{"id":26926,"date":"2025-11-13T20:38:54","date_gmt":"2025-11-13T20:38:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/?p=26926"},"modified":"2025-11-13T20:38:58","modified_gmt":"2025-11-13T20:38:58","slug":"mot-cuoc-chien-o-dai-loan-se-ket-thuc-nhu-the-nao","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/?p=26926","title":{"rendered":"M\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn \u1edf \u0110\u00e0i Loan s\u1ebd k\u1ebft th\u00fac nh\u01b0 th\u1ebf n\u00e0o?<\/strong>
Zack Cooper<\/span>"},"content":{"rendered":"
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________________<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

Ngu\u1ed3n:\u00a0Zack Cooper, \u201cHow War in Taiwan Ends\u201d,\u00a0Foreign Affairs<\/em><\/mark><\/strong>, 06\/11\/2025<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bi\u00ean d\u1ecbch: <\/strong>Vi\u00ean \u0110\u0103ng Huy<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Trong nh\u1eefng n\u0103m g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y, nhi\u1ec1u ng\u01b0\u1eddi \u1edf Washington \u0111\u00e3 t\u1eadp trung v\u00e0o vi\u1ec7c r\u0103n \u0111e Trung Qu\u1ed1c x\u00e2m l\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0110\u00e0i Loan. Tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi nh\u1eadm ch\u1ee9c v\u00e0o \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m nay, Elbridge Colby, Th\u1ee9 tr\u01b0\u1edfng Qu\u1ed1c ph\u00f2ng M\u1ef9 ph\u1ee5 tr\u00e1ch v\u1ec1 ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch, \u0111\u00e3 kh\u1eb3ng \u0111\u1ecbnh r\u1eb1ng \u0110\u00e0i Loan n\u00ean \u201ct\u1eadp trung cao \u0111\u1ed9 v\u00e0o vi\u1ec7c tri\u1ec3n khai chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c ph\u00f2ng th\u1ee7 ch\u1ed1ng x\u00e2m nh\u1eadp tr\u01b0\u1edbc c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c x\u00e2m l\u01b0\u1ee3c\u201d.<\/mark><\/strong> Th\u1ef1c v\u1eady, m\u1ed9t lo\u1ea1t c\u00e1c h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng v\u0169 kh\u00ed h\u1ea1ng nh\u1eb9, r\u1ebb ti\u1ec1n r\u1ea5t c\u00f3 ti\u1ec1m n\u0103ng trong vi\u1ec7c \u0111\u1ea9y l\u00f9i m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c \u0111\u1ed5 b\u1ed9 \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng bi\u1ec3n c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c. Do \u0111\u00f3, Chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c Qu\u1ed1c ph\u00f2ng m\u1edbi c\u1ee7a ch\u00ednh quy\u1ec1n Trump \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u00fang khi ch\u1ea5p nh\u1eadn m\u1ed9t chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c ch\u1ed1ng x\u00e2m nh\u1eadp \u0111\u1ec3 ng\u0103n ch\u1eb7n m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c x\u00e2m l\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0110\u00e0i Loan.<\/mark><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nh\u01b0ng vi\u1ec7c \u0111\u1ea9y l\u00f9i m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c x\u00e2m l\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 kh\u00f4ng k\u1ebft th\u00fac chi\u1ebfn tranh. Joel Wuthnow, m\u1ed9t chuy\u00ean gia v\u1ec1 qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed9i Trung Qu\u1ed1c, \u0111\u00e3 c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o: \u201cKh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n n\u00e0o m\u00e0 Trung Qu\u1ed1c, sau m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c x\u00e2m l\u01b0\u1ee3c kh\u00f4ng th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng, nh\u1eadn tr\u00e1ch nhi\u1ec7m, th\u1eeba nh\u1eadn gi\u1ea3i ph\u00e1p qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 l\u00e0 v\u00f4 \u00edch, hay thay \u0111\u1ed5i c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi \u0110\u00e0i Loan\u201d<\/strong>. Sau m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c x\u00e2m l\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u1ea5t b\u1ea1i, nh\u00e0 l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o Trung Qu\u1ed1c T\u1eadp C\u1eadn B\u00ecnh (ho\u1eb7c ng\u01b0\u1eddi k\u1ebf nhi\u1ec7m \u00f4ng) kh\u00f3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u01a1n gi\u1ea3n l\u00e0 r\u00fat qu\u00e2n v\u1ec1 nh\u00e0. Thay v\u00e0o \u0111\u00f3, c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o Trung Qu\u1ed1c c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00fd lu\u1eadn r\u1eb1ng h\u1ecd s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng m\u1ea5t g\u00ec nhi\u1ec1u n\u1ebfu ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn.<\/p>\n\n\n

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\u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 l\u00fd do t\u1ea1i sao nh\u00e0 khoa h\u1ecdc ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb Michael Beckley<\/strong> \u0111\u00e3 l\u1eadp lu\u1eadn r\u1eb1ng \u201cchi\u1ebfn tranh \u1edf \u0110\u00e0i Loan c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng s\u1ebd k\u00e9o d\u00e0i, nh\u01b0 h\u1ea7u h\u1ebft c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn tranh gi\u1eefa c\u00e1c c\u01b0\u1eddng qu\u1ed1c k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb C\u00e1ch m\u1ea1ng C\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p<\/mark><\/strong>\u201d. Th\u1ebf chi\u1ebfn II ch\u1ec9 k\u1ebft th\u00fac khi l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u0110\u1ed3ng minh chi\u1ebfm \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u1ee7 \u0111\u00f4 c\u1ee7a \u0110\u1ee9c v\u00e0 M\u1ef9 th\u1ea3 bom h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n xu\u1ed1ng Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n. C\u1ea3 hai l\u1ef1a ch\u1ecdn n\u00e0y \u0111\u1ec1u c\u00f3 v\u1ebb kh\u00f4ng n\u00ean \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00e2n nh\u1eafc trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh chi\u1ebfn tranh M\u1ef9-Trung; Washington c\u1ea7n t\u00ecm nh\u1eefng c\u00e1ch kh\u00e1c \u0111\u1ec3 k\u1ebft th\u00fac cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn. Do \u0111\u00f3, trong nh\u1eefng n\u0103m t\u1edbi, M\u1ef9 ph\u1ea3i chu\u1ea9n b\u1ecb hai l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng: m\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ec3 ng\u0103n ch\u1eb7n cu\u1ed9c x\u00e2m l\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u00e0 m\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ec3 k\u1ebft th\u00fac xung \u0111\u1ed9t.<\/mark><\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u0110\u1ec3 ng\u0103n ch\u1eb7n chi\u1ebfn tranh x\u1ea3y ra ngay t\u1eeb \u0111\u1ea7u, m\u1ed9t ph\u1ea7n gi\u1ea3i ph\u00e1p s\u1ebd n\u1eb1m \u1edf c\u00e1c h\u00ecnh th\u1ee9c r\u0103n \u0111e ch\u1ed1ng x\u00e2m nh\u1eadp mang t\u00ednh \u0111\u1ed5i m\u1edbi, v\u1ed1n l\u00e0 tr\u1ecdng t\u00e2m m\u00e0 ch\u00ednh quy\u1ec1n Trump v\u00e0 nhi\u1ec1u b\u00ean kh\u00e1c \u0111\u00e3 v\u00e0 \u0111ang theo \u0111u\u1ed5i. Nh\u01b0ng ch\u1ec9 d\u1ef1a v\u00e0o kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng ch\u1ed1ng x\u00e2m nh\u1eadp l\u00e0 ch\u01b0a \u0111\u1ee7. \u0110\u1ec3 ch\u1ea5m d\u1ee9t m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn v\u1eabn ti\u1ebfp di\u1ec5n ngay c\u1ea3 khi \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1ea9y l\u00f9i th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng cu\u1ed9c t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng ban \u0111\u1ea7u, ch\u00fang ta s\u1ebd c\u1ea7n \u0111\u1ebfn kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng tri\u1ec3n khai s\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh ki\u1ec3u truy\u1ec1n th\u1ed1ng.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

V\u1ec1 chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c ch\u1ed1ng x\u00e2m nh\u1eadp<\/h4>\n\n\n\n

Trong th\u1ebf k\u1ef7 20, M\u1ef9 \u0111\u00e3 ho\u00e0n thi\u1ec7n ngh\u1ec7 thu\u1eadt tri\u1ec3n khai s\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh tr\u00ean ph\u1ea1m vi to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u. S\u1ef1 k\u1ebft h\u1ee3p c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c c\u0103n c\u1ee9 ti\u1ec1n ti\u00eau v\u00e0 t\u00e0u s\u00e2n bay \u0111\u00e3 cho ph\u00e9p l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng M\u1ef9 t\u00e1c chi\u1ebfn tr\u00ean to\u00e0n th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi. Sau khi Li\u00ean X\u00f4 s\u1ee5p \u0111\u1ed5 n\u0103m 1991, qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed9i M\u1ef9 tr\u1edf n\u00ean th\u1ed1ng tr\u1ecb \u0111\u1ebfn m\u1ee9c h\u1ecd c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng c\u00f9ng m\u1ed9t l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u0111\u1ec3 th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n hai h\u00ecnh th\u1ee9c r\u0103n \u0111e c\u00f9ng l\u00fac: r\u0103n \u0111e ch\u1ed1ng x\u00e2m nh\u1eadp v\u00e0 r\u0103n \u0111e tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t.<\/mark><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

H\u00e3y xem x\u00e9t vai tr\u00f2 c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c nh\u00f3m t\u00e1c chi\u1ebfn t\u00e0u s\u00e2n bay M\u1ef9 trong kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng Eo bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u00e0i Loan n\u0103m 1996. V\u00e0o th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m \u0111\u00f3, Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111ang t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c t\u1eadp tr\u1eadn qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 v\u00e0 th\u1eed t\u00ean l\u1eeda \u1edf v\u00f9ng bi\u1ec3n xung quanh \u0110\u00e0i Loan. Khi c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng gia t\u0103ng, Washington \u0111\u00e3 \u0111i\u1ec1u \u0111\u1ed9ng hai t\u00e0u s\u00e2n bay \u0111\u1ebfn g\u1ea7n h\u00f2n \u0111\u1ea3o. C\u00e1c nh\u00f3m t\u00e1c chi\u1ebfn \u0111\u00f3 \u0111\u00e3 th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n r\u0103n \u0111e ch\u1ed1ng x\u00e2m nh\u1eadp b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch \u0111e d\u1ecda \u0111\u00e1p tr\u1ea3 m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch tr\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp. Nh\u01b0ng h\u1ecd c\u0169ng th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n r\u0103n \u0111e th\u00f4ng qua tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch \u0111e d\u1ecda b\u1eb1ng nh\u1eefng h\u1eadu qu\u1ea3 nghi\u00eam tr\u1ecdng n\u1ebfu B\u1eafc Kinh t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng, v\u00ec m\u00e1y bay tr\u00ean t\u00e0u s\u00e2n bay c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng c\u00e1c t\u00e0u h\u01b0\u1edbng v\u1ec1 Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u00e0 th\u1eadm ch\u00ed c\u1ea3 c\u00e1c m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau tr\u00ean \u0111\u1ea5t li\u1ec1n Trung Qu\u1ed1c.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Tuy nhi\u00ean, trong v\u00e0i n\u0103m qua, M\u1ef9 \u0111\u00e3 b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh \u2014 c\u1ea3 c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed3ng minh v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c \u2014 cho c\u00e1c nhi\u1ec7m v\u1ee5 c\u1ee5 th\u1ec3 h\u01a1n. C\u00e1c c\u0103n c\u1ee9 ti\u1ec1n ti\u00eau v\u00e0 t\u00e0u s\u00e2n bay r\u1ea5t t\u1ed1n k\u00e9m \u0111\u1ec3 x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng v\u00e0 duy tr\u00ec, nh\u01b0ng v\u1eabn d\u1ec5 b\u1ecb t\u1ed5n th\u01b0\u01a1ng tr\u01b0\u1edbc t\u00ean l\u1eeda \u0111\u1ea1n \u0111\u1ea1o v\u00e0 c\u00e1c h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed1i x\u1ee9ng kh\u00e1c.<\/strong> Do \u0111\u00f3, c\u00e1c quan ch\u1ee9c L\u1ea7u N\u0103m G\u00f3c \u0111ang th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y vi\u1ec7c mua s\u1eafm nhi\u1ec1u h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng \u201cc\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng \u0111\u00e1nh ti\u00eau hao\u201d h\u01a1n, s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ed1i r\u1ebb v\u00e0 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c thi\u1ebft k\u1ebf \u0111\u1ec3 d\u1ec5 b\u1ecb ph\u00e1 h\u1ee7y, \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c trang b\u1ecb cho c\u00e1c \u0111\u01a1n v\u1ecb nh\u1ecf t\u00e1c chi\u1ebfn trong khu v\u1ef1c r\u1ed9ng l\u1edbn m\u00e0 Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111e d\u1ecda.<\/strong> Nh\u01b0 David Berger, c\u1ef1u T\u01b0 l\u1ec7nh Th\u1ee7y qu\u00e2n l\u1ee5c chi\u1ebfn M\u1ef9, \u0111\u00e3 gi\u1ea3i th\u00edch t\u1ea1i m\u1ed9t h\u1ed9i ngh\u1ecb c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p qu\u1ed1c ph\u00f2ng v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2021, M\u1ef9 ph\u1ea3i \u201cquen d\u1ea7n v\u1edbi vi\u1ec7c s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng nh\u1eefng th\u1ee9 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 b\u1ecf \u0111i\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n

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Ho\u1ea3 ti\u1ec5n Patriot c\u1ee7a \u0110\u00e0i Loan<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

Nh\u01b0ng c\u00e1c h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng \u0111\u00e1nh ti\u00eau hao c\u00f3 c\u00f4ng d\u1ee5ng h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi c\u00e1c ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u01b0\u1ee1ng \u00e9p h\u00e0ng ng\u00e0y c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c tr\u00ean kh\u00f4ng v\u00e0 tr\u00ean bi\u1ec3n xung quanh \u0110\u00e0i Loan. N\u0103m ngo\u00e1i, \u0110\u00e0i Loan \u0111\u00e3 ph\u00e1t hi\u1ec7n 5.105 l\u1ea7n Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111i\u1ec1u ti\u00eam k\u00edch v\u00e0o kh\u00f4ng ph\u1eadn c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh. Ph\u00f2ng th\u1ee7 ch\u1ed1ng l\u1ea1i c\u00e1c m\u00e1y bay n\u00e0y \u0111\u00f2i h\u1ecfi m\u00e1y bay ti\u00eam k\u00edch \u0111\u1eaft ti\u1ec1n ch\u1ee9 kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i drone \u0111\u1ed9 cao th\u1ea5p. Trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh h\u00e0ng h\u1ea3i, vi\u1ec7c \u0111\u00e1p tr\u1ea3 c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c x\u00e2m nh\u1eadp h\u1ea3i qu\u00e2n c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u1edf v\u00f9ng bi\u1ec3n xung quanh \u0110\u00e0i Loan s\u1ebd c\u1ea7n c\u00e1c t\u00e0u c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 gi\u00e1m s\u00e1t c\u00e1c ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u00f3 v\u00e0 th\u00e1ch th\u1ee9c l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng Trung Qu\u1ed1c n\u1ebfu c\u1ea7n thi\u1ebft.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ngay c\u1ea3 khi xung \u0111\u1ed9t n\u1ed5 ra, chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c r\u0103n \u0111e ch\u1ed1ng x\u00e2m nh\u1eadp v\u1eabn l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t gi\u1ea3i ph\u00e1p ch\u01b0a tr\u1ecdn v\u1eb9n. D\u00f9 th\u1ee7y l\u00f4i v\u00e0 t\u00ean l\u1eeda c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u00e1nh ch\u00ecm t\u00e0u Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u00e0 g\u00e2y th\u01b0\u01a1ng vong l\u1edbn, c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u1eabn c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 c\u1ed1 \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c chi\u1ebfn th\u1eafng m\u1ed9t ph\u1ea7n. C\u1ee5 th\u1ec3, Qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed9i Trung Qu\u1ed1c c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 c\u1ed1 g\u1eafng chi\u1ebfm c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ea3o xa b\u1edd c\u1ee7a \u0110\u00e0i Loan ho\u1eb7c thi\u1ebft l\u1eadp phong t\u1ecfa h\u00e0ng h\u1ea3i trong khi kho v\u0169 kh\u00ed c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd bi\u1ebfn v\u00f9ng bi\u1ec3n xung quanh th\u00e0nh khu v\u1ef1c c\u1ea5m. C\u1ef1u s\u0129 quan t\u00ecnh b\u00e1o Lonnie Henley \u0111\u00e3 l\u1eadp lu\u1eadn: \u201cM\u1ef9 kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 gi\u00e0nh chi\u1ebfn th\u1eafng n\u1ebfu kh\u00f4ng th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c phong t\u1ecfa k\u00e9o d\u00e0i\u201d.<\/mark><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u0110\u00f3 l\u00e0 l\u00fd do t\u1ea1i sao M\u1ef9 ph\u1ea3i c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng thuy\u1ebft ph\u1ee5c Trung Qu\u1ed1c r\u1eb1ng h\u1ecd s\u1ebd ph\u1ea3i \u0111\u1ed1i m\u1eb7t v\u1edbi c\u00e1i gi\u00e1 kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 ch\u1ea5p nh\u1eadn \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c n\u1ebfu ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c chi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ea5u sau m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c x\u00e2m l\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u1ea5t b\u1ea1i.<\/mark> Chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c ch\u1ed1ng x\u00e2m nh\u1eadp ch\u1ec9 l\u00e0 b\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u1ea7u, m\u1ed1i \u0111e d\u1ecda tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t m\u1edbi l\u00e0 con \u00e1t ch\u1ee7 b\u00e0i cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 v\u00e0 s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng d\u1eebng\u00a0cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn<\/h4>\n\n\n\n

Cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn \u1edf Ukraine minh h\u1ecda s\u1ef1 kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n trong vi\u1ec7c ch\u1ea5m d\u1ee9t m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c xung \u0111\u1ed9t ngay c\u1ea3 sau khi m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c x\u00e2m l\u01b0\u1ee3c ban \u0111\u1ea7u b\u1ecb sa l\u1ea7y.<\/strong> V\u1edbi c\u00e1c h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng v\u0169 kh\u00ed nh\u1ecf v\u00e0 r\u1ebb ti\u1ec1n nh\u01b0 drone v\u00e0 th\u1ee7y l\u00f4i, Ukraine \u0111\u00e3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ng\u0103n ch\u1eb7n Nga \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c m\u1ed9t chi\u1ebfn th\u1eafng nhanh ch\u00f3ng nh\u01b0ng l\u1ea1i th\u1ea5t b\u1ea1i trong vi\u1ec7c g\u00e2y ra m\u1ed9t c\u00e1i gi\u00e1 \u0111\u1ee7 cao \u0111\u1ec3 thuy\u1ebft ph\u1ee5c T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng Nga Vladimir Putin ng\u1eebng cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn. Nga \u0111\u00e3 ch\u1ecbu t\u1ed5n th\u1ea5t kh\u1ee7ng khi\u1ebfp trong cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn, nh\u01b0ng Putin d\u01b0\u1eddng nh\u01b0 \u0111\u00e3 t\u00ednh to\u00e1n r\u1eb1ng c\u00e1i gi\u00e1 c\u1ee7a vi\u1ec7c ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n c\u00e1i gi\u00e1 c\u1ee7a vi\u1ec7c th\u1eeba nh\u1eadn th\u1ea5t b\u1ea1i.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

T\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh c\u1ee7a Nga l\u00e0 l\u1eddi c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o v\u1ec1 c\u00e1ch Trung Qu\u1ed1c s\u1ebd h\u00e0nh x\u1eed. L\u00fd t\u01b0\u1edfng nh\u1ea5t l\u00e0 vi\u1ec5n c\u1ea3nh m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c x\u00e2m l\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0110\u00e0i Loan th\u1ea5t b\u1ea1i s\u1ebd ng\u0103n ch\u1eb7n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c Trung Qu\u1ed1c, nh\u01b0ng tr\u00ean th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf, c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o B\u1eafc Kinh c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 th\u1ea5y c\u00f3 nhi\u1ec1u l\u00fd do \u0111\u1ec3 ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c k\u00e9o d\u00e0i chi\u1ebfn tranh sau m\u1ed9t th\u1ea5t b\u1ea1i ban \u0111\u1ea7u. <\/strong>L\u1ee3i th\u1ebf \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean l\u00e0 n\u0103ng l\u1ef1c c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p v\u01b0\u1ee3t tr\u1ed9i c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c so v\u1edbi M\u1ef9, cho ph\u00e9p h\u1ecd t\u00e1i trang b\u1ecb l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng nhanh h\u01a1n. Trong ba th\u1eadp k\u1ef7 qua, Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111\u00e3 th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n vi\u1ec7c x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng s\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 kh\u1ed5ng l\u1ed3. H\u1ea3i qu\u00e2n M\u1ef9 \u01b0\u1edbc t\u00ednh kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng \u0111\u00f3ng t\u00e0u c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c g\u1ea5p h\u01a1n 230 l\u1ea7n c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9. Trong khi \u0111\u00f3, l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng v\u0169 trang M\u1ef9 ph\u1ea3i \u0111\u1ed1i m\u1eb7t v\u1edbi t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng thi\u1ebfu h\u1ee5t \u0111\u1ea1n d\u01b0\u1ee3c nghi\u00eam tr\u1ecdng, v\u1edbi d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n kho d\u1ef1 tr\u1eef M\u1ef9 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 c\u1ea1n ki\u1ec7t ch\u1ec9 sau v\u00e0i tu\u1ea7n, th\u1eadm ch\u00ed v\u00e0i ng\u00e0y, n\u1ebfu xung \u0111\u1ed9t v\u1edbi Trung Qu\u1ed1c x\u1ea3y ra.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

B\u1eafc Kinh c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 tin r\u1eb1ng h\u1ecd c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng tr\u1ee5 v\u1eefng l\u00e2u h\u01a1n Washington v\u00e0 \u0110\u00e0i B\u1eafc v\u1ec1 m\u1eb7t ti\u1ebfp t\u1ebf n\u00f3i chung. <\/mark><\/strong>Vi\u1ec7c v\u1eadn chuy\u1ec3n ti\u1ebfp t\u1ebf qua \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng b\u1ed9 v\u00e0o Ukraine \u0111\u00e3 kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n, nh\u01b0ng vi\u1ec7c \u0111\u01b0a nhu y\u1ebfu ph\u1ea9m c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n qua \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng bi\u1ec3n \u0111\u1ebfn \u0110\u00e0i Loan trong xung \u0111\u1ed9t v\u1edbi Trung Qu\u1ed1c s\u1ebd c\u00f2n kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n h\u01a1n g\u1ea5p b\u1ed9i. \u0110\u00e0i Loan l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t h\u00f2n \u0111\u1ea3o nh\u1ecf, c\u00f3 ngu\u1ed3n d\u1ef1 tr\u1eef th\u1ef1c ph\u1ea9m v\u00e0 n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf. Ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i, vi\u1ec7c B\u1eafc Kinh \u0111\u1ea9y m\u1ea1nh ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng gi\u00f3, m\u1eb7t tr\u1eddi v\u00e0 h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n s\u1ebd gi\u00fap h\u1ecd t\u1ef1 b\u1ea3o v\u1ec7 t\u1ed1t h\u01a1n tr\u01b0\u1edbc m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c\u00a0 phong t\u1ecfa n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng t\u1eeb M\u1ef9.<\/p>\n\n\n

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M\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c xung \u0111\u1ed9t \u1edf \u0110\u00e0i Loan cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c \u0111\u1ea5u tranh v\u1ec1 \u00fd ch\u00ed\u2014m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn m\u00e0 B\u1eafc Kinh tin r\u1eb1ng h\u1ecd s\u1ebd th\u1eafng<\/mark><\/strong>. C\u00e1c quan ch\u1ee9c Trung Qu\u1ed1c lu\u00f4n m\u00f4 t\u1ea3 \u0110\u00e0i Loan l\u00e0 \u201cl\u1ee3i \u00edch c\u1ed1t l\u00f5i nh\u1ea5t trong c\u00e1c l\u1ee3i \u00edch c\u1ed1t l\u00f5i\u201d c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd. Tuy nhi\u00ean, c\u1ef1u T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng M\u1ef9 Donald Trump l\u1ea1i c\u00f3 quan \u0111i\u1ec3m kh\u00e1c h\u1eb3n: \u201c\u0110\u00e0i Loan c\u00e1ch M\u1ef9 9.500 d\u1eb7m\u201d, c\u00f2n c\u00e1ch Trung Qu\u1ed1c ch\u1ec9 68 d\u1eb7m. T\u00f4i ngh\u0129 ch\u00fang ta ph\u1ea3i kh\u00f4n ngoan\u2026 \u0111\u00e2y l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 v\u00f4 c\u00f9ng kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n\u201d. Th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf l\u00e0 d\u00f9 ng\u01b0\u1eddi d\u00e2n M\u1ef9 c\u00f3 \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 \u0110\u00e0i Loan, nh\u01b0ng nhi\u1ec1u ng\u01b0\u1eddi kh\u00f4ng mu\u1ed1n x\u1ea3y ra xung \u0111\u1ed9t tr\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp v\u1edbi Trung Qu\u1ed1c: m\u1ed9t kh\u1ea3o s\u00e1t n\u0103m 2024 c\u1ee7a Chicago Council on Global Affairs cho th\u1ea5y khi \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c h\u1ecfi v\u1ec1 cam k\u1ebft b\u1ea3o v\u1ec7 \u0110\u00e0i Loan, \u0111a s\u1ed1 ng\u01b0\u1eddi M\u1ef9 tr\u1ea3 l\u1eddi ho\u1eb7c l\u00e0 ph\u1ea3n \u0111\u1ed1i ho\u1eb7c l\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng ch\u1eafc ch\u1eafn v\u1ec1 m\u1ed9t ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch nh\u01b0 v\u1eady.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Vi\u1ec7c Trung Qu\u1ed1c th\u1ea5t b\u1ea1i trong xung \u0111\u1ed9t \u1edf \u0110\u00e0i Loan c\u0169ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111e d\u1ecda quy\u1ec1n l\u1ef1c c\u1ee7a T\u1eadp ho\u1eb7c ng\u01b0\u1eddi k\u1ebf nhi\u1ec7m \u00f4ng v\u00e0 l\u00e0m suy y\u1ebfu t\u00ednh ch\u00ednh danh c\u1ee7a \u0110\u1ea3ng C\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n Trung Qu\u1ed1c<\/mark><\/strong>. T\u1eadp s\u1ebd mu\u1ed1n tr\u00e1nh th\u1eeba nh\u1eadn th\u1ea5t b\u1ea1i v\u00e0 do \u0111\u00f3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ra l\u1ec7nh cho qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed9i Trung Qu\u1ed1c ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c ti\u1ebfn h\u00e0nh m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 th\u1eafng. N\u1ebfu kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 vi\u1ec5n c\u1ea3nh b\u1ecb tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t, \u0110CSTQ c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh r\u1eb1ng th\u1ea5t b\u1ea1i g\u00e2y ra r\u1ee7i ro l\u1edbn h\u01a1n vi\u1ec7c ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c xung \u0111\u1ed9t.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

V\u00ec t\u1ea5t c\u1ea3 nh\u1eefng l\u00fd do n\u00e0y, c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o Trung Qu\u1ed1c c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ch\u1ecdn ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c chi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ea5u ngay c\u1ea3 sau m\u1ed9t th\u1ea5t b\u1ea1i ban \u0111\u1ea7u<\/mark>. \u0110\u1ec3 \u0111\u01b0a xung \u0111\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ebfn h\u1ed3i k\u1ebft, M\u1ef9 s\u1ebd c\u1ea7n ph\u1ea3i \u0111e d\u1ecda tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch \u0111\u00e1ng tin c\u1eady. <\/mark><\/strong>Colby v\u00e0 c\u00e1c quan ch\u1ee9c kh\u00e1c c\u1ee7a ch\u00ednh quy\u1ec1n Trump r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng nh\u1eadn ra \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y, \u00f4ng l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed3ng t\u00e1c gi\u1ea3 c\u1ee7a m\u1ed9t b\u00e1o c\u00e1o n\u0103m 2022 \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 \u201cc\u00e1c chi\u1ebfn d\u1ecbch tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t c\u00f3 ch\u1ecdn l\u1ecdc\u201d v\u00e0 \u201c\u00e1p \u0111\u1eb7t chi ph\u00ed \u0111\u1ec3 qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd leo thang m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch thu\u1eadn l\u1ee3i v\u00e0 t\u00ecm c\u00e1ch ch\u1ea5m d\u1ee9t chi\u1ebfn tranh v\u1edbi Trung Qu\u1ed1c\u201d. C\u00e1c chi\u1ebfn d\u1ecbch n\u00e0y c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 bao g\u1ed3m c\u1ea5m v\u1eadn ho\u1eb7c t\u1ecbch thu t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c gi\u1eef \u1edf n\u01b0\u1edbc ngo\u00e0i. Nh\u01b0ng B\u1eafc Kinh \u0111\u00e3 t\u1ef1 b\u1ea3o v\u1ec7 m\u00ecnh kh\u1ecfi \u00e1p l\u1ef1c ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb v\u00e0 kinh t\u1ebf, v\u00ec v\u1eady vi\u1ec7c leo thang qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0 c\u1ea7n thi\u1ebft, bao g\u1ed3m c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng v\u00e0o c\u01a1 s\u1edf h\u1ea1 t\u1ea7ng quan tr\u1ecdng v\u00e0 c\u00e1c b\u1ed9 ph\u1eadn c\u1ee7a c\u01a1 s\u1edf c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p qu\u1ed1c ph\u00f2ng c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c. Nh\u1eefng \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u00e1i n\u00e0y s\u1ebd l\u00e0m t\u0103ng chi ph\u00ed cho Trung Qu\u1ed1c khi ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c xung \u0111\u1ed9t, nh\u01b0ng ch\u00fang c\u0169ng \u0111\u1eb7t ra m\u1ed9t t\u00ecnh th\u1ebf l\u01b0\u1ee1ng nan v\u1ec1 chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ngh\u1ecbch l\u00fd Goldilocks<\/h4>\n\n\n\n

Nhi\u1ec1u y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 s\u1ebd l\u00e0m cho vi\u1ec7c \u0111e d\u1ecda tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t tr\u1edf n\u00ean ph\u1ee9c t\u1ea1p. Y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean l\u00e0 c\u00e1i m\u00e0 c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u t\u1ea1i T\u1eadp \u0111o\u00e0n RAND g\u1ecdi l\u00e0 \u201cTh\u00e1ch th\u1ee9c Goldilocks<\/mark><\/strong>\u201d: M\u1ed1i \u0111e d\u1ecda tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t ph\u1ea3i \u0111\u1ee7 cao \u0111\u1ec3 thuy\u1ebft ph\u1ee5c B\u1eafc Kinh ch\u1ea5m d\u1ee9t m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c xung \u0111\u1ed9t m\u00e0 h\u1ecd \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 r\u1ea5t nhi\u1ec1u, nh\u01b0ng \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi ph\u1ea3i \u0111\u1ee7 th\u1ea5p \u0111\u1ec3 tr\u00e1nh g\u00e2y ra leo thang kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 ch\u1ea5p nh\u1eadn \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c, v\u00ed d\u1ee5 nh\u01b0 vi\u1ec7c s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng v\u0169 kh\u00ed h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n. Vi\u1ec7c t\u00ecm ra m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t \u201cv\u1eeba ph\u1ea3i\u201d n\u00e0y ch\u1eafc ch\u1eafn l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t nhi\u1ec7m v\u1ee5 kh\u00f4ng h\u1ec1 d\u1ec5 d\u00e0ng.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Do \u0111\u00f3, \u0111i\u1ec1u quan tr\u1ecdng l\u00e0 ph\u1ea3i c\u1ed1 g\u1eafng gi\u1eef cho cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn ban \u0111\u1ea7u \u1edf \u0110\u00e0i Loan trong gi\u1edbi h\u1ea1n \u0111\u1ec3 cho c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o Trung Qu\u1ed1c m\u1ed9t con \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u1ec3 gi\u1ea3m leo thang. C\u00e1c nh\u00e0 l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o Trung Qu\u1ed1c c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00f9i b\u01b0\u1edbc sau khi tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 \u0111\u00e3 d\u1ea1y cho \u0110\u00e0i Loan m\u1ed9t b\u00e0i h\u1ecdc ho\u1eb7c chi\u1ebfm \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 l\u00e3nh th\u1ed5 \u0111ang tranh ch\u1ea5p. <\/mark><\/strong>Tuy nhi\u00ean, th\u00f4ng \u0111i\u1ec7p c\u1ee7a ch\u00ednh Trung Qu\u1ed1c tr\u01b0\u1edbc xung \u0111\u1ed9t c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u1eb7t ra m\u1ed9t ti\u00eau chu\u1ea9n cao h\u01a1n: c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o Trung Qu\u1ed1c c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 b\u00f4i nh\u1ecd \u0110\u00e0i Loan v\u00e0 M\u1ef9 \u0111\u1ec3 t\u1eadp h\u1ee3p s\u1ef1 \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 c\u1ee7a c\u00f4ng ch\u00fang, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi ca ng\u1ee3i \u01b0u th\u1ebf qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 c\u1ee7a Qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed9i Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u00e0 s\u1ef1 ph\u1ee5c h\u01b0ng v\u0129 \u0111\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c. M\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c x\u00e2m l\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0110\u00e0i Loan c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u b\u1eb1ng vi\u1ec7c B\u1eafc Kinh t\u1ef1 c\u1eaft \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng lui \u0111\u1ec3 kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 quay \u0111\u1ea7u l\u1ea1i.<\/mark><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n

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Sau xung \u0111\u1ed9t \u1edf Eo bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u00e0i Loan, c\u00e1c ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb gia \u1edf Washington, \u0110\u00e0i B\u1eafc v\u00e0 nh\u1eefng n\u01a1i kh\u00e1c c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u1ef1 n\u00e2ng cao m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 r\u1ee7i ro. H\u1ecd c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u1eadn d\u1ee5ng th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m B\u1eafc Kinh suy y\u1ebfu \u0111\u1ec3 h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf tham v\u1ecdng c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c, h\u1ee3p th\u1ee9c h\u00f3a \u0111\u1ed9c l\u1eadp c\u1ee7a \u0110\u00e0i Loan, ho\u1eb7c l\u00e0m suy y\u1ebfu quy\u1ec1n l\u1ef1c c\u1ee7a \u0110CSTQ<\/mark><\/strong>. S\u1ebd c\u00f3 m\u1ed9t ranh gi\u1edbi mong manh gi\u1eefa c\u00e1c ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch \u201cqu\u00e1 n\u00f3ng\u201d v\u00e0 \u201cqu\u00e1 l\u1ea1nh\u201d, v\u00e0 s\u1ef1 \u0111\u00e1nh \u0111\u1ed5i s\u1ebd tr\u1edf n\u00ean kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n h\u01a1n khi chi\u1ebfn tranh k\u00e9o d\u00e0i h\u01a1n, \u0111\u1eabm m\u00e1u h\u01a1n v\u00e0 mang t\u00ednh h\u1ee7y di\u1ec7t h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Th\u00e1ch th\u1ee9c th\u1ee9 hai l\u00e0 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng leo thang theo chi\u1ec1u ngang (horizontal escalation) \u2013 m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng ph\u1ea1m vi xung \u0111\u1ed9t \u2013 c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 ng\u00e0y nay c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 kh\u00f4ng c\u00f2n hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 nh\u01b0 tr\u01b0\u1edbc.<\/strong> Vi\u1ec7c d\u1ed3n nhi\u1ec1u ng\u00e2n s\u00e1ch h\u01a1n cho chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c ch\u1ed1ng x\u00e2m nh\u1eadp c\u00f3 nguy c\u01a1 l\u00e0m x\u00f3i m\u00f2n ngu\u1ed3n l\u1ef1c d\u00e0nh cho c\u00e1c kh\u00ed t\u00e0i c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t t\u1ed1t h\u01a1n, nh\u01b0 m\u00e1y bay n\u00e9m bom t\u00e0ng h\u00ecnh v\u00e0 t\u00e0u ng\u1ea7m mang t\u00ean l\u1eeda h\u00e0nh tr\u00ecnh. H\u01a1n n\u1eefa, d\u00f9 c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c M\u1ef9 t\u1eebng t\u00ednh \u0111\u1ebfn kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng phong t\u1ecfa nh\u1eb1m c\u1eaft ngu\u1ed3n cung n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c, nh\u01b0ng c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 m\u00e1y \u0111i\u1ec7n h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n v\u00e0 n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng t\u00e1i t\u1ea1o c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c hi\u1ec7n chi\u1ebfm m\u1ed9t ph\u1ea7n ba s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng c\u1ee7a n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y, khi\u1ebfn B\u1eafc Kinh kh\u00f4ng c\u00f2n d\u1ec5 b\u1ecb t\u1ed5n th\u01b0\u01a1ng tr\u01b0\u1edbc m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c phong t\u1ecfa n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng. D\u00f9 vi\u1ec7c c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u nhi\u00ean li\u1ec7u h\u00f3a th\u1ea1ch s\u1ebd g\u00e2y t\u1ed5n th\u01b0\u01a1ng cho Trung Qu\u1ed1c theo th\u1eddi gian, nh\u01b0ng \u0110\u00e0i Loan s\u1ebd \u1edf trong t\u00ecnh th\u1ebf t\u1ed3i t\u1ec7 h\u01a1n nhi\u1ec1u.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Do \u0111\u00f3, th\u00e1ch th\u1ee9c l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi Chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c Qu\u1ed1c ph\u00f2ng c\u1ee7a ch\u00ednh quy\u1ec1n Trump kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i l\u00e0 li\u1ec7u n\u00f3 c\u00f3 ph\u00e2n b\u1ed5 ngu\u1ed3n l\u1ef1c cho chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c ch\u1ed1ng x\u00e2m nh\u1eadp hay kh\u00f4ng m\u00e0 l\u00e0 c\u00e1ch n\u00f3 t\u00edch h\u1ee3p ch\u1ed1ng x\u00e2m nh\u1eadp v\u00e0 tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t th\u00e0nh m\u1ed9t khu\u00f4n kh\u1ed5 r\u0103n \u0111e to\u00e0n di\u1ec7n.<\/mark><\/strong> \u0110\u1ea9y l\u00f9i m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng ban \u0111\u1ea7u v\u00e0o \u0110\u00e0i Loan l\u00e0 c\u1ea7n thi\u1ebft nh\u01b0ng ch\u01b0a \u0111\u1ee7. N\u1ebfu kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 k\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch ch\u1ea5m d\u1ee9t chi\u1ebfn tranh, Washington c\u00f3 nguy c\u01a1 l\u1eb7p l\u1ea1i m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 \u1edf Iraq v\u00e0 Afghanistan m\u00e0 nhi\u1ec1u quan ch\u1ee9c Trump \u0111\u00e3 ch\u1ec9 tr\u00edch: th\u1eafng tr\u1eadn \u0111\u1ea7u nh\u01b0ng thua c\u1ea3 cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn. N\u1ebfu M\u1ef9 mu\u1ed1n r\u0103n \u0111e Trung Qu\u1ed1c, h\u1ecd s\u1ebd ph\u1ea3i thuy\u1ebft ph\u1ee5c c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o Trung Qu\u1ed1c r\u1eb1ng Washington c\u00f3 m\u1ed9t chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 cho giai \u0111o\u1ea1n \u0111\u1ea7u c\u1ee7a xung \u0111\u1ed9t m\u00e0 c\u00f2n cho cho giai \u0111o\u1ea1n k\u1ebft th\u00fac c\u1ee7a cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Zack Cooper<\/strong>
Nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u vi\u00ean Cao c\u1ea5p t\u1ea1i American Enterprise Institute v\u00e0 l\u00e0 gi\u1ea3ng vi\u00ean t\u1ea1i \u0110\u1ea1i h\u1ecdc Princeton.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ngu\u1ed3n tr\u00edch: Nghi\u00ean C\u1ee9u Qu\u1ed1c T\u1ebf<\/strong>
https:\/\/nghiencuuquocte.org\/2025\/11\/13\/mot-cuoc-chien-o-dai-loan-se-ket-thuc-nhu-the-nao\/#more-64342<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u1ea2nh minh ho\u1ea1: V\u1eadn H\u1ed9i M\u1edbi<\/strong><\/p>\n

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<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Ngu\u1ed3n:\u00a0Zack Cooper, \u201cHow War in Taiwan Ends\u201d,\u00a0Foreign Affairs, 06\/11\/2025 Bi\u00ean d\u1ecbch: Vi\u00ean \u0110\u0103ng Huy Trong nh\u1eefng n\u0103m g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y, nhi\u1ec1u ng\u01b0\u1eddi \u1edf Washington \u0111\u00e3 t\u1eadp trung v\u00e0o vi\u1ec7c r\u0103n \u0111e Trung Qu\u1ed1c x\u00e2m l\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0110\u00e0i Loan. Tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi nh\u1eadm ch\u1ee9c v\u00e0o \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m nay, Elbridge Colby, Th\u1ee9 tr\u01b0\u1edfng Qu\u1ed1c ph\u00f2ng M\u1ef9\u0111\u1ecdc ti\u1ebfp…<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":26537,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[7,8,12,57,9],"tags":[165,118,212,168,119,82,98,226],"class_list":["entry","author-ntviet","post-26926","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-binhluan","category-chinhtri-xahoi","category-chuyenmuc","category-giaoduc-vanhoc-lichsu","category-kinhte","tag-binh-luan","tag-chinh-tri","tag-chuyen-de","tag-dai-loan","tag-hoa-ky","tag-kinh-te","tag-trung-cong","tag-xa-hoi"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/26926","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=26926"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/26926\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":26929,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/26926\/revisions\/26929"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/26537"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=26926"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=26926"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=26926"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}