{"id":28141,"date":"2026-03-22T18:01:24","date_gmt":"2026-03-22T18:01:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/?p=28141"},"modified":"2026-03-22T18:01:26","modified_gmt":"2026-03-22T18:01:26","slug":"tai-sao-nga-van-dung-ngoai-nhin-iran-trong-chao-lua","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/?p=28141","title":{"rendered":"T\u1ea1i sao Nga v\u1eabn \u0111\u1ee9ng ngo\u00e0i nh\u00ecn Iran trong ch\u1ea3o l\u1eeda?<\/strong>
Alexander Gabuev, Nicole Grajewski, Sergey Vakulenko<\/span>"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Iran tr\u01b0\u1edbc “Ayatollah” Putin<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

Ngu\u1ed3n: Alexander Gabuev, Nicole Grajewski, v\u00e0 Sergey Vakulenko, \u201cWhy Russia Is Watching Iran Burn\u201d, Foreign Affairs<\/em><\/mark><\/strong>, 16\/03\/2026<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bi\u00ean d\u1ecbch: <\/strong>Vi\u00ean \u0110\u0103ng Huy<\/p>\n\n\n\n

N\u0103m ngo\u00e1i, T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng Nga Vladimir Putin v\u00e0 T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng Iran Masoud Pezeshkian \u0111\u00e3 k\u00fd Hi\u1ec7p \u01b0\u1edbc \u0110\u1ed1i t\u00e1c Chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c To\u00e0n di\u1ec7n, cam k\u1ebft hai n\u01b0\u1edbc s\u1ebd ph\u1ea3n \u0111\u1ed1i s\u1ef1 can thi\u1ec7p c\u1ee7a b\u00ean th\u1ee9 ba v\u00e0o c\u00f4ng vi\u1ec7c n\u1ed9i b\u1ed9 v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed1i ngo\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a nhau.<\/mark><\/strong> Moscow v\u00e0 Tehran \u0111\u00e3 ca t\u1ee5ng hi\u1ec7p \u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ec9nh cao c\u1ee7a m\u1ed1i quan h\u1ec7 ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng th\u1eaft ch\u1eb7t gi\u1eefa hai ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Th\u1ebf nh\u01b0ng, khi M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 Israel ph\u00e1t \u0111\u1ed9ng cu\u1ed9c t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng v\u00e0o Iran cu\u1ed1i th\u00e1ng 2 v\u1eeba qua\u2014cu\u1ed9c t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng th\u1ee9 hai ch\u1ec9 trong v\u00f2ng t\u00e1m th\u00e1ng sau cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn 12 ng\u00e0y m\u00f9a h\u00e8 n\u0103m ngo\u00e1i\u2014Nga h\u1ea7u nh\u01b0 ch\u1ec9 \u0111\u1ee9ng ngo\u00e0i quan s\u00e1t.<\/strong> \u00d4ng Putin g\u1ecdi vi\u1ec7c s\u00e1t h\u1ea1i L\u00e3nh t\u1ee5 T\u1ed1i cao Iran Ali Khamenei l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t \u201cs\u1ef1 vi ph\u1ea1m tr\u1eafng tr\u1ee3n m\u1ecdi chu\u1ea9n m\u1ef1c \u0111\u1ea1o \u0111\u1ee9c nh\u00e2n lo\u1ea1i v\u00e0 lu\u1eadt ph\u00e1p qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf\u201d, c\u00f2n B\u1ed9 Ngo\u1ea1i giao Nga k\u00eau g\u1ecdi \u201ch\u1ea1 nhi\u1ec7t leo thang ngay l\u1eadp t\u1ee9c, ch\u1ea5m d\u1ee9t th\u00f9 \u0111\u1ecbch v\u00e0 n\u1ed1i l\u1ea1i c\u00e1c ti\u1ebfn tr\u00ecnh ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb, ngo\u1ea1i giao\u201d, nh\u01b0ng kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 n\u00e0o nh\u1eafc t\u00ean T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng M\u1ef9 Donald Trump hay \u0111\u1ec1 c\u1eadp \u0111\u1ebfn kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng Nga s\u1ebd tham chi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ec3 b\u1ea3o v\u1ec7 Iran.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Moscow c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u00e3 l\u00e0m \u0111\u00fang theo c\u00e2u ch\u1eef c\u1ee7a hi\u1ec7p \u01b0\u1edbc, v\u1ed1n kh\u00f4ng bao g\u1ed3m \u0111i\u1ec1u kho\u1ea3n ph\u00f2ng th\u1ee7 chung, nh\u01b0ng h\u1ecd \u0111\u00e3 kh\u00f4ng l\u00e0m \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c g\u00ec th\u1ef1c ch\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ec3 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 m\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c then ch\u1ed1t \u1edf Trung \u0110\u00f4ng v\u00e0 l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ed3ng ph\u1ea1m quan tr\u1ecdng trong cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn c\u1ee7a \u00f4ng Putin t\u1ea1i Ukraine.<\/mark><\/strong> T\u1edd The Washington Post<\/em> v\u00e0 CNN<\/em> \u0111\u01b0a ra b\u00e1o c\u00e1o r\u1eb1ng Nga c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u00e3 gi\u00fap cung c\u1ea5p cho Iran d\u1eef li\u1ec7u m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau v\u00e0 c\u00e1c chi\u1ebfn thu\u1eadt drone ti\u00ean ti\u1ebfn, nh\u01b0ng s\u1ef1 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf nh\u01b0 v\u1eady kh\u00f3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u1ea1o ra kh\u00e1c bi\u1ec7t l\u1edbn.<\/p>\n\n\n

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S\u1ef1 b\u1ea5t l\u1ef1c c\u1ee7a \u0110i\u1ec7n Kremlin t\u1ea1i Iran n\u1eb1m trong m\u1ed9t k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n quen thu\u1ed9c: khi b\u1ea1n b\u00e8 c\u1ee7a Nga g\u1eb7p n\u1ea1n, Moscow th\u01b0\u1eddng ra c\u00e1c tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 \u0111anh th\u00e9p nh\u01b0ng h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u00ec ch\u1eb3ng bao nhi\u00eau<\/strong>. Cu\u1ed1i n\u0103m 2023, Nga \u0111\u00e3 kh\u00f4ng can thi\u1ec7p v\u00e0o cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn ng\u1eafn ng\u1ee7i gi\u1eefa \u0111\u1ed3ng minh hi\u1ec7p \u01b0\u1edbc Armenia v\u00e0 Azerbaijan<\/mark><\/strong>, \u0111\u1ec3 m\u1eb7c Baku gi\u00e0nh l\u1ea1i quy\u1ec1n ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t t\u1ec9nh Nagorno-Karabakh. M\u1ed9t n\u0103m sau, Moscow \u0111\u1ec3 c\u00e1c l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng n\u1ed5i d\u1eady l\u1eadt \u0111\u1ed5 ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9 Bashar al-Assad \u1edf Damascus. <\/mark><\/strong>Trong v\u00f2ng m\u1ed9t n\u0103m qua, M\u1ef9 (c\u00f9ng v\u1edbi Israel) \u0111\u00e3 n\u00e9m bom c\u00e1c c\u01a1 s\u1edf h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n, c\u0103n c\u1ee9 qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 v\u00e0 nh\u00e0 m\u00e1y t\u00ean l\u1eeda c\u1ee7a Iran; ti\u00eau di\u1ec7t c\u00e1c quan ch\u1ee9c, ch\u1ec9 huy qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 v\u00e0 nh\u00e0 khoa h\u1ecdc h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n c\u1ea5p cao c\u1ee7a Iran; \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi b\u1eaft gi\u1eef T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng Venezuela Nicol\u00e1s Maduro, \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c ch\u00ednh c\u1ee7a Moscow t\u1ea1i M\u1ef9 Latinh, m\u00e0 h\u1ea7u nh\u01b0 kh\u00f4ng g\u1eb7p ph\u1ea3i s\u1ef1 can thi\u1ec7p n\u00e0o t\u1eeb ph\u00eda Nga. T\u1ea5t c\u1ea3 nh\u1eefng tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 ph\u01a1i b\u00e0y gi\u1edbi h\u1ea1n quy\u1ec1n l\u1ef1c c\u1ee7a Nga trong vi\u1ec7c \u0111\u1ecbnh \u0111o\u1ea1t c\u00e1c k\u1ebft c\u1ee5c tr\u00ean th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

D\u1eabu v\u1eady, cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i \u1edf Iran l\u1ea1i mang \u0111\u1ebfn nh\u1eefng h\u1ec7 qu\u1ea3 ngo\u00e0i \u00fd mu\u1ed1n c\u00f3 l\u1ee3i cho Nga. Khi chi\u1ebfn s\u1ef1 k\u00e9o d\u00e0i, gi\u00e1 n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c t\u0103ng, gi\u00fap Moscow ki\u1ebfm th\u00eam doanh thu v\u00e0 gi\u1ea3i quy\u1ebft kho\u1ea3n th\u00e2m h\u1ee5t ng\u00e2n s\u00e1ch \u0111ang ph\u00ecnh to do cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn \u1edf Ukraine. H\u00f4m th\u1ee9 N\u0103m, B\u1ed9 T\u00e0i ch\u00ednh M\u1ef9 th\u00f4ng b\u00e1o r\u1eb1ng nh\u1eb1m n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c k\u00ecm h\u00e3m gi\u00e1 c\u1ea3 \u0111ang leo thang, h\u1ecd s\u1ebd t\u1ea1m th\u1eddi d\u1ee1 b\u1ecf l\u1ec7nh tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi d\u1ea7u m\u1ecf c\u1ee7a Nga \u0111ang l\u00eanh \u0111\u00eanh tr\u00ean bi\u1ec3n. Trong khi \u0111\u00f3, Trung Qu\u1ed1c, v\u00ec lo ng\u1ea1i v\u1ec1 s\u1ef1 \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh l\u00e2u d\u00e0i c\u1ee7a ngu\u1ed3n cung n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng t\u1eeb Trung \u0110\u00f4ng, c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 s\u1ebd c\u00f3 nhu c\u1ea7u c\u00f2n l\u1edbn h\u01a1n \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi d\u1ea7u kh\u00ed c\u1ee7a Nga. V\u00e0 t\u1ea5t nhi\u00ean, cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn \u1edf Iran l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t s\u1ef1 xao nh\u00e3ng kh\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi M\u1ef9, l\u00e0m ti\u00eau t\u1ed1n nh\u1eefng ngu\u1ed3n l\u1ef1c v\u00e0 s\u1ef1 t\u1eadp trung qu\u00fd gi\u00e1 m\u00e0 l\u1ebd ra Washington \u0111\u00e3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 d\u00e0nh cho c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c ch\u00e2u \u00c2u v\u00e0 Ukraine. Nga c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 kh\u00f4ng b\u1ea3o v\u1ec7 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh, nh\u01b0ng h\u1ecd v\u1eabn r\u1ea5t l\u00e3o luy\u1ec7n trong vi\u1ec7c th\u00edch nghi v\u1edbi c\u00e1c th\u1ea5t b\u1ea1i chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c v\u00e0 thu v\u1ec1 nh\u1eefng l\u1ee3i \u00edch chi\u1ebfn thu\u1eadt quan tr\u1ecdng t\u1eeb ch\u00fang.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Li\u00ean minh thu\u1eadn ti\u1ec7n<\/h4>\n\n\n\n

Sau khi Li\u00ean X\u00f4 s\u1ee5p \u0111\u1ed5, Moscow v\u00e0 Tehran nh\u1eadn th\u1ea5y l\u1ee3i \u00edch chung trong vi\u1ec7c ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n quan h\u1ec7 \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c. Tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3 v\u00e0i tr\u0103m n\u0103m, h\u1ecd ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed1i th\u1ee7, tranh gi\u00e0nh l\u00e3nh th\u1ed5 \u1edf v\u00f9ng Kavkaz v\u00e0 quanh Bi\u1ec3n Caspi<\/mark><\/strong>. Nh\u01b0ng v\u00e0o \u0111\u1ea7u nh\u1eefng n\u0103m 1990, Moscow mu\u1ed1n b\u00e1n \u0111i kho v\u0169 kh\u00ed v\u00e0 c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n d\u00e2n s\u1ef1 d\u01b0 th\u1eeba t\u1eeb th\u1eddi X\u00f4 Vi\u1ebft, c\u00f2n Iran, v\u1ed1n ki\u1ec7t qu\u1ec7 sau cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn v\u1edbi Iraq v\u00e0 b\u1ecb c\u00f4 l\u1eadp b\u1edfi c\u00e1c l\u1ec7nh tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t ph\u01b0\u01a1ng T\u00e2y, \u0111\u00e3 tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh m\u1ed9t kh\u00e1ch h\u00e0ng s\u1eb5n l\u00f2ng mua.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Xuy\u00ean su\u1ed1t nh\u1eefng n\u0103m 1990 v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u 2000, Nga \u0111\u00e3 b\u00e0n giao c\u00e1c h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng m\u00e0 \u0111\u1ebfn nay v\u1eabn l\u00e0 th\u00e0nh ph\u1ea7n n\u00f2ng c\u1ed1t trong kho v\u0169 kh\u00ed c\u1ee7a Iran: ti\u00eam k\u00edch MiG-29, c\u01b0\u1eddng k\u00edch Su-24, t\u00e0u ng\u1ea7m diesel l\u1edbp Kilo, xe t\u0103ng T-72 v\u00e0 h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng ph\u00f2ng kh\u00f4ng S-200.<\/strong> <\/mark>Sau n\u00e0y, Nga c\u00f2n g\u1eedi th\u00eam c\u00e1c t\u1ed5 h\u1ee3p ph\u00f2ng kh\u00f4ng t\u1ea7m ng\u1eafn Tor-M1 v\u00e0 h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng t\u00ean l\u1eeda \u0111\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed1i kh\u00f4ng t\u1ea7m xa S-300. Nh\u1eefng \u0111\u1ee3t chuy\u1ec3n giao n\u00e0y r\u1ea5t quan tr\u1ecdng v\u1edbi Iran, nh\u01b0ng ch\u00fang ch\u01b0a bao gi\u1edd \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ebfn m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 t\u00edch h\u1ee3p qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 t\u1ea7m li\u00ean minh. Vi\u1ec7c giao h\u00e0ng c\u1ee7a Nga ch\u1ec9 di\u1ec5n ra theo t\u1eebng \u0111\u1ee3t l\u1ebb t\u1ebb, b\u1ecb h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf b\u1edfi c\u00e1c l\u1ec7nh tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t c\u1ee7a ph\u01b0\u01a1ng T\u00e2y, v\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng bao g\u1ed3m c\u00e1c h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd nh\u1ea5t nh\u01b0 ph\u00f2ng kh\u00f4ng S-400 hay c\u00e1c d\u00f2ng ti\u00eam k\u00edch ti\u00ean ti\u1ebfn nh\u1ea5t.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n

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H\u01a1n n\u1eefa, ngay c\u1ea3 khi b\u00e1n h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng ph\u00f2ng kh\u00f4ng v\u00e0 tr\u1ef1c th\u0103ng cho Tehran, Nga v\u1eabn duy tr\u00ec quan h\u1ec7 an ninh song song v\u1edbi Ai C\u1eadp, Israel v\u00e0 c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia v\u00f9ng V\u1ecbnh, nh\u1eefng \u0111\u1ed1i th\u1ee7 ho\u1eb7c k\u1ebb th\u00f9 c\u1ee7a Iran.<\/mark><\/strong> C\u00e1c quan ch\u1ee9c Iran kh\u00f4ng h\u1ec1 m\u00f9 qu\u00e1ng tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y, v\u00e0 s\u1ef1 b\u1ea5t m\u00e3n m\u00e0 n\u00f3 t\u1ea1o ra v\u00f4 c\u00f9ng s\u00e2u s\u1eafc. N\u0103m 2010, tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u00e1p l\u1ef1c c\u1ee7a ph\u01b0\u01a1ng T\u00e2y, Moscow \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u00ecnh ch\u1ec9 vi\u1ec7c b\u00e0n giao h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng S-300 cho Iran v\u00e0 ch\u1ea5p thu\u1eadn c\u00e1c l\u1ec7nh tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t c\u1ee7a Li\u00ean H\u1ee3p Qu\u1ed1c m\u00e0 h\u1ecd v\u1ed1n ph\u1ea3n \u0111\u1ed1i. <\/strong>V\u00e0o th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m Moscow v\u1eabn c\u00f2n mong mu\u1ed1n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c coi l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t th\u00e0nh vi\u00ean th\u01b0\u1eddng tr\u1ef1c c\u00f3 tr\u00e1ch nhi\u1ec7m c\u1ee7a H\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ed3ng B\u1ea3o an v\u00e0 l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9, gi\u1edbi l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o Nga \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1ed1i x\u1eed v\u1edbi Iran kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i nh\u01b0 m\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c, m\u00e0 nh\u01b0 m\u1ed9t qu\u00e2n c\u1edd \u0111\u1ec3 m\u1eb7c c\u1ea3 trong c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n v\u1edbi Washington v\u00e0 Brussels.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

T\u1eeb \u0111\u1ea7u nh\u1eefng n\u0103m 2000, Nga v\u00e0 Iran \u0111\u00e3 c\u1ed1 g\u1eafng h\u1ee3p t\u00e1c trong l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c d\u1ea7u kh\u00ed, x\u01b0\u01a1ng s\u1ed1ng c\u1ee7a c\u1ea3 hai n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf, nh\u01b0ng th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng r\u1ea5t h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf<\/strong>. C\u00e1c c\u00f4ng ty d\u1ea7u kh\u00ed Nga \u0111\u00e3 xem x\u00e9t m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i th\u0103m d\u00f2 v\u00e0 s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t t\u1ea1i Iran, nh\u01b0ng kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn n\u00e0o \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c k\u00fd k\u1ebft. T\u1eadp \u0111o\u00e0n d\u1ea7u kh\u00ed qu\u1ed1c gia Nga Gazprom t\u1eebng c\u00e2n nh\u1eafc tham gia ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n m\u1ed9t m\u1ecf kh\u00ed \u0111\u1ed1t kh\u1ed5ng l\u1ed3 \u1edf V\u1ecbnh Ba T\u01b0, nh\u01b0ng c\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec1u kho\u1ea3n th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i kh\u00f4ng h\u1ea5p d\u1eabn. T\u1ed5ng kim ng\u1ea1ch th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i gi\u1eefa hai n\u01b0\u1edbc th\u1eddi k\u1ef3 n\u00e0y c\u0169ng th\u1ea5p, dao \u0111\u1ed9ng t\u1eeb 1 t\u1ef7 \u0111\u1ebfn 3 t\u1ef7 USD m\u1ed7i n\u0103m, Moscow ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu b\u00e1n ng\u0169 c\u1ed1c v\u00e0 nhi\u00ean li\u1ec7u h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n cho Iran c\u00f2n Tehran ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u tr\u00e1i c\u00e2y, rau c\u1ee7 v\u00e0 c\u00e1c lo\u1ea1i h\u1ea1t cho Moscow.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

N\u0103m 2015, cu\u1ed9c n\u1ed9i chi\u1ebfn \u1edf Syria \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0a Nga v\u00e0 Iran v\u00e0o m\u1ed9t li\u00ean minh t\u00e1c chi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ec3 c\u1ee9u v\u00e3n ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9 Assad. Moscow h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 b\u1eb1ng \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng kh\u00f4ng, c\u00f2n Tehran c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng m\u1eb7t \u0111\u1ea5t b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch g\u1eedi c\u1ed1 v\u1ea5n qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 v\u00e0 th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y Hezbollah, l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng d\u00e2n qu\u00e2n d\u00f2ng H\u1ed3i gi\u00e1o Shitte do Tehran h\u1eadu thu\u1eabn, tham chi\u1ebfn c\u00f9ng phe Assad. Nh\u01b0ng ph\u1ea3i \u0111\u1ebfn khi \u00f4ng Putin ti\u1ebfn h\u00e0nh cu\u1ed9c x\u00e2m l\u01b0\u1ee3c to\u00e0n di\u1ec7n v\u00e0o Ukraine, m\u1ed1i quan h\u1ec7 gi\u1eefa Moscow v\u00e0 Tehran m\u1edbi ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n th\u00e0nh m\u1ed9t quan h\u1ec7 \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c ch\u1eb7t ch\u1ebd v\u00e0 c\u00e2n b\u1eb1ng h\u01a1n nhi\u1ec1u.<\/mark><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nh\u1eefng m\u1ed1i r\u00e0ng bu\u1ed9c<\/h4>\n\n\n\n

Sau th\u00e1ng Hai n\u0103m 2022, \u0110i\u1ec7n Kremlin t\u00ecm ki\u1ebfm ba \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u00ednh t\u1eeb c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c b\u00ean ngo\u00e0i: s\u1ef1 s\u1eb5n l\u00f2ng v\u00e0 n\u0103ng l\u1ef1c h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 chi\u1ebfn d\u1ecbch qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 nh\u1eafm v\u00e0o Kyiv, s\u1ef1 gi\u00fap \u0111\u1ee1 trong vi\u1ec7c l\u00e1ch tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ec3 duy tr\u00ec n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf Nga \u0111ang b\u1ecb v\u00e2y h\u00e3m, v\u00e0 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 g\u00e2y \u00e1p l\u1ef1c \u0111\u1ec3 tr\u1ea3 \u0111\u0169a li\u00ean minh ph\u01b0\u01a1ng T\u00e2y \u0111ang \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 Ukraine.<\/strong> Iran \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u00e1p \u1ee9ng c\u1ea3 ba ti\u00eau ch\u00ed n\u00e0y \u1edf c\u00e1c m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 kh\u00e1c nhau v\u00e0 t\u1eeb \u0111\u00f3 tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c ch\u00ednh c\u1ee7a Nga t\u1ea1i Trung \u0110\u00f4ng. Vi\u1ec7c Moscow nghi\u00eang v\u1ec1 ph\u00eda Iran \u0111\u00e3 \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng ti\u00eau c\u1ef1c \u0111\u1ebfn quan h\u1ec7 v\u1edbi Israel, n\u01b0\u1edbc v\u1ed1n \u0111\u00e3 b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u chia s\u1ebb m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 v\u1edbi Ukraine, nh\u01b0ng \u0110i\u1ec7n Kremlin quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh r\u1eb1ng quan h\u1ec7 \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c v\u1edbi Tehran x\u1ee9ng \u0111\u00e1ng v\u1edbi c\u00e1i gi\u00e1 \u0111\u00f3.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn t\u1ea1i Ukraine \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1ea3o ng\u01b0\u1ee3c logic trong quan h\u1ec7 an ninh Iran-Nga. L\u1ea7n \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean, Iran tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh nh\u00e0 cung c\u1ea5p v\u0169 kh\u00ed ch\u00ednh cho Nga. \u0110\u00f3ng g\u00f3p s\u1edbm v\u00e0 quan tr\u1ecdng nh\u1ea5t l\u00e0 d\u00f2ng \u0111\u1ea1n tu\u1ea7n k\u00edch Shahed, \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng Nga tri\u1ec3n khai t\u1eeb m\u00f9a thu n\u0103m 2022 \u0111\u1ec3 b\u00f9 \u0111\u1eafp cho kho t\u00ean l\u1eeda ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c \u0111ang c\u1ea1n ki\u1ec7t. <\/mark><\/strong>Moscow \u0111\u00e3 nhanh ch\u00f3ng n\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ecba h\u00f3a vi\u1ec7c s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t Shahed, thi\u1ebft k\u1ebf l\u1ea1i c\u00e1c th\u00e0nh ph\u1ea7n b\u00ean trong \u0111\u1ec3 ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p v\u1edbi chu\u1ed7i cung \u1ee9ng trong n\u01b0\u1edbc c\u00f9ng c\u00e1c thi\u1ebft b\u1ecb \u0111i\u1ec7n t\u1eed b\u1ecb h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf b\u1edfi tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng v\u01b0\u1ee3t xa m\u1ee9c Iran cung c\u1ea5p ban \u0111\u1ea7u.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u0110\u1ed5i l\u1ea1i, theo c\u00e1c b\u00e1o c\u00e1o truy\u1ec1n th\u00f4ng, Nga \u0111\u00e3 cung c\u1ea5p cho Iran c\u00e1c kh\u00ed t\u00e0i qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 m\u1edbi, bao g\u1ed3m m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 m\u00e1y bay hu\u1ea5n luy\u1ec7n Yak-130 v\u00e0 tr\u1ef1c th\u0103ng t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng Mi-28, h\u00e0ng ch\u1ee5c xe b\u1ecdc th\u00e9p Spartak v\u00e0 v\u0169 kh\u00ed h\u1ea1ng nh\u1eb9.<\/strong> Iran \u0111\u00e3 k\u00fd h\u1ee3p \u0111\u1ed3ng mua ti\u00eam k\u00edch Su-35 v\u00e0 c\u00e1c h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng ph\u00f2ng kh\u00f4ng v\u00e1c vai, nh\u01b0ng t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng b\u00e0n giao hi\u1ec7n v\u1eabn ch\u01b0a r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng. L\u0129nh v\u1ef1c h\u1ee3p t\u00e1c an ninh quan tr\u1ecdng nh\u1ea5t c\u00f3 l\u1ebd l\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng gian; h\u1ea1 t\u1ea7ng ph\u00f3ng v\u00e0 kinh nghi\u1ec7m v\u1ec1 qu\u1ef9 \u0111\u1ea1o c\u1ee7a Nga \u0111\u00f3ng vai tr\u00f2 then ch\u1ed1t cho vi\u1ec7c ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n t\u00ean l\u1eeda h\u00e0nh tr\u00ecnh c\u1ee7a Iran. <\/strong>N\u0103m 2023, Gi\u00e1m \u0111\u1ed1c CIA khi \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 William Burns \u0111\u00e3 c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o r\u1eb1ng c\u00e1c k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt vi\u00ean Nga \u0111ang tr\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp l\u00e0m vi\u1ec7c trong ch\u01b0\u01a1ng tr\u00ecnh ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ti\u1ec7n ph\u00f3ng v\u0169 tr\u1ee5 c\u1ee7a Iran v\u00e0 c\u00e1c n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n t\u00ean l\u1eeda di\u1ec7n r\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y.<\/p>\n\n\n

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Putin g\u1eb7p g\u1ee1 Gi\u00e1o ch\u1ee7 Ali Khamenei v\u00e0 TT Ebrahim Raisi t\u1ea1i Tehran, 7-2022<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

Iran c\u0169ng gi\u00fap kinh t\u1ebf Nga ch\u1ed1ng ch\u1ecdi v\u1edbi c\u00e1c l\u1ec7nh tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t ph\u01b0\u01a1ng T\u00e2y. Trong th\u1eadp k\u1ef7 qua, Tehran \u0111\u00e3 tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh ng\u01b0\u1eddi ti\u00ean phong trong vi\u1ec7c thi\u1ebft l\u1eadp h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng h\u1ea1 t\u1ea7ng \u0111\u1ec3 l\u00e1ch tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i d\u1ea7u m\u1ecf. <\/mark><\/strong>V\u00e0o nh\u1eefng n\u0103m 2010, Iran \u0111\u00e3 ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n m\u1ed9t \u201ch\u1ea1m \u0111\u1ed9i b\u00f3ng \u0111\u00eam<\/strong>\u201d, m\u1ed9t m\u1ea1ng l\u01b0\u1edbi c\u00e1c t\u00e0u d\u1ea7u ch\u1edf d\u1ea7u b\u1ecb tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t, nh\u1eb1m th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u d\u1ea7u m\u1ecf c\u1ee7a Iran, c\u00f9ng v\u1edbi c\u00e1c d\u1ecbch v\u1ee5 ph\u1ee5 tr\u1ee3 \u0111\u1ec3 x\u1eed l\u00fd v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 b\u1ea3o hi\u1ec3m, chuy\u1ec3n ti\u1ec1n v\u00e0 c\u00e1c kh\u00eda c\u1ea1nh kh\u00e1c trong v\u1eadn t\u1ea3i v\u00e0 mua b\u00e1n d\u1ea7u m\u1ecf c\u1ee7a m\u1ed9t qu\u1ed1c gia \u0111ang b\u1ecb tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t.<\/mark> T\u1eeb n\u0103m 2022, Nga \u0111\u00e3 \u00e1p d\u1ee5ng c\u00e1c ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ph\u00e1p n\u00e0y c\u1ee7a Iran, d\u1ef1a v\u00e0o ch\u00ednh h\u1ea1 t\u1ea7ng \u0111\u00f3 t\u1ea1i c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia v\u00f9ng V\u1ecbnh. Moscow sau \u0111\u00f3 \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0a h\u00ecnh th\u1ee9c th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i b\u1ea5t h\u1ee3p ph\u00e1p n\u00e0y l\u00ean t\u1ea7m cao m\u1edbi, xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u kh\u1ed1i l\u01b0\u1ee3ng l\u1edbn h\u01a1n nhi\u1ec1u so v\u1edbi nh\u1eefng g\u00ec Iran t\u1eebng l\u00e0m \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c. M\u1ed9t m\u1eb7t, vi\u1ec7c Nga \u00e1p d\u1ee5ng c\u00e1c ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ph\u00e1p c\u1ee7a Iran c\u00f3 l\u1ee3i cho Tehran v\u00ec l\u00e0m t\u0103ng t\u1ed5ng s\u1ed1 t\u00e0u ch\u1edf d\u1ea7u trong h\u1ea1m \u0111\u1ed9i b\u00f3ng \u0111\u00eam, t\u1eeb \u0111\u00f3 gi\u00fap gi\u1ea3m chi ph\u00ed v\u1eadn h\u00e0nh lo\u1ea1i t\u00e0u n\u00e0y cho b\u1ea5t k\u1ef3 qu\u1ed1c gia n\u00e0o mu\u1ed1n s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng lo\u1ea1i t\u00e0u nh\u01b0 v\u1eady. Nh\u01b0ng m\u1eb7t kh\u00e1c, Nga l\u1ea1i tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed1i th\u1ee7 c\u1ea1nh tranh khi b\u00e1n d\u1ea7u ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu cho Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u00e0 \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9, \u0111\u00fang nh\u1eefng kh\u00e1ch h\u00e0ng m\u00e0 Iran \u0111ang nh\u1eafm t\u1edbi.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

D\u00f9 v\u1eady, th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i gi\u1eefa Nga v\u00e0 Iran \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng h\u01a1n g\u1ea5p \u0111\u00f4i k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb khi cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn \u1edf Ukraine b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u, t\u1eeb kho\u1ea3ng 2 t\u1ef7 USD l\u00ean g\u1ea7n 5 t\u1ef7 USD hi\u1ec7n nay. Moscow c\u0169ng gi\u00fap \u0111\u1ee1 Iran theo nh\u1eefng c\u00e1ch kh\u00e1c. N\u0103m 2023, \u0110i\u1ec7n Kremlin \u0111\u00e3 th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n b\u01b0\u1edbc th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng \u0111\u1ec3 Iran tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh th\u00e0nh vi\u00ean c\u1ee7a T\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c H\u1ee3p t\u00e1c Th\u01b0\u1ee3ng H\u1ea3i (SCO). <\/strong>N\u0103m ti\u1ebfp theo, Moscow v\u1eadn \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u1ec3 Tehran \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c gia nh\u1eadp kh\u1ed1i BRICS m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng, v\u1edbi c\u00e1c th\u00e0nh vi\u00ean s\u00e1ng l\u1eadp l\u00e0 Brazil, Nga, \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9, Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u00e0 Nam Phi<\/strong>. V\u00e0 th\u00e1ng 5 n\u0103m ngo\u00e1i, Nga \u0111\u00e3 d\u00e0n x\u1ebfp vi\u1ec7c k\u00fd k\u1ebft hi\u1ec7p \u0111\u1ecbnh th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i t\u1ef1 do gi\u1eefa Iran v\u00e0 Li\u00ean minh Kinh t\u1ebf \u00c1-\u00c2u, bao g\u1ed3m Armenia, Belarus, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan v\u00e0 Nga. \u0110i\u1ec7n Kremlin c\u0169ng cho th\u1ea5y s\u1ef1 s\u1eb5n l\u00f2ng h\u1ee3p t\u00e1c v\u1edbi m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u1ee7y nhi\u1ec7m c\u1ee7a Iran, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t l\u00e0 Houthi, b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch cung c\u1ea5p hu\u1ea5n luy\u1ec7n v\u00e0 v\u0169 kh\u00ed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cH\u00e1i qu\u1ea3\u201d t\u1eeb kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng<\/h4>\n\n\n\n

Nh\u01b0ng ngay c\u1ea3 khi m\u1ed1i quan h\u1ec7 s\u00e2u s\u1eafc h\u01a1n, gi\u1edbi h\u1ea1n v\u1ec1 t\u1ea7m \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng v\u00e0 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng b\u1ea3o v\u1ec7 \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c c\u1ee7a \u00f4ng Putin v\u1eabn l\u1ed9 r\u00f5. Nga c\u00f3 th\u1ee9 m\u00e0 Iran khao kh\u00e1t nh\u1ea5t trong m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c xung \u0111\u1ed9t l\u1edbn v\u1edbi Israel v\u00e0 M\u1ef9: c\u00e1c d\u00f2ng ti\u00eam k\u00edch ti\u00ean ti\u1ebfn, h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng ph\u00f2ng kh\u00f4ng v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea1n d\u01b0\u1ee3c ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c cao m\u00e0 Nga s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t v\u1edbi s\u1ed1 l\u01b0\u1ee3ng l\u1edbn.<\/strong> Nh\u01b0ng \u0111\u00e2y \u0111\u1ec1u l\u00e0 nh\u1eefng kh\u00ed t\u00e0i m\u00e0 Nga \u0111ang c\u1ea7n cho cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn c\u1ee7a ch\u00ednh m\u00ecnh t\u1ea1i Ukraine.<\/mark><\/strong> Ngay c\u1ea3 khi mu\u1ed1n chuy\u1ec3n nh\u1eefng h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng v\u0169 kh\u00ed n\u00e0y cho Iran, Moscow c\u0169ng kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n \u0111\u1ee7 nhanh. Ch\u1eb3ng h\u1ea1n, vi\u1ec7c hu\u1ea5n luy\u1ec7n nh\u00e2n s\u1ef1 Iran v\u1eadn h\u00e0nh h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng S-400 s\u1ebd m\u1ea5t kho\u1ea3ng 6 \u0111\u1ebfn 8 th\u00e1ng.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

V\u1edbi qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed9i b\u1ecb cu\u1ed1n v\u00e0o chi\u1ebfn tr\u01b0\u1eddng Ukraine v\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng h\u1ec1 mu\u1ed1n c\u1ea3n \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng quy\u1ebft li\u1ec7t c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9-Israel, Moscow ch\u1ec9 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 Tehran b\u1eb1ng nh\u1eefng l\u1eddi l\u00ean \u00e1n ngo\u1ea1i giao v\u00e0 k\u00eau g\u1ecdi ki\u1ec1m ch\u1ebf. M\u1ed9t y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 kh\u00e1c k\u00ecm h\u00e3m Moscow l\u00e0 c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n \u0111ang di\u1ec5n ra v\u1edbi ch\u00ednh quy\u1ec1n Trump \u0111\u1ec3 k\u1ebft th\u00fac cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn t\u1ea1i Ukraine.<\/mark><\/strong> Gi\u1edbi l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o Nga hy v\u1ecdng thu \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ee3i \u00edch t\u1eeb ti\u1ebfn tr\u00ecnh n\u00e0y, \u00edt nh\u1ea5t l\u00e0 h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf s\u1ef1 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 cho Ukraine v\u00e0 l\u00e0m ch\u1eadm vi\u1ec7c tri\u1ec3n khai c\u00e1c l\u1ec7nh tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t m\u1edbi nh\u1eafm v\u00e0o Nga. Trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh \u0111\u00f3, \u0110i\u1ec7n Kremlin kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 Iran m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd v\u00e0 l\u1ed9 li\u1ec5u h\u01a1n. Cam k\u1ebft c\u1ee7a Moscow v\u1edbi Tehran c\u0169ng b\u1ecb chi ph\u1ed1i b\u1edfi nhu c\u1ea7u c\u00e2n b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1c m\u1ed1i quan h\u1ec7 trong khu v\u1ef1c. C\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00f9ng V\u1ecbnh \u0111ang \u0111\u1ed1i m\u1eb7t v\u1edbi c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng c\u1ee7a Iran l\u1ea1i ch\u00ednh l\u00e0 nh\u1eefng \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c quan tr\u1ecdng c\u1ee7a Nga\u2014\u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t l\u00e0 UAE, \u0111\u00f3ng vai tr\u00f2 l\u00e0 trung t\u00e2m h\u1eadu c\u1ea7n v\u00e0 t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh c\u1ee7a Nga, v\u00e0 \u1ea2 R\u1eadp Saudi, \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c then ch\u1ed1t c\u1ee7a \u0110i\u1ec7n Kremlin trong OPEC+.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

T\u1ea5t nhi\u00ean, Nga c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111ang cung c\u1ea5p nh\u1eefng h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 kh\u00f3 quan s\u00e1t h\u01a1n c\u00e1c chuy\u1ebfn t\u00e0u ch\u1edf v\u0169 kh\u00ed, nh\u01b0 cung c\u1ea5p quy\u1ec1n truy c\u1eadp v\u00e0o t\u00ecnh b\u00e1o d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean kh\u00f4ng gian, gi\u00e1m s\u00e1t v\u00e0 trinh s\u00e1t \u0111\u1ec3 gi\u00fap Iran x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau t\u1ed1t h\u01a1n. S\u1ef1 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 n\u00e0y \u00edt \u0111\u1ec3 l\u1ea1i d\u1ea5u v\u1ebft h\u01a1n vi\u1ec7c chuy\u1ec3n giao m\u00e1y bay hay t\u00ean l\u1eeda, khi\u1ebfn n\u00f3 kh\u00f3 b\u1ecb theo d\u00f5i v\u00e0 d\u1ec5 d\u00e0ng b\u1ecb ph\u1ee7 nh\u1eadn h\u01a1n, nh\u01b0ng v\u1eabn mang l\u1ea1i hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3. M\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 quan ch\u1ee9c M\u1ef9 \u0111\u00e3 k\u1ebft lu\u1eadn r\u1eb1ng Moscow \u0111ang b\u00ed m\u1eadt tham gia v\u00e0o c\u00e1c ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng n\u00e0y, nh\u01b0 t\u1edd The Washington Post \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0a tin g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y. Quy m\u00f4 v\u00e0 m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 c\u1ee7a n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c n\u00e0y r\u1ea5t kh\u00f3 \u01b0\u1edbc t\u00ednh \u1edf th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m n\u00e0y, nh\u01b0ng t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a n\u00f3 ch\u1eafc ch\u1eafn m\u1edd nh\u1ea1t h\u01a1n nhi\u1ec1u so v\u1edbi ch\u01b0\u01a1ng tr\u00ecnh h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 t\u00ecnh b\u00e1o nhi\u1ec1u n\u0103m do M\u1ef9 d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ea7u \u0111\u00e3 gi\u00fap Ukraine ti\u00eau di\u1ec7t h\u00e0ng ng\u00e0n binh s\u0129 Nga k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb khi b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u cu\u1ed9c x\u00e2m l\u01b0\u1ee3c to\u00e0n di\u1ec7n v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2022.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

D\u00f9 kh\u00f4ng h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c nhi\u1ec1u cho Tehran, Nga v\u1eabn \u0111\u1ee9ng tr\u01b0\u1edbc c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i h\u01b0\u1edfng l\u1ee3i t\u1eeb c\u00e1c h\u1ec7 qu\u1ea3 ngo\u00e0i \u00fd mu\u1ed1n v\u00e0 t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng d\u00e2y chuy\u1ec1n c\u1ee7a cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn t\u1ea1i Iran. M\u1ef9 \u0111ang ti\u00eau t\u1ed1n c\u00e1c t\u00ean l\u1eeda \u0111\u00e1nh ch\u1eb7n v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea1n d\u01b0\u1ee3c ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c m\u00e0 Ukraine \u0111ang r\u1ea5t c\u1ea7n. T\u00ean l\u1eeda Patriot v\u00e0 v\u0169 kh\u00ed t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng t\u1ea7m xa l\u00e0 c\u00f3 h\u1ea1n, v\u00e0 nh\u1eefng g\u00ec \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c chuy\u1ec3n cho Israel hay v\u00f9ng V\u1ecbnh s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng c\u00f2n \u0111\u1ec3 chuy\u1ec3n cho Kyiv.<\/mark><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

M\u1ed9t ph\u1ea7n th\u01b0\u1edfng l\u1edbn h\u01a1n n\u1eefa cho Nga l\u00e0 gi\u00e1 n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng t\u0103ng cao. Gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u \u0111\u00e3 gi\u1ea3m v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2025 do quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh t\u0103ng s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng c\u1ee7a OPEC+. Nga kh\u00f4ng c\u00f2n nhi\u1ec1u n\u0103ng l\u1ef1c d\u01b0 th\u1eeba \u0111\u1ec3 m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t d\u1ea7u, n\u00ean h\u1ecd kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 l\u1ea5y kh\u1ed1i l\u01b0\u1ee3ng b\u00f9 \u0111\u1eafp cho gi\u00e1 c\u1ea3. Quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh \u0111\u00f3 \u0111\u00e3 t\u1ea1o ra th\u1eb7ng d\u01b0 tr\u00ean th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng, mang l\u1ea1i nhi\u1ec1u l\u1ef1a ch\u1ecdn thay th\u1ebf d\u1ea7u Nga cho ng\u01b0\u1eddi mua, c\u1ed9ng v\u1edbi \u00e1p l\u1ef1c tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t t\u1eeb M\u1ef9 \u0111\u00e3 khi\u1ebfn d\u1ea7u Nga b\u1ecb \u00e9p gi\u00e1 s\u00e2u.<\/strong> Gi\u1edd \u0111\u00e2y, s\u1ef1 khan hi\u1ebfm do eo bi\u1ec3n Hormuz b\u1ecb \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda \u0111ang \u0111\u1ea9y gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u l\u00ean cao, ti\u1ebfp s\u1ee9c cho doanh thu ng\u00e2n s\u00e1ch c\u1ee7a Nga. Tu\u1ea7n tr\u01b0\u1edbc, \u0111\u1ec3 xoa d\u1ecbu th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng, B\u1ed9 T\u00e0i ch\u00ednh M\u1ef9 th\u1eadm ch\u00ed \u0111\u00e3 c\u1ea5p gi\u1ea5y ph\u00e9p 30 ng\u00e0y cho ph\u00e9p b\u00e1n d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 c\u1ee7a Nga cho \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9, v\u1ed1n l\u00e0 l\u01b0\u1ee3ng d\u1ea7u \u0111\u00e3 b\u1ecb tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3. V\u00f9ng V\u1ecbnh c\u0169ng l\u00e0 nh\u00e0 cung c\u1ea5p kh\u00ed h\u00f3a l\u1ecfng (LNG) l\u1edbn; vi\u1ec7c xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u t\u1eeb khu v\u1ef1c n\u00e0y gi\u1ea3m m\u1ea1nh gi\u00fap Nga b\u00e1n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c LNG c\u1ee7a ch\u00ednh Nga khai th\u00e1c, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t l\u00e0 t\u1ea1i ch\u00e2u \u00c1.<\/p>\n\n\n

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S\u1ef1 gi\u00e1n \u0111o\u1ea1n v\u00e0i tu\u1ea7n t\u1ea1i v\u00f9ng V\u1ecbnh c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 mang l\u1ea1i l\u1ee3i \u00edch cho Nga nh\u01b0ng kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3; c\u1ee9 m\u1ed7i 10 USD t\u0103ng th\u00eam cho m\u1ed7i th\u00f9ng d\u1ea7u, Nga \u0111\u1ee9ng tr\u01b0\u1edbc c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i ki\u1ebfm th\u00eam kho\u1ea3ng 95 tri\u1ec7u USD m\u1ed7i ng\u00e0y, m\u1ed9t con s\u1ed1 kh\u00f4ng qu\u00e1 l\u1edbn trong ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n.<\/mark><\/strong> Nh\u01b0ng n\u1ebfu cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn g\u00e2y ra thi\u1ec7t h\u1ea1i n\u1eb7ng n\u1ec1 v\u00e0 l\u00e2u d\u00e0i cho h\u1ea1 t\u1ea7ng d\u1ea7u kh\u00ed khu v\u1ef1c, n\u00f3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 duy tr\u00ec m\u1ee9c gi\u00e1 cao trong th\u1eddi gian d\u00e0i v\u00e0 gi\u00fap l\u1ea5p \u0111\u1ea7y t\u00fai ti\u1ec1n c\u1ee7a \u0110i\u1ec7n Kremlin. Cho \u0111\u1ebfn nay, M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 Israel v\u1eabn ch\u01b0a t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng v\u00e0o ti\u1ec1m l\u1ef1c xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u d\u1ea7u hay c\u00e1c m\u1ecf d\u1ea7u c\u1ee7a Iran, nh\u01b0ng \u0111i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00f3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 thay \u0111\u1ed5i theo di\u1ec5n bi\u1ebfn xung \u0111\u1ed9t. N\u1ebfu m\u1ed9t Iran tuy\u1ec7t v\u1ecdng t\u00ecm c\u00e1ch g\u00e2y ra n\u1ed7i \u0111au l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t cho c\u00e1c l\u00e1ng gi\u1ec1ng v\u00e0 kinh t\u1ebf to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u, t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u00ean ngu\u1ed3n cung d\u1ea7u kh\u00ed th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi s\u1ebd c\u00f2n dai d\u1eb3ng h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nh\u1eefng thi\u1ec7t h\u1ea1i l\u1edbn v\u00e0 l\u00e2u d\u00e0i \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi h\u1ea1 t\u1ea7ng n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng v\u00f9ng V\u1ecbnh, c\u1ed9ng v\u1edbi giai \u0111o\u1ea1n b\u1ea5t \u1ed5n ti\u1ec1m t\u00e0ng t\u1ea1i Trung \u0110\u00f4ng, cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 thuy\u1ebft ph\u1ee5c Trung Qu\u1ed1c tri\u1ec3n khai c\u00e1c \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng \u1ed1ng d\u1eabn d\u1ea7u kh\u00ed m\u1edbi tr\u00ean \u0111\u1ea5t li\u1ec1n t\u1eeb Nga. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec1u \u00f4ng Putin \u0111\u00e3 c\u1ed1 g\u1eafng thuy\u1ebft ph\u1ee5c \u00f4ng T\u1eadp C\u1eadn B\u00ecnh trong su\u1ed1t m\u1ed9t th\u1eadp k\u1ef7 qua, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t l\u00e0 t\u1eeb n\u0103m 2022 khi ch\u00e2u \u00c2u b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m s\u1ef1 ph\u1ee5 thu\u1ed9c v\u00e0o Nga. Gi\u00e1 n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng cao c\u0169ng s\u1ebd khi\u1ebfn d\u1ea7u kh\u00ed Nga tr\u1edf n\u00ean kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 thay th\u1ebf. C\u00e1c nh\u00e0 ho\u1ea1ch \u0111\u1ecbnh ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 ch\u00e2u \u00c2u khi \u0111\u00f3 s\u1ebd ph\u1ea3i \u0111\u1ed1i m\u1eb7t v\u1edbi l\u1ef1a ch\u1ecdn kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n: ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c th\u1eaft ch\u1eb7t tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t Nga v\u1edbi c\u00e1i gi\u00e1 kinh t\u1ebf ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng \u0111\u1eaft \u0111\u1ecf, hay l\u00e0 ph\u1ea3i n\u1edbi l\u1ecfng quan \u0111i\u1ec3m.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

L\u1ef1a ch\u1ecdn c\u1ee7a Nga th\u00ec \u00edt ph\u1ee9c t\u1ea1p h\u01a1n. Nh\u1eefng th\u1ea5t b\u1ea1i g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y c\u1ee7a \u0110i\u1ec7n Kremlin trong vi\u1ec7c gi\u00fap \u0111\u1ee1 c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c\u2014t\u1ea1i Syria, Venezuela v\u00e0 Iran\u2014\u0111\u00e3 ph\u01a1i b\u00e0y gi\u1edbi h\u1ea1n c\u1ee7a Nga v\u1edbi t\u01b0 c\u00e1ch l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t c\u01b0\u1eddng qu\u1ed1c to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u. V\u1edbi ngu\u1ed3n l\u1ef1c b\u1ecb tr\u00f3i bu\u1ed9c \u1edf Ukraine, Moscow c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 gi\u00fap \u0111\u1ee1 r\u1ea5t \u00edt v\u1ec1 v\u1eadt ch\u1ea5t cho nh\u1eefng ng\u01b0\u1eddi b\u1ea1n \u0111\u1ed9c t\u00e0i c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh. Nh\u1eefng g\u00ec c\u00f2n l\u1ea1i l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau h\u1eb9p h\u00f2i h\u01a1n: ki\u1ebfm ch\u00fat ti\u1ec1n t\u1eeb nh\u1eefng h\u1ec7 qu\u1ea3 ngo\u00e0i \u00fd mu\u1ed1n do s\u1ef1 can thi\u1ec7p c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 g\u00e2y ra.<\/mark><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

ALEXANDER GABUEV <\/strong>
Gi\u00e1m \u0111\u1ed1c Trung t\u00e2m Carnegie Nga \u2013 \u00c1-\u00c2u t\u1ea1i Berlin.<\/em>
NICOLE GRAJEWSKI <\/strong>
Tr\u1ee3 l\u00fd Gi\u00e1o s\u01b0 t\u1ea1i Sciences Po v\u00e0 H\u1ecdc gi\u1ea3 kh\u00f4ng th\u01b0\u1eddng tr\u1ef1c thu\u1ed9c Ch\u01b0\u01a1ng tr\u00ecnh Ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch H\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n t\u1ea1i Vi\u1ec7n H\u00f2a b\u00ecnh Qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf Carnegie. b\u00e0 l\u00e0 t\u00e1c gi\u1ea3 c\u1ee7a cu\u1ed1n Russia and Iran: Partners in Defiance From Syria to Ukraine.<\/em>
SERGEY VAKULENKO <\/strong>
Nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u vi\u00ean cao c\u1ea5p t\u1ea1i Trung t\u00e2m Carnegie Nga \u2013 \u00c1-\u00c2u t\u1ea1i Berlin.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ngu\u1ed3n tr\u00edch: Nghi\u00ean C\u1ee9u Qu\u1ed1c T\u1ebf<\/strong>
https:\/\/nghiencuuquocte.org\/2026\/03\/22\/tai-sao-nga-van-dung-ngoai-nhin-iran-trong-chao-lua\/#more-66196<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u1ea2nh minh h\u1ecda: V\u1eadn H\u1ed9i M\u1edbi<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

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Ngu\u1ed3n: Alexander Gabuev, Nicole Grajewski, v\u00e0 Sergey Vakulenko, \u201cWhy Russia Is Watching Iran Burn\u201d, Foreign Affairs, 16\/03\/2026 Bi\u00ean d\u1ecbch: Vi\u00ean \u0110\u0103ng Huy N\u0103m ngo\u00e1i, T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng Nga Vladimir Putin v\u00e0 T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng Iran Masoud Pezeshkian \u0111\u00e3 k\u00fd Hi\u1ec7p \u01b0\u1edbc \u0110\u1ed1i t\u00e1c Chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c To\u00e0n di\u1ec7n, cam k\u1ebft hai n\u01b0\u1edbc s\u1ebd ph\u1ea3n \u0111\u1ed1i s\u1ef1\u0111\u1ecdc ti\u1ebfp…<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":28142,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[7,8,12,9],"tags":[165,118,212,119,209,284],"class_list":["entry","author-ntviet","post-28141","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-binhluan","category-chinhtri-xahoi","category-chuyenmuc","category-kinhte","tag-binh-luan","tag-chinh-tri","tag-chuyen-de","tag-hoa-ky","tag-iran","tag-nga"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/28141","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=28141"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/28141\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":28145,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/28141\/revisions\/28145"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/28142"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=28141"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=28141"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=28141"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}