{"id":27497,"date":"2026-01-22T01:47:12","date_gmt":"2026-01-22T01:47:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/?p=27497"},"modified":"2026-01-22T01:47:14","modified_gmt":"2026-01-22T01:47:14","slug":"lieu-tap-co-the-khien-nguoi-trung-quoc-chi-tieu-nhieu-hon","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/?p=27497","title":{"rendered":"Li\u1ec7u T\u1eadp c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 khi\u1ebfn ng\u01b0\u1eddi Trung Qu\u1ed1c chi ti\u00eau nhi\u1ec1u h\u01a1n?<\/strong>
Lizzi C. Lee, Jing Qian<\/span>"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Ti\u00eau th\u1ee5 n\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ecba gi\u1ea3m, m\u00e3i l\u1ef1c gi\u1ea3m. Ch\u1ee3 v\u1eafng v\u1ebb.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

Ngu\u1ed3n:<\/strong>\u00a0Lizzi C. Lee, \u201cCan Xi Jinping Make China Spend?,\u201d\u00a0Foreign Policy<\/em><\/mark><\/strong>,\u00a0<\/em>08\/01\/2026<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bi\u00ean d\u1ecbch: <\/strong>Nguy\u1ec5n Th\u1ecb Kim Ph\u1ee5ng<\/p>\n\n\n\n

C\u00e1c l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o bi\u1ebft r\u1eb1ng c\u1ea7u n\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ecba y\u1ebfu l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1, nh\u01b0ng h\u1ecd c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 \u0111\u1ee7 c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 \u0111\u1ec3 kh\u1eafc ph\u1ee5c n\u00f3.<\/mark><\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cNhi\u1ec7m v\u1ee5 s\u1ed1 m\u1ed9t trong c\u00f4ng t\u00e1c kinh t\u1ebf Trung Qu\u1ed1c n\u0103m 2026<\/strong>,\u201d ban l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o B\u1eafc Kinh tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 t\u1ea1i H\u1ed9i ngh\u1ecb C\u00f4ng t\u00e1c Kinh t\u1ebf Trung \u01b0\u01a1ng h\u1ed3i th\u00e1ng tr\u01b0\u1edbc, l\u00e0 \u201cki\u00ean \u0111\u1ecbnh l\u1ea5y c\u1ea7u n\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ecba l\u00e0m \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c ch\u00ednh v\u00e0 x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng m\u1ed9t th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng n\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ecba m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd.<\/mark><\/strong>\u201d Nh\u01b0ng tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng kh\u00f4ng nh\u1ea5t thi\u1ebft \u0111\u1ed3ng ngh\u0129a v\u1edbi h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng<\/strong>. D\u00f9 B\u1eafc Kinh n\u00f3i r\u1eb1ng h\u1ecd mu\u1ed1n th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng n\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ecba, v\u00ec c\u1ea3 s\u1ef1 \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh trong n\u01b0\u1edbc l\u1eabn t\u00ednh b\u1ec1n v\u1eefng qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf, c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o Trung Qu\u1ed1c nhi\u1ec1u kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng s\u1eb5n s\u00e0ng h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng \u1edf quy m\u00f4 c\u1ea7n thi\u1ebft \u0111\u1ec3 bi\u1ebfn \u0111i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00f3 th\u00e0nh hi\u1ec7n th\u1ef1c.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ngay t\u1eeb tr\u01b0\u1edbc cu\u1ed9c kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh n\u0103m 2008, s\u1ef1 ki\u1ec7n \u0111\u00e3 khi\u1ebfn B\u1eafc Kinh nh\u1eadn ra s\u1ef1 b\u1ea5t \u1ed5n c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u, c\u00e1c quan ch\u1ee9c Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111\u00e3 nh\u1ea5n m\u1ea1nh t\u1ea7m quan tr\u1ecdng c\u1ee7a ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng. N\u0103m 2004, B\u1eafc Kinh \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1ec1 ra c\u00e1ch ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n l\u1ea5y ng\u01b0\u1eddi d\u00e2n l\u00e0m trung t\u00e2m, v\u00e0 t\u1ea1i \u0110\u1ea1i h\u1ed9i \u0110\u1ea3ng l\u1ea7n th\u1ee9 17 n\u0103m 2007, h\u1ecd \u0111\u00e3 k\u00eau g\u1ecdi t\u00e1i c\u00e2n b\u1eb1ng t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng v\u00e0 m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng c\u1ea7u n\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ecba.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Tuy nhi\u00ean, b\u1ea5t ch\u1ea5p nh\u1eefng t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u ban \u0111\u1ea7u n\u00e0y, tr\u00ean th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf, c\u00e1c \u01b0u ti\u00ean ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch v\u1eabn ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c t\u1eadp trung v\u00e0o n\u0103ng l\u1ef1c c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p, c\u01a1 s\u1edf h\u1ea1 t\u1ea7ng, v\u00e0 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng c\u1ea1nh tranh xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u.<\/mark><\/strong> V\u1eady n\u00ean, s\u1ef1 ho\u00e0i nghi \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi quy\u1ebft t\u00e2m ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb hi\u1ec7n nay l\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec1u d\u1ec5 hi\u1ec3u. Nh\u01b0ng Ch\u1ee7 t\u1ecbch Trung Qu\u1ed1c T\u1eadp C\u1eadn B\u00ecnh d\u01b0\u1eddng nh\u01b0 \u0111ang mu\u1ed1n x\u00f3a b\u1ecf m\u1ecdi s\u1ef1 m\u01a1 h\u1ed3. Trong m\u1ed9t b\u00e0i b\u00e1o g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y tr\u00ean t\u1edd\u00a0C\u1ea7u Th\u1ecb<\/em>, t\u1ea1p ch\u00ed l\u00fd lu\u1eadn ch\u1ee7 ch\u1ed1t c\u1ee7a \u0110\u1ea3ng C\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n Trung Qu\u1ed1c, c\u00f3 ti\u00eau \u0111\u1ec1 \u201cM\u1edf r\u1ed9ng c\u1ea7u n\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ecba l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t l\u1ef1a ch\u1ecdn chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c,\u201d <\/mark>T\u1eadp \u0111\u00e3 n\u00e2ng c\u1ea7u n\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ecba y\u1ebfu l\u00ean th\u00e0nh v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 c\u1ed1t l\u00f5i c\u1ee7a s\u1ef1 \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh v\u00e0 an ninh kinh t\u1ebf, l\u1eadp lu\u1eadn r\u1eb1ng th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y c\u1ea7u n\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ecba \u201ckh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t gi\u1ea3i ph\u00e1p t\u1ea1m th\u1eddi m\u00e0 l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t l\u1ef1a ch\u1ecdn chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c.<\/mark>\u201d<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n

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Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u1ecba \u1ed1c lao d\u1ed1c, h\u00e0ng d\u1eaby chung c\u01b0 cao t\u1ea7ng b\u1ecf hoang<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

B\u00e0i vi\u1ebft n\u00e0y th\u1eb3ng th\u1eafn m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch b\u1ea5t th\u01b0\u1eddng khi ch\u1ec9 ra r\u1eb1ng: c\u1ea7u n\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ecba kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ee7, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t l\u00e0 ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng y\u1ebfu, l\u00e0 th\u00e1ch th\u1ee9c c\u1ea5p b\u00e1ch nh\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf v\u00e0 k\u00eau g\u1ecdi \u0111\u1ea9y nhanh c\u00e1c n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c \u0111\u1ec3 thu h\u1eb9p kho\u1ea3ng c\u00e1ch ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nh\u01b0ng c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 ph\u00ea b\u00ecnh kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 nghi ng\u1edd v\u1ec1 \u00fd \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u1ee7a T\u1eadp. Quan ng\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd b\u1eaft ngu\u1ed3n t\u1eeb ch\u00ednh c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c. <\/mark>H\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng kinh t\u1ebf c\u1ee7a n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y t\u1eeb l\u00e2u \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c theo logic \u201cs\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t l\u00e0 tr\u00ean h\u1ebft,\u201d trong \u0111\u00f3 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 n\u1eb1m \u1edf \u0111i\u1ec3m kh\u1edfi \u0111\u1ea7u c\u1ee7a chu\u1ed7i t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng v\u00e0 ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng n\u1eb1m \u1edf \u0111i\u1ec3m cu\u1ed1i.<\/mark><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u0110\u1ea7u t\u01b0 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c xem l\u00e0 c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 ch\u00ednh, trong khi ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c xem l\u00e0 k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng ch\u1ee9 kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i l\u00e0 n\u1ec1n t\u1ea3ng c\u1ee7a t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng. <\/strong>C\u00f4ng b\u1eb1ng m\u00e0 n\u00f3i, c\u1ea7u trong n\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng \u0111\u1ec1u \u0111\u1eb7n theo th\u1eddi gian, v\u00e0 ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng h\u1ed9 gia \u0111\u00ecnh c\u0169ng t\u0103ng l\u00ean v\u1ec1 gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb tuy\u1ec7t \u0111\u1ed1i. Nh\u01b0ng s\u1ef1 m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng v\u1ec1 ph\u00eda cung l\u1ea1i di\u1ec5n ra nhanh h\u01a1n nhi\u1ec1u. K\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 l\u00e0 s\u1ef1 m\u1ea5t c\u00e2n b\u1eb1ng k\u00e9o d\u00e0i gi\u1eefa n\u0103ng l\u1ef1c s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t v\u00e0 c\u1ea7u h\u1ed9 gia \u0111\u00ecnh.<\/mark><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Tuy nhi\u00ean, b\u00e1o c\u00e1o c\u1ee7a H\u1ed9i ngh\u1ecb C\u00f4ng t\u00e1c Kinh t\u1ebf Trung \u01b0\u01a1ng th\u00e1ng tr\u01b0\u1edbc cho th\u1ea5y s\u1ef1 m\u1ea5t c\u00e2n b\u1eb1ng n\u00e0y kh\u00f4ng c\u00f2n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c xem l\u00e0 v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 th\u1ee9 y\u1ebfu n\u1eefa. Ban l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o m\u1ed9t l\u1ea7n n\u1eefa m\u00f4 t\u1ea3 n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf \u0111ang \u0111\u1ed1i m\u1eb7t v\u1edbi t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng \u201ccung m\u1ea1nh, c\u1ea7u y\u1ebfu,\u201d nh\u01b0ng l\u1ea7n n\u00e0y, h\u1ecd k\u1ebft h\u1ee3p \u0111i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00f3 v\u1edbi nh\u1eefng di\u1ec5n \u0111\u1ea1t m\u1edbi, \u0111\u1ecbnh ngh\u0129a c\u1ea7u n\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ecba l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac c\u1ea7n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng l\u1ea1i.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u0110i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00e1ng ch\u00fa \u00fd nh\u1ea5t l\u00e0 l\u1eddi k\u00eau g\u1ecdi \u201c\u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 v\u00e0o con ng\u01b0\u1eddi,\u201d c\u00f9ng v\u1edbi s\u1ef1 chuy\u1ec3n h\u01b0\u1edbng r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng sang ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n \u201ctheo c\u1ea7u n\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ecba\u201d v\u00e0 s\u1ef1 t\u00e1i kh\u1eb3ng \u0111\u1ecbnh t\u1ea7m quan tr\u1ecdng c\u1ee7a vi\u1ec7c khai th\u00e1c t\u1ed1i \u0111a ti\u1ec1m n\u0103ng th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng n\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ecba. L\u1ea7n \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean, H\u1ed9i ngh\u1ecb C\u00f4ng t\u00e1c Kinh t\u1ebf Trung \u01b0\u01a1ng n\u00eau b\u1eadt k\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch n\u00e2ng cao thu nh\u1eadp cho ng\u01b0\u1eddi d\u00e2n th\u00e0nh th\u1ecb v\u00e0 n\u00f4ng th\u00f4n, m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng d\u1ecbch v\u1ee5, m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng ph\u1ea1m vi b\u1ea3o hi\u1ec3m cho ng\u01b0\u1eddi lao \u0111\u1ed9ng trong n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf vi\u1ec7c l\u00e0m t\u1ef1 do (gig economy), v\u00e0 lo\u1ea1i b\u1ecf c\u00e1c r\u00e0o c\u1ea3n ph\u00e1p l\u00fd h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf chi ti\u00eau h\u1ed9 gia \u0111\u00ecnh trong l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c ch\u0103m s\u00f3c s\u1ee9c kh\u1ecfe, gi\u00e1o d\u1ee5c, ch\u0103m s\u00f3c ng\u01b0\u1eddi cao tu\u1ed5i, v\u00e0 d\u1ecbch v\u1ee5 gia \u0111\u00ecnh.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh s\u1ef1 nh\u1eadn th\u1ee9c ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng t\u0103ng r\u1eb1ng c\u1ea7u y\u1ebfu g\u1eafn li\u1ec1n v\u1edbi k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng v\u1ec1 thu nh\u1eadp, s\u1ef1 thi\u1ebfu h\u1ee5t ngu\u1ed3n cung d\u1ecbch v\u1ee5, ti\u1ebft ki\u1ec7m ph\u00f2ng ng\u1eeba, v\u00e0 nh\u1eefng l\u1ed7 h\u1ed5ng trong m\u1ea1ng l\u01b0\u1edbi an sinh x\u00e3 h\u1ed9i.<\/mark><\/strong> Vi\u1ec7c t\u1eadp trung song song v\u00e0o th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 t\u01b0 nh\u00e2n v\u00e0 ki\u1ec1m ch\u1ebf c\u1ea1nh tranh theo ki\u1ec3u \u201cn\u1ed9i quy\u1ec3n\u201d (involution) c\u00e0ng nh\u1ea5n m\u1ea1nh s\u1ef1 \u0111\u1ed3ng thu\u1eadn \u0111ang n\u1ed5i l\u00ean r\u1eb1ng c\u1ea7u n\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ecba tr\u00ec tr\u1ec7 v\u1ec1 c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 v\u0129 m\u00f4 \u2013 m\u1ed9t v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 \u0111\u00f2i h\u1ecfi ph\u1ea3i kh\u00f4i ph\u1ee5c ni\u1ec1m tin v\u00e0 vi\u1ec7c l\u00e0m trong khu v\u1ef1c t\u01b0 nh\u00e2n, thay v\u00ec ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu d\u1ef1a v\u00e0o c\u00e1c ch\u01b0\u01a1ng tr\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed5i c\u0169 l\u1ea5y m\u1edbi hay tr\u1ee3 c\u1ea5p ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng. Kh\u00f4ng c\u00f2n nhi\u1ec1u kh\u00f4ng gian \u0111\u1ec3 tr\u00ec ho\u00e3n. M\u00f4 h\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd \u0111\u00e3 duy tr\u00ec t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng su\u1ed1t h\u00e0ng ch\u1ee5c n\u0103m qua gi\u1edd \u0111\u00e2y \u0111ang mang l\u1ea1i l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn gi\u1ea3m d\u1ea7n. B\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n kh\u00f4ng c\u00f2n l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c kinh t\u1ebf kh\u1ea3 thi. Vi\u1ec7c m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng c\u01a1 s\u1edf h\u1ea1 t\u1ea7ng \u0111ang \u0111\u1ed1i m\u1eb7t v\u1edbi c\u1ea3 gi\u1edbi h\u1ea1n t\u00e0i kh\u00f3a v\u00e0 n\u0103ng su\u1ea5t bi\u00ean gi\u1ea3m d\u1ea7n. Nh\u1eefng tr\u1edf ng\u1ea1i v\u1ec1 nh\u00e2n kh\u1ea9u h\u1ecdc c\u0169ng ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng gia t\u0103ng. \u0110\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi, ni\u1ec1m tin c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c h\u1ed9 gia \u0111\u00ecnh v\u00e0 doanh nghi\u1ec7p t\u01b0 nh\u00e2n v\u1eabn d\u1ec5 lung lay, b\u1ecb \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng b\u1edfi s\u1ef1 b\u1ea5t \u1ed5n v\u1ec1 thu nh\u1eadp, s\u1ef1 suy tho\u00e1i c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n, v\u00e0 nh\u1eefng v\u1ebft s\u1eb9o dai d\u1eb3ng t\u1eeb s\u1ef1 can thi\u1ec7p qu\u00e1 m\u1ee9c c\u1ee7a c\u01a1 quan qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd trong qu\u00e1 kh\u1ee9.<\/mark><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n

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D\u00f9 hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c trong n\u0103m qua m\u1ea1nh h\u01a1n nhi\u1ec1u so v\u1edbi d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n, nh\u01b0ng s\u1ef1 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i \u0111\u00f3 kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 x\u00f3a b\u1ecf nh\u1eefng \u0111i\u1ec3m y\u1ebfu ti\u1ec1m \u1ea9n. C\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i v\u1eabn l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t \u0111\u1eb7c \u0111i\u1ec3m c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac c\u1ee7a m\u00f4i tr\u01b0\u1eddng b\u00ean ngo\u00e0i. Nh\u1eefng h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf v\u1ec1 ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng, ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7, v\u00e0 tranh ch\u1ea5p ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p s\u1ebd ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c thu h\u1eb9p kh\u00f4ng gian t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng b\u00ean ngo\u00e0i c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c.<\/mark><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ngo\u00e0i nh\u1eefng h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf n\u00e0y, m\u00f4i tr\u01b0\u1eddng b\u00ean ngo\u00e0i Trung Qu\u1ed1c c\u0169ng ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng tr\u1edf n\u00ean kh\u1eafc nghi\u1ec7t h\u01a1n, v\u1edbi s\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u trong c\u00e1c l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c t\u1eeb xe \u0111i\u1ec7n \u0111\u1ebfn n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng s\u1ea1ch ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c xem \u2013 d\u00f9 \u0111\u00fang hay sai \u2013 nh\u01b0 b\u1eb1ng ch\u1ee9ng v\u1ec1 t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng d\u01b0 th\u1eeba n\u0103ng l\u1ef1c s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t mang t\u00ednh c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac. Nh\u1eefng nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh n\u00e0y \u0111ang d\u1ea7n chuy\u1ec3n th\u00e0nh c\u00e1c ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch: thu\u1ebf quan, \u0111i\u1ec1u tra tr\u1ee3 c\u1ea5p, y\u00eau c\u1ea7u n\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ecba h\u00f3a, v\u00e0 ph\u1ea3n \u0111\u1ed1i ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

K\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 l\u00e0, ch\u1ec9 ri\u00eang hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u kh\u00f4ng c\u00f2n c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea3m b\u1ea3o c\u1ea7u b\u1ec1n v\u1eefng t\u1eeb b\u00ean ngo\u00e0i, c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 th\u00eam lu\u1eadn \u0111i\u1ec3m r\u1eb1ng m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c c\u1ea7n ph\u1ea3i d\u1ef1a nhi\u1ec1u h\u01a1n v\u00e0o kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng h\u1ea5p th\u1ee5 trong n\u01b0\u1edbc.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn m\u1ed9t m\u00e2u thu\u1eabn r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng trong c\u00e1c t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u c\u1ee7a H\u1ed9i ngh\u1ecb C\u00f4ng t\u00e1c Kinh t\u1ebf Trung \u01b0\u01a1ng. C\u1ea7u n\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ecba \u0111\u00e3 xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n nhi\u1ec1u h\u01a1n trong ng\u00f4n t\u1eeb, nh\u01b0ng gi\u1edbi l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o d\u01b0\u1eddng nh\u01b0 l\u1ea1i tin r\u1eb1ng qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh chuy\u1ec3n \u0111\u1ed5i c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c m\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng c\u1ea7n chuy\u1ec3n ti\u1ec1n tr\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp cho h\u1ed9 gia \u0111\u00ecnh ho\u1eb7c k\u00edch th\u00edch ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng tr\u00ean quy m\u00f4 l\u1edbn. V\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i l\u00e0 do b\u1ecb ph\u1ea3n \u0111\u1ed1i m\u00e0 l\u00e0 do b\u1ecb h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf: c\u00f3 m\u1ed9t nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh trong n\u1ed9i b\u1ed9 B\u1eafc Kinh r\u1eb1ng nh\u1eefng c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 nh\u01b0 v\u1eady \u0111i k\u00e8m nh\u1eefng h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf c\u1ed1 h\u1eefu v\u00e0 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 kh\u00f3 tri\u1ec3n khai hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 trong khu\u00f4n kh\u1ed5 qu\u1ea3n tr\u1ecb hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

M\u1ed9t ph\u1ea7n c\u1ee7a s\u1ef1 th\u1eadn tr\u1ecdng n\u00e0y ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh c\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n b\u00ean ngo\u00e0i. S\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u trong ph\u1ea7n l\u1edbn n\u0103m 2025 \u0111\u00e3 t\u1ea1o ra qu\u00e3ng ngh\u1ec9 t\u1ea1m th\u1eddi, l\u00e0m gi\u1ea3m t\u00ednh c\u1ea5p thi\u1ebft c\u1ee7a vi\u1ec7c can thi\u1ec7p m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd h\u01a1n v\u00e0o ph\u00eda c\u1ea7u. Kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i \u0111\u00f3 c\u0169ng c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 logic ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb c\u1ee7a vi\u1ec7c m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh hi\u1ec7n c\u00f3, thay v\u00ec th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n nh\u1eefng thay \u0111\u1ed5i \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf v\u1ec1 qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd v\u00e0 th\u1ec3 ch\u1ebf c\u0169ng r\u1ea5t quan tr\u1ecdng. H\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng t\u00e0i kh\u00f3a v\u00e0 qu\u1ea3n tr\u1ecb c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c kh\u00f4ng th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p cho vi\u1ec7c tr\u1ee3 c\u1ea5p ti\u1ec1n m\u1eb7t tr\u00ean di\u1ec7n r\u1ed9ng.<\/strong> Thu nh\u1eadp h\u1ed9 gia \u0111\u00ecnh, m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng, v\u00e0 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn c\u01a1 s\u1edf h\u1ea1 t\u1ea7ng t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh c\u00f3 s\u1ef1 kh\u00e1c bi\u1ec7t r\u1ea5t l\u1edbn gi\u1eefa c\u00e1c v\u00f9ng. Kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i t\u1ea5t c\u1ea3 c\u00e1c h\u1ed9 gia \u0111\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ec1u \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u00edch h\u1ee3p \u0111\u1ea7y \u0111\u1ee7 v\u00e0o h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng ch\u00ednh th\u1ee9c, trong khi d\u1eef li\u1ec7u v\u1ec1 thu nh\u1eadp v\u00e0 vi\u1ec7c l\u00e0m v\u1eabn ch\u01b0a \u0111\u1ed3ng \u0111\u1ec1u v\u1ec1 ph\u1ea1m vi v\u00e0 ch\u1ea5t l\u01b0\u1ee3ng<\/mark><\/strong>. B\u00ean c\u1ea1nh \u0111\u00f3, ch\u00ednh quy\u1ec1n \u0111\u1ecba ph\u01b0\u01a1ng, nh\u1eefng ng\u01b0\u1eddi ch\u1ecbu tr\u00e1ch nhi\u1ec7m cho ph\u1ea7n l\u1edbn chi ti\u00eau x\u00e3 h\u1ed9i, hi\u1ec7n \u0111ang ch\u1ecbu \u00e1p l\u1ef1c t\u00e0i kh\u00f3a \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Vi\u1ec7c th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng h\u1ed9 gia \u0111\u00ecnh c\u0169ng ti\u1ec1m \u1ea9n nh\u1eefng v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 nh\u1ea1y c\u1ea3m v\u1ec1 ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb. Suy cho c\u00f9ng, t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng b\u1ec1n v\u1eefng \u0111\u1ed3ng ngh\u0129a v\u1edbi vi\u1ec7c h\u1ed9 gia \u0111\u00ecnh ph\u1ea3i chi\u1ebfm t\u1ef7 tr\u1ecdng l\u1edbn h\u01a1n trong thu nh\u1eadp qu\u1ed1c gia, ti\u1ec1n l\u01b0\u01a1ng lao \u0111\u1ed9ng ph\u1ea3i cao h\u01a1n, v\u00e0 quy\u1ec1n l\u1ef1c gi\u1eefa nh\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc, doanh nghi\u1ec7p, c\u00f9ng ng\u01b0\u1eddi lao \u0111\u1ed9ng ph\u1ea3i \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u00e1i c\u00e2n b\u1eb1ng. <\/mark><\/strong>Th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n s\u1ef1 chuy\u1ec3n \u0111\u1ed5i n\u00e0y \u0111\u00f2i h\u1ecfi h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng ph\u1ea3i ch\u1ee9ng minh kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng trao quy\u1ec1n cho c\u00e1c doanh nghi\u1ec7p t\u01b0 nh\u00e2n v\u00e0 h\u1ed9 gia \u0111\u00ecnh m\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng g\u00e2y ra b\u1ea5t \u1ed5n v\u1ec1 m\u1eb7t th\u1ec3 ch\u1ebf ho\u1eb7c nh\u1eefng v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 nh\u1ea1y c\u1ea3m v\u1ec1 ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb. M\u1ed9t khu v\u1ef1c h\u1ed9 gia \u0111\u00ecnh \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c trao quy\u1ec1n \u0111\u1ed3ng ngh\u0129a v\u1edbi quy\u1ec1n t\u1ef1 ch\u1ee7 l\u1edbn h\u01a1n, theo \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0m gi\u1ea3m b\u1edbt \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng v\u00e0 quy\u1ec1n l\u1ef1c c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ea3ng-nh\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc. <\/strong>Nh\u1eefng \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c n\u00e0y gi\u00fap gi\u1ea3i th\u00edch t\u1ea1i sao chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1ea7u n\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ecba c\u1ee7a H\u1ed9i ngh\u1ecb C\u00f4ng t\u00e1c Kinh t\u1ebf Trung \u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u1ecbnh h\u00ecnh th\u00f4ng qua \u201c\u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0\u201d thay v\u00ec chuy\u1ec3n ti\u1ec1n tr\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp cho h\u1ed9 gia \u0111\u00ecnh. Vi\u1ec7c nh\u1ea5n m\u1ea1nh \u201c\u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 v\u00e0o con ng\u01b0\u1eddi\u201d th\u00f4ng qua m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng c\u00e1c d\u1ecbch v\u1ee5, gi\u00e1o d\u1ee5c, v\u00e0 c\u01a1 s\u1edf h\u1ea1 t\u1ea7ng ch\u0103m s\u00f3c s\u1ee9c kh\u1ecfe gi\u00fap ch\u01b0\u01a1ng tr\u00ecnh ngh\u1ecb s\u1ef1 li\u00ean quan \u0111\u1ebfn ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng g\u1ea7n g\u0169i h\u01a1n v\u1edbi ph\u00eda cung, \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u1ecbnh h\u00ecnh theo h\u01b0\u1edbng th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y n\u0103ng su\u1ea5t v\u00e0 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng h\u01a1n l\u00e0 t\u00e1i ph\u00e2n ph\u1ed1i. C\u00e1ch ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn n\u00e0y ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p h\u01a1n v\u1edbi c\u00e1c m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch hi\u1ec7n h\u00e0nh.<\/p>\n\n\n

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D\u00f9 c\u00f2n nhi\u1ec1u h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf, b\u00e1o c\u00e1o H\u1ed9i ngh\u1ecb C\u00f4ng t\u00e1c Kinh t\u1ebf Trung \u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u00e3 ch\u1ec9 ra s\u1ef1 thay \u0111\u1ed5i trong c\u00e1ch ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn c\u1ea7u c\u1ee7a gi\u1edbi l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o. Ng\u00f4n ng\u1eef ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y cho th\u1ea5y s\u1ef1 hi\u1ec3u bi\u1ebft r\u00f5 h\u01a1n v\u1ec1 c\u00e1c y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng y\u1ebfu v\u00e0 m\u1ed9t khu\u00f4n kh\u1ed5 m\u1ea1ch l\u1ea1c h\u01a1n \u0111\u1ec3 t\u0103ng c\u01b0\u1eddng c\u1ea3 c\u1ea7u v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 theo th\u1eddi gian. Vi\u1ec7c t\u1eadp trung v\u00e0o d\u1ecbch v\u1ee5 l\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng sai. Ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng d\u1ecbch v\u1ee5 hi\u1ec7n chi\u1ebfm g\u1ea7n m\u1ed9t n\u1eeda chi ti\u00eau h\u1ed9 gia \u0111\u00ecnh, v\u00e0 nhu c\u1ea7u v\u1ec1 ch\u0103m s\u00f3c s\u1ee9c kh\u1ecfe, ch\u0103m s\u00f3c ng\u01b0\u1eddi gi\u00e0 v\u00e0 tr\u1ebb em, c\u0169ng nh\u01b0 gi\u00e1o d\u1ee5c \u0111ang t\u0103ng nhanh khi d\u00e2n s\u1ed1 gi\u00e0 \u0111i. Tuy nhi\u00ean, d\u1ecbch v\u1ee5 l\u1ea1i ch\u00ednh l\u00e0 l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c m\u00e0 c\u00e1c h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf v\u1ec1 ngu\u1ed3n cung v\u00e0 r\u00e0o c\u1ea3n ph\u00e1p l\u00fd g\u00e2y ra nhi\u1ec1u kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n nh\u1ea5t.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

T\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng thu nh\u1eadp v\u00e0 thu h\u1eb9p kho\u1ea3ng c\u00e1ch b\u1ea3o hi\u1ec3m trong n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf vi\u1ec7c l\u00e0m t\u1ef1 do ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh nh\u1eadn th\u1ee9c r\u1eb1ng s\u1ef1 suy y\u1ebfu c\u1ee7a ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng b\u1eaft ngu\u1ed3n t\u1eeb \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng lao \u0111\u1ed9ng. C\u00e1c bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p k\u00edch th\u00edch \u0111\u01a1n l\u1ebb s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 nhi\u1ec1u t\u00e1c d\u1ee5ng thay \u0111\u1ed5i h\u00e0nh vi h\u1ed9 gia \u0111\u00ecnh n\u1ebfu k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng v\u1ec1 thu nh\u1eadp v\u1eabn y\u1ebfu v\u00e0 t\u00e2m l\u00fd kinh t\u1ebf v\u0129 m\u00f4 ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng x\u1ea5u \u0111i. Vi\u1ec7c l\u00e0m \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh, c\u1ea3i thi\u1ec7n kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn gi\u00e1o d\u1ee5c v\u00e0 c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i vi\u1ec7c l\u00e0m, c\u00f9ng v\u1edbi c\u00e1c h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng an sinh x\u00e3 h\u1ed9i v\u1eefng m\u1ea1nh h\u01a1n \u0111\u1ec1u nh\u1eb1m m\u1ee5c \u0111\u00edch gi\u1ea3m b\u1edbt b\u1ea5t \u1ed5n v\u00e0 khuy\u1ebfn kh\u00edch chi ti\u00eau t\u0103ng d\u1ea7n theo th\u1eddi gian.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nh\u01b0ng ch\u00ednh s\u1ef1 \u201cd\u1ea7n d\u1ea7n\u201d \u0111\u00f3 l\u1ea1i l\u00e0 r\u1ee7i ro. Ni\u1ec1m tin d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean thu nh\u1eadp c\u1ea7n th\u1eddi gian \u0111\u1ec3 x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng, trong khi c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u01a1 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng truy\u1ec1n th\u1ed1ng th\u00ec \u0111\u00e3 suy y\u1ebfu r\u1ed3i.<\/strong> C\u1ea7u y\u1ebfu k\u00e9o d\u00e0i c\u00f3 nguy c\u01a1 l\u00e0m tr\u1ea7m tr\u1ecdng th\u00eam v\u00f2ng xo\u00e1y gi\u1ea3m ph\u00e1t, l\u00e0m n\u1ea3n l\u00f2ng \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 v\u00e0 tuy\u1ec3n d\u1ee5ng t\u01b0 nh\u00e2n, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi gieo r\u1eafc nh\u1eefng k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng bi quan. N\u1ebfu ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng v\u1eabn \u1ea3m \u0111\u1ea1m trong khi n\u0103ng l\u1ef1c cung ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng, s\u1ef1 m\u1ea5t c\u00e2n b\u1eb1ng n\u00e0y c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 tr\u1edf n\u00ean t\u1ed3i t\u1ec7 h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ngo\u00e0i ra c\u00f2n c\u00f3 r\u1ee7i ro \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 trong kh\u00e2u tri\u1ec3n khai. Nhi\u1ec1u ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch li\u00ean quan \u0111\u1ebfn \u201c\u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 v\u00e0o con ng\u01b0\u1eddi\u201d ph\u1ee5 thu\u1ed9c v\u00e0o c\u00e1c ch\u00ednh quy\u1ec1n \u0111\u1ecba ph\u01b0\u01a1ng, n\u01a1i \u0111ang ph\u1ea3i \u0111\u1ed1i m\u1eb7t v\u1edbi ng\u00e2n s\u00e1ch eo h\u1eb9p v\u00e0 h\u00e0ng lo\u1ea1t \u01b0u ti\u00ean ch\u1ed3ng ch\u00e9o. M\u1edf r\u1ed9ng n\u0103ng l\u1ef1c gi\u00e1o d\u1ee5c v\u00e0 ch\u0103m s\u00f3c s\u1ee9c kh\u1ecfe, c\u1ea3i thi\u1ec7n ch\u1ea5t l\u01b0\u1ee3ng d\u1ecbch v\u1ee5 v\u00e0 \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh vi\u1ec7c l\u00e0m \u0111\u1ec1u \u0111\u00f2i h\u1ecfi ngu\u1ed3n v\u1ed1n b\u1ec1n v\u1eefng v\u00e0 cam k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd \u1edf c\u1ea5p \u0111\u1ecba ph\u01b0\u01a1ng.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Trong l\u1ecbch s\u1eed, c\u00e1c ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch khuy\u1ebfn kh\u00edch \u0111\u1ecba ph\u01b0\u01a1ng th\u01b0\u1eddng \u01b0u ti\u00ean s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0, nh\u1eefng \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng d\u1ec5 th\u1ea5y v\u00e0 d\u1ec5 \u201cghi \u0111i\u1ec3m\u201d nh\u1ea5t v\u1ec1 m\u1eb7t ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb \u2013 th\u01b0\u1eddng th\u00f4ng qua kinh doanh \u0111\u1ea5t \u0111ai v\u00e0 x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng c\u00e1c d\u1ef1 \u00e1n c\u01a1 s\u1edf h\u1ea1 t\u1ea7ng. Gi\u1edd \u0111\u00e2y, khi doanh thu t\u1eeb \u0111\u1ea5t gi\u1ea3m \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 v\u00e0 c\u00e1c r\u00e0ng bu\u1ed9c v\u1ec1 n\u1ee3 b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u si\u1ebft ch\u1eb7t, ch\u00ednh quy\u1ec1n \u0111\u1ecba ph\u01b0\u01a1ng v\u1eeba thi\u1ebfu thi\u1ec7n ch\u00ed, v\u1eeba thi\u1ebfu kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng trong vi\u1ec7c t\u00e0i tr\u1ee3 cho ch\u01b0\u01a1ng tr\u00ecnh \u201c\u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 v\u00e0o con ng\u01b0\u1eddi\u201d m\u00e0 B\u1eafc Kinh \u0111ang k\u00eau g\u1ecdi.<\/mark><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u0110\u00e1ng ch\u00fa \u00fd, trong b\u00e0i ph\u00e1t bi\u1ec3u ch\u00ednh th\u1ee9c t\u1ea1i H\u1ed9i ngh\u1ecb C\u00f4ng t\u00e1c Kinh t\u1ebf Trung \u01b0\u01a1ng, T\u1eadp \u0111\u00e3 c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng r\u1eb1ng nh\u1eefng th\u1ea5t b\u1ea1i trong vi\u1ec7c tri\u1ec3n khai \u1edf c\u1ea5p \u0111\u1ecba ph\u01b0\u01a1ng v\u00e0 c\u00e1c h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng khuy\u1ebfn kh\u00edch sai l\u1ec7ch \u0111\u00e3 tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh r\u00e0o c\u1ea3n l\u1edbn. \u00d4ng ch\u1ec9 tr\u00edch quan \u0111i\u1ec3m sai l\u1ea7m c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c quan ch\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ecba ph\u01b0\u01a1ng v\u1ec1 c\u00e1c ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3, d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn vi\u1ec7c h\u1ecd \u01b0u ti\u00ean nh\u1eefng \u201cth\u00e0nh t\u1ef1u\u201d ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n, d\u1ec5 th\u1ea5y, h\u01a1n l\u00e0 nh\u1eefng k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 l\u00e2u d\u00e0i, mang t\u00ednh n\u1ec1n t\u1ea3ng.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

T\u1eadp k\u00eau g\u1ecdi c\u00e1c quan ch\u1ee9c t\u1eeb b\u1ecf c\u00e1c m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau ch\u1ec9 t\u1eadp trung v\u00e0o GDP, h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf \u201cc\u00e1c d\u1ef1 \u00e1n l\u00e0m m\u00e0u,\u201d v\u00e0 chuy\u1ec3n sang \u00e1p d\u1ee5ng c\u00e1c h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3, ph\u00e2n h\u00f3a h\u01a1n \u0111\u1ec3 khen th\u01b0\u1edfng k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 th\u1ef1c ch\u1ea5t thay v\u00ec ch\u1ec9 ch\u00fa tr\u1ecdng v\u00e0o t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng tr\u00ean danh ngh\u0129a.<\/p>\n\n\n

\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

Tuy nhi\u00ean, vi\u1ec7c \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh c\u00e1c \u01b0u \u0111\u00e3i v\u1ec1 t\u00e0i kh\u00f3a v\u00e0 ngh\u1ec1 nghi\u1ec7p sao cho c\u00f3 l\u1ee3i cho ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng v\u00e0 d\u1ecbch v\u1ee5 \u0111\u00f2i h\u1ecfi nh\u1eefng c\u1ea3i c\u00e1ch s\u00e2u r\u1ed9ng h\u01a1n, bao g\u1ed3m vi\u1ec7c t\u00e1i c\u00e2n b\u1eb1ng h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng t\u00e0i kh\u00f3a h\u01b0\u1edbng v\u1ec1 ch\u00ednh quy\u1ec1n \u0111\u1ecba ph\u01b0\u01a1ng v\u00e0 chuy\u1ec3n d\u1ecbch c\u01a1 s\u1edf thu\u1ebf kh\u1ecfi l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t, v\u1ed1n l\u00e0 nh\u1eefng c\u1ea3i c\u00e1ch kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

C\u00e2u h\u1ecfi h\u00f3c b\u00faa nh\u1ea5t l\u00e0 li\u1ec7u s\u1ef1 chuy\u1ec3n h\u01b0\u1edbng n\u00e0y c\u00f3 g\u00e2y ra h\u1eadu qu\u1ea3 ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb hay kh\u00f4ng. Th\u1eadt sai l\u1ea7m khi cho r\u1eb1ng vi\u1ec7c trao quy\u1ec1n cho h\u1ed9 gia \u0111\u00ecnh s\u1ebd \u0111e d\u1ecda s\u1ef1 \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ea3ng-nh\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc. R\u1ee7i ro ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 kh\u00f4ng n\u1eb1m \u1edf vi\u1ec7c ng\u01b0\u1eddi d\u00e2n ti\u00eau ti\u1ec1n nhi\u1ec1u h\u01a1n, m\u00e0 n\u1eb1m \u1edf vi\u1ec7c h\u1ecd lu\u00f4n c\u1ea3m th\u1ea5y b\u1ea5t an. Bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng kinh t\u1ebf \u2013 chi ph\u00ed ch\u0103m s\u00f3c s\u1ee9c kh\u1ecfe v\u00e0 gi\u00e1o d\u1ee5c kh\u00f3 \u0111o\u00e1n, tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng vi\u1ec7c l\u00e0m b\u1ea5p b\u00eanh, v\u00e0 m\u1ea1ng l\u01b0\u1edbi an sinh y\u1ebfu k\u00e9m \u2013 t\u1ea1o ra ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c lo\u1ea1i lo l\u1eafng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0m suy y\u1ebfu uy t\u00edn ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ea3ng-nh\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Do \u0111\u00f3, vi\u1ec7c chuy\u1ec3n h\u01b0\u1edbng sang c\u1ea7u n\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ecba kh\u00f4ng c\u00f2n l\u00e0 s\u1ef1 l\u1ef1a ch\u1ecdn m\u00e0 l\u00e0 m\u1ec7nh l\u1ec7nh c\u1ea5p thi\u1ebft. Quan ng\u1ea1i n\u1eb1m \u1edf ch\u1ed7 khung th\u1eddi gian m\u00e0 B\u1eafc Kinh \u0111\u1eb7t ra c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 qu\u00e1 d\u00e0i. Hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i, B\u1eafc Kinh d\u01b0\u1eddng nh\u01b0 h\u00e0i l\u00f2ng v\u1edbi vi\u1ec7c \u201c\u00e1n binh b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng\u201d \u2013 t\u1eebng b\u01b0\u1edbc th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y c\u1ea3i c\u00e1ch c\u1ea7u n\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ecba, trong khi d\u1ef1a v\u00e0o nh\u1eefng th\u1ebf m\u1ea1nh c\u00f2n l\u1ea1i trong c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p v\u00e0 th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i \u0111\u1ec3 \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng<\/mark><\/strong>. Chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u00f3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 gi\u00fap k\u00e9o d\u00e0i th\u1eddi gian v\u00e0 tr\u00ec ho\u00e3n nh\u1eefng l\u1ef1a ch\u1ecdn kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n. Nh\u01b0ng n\u1ebfu c\u1ea7u y\u1ebfu k\u00e9o d\u00e0i trong khi cung ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng, \u00e1p l\u1ef1c gi\u1ea3m ph\u00e1t, bi\u00ean l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn thu h\u1eb9p, v\u00e0 c\u1ea1nh tranh n\u1ed9i quy\u1ec3n s\u1ebd gia t\u0103ng \u2013 l\u00e0m suy y\u1ebfu t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng vi\u1ec7c l\u00e0m v\u00e0 ti\u1ec1n l\u01b0\u01a1ng, v\u1ed1n l\u00e0 n\u1ec1n t\u1ea3ng c\u1ee7a ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng b\u1ec1n v\u1eefng. N\u1ebfu c\u1ea7u n\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ecba kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch nhanh ch\u00f3ng v\u00e0 \u0111\u00e1ng tin c\u1eady h\u01a1n, chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c n\u00e0y c\u00f3 nguy c\u01a1 ph\u1ea3n t\u00e1c d\u1ee5ng: c\u1ed1 g\u1eafng k\u00edch c\u1ea7u trong khi ngu\u1ed3n g\u1ed1c g\u00e2y ra s\u1ef1 b\u1ea5t an cho ng\u01b0\u1eddi d\u00e2n v\u1eabn ch\u01b0a \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c gi\u1ea3i quy\u1ebft tri\u1ec7t \u0111\u1ec3<\/strong>. Hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i, v\u1eabn ch\u01b0a c\u00f3 k\u1ebft lu\u1eadn cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng. V\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c nh\u1eadn th\u1ee9c r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng h\u01a1n, nh\u01b0ng c\u1ea7u n\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ecba v\u1eabn \u0111ang \u1edf trong t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng b\u1ea5p b\u00eanh gi\u1eefa kh\u00e1t v\u1ecdng v\u00e0 h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf. C\u00e2u h\u1ecfi kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i l\u00e0 li\u1ec7u Trung Qu\u1ed1c c\u00f3 c\u1ea7n c\u1ea7u n\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ecba hay kh\u00f4ng, m\u00e0 l\u00e0 li\u1ec7u n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb c\u1ee7a n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u00e1p \u1ee9ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00f3 k\u1ecbp th\u1eddi hay kh\u00f4ng.<\/mark><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Lizzi C. Lee <\/strong>
ghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u vi\u00ean v\u1ec1 kinh t\u1ebf Trung Qu\u1ed1c t\u1ea1i Trung t\u00e2m Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch Trung Qu\u1ed1c thu\u1ed9c Vi\u1ec7n Ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch X\u00e3 h\u1ed9i Ch\u00e2u \u00c1.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Jing Qian <\/strong>
\u0110\u1ed3ng s\u00e1ng l\u1eadp ki\u00eam gi\u00e1m \u0111\u1ed1c \u0111i\u1ec1u h\u00e0nh c\u1ee7a Trung t\u00e2m Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch Trung Qu\u1ed1c thu\u1ed9c Vi\u1ec7n Ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch X\u00e3 h\u1ed9i Ch\u00e2u \u00c1.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Huiyan Li <\/strong>
H\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u cho b\u00e0i vi\u1ebft n\u00e0y.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ngu\u1ed3n tr\u00edch: Nghi\u00ean C\u1ee9u Qu\u1ed1c T\u1ebf<\/strong>
https:\/\/nghiencuuquocte.org\/2026\/01\/15\/lieu-tap-co-the-khien-nguoi-trung-quoc-chi-tieu-nhieu-hon\/#more-65239<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u1ea2nh minh ho\u1ea1: V\u1eadn H\u1ed9i M\u1edbi<\/strong><\/p>\n

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Ngu\u1ed3n:\u00a0Lizzi C. Lee, \u201cCan Xi Jinping Make China Spend?,\u201d\u00a0Foreign Policy,\u00a008\/01\/2026 Bi\u00ean d\u1ecbch: Nguy\u1ec5n Th\u1ecb Kim Ph\u1ee5ng C\u00e1c l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o bi\u1ebft r\u1eb1ng c\u1ea7u n\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ecba y\u1ebfu l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1, nh\u01b0ng h\u1ecd c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 \u0111\u1ee7 c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 \u0111\u1ec3 kh\u1eafc ph\u1ee5c n\u00f3. \u201cNhi\u1ec7m v\u1ee5 s\u1ed1 m\u1ed9t trong c\u00f4ng t\u00e1c kinh t\u1ebf\u0111\u1ecdc ti\u1ebfp…<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":23327,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[7,8,12,9,53],"tags":[165,118,212,82,765,98],"class_list":["entry","author-ntviet","post-27497","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-binhluan","category-chinhtri-xahoi","category-chuyenmuc","category-kinhte","category-kinhte-chinhtri","tag-binh-luan","tag-chinh-tri","tag-chuyen-de","tag-kinh-te","tag-kinh-te-suy-thoai","tag-trung-cong"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/27497","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=27497"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/27497\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":27512,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/27497\/revisions\/27512"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=27497"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=27497"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=27497"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}