{"id":28828,"date":"2026-06-28T02:28:48","date_gmt":"2026-06-28T02:28:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/?p=28828"},"modified":"2026-06-28T02:28:51","modified_gmt":"2026-06-28T02:28:51","slug":"qua-trinh-chuyen-doi-tang-truong-cua-trung-quoc-tao-ra-he-qua-toan-cau","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/?p=28828","title":{"rendered":"Qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh chuy\u1ec3n \u0111\u1ed5i t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c t\u1ea1o ra h\u1ec7 qu\u1ea3 to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u<\/strong>
Yixiao Zhou<\/span>"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Ngu\u1ed3n: Yixiao Zhou, \u201cChina\u2019s growth transition has global consequences\u201d, East Asia Forum<\/em><\/mark><\/strong>, 26\/05\/2026<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bi\u00ean d\u1ecbch: <\/strong>Ph\u1ea1m \u00c1nh Minh<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh h\u1ea1 m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng GDP n\u0103m 2026 xu\u1ed1ng c\u00f2n 4,5\u20135,0% c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111\u00e1nh d\u1ea5u m\u1ed9t b\u01b0\u1edbc n\u1eefa trong qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh chuy\u1ec3n \u0111\u1ed5i c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n.<\/mark><\/strong> C\u00e1c nh\u00e0 ho\u1ea1ch \u0111\u1ecbnh ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch Trung Qu\u1ed1c kh\u00f4ng m\u00f4 t\u1ea3 quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh n\u00e0y l\u00e0 t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u suy y\u1ebfu c\u1ee7a n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf, m\u00e0 l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t s\u1ef1 chuy\u1ec3n h\u01b0\u1edbng c\u00f3 ch\u1ee7 \u0111\u00edch t\u1eeb t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng b\u1eb1ng m\u1ecdi gi\u00e1 sang t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng ch\u1ea5t l\u01b0\u1ee3ng cao \u2014 v\u1edbi tr\u1ecdng t\u00e2m nh\u1ea5n m\u1ea1nh v\u00e0o n\u0103ng su\u1ea5t, n\u00e2ng c\u1ea5p c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 v\u00e0 ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n to\u00e0n di\u1ec7n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

C\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i \u0111ang ch\u1ee9ng ki\u1ebfn m\u1ed9t Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u1eeba c\u00f3 t\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng t\u1ed5ng th\u1ec3 ch\u1eadm l\u1ea1i, nh\u01b0ng c\u0169ng v\u1eeba tr\u1edf n\u00ean c\u1ea1nh tranh h\u01a1n trong m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 ng\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p nh\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ecbnh.<\/strong> C\u00e1c kho\u1ea3n \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 \u0111\u1ed5 v\u00e0o c\u00e1c l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c nh\u01b0 s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t ti\u00ean ti\u1ebfn, n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng s\u1ea1ch v\u00e0 c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt s\u1ed1. Trong c\u00e1c ng\u00e0nh nh\u01b0 xe \u0111i\u1ec7n, pin v\u00e0 n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng m\u1eb7t tr\u1eddi, c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng ty Trung Qu\u1ed1c chi\u1ebfm l\u0129nh v\u1ecb tr\u00ed d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ea7u tr\u00ean th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u. Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi c\u0169ng s\u1edf h\u1eefu kho robot c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi v\u00e0 \u0111ang t\u0103ng c\u01b0\u1eddng tri\u1ec3n khai \u1ee9ng d\u1ee5ng AI v\u00e0o s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t, ch\u0103m s\u00f3c s\u1ee9c kh\u1ecfe v\u00e0 logistics.<\/p>\n\n\n

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Tuy v\u1eady, t\u1ed5ng \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n c\u1ed1 \u0111\u1ecbnh \u0111\u00e3 gi\u1ea3m 3,8% trong n\u0103m 2025, do s\u1ef1 s\u1ee5t gi\u1ea3m 17,2% trong \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n. K\u1ec3 c\u1ea3 khi kh\u00f4ng t\u00ednh \u0111\u1ebfn b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n, \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n c\u1ed1 \u0111\u1ecbnh v\u1eabn gi\u1ea3m 0,5%.<\/mark><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ba tr\u1edf ng\u1ea1i mang t\u00ednh c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ghi nh\u1eadn r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng:<\/strong> l\u1ee3i \u00edch t\u1eeb c\u1ea3i c\u00e1ch \u0111\u00e3 c\u1ea1n ki\u1ec7t, l\u1ee3i th\u1ebf nh\u00e2n kh\u1ea9u h\u1ecdc \u0111ang b\u1ecb \u0111\u1ea3o ng\u01b0\u1ee3c v\u00e0 l\u1ee3i \u00edch t\u1eeb to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u h\u00f3a \u0111ang suy y\u1ebfu trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i.<\/mark><\/strong> Th\u00eam v\u00e0o \u0111\u00f3, l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n v\u1eabn \u0111ang tr\u00ec tr\u1ec7. H\u1ea7u h\u1ebft c\u00e1c d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o \u0111\u1ec1u cho r\u1eb1ng s\u1ef1 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i b\u1ec1n v\u1eefng s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng di\u1ec5n ra tr\u01b0\u1edbc n\u0103m 2027.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nh\u1eefng t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng lan t\u1ecfa v\u1ec1 t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh v\u00e0 ni\u1ec1m tin t\u1eeb s\u1ef1 suy tho\u00e1i th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n \u2014 doanh thu ch\u00ednh quy\u1ec1n \u0111\u1ecba ph\u01b0\u01a1ng gi\u1ea3m, ti\u1ebft ki\u1ec7m d\u1ef1 ph\u00f2ng c\u1ee7a h\u1ed9 gia \u0111\u00ecnh gia t\u0103ng v\u00e0 ni\u1ec1m tin ng\u01b0\u1eddi ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng b\u1ecb k\u00ecm h\u00e3m \u2014 c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng s\u1ebd \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn nhu c\u1ea7u n\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ecba \u00edt nh\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ebfn n\u0103m 2028.<\/strong> Vi\u1ec7c Trung Qu\u1ed1c c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u00e1i c\u00e2n b\u1eb1ng n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng hay kh\u00f4ng s\u1ebd ph\u1ee5 thu\u1ed9c v\u00e0o vi\u1ec7c n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 h\u01b0\u1edbng ngu\u1ed3n ti\u1ebft ki\u1ec7m d\u1ed3i d\u00e0o v\u00e0o c\u00e1c ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng t\u1ea1o vi\u1ec7c l\u00e0m tr\u00ean di\u1ec7n r\u1ed9ng \u2014 thay v\u00ec t\u1eadp trung \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 v\u00e0o m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 \u00edt l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 cao t\u1ea1o ra t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ed1i \u00edt vi\u1ec7c l\u00e0m \u2014 hay kh\u00f4ng.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

M\u1ed1i quan h\u1ec7 nh\u00e2n qu\u1ea3 gi\u1eefa s\u1ef1 chuy\u1ec3n \u0111\u1ed5i trong n\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00e0 s\u1ef1 thay \u0111\u1ed5i l\u1eadp tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u1ed1i ngo\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111ang di\u1ec5n ra d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean ba c\u01a1 ch\u1ebf. Khi t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng d\u1ef1a v\u00e0o ng\u00e0nh x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng gi\u1ea3m d\u1ea7n, nhu c\u1ea7u nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c chuy\u1ec3n t\u1eeb nguy\u00ean li\u1ec7u th\u00f4 sang c\u00e1c y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 \u0111\u1ea7u v\u00e0o c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 v\u00e0 h\u00e0ng ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng, t\u1eeb \u0111\u00f3 \u0111\u1ecbnh h\u01b0\u1edbng l\u1ea1i c\u00e1c m\u1ed1i quan h\u1ec7 th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh nhu c\u1ea7u n\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ecba v\u1eabn c\u00f2n y\u1ebfu, c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng ty Trung Qu\u1ed1c t\u00ecm \u0111\u1ebfn c\u00e1c th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng v\u00e0 c\u01a1 s\u1edf s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t n\u01b0\u1edbc ngo\u00e0i, l\u00e0m gia t\u0103ng c\u1ea1nh tranh xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 ra n\u01b0\u1edbc ngo\u00e0i.<\/strong> Khi c\u1ea1nh tranh chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c v\u1edbi M\u1ef9 ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng gay g\u1eaft, Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111ang d\u1ea7n x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng c\u00e1c m\u1ed1i quan h\u1ec7 kinh t\u1ebf \u0111a d\u1ea1ng h\u01a1n nh\u1eb1m gi\u1ea3m thi\u1ec3u nh\u1eefng \u0111i\u1ec3m y\u1ebfu c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

T\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u sang Hoa K\u1ef3 \u0111\u00e3 gi\u1ea3m t\u1eeb 19,2% n\u0103m 2018 xu\u1ed1ng c\u00f2n 11% n\u0103m 2025.<\/mark><\/strong> Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n v\u00e0 Li\u00ean minh ch\u00e2u \u00c2u c\u0169ng nh\u1eadn th\u1ea5y m\u1ed9t s\u1ef1 chuy\u1ec3n h\u01b0\u1edbng th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i ti\u00eau c\u1ef1c, d\u00f9 ch\u1ec9 \u1edf quy m\u00f4 nh\u1ecf. Trong khi \u0111\u00f3, kim ng\u1ea1ch th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i t\u1ea1i c\u00e1c th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng m\u1edbi n\u1ed5i \u2014 bao g\u1ed3m ASEAN, M\u1ef9 Latinh, ch\u00e2u Phi v\u00e0 Trung \u00c1 \u2014 \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng h\u01a1n 10% m\u1ed7i n\u0103m k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb n\u0103m 2021.<\/mark><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u00e0 ASEAN \u0111\u00e3 l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a nhau trong 5 n\u0103m li\u00ean ti\u1ebfp.<\/strong> L\u1ea7n \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean, c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c trong S\u00e1ng ki\u1ebfn V\u00e0nh \u0111ai v\u00e0 Con \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng (BRI) chi\u1ebfm h\u01a1n 50% t\u1ed5ng kim ng\u1ea1ch th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2024. Xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c sang ch\u00e2u Phi c\u0169ng t\u0103ng kho\u1ea3ng 25% trong 8 th\u00e1ng \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m 2025, d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ea7u b\u1edfi Nigeria, Nam Phi v\u00e0 Ai C\u1eadp.<\/p>\n\n\n

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V\u1ec1 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 ra n\u01b0\u1edbc ngo\u00e0i, BRI \u0111\u00e3 b\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00e0o giai \u0111o\u1ea1n m\u1edbi v\u1edbi nh\u1eefng thay \u0111\u1ed5i trong c\u01a1 c\u1ea5u. S\u1ef1 tham gia c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng ty Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u00e0o BRI \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c b\u00e1o c\u00e1o \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1ea1t m\u1ee9c cao nh\u1ea5t k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb khi s\u00e1ng ki\u1ebfn n\u00e0y \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c kh\u1edfi x\u01b0\u1edbng v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2013. Trong n\u0103m 2025, gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb h\u1ee3p \u0111\u1ed3ng x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng t\u0103ng 81% v\u00e0 gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 t\u0103ng 62% so v\u1edbi c\u00f9ng k\u1ef3 n\u0103m tr\u01b0\u1edbc.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

L\u0129nh v\u1ef1c v\u1eadn t\u1ea3i \u2014 bao g\u1ed3m \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng b\u1ed9, \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng s\u1eaft v\u00e0 c\u1ea3ng bi\u1ec3n \u2014 \u0111\u00e3 gi\u1ea3m xu\u1ed1ng m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p nh\u1ea5t t\u1eeb tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u1ebfn nay v\u1ec1 t\u1ef7 tr\u1ecdng trong BRI, ch\u1ec9 c\u00f2n 6,2% v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2025, so v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ec9nh 28% v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2018. <\/mark><\/strong>Trong khi \u0111\u00f3, l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng, c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 v\u00e0 s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t l\u1ea1i t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd. \u0110\u1ed1i v\u1edbi c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc ti\u1ebfp nh\u1eadn, s\u1ef1 thay \u0111\u1ed5i n\u00e0y t\u1ea1o ra nh\u1eefng h\u1ec7 qu\u1ea3 th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh c\u00e1c n\u1ec1n t\u1ea3ng s\u1ed1 v\u00e0 khu c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p \u0111ang t\u1ea1o ra nh\u1eefng c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i vi\u1ec7c l\u00e0m v\u00e0 chuy\u1ec3n giao c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 kh\u00e1c bi\u1ec7t so v\u1edbi \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng b\u1ed9 v\u00e0 c\u1ea3ng bi\u1ec3n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Trung Qu\u1ed1c c\u0169ng ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf h\u00f3a \u0111\u1ed3ng Nh\u00e2n d\u00e2n t\u1ec7 qua nhi\u1ec1u k\u00eanh.<\/strong> T\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i xuy\u00ean bi\u00ean gi\u1edbi c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c thanh to\u00e1n b\u1eb1ng Nh\u00e2n d\u00e2n t\u1ec7 \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1ea1t 28% v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2025.<\/strong> \u0110\u1ed1i v\u1edbi c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111ang xem x\u00e9t thanh to\u00e1n th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i song ph\u01b0\u01a1ng b\u1eb1ng Nh\u00e2n d\u00e2n t\u1ec7, h\u1ec7 qu\u1ea3 th\u1ef1c ti\u1ec5n l\u00e0 chi ph\u00ed giao d\u1ecbch th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n v\u00e0 gi\u1ea3m thi\u1ec3u r\u1ee7i ro t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 so v\u1edbi giao d\u1ecbch b\u1eb1ng \u0111\u00f4 la M\u1ef9 trong th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i v\u1edbi Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u2014 nh\u01b0ng kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng t\u1ef1 do s\u1ed1 d\u01b0 Nh\u00e2n d\u00e2n t\u1ec7 t\u1ea1i c\u00e1c th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng th\u1ee9 ba l\u1ea1i b\u1ecb h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u0110\u1ed1i v\u1edbi c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia \u0111\u00e3 x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean gi\u1ea3 \u0111\u1ecbnh v\u1ec1 m\u1ed9t n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf Trung Qu\u1ed1c t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng nhanh ch\u00f3ng \u2014 m\u1ed9t gi\u1ea3 \u0111\u1ecbnh nay kh\u00f4ng c\u00f2n \u0111\u00fang n\u1eefa \u2014 h\u1ec7 qu\u1ea3 s\u1ebd kh\u00e1c nhau \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 t\u00f9y thu\u1ed9c v\u00e0o v\u1ecb th\u1ebf c\u1ee7a qu\u1ed1c gia \u0111\u00f3 so v\u1edbi m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng c\u0169 c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u0110\u1ed1i v\u1edbi c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a nh\u01b0 Australia v\u00e0 Brazil, v\u1ed1n \u0111\u00e3 t\u1eadn d\u1ee5ng chu k\u1ef3 si\u00eau t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng do ng\u00e0nh x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ea7u c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c, s\u1ef1 \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh n\u00e0y mang t\u00ednh c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac. Nhu c\u1ea7u v\u1ec1 qu\u1eb7ng s\u1eaft v\u00e0 kim lo\u1ea1i c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n li\u00ean quan tr\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp \u0111\u1ebfn ng\u00e0nh x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng Trung Qu\u1ed1c kh\u00f3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i v\u1ec1 m\u1ee9c tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00e2y. C\u00e1c d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o v\u1ec1 ng\u00e2n s\u00e1ch v\u00e0 doanh thu xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean nhu c\u1ea7u \u0111\u00f3 c\u1ea7n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh l\u1ea1i m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch v\u0129nh vi\u1ec5n. C\u01a1 h\u1ed9i cho nh\u00f3m n\u00e0y n\u1eb1m \u1edf c\u00e1c kho\u00e1ng s\u1ea3n quan tr\u1ecdng cho c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 xanh \u2014 nh\u01b0 lithium, coban, niken v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea5t hi\u1ebfm \u2014 n\u01a1i nhu c\u1ea7u c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111ang gia t\u0103ng.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u0110\u1ed1i v\u1edbi c\u00e1c n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf c\u1ea1nh tranh trong l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t nh\u01b0 \u0110\u1ee9c, Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n, H\u00e0n Qu\u1ed1c v\u00e0 ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng nhi\u1ec1u n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf \u0110\u00f4ng Nam \u00c1, th\u00e1ch th\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ebfn t\u1eeb s\u1ef1 c\u1ea1nh tranh c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng ty Trung Qu\u1ed1c trong c\u00e1c l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c nh\u01b0 xe \u0111i\u1ec7n, pin v\u00e0 m\u00e1y m\u00f3c \u2014 n\u01a1i l\u1ee3i th\u1ebf v\u1ec1 chi ph\u00ed c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111ang l\u00e0m gi\u1ea3m th\u1ecb ph\u1ea7n. <\/strong>\u0110\u1ed1i v\u1edbi c\u00e1c n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf n\u00e0y, l\u1ee3i th\u1ebf d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n s\u1ebd n\u1eb1m \u1edf c\u00e1c ph\u00e2n kh\u00fac s\u1ea3n ph\u1ea9m v\u00e0 d\u1ecbch v\u1ee5 trong \u0111\u00f3 ch\u1ea5t l\u01b0\u1ee3ng, s\u1ef1 g\u1ea7n g\u0169i \u0111\u1ecba l\u00fd v\u00e0 chi\u1ec1u s\u00e2u m\u1ed1i quan h\u1ec7 quan tr\u1ecdng h\u01a1n chi ph\u00ed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u0110\u1ed1i v\u1edbi c\u00e1c n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf d\u1ecbch v\u1ee5 v\u00e0 tri th\u1ee9c v\u1edbi th\u1ebf m\u1ea1nh trong gi\u00e1o d\u1ee5c, ch\u0103m s\u00f3c s\u1ee9c kh\u1ecfe, d\u1ecbch v\u1ee5 t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh v\u00e0 d\u1ecbch v\u1ee5 chuy\u00ean nghi\u1ec7p, qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh chuy\u1ec3n \u0111\u1ed5i c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c t\u1ea1o ra nhu c\u1ea7u m\u1edbi th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1. T\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng gi\u00e0 h\u00f3a d\u00e2n s\u1ed1, t\u1ea7ng l\u1edbp trung l\u01b0u gi\u00e0u c\u00f3 h\u01a1n v\u00e0 n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 ti\u00ean ti\u1ebfn c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c t\u1ea1o ra th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng cho ch\u00ednh nh\u1eefng d\u1ecbch v\u1ee5 m\u00e0 c\u00e1c n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf n\u00e0y cung c\u1ea5p.<\/mark><\/strong> \u01afu ti\u00ean ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch cho c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y l\u00e0 h\u1ee3p t\u00e1c song ph\u01b0\u01a1ng v\u1ec1 t\u1ef1 do h\u00f3a d\u1ecbch v\u1ee5.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Giai \u0111o\u1ea1n ti\u1ebfp theo c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c s\u1ebd t\u01b0\u1edfng th\u01b0\u1edfng cho c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia hi\u1ec3u r\u00f5 nhu c\u1ea7u trong l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c n\u00e0o \u0111ang ch\u1eadm l\u1ea1i, c\u1ea1nh tranh trong l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c n\u00e0o \u0111ang gia t\u0103ng v\u00e0 c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i m\u1edbi trong l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c n\u00e0o \u0111ang xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Yixiao Zhou <\/strong>
Ph\u00f3 Gi\u00e1o s\u01b0 Kinh t\u1ebf v\u00e0 Gi\u00e1m \u0111\u1ed1c Ch\u01b0\u01a1ng tr\u00ecnh Kinh t\u1ebf Trung Qu\u1ed1c t\u1ea1i Tr\u01b0\u1eddng Ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch C\u00f4ng Crawford, \u0110\u1ea1i h\u1ecdc Qu\u1ed1c gia \u00dac.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ngu\u1ed3n tr\u00edch: Nghi\u00ean C\u1ee9u Qu\u1ed1c T\u1ebf<\/strong>
https:\/\/nghiencuuquocte.org\/2026\/06\/05\/qua-trinh-chuyen-doi-tang-truong-cua-trung-quoc-tao-ra-he-qua-toan-cau\/#more-67269<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u1ea2nh minh h\u1ecda: V\u1eadn H\u1ed9i M\u1edbi<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n

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<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Ngu\u1ed3n: Yixiao Zhou, \u201cChina\u2019s growth transition has global consequences\u201d, East Asia Forum, 26\/05\/2026 Bi\u00ean d\u1ecbch: Ph\u1ea1m \u00c1nh Minh Quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh h\u1ea1 m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng GDP n\u0103m 2026 xu\u1ed1ng c\u00f2n 4,5\u20135,0% c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111\u00e1nh d\u1ea5u m\u1ed9t b\u01b0\u1edbc n\u1eefa trong qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh chuy\u1ec3n \u0111\u1ed5i c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n. C\u00e1c nh\u00e0 ho\u1ea1ch \u0111\u1ecbnh ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch\u0111\u1ecdc ti\u1ebfp…<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":28222,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[7,8,12,53],"tags":[165,118,212,813,82,773,98,226],"class_list":["entry","author-ntviet","post-28828","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-binhluan","category-chinhtri-xahoi","category-chuyenmuc","category-kinhte-chinhtri","tag-binh-luan","tag-chinh-tri","tag-chuyen-de","tag-dan-so-lao-hoa","tag-kinh-te","tag-tang-truong-giam","tag-trung-cong","tag-xa-hoi"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/28828","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=28828"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/28828\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":28967,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/28828\/revisions\/28967"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/28222"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=28828"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=28828"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=28828"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}