{"id":28121,"date":"2026-03-19T04:24:04","date_gmt":"2026-03-19T04:24:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/?p=28121"},"modified":"2026-03-19T04:24:06","modified_gmt":"2026-03-19T04:24:06","slug":"ba-dinh-doi-gdp-tren-10-muc-tieu-doi-da-va-troi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/?p=28121","title":{"rendered":"Ba-\u0110\u00ecnh \u0111\u00f2i GDP tr\u00ean 10%, m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau \u201c\u0111\u1ed9i \u0111\u00e1 v\u00e1 tr\u1eddi\u201d<\/strong>
Tr\u1ea7n nguy\u00ean Thao<\/span>"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Vi\u1ec7t Nam l\u00e2m v\u00e0o t\u00ecnh hu\u1ed1ng \u201cng\u01b0\u1ee3c xu\u00f4i\u201d t\u00ecm ngu\u1ed3n cung tr\u00ean 30% th\u00e0nh ph\u1ea9m d\u1ea7u m\u1ecfcho nhu c\u1ea7u ch\u1ebfxu\u1ea5t gi\u1eefa t\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh kinh t\u1ebf to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u ch\u1ecbu h\u1eadu qu\u1ea3 \u0111\u1ed1i thay mau ch\u00f3ng c\u1ee7a cu\u1ed9c di\u1ec7n th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi l\u00e0 b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh \u0111\u00e8 n\u1eb7ng tr\u00ean m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng GDP tr\u00ean 10% n\u0103m 2026 c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7t Nam.<\/mark><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

T\u1ed5ng B\u00ed th\u01b0 T\u00f4 L\u00e2m ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c th\u00fac gi\u1ee5c gu\u1ed3ng m\u00e1y kinh t\u1ebf ch\u1ec9 huy \u201cnh\u1eafm th\u1eb3ng v\u00e0o \u0111\u00edch\u201d, kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ch\u1ea7n ch\u1eeb hay \u201cb\u00f9i lan = b\u00e0n lui\u201d, nh\u1eb1m \u0111\u1ea1t m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng GDP tr\u00ean 10% ngay trong n\u0103m 2026, k\u00e9o thu nh\u1eadp b\u00ecnh qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ea7u ng\u01b0\u1eddi l\u00ean m\u1ee9c 5.400 \u2013 5.500 M\u1ef9 kim. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 th\u00f4ng \u0111i\u1ec7p mang t\u00ednh huy \u0111\u1ed9ng ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd, th\u1ec3 hi\u1ec7n quy\u1ebft t\u00e2m \u0111\u1eb7t ra nh\u1eefng ch\u1ec9 ti\u00eau v\u01b0\u1ee3t xa qu\u1ef9 \u0111\u1ea1o t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng th\u00f4ng th\u01b0\u1eddng.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Tuy nhi\u00ean, c\u00e1c t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf l\u1ea1i \u0111\u01b0a ra m\u1ed9t b\u1ee9c tranh th\u1eadn tr\u1ecdng h\u01a1n. Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o kinh t\u1ebf Vi\u1ec7t Nam n\u0103m 2026 ch\u1ec9 t\u0103ng kho\u1ea3ng 6,3%, v\u00e0 6,7% v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2027 – t\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 so v\u1edbi m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau m\u00e0 Ba-\u0110\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ec1 ra. Kho\u1ea3ng c\u00e1ch gi\u1eefa k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb v\u00e0 d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o kinh t\u1ebf n\u00e0y cho th\u1ea5y th\u00e1ch th\u1ee9c l\u1edbn v\u1ec1 n\u0103ng su\u1ea5t, \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0, c\u1ea3i c\u00e1ch th\u1ec3 ch\u1ebf v\u00e0 s\u1ee9c ch\u1ed1ng ch\u1ecbu c\u1ee7a n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh m\u00f4i tr\u01b0\u1eddng to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u \u0111ang l\u00e2m c\u01a1n b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ecbnh.<\/p>\n\n\n

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Tr\u00ean th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf, c\u00e1c t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c x\u1ebfp h\u1ea1ng t\u00edn nhi\u1ec7m qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf \u2013 trong \u0111\u00f3 c\u00f3 Fitch \u2013 \u0111\u00e3 c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o t\u1eeb cu\u1ed1i th\u00e1ng Gi\u00eang r\u1eb1ng vi\u1ec7c ch\u1ea1y theo t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng b\u1eb1ng m\u1ecdi gi\u00e1 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 g\u00e2y r\u1ee7i ro cho s\u1ef1 \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u1ee7a h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7.<\/strong> [1]<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

T\u1eeb n\u0103m 2017, Vi\u1ec7t Nam \u0111\u00e3 chuy\u1ec3n t\u1eeb xu\u1ea5t c\u1ea3ng d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 sang nh\u1eadp c\u1ea3ng \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u00e1p \u1ee9ng nhu c\u1ea7u ti\u00eau th\u1ee5 n\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ecba. Hi\u1ec7n Vi\u1ec7t Nam l\u00e0 qu\u1ed1c gia kh\u00f4ng tr\u00e1nh \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u201cr\u1ee7i ro\u201d, v\u00ec c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 thi\u00ean v\u1ec1 t\u00e1i ch\u1ebf xu\u1ea5t l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t ch\u00e2u \u00c1. Ngu\u1ed3n d\u1ea7u th\u00e0nh ph\u1ea9m c\u1ea7n cho s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t ph\u1ea3i nh\u1eadp c\u1ea3ng \u0111\u1ebfn tr\u00ean 30% t\u1eeb c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00f9ng V\u1ecbnh. Trong l\u00fac eo bi\u1ec3n Homuz b\u1ecb Iran \u0111\u1eb7t th\u1ee7y l\u00f4i, khi\u1ebfn c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng ty v\u1eadn t\u1ea3i \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng bi\u1ec3n l\u00e2m v\u00e0o t\u00ecnh th\u1ebf kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 b\u1ea3o hi\u1ec3m an to\u00e0n \u0111\u1ec3 chuy\u00ean ch\u1edf d\u1ea7u h\u1ecfa.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hi\u1ec7n t\u00ecnh t\u1ea1i eo bi\u1ec3n Hormuz \u0111\u1eb7t Vi\u1ec7t Nam tr\u01b0\u1edbc nhi\u1ec1u th\u00e1ch th\u1ee9c kinh t\u1ebf v\u00e0 th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i. Chi ph\u00ed s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t v\u00e0 v\u1eadn t\u1ea3i \u0111\u1ed9i gi\u00e1, bi\u00ean l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn m\u1ecfng \u0111i; c\u01b0\u1edbc v\u1eadn t\u1ea3i bi\u1ec3n \u0111i ch\u00e2u \u00c2u\/ch\u00e2u M\u1ef9 t\u0103ng \u0111\u1ed9t bi\u1ebfn; th\u1eddi gian giao h\u00e0ng ch\u1eadm tr\u1ec5. . . \u1ea2nh h\u01b0\u1edfng lan r\u1ed9ng trong d\u00e2n sinh v\u00e0 c\u00e1c ng\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p quan tr\u1ecdng. Ho\u00e0n c\u1ea3nh m\u1edbi n\u00e0y \u0111\u00f2i h\u1ecfi csVN ph\u1ea3i c\u00f3 gi\u1ea3i ph\u00e1p th\u00edch h\u1ee3p hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3. Bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi \u0111\u1ebfn qu\u00e1 nhanh, tr\u1edf tay kh\u00f4ng k\u1ecbp l\u00e0m gi\u1ea3m t\u00ednh c\u1ea1nh tranh c\u1ee7a h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a Vi\u1ec7t Nam t\u1ea1i c\u00e1c th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng tr\u1ecdng \u0111i\u1ec3m g\u1ed3m c\u1ea3 Hoa K\u1ef3 v\u00e0 Li\u00ean Hi\u1ec7p Ch\u00e2u \u00c2u. N\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u x\u1ea5u \u0111i s\u1ebd \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng l\u1edbn \u0111\u1ebfn m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng GDP 10%, do kinh t\u1ebf Vi\u1ec7t Nam d\u1ef1a v\u00e0o xu\u1ea5t c\u1ea3ng \u0111\u1ebfn 74% qua c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng ty c\u00f3 100% v\u1ed1n \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 ngo\u1ea1i qu\u1ed1c Foreign Direct Investment (FDI).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Khi chu\u1ed7i cung \u1ee9ng to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u b\u1ecb gi\u00e1n \u0111o\u1ea1n, th\u00ec nhi\u00ean li\u1ec7u t\u1ea1i Vi\u1ec7t Nam c\u0169ng khan hi\u1ebfm, gi\u00e1 c\u1ea3 \u201cnh\u1ea3y m\u00faa\u201d ch\u00f3ng m\u1eb7t t\u1eeb cu\u1ed1i th\u00e1ng tr\u01b0\u1edbc. S\u1ed1 li\u1ec7u c\u1ee7a Petrolimex cho th\u1ea5y: x\u0103ng t\u0103ng kho\u1ea3ng 32%, d\u1ea7u diesel nh\u1ea3y v\u1ecdt 56%, c\u00f2n d\u1ea7u h\u1ecfa th\u00ec\u2026 l\u1eadp k\u1ef7 l\u1ee5c v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c t\u0103ng g\u1ea7n 80%. Ngay t\u1ea1i c\u00e1c qu\u1eadn xung quanh Ba-\u0110\u00ecnh \u2013 n\u01a1i \u0111\u1ea7u n\u00e3o c\u1ee7a ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9, nhi\u1ec1u h\u00e0ng d\u00e0i xe h\u01a1i v\u00e0 xe m\u00e1y x\u1ebfp h\u00e0ng tr\u01b0\u1edbc c\u00e1c tr\u1ea1m x\u0103ng, ai n\u1ea5y \u0111\u1ec1u th\u1ea5p th\u1ecfm kh\u00f4ng bi\u1ebft \u0111\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3t m\u00ecnh gi\u00e1 s\u1ebd c\u00f2n \u201cnh\u1ea3y\u201d th\u00eam bao nhi\u00eau n\u1ea5c thang n\u1eefa!<\/p>\n\n\n

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Khi gi\u00e1 nhi\u00ean li\u1ec7u t\u0103ng cao v\u00e0 khan hi\u1ebfm, s\u1ebd \u0111\u1ea9y nhi\u1ec1u m\u1eb7t h\u00e0ng nh\u1eadp c\u1ea3ng t\u0103ng theo. T\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng n\u00e0y khi\u1ebfn cho Qu\u1ef9 An To\u00e0n Ngo\u1ea1i H\u1ed1i c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7t Nam t\u1eebng ch\u1ec9 \u0111\u1ee7 nh\u1eadp c\u1ea3ng cho tr\u00ean 2 th\u00e1ng; nay c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 r\u01a1i xu\u1ed1ng m\u1ee9c \u201cb\u00e1o \u0111\u1ed9ng\u201d khi t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 \u0111\u1ed3ng M\u1ef9 kim t\u1ea1i th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u1ecd \u0111en v\u01b0\u1ee3t m\u1ee9c ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t, th\u00ec Nh\u00e2n H\u00e0ng Nh\u00e0 N\u01b0\u1edbc (NHNN) kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ee7 ti\u1ec1n m\u1eb7t b\u00e1n ra \u0111\u1ec3 c\u00e2n b\u1eb1ng t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1. \u0110\u1ed3ng b\u1ea1c Xanh t\u1ea1i th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng t\u1ef1 do \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c b\u00e1o C\u00f4ng Th\u01b0\u01a1ng x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn h\u00f4m 17 th\u00e1ng Ba, m\u1ed7i M\u1ef9 kim b\u00e1n ra l\u00ean \u0111\u1ebfn 27.112 \u0111\u1ed3ng. [2]<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

T\u00ednh theo t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 tr\u00ean th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng t\u1ef1 do, t\u1eeb \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m 2024 \u0111\u1ebfn c\u00f9ng k\u1ef3 2026, \u0111\u1ed3ng b\u1ea1c Vi\u1ec7t Nam m\u1ea5t gi\u00e1 tr\u00ean 13% so v\u1edbi M\u1ef9 kim. Nh\u01b0ng theo gi\u00e1 ch\u00ednh th\u1ee9c th\u00ec \u0111\u1ed3ng Vi\u1ec7t Nam ch\u1ec9 m\u1ea5t gi\u00e1 tr\u00ean 5% c\u00f9ng k\u1ef3. \u0110\u00e2y ch\u00ednh l\u00e0 l\u00fd do d\u1ec5 d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 v\u00e0 l\u00e0m cho gi\u00e1 c\u1ea3 leo thang.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 l\u00fac NHNN ph\u1ea3i ch\u1ee7 \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 ph\u00f2ng v\u1ec7 t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1, gi\u1eef cho \u0111\u1ed3ng b\u1ea1c Vi\u1ec7t Nam kh\u00f4ng m\u1ea5t gi\u00e1 h\u01a1n n\u1eefa, ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t t\u1ed3n kho ch\u1eb7t ch\u1ebd v\u00e0 t\u00e1i c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac d\u00f2ng ti\u1ec1n s\u1ebd l\u00e0 b\u1ed9 \u0111\u1ec7m sinh t\u1eed gi\u00fap doanh nghi\u1ec7p v\u00e0 ng\u01b0\u1eddi d\u00e2n gi\u1ea3m thi\u1ec3u thi\u1ec7t h\u1ea1i, b\u1ea3o to\u00e0n ngu\u1ed3n l\u1ef1c v\u01b0\u1ee3t qua \u201cc\u01a1n kh\u1ed1n kh\u00f3\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

B\u1ed9 C\u00f4ng Th\u01b0\u01a1ng ph\u00e2n bua r\u1eb1ng, Vi\u1ec7t Nam \u0111ang ch\u1ecbu t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng m\u1ea1nh v\u00ec ph\u1ee5 thu\u1ed9c l\u1edbn v\u00e0o ngu\u1ed3n cung n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng t\u1eeb Trung \u0110\u00f4ng. Do v\u1eady, c\u01a1 ch\u1ebf n\u00e0y d\u1eabn d\u1ee5 ng\u01b0\u1eddi d\u00e2n \u201ct\u1eadn d\u1ee5ng l\u00e0m vi\u1ec7c t\u1ea1i nh\u00e0 khi c\u00f3 th\u1ec3\u201d \u0111\u1ec3 gi\u1ea3m t\u1eafc ngh\u1ebdn \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng ph\u1ed1 \u2013 v\u1edbi l\u1eddi nh\u1eafc kh\u00e9o r\u1eb1ng ti\u1ebft ki\u1ec7m nhi\u00ean li\u1ec7u l\u00fac n\u00e0y l\u00e0m gi\u1ea3m \u00e1p l\u1ef1c l\u00ean ngu\u1ed3n cung v\u00e0 gi\u00fap t\u00fai ti\u1ec1n th\u00eam r\u1ee7ng r\u1ec9nh.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Vi\u1ec7t Nam c\u00f3 hai nh\u00e0 m\u00e1y l\u1ecdc d\u1ea7u l\u00e0 Nghi S\u01a1n v\u00e0 Dung Qu\u1ea5t v\u1ec1 c\u0103n b\u1ea3n ngu\u1ed3n d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 kh\u00f4ng b\u1ecb \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng tr\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ee7 nguy\u00ean li\u1ec7u d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ebfn h\u1ebft th\u00e1ng 4 n\u0103m 2026; Nh\u00e0 m\u00e1y L\u1ecdc h\u00f3a d\u1ea7u Nghi S\u01a1n, ngu\u1ed3n d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 c\u00f3 r\u1ee7i ro do ph\u1ee5 thu\u1ed9c ngu\u1ed3n d\u1ea7u t\u1eeb Kuwait, song hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i, l\u01b0\u1ee3ng t\u1ed3n kho v\u00e0 c\u00e1c l\u00f4 h\u00e0ng \u0111\u00e3 v\u1eadn chuy\u1ec3n c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 duy tr\u00ec s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t trong ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n.<\/p>\n\n\n

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Vi\u1ec7t Nam hi\u1ec7n s\u1edf h\u1eefu tr\u1eef l\u01b0\u1ee3ng d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 \u01b0\u1edbc t\u00ednh tr\u00ean 4 t\u1ef7 th\u00f9ng<\/strong>, t\u1eadp trung ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu t\u1ea1i hai b\u1ed3n tr\u0169ng C\u1eedu Long<\/strong> v\u00e0 Nam C\u00f4n S\u01a1n<\/strong>. M\u1ecf B\u1ea1ch H\u1ed5<\/strong> \u2013 bi\u1ec3u t\u01b0\u1ee3ng c\u1ee7a ng\u00e0nh d\u1ea7u kh\u00ed t\u1eeb khi \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c khai th\u00e1c n\u0103m 1975 – t\u1eebng l\u00e0 \u201cd\u00f2ng s\u1eefa\u201d nu\u00f4i tham quan chia ch\u00e1c, nh\u01b0ng sau h\u01a1n ba th\u1eadp ni\u00ean khai th\u00e1c, s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u0111\u00e3 suy gi\u1ea3m \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3. C\u00e1c m\u1ecf m\u1edbi \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ph\u00e1t hi\u1ec7n trong khu v\u1ef1c tuy c\u00f3 ti\u1ec1m n\u0103ng, nh\u01b0ng kh\u00f4ng m\u1ecf n\u00e0o \u0111\u1ea1t m\u1ee9c d\u1ed3i d\u00e0o nh\u01b0 mong \u0111\u1ee3i, khi\u1ebfn t\u1ed5ng s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng khai th\u00e1c hi\u1ec7n ch\u1ec9 quanh 200.000 th\u00f9ng m\u1ed7i ng\u00e0y<\/strong>, th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n nhu c\u1ea7u ti\u00eau th\u1ee5 n\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ecba \u0111ang t\u0103ng nhanh.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Vi\u1ec7c thi\u1ebfu d\u1ea7u h\u1ecfa n\u1ebfu kh\u00f4ng thu x\u1ebfp k\u1ecbp th\u1eddi s\u1ebd t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng tr\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp v\u00e0 ti\u00eau c\u1ef1c \u0111\u1ebfn t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng GDP c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7t Nam th\u00f4ng qua nhi\u1ec1u k\u00eanh: t\u0103ng chi ph\u00ed s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t, \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t, l\u00e0m ch\u1eadm s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng c\u00e1c ng\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p, v\u1eadn t\u1ea3i v\u00e0 logistics. C\u00e1c ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch linh ho\u1ea1t v\u1ec1 gi\u00e1, ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t ngu\u1ed3n cung v\u00e0 \u0111a d\u1ea1ng h\u00f3a n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng l\u00e0 c\u1ea7n thi\u1ebft \u0111\u1ec3 gi\u1ea3m thi\u1ec3u r\u1ee7i ro cho t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng GDP.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Theo s\u1ed1 li\u1ec7u qu\u00fd I\/2024, c\u1ea3 n\u01b0\u1edbc c\u00f2n x\u1ea5p x\u1ec9 38 tri\u1ec7u lao \u0111\u1ed9ng ch\u01b0a c\u00f3 tay ngh\u1ec1, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t trong c\u00e1c ng\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 cao, d\u1ecbch v\u1ee5 s\u1ed1, d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn kho\u1ea3ng c\u00e1ch gi\u1eefa cung v\u00e0 c\u1ea7u lao \u0111\u1ed9ng [3].<\/strong> \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 \u201cl\u1ed7 h\u1ed5ng\u201d l\u1edbn trong th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t. \u0110\u01b0a \u0111\u1ebfn th\u1ea3m tr\u1ea1ng, theo s\u1ed1 li\u1ec7u c\u1ee7a T\u1ea1p ch\u00ed Doanh Nh\u00e2n Saigon, hai th\u00e1ng \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m nay \u0111\u00e3 c\u00f3 kho\u1ea3ng 77.000 doanh nghi\u1ec7p r\u00fat lui kh\u1ecfi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng, t\u0103ng g\u1ea7n 15% so v\u1edbi c\u00f9ng k\u1ef3 n\u0103m tr\u01b0\u1edbc.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Theo s\u1ed1 li\u1ec7u c\u1ee7a csVN, xu\u1ea5t c\u1ea3ng c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7t Nam sang M\u1ef9 \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng t\u1eeb 119,6 t\u1ef7 M\u1ef9 kim n\u0103m 2024 l\u00ean 153,2 t\u1ef7 M\u1ef9 kim n\u0103m ngo\u00e1i, t\u0103ng 28%, \u0111\u1ea9y th\u1eb7ng d\u01b0 th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i l\u00ean m\u1ee9c k\u1ef7 l\u1ee5c g\u1ea7n 134 t\u1ef7 M\u1ef9 kim v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2025, cao h\u01a1n \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 so v\u1edbi n\u0103m 2024 \u0111\u01b0a Vi\u1ec7t Nam tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh n\u01b0\u1edbc c\u00f3 th\u1eb7ng d\u01b0 th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i cao nh\u1ea5t. \u0110\u00e2y ch\u00ednh l\u00e0 m\u1ea5u ch\u1ed1t khi\u1ebfn Hoa K\u1ef3 \u0111\u00f2i h\u1ecfi c\u00e2n b\u1eb1ng th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i.<\/p>\n\n\n

\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

Do v\u1eady, theo tr\u00edch d\u1eabn c\u1ee7a h\u00e3ng tin t\u00e0i ch\u00e1nh Bloomberg, c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i M\u1ef9-Vi\u1ec7t \u0111ang b\u1ebf t\u1eafc v\u1ec1 \u0111\u1ecbnh ngh\u0129a h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a \u201ctrung chuy\u1ec3n\u201d. Hoa K\u1ef3 cho bi\u1ebft nh\u1eefng h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a \u201ctrung chuy\u1ec3n\u201d s\u1ebd b\u1ecb \u0111\u00e1nh thu\u1ebf 40%, nh\u01b0ng v\u1eabn ch\u01b0a x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng v\u00e0 c\u00e1nh th\u1ee9c \u00e1p thu\u1ebf tr\u00ean c\u00e1c m\u1eb7t h\u00e0ng n\u00e0y.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Th\u00e1ng T\u01b0 n\u00e0y, Th\u1ee7 t\u01b0\u1edbng Ph\u1ea1m Minh Ch\u00ednh c\u00f9ng (7) Ph\u00f3 Th\u1ee7 T\u01b0\u1edbng d\u01b0\u1edbi quy\u1ec1n – nh\u1eefng ng\u01b0\u1eddi nhi\u1ec1u n\u0103m quen thu\u1ed9c v\u1edbi kh\u1ea9u hi\u1ec7u \u201c\u0111\u1ea1t t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng cao b\u1eb1ng m\u1ecdi gi\u00e1\u201d –  s\u1ebd r\u1eddi ch\u00ednh tr\u01b0\u1eddng. \u0110\u00e2y \u0111\u00fang l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t ph\u1ea7n nh\u00e2n s\u1ef1 then ch\u1ed1t l\u00e2m v\u00e0o c\u1ea3nh \u201cth\u1ea5t s\u1ee7ng\u201d, khi ch\u00ednh nh\u00f3m l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o n\u00e0y t\u1eebng g\u00f3p ph\u1ea7n ngay tr\u01b0\u1edbc th\u1ec1m \u0110\u1ea1i h\u1ed9i XIV, kh\u1edfi x\u01b0\u1edbng 234 d\u1ef1 \u00e1n v\u1edbi t\u1ed5ng m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 l\u00ean t\u1edbi 130 t\u1ef7 M\u1ef9 kim – \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c m\u00f4 t\u1ea3 l\u00e0 ch\u01b0\u01a1ng tr\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 h\u1ea1 t\u1ea7ng l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t l\u1ecbch s\u1eed, v\u1edbi s\u1ef1 k\u1ebft h\u1ee3p gi\u1eefa ngu\u1ed3n v\u1ed1n nh\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00e0 t\u01b0 nh\u00e2n, bao ph\u1ee7 \u0111a d\u1ea1ng l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c t\u1eeb giao th\u00f4ng, \u0111\u00f4 th\u1ecb, th\u1ec3 thao \u0111\u1ebfn c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p chuy\u00ean bi\u1ec7t. V\u1edbi hy v\u1ecdng 234 \u0111\u1ea1i d\u1ef1 \u00e1n s\u1ebd \u0111\u00f3ng g\u00f3p v\u00e0o t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng kinh t\u1ebf trong 5 n\u0103m nhi\u1ec7m kh\u00f3a XIV, (2026-2031).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

N\u1ebfu m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau l\u00e0 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng b\u1ec1n v\u1eefng, Ba \u0110\u00ecnh kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c v\u1eadn h\u00e0nh theo m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh t\u1eadp quy\u1ec1n ch\u1ec9 huy kinh t\u1ebf. \u0110i\u1ec1u c\u1ea7n thi\u1ebft l\u00e0 phi t\u1eadp trung h\u00f3a quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh<\/strong>, trao th\u1ef1c quy\u1ec1n cho c\u1ea5p d\u01b0\u1edbi, v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ec3 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u00f3ng vai tr\u00f2 d\u1eabn d\u1eaft thay v\u00ec b\u1ed9 m\u00e1y c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ea3ng. Ch\u1ec9 khi \u0111\u00f3, nh\u1eefng tham v\u1ecdng kinh t\u1ebf m\u1edbi c\u00f3 c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh hi\u1ec7n th\u1ef1c thay v\u00ec ph\u1ea3i \u201cc\u1eafm m\u1eb7t\u201d thi h\u00e0nh m\u1ec7nh l\u1ec7nh ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

T\u1ed5ng h\u1ee3p t\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh bi\u1ebfn chuy\u1ec3n to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u v\u1edbi c\u00e1ch \u0111\u1ed1i ph\u00f3 v\u00e0 t\u00ecnh hu\u1ed1ng Vi\u1ec7t Nam th\u00ec x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ea1t t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng GDP l\u00ean 10% c\u1ee7a TBT T\u00f4 L\u00e2m cho n\u0103m 2026 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 l\u00e0 quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh mang \u00fd ngh\u0129a \u201c\u0111\u1ed9i \u0111\u00e1 v\u00e1 tr\u1eddi\u201d.\/-<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Tr\u1ea7n nguy\u00ean Thao<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

[1] https:\/\/www.bbc.com\/vietnamese\/articles\/c4g38q25e35o<\/p>\n\n\n\n

[2] https:\/\/congthuong.vn\/ty-gia-usd-hom-nay-17-3-2026-cho-den-tang-manh-toi-81-dong-447379.html<\/p>\n\n\n\n

[3] https:\/\/laodong.vn\/cong-doan\/gan-38-trieu-lao-dong-chua-qua-dao-tao-1449133.ldo<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Vi\u1ec7t Nam l\u00e2m v\u00e0o t\u00ecnh hu\u1ed1ng \u201cng\u01b0\u1ee3c xu\u00f4i\u201d t\u00ecm ngu\u1ed3n cung tr\u00ean 30% th\u00e0nh ph\u1ea9m d\u1ea7u m\u1ecfcho nhu c\u1ea7u ch\u1ebfxu\u1ea5t gi\u1eefa t\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh kinh t\u1ebf to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u ch\u1ecbu h\u1eadu qu\u1ea3 \u0111\u1ed1i thay mau ch\u00f3ng c\u1ee7a cu\u1ed9c di\u1ec7n th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi l\u00e0 b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh \u0111\u00e8 n\u1eb7ng tr\u00ean m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng GDP\u0111\u1ecdc ti\u1ebfp…<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":28124,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[7,12,9,53],"tags":[],"class_list":["entry","author-ntviet","post-28121","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-binhluan","category-chuyenmuc","category-kinhte","category-kinhte-chinhtri"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/28121","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=28121"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/28121\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":28125,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/28121\/revisions\/28125"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/28124"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=28121"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=28121"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=28121"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}