{"id":28462,"date":"2026-06-29T18:54:14","date_gmt":"2026-06-29T18:54:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/?p=28462"},"modified":"2026-06-29T18:54:17","modified_gmt":"2026-06-29T18:54:17","slug":"tai-sao-cuoc-chien-tiep-theo-giua-an-do-va-pakistan-se-leo-thang","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/?p=28462","title":{"rendered":"T\u1ea1i sao cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn ti\u1ebfp theo gi\u1eefa \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 v\u00e0 Pakistan s\u1ebd leo thang<\/strong>
Elizabeth Threlkeld<\/span>"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Ngu\u1ed3n:  Elizabeth Threlkeld, \u201cWhy the Next India-Pakistan War Will Escalate\u201d, Foreign Affairs<\/em><\/mark><\/strong>, 04\/05\/2026<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bi\u00ean d\u1ecbch: <\/strong>Vi\u00ean \u0110\u0103ng Huy<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Trong th\u00f4ng \u0111i\u1ec7p li\u00ean bang n\u0103m 2026, T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng M\u1ef9 Donald Trump \u0111\u00e3 l\u1eb7p l\u1ea1i m\u1ed9t \u0111i\u1ec7p kh\u00fac quen thu\u1ed9c ca ng\u1ee3i vai tr\u00f2 c\u1ee7a \u00f4ng trong vi\u1ec7c ch\u1ea5m d\u1ee9t cu\u1ed9c xung \u0111\u1ed9t th\u00e1ng 5\/2025 gi\u1eefa \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 v\u00e0 Pakistan \u2014 th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn m\u00e0 \u00f4ng tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 l\u00e0 ni\u1ec1m t\u1ef1 h\u00e0o l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh. \u00d4ng kh\u1eb3ng \u0111\u1ecbnh r\u1eb1ng n\u1ebfu kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 nh\u1eefng n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 nh\u1eb1m k\u00e9o c\u1ea3 hai b\u00ean kh\u1ecfi mi\u1ec7ng h\u1ed1 chi\u1ebfn tranh, cu\u1ed9c xung \u0111\u1ed9t \u201ch\u1eb3n \u0111\u00e3 tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn tranh h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nh\u1eefng tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 c\u1ee7a Trump \u0111\u00e3 l\u00e0m ph\u1eadt l\u00f2ng New Delhi, b\u00ean v\u1ed1n t\u1eeb l\u00e2u kh\u0103ng kh\u0103ng r\u1eb1ng c\u00e1c tranh ch\u1ea5p v\u1edbi Pakistan ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n l\u00e0 chuy\u1ec7n song ph\u01b0\u01a1ng v\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng c\u1ea7n s\u1ef1 h\u00f2a gi\u1ea3i hay can thi\u1ec7p c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c c\u01b0\u1eddng qu\u1ed1c b\u00ean ngo\u00e0i. Nh\u01b0ng v\u1ecb t\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng c\u00f3 c\u00e1i l\u00fd c\u1ee7a \u00f4ng. <\/mark>Cu\u1ed9c kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng th\u00e1ng 5\/2025, ch\u1ee9ng ki\u1ebfn hai n\u01b0\u1edbc l\u00e1ng gi\u1ec1ng \u0111\u1ea5u ph\u00e1o d\u1eef d\u1ed9i qua bi\u00ean gi\u1edbi su\u1ed1t b\u1ed1n ng\u00e0y, l\u00e0 cu\u1ed9c giao tranh nghi\u00eam tr\u1ecdng nh\u1ea5t gi\u1eefa hai c\u01b0\u1eddng qu\u1ed1c h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n trong nhi\u1ec1u th\u1eadp k\u1ef7.<\/strong> N\u00f3 \u0111\u00e1nh d\u1ea5u m\u1ed9t s\u1ef1 m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 c\u1ee7a xung \u0111\u1ed9t th\u00f4ng th\u01b0\u1eddng d\u01b0\u1edbi ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n, v\u1edbi drone, t\u00ean l\u1eeda v\u00e0 ph\u00e1o binh t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng v\u00e0o s\u1ed1 l\u01b0\u1ee3ng m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau nh\u1ea1y c\u1ea3m ch\u01b0a t\u1eebng c\u00f3, bao g\u1ed3m c\u1ea3 c\u00e1c c\u0103n c\u1ee9 qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 v\u00e0 trung t\u00e2m \u0111\u00f4 th\u1ecb.<\/p>\n\n\n

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Thay v\u00ec ch\u00f9n b\u01b0\u1edbc tr\u01b0\u1edbc quy m\u00f4 c\u1ee7a cu\u1ed9c giao tranh, c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 ho\u1ea1ch \u0111\u1ecbnh qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 \u1edf \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 v\u00e0 Pakistan l\u1ea1i d\u00e0nh m\u1ed9t n\u0103m qua \u0111\u1ec3 r\u00fat ra nh\u1eefng b\u00e0i h\u1ecdc v\u1ec1 c\u00e1ch g\u00e2y s\u00e1t th\u01b0\u01a1ng l\u1edbn h\u01a1n cho \u0111\u1ed1i th\u1ee7 trong c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c xung \u0111\u1ed9t t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai.<\/strong> C\u1ea3 hai b\u00ean \u0111\u1ec1u k\u1ebft lu\u1eadn r\u1eb1ng tr\u1eadn \u0111\u1ed1i \u0111\u1ea7u l\u1edbn ti\u1ebfp theo s\u1ebd xoay quanh kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng nhanh h\u01a1n, xa h\u01a1n v\u00e0 v\u1edbi c\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u1ed9 l\u1edbn h\u01a1n so v\u1edbi tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00e2y. H\u1ecd \u0111ang \u0111\u01b0a nh\u1eefng b\u00e0i h\u1ecdc \u0111\u00f3 v\u00e0o th\u1ef1c ti\u1ec5n b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch trang b\u1ecb c\u00e1c kh\u00ed t\u00e0i m\u1edbi, m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng c\u00e1c ch\u01b0\u01a1ng tr\u00ecnh ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n n\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ecba v\u00e0 th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n nh\u1eefng c\u1ea3i c\u00e1ch c\u01a1 c\u1ea5u s\u00e2u r\u1ed9ng nh\u1eb1m c\u1ea3i thi\u1ec7n t\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 v\u00e0 s\u1ef1 ph\u1ed1i h\u1ee3p c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

C\u1ea3 hai b\u00ean c\u0169ng c\u00f3 v\u1ebb ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng tin t\u01b0\u1edfng r\u1eb1ng n\u1ebfu xung \u0111\u1ed9t b\u00f9ng ph\u00e1t tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i, nh\u1eefng cu\u1ed9c giao tranh th\u00f4ng th\u01b0\u1eddng kh\u1ed1c li\u1ec7t h\u01a1n c\u0169ng s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng g\u00e2y ra nguy c\u01a1 leo thang h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n.<\/strong> Ngay sau cu\u1ed9c kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng th\u00e1ng 5, Th\u1ee7 t\u01b0\u1edbng \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 Narendra Modi c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 m\u1ed9t h\u1ecdc thuy\u1ebft m\u1edbi, trong \u0111\u00f3 \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 s\u1ebd <\/mark>\u201ct\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c v\u00e0 quy\u1ebft \u0111o\u00e1n\u201d v\u00e0 \u201ckh\u00f4ng khoan nh\u01b0\u1ee3ng tr\u01b0\u1edbc b\u1ea5t k\u1ef3 h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111e d\u1ecda h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n n\u00e0o\u201d<\/mark>.<\/mark><\/strong> \u0110\u00e1p l\u1ea1i c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o c\u1ee7a T\u01b0 l\u1ec7nh L\u1ee5c qu\u00e2n \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 Upendra Dwivedi r\u1eb1ng Pakistan n\u00ean tr\u00e1nh c\u00e1c h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng khi\u00eau kh\u00edch n\u1ebfu mu\u1ed1n \u201cc\u00f2n t\u1ed3n t\u1ea1i tr\u00ean b\u1ea3n \u0111\u1ed3 th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi\u201d, qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed9i Pakistan \u0111\u00e3 \u0111e d\u1ecda s\u1ebd \u201c\u0111\u1eadp tan huy\u1ec1n tho\u1ea1i v\u1ec1 s\u1ef1 mi\u1ec5n nhi\u1ec5m \u0111\u1ecba l\u00fd, t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng v\u00e0o t\u1eadn nh\u1eefng v\u00f9ng xa x\u00f4i nh\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a l\u00e3nh th\u1ed5 \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9<\/mark>\u201d.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Tuy nhi\u00ean, b\u1ea5t ch\u1ea5p s\u1ef1 t\u1ef1 tin v\u00e0 nh\u1eefng l\u1eddi \u0111e d\u1ecda \u0111ao to b\u00faa l\u1edbn, nguy c\u01a1 leo thang k\u00e9o d\u00e0i t\u1ea1i khu v\u1ef1c v\u1ed1n l\u00e0 n\u01a1i sinh s\u1ed1ng c\u1ee7a m\u1ed9t ph\u1ea7n t\u01b0 d\u00e2n s\u1ed1 th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi kh\u00f4ng n\u00ean b\u1ecb xem nh\u1eb9.<\/strong> Ngay c\u1ea3 khi chi\u1ebfn tranh t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c l\u00e0m gi\u1ea3m kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng c\u1ed1 \u00fd s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng v\u0169 kh\u00ed h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n so v\u1edbi k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n t\u00e1c chi\u1ebfn m\u1eb7t \u0111\u1ea5t, vi\u1ec7c \u0111\u01b0a v\u00e0o c\u00e1c h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng, m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau v\u00e0 l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c m\u1edbi l\u1ea1i l\u00e0m t\u0103ng nguy c\u01a1 s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n ngo\u00e0i \u00fd mu\u1ed1n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

N\u1ebfu v\u00e0 khi x\u1ea3y ra, cu\u1ed9c kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng ti\u1ebfp theo gi\u1eefa \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 v\u00e0 Pakistan c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng s\u1ebd nguy hi\u1ec3m h\u01a1n, s\u1ee9c t\u00e0n ph\u00e1 l\u1edbn h\u01a1n v\u00e0 kh\u00f3 ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t h\u01a1n \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi Washington.<\/mark><\/strong> V\u1ec1 m\u1eb7t l\u1ecbch s\u1eed, c\u1ea3 hai b\u00ean \u0111\u1ec1u th\u1ec3 hi\u1ec7n s\u1ef1 th\u1eadn tr\u1ecdng \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 trong vi\u1ec7c qu\u1ea3n tr\u1ecb kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng v\u00e0 tr\u00e1nh leo thang m\u1ea5t ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t. Nh\u01b0ng \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 v\u00e0 Pakistan \u0111\u00e3 b\u01b0\u1edbc l\u00ean nh\u1eefng n\u1ea5c thang leo thang m\u1edbi trong cu\u1ed9c xung \u0111\u1ed9t v\u1eeba qua m\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i ch\u1ecbu h\u1ec7 l\u1ee5y nghi\u00eam tr\u1ecdng n\u00e0o, khi\u1ebfn h\u1ecd v\u1eeba quy\u1ebft t\u00e2m h\u01a1n trong vi\u1ec7c b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ed1i ph\u01b0\u01a1ng tr\u1ea3 gi\u00e1 \u0111\u1eaft tr\u00ean chi\u1ebfn tr\u01b0\u1eddng, v\u1eeba t\u1ef1 tin h\u01a1n v\u00e0o kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n \u0111i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00f3.<\/p>\n\n\n

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Vai tr\u00f2 truy\u1ec1n th\u1ed1ng c\u1ee7a Washington trong vi\u1ec7c th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y gi\u1ea3m leo thang s\u1ebd v\u1eabn then ch\u1ed1t.<\/strong> Tuy nhi\u00ean, nh\u1eefng b\u00ecnh lu\u1eadn c\u1ee7a Trump s\u1ebd khi\u1ebfn n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c h\u00f2a gi\u1ea3i tr\u1edf n\u00ean kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n h\u01a1n. \u0110\u1ec3 ng\u0103n ch\u1eb7n l\u00e0n s\u00f3ng ph\u1ea3n \u0111\u1ed1i t\u1ea1i \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 l\u00e0m \u0111\u00ecnh tr\u1ec7 c\u00e1c n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c ngo\u1ea1i giao quan tr\u1ecdng, M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c ph\u1ea3i chu\u1ea9n b\u1ecb cho m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n kh\u00e1c v\u1edbi cu\u1ed9c kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng v\u1eeba qua. Vi\u1ec7c x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng v\u00e0 th\u1eed nghi\u1ec7m m\u1ed9t k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n cho c\u00e1c quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh nhanh ch\u00f3ng, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 c\u00e1c k\u00eanh k\u1ebft n\u1ed1i th\u1ef1c ch\u1ea5t k\u00edn \u0111\u00e1o gi\u1eefa New Delhi v\u00e0 Islamabad, c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 gi\u00fap ng\u0103n ch\u1eb7n m\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ed1m l\u1eeda nh\u1ecf tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh m\u1ed9t \u0111\u00e1m ch\u00e1y th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ch\u1ed1t ch\u1eb7n ngo\u1ea1i giao cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng<\/h4>\n\n\n\n

M\u1ed9t v\u1ee5 t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng kh\u1ee7ng b\u1ed1 nh\u1eafm v\u00e0o kh\u00e1ch du l\u1ecbch t\u1ea1i Thung l\u0169ng Pahalgam thu\u1ed9c v\u00f9ng Kashmir do \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t \u0111\u00e3 ch\u00e2m ng\u00f2i cho cu\u1ed9c kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng th\u00e1ng 5\/2025<\/strong>. V\u00e0o ng\u00e0y 22\/4, c\u00e1c tay s\u00fang gi\u1ebft h\u1ea1i 25 c\u00f4ng d\u00e2n \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 v\u00e0 m\u1ed9t ng\u01b0\u1eddi Nepal, theo nhi\u1ec1u b\u00e1o c\u00e1o l\u00e0 nh\u1eafm v\u00e0o nhi\u1ec1u ng\u01b0\u1eddi \u1edf c\u1ef1 ly g\u1ea7n v\u00ec \u0111\u1ee9c tin \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 gi\u00e1o c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd. Khi video v\u1ec1 v\u1ee5 t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng lan truy\u1ec1n tr\u00ean m\u1ea1ng x\u00e3 h\u1ed9i, \u00f4ng Modi \u0111e d\u1ecda s\u1ebd truy \u0111u\u1ed5i nh\u1eefng k\u1ebb kh\u1ee7ng b\u1ed1 v\u00e0 nh\u1eefng k\u1ebb h\u1eadu thu\u1eabn ch\u00fang \u201c\u0111\u1ebfn t\u1eadn c\u00f9ng tr\u00e1i \u0111\u1ea5t\u201d v\u00e0 h\u1ee9a h\u1eb9n m\u1ed9t \u201ch\u00ecnh ph\u1ea1t l\u1edbn h\u01a1n nh\u1eefng g\u00ec ch\u00fang c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u01b0\u1edfng t\u01b0\u1ee3ng\u201d. \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 \u0111\u1ed5 l\u1ed7i cho Pakistan v\u1ec1 v\u1ee5 t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng v\u00e0 th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n m\u1ed9t lo\u1ea1t bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p ngo\u1ea1i giao tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t, bao g\u1ed3m \u0111\u00ecnh ch\u1ec9 Hi\u1ec7p \u01b0\u1edbc N\u01b0\u1edbc s\u00f4ng Indus \u2014 th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn chia s\u1ebb ngu\u1ed3n n\u01b0\u1edbc m\u00e0 hai b\u00ean \u0111\u00e3 duy tr\u00ec t\u1eeb n\u0103m 1960, \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda c\u1eeda kh\u1ea9u bi\u00ean gi\u1edbi Attari-Wagah, tr\u1ee5c xu\u1ea5t c\u00e1c c\u1ed1 v\u1ea5n qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 Pakistan v\u00e0 h\u1ee7y b\u1ecf th\u1ecb th\u1ef1c.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hai tu\u1ea7n sau \u0111\u00f3, \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 nh\u1eafm m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau v\u00e0o ch\u00edn \u0111\u1ecba \u0111i\u1ec3m tr\u00ean kh\u1eafp t\u1ec9nh Punjab v\u00e0 v\u00f9ng Kashmir do Pakistan ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng ph\u00e1o binh d\u1eabn \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c, drone v\u00e0 t\u00ean l\u1eeda.<\/mark><\/strong> C\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng n\u00e0y th\u1ecdc s\u00e2u v\u00e0o l\u00e3nh th\u1ed5 Pakistan h\u01a1n b\u1ea5t k\u1ef3 cu\u1ed9c t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng n\u00e0o k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb sau cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9-Pakistan n\u0103m 1971, \u0111\u00e1nh tr\u00fang hai th\u00e0nh ph\u1ed1 l\u1edbn \u1edf Punjab \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c cho l\u00e0 c\u00f3 li\u00ean quan \u0111\u1ebfn c\u00e1c nh\u00f3m kh\u1ee7ng b\u1ed1 ch\u1ed1ng \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9. Pakistan ph\u1ea3n c\u00f4ng b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch b\u1eafn h\u1ea1 nhi\u1ec1u m\u00e1y bay chi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ea5u c\u1ee7a \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9.<\/mark><\/strong> Sau hai ng\u00e0y t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng \u0103n mi\u1ebfng tr\u1ea3 mi\u1ebfng b\u1eb1ng drone, trong \u0111\u00f3 Pakistan th\u1eed nghi\u1ec7m c\u00e1c h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng ph\u00f2ng kh\u00f4ng c\u1ee7a \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 v\u00e0 \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 ph\u00e1 h\u1ee7y m\u1ed9t tr\u1ea1m radar t\u1ea1i Lahore, giao tranh \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ec9nh \u0111i\u1ec3m khi \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng \u00edt nh\u1ea5t 11 \u0111\u1ecba \u0111i\u1ec3m qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 tr\u00ean kh\u1eafp Pakistan, bao g\u1ed3m C\u0103n c\u1ee9 Kh\u00f4ng qu\u00e2n Nur Khan \u1edf Rawalpindi, n\u1eb1m ngay s\u00e1t tr\u1ee5 s\u1edf c\u1ee7a c\u01a1 quan gi\u00e1m s\u00e1t v\u0169 kh\u00ed h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n c\u1ee7a Pakistan. V\u1edbi h\u01a1n 70 th\u01b0\u01a1ng vong, s\u1ef1 vi\u1ec7c n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e1nh d\u1ea5u cu\u1ed9c giao tranh kh\u1ed1c li\u1ec7t nh\u1ea5t gi\u1eefa \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 v\u00e0 Pakistan k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb cu\u1ed9c xung \u0111\u1ed9t Kargil n\u0103m 1999 \u2014 cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf b\u00f9ng n\u1ed5 sau khi l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng Pakistan v\u01b0\u1ee3t qua \u0110\u01b0\u1eddng Ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t v\u00e0o l\u00e3nh th\u1ed5 do \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 n\u1eafm gi\u1eef.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ban \u0111\u1ea7u, Washington \u00e1p d\u1ee5ng c\u00e1ch ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn h\u00f2a gi\u1ea3i t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ed1i th\u1ee5 \u0111\u1ed9ng. V\u00e0o ng\u00e0y 8\/5, ngay tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u1ee3t \u0111\u1ea5u h\u1ecfa l\u1ef1c d\u1eef d\u1ed9i nh\u1ea5t, Ph\u00f3 T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng M\u1ef9 JD Vance ph\u00e1t bi\u1ec3u tr\u00ean Fox News: \u201cCh\u00fang t\u00f4i s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng can d\u1ef1 v\u00e0o gi\u1eefa m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn v\u1ed1n c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i l\u00e0 vi\u1ec7c c\u1ee7a ch\u00fang t\u00f4i\u201d. Tuy nhi\u00ean, \u0111\u1ebfn ng\u00e0y h\u00f4m sau, c\u00e1c quan ch\u1ee9c ch\u00ednh quy\u1ec1n Trump nh\u1eadn \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u201ctin t\u00ecnh b\u00e1o \u0111\u00e1ng b\u00e1o \u0111\u1ed9ng\u201d \u2014 m\u00e0 chi ti\u1ebft v\u1eabn ch\u01b0a r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng \u2014 bu\u1ed9c h\u1ecd ph\u1ea3i thay \u0111\u1ed5i th\u00e1i \u0111\u1ed9. Vance v\u00e0 Ngo\u1ea1i tr\u01b0\u1edfng Marco Rubio li\u00ean t\u1ee5c g\u1ecdi \u0111i\u1ec7n v\u00e0 cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng \u0111\u1ea3m b\u1ea3o \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c m\u1ed9t l\u1ec7nh ng\u1eebng b\u1eafn v\u00e0o ng\u00e0y 10\/5.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n

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N\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c c\u1ee7a Vance v\u00e0 Rubio l\u00e0 ch\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1edbi nh\u1ea5t trong l\u1ecbch s\u1eed l\u00e2u d\u00e0i M\u1ef9 ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng \u1edf Nam \u00c1 k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb cu\u1ed9c kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng Kashmir n\u0103m 1990, khi T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng M\u1ef9 George H.W. Bush c\u1eed Ph\u00f3 C\u1ed1 v\u1ea5n An ninh Qu\u1ed1c gia Robert Gates t\u1edbi xoa d\u1ecbu c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng.<\/mark><\/strong> C\u00e1c n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 ph\u1ea7n l\u1edbn \u0111\u1ec1u hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3, d\u00f9 kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i l\u00fac n\u00e0o c\u0169ng c\u00f4ng b\u1eb1ng: trong c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y, Washington nghi\u00eang v\u1ec1 \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 D\u01b0\u01a1ng-Th\u00e1i B\u00ecnh D\u01b0\u01a1ng then ch\u1ed1t l\u00e0 New Delhi, l\u00e0m d\u1ea5y l\u00ean lo ng\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a Pakistan r\u1eb1ng M\u1ef9 \u0111ang dung t\u00fang cho \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9, tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi quay l\u1ea1i phong c\u00e1ch qu\u1ea3n tr\u1ecb kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng c\u00e2n b\u1eb1ng h\u01a1n v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 5\/2025. Tuy nhi\u00ean, th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng trong qu\u00e1 kh\u1ee9 kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 ngh\u0129a l\u00e0 Washington \u0111\u00e3 s\u1eb5n s\u00e0ng ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng kh\u1ed1c li\u1ec7t v\u00e0 kh\u00f3 l\u01b0\u1eddng h\u01a1n trong t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Kh\u00f4ng c\u00f2n l\u00e0 cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn Kargil n\u0103m x\u01b0a<\/h4>\n\n\n\n

\u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 v\u00e0 Pakistan \u0111\u00e3 b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng \u0111\u1ee3t giao tranh v\u1eeba qua \u0111\u1ec3 x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh nh\u1eefng l\u1ed7 h\u1ed5ng c\u1ea7n l\u1ea5p \u0111\u1ea7y v\u00e0 nh\u1eefng l\u1ee3i th\u1ebf c\u1ea7n khai th\u00e1c n\u1ebfu xung \u0111\u1ed9t b\u00f9ng ph\u00e1t tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i.<\/strong> C\u1ea3 hai \u0111\u1ec1u \u0111ang theo \u0111u\u1ed5i c\u00e1c h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng v\u0169 kh\u00ed c\u00f3 n\u0103ng l\u1ef1c cao h\u01a1n: Pakistan t\u00ecm \u0111\u1ebfn Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u00e0 Th\u1ed5 Nh\u0129 K\u1ef3 \u0111\u1ec3 n\u00e2ng c\u1ea5p h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng ph\u00f2ng kh\u00f4ng, phi \u0111\u1ed9i m\u00e1y bay chi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ea5u v\u00e0 drone, m\u00e1y bay c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o s\u1edbm tr\u00ean kh\u00f4ng c\u0169ng nh\u01b0 n\u0103ng l\u1ef1c t\u00e1c chi\u1ebfn \u0111i\u1ec7n t\u1eed v\u00e0 ch\u1ed1ng drone; trong khi \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh nhu c\u1ea7u b\u1ed5 sung th\u00eam c\u00e1c h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng ph\u00f2ng kh\u00f4ng v\u00e0 ch\u1ed1ng drone, nhi\u1ec1u m\u00e1y bay chi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ea5u v\u00e0 drone h\u01a1n, c\u00e1c v\u1ec7 tinh v\u00e0 c\u1ea3m bi\u1ebfn m\u1edbi, c\u00f9ng n\u0103ng l\u1ef1c t\u00e1c chi\u1ebfn \u0111i\u1ec7n t\u1eed ti\u00ean ti\u1ebfn.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

C\u1ea3 hai n\u01b0\u1edbc c\u0169ng \u0111ang s\u1eeda \u0111\u1ed5i c\u00e1c k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n leo thang c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh. Qua v\u00e0i cu\u1ed9c kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng v\u1eeba qua, \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 d\u1ea7n m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng kh\u00f4ng gian cho xung \u0111\u1ed9t th\u00f4ng th\u01b0\u1eddng d\u01b0\u1edbi ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n trong khi v\u1eabn c\u1ea9n th\u1eadn ph\u00e1t \u0111i c\u00e1c t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u v\u1ec1 \u00fd \u0111\u1ecbnh kh\u00f4ng leo thang. <\/strong>M\u1ee5c ti\u00eau c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd l\u00e0 tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t Pakistan v\u00ec \u0111i\u1ec1u m\u00e0 \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 l\u1eadp lu\u1eadn l\u00e0 s\u1ef1 h\u1eadu thu\u1eabn li\u00ean t\u1ee5c c\u1ee7a n\u01b0\u1edbc l\u00e1ng gi\u1ec1ng cho c\u00e1c nh\u00f3m kh\u1ee7ng b\u1ed1 xuy\u00ean bi\u00ean gi\u1edbi, m\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng k\u00edch ho\u1ea1t s\u1ef1 leo thang h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n m\u00e0 Pakistan v\u1ed1n th\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111e d\u1ecda \u0111\u1ec3 r\u0103n \u0111e \u0111\u1ed1i th\u1ee7 l\u1edbn h\u01a1n nhi\u1ec1u c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh. Vi\u1ec7c cu\u1ed9c xung \u0111\u1ed9t m\u1edbi nh\u1ea5t kh\u00f4ng v\u01b0\u1ee3t t\u1ea7m ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 s\u1ef1 t\u1ef1 tin c\u1ee7a New Delhi trong vi\u1ec7c theo \u0111u\u1ed5i c\u00e1c m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 v\u00e0 c\u00e0ng h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf s\u1ef1 s\u1eb5n l\u00f2ng ki\u1ec1m ch\u1ebf c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd. M\u1ed9t quan ch\u1ee9c qu\u1ed1c ph\u00f2ng \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 \u0111\u00e3 c\u00f4ng khai \u0111\u1ed5 l\u1ed7i cho vi\u1ec7c \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 m\u1ea5t c\u00e1c m\u00e1y bay chi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ea5u ngay t\u1eeb \u0111\u1ea7u cu\u1ed9c giao tranh l\u00e0 do \u201cs\u1ef1 g\u00f2 b\u00f3 t\u1eeb ban l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb khi kh\u00f4ng cho ph\u00e9p t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng v\u00e0o c\u01a1 s\u1edf qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 hay h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng ph\u00f2ng kh\u00f4ng [c\u1ee7a Pakistan]\u201d. <\/strong>Sau khi t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng c\u00e1c h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng ph\u00f2ng kh\u00f4ng c\u1ee7a Pakistan trong c\u00e1c tr\u1eadn ti\u1ebfp theo m\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng g\u00e2y ra s\u1ef1 leo thang k\u1ecbch li\u1ec7t, \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 c\u1ea3m th\u1ea5y m\u1ea1nh d\u1ea1n h\u01a1n \u0111\u1ec3 l\u00e0m \u0111i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00f3 s\u1edbm h\u01a1n trong m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai, th\u1ef1c ch\u1ea5t l\u00e0 b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u t\u1eeb m\u1ed9t n\u1ea5c thang leo thang cao h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n\n\n

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V\u1ec1 ph\u00eda m\u00ecnh, Pakistan, \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 b\u1edfi n\u0103ng l\u1ef1c ti\u00ean ti\u1ebfn t\u1eeb Trung Qu\u1ed1c, \u0111\u00e3 th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n c\u00e1c c\u1ea3i c\u00e1ch \u0111\u1ec3 chu\u1ea9n b\u1ecb cho lo\u1ea1i h\u00ecnh xung \u0111\u1ed9t th\u00f4ng th\u01b0\u1eddng m\u00e0 h\u1ecd t\u1eeb l\u00e2u t\u00ecm c\u00e1ch r\u0103n \u0111e<\/strong>. H\u1ecd th\u00e0nh l\u1eadp B\u1ed9 T\u01b0 l\u1ec7nh L\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng T\u00ean l\u1eeda L\u1ee5c qu\u00e2n, m\u1ed9t \u0111\u01a1n v\u1ecb c\u00f3 nhi\u1ec7m v\u1ee5 t\u0103ng c\u01b0\u1eddng c\u00e1c h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c th\u00f4ng th\u01b0\u1eddng c\u1ee7a Pakistan v\u00e0 c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 quy\u1ec1n h\u1ea1n l\u1eadp k\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1, tri\u1ec3n khai v\u00e0 mua s\u1eafm d\u01b0\u1edbi quy\u1ec1n T\u1ed5ng T\u01b0 l\u1ec7nh L\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng Qu\u1ed1c ph\u00f2ng hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i l\u00e0 Asim Munir. Islamabad c\u0169ng ph\u00e1t t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u qua l\u1eddi l\u1ebd v\u1ec1 s\u1ef1 s\u1eb5n s\u00e0ng ch\u1ea5p nh\u1eadn r\u1ee7i ro l\u1edbn h\u01a1n, c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o r\u1eb1ng h\u1ecd s\u1ebd \u201ckh\u00f4ng l\u00f9i b\u01b0\u1edbc\u201d tr\u01b0\u1edbc s\u1ef1 x\u00e2m l\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1ee7a \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

N\u1ebfu nh\u1eefng s\u1ef1 chu\u1ea9n b\u1ecb n\u00e0y l\u00e0 d\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u cho \u0111i\u1ec1u g\u00ec \u0111\u00f3, th\u00ec cu\u1ed9c kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng ti\u1ebfp theo c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u t\u1eeb n\u01a1i cu\u1ed9c xung \u0111\u1ed9t v\u1eeba qua k\u1ebft th\u00fac v\u00e0 v\u01b0\u1ee3t xa c\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u1ed9 c\u1ee7a n\u00f3. Khi c\u1ea3 hai b\u00ean ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng c\u1ea3m th\u1ea5y tho\u1ea3i m\u00e1i h\u01a1n v\u1edbi xung \u0111\u1ed9t th\u00f4ng th\u01b0\u1eddng, h\u1ecd c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 s\u1eb5n l\u00f2ng t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng s\u1ed1 l\u01b0\u1ee3ng l\u1edbn h\u01a1n c\u00e1c m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb cao, \u0111\u00e1nh s\u00e2u h\u01a1n v\u00e0o l\u00e3nh th\u1ed5 c\u1ee7a nhau.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

H\u00e3y xem x\u00e9t k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n sau. M\u1ed9t m\u1ed3i l\u1eeda kh\u00f3 l\u01b0\u1eddng nh\u01b0ng kh\u00f4ng ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n b\u1ea5t ng\u1edd ch\u00e2m ng\u00f2i cho m\u1ed9t chu\u1ed7i s\u1ef1 ki\u1ec7n s\u1edbm leo thang. Vi\u1ec7c \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 chu\u1ea9n b\u1ecb cho m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c t\u1eadp tr\u1eadn qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 quy m\u00f4 l\u1edbn g\u1ea7n bi\u00ean gi\u1edbi chung khi\u1ebfn Islamabad lo ng\u1ea1i r\u1eb1ng \u0111\u1ee3t t\u0103ng c\u01b0\u1eddng l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng n\u00e0y c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0 v\u1ecf b\u1ecdc cho chi\u1ebfn tranh. Pakistan t\u0103ng c\u01b0\u1eddng l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng t\u1ea1i \u0110\u01b0\u1eddng Ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t, ph\u00e2n t\u00e1n m\u00e1y bay, k\u00edch ho\u1ea1t c\u00e1c h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng ph\u00f2ng kh\u00f4ng v\u00e0 \u0111\u1eb7t c\u00e1c l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng d\u1ef1 b\u1ecb thi\u1ebft gi\u00e1p v\u00e0o t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng b\u00e1o \u0111\u1ed9ng, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi t\u0103ng c\u01b0\u1eddng tu\u1ea7n tra c\u1ee7a h\u1ea3i qu\u00e2n v\u00e0 c\u1ea3nh s\u00e1t bi\u1ec3n d\u1ecdc v\u00f9ng duy\u00ean h\u1ea3i. <\/strong>Ngay sau \u0111\u00f3, c\u00e1c phi\u1ebfn qu\u00e2n Baloch th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng th\u1ee7y v\u00e0o m\u1ed9t t\u00e0u c\u1ea3nh s\u00e1t bi\u1ec3n c\u1ee7a Pakistan g\u1ea7n Gwadar, khi\u1ebfn m\u1ed9t ch\u1ee5c th\u1ee7y th\u1ee7 thi\u1ec7t m\u1ea1ng. B\u1ea5t ch\u1ea5p vi\u1ec7c kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u01b0a ra \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c b\u1eb1ng ch\u1ee9ng x\u00e1c th\u1ef1c, Islamabad c\u00e1o bu\u1ed9c New Delhi t\u00e0i tr\u1ee3 cho v\u1ee5 t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng. \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 ph\u1ee7 nh\u1eadn s\u1ef1 can d\u1ef1 v\u00e0 c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o Pakistan kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng s\u1ef1 c\u1ed1 n\u00e0y l\u00e0m c\u1edb \u0111\u1ec3 leo thang.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

V\u1edbi c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng d\u00e2ng cao, c\u00e1c h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng ph\u00f2ng kh\u00f4ng c\u1ee7a Pakistan b\u1eafn h\u1ea1 m\u1ed9t m\u00e1y bay \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 \u0111ang ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng g\u1ea7n khu v\u1ef1c t\u1eadp tr\u1eadn, tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 n\u00f3 \u0111\u00e3 vi ph\u1ea1m bi\u00ean gi\u1edbi. <\/strong>\u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 ph\u1ee7 nh\u1eadn s\u1ef1 x\u00e2m nh\u1eadp v\u00e0 c\u00e1o bu\u1ed9c Pakistan g\u00e2y h\u1ea5n v\u00f4 c\u1edb, \u0111\u00e1p tr\u1ea3 b\u1eb1ng m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng v\u00e0o tr\u1ea1m radar li\u00ean quan khi\u1ebfn c\u00e1c binh s\u0129 v\u00e0 th\u01b0\u1eddng d\u00e2n g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00f3 thi\u1ec7t m\u1ea1ng. Pakistan ngay l\u1eadp t\u1ee9c tr\u1ea3 \u0111\u0169a v\u00e0o m\u1ed9t c\u01a1 s\u1edf qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 c\u1ee7a \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9, g\u00e2y ra nhi\u1ec1u th\u01b0\u01a1ng vong, trong \u0111\u00f3 c\u00f3 c\u00e1c s\u0129 quan c\u1ea5p cao. \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng v\u00e0o th\u00eam c\u00e1c n\u00fat th\u1eaft ph\u00f2ng kh\u00f4ng v\u00e0 ch\u1ec9 huy c\u1ee7a Pakistan t\u1ea1i c\u00e1c c\u01a1 s\u1edf tr\u00ean kh\u1eafp \u0111\u1ea5t n\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u1ec3 gi\u1ea3m b\u1edbt m\u1ed1i \u0111e d\u1ecda \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi m\u00e1y bay c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh. \u0110\u00e1p l\u1ea1i, Pakistan ph\u00f3ng drone v\u00e0 t\u00ean l\u1eeda th\u00f4ng th\u01b0\u1eddng v\u00e0o c\u00e1c c\u0103n c\u1ee9 kh\u00f4ng qu\u00e2n v\u00e0 c\u01a1 s\u1edf h\u1eadu c\u1ea7n c\u1ee7a \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9, bao g\u1ed3m c\u1ea3 nh\u1eefng khu v\u1ef1c g\u1ea7n c\u00e1c th\u00e0nh ph\u1ed1 l\u1edbn, s\u00e2u h\u00e0ng tr\u0103m d\u1eb7m b\u00ean trong \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9. M\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 c\u0103n c\u1ee9 b\u1ecb c\u1ea3 hai b\u00ean nh\u1eafm m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau l\u00e0 n\u01a1i \u0111\u1ed3n tr\u00fa c\u1ee7a m\u00e1y bay c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng mang v\u0169 kh\u00ed h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n, l\u00e0m d\u1ea5y l\u00ean kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng m\u1ed7i b\u00ean \u0111ang t\u00ecm c\u00e1ch l\u00e0m suy y\u1ebfu n\u0103ng l\u1ef1c r\u0103n \u0111e h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n c\u1ee7a b\u00ean kia.<\/p>\n\n\n

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Binh s\u0129 thu\u1ed9c l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

H\u00ecnh \u1ea3nh v\u1ec1 th\u01b0\u01a1ng vong, c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecba \u0111i\u1ec3m qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 b\u1ed1c kh\u00f3i v\u00e0 c\u01a1 s\u1edf h\u1ea1 t\u1ea7ng d\u00e2n s\u1ef1 b\u1ecb h\u01b0 h\u1ea1i lan truy\u1ec1n tr\u00ean m\u1ea1ng x\u00e3 h\u1ed9i, t\u1ea1o \u00e1p l\u1ef1c cho nh\u1eefng h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng tr\u1ea3 \u0111\u0169a ti\u1ebfp theo. \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 c\u00e1o bu\u1ed9c Pakistan gi\u1ebft ch\u1ebft nhi\u1ec1u ng\u01b0\u1eddi trong m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng v\u00e0o m\u1ed9t ng\u00f4i \u0111\u1ec1n \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 gi\u00e1o m\u00e0 Pakistan l\u1eadp lu\u1eadn r\u1eb1ng m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau th\u1ef1c ch\u1ea5t l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t c\u01a1 s\u1edf qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00f3. Nh\u1eefng tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 sai s\u1ef1 th\u1eadt v\u1ec1 t\u1ed5n th\u1ea5t m\u00e1y bay v\u00e0 c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng s\u1eafp t\u1edbi c\u00e0ng \u0111\u1ed5 th\u00eam d\u1ea7u v\u00e0o l\u1eeda. Khi c\u00e1c ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 b\u00ean ngo\u00e0i th\u00fac \u00e9p gi\u1ea3m leo thang, c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 ho\u1ea1ch \u0111\u1ecbnh \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 v\u00e0 Pakistan l\u1ea1i b\u1ecb th\u00f4i th\u00fac ph\u1ea3i t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng th\u1eadt nhanh tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi ngo\u1ea1i giao \u0111\u00f3ng b\u0103ng cu\u1ed9c xung \u0111\u1ed9t \u1edf nh\u1eefng \u0111i\u1ec1u kho\u1ea3n b\u1ea5t l\u1ee3i. <\/mark><\/strong>Nh\u1ecbp \u0111\u1ed9 nhanh ch\u00f3ng v\u00e0 s\u1ef1 thi\u1ebfu h\u1ee5t c\u00e1c giai \u0111o\u1ea1n leo thang r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng c\u00e0ng l\u00e0m m\u1edd ranh gi\u1edbi ph\u00e2n chia gi\u1eefa c\u00e1c \u201cv\u00f2ng\u201d \u0111\u1ea5u h\u1ecfa l\u1ef1c, khi\u1ebfn cho nh\u1eefng \u0111\u1ee3t oanh t\u1ea1c di\u1ec5n ra c\u00f9ng l\u00fac \u0111\u00e3 tri\u1ec7t ti\u00eau g\u1ea7n h\u1ebft c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i cho c\u00e1c l\u1ed1i tho\u00e1t ngo\u1ea1i giao.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

L\u1ea5y cu\u1ed9c t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng c\u1ee7a Pakistan v\u00e0o ng\u00f4i \u0111\u1ec1n l\u00e0 h\u00e0nh vi \u201ckh\u1ee7ng b\u1ed1 t\u00f4n gi\u00e1o\u201d, \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 chuy\u1ec3n sang h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf d\u00f2ng ch\u1ea3y c\u1ee7a n\u01b0\u1edbc s\u00f4ng t\u1edbi Pakistan, hi\u1ec7n th\u1ef1c h\u00f3a l\u1eddi c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o n\u0103m 2025 c\u1ee7a \u00f4ng Modi r\u1eb1ng \u201cm\u00e1u v\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 c\u00f9ng ch\u1ea3y\u201d. <\/strong>Vi\u1ec7c thi\u1ebfu kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng l\u01b0u tr\u1eef v\u00e0 chuy\u1ec3n h\u01b0\u1edbng n\u01b0\u1edbc ng\u0103n \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n s\u1ef1 ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 trong \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n b\u00ecnh th\u01b0\u1eddng, nh\u01b0ng New Delhi c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111e d\u1ecda thao t\u00fang d\u00f2ng ch\u1ea3y m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch c\u00f3 \u00fd ngh\u0129a h\u01a1n v\u00e0o nh\u1eefng th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m nh\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ecbnh trong n\u0103m \u2014 b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch x\u1ea3 n\u01b0\u1edbc nhanh ch\u00f3ng t\u1eeb c\u00e1c con \u0111\u1eadp trong m\u00f9a gi\u00f3 m\u00f9a ho\u1eb7c gi\u1eef n\u01b0\u1edbc trong m\u00f9a kh\u00f4. Trong cu\u1ed9c kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng Pahalgam, Pakistan \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u00e1p tr\u1ea3 b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch coi b\u1ea5t k\u1ef3 s\u1ef1 gi\u00e1n \u0111o\u1ea1n \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 n\u00e0o \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi d\u00f2ng ch\u1ea3y l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t \u201ch\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng khi\u00eau chi\u1ebfn\u201d v\u01b0\u1ee3t qua \u201cl\u1eb1n ranh \u0111\u1ecf\u201d c\u1ee7a qu\u1ed1c gia n\u00e0y v\u00e0 \u0111e d\u1ecda tr\u1ea3 \u0111\u0169a ti\u1ec1m t\u00e0ng<\/mark><\/strong>. L\u1ea7n n\u00e0y, \u0111\u1ed1i di\u1ec7n v\u1edbi m\u1ed1i \u0111e d\u1ecda khan hi\u1ebfm n\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00e0o gi\u1eefa m\u00f9a \u0111\u00f4ng, Pakistan th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c g\u1ea7n c\u01a1 s\u1edf h\u1ea1 t\u1ea7ng \u0111\u1eadp c\u1ee7a \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 \u0111\u1ec3 r\u0103n \u0111e New Delhi, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi c\u00f4ng khai k\u00eau g\u1ecdi Trung Qu\u1ed1c h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf d\u00f2ng n\u01b0\u1edbc ch\u1ea3y v\u00e0o \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 nh\u1eb1m ph\u00e1t t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Trong v\u00f2ng v\u00e0i ng\u00e0y, giao tranh m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng sang l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c h\u1ea3i qu\u00e2n. Vi\u1ec7n d\u1eabn nhu c\u1ea7u b\u1ea3o v\u1ec7 c\u00e1c tuy\u1ebfn \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng h\u00e0ng h\u1ea3i, \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c di\u1ec5n t\u1eadp h\u1ea3i qu\u00e2n m\u00e0 Pakistan di\u1ec5n gi\u1ea3i l\u00e0 s\u1ef1 chu\u1ea9n b\u1ecb cho m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c phong t\u1ecfa h\u1ea3i qu\u00e2n h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi c\u00e1c c\u1ea3ng tr\u1ecdng y\u1ebfu c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd \u2014 m\u1ed9t m\u1ed1i quan ng\u1ea1i \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t nh\u1ee9c nh\u1ed1i d\u01b0\u1edbi g\u00f3c nh\u00ecn t\u1eeb cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn \u1edf Iran.<\/strong> Pakistan, nh\u1eb1m b\u1ea3o v\u1ec7 quy\u1ec1n ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn Bi\u1ec3n \u1ea2 R\u1eadp, n\u1ed5 s\u00fang v\u00e0o c\u00e1c t\u00e0u \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 sau khi h\u1ecd ph\u1edbt l\u1edd nh\u1eefng c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o l\u1eb7p \u0111i l\u1eb7p l\u1ea1i. V\u1edbi r\u1ea5t \u00edt hi\u1ec3u bi\u1ebft chung hay r\u00e0o ch\u1eafn b\u1ea3o v\u1ec7 tr\u00ean bi\u1ec3n, cu\u1ed9c kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u m\u1ea5t ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t. M\u1ed7i b\u00ean t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng kh\u00ed t\u00e0i h\u1ea3i qu\u00e2n v\u00e0 h\u1ea1 t\u1ea7ng c\u1ea3ng c\u1ee7a b\u00ean kia g\u1ea7n c\u00e1c tuy\u1ebfn h\u00e0ng h\u1ea3i to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u, g\u00e2y gi\u00e1n \u0111o\u1ea1n giao th\u00f4ng th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i, \u0111\u1ea9y chi ph\u00ed b\u1ea3o hi\u1ec3m l\u00ean cao, tr\u00ec ho\u00e3n c\u00e1c chuy\u1ebfn h\u00e0ng n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng v\u00e0 l\u00f4i k\u00e9o c\u00e1c c\u01b0\u1eddng qu\u1ed1c b\u00ean ngo\u00e0i can d\u1ef1 tr\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp h\u01a1n v\u00e0o cu\u1ed9c kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng \u0111\u1ec3 b\u1ea3o v\u1ec7 c\u00e1c tuy\u1ebfn \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng bi\u1ec3n v\u00e0 s\u01a1 t\u00e1n c\u00f4ng d\u00e2n.<\/p>\n\n\n

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B\u1ed9 binh Pakistan<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

Cu\u1ed9c xung \u0111\u1ed9t c\u0169ng s\u1ebd k\u00e9o theo c\u00e1c c\u01b0\u1eddng qu\u1ed1c theo nh\u1eefng c\u00e1ch tr\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp h\u01a1n, m\u1ed9t v\u00e0i trong s\u1ed1 \u0111\u00f3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0m cho vi\u1ec7c t\u00ecm ki\u1ebfm gi\u1ea3i ph\u00e1p tr\u1edf n\u00ean kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n h\u01a1n. V\u00ed d\u1ee5, Trung Qu\u1ed1c c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 cung c\u1ea5p th\u00eam h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 t\u00ecnh b\u00e1o th\u1eddi gian th\u1ef1c cho Pakistan \u0111\u1ec3 duy tr\u00ec s\u1ef1 c\u00e2n b\u1eb1ng qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ed1i n\u1ebfu Pakistan g\u1eb7p kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n trong vi\u1ec7c \u0111\u1ed1i ph\u00f3 v\u1edbi c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng c\u1ee7a \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9. M\u1ef9 s\u1ebd \u0111\u1ed1i m\u1eb7t v\u1edbi m\u1ed9t ph\u00e9p th\u1eed ch\u01b0a t\u1eebng c\u00f3 v\u1ec1 n\u0103ng l\u1ef1c qu\u1ea3n tr\u1ecb kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi b\u1ecb bu\u1ed9c ph\u1ea3i gi\u1ea3i quy\u1ebft c\u00e1c m\u1ed1i \u0111e d\u1ecda kh\u1ea9n c\u1ea5p \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi c\u00f4ng d\u00e2n v\u00e0 nh\u00e2n vi\u00ean t\u1ea1i khu v\u1ef1c, c\u0169ng nh\u01b0 \u0111\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ea7u v\u1edbi nh\u1eefng h\u1ec7 l\u1ee5y kinh t\u1ebf r\u1ed9ng l\u1edbn h\u01a1n c\u1ee7a m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn. D\u00f9 Anh, c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia V\u00f9ng V\u1ecbnh v\u00e0 c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc kh\u00e1c c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ti\u1ebfp x\u00fac v\u1edbi c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o \u1edf Islamabad v\u00e0 New Delhi, h\u1ecd s\u1ebd g\u1eb7p kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n trong vi\u1ec7c ph\u1ed1i h\u1ee3p v\u00e0 ch\u1ea5m d\u1ee9t giao tranh n\u1ebfu c\u1ea3 hai b\u00ean \u0111\u1ec1u ch\u01b0a s\u1eb5n s\u00e0ng.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

S\u1ef1 c\u1ed1 t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u<\/h4>\n\n\n\n

D\u00f9 ch\u1eafc ch\u1eafn mang t\u00ednh h\u1ee7y di\u1ec7t, m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn nh\u01b0 v\u1eady c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u00edt g\u00e2y ra nguy c\u01a1 leo thang h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n h\u01a1n so v\u1edbi k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n m\u00e0 c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch b\u00ean ngo\u00e0i lo ng\u1ea1i nh\u1ea5t t\u1eeb l\u00e2u: m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c x\u00e2m l\u01b0\u1ee3c m\u1eb7t \u0111\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 v\u00e0 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng Pakistan s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng v\u0169 kh\u00ed h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n chi\u1ebfn thu\u1eadt \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u00e1p tr\u1ea3. <\/strong>Theo ngh\u0129a n\u00e0y, s\u1ef1 d\u1ecbch chuy\u1ec3n t\u1eeb t\u00e1c chi\u1ebfn m\u1eb7t \u0111\u1ea5t sang chi\u1ebfn tranh t\u1ea7m xa v\u00e0 vi\u1ec7c b\u1ed5 sung th\u00eam c\u00e1c n\u1ea5c thang m\u1edbi v\u00e0o thang leo thang quy \u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00e3 th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf \u00edt nh\u1ea5t m\u1ed9t con \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng tr\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp d\u1eabn qua ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n. C\u00e1c n\u0103ng l\u1ef1c th\u00f4ng th\u01b0\u1eddng m\u1edbi, s\u1ef1 s\u1eb5n l\u00f2ng s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng ch\u00fang ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng t\u0103ng v\u00e0 c\u00e1c l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c xung \u0111\u1ed9t m\u1edbi gi\u00fap c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o Pakistan c\u00f3 nh\u1eefng l\u1ef1a ch\u1ecdn thay th\u1ebf \u0111\u1ec3 ng\u0103n ch\u1eb7n m\u1ed9t k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng m\u00e0 \u1edf \u0111\u00f3 h\u1ecd coi vi\u1ec7c s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n l\u00e0 c\u1ee9u c\u00e1nh duy nh\u1ea5t.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nh\u1eefng nh\u00e0 t\u01b0 t\u01b0\u1edfng c\u00f3 t\u1ea7m \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u1edf Islamabad \u0111\u00e3 ghi nh\u1eadn s\u1ef1 ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n n\u00e0y. Trung t\u01b0\u1edbng \u0111\u00e3 ngh\u1ec9 h\u01b0u Khalid Kidwai, ki\u1ebfn tr\u00fac s\u01b0 c\u1ee7a chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n Pakistan, th\u1eeba nh\u1eadn r\u1eb1ng vi\u1ec7c th\u00e0nh l\u1eadp B\u1ed9 T\u01b0 l\u1ec7nh L\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng T\u00ean l\u1eeda L\u1ee5c qu\u00e2n \u201ccung c\u1ea5p m\u1ed9t l\u1edbp r\u0103n \u0111e chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c b\u1ed5 sung gi\u1eefa c\u00e1c chi\u1ebfn d\u1ecbch c\u1ee7a l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng th\u00f4ng th\u01b0\u1eddng v\u00e0 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n, theo \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0m t\u0103ng ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n theo m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch n\u00e0o \u0111\u00f3<\/mark>.\u201d<\/strong> B\u00ecnh lu\u1eadn c\u1ee7a Kidwai \u0111\u00e1nh d\u1ea5u m\u1ed9t s\u1ef1 chuy\u1ec3n d\u1ecbch quan tr\u1ecdng \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi Pakistan, qu\u1ed1c gia v\u1ed1n t\u1eeb l\u00e2u d\u1ef1a v\u00e0o m\u1ed1i \u0111e d\u1ecda s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n \u0111\u1ec3 r\u0103n \u0111e ngay c\u1ea3 nh\u1eefng cu\u1ed9c t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng th\u00f4ng th\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf t\u1eeb \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9.<\/p>\n\n\n

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Tuy nhi\u00ean, c\u00e1ch \u0111\u00f3ng khung n\u00e0y l\u1ea1i che l\u1ea5p m\u1ed9t m\u1ed1i nguy hi\u1ec3m kh\u00e1c: r\u1eb1ng vi\u1ec7c giao tranh th\u00f4ng th\u01b0\u1eddng kh\u1ed1c li\u1ec7t h\u01a1n v\u00e0 kh\u00f3 l\u01b0\u1eddng h\u01a1n c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0m gia t\u0103ng \u00e1p l\u1ef1c leo thang v\u00e0 t\u0103ng nguy c\u01a1 s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n ngo\u00e0i \u00fd mu\u1ed1n<\/strong>. Khi xung \u0111\u1ed9t gia t\u0103ng, c\u00e1c con \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn t\u00ednh to\u00e1n sai l\u1ea7m c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng s\u1ebd nh\u00e2n l\u00ean. C\u00e1c l\u1eb1n ranh \u0111\u1ecf c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 b\u1ecb hi\u1ec3u sai, c\u00e1c kh\u00ed t\u00e0i c\u00f3 c\u00f4ng d\u1ee5ng k\u00e9p c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 b\u1ecb nh\u1eafm m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau nh\u1ea7m, vi\u1ec7c ph\u00e2n t\u00e1n c\u00e1c h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n t\u1ea7m ng\u1eafn cho m\u1ee5c \u0111\u00edch ph\u00f2ng th\u1ee7 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 b\u1ecb hi\u1ec3u l\u1ea7m th\u00e0nh s\u1ef1 chu\u1ea9n b\u1ecb cho vi\u1ec7c s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng. N\u1ebfu c\u1ea3 hai b\u00ean \u0111\u1ec1u g\u00e1nh ch\u1ecbu th\u01b0\u01a1ng vong \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3, ch\u1ecbu t\u1ed5n th\u1ea5t v\u1ec1 h\u1ea1 t\u1ea7ng d\u00e2n s\u1ef1 v\u00e0 qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1, v\u00e0 g\u1eb7p kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n trong vi\u1ec7c ng\u0103n ch\u1eb7n d\u00f2ng th\u00e1c th\u00f4ng tin sai l\u1ec7ch, c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 th\u1ea5y kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n h\u01a1n trong vi\u1ec7c t\u00ecm ki\u1ebfm m\u1ed9t l\u1ed1i tho\u00e1t \u0111\u1ec3 gi\u1eef th\u1ec3 di\u1ec7n. Ngay c\u1ea3 khi gi\u1ea3 \u0111\u1ecbnh r\u1eb1ng c\u1ea3 hai \u0111\u1ec1u th\u1eadn tr\u1ecdng v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n, \u00e1p l\u1ef1c, s\u1ef1 m\u01a1 h\u1ed3 v\u00e0 khung th\u1eddi gian b\u1ecb n\u00e9n l\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c xung \u0111\u1ed9t th\u00f4ng th\u01b0\u1eddng di\u1ec5n ti\u1ebfn nhanh c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0m t\u0103ng nguy c\u01a1 leo thang h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n ngo\u00e0i \u00fd mu\u1ed1n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

S\u1ef1 ch\u1ea5p nh\u1eadn r\u1ee7i ro l\u1edbn h\u01a1n trong xung \u0111\u1ed9t th\u00f4ng th\u01b0\u1eddng c\u0169ng s\u1ebd l\u00e0m ph\u1ee9c t\u1ea1p c\u00e1c n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia kh\u00e1c trong vi\u1ec7c qu\u1ea3n tr\u1ecb m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng. Trong qu\u00e1 kh\u1ee9, c\u00e1c t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n c\u1ee7a Pakistan \u2014 nh\u1eefng l\u1eddi \u0111e d\u1ecda c\u00f4ng khai, vi\u1ec7c di chuy\u1ec3n t\u00ean l\u1eeda, c\u00e1c l\u1ec7nh b\u00e1o \u0111\u1ed9ng v\u00e0 c\u00e1c ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng kh\u00e1c m\u00e0 c\u00e1c c\u01a1 quan t\u00ecnh b\u00e1o c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 quan s\u00e1t th\u1ea5y \u2014 \u0111\u00e3 gi\u00fap t\u1ea1o ra c\u1ea3m gi\u00e1c c\u1ea5p b\u00e1ch t\u1ea1i Washington b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch l\u00e0m d\u1ea5y l\u00ean n\u1ed7i lo s\u1ee3 r\u1eb1ng m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c \u0111\u1ee5ng \u0111\u1ed9 th\u00f4ng th\u01b0\u1eddng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 v\u01b0\u1ee3t qua ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n. Ch\u1eb3ng h\u1ea1n, trong cu\u1ed9c kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng Kargil, nh\u1eefng n\u1ed7i lo s\u1ee3 \u0111\u00f3 \u0111\u00e3 th\u00f4i th\u00fac T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng M\u1ef9 Bill Clinton g\u00e2y s\u1ee9c \u00e9p bu\u1ed9c Th\u1ee7 t\u01b0\u1edbng Pakistan Nawaz Sharif r\u00fat qu\u00e2n. Gi\u1edd \u0111\u00e2y, khi Islamabad v\u00e0 New Delhi c\u00f3 v\u1ebb s\u1eb5n l\u00f2ng ch\u1ecbu \u0111\u1ef1ng v\u00e0 \u0111\u00e1p tr\u1ea3 c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng th\u00f4ng th\u01b0\u1eddng h\u01a1n, c\u1eeda s\u1ed5 cho s\u1ef1 can thi\u1ec7p ngo\u1ea1i giao b\u00ean ngo\u00e0i nh\u1eb1m ng\u0103n ch\u1eb7n kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n \u0111\u00e3 b\u1ecb thu h\u1eb9p. Khi s\u1ef1 leo thang t\u0103ng t\u1ed1c v\u00e0 m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng tr\u00ean c\u00e1c l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c, c\u00e1c c\u01b0\u1eddng qu\u1ed1c b\u00ean ngo\u00e0i c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 th\u1ea5y m\u00ecnh \u0111ang ph\u1ea3i ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng tr\u01b0\u1edbc c\u00e1c s\u1ef1 ki\u1ec7n thay v\u00ec \u0111\u1ecbnh h\u00ecnh ch\u00fang, v\u1edbi \u00edt l\u1ed1i tho\u00e1t r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng h\u01a1n.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ri\u00eang \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi Washington, c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 kh\u00f3 ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t h\u01a1n sau nh\u1eefng tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 l\u1eb7p \u0111i l\u1eb7p l\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a Trump r\u1eb1ng \u00f4ng \u0111\u00e3 bu\u1ed9c c\u1ea3 hai b\u00ean ph\u1ea3i ch\u1ea5p nh\u1eadn ng\u1eebng b\u1eafn.<\/strong> Theo The New York Times, nh\u1eefng kh\u1eb3ng \u0111\u1ecbnh \u0111\u00f3 \u0111\u00e3 g\u00f3p ph\u1ea7n v\u00e0o s\u1ef1 r\u1ea1n n\u1ee9t gi\u1eefa Trump v\u00e0 Modi trong m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c \u0111i\u1ec7n \u0111\u00e0m sau kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng v\u00e0 v\u1eabn l\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec3m g\u00e2y nh\u1ee9c nh\u1ed1i t\u1ea1i New Delhi, b\u00ean duy tr\u00ec quan \u0111i\u1ec3m r\u1eb1ng vi\u1ec7c gi\u1ea3m leo thang ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n l\u00e0 chuy\u1ec7n song ph\u01b0\u01a1ng. New Delhi v\u1ed1n t\u1eeb l\u00e2u t\u1eeb ch\u1ed1i s\u1ef1 h\u00f2a gi\u1ea3i c\u1ee7a b\u00ean th\u1ee9 ba trong c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c xung \u0111\u1ed9t v\u1edbi Pakistan, b\u1edfi h\u1ecd coi tranh ch\u1ea5p Kashmir l\u00e0 v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 song ph\u01b0\u01a1ng v\u00e0 tin r\u1eb1ng s\u1ef1 can d\u1ef1 c\u1ee7a b\u00ean ngo\u00e0i s\u1ebd h\u1ee3p th\u1ee9c h\u00f3a n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c c\u1ee7a Islamabad trong vi\u1ec7c qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf h\u00f3a v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 n\u00e0y. N\u1ebfu giao tranh b\u00f9ng ph\u00e1t tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i, Washington c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 g\u1eb7p kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n khi \u0111\u00f3ng vai tr\u00f2 qu\u1ea3n tr\u1ecb kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng truy\u1ec1n th\u1ed1ng n\u1ebfu \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 ph\u1ea3n \u0111\u1ed1i nh\u1eefng \u0111\u1ec1 ngh\u1ecb c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 \u0111\u1ec3 tr\u00e1nh mang ti\u1ebfng l\u00e0 ch\u1ea5p nh\u1eadn h\u00f2a gi\u1ea3i b\u00ean ngo\u00e0i, \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 cho s\u1ef1 leo thang c\u1ee7a Pakistan ho\u1eb7c t\u1eeb b\u1ecf th\u1eddi gian v\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng gian c\u1ea7n thi\u1ebft \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00e1c m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh. Trong khi \u0111\u00f3, Pakistan c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng M\u1ef9 l\u1eb7p l\u1ea1i vai tr\u00f2 tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00e2y trong vi\u1ec7c d\u00e0n x\u1ebfp m\u1ed9t l\u1ed1i tho\u00e1t, \u0111\u1ec3 r\u1ed3i nh\u1eadn th\u1ea5y Washington k\u00e9m kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng ho\u1eb7c k\u00e9m s\u1eb5n l\u00f2ng l\u00e0m \u0111i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00f3 h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

M\u1ed1i quan h\u1ec7 c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u1edbi Pakistan c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0m ph\u1ee9c t\u1ea1p th\u00eam n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c qu\u1ea3n tr\u1ecb kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai. B\u1eafc Kinh t\u00ecm c\u00e1ch tr\u00e1nh leo thang \u1edf v\u00f9ng l\u00e2n c\u1eadn c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh, nh\u01b0ng cu\u1ed9c kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng th\u00e1ng 5 cho th\u1ea5y h\u1ecd kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 \u0111\u01a1n thu\u1ea7n l\u00e0 ng\u01b0\u1eddi \u0111\u1ee9ng ngo\u00e0i: Pakistan \u0111\u00e3 d\u1ef1a d\u1eabm r\u1ea5t nhi\u1ec1u v\u00e0o c\u00e1c m\u00e1y bay chi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ea5u, t\u00ean l\u1eeda, ph\u00f2ng kh\u00f4ng v\u00e0 c\u00e1c n\u0103ng l\u1ef1c kh\u00e1c c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c, v\u00e0 c\u00e1c quan ch\u1ee9c \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 sau \u0111\u00f3 c\u00e1o bu\u1ed9c r\u1eb1ng Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111\u00e3 cung c\u1ea5p h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 t\u00ecnh b\u00e1o th\u1eddi gian th\u1ef1c trong su\u1ed1t cu\u1ed9c giao tranh.<\/strong> S\u1ef1 can d\u1ef1 c\u1ee7a B\u1eafc Kinh c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng s\u1ebd ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c v\u00e0 ti\u1ec1m t\u00e0ng s\u00e2u s\u1eafc h\u01a1n, l\u00e0m d\u1ea5y l\u00ean tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng r\u1eb1ng Washington v\u00e0 c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c qu\u1ea3n tr\u1ecb kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh s\u1ebd ph\u1ea3i \u0111\u1ed1i ph\u00f3 kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 v\u1edbi \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 v\u00e0 Pakistan m\u00e0 c\u00f2n v\u1edbi Trung Qu\u1ed1c nh\u01b0 m\u1ed9t t\u00e1c nh\u00e2n trong cu\u1ed9c \u0111\u1ed1i \u0111\u1ea7u.<\/p>\n\n\n

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C\u00e1ch hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 nh\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ec3 qu\u1ea3n tr\u1ecb c\u00e1c r\u1ee7i ro l\u1ed9 di\u1ec7n qua cu\u1ed9c kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng th\u00e1ng 5\/2025 l\u00e0 n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c ng\u0103n ch\u1eb7n cu\u1ed9c kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng ti\u1ebfp theo, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 c\u00e1c c\u01a1 ch\u1ebf qu\u1ea3n tr\u1ecb kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng n\u1ebfu nh\u1eefng n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c \u0111\u00f3 th\u1ea5t b\u1ea1i. B\u1ea5t ch\u1ea5p s\u1ef1 th\u00f9 \u0111\u1ecbch s\u00e2u s\u1eafc trong m\u1ed1i quan h\u1ec7, nh\u1eefng k\u1ebft n\u1ed1i k\u00edn \u0111\u00e1o gi\u1eefa \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 v\u00e0 Pakistan v\u1eabn c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0m gi\u1ea3m nguy c\u01a1 c\u1ee7a m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c xung \u0111\u1ed9t kh\u00e1c trong t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai g\u1ea7n.<\/mark><\/strong> Quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u1ee7a \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u00e1p tr\u1ea3 b\u1eb1ng h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi m\u1ed9t v\u1ee5 n\u1ed5 xe h\u01a1i v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 11\/2025 t\u1ea1i New Delhi khi\u1ebfn 10 ng\u01b0\u1eddi thi\u1ec7t m\u1ea1ng, ch\u1eb3ng h\u1ea1n, \u0111\u00e3 th\u1ec3 hi\u1ec7n s\u1ef1 ki\u1ec1m ch\u1ebf v\u00e0 \u00fd ch\u00ed kh\u00f4ng m\u1eb7c \u0111\u1ecbnh ch\u1ecdn h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1. Nh\u1eefng b\u00ean tham gia c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c \u0111\u1ed1i tho\u1ea1i kh\u00f4ng ch\u00ednh th\u1ee9c cho r\u1eb1ng nh\u1eefng h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng nh\u01b0 v\u1eady, c\u00f9ng v\u1edbi nh\u1eefng c\u1eed ch\u1ec9 c\u00f4ng khai nh\u01b0 c\u00e1i b\u1eaft tay v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 12\/2025 gi\u1eefa ngo\u1ea1i tr\u01b0\u1edfng \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 v\u00e0 ch\u1ee7 t\u1ecbch qu\u1ed1c h\u1ed9i Pakistan t\u1ea1i Bangladesh, \u0111\u00e3 t\u1ea1o ra kh\u00f4ng gian khi\u00eam t\u1ed1n cho c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c th\u1ea3o lu\u1eadn m\u1edbi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ch\u00ednh quy\u1ec1n Trump n\u00ean coi cu\u1ed9c kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng th\u00e1ng 5 kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng ngo\u1ea1i giao nh\u1ea5t th\u1eddi m\u00e0 l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c cho m\u1ed9t chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c ng\u0103n ng\u1eeba kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng Nam \u00c1 nghi\u00eam t\u00fac h\u01a1n. M\u1ef9 n\u00ean khuy\u1ebfn kh\u00edch s\u1ef1 k\u1ebft n\u1ed1i gi\u1eefa \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 v\u00e0 Pakistan \u1edf h\u1eadu tr\u01b0\u1eddng, h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 c\u00e1c di\u1ec5n \u0111\u00e0n \u0111\u1ed1i tho\u1ea1i kh\u00f4ng ch\u00ednh th\u1ee9c m\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng l\u00e0m lu m\u1edd hay l\u00e0m ph\u1ee9c t\u1ea1p h\u00f3a ti\u1ebfn tr\u00ecnh<\/mark>. C\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c th\u1ea3o lu\u1eadn c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u1eadp trung v\u00e0o vi\u1ec7c kh\u00f4i ph\u1ee5c v\u00e0 l\u00e0m s\u00e2u s\u1eafc th\u00eam c\u00e1c bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng l\u00f2ng tin gi\u1eefa hai b\u00ean, bao g\u1ed3m vi\u1ec7c ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n c\u00e1c k\u00eanh li\u00ean l\u1ea1c m\u1edbi \u0111\u1ec3 s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng trong c\u1ea3 th\u1eddi b\u00ecnh l\u1eabn th\u1eddi k\u1ef3 kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng nh\u1eb1m gi\u1ea3m thi\u1ec3u r\u1ee7i ro leo thang ngo\u00e0i \u00fd mu\u1ed1n. \u0110\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi, Washington v\u00e0 c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c n\u00ean k\u00edn \u0111\u00e1o l\u00e0m r\u00f5 v\u1edbi New Delhi v\u00e0 Islamabad nh\u1eefng t\u1ed5n th\u1ea5t kinh t\u1ebf, ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb v\u00e0 chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1ee7a m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng quy m\u00f4 l\u1edbn.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Tuy nhi\u00ean, ch\u1ec9 nh\u1eefng l\u1eddi c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o th\u00f4i c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ee7 \u0111\u1ec3 ng\u0103n ch\u1eb7n m\u1ed9t kho\u1ea3nh kh\u1eafc c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng b\u00f9ng n\u1ed5 th\u00e0nh th\u1ee9 g\u00ec \u0111\u00f3 h\u1ee7y di\u1ec7t h\u01a1n. M\u1ed9t k\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch qu\u1ea3n tr\u1ecb kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ph\u1ed1i h\u1ee3p nh\u1eb1m canh ch\u1eebng c\u00e1c con \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng leo thang kh\u00f3 l\u01b0\u1eddng ho\u1eb7c ch\u01b0a t\u1eebng c\u00f3, x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh n\u01a1i M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c c\u00f3 \u0111\u00f2n b\u1ea9y hay kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn m\u1ed7i b\u00ean, v\u00e0 l\u00e0m r\u00f5 quan ch\u1ee9c, k\u00eanh li\u00ean l\u1ea1c v\u00e0 th\u00f4ng \u0111i\u1ec7p n\u00e0o s\u1ebd \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng \u1edf m\u1ed7i giai \u0111o\u1ea1n s\u1ebd l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t b\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111i \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean c\u00f3 gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb. Nh\u1eefng n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c n\u00e0y c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ea3m b\u1ea3o vi\u1ec7c gi\u1ea3m leo thang, nh\u01b0ng s\u1ebd gi\u00fap c\u00e1c ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 b\u00ean ngo\u00e0i c\u00f3 c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i t\u1ed1t h\u01a1n \u0111\u1ec3 h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng nhanh ch\u00f3ng v\u00e0 m\u1ea1ch l\u1ea1c tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng di\u1ec5n ti\u1ebfn nhanh v\u01b0\u1ee3t m\u1eb7t ngo\u1ea1i giao.<\/mark><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Cu\u1ed9c kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng th\u00e1ng 5\/2025 \u0111\u00e3 kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u01b0a \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 v\u00e0 Pakistan \u0111\u1ebfn mi\u1ec7ng h\u1ed1 chi\u1ebfn tranh h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n. Tuy nhi\u00ean, n\u00f3 \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1eb7t n\u1ec1n m\u00f3ng cho m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c \u0111\u1ee5ng \u0111\u1ed9 kh\u00e1c c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0m \u0111i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00f3. <\/strong>Th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng c\u1ee7a Washington trong vi\u1ec7c th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y m\u1ed9t l\u1ec7nh ng\u1eebng b\u1eafn kh\u00f4ng n\u00ean b\u1ecb l\u1ea7m t\u01b0\u1edfng l\u00e0 b\u1eb1ng ch\u1ee9ng cho th\u1ea5y c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t b\u1eb1ng c\u00f9ng nh\u1eefng c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5, th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m hay gi\u1ea3 \u0111\u1ecbnh \u0111\u00f3. Ng\u1ecdn l\u1eeda l\u1ea7n t\u1edbi c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ch\u00e1y d\u1eef d\u1ed9i h\u01a1n v\u00e0 lan nhanh h\u01a1n. Li\u1ec7u n\u00f3 c\u00f3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c kh\u1ed1ng ch\u1ebf hay s\u1ebd m\u1ea5t ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t ph\u1ea7n l\u1edbn ph\u1ee5 thu\u1ed9c v\u00e0o nh\u1eefng r\u00e0o c\u1ea3n ng\u0103n l\u1eeda \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng ngay t\u1eeb b\u00e2y gi\u1edd, tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi \u0111\u1ed1m l\u1eeda ti\u1ebfp theo b\u00f9ng ch\u00e1y.<\/mark><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

ELIZABETH THRELKELD <\/strong>
Nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u vi\u00ean cao c\u1ea5p v\u00e0 Gi\u00e1m \u0111\u1ed1c Ch\u01b0\u01a1ng tr\u00ecnh Nam \u00c1 t\u1ea1i Trung t\u00e2m Stimson.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ngu\u1ed3n tr\u00edch: Nghi\u00ean C\u1ee9u Qu\u1ed1c T\u1ebf<\/strong>
https:\/\/nghiencuuquocte.org\/2026\/05\/09\/tai-sao-cuoc-chien-tiep-theo-giua-an-do-va-pakistan-se-leo-thang\/#more-66874<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u1ea2nh minh h\u1ecda: V\u1eadn H\u1ed9i M\u1edbi<\/strong><\/p>\n

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Ngu\u1ed3n:  Elizabeth Threlkeld, \u201cWhy the Next India-Pakistan War Will Escalate\u201d, Foreign Affairs, 04\/05\/2026 Bi\u00ean d\u1ecbch: Vi\u00ean \u0110\u0103ng Huy Trong th\u00f4ng \u0111i\u1ec7p li\u00ean bang n\u0103m 2026, T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng M\u1ef9 Donald Trump \u0111\u00e3 l\u1eb7p l\u1ea1i m\u1ed9t \u0111i\u1ec7p kh\u00fac quen thu\u1ed9c ca ng\u1ee3i vai tr\u00f2 c\u1ee7a \u00f4ng trong vi\u1ec7c ch\u1ea5m d\u1ee9t cu\u1ed9c xung \u0111\u1ed9t th\u00e1ng 5\/2025\u0111\u1ecdc ti\u1ebfp…<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":28463,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[7,769,8,12,9],"tags":[127,165,118,212,119,359],"class_list":["entry","author-ntviet","post-28462","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-binhluan","category-chien-tranh","category-chinhtri-xahoi","category-chuyenmuc","category-kinhte","tag-an-do","tag-binh-luan","tag-chinh-tri","tag-chuyen-de","tag-hoa-ky","tag-pakistan"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/28462","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=28462"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/28462\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":28986,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/28462\/revisions\/28986"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/28463"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=28462"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=28462"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=28462"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}