{"id":27028,"date":"2025-11-26T19:18:08","date_gmt":"2025-11-26T19:18:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/?p=27028"},"modified":"2025-11-26T19:18:11","modified_gmt":"2025-11-26T19:18:11","slug":"bay-cuoc-xung-dot-can-theo-doi-trong-nam-toi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/?p=27028","title":{"rendered":"B\u1ea3y cu\u1ed9c xung \u0111\u1ed9t c\u1ea7n theo d\u00f5i trong n\u0103m t\u1edbi<\/strong>
Sondre Ulvund Solstad\u00a0<\/span>"},"content":{"rendered":"
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____________________<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

Ngu\u1ed3n:<\/strong>\u00a0Sondre Ulvund Solstad, \u201cSeven conflicts to watch in the coming year\u201d,\u00a0The Economist<\/em><\/mark><\/strong>, 12\/11\/2025<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bi\u00ean d\u1ecbch: <\/strong>T\u1ea1 Ki\u1ec1u Trang<\/p>\n\n\n\n

C\u00f3 n\u01a1i m\u1edbi ch\u1ec9 manh nha, c\u00f3 n\u01a1i \u0111\u00e3 th\u00e0nh \u0111i\u1ec3m n\u00f3ng.<\/mark><\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Trong th\u1eadp k\u1ef7 qua, s\u1ed1 l\u01b0\u1ee3ng c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c xung \u0111\u1ed9t v\u0169 trang \u0111ang di\u1ec5n ra \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng v\u1ecdt. Nhi\u1ec1u cu\u1ed9c xung \u0111\u1ed9t trong s\u1ed1 \u0111\u00f3 \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t t\u00e0n kh\u1ed1c. M\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 xung \u0111\u1ed9t kh\u00e1c tuy ch\u01b0a ch\u1ea1m \u0111\u1ebfn ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng b\u1ea1o l\u1ef1c, nh\u01b0ng m\u1ed9t khi b\u00f9ng ph\u00e1t, ch\u00fang s\u1ebd \u0111\u1ea3o l\u1ed9n c\u1ea3 khu v\u1ef1c v\u00e0 th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

1. Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u00e0 \u0110\u00e0i Loan<\/h4>\n\n\n\n

\u2013 T\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 chi ti\u00eau qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u: Trung Qu\u1ed1c 12% | \u0110\u00e0i Loan 0,8%
\u2013 C\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc li\u00ean k\u1ebft v\u1edbi \u0110\u00e0i Loan: M\u1ef9 22,3% | Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n 2,1% | H\u00e0n Qu\u1ed1c 2,2%<\/p>\n\n\n

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Li\u1ec7u Ch\u1ee7 t\u1ecbch Trung Qu\u1ed1c T\u1eadp C\u1eadn B\u00ecnh c\u00f3 t\u00ecm c\u00e1ch \u0111\u1ec3 l\u1ea1i di s\u1ea3n? Gi\u1edbi l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o Trung Qu\u1ed1c theo d\u00f5i cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn c\u1ee7a Nga \u1edf Ukraine v\u00e0 c\u00f3 l\u1ebd \u0111\u00e3 r\u00fat ra \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c b\u00e0i h\u1ecdc c\u1ea3nh t\u1ec9nh v\u1ec1 nh\u1eefng tr\u1edf ng\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a vi\u1ec7c \u0111i thu ph\u1ee5c. Tuy v\u1eady, ch\u00eanh l\u1ec7ch n\u0103ng l\u1ef1c qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 qu\u00e1 l\u1edbn gi\u1eefa Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u00e0 \u0110\u00e0i Loan khi\u1ebfn B\u1eafc Kinh c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 b\u1ecb th\u00f4i th\u00fac h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng m\u1ed9t khi s\u1ef1 h\u1eadu thu\u1eabn c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 d\u00e0nh cho \u0110\u00e0i Loan c\u00f3 v\u1ebb suy y\u1ebfu \u0111i, ho\u1eb7c khi c\u00e1i gi\u00e1 kinh t\u1ebf cho chi\u1ebfn d\u1ecbch t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng gi\u1ea3m xu\u1ed1ng. Hi\u1ec7n nay, phong t\u1ecfa c\u00f3 v\u1ebb kh\u1ea3 d\u0129 h\u01a1n l\u00e0 x\u00e2m l\u01b0\u1ee3c, d\u00f9 l\u1ef1a ch\u1ecdn n\u00e0y c\u0169ng ti\u1ec1m \u1ea9n r\u1ee7i ro l\u1edbn, trong \u0111\u00f3 c\u00f3 \u0111\u00f2n can thi\u1ec7p qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 v\u00e0 tr\u1ea3 \u0111\u0169a kinh t\u1ebf t\u1eeb M\u1ef9 c\u00f9ng c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed3ng minh.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

2. \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 v\u00e0 Pakistan<\/h4>\n\n\n\n

\u2013 S\u1ed1 \u0111\u1ea7u \u0111\u1ea1n h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n: \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 180 | Pakistan 170
\u2013 T\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 d\u00e2n s\u1ed1 th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi: \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 18% | Pakistan 3%<\/p>\n\n\n

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G\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y, hai k\u1ebb th\u00f9 h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ed9i tr\u1eddi chung v\u1eeba \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c k\u00e9o tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i t\u1eeb b\u1edd v\u1ef1c sau m\u1ed9t v\u1ee5 \u0111\u1ee5ng \u0111\u1ed9 \u0111\u1eabm m\u00e1u, nh\u01b0ng xung \u0111\u1ed9t c\u1ed1t l\u00f5i gi\u1eefa hai b\u00ean v\u1eabn ch\u01b0a \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c gi\u1ea3i quy\u1ebft. V\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 4 n\u0103m 2025, m\u1ed9t v\u1ee5 t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng \u1edf \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 l\u00e0m 26 du kh\u00e1ch thi\u1ec7t m\u1ea1ng \u0111\u00e3 ch\u00e2m ng\u00f2i cho cu\u1ed9c kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng nghi\u00eam tr\u1ecdng nh\u1ea5t trong nhi\u1ec1u n\u0103m qua, v\u1edbi c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng xuy\u00ean bi\u00ean gi\u1edbi v\u00e0 h\u01a1n 50 ng\u01b0\u1eddi thi\u1ec7t m\u1ea1ng d\u1ecdc theo \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t \u1edf Kashmir tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi l\u1ec7nh ng\u1eebng b\u1eafn \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ban b\u1ed1. Th\u1ed1ng ch\u1ebf Asim Munir \u0111ang c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 quy\u1ec1n l\u1ef1c c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh \u1edf Pakistan, trong khi t\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng kinh t\u1ebf nhanh ch\u00f3ng c\u1ee7a \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 \u0111ang n\u1edbi r\u1ed9ng kho\u1ea3ng c\u00e1ch n\u0103ng l\u1ef1c qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 th\u00f4ng th\u01b0\u1eddng. V\u1edbi m\u1ed9t ph\u1ea7n n\u0103m d\u00e2n s\u1ed1 th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi sinh s\u1ed1ng \u1edf hai qu\u1ed1c gia n\u00e0y, vi\u1ec7c gi\u1eef g\u00ecn h\u00f2a b\u00ecnh trong n\u0103m 2026 r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i chuy\u1ec7n nh\u1ecf. Hai y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 tr\u00ean s\u1ebd khi\u1ebfn chuy\u1ec7n n\u00e0y tr\u1edf n\u00ean kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n h\u01a1n. M\u1ef9, th\u01b0\u1eddng l\u00e0m trung gian h\u00f2a gi\u1ea3i gi\u1eefa hai b\u00ean, \u0111\u00e3 khi\u1ebfn \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 xa c\u00e1ch v\u00ec chi\u1ebfn tranh thu\u1ebf quan. V\u00e0 trong b\u1ea5t ho\u00e0 m\u1edbi nh\u1ea5t, \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 v\u00e0 Pakistan \u0111\u00e3 t\u1ecf ra k\u00e9m ki\u1ec1m ch\u1ebf h\u01a1n so v\u1edbi tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00e2y.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

3. Nga v\u00e0 Ukraine<\/h4>\n\n\n\n

\u2013 S\u1ed1 ng\u01b0\u1eddi Nga thi\u1ec7t m\u1ea1ng ho\u1eb7c b\u1ecb th\u01b0\u01a1ng k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb khi x\u00e2m l\u01b0\u1ee3c: 1,12 tri\u1ec7u ng\u01b0\u1eddi
\u2013 Nga chi\u1ebfm th\u00eam k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb th\u00e1ng 12\/2022: 1,3% l\u00e3nh th\u1ed5 Ukraine<\/p>\n\n\n

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Th\u01b0\u01a1ng vong c\u1ee7a Nga hi\u1ec7n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u01b0\u1edbc t\u00ednh \u0111\u00e3 v\u01b0\u1ee3t qu\u00e1 con s\u1ed1 c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 trong Th\u1ebf chi\u1ebfn II. K\u1ec3 t\u1eeb th\u00e1ng 12 n\u0103m 2022, l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng Nga ch\u1ec9 gi\u00e0nh th\u00eam \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c 1,3% l\u00e3nh th\u1ed5 Ukraine. Ph\u00e9p to\u00e1n ti\u00eau hao n\u00e0y cho th\u1ea5y n\u0103m 2026 s\u1ebd ch\u1ee9ng ki\u1ebfn ho\u1eb7c l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t ti\u1ebfn tri\u1ec3n ch\u1eadm ch\u1ea1p, ho\u1eb7c l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c xung \u0111\u1ed9t b\u1ecb \u0111\u00f3ng b\u0103ng v\u00ec ki\u1ec7t qu\u1ec7, ho\u1eb7c l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t h\u00ecnh th\u1ee9c th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn n\u00e0o \u0111\u00f3. Nh\u01b0ng c\u00f2n hai k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n kh\u00e1c c\u0169ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 x\u1ea3y ra: s\u1ef1 s\u1ee5p \u0111\u1ed5 c\u1ee7a ph\u00f2ng tuy\u1ebfn ho\u1eb7c c\u1ee7a ch\u00ednh tr\u01b0\u1eddng Ukraine, do ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng ph\u00e1 ho\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a \u0110i\u1ec7n Kremlin; ho\u1eb7c n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf Nga g\u00e3y \u0111\u1ed5 khi c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c kh\u00f4ng k\u00edch khi\u1ebfn ng\u00e0nh d\u1ea7u m\u1ecf c\u1ee7a n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y t\u00ea li\u1ec7t. M\u1ed9t trong hai k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n \u1ea5y \u0111\u1ec1u s\u1ebd k\u00e9o theo nh\u1eefng h\u1ec7 qu\u1ea3 to l\u1edbn cho ch\u00e2u \u00c2u v\u00e0 c\u1ea3 th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

4. Israel v\u00e0 Hamas<\/h4>\n\n\n\n

\u2013 C\u00e1c t\u00f2a nh\u00e0 \u1edf Gaza: 78% b\u1ecb h\u01b0 h\u1ea1i ho\u1eb7c ph\u00e1 h\u1ee7y
\u2013 L\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u0111\u1ed1ng \u0111\u1ed5 n\u00e1t \u01b0\u1edbc t\u00ednh: 61,5 tri\u1ec7u t\u1ea5n<\/p>\n\n\n

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Li\u1ec7u th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn ng\u1eebng b\u1eafn mong manh n\u00e0y c\u00f3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c duy tr\u00ec? Gaza n\u1eb1m trong \u0111\u1ed1ng \u0111\u1ed5 n\u00e1t, v\u1edbi h\u00e0ng ch\u1ee5c ngh\u00ecn ng\u01b0\u1eddi thi\u1ec7t m\u1ea1ng. L\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng Israel v\u1eabn ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t m\u1ed9t n\u1eeda l\u00e3nh th\u1ed5, c\u00f2n Hamas v\u1eabn ch\u01b0a gi\u1ea3i gi\u00e1p. D\u00f9 s\u1ebd v\u00f4 c\u00f9ng kinh ho\u00e0ng, nh\u01b0ng vi\u1ec7c chi\u1ebfn s\u1ef1 t\u00e1i b\u00f9ng ph\u00e1t kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i l\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec1u kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 h\u00ecnh dung. C\u1ea3 hai b\u00ean \u0111\u1ec1u c\u00e1o bu\u1ed9c \u0111\u1ed1i ph\u01b0\u01a1ng vi ph\u1ea1m th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn ng\u1eebng b\u1eafn g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y nh\u1ea5t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u00e0n x\u1ebfp v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng M\u01b0\u1eddi. Tuy v\u1eady, n\u1ebfu \u00f4ng Trump ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c d\u1ed3n t\u00e2m s\u1ee9c v\u00e0o k\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch h\u00f2a b\u00ecnh, v\u00e0 c\u00e1c b\u00ean li\u00ean quan h\u1ee3p t\u00e1c, th\u00ec v\u1eabn c\u00f2n hy v\u1ecdng. N\u1ebfu m\u1ed9t l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng g\u00ecn gi\u1eef h\u00f2a b\u00ecnh qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u00e0nh l\u1eadp, c\u00f4ng cu\u1ed9c t\u00e1i thi\u1ebft cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng c\u0169ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u v\u1edbi quy m\u00f4 l\u1edbn. Khi \u0111\u00f3, nh\u1eefng ng\u01b0\u1eddi Gaza di t\u1ea3n c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 tr\u1edf v\u1ec1 v\u1edbi nh\u1eefng g\u00ec c\u00f2n s\u00f3t l\u1ea1i \u1edf qu\u00ea h\u01b0\u01a1ng. Tuy v\u1eady, k\u1ebft c\u1ee5c c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng x\u1ea3y ra nh\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n nay l\u1ea1i l\u00e0 vi\u1ec5n c\u1ea3nh u \u00e1m quen thu\u1ed9c: l\u00e3nh th\u1ed5 b\u1ecb chia c\u1eaft, ng\u01b0\u1eddi Palestine v\u1eabn kh\u1ed1n kh\u1ed5 v\u00e0 m\u1ed9t qu\u00e3ng t\u1ea1m l\u1eafng trong c\u01a1n b\u1ea1o l\u1ef1c k\u00e9o d\u00e0i \u2013 cho \u0111\u1ebfn khi nh\u1eefng \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y tan bi\u1ebfn.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

5. Congo v\u00e0 Rwanda<\/h4>\n\n\n\n

\u2013 S\u1ed1 ng\u01b0\u1eddi di t\u1ea3n do xung \u0111\u1ed9t: 9,8 tri\u1ec7u ng\u01b0\u1eddi
\u2013 S\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng coban c\u1ee7a Congo: 76% t\u1ed5ng s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi<\/p>\n\n\n

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C\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng k\u00e9o d\u00e0i h\u00e0ng th\u1eadp k\u1ef7 do b\u1ea5t b\u00ecnh s\u1eafc t\u1ed9c v\u00e0 ngu\u1ed3n t\u00e0i nguy\u00ean kho\u00e1ng s\u1ea3n d\u1ed3i d\u00e0o \u1edf mi\u1ec1n \u0111\u00f4ng Congo c\u00f3 nguy c\u01a1 b\u00f9ng n\u1ed5 th\u00e0nh m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn tranh to\u00e0n di\u1ec7n. D\u01b0\u1edbi th\u1eddi nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed9c t\u00e0i Paul Kagame, Rwanda v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2025 \u0111\u00e3 trang b\u1ecb v\u0169 kh\u00ed, ti\u1ebfp t\u1ebf v\u00e0 ch\u1ec9 \u0111\u1ea1o l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng n\u1ed5i d\u1eady M23 khi l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng n\u00e0y chi\u1ebfm Goma, m\u1ed9t th\u00e0nh ph\u1ed1 l\u1edbn c\u1ee7a C\u1ed9ng h\u00f2a D\u00e2n ch\u1ee7 Congo, v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ec3 th\u00eam ph\u1ea7n ch\u1eafc ch\u1eafn, Rwanda c\u0169ng \u0111\u00e3 \u0111i\u1ec1u th\u00eam qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed9i c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh. Th\u00f4ng qua \u1ee7y nhi\u1ec7m, khu v\u1ef1c t\u00e1c chi\u1ebfn c\u1ee7a M23 t\u1ea1i Congo \u0111\u00e3 gi\u00fap m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng l\u00e3nh th\u1ed5 Rwanda g\u1ea7n nh\u01b0 g\u1ea5p \u0111\u00f4i, v\u00e0 m\u1ed9t th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn s\u01a1 s\u00e0i \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c k\u00fd t\u1ea1i Nh\u00e0 Tr\u1eafng gi\u1eefa \u00f4ng Kagame v\u00e0 T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng Congo Felix Tshisekedi \u0111\u00e3 kh\u00f4ng bao g\u1ed3m nh\u1eefng khu v\u1ef1c n\u00e0y. Qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed9i Uganda c\u0169ng \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng c\u01b0\u1eddng ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd \u1edf Congo \u2013 v\u1edbi t\u01b0 c\u00e1ch l\u00e0 \u201c\u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c an ninh\u201d c\u1ee7a ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 Congo y\u1ebfu k\u00e9m \u2013 v\u00ec h\u1ecd lo ng\u1ea1i M23, l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u0111ang giao tranh v\u1edbi c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed3ng minh \u0111\u1ecba ph\u01b0\u01a1ng c\u1ee7a Uganda. V\u00e0ng ch\u00ednh l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t ph\u1ea7n c\u1ee7a s\u1ee9c h\u00fat. Rwanda, v\u1edbi r\u1ea5t \u00edt v\u00e0ng trong n\u01b0\u1edbc, b\u1ed7ng nhi\u00ean tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh m\u1ed9t n\u01b0\u1edbc xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u l\u1edbn. C\u00f9ng g\u00f3p m\u1eb7t c\u00f2n c\u00f3 d\u1ea7u, kh\u00ed \u0111\u1ed1t v\u00e0 kho\u00e1ng s\u1ea3n nh\u01b0 coban, v\u1ed1n r\u1ea5t quan tr\u1ecdng trong vi\u1ec7c s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t pin.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

6. Sudan<\/h4>\n\n\n\n

\u2013 S\u1ed1 ng\u01b0\u1eddi di t\u1ea3n trong n\u01b0\u1edbc: 11,6 tri\u1ec7u ng\u01b0\u1eddi
\u2013 Nguy c\u01a1 \u0111\u00f3i k\u00e9m: 2 tri\u1ec7u ng\u01b0\u1eddi<\/p>\n\n\n

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Sudan: T\u01b0\u1edbng Abdel Fattah Burhan (tr\u00e1i) t\u01b0 l\u1ec7nh c\u00e1c l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng v\u0169 trang (SAF) v\u00e0 t\u01b0\u1edbng Mohammed Hamdan Dagalo, ch\u1ec9 huy l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng b\u00e1n qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 RSF<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

L\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng V\u0169 trang Sudan (SAF) v\u00e0 L\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng H\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 Nhanh (RSF) v\u1eabn \u0111ang m\u1eafc k\u1eb9t trong cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn kh\u1ed1c li\u1ec7t. L\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng b\u00e1n qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 RSF ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t ph\u1ea7n l\u1edbn Darfur v\u00e0 mi\u1ec1n t\u00e2y Sudan, trong khi SAF n\u1eafm gi\u1eef th\u1ee7 \u0111\u00f4 v\u00e0 c\u00e1c khu v\u1ef1c ph\u00eda \u0111\u00f4ng. H\u00e0ng tri\u1ec7u d\u00e2n th\u01b0\u1eddng ph\u1ea3i ch\u1ea1y tr\u1ed1n, v\u00e0 nhi\u1ec1u ng\u01b0\u1eddi \u0111ang ch\u1ebft \u0111\u00f3i. Cu\u1ed9c xung \u0111\u1ed9t, c\u0169ng l\u00e0 cu\u1ed9c kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng nh\u00e2n \u0111\u1ea1o l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t ch\u00e2u Phi, nhi\u1ec1u kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng s\u1ebd ti\u1ebfp di\u1ec5n, v\u1edbi s\u1ef1 ti\u1ebfp tay t\u1eeb Ai C\u1eadp (h\u1eadu thu\u1eabn SAF), c\u00e1c ti\u1ec3u v\u01b0\u01a1ng qu\u1ed1c \u1ea2 R\u1eadp Th\u1ed1ng Nh\u1ea5t UAE (h\u1eadu thu\u1eabn RSF), c\u00f9ng c\u00e1c c\u01b0\u1eddng qu\u1ed1c khu v\u1ef1c kh\u00e1c (UAE ph\u1ee7 nh\u1eadn li\u00ean quan). Nh\u01b0ng n\u1ebfu c\u00e1c b\u00ean h\u1eadu thu\u1eabn hai phe ch\u1ecbu nh\u00ecn nh\u1eadn th\u1ea5u \u0111\u00e1o, th\u00ec m\u1ed9t th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0 chuy\u1ec7n kh\u1ea3 thi \u2013 v\u00e0 c\u00f3 ti\u1ec1m n\u0103ng sinh l\u1ee3i. V\u1edbi m\u1ed9t ng\u01b0\u1eddi mu\u1ed1n ki\u1ebfn \u200b\u200bt\u1ea1o h\u00f2a b\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ea7y tham v\u1ecdng nh\u01b0 Donald Trump, Sudan mang \u0111\u1ebfn c\u1ea3 ngu\u1ed3n l\u1ee3i (v\u00e0ng, d\u1ea7u m\u1ecf v\u00e0 \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng b\u1edd bi\u1ec3n chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c) l\u1eabn c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i ch\u1ea5m d\u1ee9t cu\u1ed9c xung \u0111\u1ed9t c\u00f3 l\u1ebd l\u00e0 \u0111\u1eabm m\u00e1u nh\u1ea5t c\u00f2n \u0111ang di\u1ec5n ra tr\u00ean th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

7. Venezuela<\/h4>\n\n\n\n

\u2013 Venezuela tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 ch\u1ee7 quy\u1ec1n: 74% l\u00e3nh th\u1ed5 Guyana
\u2013 S\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng d\u1ea7u h\u00e0ng n\u0103m: Venezuela 903 tri\u1ec7u th\u00f9ng | Guyana 617 tri\u1ec7u th\u00f9ng<\/p>\n\n\n

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Trong n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c t\u00e1i t\u1eadp trung v\u00e0o an ninh \u1edf \u201cb\u00e1n c\u1ea7u c\u1ee7a ch\u00fang ta\u201d, ch\u00ednh quy\u1ec1n Trump \u0111\u00e3 huy \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u00e1p s\u00e1t Venezuela, m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c t\u1eadp tr\u1eadn qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 v\u00e0 t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng nh\u1eefng t\u00e0u nh\u1ecf m\u00e0 h\u1ecd cho l\u00e0 bu\u00f4n l\u1eadu ma t\u00fay. M\u1ee5c ti\u00eau cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng c\u00f3 l\u1ebd l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea9y nhanh s\u1ef1 s\u1ee5p \u0111\u1ed5 c\u1ee7a ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9 Nicol\u00e1s Maduro, tuy ch\u01b0a r\u00f5 M\u1ef9 s\u1eb5n s\u00e0ng s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng bao nhi\u00eau l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng. C\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c kh\u00f4ng k\u00edch c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng x\u1ea3y ra cao h\u01a1n m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c \u0111\u1ed5 b\u1ed9. \u00d4ng Trump th\u1eadm ch\u00ed c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 tri\u1ec3n khai l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u0111\u1eb7c nhi\u1ec7m n\u1ebfu nh\u1eadn th\u1ea5y c\u00f3 c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i b\u1eaft gi\u1eef ho\u1eb7c ti\u00eau di\u1ec7t \u00f4ng Maduro. T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng Venezuela kh\u00f4ng thi\u1ebfu k\u1ebb th\u00f9. G\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y, \u00f4ng Maduro \u0111\u00e3 leo thang y\u00eau s\u00e1ch c\u1ee7a Venezuela v\u1ed1n \u0111\u00e3 t\u1ed3n t\u1ea1i h\u00e0ng th\u1ebf k\u1ef7 \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi hai ph\u1ea7n ba l\u00e3nh th\u1ed5 c\u1ee7a n\u01b0\u1edbc l\u00e1ng gi\u1ec1ng Guyana \u2013 v\u00f9ng Essequibo gi\u00e0u d\u1ea7u m\u1ecf. B\u1ea5t ch\u1ea5p l\u1ec7nh c\u1ee7a T\u00f2a \u00e1n C\u00f4ng l\u00fd Qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf (ICJ) y\u00eau c\u1ea7u kh\u00f4ng ti\u1ebfn h\u00e0nh, Venezuela \u0111\u00e3 t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c b\u1ea7u c\u1eed th\u1ed1ng \u0111\u1ed1c b\u1ea5t h\u1ee3p ph\u00e1p cho \u201cGuyana Esequiba\u201d v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 5 n\u0103m 2025, ch\u1ecdn ra nh\u1eefng nh\u00e0 qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd v\u00f9ng l\u00e3nh th\u1ed5 m\u00e0 h\u1ecd kh\u00f4ng ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t. Nh\u01b0ng gi\u1edd \u0111\u00e2y, b\u1ea5t k\u1ef3 \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u00e1i n\u00e0o c\u1ee7a Venezuela nh\u1eafm v\u00e0o Guyana ch\u1eafc ch\u1eafn s\u1ebd ch\u00e2m ng\u00f2i cho m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c \u0111\u1ed1i \u0111\u1ea7u v\u1edbi M\u1ef9.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sondre Ulvund Solstad\u00a0<\/strong>
Ph\u00f3ng vi\u00ean\u00a0D\u1eef\u00a0li\u1ec7u\u00a0C\u1ea5p cao\u00a0c\u1ee7a t\u1edd\u00a0The Economist.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ngu\u1ed3n tr\u00edch: Nghi\u00ean C\u1ee9u Qu\u1ed1c T\u1ebf<\/strong>
https:\/\/nghiencuuquocte.org\/2025\/11\/25\/bay-cuoc-xung-dot-can-theo-doi-trong-nam-toi\/#more-64522<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u1ea2nh minh ho\u1ea1: V\u1eadn H\u1ed9i M\u1edbi<\/strong><\/p>\n

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<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Ngu\u1ed3n:\u00a0Sondre Ulvund Solstad, \u201cSeven conflicts to watch in the coming year\u201d,\u00a0The Economist, 12\/11\/2025 Bi\u00ean d\u1ecbch: T\u1ea1 Ki\u1ec1u Trang C\u00f3 n\u01a1i m\u1edbi ch\u1ec9 manh nha, c\u00f3 n\u01a1i \u0111\u00e3 th\u00e0nh \u0111i\u1ec3m n\u00f3ng. Trong th\u1eadp k\u1ef7 qua, s\u1ed1 l\u01b0\u1ee3ng c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c xung \u0111\u1ed9t v\u0169 trang \u0111ang di\u1ec5n ra \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng v\u1ecdt. Nhi\u1ec1u cu\u1ed9c xung \u0111\u1ed9t\u0111\u1ecdc ti\u1ebfp…<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":27029,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[12,57,53],"tags":[118,212,741,168,82,742,740,98,614,226],"class_list":["entry","author-ntviet","post-27028","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-chuyenmuc","category-giaoduc-vanhoc-lichsu","category-kinhte-chinhtri","tag-chinh-tri","tag-chuyen-de","tag-congo","tag-dai-loan","tag-kinh-te","tag-rwanda","tag-sudan","tag-trung-cong","tag-venezuela","tag-xa-hoi"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/27028","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=27028"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/27028\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":27034,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/27028\/revisions\/27034"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/27029"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=27028"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=27028"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=27028"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}