{"id":27254,"date":"2025-12-27T06:09:25","date_gmt":"2025-12-27T06:09:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/?p=27254"},"modified":"2025-12-27T06:09:28","modified_gmt":"2025-12-27T06:09:28","slug":"quan-doi-thai-muon-khung-hoang-bien-gioi-de-tai-lap-quyen-luc-chinh-tri","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/?p=27254","title":{"rendered":"Qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed9i Th\u00e1i m\u01b0\u1ee3n kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng bi\u00ean gi\u1edbi \u0111\u1ec3 t\u00e1i l\u1eadp quy\u1ec1n l\u1ef1c ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb?<\/strong>
Paul Chambers<\/span>"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Ngu\u1ed3n:\u00a0Paul Chambers, \u201cThai military leverages the border crisis to reassert its political influence\u201d,\u00a0East Asia Forum<\/em><\/mark><\/strong>, 21\/12\/2025<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bi\u00ean d\u1ecbch: <\/strong>Vi\u00ean \u0110\u0103ng Huy<\/p>\n\n\n\n

T\u1ea1i th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m cu\u1ed1i n\u0103m 2025, Th\u00e1i Lan \u0111ang ti\u1ebfn t\u1edbi cu\u1ed9c b\u1ea7u c\u1eed v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 2 n\u0103m 2026, trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed9i, th\u1ebf l\u1ef1c v\u1ed1n l\u00e0 c\u00e1nh tay n\u1ed1i d\u00e0i c\u1ee7a ho\u00e0ng gia, \u0111ang tr\u1ed7i d\u1eady m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd gi\u1eefa nh\u1eefng xung \u0111\u1ed9t m\u1edbi v\u1edbi Campuchia.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

V\u00e0o \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m, \u0111\u1ea3ng Pheu Thai (PT) theo \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng l\u1ed1i trung dung, d\u01b0\u1edbi s\u1ef1 chi ph\u1ed1i c\u1ee7a c\u1ef1u Th\u1ee7 t\u01b0\u1edbng Thaksin Shinawatra, \u0111\u00e3 d\u1eabn d\u1eaft ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 trong m\u1ed9t li\u00ean minh bao g\u1ed3m c\u1ea3 \u0111\u1ea3ng T\u1ef1 h\u00e0o Th\u00e1i (Bhumjaithai \u2013 BJT) v\u1ed1n mang t\u01b0 t\u01b0\u1edfng b\u1ea3o th\u1ee7, v\u00e0 con g\u00e1i \u00f4ng l\u00e0 b\u00e0 Paetongtarn Shinawatra ng\u1ed3i gh\u1ebf Th\u1ee7 t\u01b0\u1edbng. \u0110\u1ea3ng Nh\u00e2n d\u00e2n (People\u2019s Party \u2013 PP) theo \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng l\u1ed1i ti\u1ebfn b\u1ed9, b\u00ean \u0111\u00e3 gi\u00e0nh \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111a s\u1ed1 gh\u1ebf trong cu\u1ed9c b\u1ea7u c\u1eed n\u0103m 2023, \u0111\u1ee9ng \u0111\u1ea7u phe \u0111\u1ed1i l\u1eadp.<\/p>\n\n\n

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C\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng t\u1ea1i bi\u00ean gi\u1edbi Th\u00e1i Lan \u2013 Campuchia \u0111\u00e3 leo thang li\u00ean t\u1ee5c v\u00e0o cu\u1ed1i n\u0103m 2024 v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m 2025, m\u1ed9t ph\u1ea7n do s\u1ef1 \u0111\u1ed5 v\u1ee1 trong quan h\u1ec7 gi\u1eefa Thaksin v\u00e0 nh\u00e0 l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o Campuchia, c\u1ef1u Th\u1ee7 t\u01b0\u1edbng Hun Sen, tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi tr\u1edf n\u00ean t\u1ed3i t\u1ec7 h\u01a1n v\u00e0o \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m 2025<\/strong>. Hun Sen r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng \u0111\u00e3 t\u1ee9c gi\u1eadn tr\u01b0\u1edbc quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh h\u1ee3p ph\u00e1p h\u00f3a c\u1edd b\u1ea1c t\u1ea1i Th\u00e1i Lan c\u1ee7a ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 Paetongtarn, quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh \u0111e d\u1ecda \u0111\u1ebfn ng\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p s\u00f2ng b\u1ea1c c\u1ee7a Campuchia, v\u00e0 chi\u1ebfn d\u1ecbch tr\u1ea5n \u00e1p c\u00e1c trung t\u00e2m l\u1eeba \u0111\u1ea3o g\u1ea7n bi\u00ean gi\u1edbi Campuchia c\u1ee7a Th\u00e1i Lan, n\u01a1i b\u1ecb c\u00e1o bu\u1ed9c l\u00e0 ngu\u1ed3n cung c\u1ea5p l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn cho \u0110\u1ea3ng Nh\u00e2n d\u00e2n Campuchia c\u1ee7a Hun Sen.<\/mark><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

T\u1eeb th\u00e1ng 2 \u0111\u1ebfn th\u00e1ng 5 n\u0103m 2025, m\u1ed7i b\u00ean li\u00ean t\u1ee5c c\u00e1o bu\u1ed9c b\u00ean kia x\u00e2m ph\u1ea1m bi\u00ean gi\u1edbi. Sau \u0111\u00f3 v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 5, T\u01b0\u1edbng Boonsin Padklang, T\u01b0 l\u1ec7nh Qu\u00e2n khu 2<\/strong>, ng\u01b0\u1eddi \u0111\u1ee9ng \u0111\u1ea7u l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng Th\u00e1i Lan d\u1ecdc bi\u00ean gi\u1edbi, d\u01b0\u1eddng nh\u01b0 \u0111\u00e3 th\u00e1ch th\u1ee9c Th\u1ee7 t\u01b0\u1edbng khi t\u1ef1 \u00fd quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u00f4ng nh\u1eadn m\u1ed9t b\u1ea3n \u0111\u1ed3 bi\u00ean gi\u1edbi c\u00f3 l\u1ee3i v\u1ec1 m\u1eb7t \u0111\u1ecba l\u00fd cho Th\u00e1i Lan v\u00e0 \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda bi\u00ean gi\u1edbi v\u1edbi Campuchia<\/mark><\/strong>. M\u1eb7c d\u00f9 h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng n\u00e0y r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng l\u00e0 th\u00e1ch th\u1ee9c quy\u1ec1n ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t d\u00e2n s\u1ef1, nh\u01b0ng b\u1eb1ng vi\u1ec7c \u0111\u1ea3m b\u1ea3o an ninh bi\u00ean gi\u1edbi ch\u1ed1ng l\u1ea1i Campuchia, qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed9i Th\u00e1i Lan \u0111\u00e3 nh\u1eadn \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c s\u1ef1 \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 n\u1ed3ng nhi\u1ec7t t\u1eeb c\u00f4ng ch\u00fang, t\u1ea1o \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n cho h\u1ecd t\u00e1i l\u1eadp quy\u1ec1n t\u1ef1 ch\u1ee7 v\u01b0\u1ee3t ra ngo\u00e0i \u00fd mu\u1ed1n c\u1ee7a gi\u1edbi l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o d\u00e2n s\u1ef1.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Tr\u01b0\u1edbc s\u1ef1 gia t\u0103ng c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c \u0111\u1ed1i \u0111\u1ea7u b\u1ea1o l\u1ef1c, ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 Paetongtarn \u0111\u00e3 t\u00ecm c\u00e1ch h\u1ea1 nhi\u1ec7t c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng. V\u00e0o ng\u00e0y 15 th\u00e1ng 6, b\u00e0 Paetongtarn \u0111\u00e3 g\u1ecdi \u0111i\u1ec7n cho Hun Sen, b\u00e0y t\u1ecf mong mu\u1ed1n m\u1edf l\u1ea1i bi\u00ean gi\u1edbi v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea3m b\u1ea3o h\u00f2a b\u00ecnh, nh\u01b0ng th\u1eeba nh\u1eadn r\u1eb1ng b\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c T\u01b0\u1edbng Boonsin. <\/strong>G\u1ea7n nh\u01b0 c\u00f9ng l\u00fac \u0111\u00f3, m\u1ed9t ph\u00e1i \u0111o\u00e0n ho\u00e0ng gia \u0111\u00e3 chuy\u1ec3n qu\u00e0 t\u1eb7ng cho c\u00e1c binh s\u0129 t\u1ea1i bi\u00ean gi\u1edbi, ng\u1ea7m \u00fd th\u1ec3 hi\u1ec7n s\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e0n k\u1ebft c\u1ee7a ho\u00e0ng gia v\u1edbi qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed9i v\u00e0 \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 h\u00e0nh vi kh\u00f4ng tu\u00e2n l\u1ec7nh c\u1ee7a binh s\u0129, v\u00e0 \u0111\u00e3 g\u1eb7p g\u1ee1 t\u01b0\u1edbng Boonsin. Vi\u1ec7c Campuchia sau \u0111\u00f3 c\u00f4ng khai n\u1ed9i dung cu\u1ed9c g\u1ecdi c\u1ee7a Paetongtarn \u0111\u00e3 ngay l\u1eadp t\u1ee9c khi\u1ebfn b\u00e0 b\u1ebd m\u1eb7t tr\u01b0\u1edbc c\u00f4ng ch\u00fang v\u00e0 d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn vi\u1ec7c b\u00e0 b\u1ecb t\u00f2a \u00e1n t\u1ea1m th\u1eddi b\u00e3i nhi\u1ec7m. B\u1ed1n ng\u00e0y sau cu\u1ed9c g\u1ecdi, \u0111\u1ea3ng BJT \u0111\u00e3 r\u00fat kh\u1ecfi li\u00ean minh c\u1ea7m quy\u1ec1n.<\/mark><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n

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Th\u1ee7 T\u01b0\u1edbng Th\u00e1i Paetongtarn v\u00e0 CT Th\u01b0\u1ee3ng vi\u1ec7n Cam B\u1ed1t Hun Sen<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

C\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng l\u00ean \u0111\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ec9nh \u0111i\u1ec3m v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 7 trong m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c \u0111\u1ee5ng \u0111\u1ed9 bi\u00ean gi\u1edbi khi\u1ebfn \u00edt nh\u1ea5t 32 ng\u01b0\u1eddi thi\u1ec7t m\u1ea1ng. Cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng, Malaysia, v\u1edbi t\u01b0 c\u00e1ch l\u00e0 Ch\u1ee7 t\u1ecbch ASEAN 2025, \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c m\u1ed9t th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn ng\u1eebng b\u1eafn mong manh v\u1edbi s\u1ef1 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 t\u1eeb M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 Trung Qu\u1ed1c. Nh\u01b0ng v\u00e0o th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m \u0111\u00f3, qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed9i Th\u00e1i Lan \u0111\u00e3 ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u1ed9c l\u1eadp, tinh th\u1ea7n d\u00e2n t\u1ed9c ch\u1ee7 ngh\u0129a d\u00e2ng cao v\u00e0 ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 do PT l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o d\u01b0\u1eddng nh\u01b0 \u0111\u00e3 m\u1ea5t \u0111i s\u1ef1 \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 c\u1ee7a c\u1ea3 ng\u01b0\u1eddi d\u00e2n l\u1eabn ho\u00e0ng gia.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

V\u00e0o ng\u00e0y 29 th\u00e1ng 8, T\u00f2a \u00e1n Hi\u1ebfn ph\u00e1p \u0111\u00e3 c\u00e1ch ch\u1ee9c b\u00e0 Paetongtarn, ph\u00e1n quy\u1ebft r\u1eb1ng s\u1ef1 nh\u00fan nh\u01b0\u1eddng c\u1ee7a b\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi m\u1ed9t nh\u00e0 l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o n\u01b0\u1edbc ngo\u00e0i (Hun Sen) \u0111\u00e3 vi ph\u1ea1m c\u00e1c quy t\u1eafc \u0111\u1ea1o \u0111\u1ee9c. V\u00e0o ng\u00e0y 5 th\u00e1ng 9, \u0111a s\u1ed1 qu\u1ed1c h\u1ed9i \u0111\u00e3 b\u1ecf phi\u1ebfu b\u1ea7u l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o \u0111\u1ea3ng BJT b\u1ea3o th\u1ee7, \u00f4ng Anutin Charnvirakul, l\u00e0m ng\u01b0\u1eddi thay th\u1ebf, v\u1edbi s\u1ef1 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 mang t\u00ednh quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh t\u1eeb \u0111\u1ea3ng PP ti\u1ebfn b\u1ed9 \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea3m b\u1ea3o chi\u1ebfn th\u1eafng cho \u00f4ng<\/strong>. G\u1ea7n nh\u01b0 c\u00f9ng l\u00fac, c\u01a1 quan t\u01b0 ph\u00e1p ph\u00e1n quy\u1ebft r\u1eb1ng Thaksin \u0111\u00e3 kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ea5p h\u00e0nh \u0111\u00fang b\u1ea3n \u00e1n t\u00f9 tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3 v\u00e0 y\u00eau c\u1ea7u \u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i b\u1ecb giam gi\u1eef trong m\u1ed9t n\u0103m.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u0110\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ed5i l\u1ea5y s\u1ef1 \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 c\u1ee7a PP, \u0111\u1ea3ng BJT \u0111\u00e3 th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n nhi\u1ec1u nh\u01b0\u1ee3ng b\u1ed9. \u00d4ng Anutin \u0111\u00e3 cam k\u1ebft gi\u1ea3i t\u00e1n H\u1ea1 vi\u1ec7n trong v\u00f2ng b\u1ed1n th\u00e1ng, sau \u0111\u00f3 \u00f4ng mi\u1ec5n c\u01b0\u1ee1ng \u1ea5n \u0111\u1ecbnh ng\u00e0y gi\u1ea3i t\u00e1n kh\u00f4ng mu\u1ed9n h\u01a1n ng\u00e0y 31 th\u00e1ng 1 n\u0103m 2026, v\u1edbi cu\u1ed9c b\u1ea7u c\u1eed \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u00ean l\u1ecbch trong v\u00f2ng 60 ng\u00e0y k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb khi gi\u1ea3i t\u00e1n qu\u1ed1c h\u1ed9i. Anutin c\u0169ng h\u1ee9a s\u1ebd h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c c\u1ee7a PP trong vi\u1ec7c th\u00e0nh l\u1eadp m\u1ed9t \u1ee7y ban so\u1ea1n th\u1ea3o \u0111\u1ec3 thay \u0111\u1ed5i hi\u1ebfn ph\u00e1p. V\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 10, d\u1ef1 lu\u1eadt s\u1eeda \u0111\u1ed5i hi\u1ebfn ph\u00e1p do PP \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u00f4ng qua v\u00e0 c\u00f3 v\u1ebb nh\u01b0 s\u1ebd v\u01b0\u1ee3t qua c\u1ea3 ba l\u1ea7n th\u1ea9m \u0111\u1ecbnh theo quy \u0111\u1ecbnh v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 12.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Kh\u00e1c v\u1edbi Paetongtarn, Anutin c\u00f3 m\u1ed1i quan h\u1ec7 h\u00e0i h\u00f2a v\u1edbi qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed9i. V\u1edbi s\u1ef1 \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c t\u01b0\u1edbng l\u0129nh, Anutin \u0111\u00e3 b\u1eadt \u0111\u00e8n xanh cho qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed9i \u0111\u00e1p tr\u1ea3 c\u00e1c c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng bi\u00ean gi\u1edbi v\u00e0 trao cho h\u1ecd to\u00e0n quy\u1ec1n quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh trong vi\u1ec7c ch\u1ed1ng phi\u1ebfn qu\u00e2n \u1edf mi\u1ec1n Nam Th\u00e1i Lan. Anutin c\u0169ng duy tr\u00ec m\u1ed1i quan h\u1ec7 t\u1ed1t \u0111\u1eb9p v\u1edbi ho\u00e0ng gia Th\u00e1i Lan, do t\u1eeb l\u00e2u \u0111\u00e3 l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed3ng minh th\u00e2n c\u1eadn c\u1ee7a Vua Vajiralongkorn.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Tuy nhi\u00ean, uy t\u00edn c\u1ee7a Anutin \u0111\u00e3 s\u1ee5t gi\u1ea3m khi cu\u1ed9c kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng v\u1edbi Campuchia k\u00e9o d\u00e0i, c\u00f9ng v\u1edbi nh\u1eefng ch\u1ec9 tr\u00edch v\u1ec1 c\u00e1ch \u00f4ng \u1ee9ng ph\u00f3 v\u1edbi c\u00e1c tr\u1eadn l\u0169 l\u1ee5t g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y v\u00e0 c\u00e1c c\u00e1o bu\u1ed9c tham nh\u0169ng m\u1edbi.<\/p>\n\n\n

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L\u00ednh thu\u1ed9c s\u01b0 \u0111o\u00e0n k\u1ef5 binh 2 Th\u00e1i Lan t\u1eadp trung \u1edf Sanam Pao s\u1eb5n s\u00e0ng tham chi\u1ebfn<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

B\u1ea5t ch\u1ea5p tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 h\u00f2a b\u00ecnh ch\u00ednh th\u1ee9c v\u00e0o cu\u1ed1i th\u00e1ng 10, m\u00ecn do ph\u00eda Campuchia \u0111\u1eb7t d\u1ecdc bi\u00ean gi\u1edbi v\u1eabn ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c g\u00e2y th\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u00edch cho binh l\u00ednh Th\u00e1i Lan. \u0110\u00e1p l\u1ea1i, Anutin th\u00f4ng b\u00e1o v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 11 r\u1eb1ng Th\u00e1i Lan kh\u00f4ng c\u00f2n tu\u00e2n th\u1ee7 hi\u1ec7p \u01b0\u1edbc h\u00f2a b\u00ecnh v\u1edbi Campuchia. Tuy nhi\u00ean, \u00e1p l\u1ef1c t\u1eeb ph\u00eda M\u1ef9, bao g\u1ed3m c\u1ea3 nh\u1eefng \u0111e d\u1ecda t\u0103ng thu\u1ebf quan, \u0111\u00e3 khi\u1ebfn Anutin ph\u1ea3i m\u1ec1m m\u1ecfng h\u01a1n.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Tr\u1eadn l\u0169 l\u1ee5t v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 11 c\u00e0ng l\u00e0m lung lay v\u1ecb th\u1ebf c\u1ee7a \u00f4ng, v\u1edbi m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c th\u0103m d\u00f2 cho th\u1ea5y s\u1ef1 \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 c\u1ee7a c\u00f4ng ch\u00fang d\u00e0nh cho Anutin gi\u1ea3m t\u1eeb 48% xu\u1ed1ng c\u00f2n 23% khi cu\u1ed9c b\u1ea7u c\u1eed \u0111ang c\u1eadn k\u1ec1.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

V\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 11, c\u00e1c b\u00e1o c\u00e1o c\u0169ng xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n cho th\u1ea5y Prince Group, m\u1ed9t m\u1ea1ng l\u01b0\u1edbi t\u1ed9i ph\u1ea1m m\u1ea1ng, \u0111\u00e3 thu\u00ea v\u0103n ph\u00f2ng t\u1eeb gia \u0111\u00ecnh Anutin, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi m\u1ed9t b\u1ee9c \u1ea3nh ch\u1ee5p Anutin c\u00f9ng Benjamin Mauerberger, ng\u01b0\u1eddi b\u1ecb c\u00e1o bu\u1ed9c l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u m\u1ed1i c\u1ee7a nhi\u1ec1u m\u1ea1ng l\u01b0\u1edbi t\u1ed9i ph\u1ea1m nh\u01b0 v\u1eady, c\u0169ng b\u1ecb r\u00f2 r\u1ec9.<\/mark><\/strong> \u0110\u1ea3ng PT h\u1ee9a s\u1ebd n\u1ed9p \u0111\u01a1n khi\u1ebfu n\u1ea1i \u0111\u1ea1o \u0111\u1ee9c v\u00e0 ki\u1ebfn ngh\u1ecb b\u1ea5t t\u00edn nhi\u1ec7m \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 khi qu\u1ed1c h\u1ed9i h\u1ecdp l\u1ea1i v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 12.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Khi th\u00e1ng 12 \u0111\u1ebfn v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea3ng PP n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c th\u00f4ng qua d\u1ef1 lu\u1eadt c\u1ea3i c\u00e1ch hi\u1ebfn ph\u00e1p, \u0111\u1ea3ng BJT b\u1ea5t ng\u1edd r\u00fat l\u1ea1i s\u1ef1 \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9, khi\u1ebfn PP k\u00eau g\u1ecdi m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c b\u1ecf phi\u1ebfu b\u1ea5t t\u00edn nhi\u1ec7m ngay l\u1eadp t\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi Th\u1ee7 t\u01b0\u1edbng. B\u1ea3n th\u00e2n Anutin sau \u0111\u00f3 \u0111\u00e3 b\u1ea5t ng\u1edd gi\u1ea3i t\u00e1n H\u1ea1 vi\u1ec7n v\u00e0o ng\u00e0y 12 th\u00e1ng 12, v\u00e0 cu\u1ed9c t\u1ed5ng tuy\u1ec3n c\u1eed \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u1ea5n \u0111\u1ecbnh v\u00e0o ng\u00e0y 8 th\u00e1ng 2 n\u0103m 2026. <\/strong>Vi\u1ec7c \u0111\u1ea9y nhanh b\u1ea7u c\u1eed di\u1ec5n ra khi Th\u00e1i Lan v\u00e0 Campuchia n\u1ed1i l\u1ea1i cu\u1ed9c xung \u0111\u1ed9t bi\u00ean gi\u1edbi b\u1ea1o l\u1ef1c, v\u1edbi nh\u1eefng cu\u1ed9c giao tranh \u00e1c li\u1ec7t x\u1ea3y ra d\u1ecdc bi\u00ean gi\u1edbi v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 12 n\u0103m 2025.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

N\u0103m m\u1edbi \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o s\u1ebd l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t n\u0103m ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c b\u1ea5t \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi Th\u00e1i Lan do t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng b\u1ea1o l\u1ef1c bi\u00ean gi\u1edbi tr\u1ea7m tr\u1ecdng h\u01a1n v\u00e0 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng thay \u0111\u1ed5i ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb, v\u1edbi k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 b\u1ea7u c\u1eed ng\u00e0y 8 th\u00e1ng 2 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0 li\u00ean minh do BJT l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c n\u1eafm quy\u1ec1n ho\u1eb7c (\u00edt kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng h\u01a1n) l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t li\u00ean minh do PP ho\u1eb7c PT d\u1eabn d\u1eaft.<\/mark><\/strong> Li\u1ec7u BJT c\u00f3 ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o hay kh\u00f4ng s\u1ebd quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng c\u1ea3i c\u00e1ch hi\u1ebfn ph\u00e1p Th\u00e1i Lan.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

S\u1ef1 tr\u1ed7i d\u1eady c\u1ee7a qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed9i Th\u00e1i Lan, l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u0111ang ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u1ed9c l\u1eadp v\u1edbi \u00fd ch\u00ed d\u00e2n s\u1ef1, \u0111ang bao tr\u00f9m l\u00ean n\u1ec1n ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb qu\u1ed1c gia.<\/mark><\/strong> M\u1eb7c d\u00f9 qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed9i ph\u1ed1i h\u1ee3p \u0103n \u00fd v\u1edbi BJT, nh\u01b0ng quy\u1ec1n l\u1ef1c ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng t\u0103ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y h\u1ecd ti\u1ebfn h\u00e0nh c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c \u0111\u1ea3o ch\u00ednh \u0111\u1ec3 ng\u0103n ch\u1eb7n nh\u1eefng n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng kh\u00f4ng gian ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb c\u1ee7a Th\u00e1i Lan, \u0111i\u1ec1u c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 x\u1ea3y ra sau m\u1ed9t chi\u1ebfn th\u1eafng vang d\u1ed9i c\u1ee7a PP. V\u1edbi l\u1ecbch s\u1eed \u0111\u1ea7y c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c \u0111\u1ea3o ch\u00ednh c\u1ee7a Th\u00e1i Lan, qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed9i c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 m\u1ed9t l\u1ea7n n\u1eefa tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh m\u1ed1i \u0111e d\u1ecda l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh d\u00e2n ch\u1ee7 h\u00f3a c\u1ee7a qu\u1ed1c gia n\u00e0y.<\/mark><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Paul Chambers <\/strong>
Nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u vi\u00ean\u00a0kh\u00e1ch m\u1eddi\u00a0t\u1ea1i Vi\u1ec7n ISEAS-Yusof Ishak v\u00e0 l\u00e0 t\u00e1c gi\u1ea3 c\u1ee7a nhi\u1ec1u c\u00f4ng tr\u00ecnh nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u chuy\u00ean s\u00e2u v\u1ec1 c\u00e1c v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 t\u1ea1i \u0110\u00f4ng Nam \u00c1.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ngu\u1ed3n tr\u00edch: Nghi\u00ean C\u1ee9u Qu\u1ed1c T\u1ebf<\/strong>
https:\/\/nghiencuuquocte.org\/2025\/12\/25\/quan-doi-thai-muon-khung-hoang-bien-gioi-de-tai-lap-quyen-luc-chinh-tri\/#more-64947<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u1ea2nh minh ho\u1ea1: V\u1eadn H\u1ed9i M\u1edbi<\/strong><\/p>\n

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Ngu\u1ed3n:\u00a0Paul Chambers, \u201cThai military leverages the border crisis to reassert its political influence\u201d,\u00a0East Asia Forum, 21\/12\/2025 Bi\u00ean d\u1ecbch: Vi\u00ean \u0110\u0103ng Huy T\u1ea1i th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m cu\u1ed1i n\u0103m 2025, Th\u00e1i Lan \u0111ang ti\u1ebfn t\u1edbi cu\u1ed9c b\u1ea7u c\u1eed v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 2 n\u0103m 2026, trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed9i, th\u1ebf l\u1ef1c v\u1ed1n l\u00e0 c\u00e1nh tay\u0111\u1ecdc ti\u1ebfp…<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":25824,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[7,8,12,9],"tags":[165,547,118,212,82,488,226,285],"class_list":["entry","author-ntviet","post-27254","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-binhluan","category-chinhtri-xahoi","category-chuyenmuc","category-kinhte","tag-binh-luan","tag-cam-bot","tag-chinh-tri","tag-chuyen-de","tag-kinh-te","tag-thai-lan","tag-xa-hoi","tag-xung-dot"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/27254","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=27254"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/27254\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":27255,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/27254\/revisions\/27255"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/25824"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=27254"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=27254"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=27254"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}