{"id":28351,"date":"2026-04-18T20:09:34","date_gmt":"2026-04-18T20:09:34","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/?p=28351"},"modified":"2026-04-18T20:09:36","modified_gmt":"2026-04-18T20:09:36","slug":"havana-bac-kinh-deu-bi-nghen-co-chai","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/?p=28351","title":{"rendered":"Havana & B\u1eafc Kinh \u0111\u1ec1u b\u1ecb \u201cngh\u1ebdn c\u1ed5 chai\u201d<\/strong>
Tr\u1ea7n nguy\u00ean Thao<\/span>"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Cuba ng\u00e0y nay.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

Cuba \u0111ang l\u00e2m v\u00e0o t\u00ecnh hu\u1ed1ng an sinh suy s\u1ee5p mau ch\u00f3ng trong to\u00e0n x\u00e3 h\u1ed9i do n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf ch\u1ec9 huy m\u1ea5t ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t. R\u1ea5t c\u00f3 th\u1ec3, sau bi\u1ebfn c\u1ed1 Venezuela M\u1ef9 s\u1ebd ch\u1ecdn \u201cCuba l\u00e0 m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau k\u1ebf ti\u1ebfp ngay khi r\u1ea3nh tay \u1edf Iran.\u201d T\u00ecnh hu\u1ed1ng n\u00e0y di\u1ec5n ra \u0111\u1ea9y B\u1eafc Kinh v\u00e0o th\u1ebf l\u00fang t\u00fang \u1edf T\u00e2y b\u00e1n c\u1ea7u, trong khi l\u1ea1i \u201cth\u1ea5t th\u1ebf\u201d \u1edf eo bi\u1ec3n Hormuz v\u00e0 c\u00f2n lo ng\u1ea1i M\u1ef9 s\u1ebd ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t eo bi\u1ec3n Malacca, n\u01a1i 80% d\u1ea7u m\u1ecf nh\u1eadp c\u1ea3ng c\u1ee7a Trung c\u1ed9ng ph\u1ea3i qua v\u00f9ng bi\u1ec3n h\u1eb9p n\u00e0y.<\/mark><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng Donald Trump \u0111\u01b0a ra tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 \u0111\u1ea7u th\u00e1ng 3, g\u00e2y ch\u00fa \u00fd v\u1ec1 \u0111\u1ecbnh h\u01b0\u1edbng ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi Cuba. H\u01b0\u1edbng v\u1ec1 ng\u01b0\u1eddi Cuba T\u1ef1 Do, TT Trump \u0111em l\u1ea1i ni\u1ec1m hy v\u1ecdng \u201cS\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng l\u00e2u n\u1eefa \u0111\u00e2u, c\u00e1c b\u1ea1n s\u1ebd \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i Cuba.\u201d<\/em> L\u1eddi h\u1ee9a c\u1ee7a TT Trump vang l\u00ean \u0111\u00fang l\u00fac Havana \u0111ang ch\u00ecm trong kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng kinh t\u1ebf t\u1ed3i t\u1ec7 nh\u1ea5t k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb th\u1eadp ni\u00ean 1990.<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

G\u1ea7n 10 tri\u1ec7u d\u00e2n Cuba \u0111ang \u201cv\u1eadt v\u00e3\u201d t\u1eebng ng\u00e0y trong c\u1ea3nh kh\u1ed1n c\u00f9ng \u0111an xen v\u1edbi kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb th\u00e0nh m\u1ed9t v\u00f2ng xo\u00e1y kh\u00f3 g\u1ee1. \u0110\u1ed3ng peso m\u1ea5t gi\u00e1 li\u00ean t\u1ee5c, l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf cao g\u1ea5p nhi\u1ec1u l\u1ea7n con s\u1ed1 ch\u00ednh th\u1ee9c, \u0111i\u1ec7n b\u1ecb c\u1eaft trung b\u00ecnh t\u1eeb 15 \u0111\u1ebfn 20 gi\u1edd m\u1ed7i ng\u00e0y; m\u00e1y b\u01a1m n\u01b0\u1edbc c\u0169ng ng\u1eebng theo, c\u00f2n h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng y t\u1ebf g\u1ea7n nh\u01b0 ki\u1ec7t qu\u1ec7. Thi\u1ebfu ngo\u1ea1i t\u1ec7 khi\u1ebfn Cuba kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 nh\u1eadp nhi\u00ean li\u1ec7u, thu\u1ed1c men hay th\u1ef1c ph\u1ea9m, \u0111\u1ea9y \u0111\u1eddi s\u1ed1ng ng\u01b0\u1eddi d\u00e2n xu\u1ed1ng m\u1ee9c b\u00e1o \u0111\u1ed9ng.<\/mark><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n

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Ng\u01b0\u1eddi d\u00e2n Cuba ph\u1ea3i moi r\u00e1c \u0111\u1ec3 t\u00ecm \u0111\u1ed3, 7-2025 (AP)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

Trong khi \u0111\u00f3, kho\u1ea3ng 40 ng\u00e0n c\u00e1n b\u1ed9 cao v\u00e0 trung c\u1ea5p (trong t\u1ed5ng s\u1ed1 500 ng\u00e0n \u0111\u1ea3ng vi\u00ean c\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n c\u00e1c ng\u00e0nh c\u1ee7a c\u1ed9ng \u0111\u1ea3ng Cuba) l\u1ea1i \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u01b0u \u0111\u00e3i \u0111\u1ec3 ph\u00e8 ph\u1ee1n \u1edf nh\u1eefng khu v\u1ef1c bi\u1ec7t l\u1eadp, c\u00f3 m\u00e1y ph\u00e1t \u0111i\u1ec7n, n\u01b0\u1edbc d\u1ef1 tr\u1eef, th\u1ef1c ph\u1ea9m nh\u1eadp c\u1ea3ng v\u00e0 \u0111\u1eb7c quy\u1ec1n ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn ngo\u1ea1i t\u1ec7 – trong m\u1ed9t Cuba kh\u00e1c h\u1eb3n v\u1edbi ph\u1ea7n c\u00f2n l\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ea5t n\u01b0\u1edbc.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

S\u1ef1 t\u01b0\u01a1ng ph\u1ea3n n\u00e0y l\u00e0m gia t\u0103ng ph\u1eabn n\u1ed9 khi\u1ebfn ng\u01b0\u1eddi d\u00e2n ph\u1ea3i ph\u1ea3n \u0111\u1ed1i, t\u1eeb nh\u1eefng ti\u1ebfng g\u00f5 xoong n\u1ed3i m\u1ed7i \u0111\u00eam \u0111\u1ebfn c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c bi\u1ec3u t\u00ecnh b\u1ed9c ph\u00e1t \u1edf nhi\u1ec1u t\u1ec9nh. Trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh \u0111\u00f3, tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 c\u1ee7a TT Trump \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c gi\u1edbi quan s\u00e1t xem nh\u01b0 t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u r\u1eb1ng, Washington c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u1eadn d\u1ee5ng th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m Cuba suy y\u1ebfu \u0111\u1ec3 gia t\u0103ng s\u1ee9c \u00e9p chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u00ean Havana. C\u00e1c ti\u1ebfp x\u00fac thoi \u0111\u01b0a \u00e2m th\u1ea7m cho th\u1ea5y ch\u00ednh quy\u1ec1n Trump \u0111ang c\u00e2n nh\u1eafc b\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111i ti\u1ebfp theo t\u1ea1i Caribe sau chi\u1ebfn d\u1ecbch qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 \u1edf Trung \u0110\u00f4ng. Nh\u01b0 th\u1ebf, c\u00e1c bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p si\u1ebft ch\u1eb7t kinh t\u1ebf \u0111\u00e3 khi\u1ebfn Cuba \u201cthay \u0111\u1ed5i \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3\u201d, v\u00e0 M\u1ef9 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd h\u01a1n khi r\u1ea3nh tay h\u01a1n \u1edf v\u00f9ng V\u1ecbnh. [1]<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

T\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh Cuba \u0111ang b\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00e0o m\u1ed9t giai \u0111o\u1ea1n m\u00e0 nhi\u1ec1u nh\u00e0 quan s\u00e1t m\u00f4 t\u1ea3 l\u00e0 \u201cngh\u1ebdn c\u1ed5 chai\u201d: <\/strong>T\u00ednh \u0111\u1ebfn gi\u1eefa th\u00e1ng 4 n\u0103m 2026, Cuba ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 m\u1ee9c l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t ch\u00ednh th\u1ee9c kho\u1ea3ng 12\u201315%. C\u00f9ng l\u00fac, CEPAL (Comisi\u00f3n Econ\u00f3mica para Am\u00e9rica Latina y el Caribe) x\u1ebfp Cuba v\u00e0o nh\u00f3m \u201cchronic inflation\u201d m\u1ed9t trong 3 n\u01b0\u1edbc l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t cao nh\u1ea5t ch\u00e2u M\u1ef9 La Tinh t\u1eeb n\u0103m 2024 v\u00e0 ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng \u0111\u1ebfn 2026. Tr\u00ean th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf, l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t \u201cde facto\u201d t\u1ea1i Cuba \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u01b0\u1edbc t\u00ednh dao \u0111\u1ed9ng t\u1eeb 150% \u0111\u1ebfn 500%, t\u00f9y nh\u00f3m h\u00e0ng v\u00e0 khu v\u1ef1c. Nh\u1eefng m\u1eb7t h\u00e0ng thi\u1ebft y\u1ebfu nh\u01b0 th\u1ecbt, d\u1ea7u \u0103n, thu\u1ed1c men, x\u0103ng v\u00e0 c\u00e1c d\u1ecbch v\u1ee5 v\u1eadn t\u1ea3i ghi nh\u1eadn m\u1ee9c t\u0103ng 300\u2013500% so v\u1edbi n\u0103m tr\u01b0\u1edbc. Nguy\u00ean nh\u00e2n ch\u00ednh l\u00e0 t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 ch\u1ee3 \u0111en m\u1ea5t ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t: \u0111\u1ed3ng peso giao d\u1ecbch \u1edf m\u1ee9c cao g\u1ea5p nhi\u1ec1u l\u1ea7n t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 ch\u00ednh th\u1ee9c, khi\u1ebfn chi ph\u00ed nh\u1eadp c\u1ea3ng v\u00e0 gi\u00e1 h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a leo thang theo c\u1ea5p s\u1ed1 nh\u00e2n. \u0110\u1ed3ng peso c\u1ee7a Cuba so v\u1edbi M\u1ef9 kim v\u00e0o gi\u1eefa th\u00e1ng 4 xe x\u00edch \u0111\u00f4i ch\u00fat trong kho\u1ea3ng 525 CUP \u0111\u1ed5i \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c 1 M\u1ef9 kim. T\u00ednh ra \u0111\u1ed3ng peso Cuba \u0111\u00e3 m\u1ea5t kho\u1ea3ng 110% gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb ch\u1ec9 trong h\u01a1n ba th\u00e1ng \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m 2026. [2]<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n

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Fidel Castro, CT Cuba, th\u0103m Mi\u1ec1n B\u1eafc VN, 9-1973<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

S\u1ef1 ch\u00eanh l\u1ec7ch l\u1edbn gi\u1eefa hai m\u1ee9c l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t kh\u1edfi \u0111i t\u1eeb ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 gi\u00e1 ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng (Consumer Price Index CPI): nhu y\u1ebfu ph\u1ea9m trong c\u1eeda h\u00e0ng \u201cm\u1eadu d\u1ecbch\u201d do nh\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc ki\u00eam so\u00e1t kh\u00f4ng c\u00f2n ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng th\u1eadt. Nhi\u1ec1u m\u1eb7t h\u00e0ng do nh\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea kh\u00f4ng xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n trong h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng ph\u00e2n ph\u1ed1i, ho\u1eb7c \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c b\u00e1n v\u1edbi gi\u00e1 m\u00e0 ng\u01b0\u1eddi d\u00e2n kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn. Trong khi \u0111\u00f3, 90% giao d\u1ecbch th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf di\u1ec5n ra \u1edf th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u1ee3 \u0111en, n\u01a1i gi\u00e1 c\u1ea3 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng theo t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 M\u1ef9 kim tr\u00ean th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng t\u1ef1 do.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

G\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y Hoa K\u1ef3 gia t\u0103ng \u00e1p l\u1ef1c l\u00ean Cuba, vi\u1ec7n d\u1eabn c\u00e1o bu\u1ed9c r\u1eb1ng c\u00e1c ch\u01b0\u01a1ng tr\u00ecnh \u0111\u01b0a b\u00e1c s\u0129 Cuba ra n\u01b0\u1edbc ngo\u00e0i mang d\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u \u201clao \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u01b0\u1ee1ng b\u1ee9c\u201d. Trung tu\u1ea7n th\u00e1ng 4, h\u00e3ng tin AFP d\u1eabn ngu\u1ed3n tin t\u1eeb Washington xem \u0111\u00e2y l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t h\u00ecnh th\u1ee9c b\u00f3c l\u1ed9t c\u00f3 h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng, trong khi b\u00e1o c\u00e1o c\u1ee7a Inter-American Commission on Human Rights (IACHR) – \u1ee6y ban Nh\u00e2n quy\u1ec1n Li\u00ean M\u1ef9 – c\u01a1 quan \u0111\u1ed9c l\u1eadp thu\u1ed9c T\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c C\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia ch\u00e2u M\u1ef9 (OAS), chuy\u00ean theo d\u00f5i v\u00e0 b\u00e1o c\u00e1o v\u1ec1 t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng nh\u00e2n quy\u1ec1n c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 \u0111\u1ea7u th\u00e1ng 4, l\u1ea1i t\u1ed1 c\u00e1o Cuba gi\u1eef l\u1ea1i ph\u1ea7n l\u1edbn l\u01b0\u01a1ng c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c y s\u1ef9, t\u1ecbch thu h\u1ed9 chi\u1ebfu v\u00e0 th\u1eadm ch\u00ed \u0111e d\u1ecda \u00e1n t\u00f9 8 n\u0103m \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi nh\u1eefng ai t\u00ecm c\u00e1ch \u1edf l\u1ea1i n\u01b0\u1edbc ngo\u00e0i<\/strong>. T\u1eeb th\u1eadp ni\u00ean 1960, vi\u1ec7c huy \u0111\u1ed9ng b\u00e1c s\u1ef9 v\u00e0 y t\u00e1 \u0111i c\u00f4ng t\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf t\u1eebng l\u00e0 ni\u1ec1m t\u1ef1 h\u00e0o v\u00e0 ngu\u1ed3n thu l\u1edbn c\u1ee7a Cuba, nh\u01b0ng d\u01b0\u1edbi \u00e1p l\u1ef1c t\u1eeb ch\u00ednh quy\u1ec1n Trump, Guatemala, Honduras, Jamaica v\u00e0 Guyana \u0111\u00e3 ch\u1ea5m d\u1ee9t c\u00e1c th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn y t\u1ebf v\u1edbi La Habana trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh \u0111\u1ea3o qu\u1ed1c n\u00e0y \u0111ang b\u00ean b\u1edd kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng kinh t\u1ebf. \u0110\u1ebfn ng\u00e0y 15 th\u00e1ng 4, c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c m\u1eadt \u0111\u00e0m M\u1ef9\u2013Cuba kh\u00f4ng ghi nh\u1eadn b\u01b0\u1edbc ti\u1ebfn n\u00e0o m\u1edbi<\/strong>, v\u00e0 Washington ch\u01b0a \u0111\u01b0a ra b\u1ea5t k\u1ef3 nh\u01b0\u1ee3ng b\u1ed9 n\u00e0o. Trong khi \u0111\u00f3, Ch\u1ee7 t\u1ecbch Miguel D\u00edaz\u2011Canel xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n tr\u00ean truy\u1ec1n th\u00f4ng M\u1ef9 v\u1edbi gi\u1ecdng \u0111i\u1ec7u c\u1ee9ng r\u1eafn h\u01a1n, tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 Cuba \u201cs\u1eb5n s\u00e0ng chi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ea5u\u201d, nh\u01b0ng \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi h\u00e9 m\u1edf v\u00e0i \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh<\/strong>: tham gia \u0111\u1ed1i tho\u1ea1i, cho ph\u00e9p \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 d\u1ea7u kh\u00ed t\u1eeb M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c c\u00e1c b\u01b0\u1edbc n\u1edbi kinh t\u1ebf h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf. Nh\u1eefng t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u n\u00e0y cho th\u1ea5y Havana \u0111ang d\u1ecbch chuy\u1ec3n chi\u1ebfn thu\u1eadt<\/strong> \u0111\u1ec3 gi\u1ea3m \u00e1p l\u1ef1c, d\u00f9 ch\u01b0a ch\u1ea5p nh\u1eadn thay \u0111\u1ed5i ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb. [3]<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Cho \u0111\u1ebfn nay, k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c m\u1eadt \u0111\u00e0m M\u1ef9\u2013Cuba \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0a \u0111\u1ebfn nh\u1eefng nh\u01b0\u1ee3ng b\u1ed9 nh\u1ecf nh\u01b0ng c\u00f3 \u00fd ngh\u0129a: d\u1ea7u \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ph\u00e9p v\u00e0o, t\u00f9 nh\u00e2n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u1ea3, \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 ki\u1ec1u d\u00e2n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c m\u1edf c\u1eeda, v\u00e0 h\u1ee3p t\u00e1c an ninh \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c n\u1ed1i l\u1ea1i.<\/strong> \u0110\u00e2y ch\u01b0a ph\u1ea3i l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed9t ph\u00e1, nh\u01b0ng l\u00e0 d\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u cho th\u1ea5y Havana \u0111ang t\u00ecm \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng tho\u00e1t kh\u1ecfi th\u1ebf b\u00ed. Tuy nhi\u00ean, nh\u1eefng nh\u01b0\u1ee3ng b\u1ed9 n\u00e0y kh\u00f4ng gi\u1ea3i quy\u1ebft \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c g\u1ed1c r\u1ec5: m\u1ed9t x\u00e3 h\u1ed9i ki\u1ec7t qu\u1ec7, m\u1ed9t n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf t\u00ea li\u1ec7t v\u00e0 m\u1ed9t ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9 \u0111ang m\u1ea5t d\u1ea7n t\u00ednh ch\u00ednh danh.<\/p>\n\n\n

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D\u00e2n ch\u00fang Cuba bi\u1ec3u t\u00ecnh ch\u1ed1ng ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7, 7-2021<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

Trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh \u0111\u00f3, d\u00e2n ch\u00fang c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ee7 s\u1ee9c l\u1eadt \u0111\u1ed5 ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9, nh\u01b0ng h\u1ecd \u0111ang t\u1ea1o ra m\u1ed9t \u00e1p l\u1ef1c \u201cb\u00e0o m\u00f2n\u201d bu\u1ed9c ch\u00ednh quy\u1ec1n ph\u1ea3i m\u1edf c\u1eeda kinh t\u1ebf v\u00e0 n\u1edbi l\u1ecfng ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb \u0111\u1ebfn m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ec3 tr\u00e1nh s\u1ee5p \u0111\u1ed5. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec3m m\u00e0 B\u1eafc Kinh lo ng\u1ea1i: n\u1ebfu Cuba nghi\u00eang v\u1ec1 M\u1ef9 \u0111\u1ec3 sinh t\u1ed3n, Trung c\u1ed9ng s\u1ebd d\u1ea7n b\u1ecb \u0111\u1ea9y v\u00e0o th\u1ebf \u201cth\u1eaft c\u1ed5 chai\u201d, m\u1ea5t m\u1ed9t b\u00e0n \u0111\u1ea1p chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c ngay s\u00e1t n\u01b0\u1edbc M\u1ef9.<\/mark><\/strong> T\u01b0\u01a1ng lai g\u1ea7n c\u1ee7a Cuba v\u00ec th\u1ebf s\u1ebd l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh \u201c\u0111\u1ed5i h\u01b0\u1edbng c\u00f3 ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t\u201d, n\u01a1i ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9 c\u1ed1 gi\u1eef quy\u1ec1n l\u1ef1c, M\u1ef9 t\u00ecm c\u00e1ch gi\u1ea3m \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng Nga\u2013T\u1ea7u, c\u00f2n ng\u01b0\u1eddi d\u00e2n, d\u00f9 ch\u01b0a c\u00f3 t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c, v\u1eabn l\u00e0 l\u1ef1c \u0111\u1ea9y \u00e2m th\u1ea7m nh\u01b0ng m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd nh\u1ea5t.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sau b\u1ecb th\u00fac th\u1ee7 \u1edf Venezuela, nhi\u1ec1u ph\u00e2n t\u00edch cho r\u1eb1ng B\u1eafc Kinh s\u1ebd duy tr\u00ec hi\u1ec7n di\u1ec7n chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u1ea1i Cuba nh\u01b0ng tr\u00e1nh d\u1ea5n s\u00e2u v\u1ec1 t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi ph\u00e2n t\u00e1n \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng sang c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc kh\u00e1c trong khu v\u1ef1c. Cuba v\u00ec th\u1ebf \u0111\u1ee9ng gi\u1eefa th\u1ebf k\u1eb9p c\u1ee7a ba th\u1ebf l\u1ef1c: \u00e1p l\u1ef1c M\u1ef9, s\u1ef1 d\u00e8 d\u1eb7t c\u1ee7a Trung c\u1ed9ng v\u00e0 ngu\u1ed3n l\u1ef1c suy y\u1ebfu c\u1ee7a Nga – t\u1ea1o n\u00ean m\u1ed9t th\u1ebf \u201cngh\u1ebdn c\u1ed5 chai\u201d kh\u00f3 tho\u00e1t trong ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Trong khi Cuba r\u01a1i v\u00e0o t\u00ecnh hu\u1ed1ng \u201cth\u1eaft c\u1ed5 chai\u201d v\u00ec thi\u1ebfu ngo\u1ea1i t\u1ec7 d\u1eabn t\u1edbi thi\u1ebfu nhi\u00ean li\u1ec7u, m\u1ea5t \u0111i\u1ec7n v\u00e0 t\u00ea li\u1ec7t s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t, Vi\u1ec7t Nam l\u1ea1i m\u1eafc k\u1eb9t \u1edf \u0111i\u1ec3m ngh\u1ebdn th\u1ec3 ch\u1ebf: quy\u1ec1n ph\u00ea duy\u1ec7t \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 \u0111ang ch\u1edd \u0111\u1eb7t v\u00e0o tay C\u00f4ng An khi d\u1ef1 th\u1ea3o lu\u1eadt \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u00f4ng qua. Cuba ngh\u1ebdn v\u00ec kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 ngu\u1ed3n l\u1ef1c v\u1eadt ch\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ec3 v\u1eadn h\u00e0nh h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng; Vi\u1ec7t Nam ngh\u1ebdn v\u00ec v\u1eabn n\u1eb1m trong khu\u00f4n kh\u1ed5 \u201ckinh t\u1ebf ch\u1ec9 huy\u201d, n\u01a1i m\u1ecdi quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh l\u1edbn nh\u1ecf \u0111\u1ec1u ph\u1ea3i ch\u1edd m\u1ed9t trung t\u00e2m duy nh\u1ea5t.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u0110\u1ebfn m\u00f9a thu n\u00e0y (9\/2026), n\u1ebfu \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u00f4ng qua, B\u1ed9 C\u00f4ng an n\u1eafm tr\u1ecdn quy\u1ec1n th\u1ea9m \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u00e1c d\u1ef1 \u00e1n ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n tr\u00ean c\u01a1 s\u1edf an ninh qu\u1ed1c gia, \u00e1p d\u1ee5ng cho nhi\u1ec1u lo\u1ea1i h\u1ea1 t\u1ea7ng tr\u1ecdng y\u1ebfu nh\u01b0 nh\u00e0 m\u00e1y \u0111i\u1ec7n h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n, d\u1ecbch v\u1ee5 vi\u1ec5n th\u00f4ng v\u00e0 v\u1ec7 tinh c\u00f3 y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 n\u01b0\u1edbc ngo\u00e0i, c\u1ea3ng bi\u1ec3n v\u00e0 m\u1ecf d\u1ea7u kh\u00ed.<\/strong> [3]<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hai n\u01b0\u1edbc ch\u01b0 h\u1ea7u c\u1ee7a B\u1eafc Kinh l\u00e0 Cuba v\u00e0 Vi\u1ec7t Nam, m\u1ed7i n\u01b0\u1edbc \u1edf v\u00e0o tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p \u201ct\u1eafc ngh\u1ebdn\u201d kh\u00e1c nhau, nh\u01b0ng c\u0169ng khi\u1ebfn B\u1eafc Kinh c\u1ea3m th\u1ea5y kh\u1ed1i c\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n duy nh\u1ea5t s\u00f3t l\u1ea1i trong nh\u00e2n lo\u1ea1i \u0111ang b\u1ecb b\u00e0o m\u00f2n. T\u00ecnh hu\u1ed1ng n\u00e0y g\u1ea7n gi\u1ed1ng nh\u01b0 c\u00e1c chi th\u1ec3 c\u00f3 nh\u1eefng n\u01a1i b\u1ecb \u201cngh\u1ebdn m\u1ea1ch m\u00e1u\u201d. Nhi\u1ec1u \u201cchi th\u1ec3 r\u0169 li\u1ec7t\u201d s\u1ebd l\u00e0m cho th\u00e2n th\u1ec3 c\u00f3 l\u00fac r\u01a1i v\u00e0o t\u1ef1 h\u1ee7y.<\/p>\n\n\n

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Trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh Hoa K\u1ef3 phong t\u1ecfa c\u00e1c h\u1ea3i c\u1ea3ng c\u1ee7a Iran, g\u1ed3m c\u1ea3 eo bi\u1ec3n Hormuz, c\u1eaft \u0111\u1ee9t \u201cho\u00e0n to\u00e0n\u201d h\u1ea3i l\u1ed9 ngo\u1ea1i th\u01b0\u01a1ng c\u1ee7a Tehran, \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng kho\u1ea3ng 90% n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf, bao v\u00e2y ngu\u1ed3n \u201cti\u1ebfp m\u00e1u\u201d cho ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9 C\u1ed9ng H\u00f2a H\u1ed3i Gi\u00e1o Iran. C\u00f9ng l\u00fac, M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 Indonesia l\u1ea1i m\u1edbi k\u00fd k\u1ebft th\u1ecfa \u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c h\u1ee3p t\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c ph\u00f2ng (Major Defense Cooperation Partnership, MDCP), m\u1edf ra kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng Washington ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t eo bi\u1ec3n Malacca, tuy\u1ebfn v\u1eadn t\u1ea3i n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng s\u1ed1ng c\u00f2n c\u1ee7a B\u1eafc Kinh, ngay tr\u01b0\u1edbc th\u1ec1m cu\u1ed9c g\u1eb7p th\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u0111\u1ec9nh Trump – T\u1eadp t\u1ea1i B\u1eafc Kinh v\u00e0o gi\u1eefa th\u00e1ng 5 t\u1edbi \u0111\u00e2y. [4]<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Eo bi\u1ec3n Malacca v\u1edbi chi\u1ec1u d\u00e0i 805 c\u00e2y s\u1ed1, n\u01a1i h\u1eb9p nh\u1ea5t ch\u1ec9 1,2 c\u00e2y s\u1ed1 – n\u1ed1i v\u1edbi Th\u00e1i B\u00ecnh D\u01b0\u01a1ng \u1edf ph\u00eda \u0110\u00f4ng v\u00e0 \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 D\u01b0\u01a1ng \u1edf ph\u00eda T\u00e2y. M\u1ed7i ng\u00e0y eo bi\u1ec3n n\u00e0y c\u00f3 h\u00e0ng ng\u00e0n t\u1ea7u thuy\u1ec1n qua l\u1ea1i v\u00e0 t\u1eebng c\u00f3 th\u1eddi v\u1eadn chuy\u1ec3n \u0111\u1ebfn 11 tri\u1ec7u th\u00f9ng d\u1ea7u trong 1 ng\u00e0y, cung c\u1ea5p cho 3 n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf Trung c\u1ed9ng, Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n v\u00e0 H\u00e0n qu\u1ed1c.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Theo c\u00e1c ph\u00e2n t\u00edch qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf, kho\u1ea3ng 80% l\u01b0\u1ee3ng d\u1ea7u nh\u1eadp c\u1ea3ng c\u1ee7a Trung c\u1ed9ng \u0111i qua Malacca, c\u00f2n ph\u1ea7n l\u1edbn d\u1ea7u t\u1eeb Iran v\u00e0 v\u00f9ng V\u1ecbnh ph\u1ea3i v\u01b0\u1ee3t qua Hormuz. Ch\u1ec9 c\u1ea7n m\u1ed9t trong hai n\u01a1i b\u1ecb gi\u00e1n \u0111o\u1ea1n, c\u00e1c ng\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p ph\u1ee5 thu\u1ed9c d\u1ea7u \u2013 t\u1eeb h\u00f3a d\u1ea7u, luy\u1ec7n kim \u0111\u1ebfn s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t \u0111i\u1ec7n \u2013 \u0111\u1ec1u c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 b\u1ecb \u0111\u00ecnh tr\u1ec7. V\u00ec v\u1eady, nhi\u1ec1u chuy\u00ean gia m\u00f4 t\u1ea3 t\u00ecnh th\u1ebf n\u00e0y nh\u01b0 m\u1ed9t d\u1ea1ng \u201cth\u1eaft c\u1ed5 chai chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c\u201d \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi B\u1eafc Kinh: ch\u01b0a \u201cv\u00f4 v\u1ecdng\u201d, nh\u01b0ng l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t \u0111i\u1ec3m ngh\u1ebdn c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0m gi\u1ea3m t\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n \u0111ang \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1ea3i thi\u1ec7n trong qu\u00fd I n\u0103m nay (2026).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Khi tr\u1eadt t\u1ef1 to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng, Hormuz hay Malacca ho\u1eb7c c\u1ea3 hai b\u1ecb M\u1ef9 phong t\u1ecfa, B\u1eafc Kinh l\u1eadp t\u1ee9c l\u00e2m v\u00e0o th\u1ebf th\u1eaft c\u1ed5 chai chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c, khi\u1ebfn n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf suy ki\u1ec7t, b\u00e0o m\u00f2n t\u00ednh ch\u00ednh danh c\u1ee7a ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9 to\u00e0n tr\u1ecb; khi\u1ebfn c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc c\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng c\u0169ng \u201cr\u1ec7u r\u00e3\u201d.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Tr\u1ea7n nguy\u00ean Thao<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

[1] https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2026\/03\/05\/trump-hints-us-will-turn-to-cuba-after-iran.html<\/p>\n\n\n\n

[2]https:\/\/en.cibercuba.com\/noticias\/2025-08-05-u1-e208574-s27061-nid308406-pronostican-otros-dos-anos-penuria-economica-cuba<\/p>\n\n\n\n

[3] https:\/\/www.bbc.com\/vietnamese\/articles\/cderzw31ngpo<\/p>\n\n\n\n

[4] https:\/\/media.defense.gov\/2026\/Apr\/13\/2003911810\/-1\/-1\/1\/READOUT-OF-SECRETARY-OF-WAR-PETE-HEGSETH-MEETING-WITH-INDONESIA-MINISTER-OF-DEFENSE-SJAFRIE-SJAMSOEDDIN.PDF<\/p>\n

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<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Cuba \u0111ang l\u00e2m v\u00e0o t\u00ecnh hu\u1ed1ng an sinh suy s\u1ee5p mau ch\u00f3ng trong to\u00e0n x\u00e3 h\u1ed9i do n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf ch\u1ec9 huy m\u1ea5t ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t. R\u1ea5t c\u00f3 th\u1ec3, sau bi\u1ebfn c\u1ed1 Venezuela M\u1ef9 s\u1ebd ch\u1ecdn \u201cCuba l\u00e0 m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau k\u1ebf ti\u1ebfp ngay khi r\u1ea3nh tay \u1edf Iran.\u201d T\u00ecnh hu\u1ed1ng n\u00e0y\u0111\u1ecdc ti\u1ebfp…<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":27326,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[7,8,12,9],"tags":[165,118,212,574,119,82,226],"class_list":["entry","author-ntviet","post-28351","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-binhluan","category-chinhtri-xahoi","category-chuyenmuc","category-kinhte","tag-binh-luan","tag-chinh-tri","tag-chuyen-de","tag-cuba","tag-hoa-ky","tag-kinh-te","tag-xa-hoi"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/28351","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=28351"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/28351\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":28356,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/28351\/revisions\/28356"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/27326"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=28351"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=28351"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=28351"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}