{"id":27234,"date":"2025-12-24T00:47:18","date_gmt":"2025-12-24T00:47:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/?p=27234"},"modified":"2025-12-24T20:36:47","modified_gmt":"2025-12-24T20:36:47","slug":"lieu-trung-quoc-co-the-thay-doi-cuc-dien-xung-dot-campuchia-thai-lan","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/?p=27234","title":{"rendered":"Li\u1ec7u Trung Qu\u1ed1c c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 thay \u0111\u1ed5i c\u1ee5c di\u1ec7n xung \u0111\u1ed9t Campuchia-Th\u00e1i Lan?<\/strong>
Zi Yang<\/span>"},"content":{"rendered":"
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___________________<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

Ngu\u1ed3n:<\/strong> Zi Yang, \u201cThe Cambodia-Thailand Conflict: Can China\u2019s Influence Tip the Scales?,\u201d The Diplomat<\/em><\/mark><\/strong>,<\/em> 17\/12\/2025<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bi\u00ean d\u1ecbch:<\/strong> Nguy\u1ec5n Th\u1ecb Kim Ph\u1ee5ng<\/p>\n\n\n\n

X\u00e9t \u0111\u1ebfn quan h\u1ec7 ch\u1eb7t ch\u1ebd c\u1ee7a c\u1ea3 Th\u00e1i Lan v\u00e0 Campuchia v\u1edbi Trung Qu\u1ed1c, vi\u1ec7c \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 c\u00e1ch B\u1eafc Kinh nh\u00ecn nh\u1eadn cu\u1ed9c xung \u0111\u1ed9t n\u00e0y v\u00e0 t\u1ea7m \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ecbnh h\u00ecnh k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 ra sao l\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec1u c\u1ea7n thi\u1ebft.<\/mark><\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Tranh ch\u1ea5p bi\u00ean gi\u1edbi dai d\u1eb3ng gi\u1eefa Campuchia v\u00e0 Th\u00e1i Lan \u2013 v\u1ed1n tr\u1edf n\u00ean tr\u1ea7m tr\u1ecdng h\u01a1n b\u1edfi nh\u1eefng hi\u1ec1m kh\u00edch c\u00e1 nh\u00e2n gi\u1eefa l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o hai n\u01b0\u1edbc \u2013 \u0111\u00e3 b\u00f9ng n\u1ed5 th\u00e0nh xung \u0111\u1ed9t v\u0169 trang v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 07\/2025. D\u00f9 m\u1ed9t l\u1ec7nh ng\u1eebng b\u1eafn v\u00e0 m\u1ed9t hi\u1ec7p \u0111\u1ecbnh h\u00f2a b\u00ecnh \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c k\u00fd trong nh\u1eefng th\u00e1ng sau \u0111\u00f3, nh\u01b0ng c\u00e1c th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn n\u00e0y ch\u1eb3ng th\u1ec3 t\u1ed3n t\u1ea1i \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u00e2u, v\u00e0 chi\u1ebfn s\u1ef1 l\u1ea1i b\u00f9ng ph\u00e1t v\u00e0o ng\u00e0y 07\/12, v\u1edbi vi\u1ec7c c\u1ea3 hai b\u00ean \u0111\u1ec1u c\u00e1o bu\u1ed9c \u0111\u1ed1i ph\u01b0\u01a1ng khai h\u1ecfa tr\u01b0\u1edbc. Quy m\u00f4 c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c \u0111\u1ee5ng \u0111\u1ed9 qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 leo thang nhanh ch\u00f3ng, v\u1edbi c\u00e1c tr\u1eadn \u0111\u00e1nh n\u1ed5 ra d\u1ecdc theo c\u00e1c khu v\u1ef1c tranh ch\u1ea5p thu\u1ed9c d\u00e3y n\u00fai Dangrek, bi\u00ean gi\u1edbi Sa Kaeo-Banteay Meanchey, v\u00e0 g\u1ea7n c\u00e1c t\u1ec9nh ph\u00eda t\u00e2y nam c\u1ee7a Campuchia l\u00e0 Pursat v\u00e0 Koh Kong gi\u00e1p ranh v\u1edbi Th\u00e1i Lan.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

K\u1ec3 t\u1eeb \u0111\u00f3, Th\u00e1i Lan \u0111\u00e3 huy \u0111\u1ed9ng qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3, c\u00f4ng khai tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau l\u00e0 \u201cng\u0103n ch\u1eb7n v\u00e0 ti\u00eau di\u1ec7t n\u0103ng l\u1ef1c qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 c\u1ee7a Campuchia \u0111\u1ebfn m\u1ee9c c\u1ea7n thi\u1ebft \u0111\u1ec3 b\u1ea3o v\u1ec7 an ninh qu\u1ed1c gia v\u00e0 an to\u00e0n c\u00f4ng c\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a Th\u00e1i Lan.\u201d<\/strong> \u0110\u1ed1i m\u1eb7t v\u1edbi m\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ed1i th\u1ee7 m\u1ea1nh h\u01a1n r\u00f5 r\u1ec7t, Campuchia \u0111\u00e3 ti\u1ebfn h\u00e0nh c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng v\u00e0 ph\u1ea3n c\u00f4ng b\u1ea5t c\u1ee9 khi n\u00e0o c\u00f3 th\u1ec3. Trong l\u00fac chi\u1ebfn s\u1ef1 leo thang, cu\u1ed9c xung \u0111\u1ed9t n\u00e0y n\u1ed5i l\u00ean nh\u01b0 m\u1ed9t trong nh\u1eefng cu\u1ed9c \u0111\u1ed1i \u0111\u1ea7u v\u0169 trang l\u1edbn v\u00e0 kh\u1ed1c li\u1ec7t nh\u1ea5t t\u1ea1i \u0110\u00f4ng Nam \u00c1 trong th\u1eddi gian g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

X\u00e9t \u0111\u1ebfn quan h\u1ec7 ch\u1eb7t ch\u1ebd c\u1ee7a c\u1ea3 Th\u00e1i Lan v\u00e0 Campuchia v\u1edbi Trung Qu\u1ed1c, vi\u1ec7c \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 c\u00e1ch B\u1eafc Kinh nh\u00ecn nh\u1eadn cu\u1ed9c xung \u0111\u1ed9t n\u00e0y v\u00e0 t\u1ea7m \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ecbnh h\u00ecnh k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 ra sao l\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec1u c\u1ea7n thi\u1ebft.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

M\u1ee5c ti\u00eau chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1ee7a Th\u00e1i Lan<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n

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S\u01b0 \u0111o\u00e0n k\u1ef5 binh 2 c\u1ee7a Th\u00e1i Lan t\u1eadp trung \u1edf Sanam Pao s\u1eb5n s\u00e0ng tham chi\u1ebfn<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

K\u1ec3 t\u1eeb ng\u00e0y 07\/12, L\u1ee5c qu\u00e2n Ho\u00e0ng gia Th\u00e1i Lan \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 b\u01b0\u1edbc ti\u1ebfn tr\u00ean c\u00e1c m\u1eb7t tr\u1eadn Dangrek v\u00e0 Sa Kaeo-Banteay Meanchey, trong khi H\u1ea3i qu\u00e2n Th\u00e1i Lan thi\u1ebft l\u1eadp \u01b0u th\u1ebf t\u1ea1i c\u00e1c v\u00f9ng bi\u1ec3n g\u1ea7n t\u1ec9nh Koh Kong c\u1ee7a Campuchia. Kh\u00f4ng qu\u00e2n Ho\u00e0ng gia Th\u00e1i Lan c\u0169ng ph\u00f4 di\u1ec5n s\u1ef1 th\u1ed1ng tr\u1ecb c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng c\u00e1c m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c tr\u00ean kh\u1eafp Campuchia, bao g\u1ed3m c\u1ea3 c\u00e1c s\u00f2ng b\u1ea1c v\u00e0 khu ngh\u1ec9 d\u01b0\u1ee1ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c cho l\u00e0 c\u0103n c\u1ee9 c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1eeba \u0111\u1ea3o.<\/mark><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ngo\u00e0i vi\u1ec7c g\u00e2y thi\u1ec7t h\u1ea1i n\u1eb7ng n\u1ec1 cho qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed9i Campuchia, m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau r\u1ed9ng h\u01a1n c\u1ee7a Bangkok c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0 chi\u1ebfm gi\u1eef c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecba h\u00ecnh chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u1ecdc bi\u00ean gi\u1edbi, ho\u1eb7c th\u1eadm ch\u00ed t\u1ea1o ra c\u00e1c v\u00f9ng \u0111\u1ec7m \u0111\u1ec3 che ch\u1eafn l\u00e3nh th\u1ed5 Th\u00e1i Lan kh\u1ecfi c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c \u0111\u1ed1i \u0111\u1ea7u qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 trong t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai.<\/mark><\/strong> C\u00e1c l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng Th\u00e1i Lan \u0111\u00e3 gi\u00e0nh quy\u1ec1n ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 \u0111i\u1ec3m n\u00fat chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c, ch\u1eb3ng h\u1ea1n nh\u01b0 c\u00e1c \u0111\u00e8o v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed3i quan tr\u1ecdng d\u1ecdc theo m\u1eb7t tr\u1eadn Dangrek, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi n\u1eafm gi\u1eef c\u00e1c khu v\u1ef1c t\u1ea1i m\u1eb7t tr\u1eadn Sa Kaeo-Banteay Meanchey.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

N\u1ebfu qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed9i Th\u00e1i Lan t\u00ecm c\u00e1ch ti\u1ebfn s\u00e2u h\u01a1n v\u00e0o Campuchia, nhi\u1ec1u kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng h\u1ecd s\u1ebd \u01b0u ti\u00ean khu v\u1ef1c Sa Kaeo-Banteay Meanchey l\u00e0m h\u01b0\u1edbng ti\u1ebfn c\u00f4ng ch\u00ednh, do \u0111\u1ecba h\u00ecnh t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ed1i b\u1eb1ng ph\u1eb3ng c\u1ee7a mi\u1ec1n t\u00e2y Campuchia r\u1ea5t ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p cho c\u00e1c \u0111\u01a1n v\u1ecb c\u01a1 gi\u1edbi.<\/strong> C\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng tr\u00ean m\u1eb7t tr\u1eadn n\u00e0y s\u1ebd m\u1edf ra c\u00e1c m\u1ea1ng l\u01b0\u1edbi \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng b\u1ed9 quan tr\u1ecdng d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn c\u00e1c th\u00e0nh ph\u1ed1 l\u1edbn \u1edf mi\u1ec1n t\u00e2y Campuchia, trong khi c\u00e1c chi\u1ebfn d\u1ecbch t\u1ea1i d\u00e3y n\u00fai Dangrek s\u1ebd \u0111\u00f3ng vai tr\u00f2 c\u1ea7m ch\u00e2n nh\u00e2n l\u1ef1c qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 c\u1ee7a Campuchia. N\u1ebfu Th\u00e1i Lan \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u1ed9t ph\u00e1 song song tr\u00ean c\u1ea3 hai m\u1eb7t tr\u1eadn, h\u1ecd c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 gia t\u0103ng \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 \u0111\u00f2n b\u1ea9y c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh trong c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n sau n\u00e0y.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

M\u1ee5c ti\u00eau chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1ee7a Campuchia<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

D\u00f9 ph\u1ea3i ch\u1ecbu t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u01b0\u01a1ng vong cao h\u01a1n nhi\u1ec1u, nh\u01b0ng c\u00e1c l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng Campuchia v\u1eabn kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 quy\u1ebft li\u1ec7t v\u00e0 t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c ph\u1ea3n c\u00f4ng. Tuy nhi\u00ean, L\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng V\u0169 trang Ho\u00e0ng gia Campuchia \u0111ang t\u00e1c chi\u1ebfn t\u1eeb th\u1ebf y\u1ebfu. <\/strong>Qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed9i Th\u00e1i Lan c\u00f3 quy m\u00f4 l\u1edbn g\u1ea5p ba l\u1ea7n Campuchia v\u00e0 t\u1eadn h\u01b0\u1edfng l\u1ee3i th\u1ebf v\u01b0\u1ee3t tr\u1ed9i v\u1ec1 hu\u1ea5n luy\u1ec7n, t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c, v\u00e0 trang b\u1ecb. Qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed9i Th\u00e1i Lan s\u1edf h\u1eefu thi\u1ebft b\u1ecb t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ed1i hi\u1ec7n \u0111\u1ea1i, s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng v\u0169 kh\u00ed d\u1eabn \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c, v\u00e0 c\u00e1c qu\u00e2n binh ch\u1ee7ng c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd \u0111\u1ec1u c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng hi\u1ec7p \u0111\u1ed3ng t\u00e1c chi\u1ebfn. Ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i, qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed9i Campuchia ph\u1ea7n l\u1edbn d\u1ef1a v\u00e0o trang thi\u1ebft b\u1ecb c\u0169 h\u01a1n, h\u1ea7u nh\u01b0 thi\u1ebfu kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c, trong khi h\u1ea3i qu\u00e2n v\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng qu\u00e2n c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng r\u1ea5t h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf.<\/p>\n\n\n

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Cao Mi\u00ean: H\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng ph\u00e1o ph\u1ea3n l\u1ef1c ph\u00f3ng lo\u1ea1t 122 MLRS (RM-70)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

M\u1ed9t h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng c\u1ee7a Campuchia c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1  g\u00e2y ra m\u1ed1i \u0111e d\u1ecda cho ph\u00eda Th\u00e1i Lan l\u00e0 ph\u00e1o ph\u1ea3n l\u1ef1c ph\u00f3ng lo\u1ea1t PHL-03 do Trung Qu\u1ed1c s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t, c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 b\u1eafn t\u00ean l\u1eeda d\u1eabn \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng v\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng d\u1eabn \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng v\u1edbi t\u1ea7m b\u1eafn l\u00ean t\u1edbi 130 km.<\/strong> Tuy nhi\u00ean, Qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed9i Th\u00e1i Lan \u0111\u00e3 c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o r\u1eb1ng vi\u1ec7c s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng c\u00e1c h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng nh\u01b0 v\u1eady ch\u1ed1ng l\u1ea1i c\u00e1c m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau c\u1ee7a Th\u00e1i Lan s\u1ebd d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn nh\u1eefng \u0111\u00f2n tr\u1ea3 \u0111\u0169a t\u00e0n kh\u1ed1c nh\u1eafm v\u00e0o L\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng V\u0169 trang Campuchia.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

X\u00e9t \u0111\u1ebfn s\u1ef1 ch\u00eanh l\u1ec7ch v\u1ec1 n\u0103ng l\u1ef1c n\u00e0y, m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf c\u1ee7a qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed9i Campuchia l\u00e0 gi\u1eef v\u1eefng c\u00e1c tuy\u1ebfn ph\u00f2ng th\u1ee7 hi\u1ec7n c\u00f3 v\u00e0 t\u00ecm ki\u1ebfm c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u00e1nh b\u1ea1i c\u00e1c l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng Th\u00e1i Lan th\u00f4ng qua c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c ph\u1ea3n c\u00f4ng. Tuy nhi\u00ean, vi\u1ec7c \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau n\u00e0y kh\u00f4ng h\u1ec1 d\u1ec5 d\u00e0ng.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Vai tr\u00f2 c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

G\u00f3c nh\u00ecn c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c r\u1ea5t \u0111\u00e1ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c quan t\u00e2m do \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng l\u1edbn c\u1ee7a n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y t\u1ea1i \u0110\u00f4ng Nam \u00c1 v\u00e0 quan h\u1ec7 ch\u1eb7t ch\u1ebd v\u1edbi c\u1ea3 Th\u00e1i Lan v\u00e0 Campuchia. Trong l\u00fac theo d\u00f5i cu\u1ed9c xung \u0111\u1ed9t, B\u1eafc Kinh c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ng\u1ea7m t\u00e1n th\u00e0nh c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c kh\u00f4ng k\u00edch c\u1ee7a Th\u00e1i Lan nh\u1eafm v\u00e0o c\u00e1c khu ph\u1ee9c h\u1ee3p l\u1eeba \u0111\u1ea3o \u1edf Campuchia. B\u1ea3n th\u00e2n Trung Qu\u1ed1c c\u0169ng \u0111ang h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng ch\u1ed1ng l\u1ea1i c\u00e1c nh\u00f3m l\u1eeba \u0111\u1ea3o qua m\u1ea1ng c\u00f3 tr\u1ee5 s\u1edf t\u1ea1i \u0110\u00f4ng Nam \u00c1, v\u1ed1n t\u1eeb l\u00e2u \u0111\u00e3 l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t v\u1ea5n n\u1ea1n qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf, m\u1ed9t m\u1ed1i \u0111e d\u1ecda \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi s\u1ef1 \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh x\u00e3 h\u1ed9i c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c, v\u00e0 l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t t\u1ed5n th\u1ea5t v\u1ec1 uy t\u00edn, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t khi c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng d\u00e2n v\u00e0 c\u1ef1u c\u00f4ng d\u00e2n Trung Qu\u1ed1c th\u01b0\u1eddng xuy\u00ean xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n trong h\u00e0ng ng\u0169 l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c t\u1ed9i ph\u1ea1m n\u00e0y.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u0110\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi, ph\u00eda Trung Qu\u1ed1c nhi\u1ec1u kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng s\u1ebd c\u1ea3m th\u1ea5y b\u1ea5t an tr\u01b0\u1edbc vi\u1ec7c Campuchia \u0111\u1ec3 m\u1ea5t c\u00e1c v\u0169 kh\u00ed ch\u1ed1ng t\u0103ng th\u1ebf h\u1ec7 th\u1ee9 n\u0103m do Trung Qu\u1ed1c s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t \u2013 c\u1ee5 th\u1ec3 GAM-102LR, \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ra m\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m nay \u2013 sau khi Qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed9i Th\u00e1i Lan t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng m\u1ed9t c\u0103n c\u1ee9 qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 c\u1ee7a Campuchia tr\u00ean \u0110\u1ed3i 500 thu\u1ed9c huy\u1ec7n Nam Yuen, Ubon Ratchathani. Nh\u1eefng t\u1ed5n th\u1ea5t t\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 s\u1ebd c\u00f2n ti\u1ebfp di\u1ec5n, v\u00e0 cu\u1ed9c xung \u0111\u1ed9t n\u00e0y s\u1ebd ti\u1ebft l\u1ed9 nhi\u1ec1u h\u01a1n v\u1ec1 c\u00e1c chi ti\u1ebft k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt c\u0169ng nh\u01b0 n\u0103ng l\u1ef1c th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng v\u0169 kh\u00ed Trung Qu\u1ed1c.<\/mark><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Thay v\u00ec ch\u1ec9 l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t ng\u01b0\u1eddi quan s\u00e1t th\u1ee5 \u0111\u1ed9ng, Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1ea3m nh\u1eadn vai tr\u00f2 c\u1ee7a m\u1ed9t ng\u01b0\u1eddi h\u00f2a gi\u1ea3i xung \u0111\u1ed9t. B\u1eafc Kinh c\u00f4ng khai k\u00eau g\u1ecdi c\u1ea3 hai b\u00ean ki\u1ec1m ch\u1ebf trong khi tham gia v\u00e0o c\u00e1c ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng ngo\u1ea1i giao h\u1eadu tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u1ec3 mang l\u1ea1i m\u1ed9t l\u1ec7nh ng\u1eebng b\u1eafn.<\/p>\n\n\n

\n
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Thai-Lan: Xe b\u1ecdc th\u00e9p \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u01b0a \u0111\u1ebfn Aranyaprathet Sa Kaeo<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

C\u00f3 m\u1ed9t v\u00e0i nguy\u00ean nh\u00e2n cho h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c. \u0110\u1ea7u ti\u00ean v\u00e0 quan tr\u1ecdng nh\u1ea5t, Trung Qu\u1ed1c c\u00f3 l\u1ee3i \u00edch kinh t\u1ebf \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 \u1edf c\u1ea3 Th\u00e1i Lan v\u00e0 Campuchia. M\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn k\u00e9o d\u00e0i gi\u1eefa hai n\u01b0\u1edbc ch\u1eafc ch\u1eafn s\u1ebd l\u00e0m suy gi\u1ea3m l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn t\u1eeb c\u00e1c kho\u1ea3n \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c, khi\u1ebfn vi\u1ec7c kh\u00f4i ph\u1ee5c h\u00f2a b\u00ecnh tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh nhi\u1ec7m v\u1ee5 c\u1ea5p b\u00e1ch \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi B\u1eafc Kinh.<\/strong> \u0110\u00fang l\u00e0 Trung Qu\u1ed1c c\u00f3 c\u00e1c kho\u1ea3n \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 l\u1edbn v\u00e0 quan h\u1ec7 th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i m\u1ea1nh v\u1edbi Campuchia, nh\u01b0ng l\u1ee3i \u00edch kinh t\u1ebf c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd t\u1ea1i Th\u00e1i Lan th\u1eadm ch\u00ed c\u00f2n l\u1edbn h\u01a1n th\u1ebf. N\u0103m 2024, th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i song ph\u01b0\u01a1ng gi\u1eefa Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u00e0 Th\u00e1i Lan \u0111\u1ea1t kho\u1ea3ng 115,8 t\u1ef7 USD, g\u1ea5p s\u00e1u l\u1ea7n so v\u1edbi kh\u1ed1i l\u01b0\u1ee3ng th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i 17,8 t\u1ef7 USD c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u1edbi Campuchia.<\/mark><\/strong> N\u0103m 2024, v\u1ed1n FDI t\u1eeb Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed5 v\u00e0o Th\u00e1i Lan l\u00e0 kho\u1ea3ng 13 t\u1ef7 USD, trong khi FDI v\u00e0o Campuchia \u01b0\u1edbc t\u00ednh l\u00e0 3,4 t\u1ef7 USD. V\u1edbi nh\u1eefng con s\u1ed1 n\u00e0y, r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng l\u00e0 l\u1ee3i \u00edch kinh t\u1ebf chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c n\u1eb1m \u1edf vi\u1ec7c ki\u1ebfn t\u1ea1o h\u00f2a b\u00ecnh gi\u1eefa hai n\u01b0\u1edbc.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Th\u1ee9 hai, ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 Trung Qu\u1ed1c c\u00f3 quan h\u1ec7 ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb ch\u1eb7t ch\u1ebd v\u1edbi gi\u1edbi l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o c\u1ee7a c\u1ea3 Th\u00e1i Lan v\u00e0 Campuchia. Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u00e0 Th\u00e1i Lan g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y \u0111\u00e3 k\u1ef7 ni\u1ec7m 60 n\u0103m thi\u1ebft l\u1eadp quan h\u1ec7 ngo\u1ea1i giao, m\u1ed9t d\u1ecbp \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u00e1nh d\u1ea5u b\u1eb1ng chuy\u1ebfn c\u00f4ng du n\u01b0\u1edbc ngo\u00e0i ch\u00ednh th\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean c\u1ee7a nh\u00e0 vua Th\u00e1i Lan t\u1edbi B\u1eafc Kinh. <\/strong>\u0110\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi, quan h\u1ec7 c\u1ee7a ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u1edbi gia \u0111\u00ecnh c\u1ea7m quy\u1ec1n Hun t\u1ea1i Campuchia c\u0169ng r\u1ea5t t\u1ed1t \u0111\u1eb9p, v\u00e0 h\u1ecd duy tr\u00ec m\u1ed1i quan h\u1ec7 l\u00e2u \u0111\u1eddi v\u1edbi ho\u00e0ng gia Campuchia k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb nh\u1eefng n\u0103m 1950. M\u1ea1ng l\u01b0\u1edbi li\u00ean k\u1ebft ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb c\u1ea5p cao n\u00e0y mang l\u1ea1i cho B\u1eafc Kinh ngu\u1ed3n v\u1ed1n ngo\u1ea1i giao \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u00f3ng vai tr\u00f2 trung gian hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3, \u0111\u01b0a l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o hai n\u01b0\u1edbc l\u1ea1i g\u1ea7n nhau v\u00e0 cung c\u1ea5p m\u1ed9t l\u1ed1i tho\u00e1t kh\u1ecfi con \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng chi\u1ebfn tranh.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng nh\u01b0ng kh\u00f4ng k\u00e9m ph\u1ea7n quan tr\u1ecdng, \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 kh\u00eda c\u1ea1nh \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb. Trung Qu\u1ed1c c\u1ea7n c\u1ea1nh tranh v\u1edbi c\u00e1c n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c ki\u1ebfn t\u1ea1o h\u00f2a b\u00ecnh c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 gia t\u0103ng \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh t\u1ea1i \u0110\u00f4ng Nam \u00c1. K\u1ec3 t\u1eeb khi tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i n\u1eafm quy\u1ec1n, T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng M\u1ef9 Donald Trump \u0111\u00e3 li\u00ean t\u1ee5c t\u00ecm c\u00e1ch x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng th\u01b0\u01a1ng hi\u1ec7u nh\u01b0 m\u1ed9t nh\u00e0 h\u00f2a gi\u1ea3i xung \u0111\u1ed9t qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf. D\u1ef1a v\u00e0o c\u00e1c ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ph\u00e1p \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ki\u1ec3m ch\u1ee9ng l\u00e0 ngo\u1ea1i giao c\u00e1 nh\u00e2n v\u00e0 \u0111e d\u1ecda thu\u1ebf quan, Trump th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y vi\u1ec7c gi\u1ea3i quy\u1ebft \u2013 d\u00f9 ch\u1ec9 trong th\u1eddi gian ng\u1eafn \u2013 m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 cu\u1ed9c xung \u0111\u1ed9t, mang l\u1ea1i l\u1ee3i \u00edch cho danh ti\u1ebfng c\u1ee7a \u00f4ng v\u00e0 cho \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9.<\/strong> V\u00e0o ng\u00e0y 26\/10, c\u00f9ng v\u1edbi c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o c\u1ee7a Malaysia, Th\u00e1i Lan, v\u00e0 Campuchia, Trump tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh t\u00e2m \u0111i\u1ec3m t\u1ea1i l\u1ec5 k\u00fd k\u1ebft Hi\u1ec7p \u0111\u1ecbnh H\u00f2a b\u00ecnh Kuala Lumpur v\u1edbi t\u01b0 c\u00e1ch l\u00e0 ng\u01b0\u1eddi th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y ch\u00ednh c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nh\u1eefng n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c c\u1ee7a Trump khi\u1ebfn Trung Qu\u1ed1c ph\u1ea3i \u0111\u1ea9y m\u1ea1nh c\u00e1c s\u00e1ng ki\u1ebfn ki\u1ebfn t\u1ea1o h\u00f2a b\u00ecnh c\u1ee7a ri\u00eang m\u00ecnh. B\u1eafc Kinh t\u1eeb l\u00e2u \u0111\u00e3 xem \u0110\u00f4ng Nam \u00c1 l\u00e0 s\u00e2n sau c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd. Ngo\u00e0i vi\u1ec7c l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i h\u00e0ng \u0111\u1ea7u c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc ASEAN, Trung Qu\u1ed1c ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng nh\u1eafm \u0111\u1ebfn vi\u1ec7c t\u0103ng c\u01b0\u1eddng vai tr\u00f2 trong c\u00e1c v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 an ninh khu v\u1ef1c, bao g\u1ed3m c\u1ea3 gi\u1ea3i quy\u1ebft xung \u0111\u1ed9t.<\/mark><\/strong> Nh\u1eefng n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c ngo\u1ea1i giao th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng trong l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c n\u00e0y s\u1ebd c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 v\u1ecb th\u1ebf khu v\u1ef1c c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u00e0 h\u00ecnh \u1ea3nh c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd nh\u01b0 m\u1ed9t t\u00e1c nh\u00e2n an ninh quan tr\u1ecdng t\u1ea1i \u0110\u00f4ng Nam \u00c1.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

K\u1ebft lu\u1eadn<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n

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\"\"<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

C\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c giao tranh trong th\u00e1ng 12 gi\u1eefa Th\u00e1i Lan v\u00e0 Campuchia d\u01b0\u1eddng nh\u01b0 kh\u00e1 kh\u00e1c bi\u1ec7t so v\u1edbi nh\u1eefng l\u1ea7n xung \u0111\u1ed9t tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00e2y, khi qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed9i Th\u00e1i Lan \u0111\u00e3 th\u1ec3 hi\u1ec7n r\u00f5 \u00fd \u0111\u1ecbnh l\u00e0m suy gi\u1ea3m \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 n\u0103ng l\u1ef1c qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 c\u1ee7a Campuchia.<\/strong> S\u1ef1 thay \u0111\u1ed5i n\u00e0y cho th\u1ea5y r\u1eb1ng r\u1ea5t kh\u00f3 \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c m\u1ed9t n\u1ec1n h\u00f2a b\u00ecnh l\u00e2u d\u00e0i ch\u1ec9 trong th\u1eddi gian ng\u1eafn.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Thay v\u00ec l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t ng\u01b0\u1eddi \u0111\u1ee9ng ngo\u00e0i th\u1ee5 \u0111\u1ed9ng, Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111\u00e3 t\u00edch c\u1ef1c tri\u1ec3n khai c\u00e1c ngu\u1ed3n l\u1ef1c ngo\u1ea1i giao v\u00e0 ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb \u0111\u1ec3 th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y m\u1ed9t l\u1ec7nh ng\u1eebng b\u1eafn. Nh\u1eefng s\u00e1ng ki\u1ebfn n\u00e0y c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y b\u1edfi nhi\u1ec1u y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1: l\u1ee3i \u00edch kinh t\u1ebf t\u1ea1i Th\u00e1i Lan v\u00e0 Campuchia, quan h\u1ec7 ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb ch\u1eb7t ch\u1ebd v\u1edbi gi\u1edbi l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o t\u1ea1i Bangkok v\u00e0 Phnom Penh, v\u00e0 mong mu\u1ed1n c\u1ea1nh tranh \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng v\u1edbi M\u1ef9 t\u1ea1i \u0110\u00f4ng Nam \u00c1.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Tuy nhi\u00ean, d\u00f9 ASEAN, Trung Qu\u1ed1c, v\u00e0 c\u00e1c c\u01b0\u1eddng qu\u1ed1c b\u00ean ngo\u00e0i kh\u00e1c c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 cung c\u1ea5p m\u1ed9t l\u1ed1i tho\u00e1t cho cu\u1ed9c xung \u0111\u1ed9t, quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng v\u1eabn thu\u1ed9c v\u1ec1 ch\u00ednh Th\u00e1i Lan v\u00e0 Campuchia. V\u00e0o ng\u00e0y 16\/12, Th\u00e1i Lan \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0a ra c\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n cho m\u1ed9t l\u1ec7nh ng\u1eebng b\u1eafn: Campuchia ph\u1ea3i tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 ng\u1eebng b\u1eafn tr\u01b0\u1edbc; l\u1ec7nh ng\u1eebng b\u1eafn ph\u1ea3i th\u1ef1c ch\u1ea5t v\u00e0 b\u1ec1n v\u1eefng, kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i l\u00e0 s\u1ef1 t\u1ea1m d\u1eebng \u0111\u1ec3 r\u1ed3i b\u1ea1o l\u1ef1c l\u1ea1i t\u00e1i di\u1ec5n; v\u00e0 Campuchia ph\u1ea3i h\u1ee3p t\u00e1c ch\u00e2n th\u00e0nh trong vi\u1ec7c r\u00e0 ph\u00e1 bom m\u00ecn.<\/mark><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

D\u1eabu v\u1eady, c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c \u0111\u1ee5ng \u0111\u1ed9 gi\u1eefa qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed9i Th\u00e1i Lan v\u00e0 Campuchia v\u1eabn \u0111ang di\u1ec5n ra, ngh\u0129a l\u00e0 c\u1ea3 hai b\u00ean v\u1eabn \u0111ang trong qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ecbnh h\u00ecnh c\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n tr\u00ean chi\u1ebfn tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u1ec3 gi\u00e0nh l\u1ea5y \u0111\u00f2n b\u1ea9y l\u1edbn h\u01a1n tr\u00ean b\u00e0n \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n. Sau c\u00f9ng, vi\u1ec7c gi\u1ea3i quy\u1ebft xung \u0111\u1ed9t s\u1ebd ph\u1ee5 thu\u1ed9c v\u00e0o thi\u1ec7n ch\u00ed c\u1ee7a c\u1ea3 hai b\u00ean tham chi\u1ebfn, nh\u1eefng ng\u01b0\u1eddi m\u00e0 binh l\u00ednh c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd v\u1eabn \u0111ang tham gia v\u00e0o c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c \u0111\u1ea5u s\u00fang \u00e1c li\u1ec7t d\u1ecdc theo bi\u00ean gi\u1edbi chung.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Zi Yang<\/strong>
Ti\u1ebfn s\u0129 Zi Yang l\u00e0 nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u vi\u00ean t\u1ea1i Tr\u01b0\u1eddng Nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u Qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf S. Rajaratnam (RSIS), \u0110\u1ea1i h\u1ecdc C\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 Nanyang (NTU), Singapore. C\u00e1c m\u1ed1i quan t\u00e2m nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u c\u1ee7a \u00f4ng bao g\u1ed3m quan h\u1ec7 d\u00e2n s\u1ef1-qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1, s\u1ef1 tan r\u00e3 v\u00e0 \u0111\u00e0o t\u1ea9u trong qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed9i, l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng v\u0169 trang c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u00e0 l\u1ecbch s\u1eed t\u00ecnh b\u00e1o Trung Qu\u1ed1c.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ngu\u1ed3n Tr\u00edch: Nghi\u00ean C\u1ee9u Qu\u1ed1c T\u1ebf<\/strong>
https:\/\/nghiencuuquocte.org\/2025\/12\/23\/lieu-trung-quoc-co-the-thay-doi-cuc-dien-xung-dot-campuchia-thai-lan\/#more-64912<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u1ea2nh minh ho\u1ea1: V\u1eadn H\u1ed9i M\u1edbi<\/strong><\/p>\n

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<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Ngu\u1ed3n: Zi Yang, \u201cThe Cambodia-Thailand Conflict: Can China\u2019s Influence Tip the Scales?,\u201d The Diplomat, 17\/12\/2025 Bi\u00ean d\u1ecbch: Nguy\u1ec5n Th\u1ecb Kim Ph\u1ee5ng X\u00e9t \u0111\u1ebfn quan h\u1ec7 ch\u1eb7t ch\u1ebd c\u1ee7a c\u1ea3 Th\u00e1i Lan v\u00e0 Campuchia v\u1edbi Trung Qu\u1ed1c, vi\u1ec7c \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 c\u00e1ch B\u1eafc Kinh nh\u00ecn nh\u1eadn cu\u1ed9c xung \u0111\u1ed9t n\u00e0y v\u00e0 t\u1ea7m \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd\u0111\u1ecdc ti\u1ebfp…<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":27235,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[7,8,12,9],"tags":[165,547,118,212,488,98],"class_list":["entry","author-ntviet","post-27234","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-binhluan","category-chinhtri-xahoi","category-chuyenmuc","category-kinhte","tag-binh-luan","tag-cam-bot","tag-chinh-tri","tag-chuyen-de","tag-thai-lan","tag-trung-cong"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/27234","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=27234"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/27234\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":27243,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/27234\/revisions\/27243"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/27235"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=27234"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=27234"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=27234"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}