefa g\u00e2y chi\u1ebfn v\u1edbi ch\u00e2u \u00c2u \u2013 m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn m\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y qu\u00e1 nh\u1ecf b\u00e9 \u0111\u1ec3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 gi\u00e0nh chi\u1ebfn th\u1eafng. H\u1ecd c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 g\u00e2y t\u1ed5n th\u1ea5t cho \u0111\u1ed1i ph\u01b0\u01a1ng, nh\u01b0ng kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh k\u1ebft c\u1ee5c c\u1ee7a cu\u1ed9c xung \u0111\u1ed9t.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ch\u00e2u \u00c2u kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 ng\u0103n ch\u1eb7n m\u1ecdi h\u00e0nh vi ph\u00e1 ho\u1ea1i, bay qua kh\u00f4ng ph\u1eadn, v\u00e0 t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng m\u1ea1ng c\u1ee7a Nga. Nh\u01b0ng v\u1eabn c\u00f3 gi\u1ea3i ph\u00e1p thi\u1ebft th\u1ef1c cho m\u1ed7i th\u00e1ch th\u1ee9c n\u00e0y, m\u1ed9t v\u00e0i trong s\u1ed1 \u0111\u00f3 s\u1ebd mang t\u00ednh qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1. V\u00ed d\u1ee5, ng\u01b0\u1eddi ch\u00e2u \u00c2u n\u00ean t\u00ecm ra m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch \u00edt t\u1ed1n k\u00e9m \u0111\u1ec3 b\u1eafn h\u1ea1 m\u00e1y bay kh\u00f4ng ng\u01b0\u1eddi l\u00e1i c\u1ee7a Nga xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n tr\u00ean kh\u00f4ng ph\u1eadn ch\u00e2u \u00c2u. M\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 gi\u1ea3i ph\u00e1p s\u1ebd d\u1ef1a v\u00e0o c\u00e1c c\u01a1 quan t\u00ecnh b\u00e1o c\u1ee7a ch\u00e2u \u00c2u: ph\u00e1t hi\u1ec7n nh\u1eefng k\u1ebb ph\u00e1 ho\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a Nga v\u00e0 ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 \u0111\u1ec3 \u00e2m th\u1ea7m tr\u1ea3 \u0111\u0169a c\u00e1c ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng nguy hi\u1ec3m c\u1ee7a Nga. Nh\u1eefng gi\u1ea3i ph\u00e1p kh\u00e1c s\u1ebd \u0111\u1ebfn t\u1eeb vi\u1ec7c ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t t\u1ed1t h\u01a1n. Gi\u1ed1ng nh\u01b0 \u0111\u1ed1i ph\u00f3 v\u1edbi kh\u1ee7ng b\u1ed1, \u0111\u1ed1i ph\u00f3 v\u1edbi chi\u1ebfn tranh phi ch\u00ednh quy l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t khoa h\u1ecdc kh\u00f4ng ho\u00e0n h\u1ea3o. Th\u1ea5t b\u1ea1i n\u00ean \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 l\u1ea1i m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch k\u1ef9 l\u01b0\u1ee1ng, nh\u01b0ng khi nh\u1eefng th\u1ea5t b\u1ea1i n\u00e0y x\u1ea3y ra, ch\u00fang kh\u00f4ng n\u00ean l\u00e0 d\u1ecbp \u0111\u1ec3 t\u1ef1 ph\u00ea b\u00ecnh qu\u00e1 m\u1ee9c ho\u1eb7c t\u00e2ng b\u1ed1c qu\u00e1 m\u1ee9c s\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh c\u1ee7a Nga. Ch\u00fang n\u00ean \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ch\u1ea5p nh\u1eadn m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch b\u00ecnh t\u0129nh. Ch\u00fang l\u00e0 s\u1ea3n ph\u1ea9m ph\u1ee5 t\u1ea5t y\u1ebfu c\u1ee7a cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn lan r\u1ed9ng n\u00e0y.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Vi\u1ec7c \u0110i\u1ec7n Kremlin m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng chi\u1ebfn tranh sang ch\u00e2u \u00c2u c\u0169ng mang \u0111\u1ebfn cho ch\u00fang ta c\u00e1i nh\u00ecn s\u00e2u h\u01a1n v\u1ec1 t\u01b0 duy c\u1ee7a Nga v\u1ec1 Ukraine v\u00e0 ch\u00e2u \u00c2u. \u0110\u1ed1i v\u1edbi ch\u00e2u \u00c2u, Nga g\u1ea7n nh\u01b0 \u0111\u00e3 t\u1eeb b\u1ecf vi\u1ec7c s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng thuy\u1ebft ph\u1ee5c nh\u01b0 m\u1ed9t c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch \u0111\u1ed1i ngo\u1ea1i, d\u00f9 h\u1ecd v\u1eabn kh\u00f4ng t\u1eeb b\u1ecf vi\u1ec7c c\u1ed1 g\u1eafng thuy\u1ebft ph\u1ee5c Washington.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nh\u1eefng cu\u1ed9c t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng t\u00e0n b\u1ea1o c\u1ee7a Nga v\u00e0o \u0111\u1eddi s\u1ed1ng d\u00e2n s\u1ef1 \u1edf Ukraine cho th\u1ea5y Moscow \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u00e1nh m\u1ea5t c\u00f4ng ch\u00fang Ukraine, nh\u1eefng ng\u01b0\u1eddi s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng quay l\u1ea1i v\u1edbi Nga. Tuy nhi\u00ean, Nga kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 s\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 \u0111\u1ec3 \u00e1p \u0111\u1eb7t \u00fd ch\u00ed c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh l\u00ean nh\u1eefng v\u00f9ng \u0111\u1ea5t Ukraine ch\u01b0a b\u1ecb chi\u1ebfm \u0111\u00f3ng, chi\u1ebfm kho\u1ea3ng 80% \u0111\u1ea5t n\u01b0\u1edbc. \u1ede \u0111\u00e2y, cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ebfn gi\u1edbi h\u1ea1n c\u1ee9ng v\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 ti\u1ebfn xa h\u01a1n. Nhi\u1ec1u ng\u01b0\u1eddi \u0111\u00e3 qu\u00ean m\u1ea5t r\u1eb1ng k\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch chi\u1ebfn tranh ban \u0111\u1ea7u c\u1ee7a Nga b\u1eaft ngu\u1ed3n t\u1eeb m\u1ed9t l\u1eadp lu\u1eadn ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb \u2013 r\u1eb1ng ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 Ukraine l\u00e0 b\u1ea5t h\u1ee3p ph\u00e1p, r\u1eb1ng h\u00e0ng tri\u1ec7u ng\u01b0\u1eddi Ukraine mu\u1ed1n s\u1ed1ng \u1edf Nga ho\u1eb7c tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh ng\u01b0\u1eddi Nga, r\u1eb1ng ph\u01b0\u01a1ng T\u00e2y l\u00e0 b\u1ea3n sao suy \u0111\u1ed3i c\u1ee7a m\u1ed9t n\u01b0\u1edbc Nga s\u00f4i \u0111\u1ed9ng, v\u00e0 t\u1ea5t c\u1ea3 c\u00f3 ngh\u0129a l\u00e0 nh\u1eefng ng\u01b0\u1eddi Ukraine theo ch\u1ee7 ngh\u0129a truy\u1ec1n th\u1ed1ng, n\u1ebfu \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ef1a ch\u1ecdn, s\u1ebd ch\u1ecdn Nga.<\/strong> V\u1eady m\u00e0 gi\u1edd \u0111\u00e2y Nga l\u1ea1i s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng v\u0169 l\u1ef1c \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u00e0n \u00e1p Ukraine, b\u1eb1ng ch\u1ee9ng t\u00edch c\u1ef1c cho th\u1ea5y r\u1eb1ng m\u1ecdi th\u1ee9 \u0111i sai h\u01b0\u1edbng \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi Nga.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

V\u1edbi ch\u00e2u \u00c2u, Nga c\u0169ng \u0111\u00e3 ch\u1ecdn c\u00e1ch \u0111e d\u1ecda thay v\u00ec thuy\u1ebft ph\u1ee5c. Putin kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 ph\u1edbt l\u1edd kho\u1ea3n chi ti\u00eau n\u1eeda ngh\u00ecn t\u1ef7 euro m\u00e0 \u0110\u1ee9c \u0111\u00e3 cam k\u1ebft. \u00d4ng ph\u1ea3i t\u00ecm c\u00e1ch ph\u1ea3n kh\u00e1ng. D\u00f9 s\u1ef1 ph\u1ea3n kh\u00e1ng n\u00e0y c\u00f3 mang l\u1ea1i l\u1ee3i th\u1ebf qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 g\u00ec \u0111i ch\u0103ng n\u1eefa, th\u00ec n\u00f3 c\u0169ng g\u00e2y suy y\u1ebfu v\u1ec1 m\u1eb7t ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb cho Nga, qu\u1ed1c gia t\u1eebng c\u00f3 m\u1ea1ng l\u01b0\u1edbi li\u00ean k\u1ebft tr\u00ean kh\u1eafp l\u1ee5c \u0111\u1ecba. C\u1ef1u Th\u1ee7 t\u01b0\u1edbng \u0110\u1ee9c Gerhard Schr\u00f6der \u0111\u00e3 r\u1eddi nhi\u1ec7m s\u1edf n\u0103m 2005 v\u00e0 sau \u0111\u00f3 tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh m\u1ed9t ng\u01b0\u1eddi v\u1eadn \u0111\u1ed9ng h\u00e0nh lang cho ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 Nga, nh\u01b0ng \u0111i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 t\u01b0\u1edfng t\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ng\u00e0y nay. Ngay c\u1ea3 c\u00e1c ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 ch\u00e2u \u00c2u \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c xem l\u00e0 \u201cngo\u1ea1i l\u1ec7\u201d trong l\u1eadp tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi Nga \u2013 nh\u01b0 Hungary, Slovakia, v\u00e0 \u00dd \u2013 c\u0169ng kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 ch\u1ed1ng l\u1ea1i cam k\u1ebft ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd c\u1ee7a ch\u00e2u \u00c2u d\u00e0nh cho Ukraine. \u0110\u1ee9c th\u1ebf n\u00e0o th\u00ec ch\u00e2u \u00c2u th\u1ebf \u1ea5y, v\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc \u0110\u1ee9c, d\u01b0\u1edbi th\u1eddi Th\u1ee7 t\u01b0\u1edbng Friedrich Merz, \u0111\u00e3 b\u1ecb bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed5i s\u00e2u s\u1eafc b\u1edfi cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn c\u1ee7a Nga.<\/p>\n\n\n

\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

Ch\u00e2u \u00c2u c\u00f3 nhi\u1ec1u l\u1ee3i th\u1ebf b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed1i x\u1ee9ng so v\u1edbi m\u1ed9t n\u01b0\u1edbc Nga hi\u1ebfu chi\u1ebfn. Chi\u1ebfn tranh phi ch\u00ednh quy s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng cho ph\u00e9p Nga chi\u1ebfm gi\u1eef l\u00e3nh th\u1ed5 \u1edf ch\u00e2u \u00c2u, v\u00e0 n\u00f3 c\u0169ng kh\u00f4ng d\u1ec5 d\u00e0ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c chuy\u1ec3n \u0111\u1ed5i th\u00e0nh chi\u1ebfn tranh th\u00f4ng th\u01b0\u1eddng. Chi\u1ebfn tranh phi ch\u00ednh quy s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng khi\u1ebfn ng\u01b0\u1eddi ch\u00e2u \u00c2u \u0111\u1ea7u h\u00e0ng \u1edf Ukraine, v\u00e0 trong cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn ti\u00eau hao n\u00e0y, ch\u00e2u \u00c2u c\u00f3 l\u1ee3i th\u1ebf d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n h\u01a1n h\u1eb3n.<\/strong> \u0110\u00fang l\u00e0 ch\u00e2u \u00c2u kh\u00f4ng gi\u1ecfi huy \u0111\u1ed9ng ngu\u1ed3n l\u1ef1c qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 nhanh ch\u00f3ng. T\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng nguy c\u1ea5p c\u1ee7a h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng ph\u00f2ng kh\u00f4ng Ukraine s\u1ebd khi\u1ebfn m\u00f9a \u0111\u00f4ng tr\u1edf n\u00ean kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n, trong khi Nga \u0111ang s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t h\u00e0ng lo\u1ea1t m\u00e1y bay kh\u00f4ng ng\u01b0\u1eddi l\u00e1i v\u1edbi t\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 \u0111\u00e1ng b\u00e1o \u0111\u1ed9ng.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Tuy nhi\u00ean, s\u1ef1 ch\u00eanh l\u1ec7ch v\u1ec1 s\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh kinh t\u1ebf l\u00e0 qu\u00e1 l\u1edbn. T\u1ed5ng GDP c\u1ee7a EU l\u00e0 kho\u1ea3ng 20 ngh\u00ecn t\u1ef7 \u0111\u00f4 la, trong khi GDP c\u1ee7a Nga ch\u1ec9 h\u01a1n 2 ngh\u00ecn t\u1ef7 \u0111\u00f4 la m\u1ed9t ch\u00fat. Nh\u1eefng con s\u1ed1 n\u00e0y kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ea3m b\u1ea3o chi\u1ebfn th\u1eafng cho Ukraine. Nh\u01b0ng ch\u00fang khi\u1ebfn cho kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng ch\u00e2u \u00c2u th\u1ea5t b\u1ea1i trong cu\u1ed9c \u0111\u1ea5u tranh k\u00e9o d\u00e0i n\u00e0y l\u00e0 r\u1ea5t th\u1ea5p. <\/mark>M\u1ed9t n\u01b0\u1edbc Nga kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng thuy\u1ebft ph\u1ee5c s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 \u0111\u1ee7 s\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 c\u1ea7n thi\u1ebft \u0111\u1ec3 \u00e9p bu\u1ed9c ch\u00e2u \u00c2u ch\u1ea5p nh\u1eadn c\u00e1c quy t\u1eafc c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh, m\u1ed9t b\u00e0i to\u00e1n nan gi\u1ea3i kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 gi\u1ea3i quy\u1ebft ch\u1ec9 b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch \u0111\u01b0a m\u00e1y bay kh\u00f4ng ng\u01b0\u1eddi l\u00e1i v\u00e0o kh\u00f4ng ph\u1eadn ch\u00e2u \u00c2u.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

G\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y, Merz \u0111\u00e3 \u1ea9n \u00fd r\u1eb1ng ch\u00e2u \u00c2u kh\u00f4ng h\u00f2a b\u00ecnh, nh\u01b0ng c\u0169ng kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 chi\u1ebfn tranh. S\u1ebd t\u1ed1t h\u01a1n n\u1ebfu c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o v\u00e0 ng\u01b0\u1eddi d\u00e2n ch\u00e2u \u00c2u ch\u1ecbu th\u1eeba nh\u1eadn th\u1eb3ng th\u1eafn: Chi\u1ebfn tranh c\u1ee7a Ukraine l\u00e0 chi\u1ebfn tranh c\u1ee7a ch\u00e2u \u00c2u. \u0110\u00f3 l\u00e0 cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn xoay quanh vi\u1ec7c li\u1ec7u Ukraine c\u00f3 ph\u1ea3i l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t ph\u1ea7n c\u1ee7a ch\u00e2u \u00c2u hay kh\u00f4ng. N\u1ebfu b\u1ea1n tin r\u1eb1ng Ukraine l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t ph\u1ea7n c\u1ee7a ch\u00e2u \u00c2u, nh\u01b0 h\u1ea7u h\u1ebft c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o ch\u00e2u \u00c2u v\u1eabn n\u00f3i, th\u00ec b\u1ea1n tin r\u1eb1ng b\u1ea3n th\u00e2n cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn \u0111\u00e3 lan \u0111\u1ebfn l\u1ee5c \u0111\u1ecba n\u00e0y. C\u00e0ng s\u1edbm ch\u1ea5p nh\u1eadn \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y, ng\u01b0\u1eddi ch\u00e2u \u00c2u c\u00e0ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 tr\u00e2n tr\u1ecdng v\u00e0 s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng t\u1ed1t h\u01a1n c\u00e1c ngu\u1ed3n l\u1ef1c m\u00ecnh c\u00f3.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Michael Kimmage <\/strong>
Gi\u00e1m \u0111\u1ed1c Vi\u1ec7n Kennan.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ngu\u1ed3n tr\u00edch: Nghi\u00ean C\u1ee9u Qu\u1ed1c T\u1ebf<\/strong>
https:\/\/nghiencuuquocte.org\/2025\/10\/25\/chau-au-dang-trong-chien-tranh\/#more-64050<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u1ea2nh minh ho\u1ea1: V\u1eadn H\u1ed9i M\u1edbi<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Ngu\u1ed3n:\u00a0Michael Kimmage, \u201cEurope Is At War,\u201d\u00a0Foreign Policy,\u00a020\/10\/2025 Bi\u00ean d\u1ecbch: Nguy\u1ec5n Th\u1ecb Kim Ph\u1ee5ng Putin xem Ukraine l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t ph\u1ea7n trong cu\u1ed9c \u0111\u1ea5u tranh l\u1edbn h\u01a1n v\u1edbi ch\u00e2u \u00c2u. Ng\u01b0\u1eddi ch\u00e2u \u00c2u c\u0169ng n\u00ean nh\u01b0 v\u1eady. Vi\u1ec7c Nga ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng gia t\u0103ng x\u00e2m nh\u1eadp kh\u00f4ng ph\u1eadn ch\u00e2u \u00c2u th\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c m\u00f4 t\u1ea3\u0111\u1ecdc ti\u1ebfp…<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":26724,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[7,8,12,9,53],"tags":[165,118,212,82,315,284,270,289],"class_list":["entry","author-ntviet","post-26734","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-binhluan","category-chinhtri-xahoi","category-chuyenmuc","category-kinhte","category-kinhte-chinhtri","tag-binh-luan","tag-chinh-tri","tag-chuyen-de","tag-kinh-te","tag-lien-au","tag-nga","tag-quan-su","tag-ukraine"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/26734","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=26734"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/26734\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":26735,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/26734\/revisions\/26735"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/26724"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=26734"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=26734"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=26734"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}