{"id":28180,"date":"2026-04-08T01:32:00","date_gmt":"2026-04-08T01:32:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/?p=28180"},"modified":"2026-04-08T01:32:03","modified_gmt":"2026-04-08T01:32:03","slug":"chau-au-khong-the-la-mot-cuong-quoc-quan-su","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/?p=28180","title":{"rendered":"Ch\u00e2u \u00c2u kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t c\u01b0\u1eddng qu\u1ed1c qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1<\/strong>
Hugo Bromley<\/span>"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Ngu\u1ed3n:<\/strong> Hugo Bromley, \u201cEurope Cannot Be a Military Power,\u201d Foreign Affairs<\/em><\/mark><\/strong>, <\/em>17\/03\/2026<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bi\u00ean d\u1ecbch: <\/strong>Nguy\u1ec5n Th\u1ecb Kim Ph\u1ee5ng<\/p>\n\n\n\n

T\u1ea1i sao h\u1ed9i nh\u1eadp qu\u1ed1c ph\u00f2ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0m r\u1ea1n n\u1ee9t l\u1ee5c \u0111\u1ecba gi\u00e0<\/em>?<\/mark><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

K\u1ec3 t\u1eeb khi Th\u1ebf chi\u1ebfn II k\u1ebft th\u00fac, c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia T\u00e2y \u00c2u \u0111\u00e3 d\u1ef1a v\u00e0o M\u1ef9 \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea3m b\u1ea3o an ninh. Nh\u1edd \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c b\u1ea3o v\u1ec7 nh\u01b0 v\u1eady, c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u1ef1 do theo \u0111u\u1ed5i h\u1ed9i nh\u1eadp kinh t\u1ebf trong khi v\u1eabn duy tr\u00ec h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 d\u00e2n ch\u1ee7 c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh. <\/strong>Tr\u00e1ch nhi\u1ec7m \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c chia \u0111\u00f4i, v\u1edbi Washington \u0111\u1ea3m nh\u1eadn an ninh c\u1ee7a l\u1ee5c \u0111\u1ecba, c\u00f2n Brussels g\u00e1nh v\u00e1c vai tr\u00f2 kinh t\u1ebf ng\u00e0y m\u1ed9t l\u1edbn h\u01a1n. Gi\u1edd \u0111\u00e2y, s\u1ef1 ph\u00e2n chia tr\u00e1ch nhi\u1ec7m n\u00e0y \u0111ang tr\u1edf n\u00ean b\u1ea5p b\u00eanh. T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng M\u1ef9 Donald Trump \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1ec1 ngh\u1ecb mua l\u1ea1i Greenland, c\u00f4ng k\u00edch c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o Ch\u00e2u \u00c2u, v\u00e0 can thi\u1ec7p v\u00e0o ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb n\u1ed9i b\u1ed9 c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc Ch\u00e2u \u00c2u. G\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y h\u01a1n, \u00f4ng c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o r\u1eb1ng, n\u1ebfu c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed3ng minh NATO kh\u00f4ng h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 m\u1edf c\u1eeda Eo bi\u1ec3n Hormuz, \u201c\u0111i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00f3 s\u1ebd r\u1ea5t t\u1ed3i t\u1ec7 cho t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai c\u1ee7a NATO.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Th\u00e1i \u0111\u1ed9 \u0111\u1ed1i \u0111\u1ea7u c\u1ee7a Trump \u0111\u00e3 th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o, trong \u0111\u00f3 c\u00f3 T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng Ph\u00e1p Emmanuel Macron, k\u00eau g\u1ecdi \u201ct\u1ef1 ch\u1ee7 chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c<\/mark><\/strong>\u201d kh\u1ecfi Washington. Tr\u00ean\u00a0Foreign Affairs,\u00a0<\/em>c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch \u2013 bao g\u1ed3m Erik Jones v\u00e0 Matthias Matthijs \u2013 \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1ec1 xu\u1ea5t r\u1eb1ng Li\u00ean minh Ch\u00e2u \u00c2u ph\u1ea3i \u0111\u1ea3m nh\u1eadn vai tr\u00f2 l\u1edbn h\u01a1n trong an ninh c\u1ee7a l\u1ee5c \u0111\u1ecba. H\u1ecd l\u1eadp lu\u1eadn r\u1eb1ng \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y n\u00ean l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t ph\u1ea7n c\u1ee7a n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c r\u1ed9ng l\u1edbn h\u01a1n nh\u1eb1m tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh m\u1ed9t \u201cc\u01b0\u1eddng qu\u1ed1c to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u\u201d c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng \u0111\u1ed1i tr\u1ecdng v\u1edbi c\u00e1c ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch c\u1ee7a ch\u00ednh quy\u1ec1n Trump.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n

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\u0110\u00e2y s\u1ebd l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t sai l\u1ea7m. Li\u00ean minh Ch\u00e2u \u00c2u l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 h\u1ee3p t\u00e1c kinh t\u1ebf. N\u00f3 l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t d\u1ef1 \u00e1n h\u00f2a b\u00ecnh, ch\u1ee9 kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i m\u1ed9t d\u1ef1 \u00e1n chi\u1ebfn tranh.<\/mark><\/strong> N\u00f3 \u0111\u00e3 c\u1ef1c k\u1ef3 th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng trong n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c n\u00e0y, \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau n\u1ec1n t\u1ea3ng l\u00e0 g\u1eafn k\u1ebft Ph\u00e1p v\u00e0 \u0110\u1ee9c l\u1ea1i v\u1edbi nhau v\u1ec1 m\u1eb7t kinh t\u1ebf. Nh\u01b0ng th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng \u0111\u00f3 \u0111\u00f2i h\u1ecfi cam k\u1ebft li\u00ean t\u1ee5c c\u1ee7a Washington \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi NATO.<\/strong> Thay \u0111\u1ed5i s\u1ef1 s\u1eafp x\u1ebfp n\u00e0y s\u1ebd t\u1ea1o ra nh\u1eefng c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng gi\u1eefa c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia th\u00e0nh vi\u00ean, v\u00e0 cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng s\u1ebd \u0111e d\u1ecda c\u00e1c c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac h\u1ee3p t\u00e1c hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a Ch\u00e2u \u00c2u.<\/strong> \u1ee6y ban Ch\u00e2u \u00c2u c\u1ea7n l\u00f9i l\u1ea1i v\u00e0 cho ph\u00e9p c\u00e1c li\u00ean minh c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia d\u00e2n t\u1ed9c t\u1eeb trong v\u00e0 ngo\u00e0i kh\u1ed1i ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n c\u00e1c quan h\u1ec7 \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c li\u00ean ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 m\u1edbi. Ch\u1ec9 th\u00f4ng qua qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh n\u00e0y, Washington v\u00e0 Brussels m\u1edbi c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 an ninh Ch\u00e2u \u00c2u \u2013 v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea3m b\u1ea3o s\u1ef1 t\u1ed3n t\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a ch\u00ednh d\u1ef1 \u00e1n Ch\u00e2u \u00c2u.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u0110\u1eb6T N\u1ec0N M\u00d3NG<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u0110\u1ed1i m\u1eb7t v\u1edbi nh\u1eefng l\u1eddi \u0111e d\u1ecda c\u1ee7a Trump, c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o Ch\u00e2u \u00c2u bao g\u1ed3m Macron v\u00e0 Ch\u1ee7 t\u1ecbch \u1ee6y ban Ch\u00e2u \u00c2u Ursula von der Leyen \u0111\u00e3 tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 r\u1eb1ng Ch\u00e2u \u00c2u n\u00ean h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng nh\u01b0 m\u1ed9t c\u01b0\u1eddng qu\u1ed1c to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u. D\u00f9 Li\u00ean minh Ch\u00e2u \u00c2u ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng t\u1ecf ra h\u00e0o h\u1ee9ng v\u1edbi vi\u1ec7c \u0111\u1ea3m nh\u1eadn tr\u1ecdng tr\u00e1ch n\u00e0y, nh\u01b0ng h\u1ecd kh\u00f4ng \u1edf v\u1ecb th\u1ebf \u0111\u1ec3 l\u00e0m \u0111i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00f3. N\u00f3i \u0111\u00fang h\u01a1n, Brussels hi\u1ec7n \u0111ang c\u1ea7n Washington h\u01a1n bao gi\u1edd h\u1ebft. L\u00fd do r\u1ea5t \u0111\u01a1n gi\u1ea3n: xuy\u00ean su\u1ed1t l\u1ecbch s\u1eed, l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng ch\u1ecbu tr\u00e1ch nhi\u1ec7m l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t cho qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh h\u1ed9i nh\u1eadp Ch\u00e2u \u00c2u ch\u00ednh l\u00e0 M\u1ef9<\/mark>. <\/strong>S\u1ef1 \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 c\u1ee7a Washington \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi m\u1ed9t Ch\u00e2u \u00c2u th\u1ed1ng nh\u1ea5t b\u1eaft ngu\u1ed3n t\u1eeb cu\u1ed1i Th\u1ebf chi\u1ebfn II v\u00e0 ni\u1ec1m tin c\u1ee7a ch\u00ednh quy\u1ec1n Truman r\u1eb1ng h\u1ed9i nh\u1eadp l\u00e0 c\u00e1ch hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 nh\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ec3 t\u00e1i thi\u1ebft l\u1ee5c \u0111\u1ecba b\u1ecb t\u00e0n ph\u00e1 v\u00e0 ng\u0103n ch\u1eb7n s\u1ef1 lan r\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a ch\u1ee7 ngh\u0129a c\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n. C\u00e1ch ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i l\u00fac n\u00e0o c\u0169ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c hoan ngh\u00eanh. Ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 Anh th\u1eadm ch\u00ed c\u00f2n xem mong mu\u1ed1n c\u1ee7a Washington v\u1ec1 h\u1ed9i nh\u1eadp Ch\u00e2u \u00c2u l\u00e0 s\u1ef1 can thi\u1ec7p t\u1eeb b\u00ean ngo\u00e0i, \u0111e d\u1ecda c\u00e1c h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 d\u00e2n ch\u1ee7 c\u1ee7a Ch\u00e2u \u00c2u.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Do \u0111\u00f3, c\u00e1c th\u1ec3 ch\u1ebf h\u1ed9i nh\u1eadp kinh t\u1ebf Ch\u00e2u \u00c2u ban \u0111\u1ea7u \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c thi\u1ebft k\u1ebf \u0111\u1ec3 b\u1ed5 sung, ch\u1ee9 kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i thay th\u1ebf, ch\u1ee7 quy\u1ec1n qu\u1ed1c gia. Th\u1ecfa hi\u1ec7p n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 ch\u1ee9ng minh \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c s\u1ee9c b\u1ec1n phi th\u01b0\u1eddng. C\u00e1c nh\u00e0 l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o Ch\u00e2u \u00c2u \u0111\u00e3 n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c x\u00f3a b\u1ecf r\u00e0o c\u1ea3n v\u1ec1 giao ti\u1ebfp v\u00e0 trao \u0111\u1ed5i, b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u b\u1eb1ng vi\u1ec7c th\u00e0nh l\u1eadp T\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c H\u1ee3p t\u00e1c Kinh t\u1ebf Ch\u00e2u \u00c2u (OEEC) v\u00e0o n\u0103m 1948, v\u00e0 C\u1ed9ng \u0111\u1ed3ng Than Th\u00e9p Ch\u00e2u \u00c2u (ECSC) v\u00e0o n\u0103m 1951. S\u00e1u n\u0103m sau, ECSC \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c Hi\u1ec7p \u01b0\u1edbc Rome chuy\u1ec3n \u0111\u1ed5i th\u00e0nh C\u1ed9ng \u0111\u1ed3ng Kinh t\u1ebf Ch\u00e2u \u00c2u (EEC). Khi d\u1ef1 \u00e1n Ch\u00e2u \u00c2u d\u1ea7n \u0111i s\u00e2u v\u00e0 m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng, c\u00e1c th\u1ec3 ch\u1ebf v\u00e0 c\u01a1 quan h\u1ed9i nh\u1eadp kinh t\u1ebf c\u0169ng b\u00e1m r\u1ec5 v\u1eefng ch\u1eafc.<\/p>\n\n\n

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Tuy nhi\u00ean, qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh n\u00e0y kh\u00f4ng \u0111i k\u00e8m v\u1edbi m\u1ed9t s\u1ef1 h\u1ed9i nh\u1eadp t\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1 v\u1ec1 n\u0103ng l\u1ef1c qu\u1ed1c ph\u00f2ng. Sau khi Qu\u1ed1c h\u1ed9i Ph\u00e1p b\u1ecf phi\u1ebfu ch\u1ed1ng l\u1ea1i \u00fd t\u01b0\u1edfng v\u1ec1 m\u1ed9t C\u1ed9ng \u0111\u1ed3ng Ph\u00f2ng th\u1ee7 Ch\u00e2u \u00c2u v\u00e0o n\u0103m 1954, kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch qu\u1ed1c ph\u00f2ng chung n\u00e0o th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 c\u00f3 \u00fd ngh\u0129a \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n.<\/mark><\/strong> Thay v\u00e0o \u0111\u00f3, NATO quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh cung c\u1ea5p m\u1ed9t khu\u00f4n kh\u1ed5 ph\u00f2ng th\u1ee7 chung th\u00f4ng qua h\u1ee3p t\u00e1c li\u00ean ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7, \u0111\u1ea3m b\u1ea3o s\u1ef1 li\u00ean minh c\u1ee7a Ch\u00e2u \u00c2u v\u1edbi M\u1ef9 \u0111\u1ec3 ch\u1ed1ng l\u1ea1i Li\u00ean X\u00f4. \u0110\u1ed5i l\u1ea1i, Washington ch\u1ea5p nh\u1eadn r\u1eb1ng h\u1ecd s\u1ebd ph\u1ea3i g\u00e1nh ph\u1ea7n l\u1edbn g\u00e1nh n\u1eb7ng t\u00e0i tr\u1ee3 v\u00e0 tri\u1ec3n khai c\u00e1c t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 c\u1ea7n thi\u1ebft \u0111\u1ec3 r\u0103n \u0111e s\u1ef1 b\u00e0nh tr\u01b0\u1edbng c\u1ee7a Li\u00ean X\u00f4.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

H\u1ed3i k\u1ebft c\u1ee7a Chi\u1ebfn tranh L\u1ea1nh \u0111\u00e3 t\u1ea1o ra m\u1ed9t s\u1ef1 thay \u0111\u1ed5i. \u0110\u1ec3 ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng l\u1ea1i s\u1ef1 s\u1ee5p \u0111\u1ed5 c\u1ee7a B\u1ee9c t\u01b0\u1eddng Berlin n\u0103m 1989 v\u00e0 s\u1ef1 th\u1ed1ng nh\u1ea5t n\u01b0\u1edbc \u0110\u1ee9c n\u0103m 1990, Washington \u0111\u00e3 h\u1ee3p t\u00e1c v\u1edbi Paris v\u00e0 Berlin \u0111\u1ec3 th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y h\u1ed9i nh\u1eadp Ch\u00e2u \u00c2u ch\u1eb7t ch\u1ebd h\u01a1n.<\/strong> Hi\u1ec7p \u01b0\u1edbc Maastricht n\u0103m 1992 \u2013 n\u1ec1n t\u1ea3ng th\u00e0nh l\u1eadp Li\u00ean minh Ch\u00e2u \u00c2u \u2013 \u0111\u00e3 r\u00e0ng bu\u1ed9c c\u00e1c b\u00ean k\u00fd k\u1ebft v\u00e0o m\u1ed9t \u201cLi\u00ean minh ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng ch\u1eb7t ch\u1ebd\u201d c\u1ea3 v\u1ec1 kinh t\u1ebf v\u00e0 ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb, \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c m\u1ed9t ph\u1ea7n th\u00f4ng qua vi\u1ec7c t\u1ea1o ra \u0111\u1ed3ng euro.<\/mark><\/strong> \u0110\u1ec3 ng\u0103n ch\u1eb7n s\u1ef1 ph\u00e2n bi\u1ec7t \u0111\u1ed1i x\u1eed kinh t\u1ebf qu\u00e1 m\u1ee9c ch\u1ed1ng l\u1ea1i M\u1ef9, hi\u1ec7p \u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c g\u1eafn li\u1ec1n v\u1edbi vi\u1ec7c th\u00e0nh l\u1eadp T\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c Th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i Th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi (WTO) v\u00e0 m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn ph\u00e1p l\u00fd m\u1edbi \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea3m b\u1ea3o c\u00e1c th\u00f4ng l\u1ec7 c\u00f4ng b\u1eb1ng trong th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nh\u01b0ng ngay c\u1ea3 m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 h\u1ed9i nh\u1eadp h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf do Maastricht \u0111\u1ec1 xu\u1ea5t c\u0169ng g\u1eb7p ph\u1ea3i kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n \u1edf c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia th\u00e0nh vi\u00ean. C\u1eed tri \u0110an M\u1ea1ch \u0111\u00e3 t\u1eeb ch\u1ed1i hi\u1ec7p \u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y trong m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c tr\u01b0ng c\u1ea7u d\u00e2n \u00fd, v\u00e0 Copenhagen sau \u0111\u00f3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c trao m\u1ed9t lo\u1ea1t quy\u1ec1n mi\u1ec5n tr\u1eeb \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ed5i l\u1ea5y s\u1ef1 \u0111\u1ed3ng thu\u1eadn. T\u1ea1i Ph\u00e1p, c\u1eed tri \u0111\u00e3 \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 hi\u1ec7p \u01b0\u1edbc, nh\u01b0ng ch\u1ec9 v\u1edbi 51% s\u1ed1 phi\u1ebfu. Qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh ph\u00ea chu\u1ea9n t\u1ea1i Qu\u1ed1c h\u1ed9i \u0111\u00e3 l\u00e0m r\u1ea1n n\u1ee9t \u0110\u1ea3ng B\u1ea3o th\u1ee7 Anh, l\u00e0m suy y\u1ebfu nghi\u00eam tr\u1ecdng ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 c\u1ee7a Th\u1ee7 t\u01b0\u1edbng John Major. N\u1ebfu Hi\u1ec7p \u01b0\u1edbc Maastricht c\u00f2n bao g\u1ed3m m\u1ed9t cam k\u1ebft th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 v\u1ec1 ph\u00f2ng th\u1ee7 chung, vi\u1ec7c ph\u00ea chu\u1ea9n c\u00f3 l\u1ebd s\u1ebd l\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec1u b\u1ea5t kh\u1ea3.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

D\u00f9 v\u1eady, th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn c\u0169 v\u1eabn \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c gi\u1eef nguy\u00ean. S\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1ea3m b\u1ea3o r\u1eb1ng c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc Ch\u00e2u \u00c2u c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u00e0o s\u00e2u h\u1ed9i nh\u1eadp kinh t\u1ebf v\u00e0 theo \u0111u\u1ed5i vi\u1ec7c m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng trong khi b\u1ecf qua v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 ph\u00f2ng th\u1ee7 chung. Gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb c\u1ee7a s\u1ef1 ph\u00e2n chia tr\u00e1ch nhi\u1ec7m n\u00e0y \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 cao \u1edf Washington, v\u00e0 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c Th\u01b0\u1ee3ng ngh\u1ecb s\u0129 M\u1ef9 Richard Lugar b\u00e0y t\u1ecf r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng nh\u1ea5t trong m\u1ed9t b\u00e0i ph\u00e1t bi\u1ec3u n\u0103m 1993. \u00d4ng l\u1eadp lu\u1eadn r\u1eb1ng NATO l\u00e0 c\u1ea7n thi\u1ebft \u0111\u1ec3 ng\u0103n ch\u1eb7n \u201cni\u1ec1m t\u1ef1 h\u00e0o d\u00e2n t\u1ed9c l\u00e0nh m\u1ea1nh\u201d \u2013 \u0111i\u1ec1u r\u1ea5t quan tr\u1ecdng \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi m\u1ed9t l\u1ee5c \u0111\u1ecba h\u00f2a b\u00ecnh v\u00e0 th\u1ecbnh v\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u2013 bi\u1ebfn th\u00e0nh \u201cch\u1ee7 ngh\u0129a d\u00e2n t\u1ed9c b\u00e0i ngo\u1ea1i t\u00e0n ph\u00e1.\u201d Lugar c\u0169ng c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o, n\u1ebfu li\u00ean minh n\u00e0y r\u1ea1n n\u1ee9t, Ch\u00e2u \u00c2u s\u1ebd c\u00f3 \u201cnguy c\u01a1 v\u1ee1 v\u1ee5n m\u1ed9t l\u1ea7n n\u1eefa.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

C\u1ee4C DI\u1ec6N THAY \u0110\u1ed4I<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Trong giai \u0111o\u1ea1n gi\u1eefa c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng ng\u00e0y 11\/09\/2001 v\u00e0 vi\u1ec7c Nga s\u00e1p nh\u1eadp Crimea v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2014, m\u1ed1i \u0111e d\u1ecda \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi khu v\u1ef1c Ch\u00e2u \u00c2u-\u0110\u1ea1i T\u00e2y D\u01b0\u01a1ng ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu \u0111\u1ebfn t\u1eeb ch\u1ee7 ngh\u0129a kh\u1ee7ng b\u1ed1 H\u1ed3i gi\u00e1o to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u. Gi\u1edd \u0111\u00e2y, m\u1ed1i \u0111e d\u1ecda \u0111\u00f3 \u0111\u1ebfn t\u1eeb m\u1ed9t n\u01a1i g\u1ea7n nh\u00e0 h\u01a1n r\u1ea5t nhi\u1ec1u, m\u1ed9t th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn qua cu\u1ed9c x\u00e2m l\u01b0\u1ee3c to\u00e0n di\u1ec7n c\u1ee7a T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng Nga Vladimir Putin v\u00e0o Ukraine n\u0103m 2022.<\/strong> H\u1ed3i k\u1ebft c\u1ee7a Chi\u1ebfn tranh L\u1ea1nh \u0111\u00e3 bu\u1ed9c d\u1ef1 \u00e1n Ch\u00e2u \u00c2u ph\u1ea3i thay \u0111\u1ed5i; th\u1eddi \u0111\u1ea1i m\u1edbi n\u00e0y, khi to\u00e0n v\u1eb9n l\u00e3nh th\u1ed5 c\u1ee7a Ch\u00e2u \u00c2u l\u1ea1i m\u1ed9t l\u1ea7n n\u1eefa g\u1eb7p r\u1ee7i ro, c\u0169ng ph\u1ea3i th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y m\u1ed9t h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng t\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1.<\/p>\n\n\n

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Nhu c\u1ea7u thay \u0111\u1ed5i c\u00e0ng tr\u1edf n\u00ean c\u1ea5p b\u00e1ch b\u1edfi s\u1ef1 d\u1ecbch chuy\u1ec3n quy\u1ec1n l\u1ef1c to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u h\u01b0\u1edbng v\u1ec1 Th\u00e1i B\u00ecnh D\u01b0\u01a1ng.<\/mark><\/strong> Khi Hi\u1ec7p \u01b0\u1edbc Maastricht \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c k\u00fd k\u1ebft v\u00e0o n\u0103m 1992, Li\u00ean minh Ch\u00e2u \u00c2u v\u00e0 M\u1ef9 c\u00f9ng nhau chi\u1ebfm h\u01a1n m\u1ed9t n\u1eeda n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u. Th\u1ecb ph\u1ea7n c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 v\u1eabn gi\u1eef nguy\u00ean, \u1edf m\u1ee9c 26,3% v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2023. Nh\u01b0ng t\u1ef7 tr\u1ecdng c\u1ee7a Li\u00ean minh Ch\u00e2u \u00c2u \u0111\u00e3 b\u1ecb thu h\u1eb9p \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3, xu\u1ed1ng ch\u1ec9 c\u00f2n 14,7%. Trong khi \u0111\u00f3, Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u01b0\u01a1n l\u00ean tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed1i th\u1ee7 ngang t\u1ea7m c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9.<\/strong> WTO \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c h\u00ecnh th\u00e0nh nh\u01b0 m\u1ed9t ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ti\u1ec7n \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh quan h\u1ec7 th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i M\u1ef9-EU nh\u01b0 m\u1ed9t ph\u1ea7n c\u1ee7a n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u h\u00f3a m\u1edbi, nh\u01b0ng n\u00f3 l\u1ea1i th\u1ea5t b\u1ea1i trong vi\u1ec7c th\u00e1ch th\u1ee9c Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u1ec1 h\u00e0nh vi \u0111\u00e1nh c\u1eafp t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n tr\u00ed tu\u1ec7 c\u00f3 h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng v\u00e0 c\u00e1c ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p ph\u1ea3n c\u1ea1nh tranh c\u1ee7a n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y. B\u1eafc Kinh ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng tr\u1edf n\u00ean quy\u1ebft \u0111o\u00e1n tr\u00ean tr\u01b0\u1eddng qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf, v\u00e0 do \u0111\u00f3 Washington c\u1ea3m th\u1ea5y c\u1ea7n ph\u1ea3i chuy\u1ec3n d\u1eddi c\u00e1c ngu\u1ed3n l\u1ef1c c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh kh\u1ecfi Ch\u00e2u \u00c2u, \u0111\u1ec3 b\u1ea3o v\u1ec7 \u0110\u00e0i Loan v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed1i ph\u00f3 v\u1edbi nh\u1eefng th\u00e1ch th\u1ee9c \u1edf M\u1ef9 Latinh.<\/mark><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ch\u00ednh quy\u1ec1n Trump \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u00fang khi cho r\u1eb1ng quan h\u1ec7 xuy\u00ean \u0110\u1ea1i T\u00e2y D\u01b0\u01a1ng c\u1ea7n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u00e1i c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac. <\/mark>Nh\u01b0 Peter Harrell \u0111\u00e3 l\u1eadp lu\u1eadn tr\u00ean\u00a0Foreign Affairs<\/em>, c\u00e1ch ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn mang t\u00ednh ph\u1ed5 qu\u00e1t v\u00e0 ph\u00e1p l\u00fd \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf t\u1eebng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c theo \u0111u\u1ed5i trong th\u1eadp ni\u00ean 1990 \u0111\u00e3 kh\u00f4ng c\u00f2n ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p trong k\u1ef7 nguy\u00ean c\u1ee7a c\u1ea1nh tranh gi\u1eefa c\u00e1c si\u00eau c\u01b0\u1eddng. C\u00e1c th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i m\u1edbi m\u00e0 Washington k\u00fd v\u1edbi Li\u00ean minh Ch\u00e2u \u00c2u v\u00e0 Anh v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2025, v\u1edbi tr\u1ecdng t\u00e2m l\u00e0 an ninh kinh t\u1ebf v\u00e0 gi\u1ea3i quy\u1ebft t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng d\u01b0 th\u1eeba c\u00f4ng su\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c, l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t b\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111i \u0111\u00fang h\u01b0\u1edbng.<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

NH\u1eeeNG \u00dd \u0110\u1ecaNH T\u1ed0T \u0110\u1eb8P<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Gi\u1eefa b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh n\u00e0y, c\u0169ng d\u1ec5 hi\u1ec3u khi xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n nh\u1eefng l\u1eddi k\u00eau g\u1ecdi Li\u00ean minh Ch\u00e2u \u00c2u tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh m\u1ed9t \u201cc\u01b0\u1eddng qu\u1ed1c to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u.\u201d Nh\u01b0ng nh\u1eefng l\u1eddi k\u00eau g\u1ecdi \u1ea5y mang theo nguy c\u01a1 g\u00e2y ra th\u1ea3m h\u1ecda cho c\u1ea3 hai b\u1edd \u0110\u1ea1i T\u00e2y D\u01b0\u01a1ng.<\/strong> <\/mark>Li\u00ean minh Ch\u00e2u \u00c2u kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed9i, v\u00e0 Brussels kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 chi ti\u1ec1n tr\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp cho qu\u1ed1c ph\u00f2ng. H\u1ecd ch\u1ec9 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 tr\u1ee3 c\u1ea5p cho c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia th\u00e0nh vi\u00ean th\u00f4ng qua c\u00e1c kho\u1ea3n t\u00e0i tr\u1ee3 t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh ho\u1eb7c, v\u1ec1 l\u00fd thuy\u1ebft, b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch ph\u00e1t h\u00e0nh n\u1ee3 chung<\/mark><\/strong>. Theo h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i, h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng tr\u1ee3 c\u1ea5p s\u1ebd t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u01b0\u01a1ng v\u1edbi vi\u1ec7c chuy\u1ec3n giao ngu\u1ed3n ti\u1ec1n t\u1eeb \u0110\u1ee9c v\u00e0 H\u00e0 Lan sang Ph\u00e1p, Hy L\u1ea1p, \u00dd, v\u00e0 c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia chi ti\u00eau cao kh\u00e1c. V\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 l\u00e0 nh\u1eefng n\u01b0\u1edbc c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng h\u01b0\u1edfng l\u1ee3i n\u00e0y c\u00f3 c\u00e1c quan ng\u1ea1i an ninh ch\u00ednh \u0111\u00e1ng kh\u00e1c nhau, ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu \u1edf \u0110\u00f4ng \u0110\u1ecba Trung H\u1ea3i, Trung \u0110\u00f4ng, v\u00e0 B\u1eafc Phi, nh\u1eefng khu v\u1ef1c \u00edt li\u00ean quan \u0111\u1ebfn m\u1ed1i \u0111e d\u1ecda t\u1eeb Nga. Vi\u1ec7c y\u00eau c\u1ea7u ng\u01b0\u1eddi n\u1ed9p thu\u1ebf \u1edf \u0110\u1ee9c v\u00e0 H\u00e0 Lan t\u00e0i tr\u1ee3 v\u00f4 th\u1eddi h\u1ea1n cho nh\u1eefng cam k\u1ebft n\u00e0y c\u00f3 nguy c\u01a1 g\u00e2y ra ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng d\u1eef d\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ea7y nguy hi\u1ec3m.<\/p>\n\n\n

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M\u1ed9t l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c qu\u1ed1c ph\u00f2ng Ch\u00e2u \u00c2u h\u1ee3p nh\u1ea5t c\u0169ng \u0111\u00f2i h\u1ecfi c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia ph\u1ea3i t\u1eeb b\u1ecf c\u00e1c ngu\u1ed3n vi\u1ec7c l\u00e0m v\u00e0 doanh thu xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u tr\u1ecdng y\u1ebfu \u0111\u1ec3 \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 m\u1ed9t h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng c\u00f3 r\u1ea5t \u00edt s\u1ef1 gi\u00e1m s\u00e1t ho\u1eb7c ph\u1ed1i h\u1ee3p d\u00e2n ch\u1ee7.<\/strong> B\u1ea5t ch\u1ea5p nh\u1eefng l\u1eddi l\u1ebd hoa m\u1ef9 c\u1ee7a Macron, Ph\u00e1p \u0111ang l\u00e0 qu\u1ed1c gia ph\u1ea3n \u0111\u1ed1i m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd nh\u1ea5t vi\u1ec7c h\u1ee3p nh\u1ea5t l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c qu\u1ed1c ph\u00f2ng Ch\u00e2u \u00c2u. B\u1edfi m\u1ed9t b\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111i nh\u01b0 v\u1eady s\u1ebd bu\u1ed9c Paris ph\u1ea3i t\u1eeb b\u1ecf c\u00e1c nguy\u00ean t\u1eafc \u0111\u1ed9c l\u1eadp d\u00e2n t\u1ed9c v\u1ed1n \u0111\u00e3 d\u1eabn d\u1eaft ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch qu\u1ed1c gia c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb n\u0103m 1958.<\/mark><\/strong> Vi\u1ec7c Ph\u00e1p ch\u1ea7n ch\u1eeb kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ecbu t\u1eeb b\u1ecf quy\u1ec1n ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t qu\u1ed1c ph\u00f2ng \u0111\u00e3 ph\u00e1 h\u1ecfng d\u1ef1 \u00e1n m\u00e1y bay chi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ea5u FCAS Ph\u00e1p-\u0110\u1ee9c. Ng\u01b0\u1eddi ta r\u1ea5t d\u1ec5 ch\u1ec9 tr\u00edch Paris v\u00ec \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y, nh\u01b0ng nhi\u1ec1u quan ng\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd l\u00e0 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 hi\u1ec3u \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c. \u0110\u1ec3 t\u1ea1o ra m\u1ed9t l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c qu\u1ed1c ph\u00f2ng Ch\u00e2u \u00c2u s\u1ebd \u0111\u00f2i h\u1ecfi s\u1ef1 hi\u1ec3u bi\u1ebft chung gi\u1eefa t\u1ea5t c\u1ea3 c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia th\u00e0nh vi\u00ean v\u1ec1 b\u1ea3n ch\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a nh\u1eefng m\u1ed1i \u0111e d\u1ecda m\u00e0 Ch\u00e2u \u00c2u ph\u1ea3i \u0111\u1ed1i m\u1eb7t, c\u00e1ch nh\u1eefng m\u1ed1i \u0111e d\u1ecda \u0111\u00f3 \u0111\u1ecbnh h\u00ecnh s\u1ef1 ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c n\u0103ng l\u1ef1c m\u1edbi, ai s\u1ebd ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n tr\u00ed tu\u1ec7 \u0111\u1eb1ng sau nh\u1eefng n\u0103ng l\u1ef1c \u0111\u00f3, v\u00e0 tr\u00ean h\u1ebft, m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn chung \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u v\u0169 kh\u00ed. Brussels kh\u00f4ng s\u1edf h\u1eefu \u0111\u1ee7 n\u0103ng l\u1ef1c, chuy\u00ean m\u00f4n, ho\u1eb7c t\u00ednh ch\u00ednh danh d\u00e2n ch\u1ee7 \u0111\u1ec3 tr\u1ea3 l\u1eddi nh\u1eefng c\u00e2u h\u1ecfi n\u00e0y.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

M\u1ed9t hi\u1ec7p \u01b0\u1edbc m\u1edbi c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 gi\u1ea3i quy\u1ebft v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 n\u00e0y v\u00e0 thi\u1ebft l\u1eadp c\u1ea3 khu\u00f4n kh\u1ed5 l\u1eabn s\u1ef1 \u0111\u1ed3ng thu\u1eadn cho vi\u1ec7c h\u1ed9i nh\u1eadp Ch\u00e2u \u00c2u s\u00e2u r\u1ed9ng h\u01a1n trong l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c qu\u1ed1c ph\u00f2ng. Nh\u01b0ng n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n m\u1ed9t hi\u1ec7p \u01b0\u1edbc nh\u01b0 v\u1eady s\u1ebd l\u00e0m \u0111\u1ea3o l\u1ed9n n\u1ec1n ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb c\u1ee7a ch\u00e2u l\u1ee5c. M\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 qu\u1ed1c gia th\u00e0nh vi\u00ean hi\u1ec7n n\u1eb1m ngo\u00e0i NATO v\u00e0 \u0111ang cam k\u1ebft trung l\u1eadp, ho\u1eb7c c\u00f4ng khai b\u00e0y t\u1ecf thi\u1ec7n c\u1ea3m v\u1edbi Nga. Vi\u1ec7c thay \u0111\u1ed5i hi\u1ec7p \u01b0\u1edbc v\u00ec ph\u00f2ng th\u1ee7 chung s\u1ebd ph\u00e1 h\u1ee7y khu\u00f4n kh\u1ed5 h\u1ee3p t\u00e1c m\u1ecfng manh \u0111ang g\u1eafn k\u1ebft B\u1eafc \u00c2u v\u00e0 Nam \u00c2u l\u1ea1i v\u1edbi nhau. C\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia th\u00e0nh vi\u00ean ph\u00eda B\u1eafc nhi\u1ec1u kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng s\u1ebd t\u00ecm c\u00e1ch c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m c\u00e1c ch\u01b0\u01a1ng tr\u00ecnh ph\u00fac l\u1ee3i \u1edf c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia ph\u00eda Nam nh\u01b0 m\u1ed9t ph\u1ea7n c\u1ee7a b\u1ea5t k\u1ef3 \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u00e1i th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y chi ti\u00eau qu\u1ed1c ph\u00f2ng m\u1edbi n\u00e0o, nh\u01b0 Ngo\u1ea1i tr\u01b0\u1edfng \u0110\u1ee9c Johann Wadephul \u0111\u00e3 \u00e1m ch\u1ec9 v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng tr\u01b0\u1edbc. S\u1ef1 ph\u1ea3n \u0111\u1ed1i c\u1ee7a c\u00f4ng ch\u00fang \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi nh\u1eefng \u0111\u1ee3t c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m \u0111\u00f3 t\u1ea1i c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia n\u00e0y s\u1ebd l\u00e0 r\u1ea5t l\u1edbn.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Tr\u00ean h\u1ebft, b\u1ea5t k\u1ef3 \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u00e1i n\u00e0o h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u1edbi ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch qu\u1ed1c ph\u00f2ng chung \u0111\u1ec1u s\u1ebd \u0111e d\u1ecda kh\u1ebf \u01b0\u1edbc x\u00e3 h\u1ed9i c\u1ee7a \u0110\u1ee9c. S\u1ef1 k\u1ebft h\u1ee3p gi\u1eefa ngu\u1ed3n vi\u1ec7c l\u00e0m d\u1ed3i d\u00e0o trong ng\u00e0nh s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t-ch\u1ebf t\u1ea1o v\u00e0 t\u01b0 c\u00e1ch th\u00e0nh vi\u00ean trong khu v\u1ef1c \u0111\u1ed3ng euro \u0111\u00e3 gi\u00fap duy tr\u00ec n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y su\u1ed1t h\u00e0ng th\u1eadp k\u1ef7. <\/mark><\/strong>Nh\u01b0ng gi\u1edd \u0111\u00e2y, kh\u1ebf \u01b0\u1edbc x\u00e3 h\u1ed9i \u0111\u00f3 \u0111\u00e3 b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u r\u1ea1n n\u1ee9t. Ng\u00e0nh s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t-ch\u1ebf t\u1ea1o c\u1ee7a \u0110\u1ee9c \u0111ang ch\u1eadt v\u1eadt th\u00edch nghi sau khi m\u1ea5t \u0111i quy\u1ec1n ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn ngu\u1ed3n n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng gi\u00e1 r\u1ebb c\u1ee7a Nga. H\u1ecd c\u0169ng \u0111ang ch\u1ecbu \u00e1p l\u1ef1c kh\u1ed5ng l\u1ed3 v\u00e0 ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng ch\u1ea5t ch\u1ed3ng t\u1eeb s\u1ef1 c\u1ea1nh tranh c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c. H\u1ed3i th\u00e1ng 2, Brussels \u0111\u00e3 quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 Ukraine th\u00f4ng qua vi\u1ec7c ph\u00e1t h\u00e0nh n\u1ee3 chung thay v\u00ec s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n b\u1ecb t\u1ecbch thu c\u1ee7a Nga, b\u1ea5t ch\u1ea5p s\u1ef1 ph\u1ea3n \u0111\u1ed1i c\u1ee7a Berlin. V\u1ec1 c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n, nh\u1eefng ng\u01b0\u1eddi \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 quy\u1ec1n l\u1ef1c chung Ch\u00e2u \u00c2u \u0111ang y\u00eau c\u1ea7u nh\u1eefng ng\u01b0\u1eddi n\u1ed9p thu\u1ebf \u1edf \u0110\u1ee9c ph\u1ea3i \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi t\u0103ng chi ti\u00eau qu\u1ed1c ph\u00f2ng, mua s\u1eafm c\u00e1c thi\u1ebft b\u1ecb qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t b\u00ean ngo\u00e0i n\u01b0\u1edbc \u0110\u1ee9c, v\u00e0 tr\u1ee3 c\u1ea5p cho chi ti\u00eau qu\u1ed1c ph\u00f2ng c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc Ch\u00e2u \u00c2u kh\u00e1c. <\/strong>X\u00e9t ri\u00eang l\u1ebb, m\u1ed7i y\u00eau c\u1ea7u trong s\u1ed1 n\u00e0y \u0111\u1ec1u mang t\u00ednh ch\u00e2m ng\u00f2i xung \u0111\u1ed9t, c\u00f3 nguy c\u01a1 l\u00e0m t\u0103ng s\u1ef1 \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ea3ng ph\u00e1i c\u1ef1c \u0111oan c\u1ee7a c\u1ea3 c\u00e1nh t\u1ea3 v\u00e0 c\u00e1nh h\u1eefu. Khi g\u1ed9p chung l\u1ea1i, ch\u00fang ch\u1eb3ng kh\u00e1c g\u00ec m\u1ed9t th\u00f9ng thu\u1ed1c s\u00fang ch\u1ef1c ch\u1edd b\u00f9ng n\u1ed5.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

TR\u00c1NH XA B\u1edc V\u1ef0C CHIA R\u1ebc<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u0110\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ed5i m\u1edbi th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn Ch\u00e2u \u00c2u-\u0110\u1ea1i T\u00e2y D\u01b0\u01a1ng, c\u00e1c th\u1ec3 ch\u1ebf c\u1ee7a Li\u00ean minh Ch\u00e2u \u00c2u ph\u1ea3i l\u00f9i l\u1ea1i kh\u1ecfi c\u00e1c v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 qu\u1ed1c ph\u00f2ng v\u00e0 t\u1eadp trung v\u00e0o vi\u1ec7c th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng kinh t\u1ebf th\u00f4ng qua c\u00e1c th\u1ea9m quy\u1ec1n hi\u1ec7n c\u00f3. <\/mark><\/strong>Trong ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n, s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 s\u1ef1 thay th\u1ebf n\u00e0o cho vi\u1ec7c M\u1ef9 cung c\u1ea5p c\u00e1c n\u0103ng l\u1ef1c \u0111\u1eaft ti\u1ec1n v\u00e0 c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 ti\u00ean ti\u1ebfn c\u1ea7n thi\u1ebft \u0111\u1ec3 r\u0103n \u0111e Nga. Trong d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n, c\u00e1c ch\u01b0\u01a1ng tr\u00ecnh chi ti\u00eau m\u1edbi n\u00ean \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n th\u00f4ng qua c\u00e1c th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn li\u00ean ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7, v\u1edbi vi\u1ec7c NATO t\u1eadp trung v\u00e0o duy tr\u00ec kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng t\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u00e1c gi\u1eefa c\u00e1c th\u00e0nh vi\u00ean. Washington kh\u00f4ng n\u00ean k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng s\u1ef1 gia t\u0103ng chi ti\u00eau qu\u1ed1c ph\u00f2ng gi\u1eefa c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia th\u00e0nh vi\u00ean EU s\u1ebd b\u1eb1ng nhau v\u1ec1 t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 ph\u1ea7n tr\u0103m. Thay v\u00e0o \u0111\u00f3, nh\u1eefng cam k\u1ebft n\u00e0y n\u00ean kh\u00e1c nhau, t\u00f9y thu\u1ed9c v\u00e0o kh\u00f4ng gian t\u00e0i kh\u00f3a v\u00e0 s\u1ef1 s\u1eb5n l\u00f2ng c\u1ee7a c\u1eed tri \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi vi\u1ec7c gia t\u0103ng chi ti\u00eau. May m\u1eafn thay, c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia \u1edf B\u1eafc \u00c2u v\u00e0 \u1edf s\u01b0\u1eddn ph\u00eda \u0111\u00f4ng c\u1ee7a NATO ch\u00ednh l\u00e0 nh\u1eefng n\u01b0\u1edbc c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng v\u00e0 s\u1eb5n s\u00e0ng t\u0103ng c\u01b0\u1eddng ng\u00e2n s\u00e1ch qu\u1ed1c ph\u00f2ng nh\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ed1i ph\u00f3 v\u1edbi m\u1ed1i \u0111e d\u1ecda t\u1eeb Nga.<\/p>\n\n\n

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\"\"<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

C\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc Ch\u00e2u \u00c2u c\u0169ng n\u00ean t\u00ecm ki\u1ebfm c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c b\u00ean ngo\u00e0i bi\u00ean gi\u1edbi c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd. C\u00e1c d\u1ef1 \u00e1n nh\u01b0 ch\u01b0\u01a1ng tr\u00ecnh ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n m\u00e1y bay chi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ea5u GCAP gi\u1eefa \u00dd, Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n, v\u00e0 Anh s\u1ebd gi\u00fap t\u0103ng c\u01b0\u1eddng an ninh cho Ch\u00e2u \u00c2u. T\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1, Ba Lan \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u00fang khi h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u1edbi H\u00e0n Qu\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ec3 t\u00ecm ngu\u1ed3n cung thi\u1ebft b\u1ecb qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 v\u00e0 h\u1ecdc h\u1ecfi chuy\u00ean m\u00f4n, v\u00ec c\u1ea3 hai \u0111\u1ec1u d\u1ef1a v\u00e0o l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng b\u1ed9 binh th\u00f4ng th\u01b0\u1eddng quy m\u00f4 l\u1edbn. C\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia th\u00e0nh vi\u00ean EU n\u00ean cam k\u1ebft trao t\u01b0 c\u00e1ch \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c cho t\u1ea5t c\u1ea3 c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed3ng minh hi\u1ec7p \u01b0\u1edbc c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 trong c\u00e1c s\u00e1ng ki\u1ebfn t\u00e0i tr\u1ee3 qu\u1ed1c ph\u00f2ng c\u1ee7a Brussels. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y s\u1ebd khuy\u1ebfn kh\u00edch s\u1ef1 h\u1ee3p t\u00e1c \u0111\u00f4i b\u00ean c\u00f9ng c\u00f3 l\u1ee3i v\u00e0 h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf mong mu\u1ed1n c\u1ee7a \u1ee6y ban Ch\u00e2u \u00c2u trong vi\u1ec7c s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng t\u00e1i v\u0169 trang nh\u01b0 m\u1ed9t c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 \u0111\u1ec3 h\u1ed9i nh\u1eadp.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u0110\u1ed1i t\u00e1c quan tr\u1ecdng nh\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 trong qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh t\u00e1i c\u00e2n b\u1eb1ng n\u00e0y v\u1eabn l\u00e0 Anh. Th\u00f4ng qua h\u1ee3p t\u00e1c h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n v\u00e0 c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p-qu\u1ed1c ph\u00f2ng, c\u0169ng nh\u01b0 m\u1ea1ng l\u01b0\u1edbi chia s\u1ebb t\u00ecnh b\u00e1o Ng\u0169 Nh\u00e3n, London v\u00e0 Washington duy tr\u00ec m\u1ed9t t\u00ecnh b\u1ea1n \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb ch\u01b0a t\u1eebng c\u00f3 v\u00e0 ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng s\u00e2u s\u1eafc.<\/strong> Ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 B\u1ea3o th\u1ee7 ti\u1ec1n nhi\u1ec7m \u0111\u00e3 ti\u00ean phong trong c\u00e1c quan h\u1ec7 \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c ph\u00f2ng \u201cti\u1ec3u \u0111a ph\u01b0\u01a1ng\u201d th\u00f4ng qua AUKUS, th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn an ninh gi\u1eefa Australia, Anh, v\u00e0 M\u1ef9, v\u00e0 th\u00f4ng qua L\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng Vi\u1ec5n chinh Chung, m\u1ed9t ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ti\u1ec7n h\u1ee3p t\u00e1c gi\u1eefa c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc Baltic v\u00e0 Bi\u1ec3n B\u1eafc \u0111\u1ec3 ch\u1ed1ng l\u1ea1i c\u00e1c h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a Nga. Nh\u01b0ng n\u00f3i v\u1eady kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 ngh\u0129a l\u00e0 London \u0111ang l\u00e0m t\u1ea5t c\u1ea3 nh\u1eefng g\u00ec h\u1ecd n\u00ean l\u00e0m. B\u1ea5t ch\u1ea5p s\u1ef1 \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd c\u1ee7a l\u01b0\u1ee1ng \u0111\u1ea3ng d\u00e0nh cho Ukraine, chi ti\u00eau qu\u1ed1c ph\u00f2ng c\u1ee7a Anh v\u1eabn t\u0103ng qu\u00e1 ch\u1eadm v\u00e0 d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ea1t 3,5% cho \u0111\u1ebfn n\u0103m 2035. Washington n\u00ean khuy\u1ebfn kh\u00edch Anh chi ti\u00eau 3% GDP tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi Qu\u1ed1c h\u1ed9i hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i k\u1ebft th\u00fac nhi\u1ec7m k\u1ef3 v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2029.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

B\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch \u01b0u ti\u00ean h\u1ee3p t\u00e1c li\u00ean ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 gi\u1eefa c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia c\u00f3 c\u00f9ng ch\u00ed h\u01b0\u1edbng, Washington v\u00e0 Brussels c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea3m b\u1ea3o h\u00f2a b\u00ecnh v\u00e0 th\u1ecbnh v\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u1edf Ch\u00e2u \u00c2u cho m\u1ed9t th\u1ebf h\u1ec7 n\u1eefa. Tuy nhi\u00ean, \u0111\u1ec3 l\u00e0m \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00f3, c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 ho\u1ea1ch \u0111\u1ecbnh ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch \u1edf c\u1ea3 hai b\u1edd \u0110\u1ea1i T\u00e2y D\u01b0\u01a1ng c\u1ea7n nh\u00ecn nh\u1eadn c\u00e1c th\u1ec3 ch\u1ebf Ch\u00e2u \u00c2u \u0111\u00fang v\u1edbi b\u1ea3n ch\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a ch\u00fang, ch\u1ee9 kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i nh\u01b0 nh\u1eefng g\u00ec h\u1ecd mong mu\u1ed1n.<\/strong> Ph\u00e2n chia tr\u00e1ch nhi\u1ec7m gi\u1eefa c\u00e1c v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 kinh t\u1ebf v\u00e0 qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 \u0111\u00e3 duy tr\u00ec n\u1ec1n h\u00f2a b\u00ecnh tr\u00ean to\u00e0n khu v\u1ef1c Ch\u00e2u \u00c2u-\u0110\u1ea1i T\u00e2y D\u01b0\u01a1ng trong h\u01a1n 70 n\u0103m qua. B\u1ecf qua s\u1ef1 s\u1eafp x\u1ebfp n\u00e0y l\u00e0 \u0111\u00e1nh c\u01b0\u1ee3c v\u1edbi th\u1ea3m h\u1ecda.<\/mark><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hugo Bromley <\/strong>
Nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u vi\u00ean L\u1ecbch s\u1eed \u1ee8ng d\u1ee5ng t\u1ea1i Trung t\u00e2m \u0110\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb, \u0110\u1ea1i h\u1ecdc Cambridge.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ngu\u1ed3n tr\u00edch: Nghi\u00ean C\u1ee9u Qu\u1ed1c T\u1ebf<\/strong>
https:\/\/nghiencuuquocte.org\/2026\/03\/28\/chau-au-khong-the-la-mot-cuong-quoc-quan-su\/#more-66231<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u1ea2nh minh h\u1ecda: V\u1eadn H\u1ed9i M\u1edbi<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

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Ngu\u1ed3n: Hugo Bromley, \u201cEurope Cannot Be a Military Power,\u201d Foreign Affairs, 17\/03\/2026 Bi\u00ean d\u1ecbch: Nguy\u1ec5n Th\u1ecb Kim Ph\u1ee5ng T\u1ea1i sao h\u1ed9i nh\u1eadp qu\u1ed1c ph\u00f2ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0m r\u1ea1n n\u1ee9t l\u1ee5c \u0111\u1ecba gi\u00e0? K\u1ec3 t\u1eeb khi Th\u1ebf chi\u1ebfn II k\u1ebft th\u00fac, c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia T\u00e2y \u00c2u \u0111\u00e3 d\u1ef1a v\u00e0o M\u1ef9 \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea3m b\u1ea3o an ninh.\u0111\u1ecdc ti\u1ebfp…<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":28181,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[7,769,8,12,9],"tags":[165,118,212,119,315],"class_list":["entry","author-ntviet","post-28180","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-binhluan","category-chien-tranh","category-chinhtri-xahoi","category-chuyenmuc","category-kinhte","tag-binh-luan","tag-chinh-tri","tag-chuyen-de","tag-hoa-ky","tag-lien-au"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/28180","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=28180"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/28180\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":28269,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/28180\/revisions\/28269"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/28181"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=28180"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=28180"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=28180"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}