{"id":28895,"date":"2026-09-06T06:43:49","date_gmt":"2026-09-06T06:43:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/?p=28895"},"modified":"2026-09-06T06:43:51","modified_gmt":"2026-09-06T06:43:51","slug":"dieu-gi-se-den-sau-trat-tu-the-gioi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/?p=28895","title":{"rendered":"\u0110i\u1ec1u g\u00ec s\u1ebd \u0111\u1ebfn sau tr\u1eadt t\u1ef1 th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi?<\/strong>
Bruno Ma\u00e7\u00e3es<\/span>"},"content":{"rendered":"
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________________<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

Ngu\u1ed3n:<\/strong> Bruno Ma\u00e7\u00e3es, \u201cWhat Comes After Global Order,\u201d Foreign Policy<\/em><\/mark><\/strong>, <\/em>27\/11\/2026<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bi\u00ean d\u1ecbch: <\/strong>Nguy\u1ec5n Th\u1ecb Kim Ph\u1ee5ng<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Thay v\u00ec m\u1ed9t khu\u00f4n kh\u1ed5 qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf m\u1edbi, ch\u00fang ta c\u1ea7n m\u1ed9t h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng \u0111\u1ec3 chuy\u1ec3n \u0111\u1ed5i t\u1eeb khu\u00f4n kh\u1ed5 n\u00e0y sang khu\u00f4n kh\u1ed5 ti\u1ebfp theo.<\/mark><\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

M\u1ecdi \u0111\u1ebf ch\u1ebf cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng \u0111\u1ec1u nh\u1eadn ra c\u00f9ng m\u1ed9t s\u1ef1 th\u1eadt ph\u0169 ph\u00e0ng: ch\u00fang \u0111\u1ec1u c\u00f3 ng\u00e0y t\u00e0n.<\/strong> Ng\u01b0\u1eddi M\u1ef9 gi\u1edd \u0111\u00e2y \u0111ang nh\u1eadn ra \u0111i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00f3. Ng\u01b0\u1eddi Trung Qu\u1ed1c, \u0111\u00e1ng khen thay, \u0111\u00e3 nh\u1eadn ra \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y t\u1eeb l\u00e2u. H\u1ecd bi\u1ebft r\u1eb1ng s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 m\u1ed9t th\u1ebf k\u1ef7 Trung Qu\u1ed1c theo c\u00e1ch nh\u01b0 t\u1eebng c\u00f3 m\u1ed9t th\u1ebf k\u1ef7 M\u1ef9, b\u1edfi k\u1ef7 nguy\u00ean c\u1ee7a tr\u1eadt t\u1ef1 th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi \u0111\u00e3 k\u1ebft th\u00fac. Nh\u1eefng g\u00ec ch\u00fang ta c\u00f3 hi\u1ec7n nay l\u00e0 qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh thi\u1ebft l\u1eadp tr\u1eadt t\u1ef1, ki\u1ebfn thi\u1ebft th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi \u2014 m\u1ed9t qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 h\u1ed3i k\u1ebft.<\/mark><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi Washington, b\u1edfi h\u1ecd th\u00edch s\u1ef1 d\u1ee9t kho\u00e1t. Chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c hi\u1ec7n h\u00e0nh, \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ti\u00ean phong b\u1edfi c\u1ef1u B\u1ed9 tr\u01b0\u1edfng Th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i Gina Raimondo, l\u00e0 \u201ck\u00ecm h\u00e3m\u201d s\u1ef1 \u0111\u1ed5i m\u1edbi c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u2014 m\u1ed9t c\u1ee5m t\u1eeb n\u00ean \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u00eau tr\u00ean m\u1ed9t chi\u1ebfc g\u1ed1i \u0111\u1eb7t trong b\u1ea3o t\u00e0ng c\u1ee7a s\u1ef1 suy t\u00e0n \u0111\u1ebf qu\u1ed1c, n\u1eb1m \u0111\u00e2u \u0111\u00f3 gi\u1eefa c\u00e2u \u201cPhong tr\u00e0o Ngh\u0129a H\u00f2a \u0110o\u00e0n s\u1ebd gi\u1ea3i t\u00e1n tr\u01b0\u1edbc th\u1ee9 Ba\u201d v\u00e0 \u201cKh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng Suez s\u1ebd k\u1ebft th\u00fac tr\u01b0\u1edbc b\u1eefa tr\u01b0a.\u201d Th\u1eadt kh\u00f3 \u0111\u1ec3 ngh\u0129 ra m\u1ed9t c\u01b0\u1eddng qu\u1ed1c n\u00e0o \u0111\u00e3 b\u1ea3o v\u1ec7 th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng v\u1ecb th\u1ebf t\u1ed1i cao c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch c\u01b0\u01a1ng quy\u1ebft y\u00eau c\u1ea7u \u0111\u1ed1i th\u1ee7 h\u00e3y vui l\u00f2ng ng\u1eebng th\u00f4ng minh l\u1ea1i.<\/strong> Nh\u00e0 Thanh \u0111\u00e3 th\u1eed m\u1ed9t phi\u00ean b\u1ea3n t\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1 \u0111\u1ec3 ch\u1ed1ng l\u1ea1i c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 ch\u00e2u \u00c2u, v\u00e0 k\u1ebft c\u1ee5c kh\u00f4ng m\u1ea5y t\u1ed1t \u0111\u1eb9p.<\/p>\n\n\n

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Nh\u1eefng n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c t\u1ef1 m\u00e3n c\u1ee7a Washington nh\u1eb1m c\u1ea3n b\u01b0\u1edbc s\u1ef1 tr\u1ed7i d\u1eady c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c th\u1ec3 hi\u1ec7n ni\u1ec1m tin c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c si\u00eau c\u01b0\u1eddng r\u1eb1ng v\u1ecb th\u1ebf c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd l\u00e0 do t\u1ea1o h\u00f3a ban t\u1eb7ng.<\/strong> Khi m\u1ed9t c\u01b0\u1eddng qu\u1ed1c m\u1edbi n\u1ed5i xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n, h\u1ecd rao gi\u1ea3ng \u0111\u1ea1o l\u00fd v\u1ec1 cu\u1ed9c \u0111\u1ed1i \u0111\u1ea7u thay v\u00ec tr\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp \u0111\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ea7u v\u1edbi n\u00f3. Nh\u01b0 nh\u00e0 b\u00ecnh lu\u1eadn Kaiser Kuo \u0111\u00e3 nh\u1eadn x\u00e9t, m\u1ed9t qu\u1ed1c gia \u0111\u00e3 quen v\u1edbi v\u1ecb th\u1ebf m\u1eb7c \u0111\u1ecbnh kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 c\u00f4ng nh\u1eadn m\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ed1i th\u1ee7 ngang t\u1ea7m m\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng thuy\u1ebft gi\u00e1o tr\u01b0\u1edbc.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Thay v\u00e0o \u0111\u00f3, \u0111i\u1ec1u c\u1ea7n thi\u1ebft l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t tr\u1eadt t\u1ef1 thu\u1ed9c m\u1ed9t ki\u1ec3u ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n kh\u00e1c. \u0110\u00e2y s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t b\u1ea3n thi\u1ebft k\u1ebf m\u1edbi cho m\u1ed9t tr\u1eadt t\u1ef1 ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb th\u1ef1c ch\u1ea5t \u2014 v\u1edbi c\u00e1c nguy\u00ean t\u1eafc \u0111\u1ea1o \u0111\u1ee9c d\u00e0nh cho c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng d\u00e2n ho\u1eb7c qu\u1ed1c gia, th\u1ee9 kh\u00f4ng bao gi\u1edd c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ph\u1ed5 qu\u00e1t h\u00f3a m\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 s\u1ef1 \u00e9p bu\u1ed9c. Thay v\u00e0o \u0111\u00f3, n\u00f3 s\u1ebd l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t khu\u00f4n kh\u1ed5 chi ph\u1ed1i c\u00e1ch b\u1ea3n th\u00e2n c\u00e1c tr\u1eadt t\u1ef1 ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb tr\u1ed7i d\u1eady v\u00e0 suy t\u00e0n.<\/mark><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u0110\u1eebng ngh\u0129 n\u00f3 gi\u1ed1ng nh\u01b0 m\u1ed9t c\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c c\u1ee5 th\u1ec3, m\u00e0 h\u00e3y xem n\u00f3 l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t h\u1ec7 ph\u01b0\u01a1ng tr\u00ecnh: thay v\u00ec quy \u0111\u1ecbnh n\u1ed9i dung c\u1ee7a ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u, n\u00f3 thi\u1ebft l\u1eadp c\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n \u0111\u1ec3 c\u00e1c quy t\u1eafc v\u00e0 gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb hi\u1ec7n c\u00f3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 thay \u0111\u1ed5i. <\/mark><\/strong>N\u00f3 kh\u00f4ng hi\u1ec7n th\u00e2n cho m\u1ed9t t\u1ea7m nh\u00ecn; n\u00f3 gi\u1ea3 \u0111\u1ecbnh r\u1eb1ng c\u00e1c t\u1ea7m nh\u00ecn s\u1ebd n\u1ed1i ti\u1ebfp nhau v\u00e0 t\u00ecm c\u00e1ch \u0111\u1ea3m b\u1ea3o s\u1ef1 chuy\u1ec3n giao di\u1ec5n ra m\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 th\u1ea3m h\u1ecda. N\u1ebfu c\u00e1c tr\u1eadt t\u1ef1 th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi l\u00e0 nh\u1eefng b\u1ee9c \u1ea3nh ch\u1ee5p nhanh, th\u00ec qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh thi\u1ebft l\u1eadp tr\u1eadt t\u1ef1 l\u00e0 c\u1ea3 m\u1ed9t b\u1ed9 phim.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

C\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ec1 xu\u1ea5t hai nguy\u00ean t\u1eafc \u0111\u1ec3 thi\u1ebft l\u1eadp tr\u1eadt t\u1ef1. Th\u1ee9 nh\u1ea5t, m\u1ecdi qu\u1ed1c gia \u0111\u1ec1u c\u00f3 quy\u1ec1n t\u1ef1 do ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 m\u1edbi.<\/mark><\/strong> N\u01b0\u1edbc Anh \u0111\u00e3 d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ea7u cu\u1ed9c C\u00e1ch m\u1ea1ng C\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p l\u1ea7n th\u1ee9 nh\u1ea5t. N\u01b0\u1edbc M\u1ef9 \u0111\u00e3 d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ea7u cu\u1ed9c c\u00e1ch m\u1ea1ng l\u1ea7n th\u1ee9 hai. Vi\u1ec7c kh\u0103ng kh\u0103ng r\u1eb1ng Trung Qu\u1ed1c hi\u1ec7n nay ph\u1ea3i ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n trong nh\u1eefng ranh gi\u1edbi do Washington v\u1ea1ch ra l\u00e0 s\u1ef1 nh\u1ea7m l\u1eabn gi\u1eefa \u0111\u1eb7c quy\u1ec1n c\u1ee7a c\u01b0\u1eddng qu\u1ed1c hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i v\u1edbi quy lu\u1eadt t\u1ef1 nhi\u00ean.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

C\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c c\u00e1ch m\u1ea1ng c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 \u0111\u1ecbnh h\u00ecnh l\u1ea1i h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng th\u1ee9 b\u1eadc to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u; qu\u1ed1c gia n\u00e0o ph\u1ed5 bi\u1ebfn c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 m\u1edbi nhanh nh\u1ea5t s\u1ebd c\u00f3 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng ti\u1ebfn v\u00e0o v\u1ecb tr\u00ed trung t\u00e2m.<\/strong> N\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c \u0111\u00f3ng b\u0103ng s\u1ef1 s\u1eafp x\u1ebfp hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 v\u00f4 \u00edch m\u00e0 c\u00f2n m\u00e2u thu\u1eabn, b\u1edfi ch\u00ednh c\u01b0\u1eddng qu\u1ed1c hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i c\u0169ng \u0111\u00e3 tr\u1ed7i d\u1eady b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch l\u1eadt \u0111\u1ed5 tr\u1eadt t\u1ef1 tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

S\u1ef1 thay \u0111\u1ed5i kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 di\u1ec5n ra \u1edf c\u1ea5p \u0111\u1ed9 to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u n\u1ebfu kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y b\u1edfi c\u00e1c ch\u1ee7 th\u1ec3 qu\u1ed1c gia h\u00f9ng m\u1ea1nh.<\/mark><\/strong> V\u1edbi S\u00e1ng ki\u1ebfn V\u00e0nh \u0111ai v\u00e0 Con \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng (BRI), Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111\u00e3 kh\u1edfi \u0111\u1ed9ng m\u1ed9t d\u1ef1 \u00e1n mang t\u00ednh c\u00e1ch m\u1ea1ng v\u1edbi m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ecbnh h\u00ecnh l\u1ea1i h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u theo h\u01b0\u1edbng \u0111\u01b0a n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y \u0111\u1ebfn g\u1ea7n h\u01a1n v\u1edbi c\u1ed1t l\u00f5i ho\u1eb7c trung t\u00e2m c\u1ee7a h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng \u0111\u00f3. S\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c nh\u1eefng thay \u0111\u1ed5i s\u00e2u r\u1ed9ng nh\u01b0 v\u1eady n\u1ebfu kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi t\u1ea1o ra nh\u1eefng thay \u0111\u1ed5i s\u00e2u r\u1ed9ng t\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1 b\u00ean trong ch\u00ednh Trung Qu\u1ed1c, v\u00e0 th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf l\u00e0 BRI nh\u1eb1m m\u1ee5c \u0111\u00edch bi\u1ebfn Trung Qu\u1ed1c th\u00e0nh m\u1ed9t c\u01b0\u1eddng qu\u1ed1c c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 \u2014 m\u1ed9t qu\u1ed1c gia c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng \u0111\u1ed9c nh\u1ea5t trong vi\u1ec7c tri\u1ec3n khai v\u00e0 ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 v\u00e0 ng\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p c\u1ee7a t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai, bao g\u1ed3m n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng s\u1ea1ch, tr\u00ed tu\u1ec7 nh\u00e2n t\u1ea1o, kh\u00f4ng gian v\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec7n to\u00e1n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng t\u1eed.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n

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TT Nixon t\u00e1ch \u0111\u1ed3ng m\u1ef9 kim ra kh\u1ecfi b\u1ea3n v\u1ecb v\u00e0ng, th\u00e1ng 8, 1971<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

Ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 tr\u01b0\u1edbc th\u00e1ch th\u1ee9c t\u1eeb Trung Qu\u1ed1c c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 di\u1ec5n ra d\u01b0\u1edbi hai h\u00ecnh th\u1ee9c r\u1ea5t kh\u00e1c bi\u1ec7t. \u0110\u1ea7u ti\u00ean, n\u01b0\u1edbc M\u1ef9 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 c\u1ed1 g\u1eafng v\u01b0\u1ee3t l\u00ean tr\u01b0\u1edbc Trung Qu\u1ed1c trong c\u00e1c ng\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p tr\u1ecdng y\u1ebfu n\u00e0y. <\/mark><\/strong>Trong tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p \u0111\u00f3, s\u1ebd lu\u00f4n c\u00f3 m\u1ed9t y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ecbnh. Hai qu\u1ed1c gia c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u1eb7t c\u01b0\u1ee3c kh\u00e1c nhau v\u00e0o c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 t\u1ed5ng qu\u00e1t ho\u1eb7c c\u00e1c l\u1ed9 tr\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ec3 ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n ch\u00fang. Th\u1eddi gian ho\u1eb7c l\u1ecbch s\u1eed s\u1ebd quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh ai l\u00e0 ng\u01b0\u1eddi chi\u1ebfn th\u1eafng. S\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 g\u00ec ch\u1eafc ch\u1eafn hay d\u1ee9t kho\u00e1t v\u1ec1 th\u00e1ch th\u1ee9c t\u1eeb Trung Qu\u1ed1c. Suy cho c\u00f9ng, khi T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng M\u1ef9 Richard Nixon quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh t\u00e1ch \u0111\u1ed3ng \u0111\u00f4 la ra kh\u1ecfi b\u1ea3n v\u1ecb v\u00e0ng v\u00e0o n\u0103m 1971, tri\u1ec1u \u0111\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ed3ng \u0111\u00f4 la t\u01b0\u1edfng ch\u1eebng s\u1eafp \u0111i \u0111\u1ebfn h\u1ed3i k\u1ebft. Nh\u01b0ng th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf, n\u00f3 ch\u1ec9 kh\u1edfi \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ea1i v\u00e0 d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean nh\u1eefng n\u1ec1n t\u1ea3ng v\u1eefng ch\u1eafc h\u01a1n nhi\u1ec1u.<\/mark><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng kh\u1ea3 thi kh\u00e1c s\u1ebd l\u00e0 Washington c\u1ed1 g\u1eafng l\u00e0m ch\u1eadm l\u1ea1i ho\u1eb7c th\u1eadm ch\u00ed ng\u0103n ch\u1eb7n \u0111\u1ed1i th\u1ee7 c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh. Tuy nhi\u00ean, n\u1ebfu xem \u0111\u00e2y l\u00e0 c\u00e1ch \u0111\u1ed1i ph\u00f3 v\u1edbi th\u00e1ch th\u1ee9c hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i, th\u00ec n\u00f3 ch\u1ec9 l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng mang t\u00ednh \u0111\u1ed1i ph\u00f3 b\u1ecb \u0111\u1ed9ng.<\/strong> Ti\u1ec1n \u0111\u1ec1 c\u1ee7a n\u00f3 l\u00e0 nh\u1eefng b\u01b0\u1edbc ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n m\u00e0 ch\u00fang ta ch\u1ee9ng ki\u1ebfn \u1edf Trung Qu\u1ed1c su\u1ed1t b\u1ed1n ho\u1eb7c n\u0103m th\u1eadp k\u1ef7 qua c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 b\u1ecb ch\u1ea5m d\u1ee9t, ho\u1eb7c th\u1eadm ch\u00ed \u0111\u1ea3o ng\u01b0\u1ee3c, \u0111\u1ec3 b\u1ea3o t\u1ed3n h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u \u1edf d\u1ea1ng th\u1ee9c hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i. T\u00ednh hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 c\u1ee7a m\u1ed9t ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch nh\u01b0 v\u1eady r\u1ea5t \u0111\u00e1ng nghi ng\u1edd, b\u1edfi suy cho c\u00f9ng, s\u1ef1 thay \u0111\u1ed5i c\u0103n b\u1ea3n \u1edf Trung Qu\u1ed1c ngay t\u1eeb \u0111\u1ea7u \u0111\u00e3 kh\u00f4ng do n\u01b0\u1edbc M\u1ef9 t\u1ea1o ra.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Vi\u1ec7c \u00e1p \u0111\u1eb7t c\u00e1c h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u ho\u1eb7c thu\u1ebf quan nghi\u00eam ng\u1eb7t nhi\u1ec1u kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng s\u1ebd ch\u1ec9 bu\u1ed9c Trung Qu\u1ed1c t\u00ecm ki\u1ebfm c\u00e1c l\u1ed9 tr\u00ecnh ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n thay th\u1ebf, v\u00e0 c\u00e1c l\u1ed9 tr\u00ecnh n\u00e0y s\u1ebd tr\u1edf n\u00ean t\u1ef1 ch\u1ee7 ho\u1eb7c \u0111\u1ed9c l\u1eadp h\u01a1n.<\/strong> M\u1ed9t l\u00fd do th\u1ee9 hai khi\u1ebfn ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch n\u00e0y c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng th\u1ea5t b\u1ea1i l\u00e0 l\u1ecbch s\u1eed kh\u00f4ng bao gi\u1edd l\u1eb7p l\u1ea1i tr\u00ean c\u00f9ng m\u1ed9t con \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng. Khi c\u00e2n nh\u1eafc c\u00e1ch kh\u00e9p l\u1ea1i nh\u1eefng kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n nh\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ecbnh \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi Trung Qu\u1ed1c, c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 ho\u1ea1ch \u0111\u1ecbnh ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch M\u1ef9 s\u1ebd c\u00f3 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u1eadp trung v\u00e0o nh\u1eefng kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng t\u1eebng l\u00e0 quan tr\u1ecdng \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi s\u1ef1 ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9. H\u1ecd s\u1ebd thi\u1ebfu nh\u1eadn th\u1ee9c v\u1ec1 nh\u1eefng kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng r\u1ea5t kh\u00e1c \u2014 nh\u1eefng th\u1ee9 \u0111\u00f3ng g\u00f3p cho s\u1ef1 ti\u1ebfn b\u1ed9 c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c. M\u1ed9t l\u1ed9 tr\u00ecnh ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n c\u1ee5 th\u1ec3 ch\u1ec9 tr\u00f4ng t\u1ea5t y\u1ebfu khi ta nh\u00ecn l\u1ea1i m\u00e0 th\u00f4i.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nguy\u00ean t\u1eafc th\u1ee9 hai c\u1ee7a vi\u1ec7c thi\u1ebft l\u1eadp tr\u1eadt t\u1ef1 to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u l\u00e0 m\u1ecdi qu\u1ed1c gia \u0111\u1ec1u c\u00f3 quy\u1ec1n t\u1ef1 do l\u1ef1a ch\u1ecdn. <\/strong>Trung Qu\u1ed1c hi\u1ec7n l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a h\u01a1n 120 qu\u1ed1c gia. H\u1ea7u h\u1ebft trong s\u1ed1 h\u1ecd kh\u00f4ng mu\u1ed1n tham gia v\u00e0o m\u1ed9t kh\u1ed1i li\u00ean minh; h\u1ecd mu\u1ed1n c\u00f3 s\u1ef1 l\u1ef1a ch\u1ecdn. Singapore, Th\u1ee5y S\u0129 v\u00e0 ph\u1ea7n l\u1edbn ch\u00e2u Phi th\u00e0 c\u00e2n nh\u1eafc c\u00e1c l\u1eddi \u0111\u1ec1 ngh\u1ecb c\u1ea1nh tranh t\u1eeb Washington v\u00e0 B\u1eafc Kinh c\u00f2n h\u01a1n l\u00e0 b\u1ecb \u00e9p bu\u1ed9c gia nh\u1eadp b\u1ea5t k\u1ef3 b\u00ean n\u00e0o<\/strong>. N\u1ebfu ta xem th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi nh\u01b0 m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c b\u1ea7u c\u1eed th\u01b0\u1eddng tr\u1ef1c, n\u01a1i c\u00e1c c\u01b0\u1eddng qu\u1ed1c ph\u1ea3i li\u00ean t\u1ee5c v\u1eadn \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u1ec3 tranh th\u1ee7 s\u1ef1 \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9, th\u00ec k\u1ef7 lu\u1eadt sinh ra t\u1eeb \u0111\u00f3 s\u1ebd gi\u00fap c\u1ea3i thi\u1ec7n ch\u1ea5t l\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u1ee9ng vi\u00ean.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nguy\u00ean t\u1eafc n\u00e0y s\u1ebd lo\u1ea1i tr\u1eeb m\u1ecdi n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng v\u0169 l\u1ef1c ho\u1eb7c c\u00e1c m\u1ed1i \u0111e d\u1ecda \u0111\u1ec3 l\u00f4i k\u00e9o m\u1ed9t qu\u1ed1c gia ch\u1ed1ng l\u1ea1i qu\u1ed1c gia kh\u00e1c.<\/strong> \u1ee8ng d\u1ee5ng c\u1ee7a n\u00f3 r\u1ea5t r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng trong tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p cu\u1ed9c c\u1ea1nh tranh gi\u1eefa Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u00e0 M\u1ef9 nh\u1eb1m t\u1ea1o ra c\u00e1c ph\u1ea1m vi \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng c\u1ee7a ri\u00eang h\u1ecd. Cu\u1ed9c c\u1ea1nh tranh \u0111\u00f3 kh\u00f4ng n\u00ean c\u00f3 s\u1ef1 \u00e9p bu\u1ed9c ho\u1eb7c v\u0169 l\u1ef1c. Vi\u1ec7c li\u1ec7u m\u1ed9t si\u00eau c\u01b0\u1eddng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 thu h\u00fat c\u00e1c d\u00e2n t\u1ed9c v\u00e0 qu\u1ed1c gia kh\u00e1c hay kh\u00f4ng s\u1ebd quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh v\u1ecb th\u1ebf t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai c\u1ee7a n\u00f3 \u2014 nh\u01b0ng \u0111\u00e2y l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t b\u00e0i ki\u1ec3m tra m\u00e0 n\u00f3 ph\u1ea3i v\u01b0\u1ee3t qua thay v\u00ec tr\u1ed1n tr\u00e1nh b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch ng\u0103n c\u1ea3n c\u00e1c d\u00e2n t\u1ed9c v\u00e0 qu\u1ed1c gia kia th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n quy\u1ec1n t\u1ef1 do l\u1ef1a ch\u1ecdn c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nguy\u00ean t\u1eafc n\u00e0y c\u0169ng \u0111\u00fang trong tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p c\u1ee7a Ukraine. Kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng Ukraine b\u1ecb bu\u1ed9c ph\u1ea3i t\u1eeb b\u1ecf m\u1ed1i li\u00ean h\u1ec7 ch\u1eb7t ch\u1ebd v\u1edbi ch\u00e2u \u00c2u ho\u1eb7c n\u01b0\u1edbc M\u1ef9 nh\u01b0 m\u1ed9t gi\u1ea3i ph\u00e1p cho cu\u1ed9c xung \u0111\u1ed9t v\u1edbi Nga kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 l\u00e0 n\u1ec1n t\u1ea3ng cho m\u1ed9t tr\u1eadt t\u1ef1 to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u v\u1eadn h\u00e0nh hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3. Tr\u00ean th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf, \u0111i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00f3 kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i l\u00e0 gi\u1ea3i ph\u00e1p \u2014 m\u00e0 th\u1eadm ch\u00ed c\u00f2n ch\u00ednh l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t trong nh\u1eefng nguy\u00ean nh\u00e2n kh\u1edfi ngu\u1ed3n c\u1ee7a cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn.<\/p>\n\n\n

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Hai nguy\u00ean t\u1eafc n\u00e0y kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i l\u00e0 c\u00e1c chu\u1ea9n m\u1ef1c theo ngh\u0129a t\u1ef1 do. Ch\u00fang l\u00e0 nh\u1eefng \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n \u0111\u1ec3 b\u1ea5t k\u1ef3 chu\u1ea9n m\u1ef1c n\u00e0o c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 v\u1eadn h\u00e0nh.<\/mark><\/strong> C\u00e1c quy t\u1eafc t\u1ef1 do v\u1ea5p ph\u1ea3i qu\u00e1 nhi\u1ec1u tranh c\u00e3i, ngay c\u1ea3 trong n\u1ed9i b\u1ed9 ph\u01b0\u01a1ng T\u00e2y, n\u00ean ch\u00fang kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 \u0111\u00f3ng vai tr\u00f2 l\u00e0m n\u1ec1n t\u1ea3ng \u0111\u00f3. C\u00e1c nguy\u00ean t\u1eafc v\u1ec1 s\u1ef1 thay \u0111\u1ed5i v\u00e0 l\u1ef1a ch\u1ecdn m\u1ecfng manh h\u01a1n, v\u00e0 v\u00ec l\u00fd do \u0111\u00f3 m\u00e0 ch\u00fang b\u1ec1n v\u1eefng h\u01a1n. Ch\u00fang kh\u00f4ng b\u1ea3o c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia ph\u1ea3i tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh th\u1ee9 g\u00ec. Ch\u00fang b\u1ea3o nh\u1eefng c\u01b0\u1eddng qu\u1ed1c hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i r\u1eb1ng h\u1ecd kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 ng\u0103n c\u1ea3n nh\u1eefng n\u01b0\u1edbc kh\u00e1c tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh m\u1ed9t th\u1ee9 g\u00ec \u0111\u00f3 m\u1edbi m\u1ebb.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

M\u1ed9t Li\u00ean Hi\u1ec7p Qu\u1ed1c m\u1edbi s\u1ebd l\u00e0 ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ti\u1ec7n t\u1ef1 nhi\u00ean cho c\u00e1c nguy\u00ean t\u1eafc n\u00e0y, d\u00f9 n\u00f3 s\u1ebd tr\u00f4ng kh\u00f4ng gi\u1ed1ng v\u1edbi th\u1ec3 ch\u1ebf m\u00e0 T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng M\u1ef9 Franklin D. Roosevelt v\u00e0 nh\u00e0 l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o Li\u00ean X\u00f4 Joseph Stalin \u0111\u00e3 ph\u00e1c th\u1ea3o v\u00e0o n\u0103m 1945<\/strong>. C\u01a1 quan hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c thi\u1ebft k\u1ebf \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u00f3ng b\u0103ng m\u1ed9t kho\u1ea3nh kh\u1eafc, v\u00e0 c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac c\u1ee7a n\u00f3 v\u1eabn ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh tham v\u1ecdng \u0111\u00f3. M\u1ed9t c\u01a1 quan m\u1edbi s\u1ebd t\u00f4n vinh hai nguy\u00ean t\u1eafc tr\u00ean.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nguy\u00ean t\u1eafc \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean s\u1ebd \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u1ef1c thi th\u00f4ng qua quy\u1ec1n ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 m\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 ngo\u1ea1i l\u1ec7: kh\u00f4ng m\u1ed9t c\u01b0\u1eddng qu\u1ed1c hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i n\u00e0o c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u00e1p \u0111\u1eb7t c\u00e1c bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u, l\u1ec7nh tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t, ho\u1eb7c h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch h\u1ee3p ph\u00e1p nh\u1eb1m ng\u0103n c\u1ea3n m\u1ed9t qu\u1ed1c gia kh\u00e1c ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n c\u00e1c ng\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p c\u1ee7a t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai.<\/strong> Nguy\u00ean t\u1eafc th\u1ee9 hai s\u1ebd \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd th\u00f4ng qua quy\u1ec1n li\u00ean minh v\u00e0 t\u00e1i li\u00ean minh \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb \u2014 n\u00f3i c\u00e1ch kh\u00e1c, l\u00e0 quy\u1ec1n b\u1ea7u c\u1eed v\u1ec1 \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb. C\u00e1c ph\u1ea1m vi \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng s\u1ebd ph\u1ea3i gi\u00e0nh \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c trong s\u1ef1 c\u1ea1nh tranh c\u1edfi m\u1edf thay v\u00ec b\u1ecb r\u00e0o l\u1ea1i b\u1edfi c\u00e1c hi\u1ec7p \u01b0\u1edbc ho\u1eb7c b\u1eb1ng v\u0169 l\u1ef1c. Nhi\u1ec7m v\u1ee5 s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i l\u00e0 b\u1ea3o t\u1ed3n b\u1ea5t k\u1ef3 s\u1eafp x\u1ebfp quy\u1ec1n l\u1ef1c c\u1ee5 th\u1ec3 n\u00e0o, m\u00e0 l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea3m b\u1ea3o r\u1eb1ng c\u00e1c s\u1eafp x\u1ebfp quy\u1ec1n l\u1ef1c c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 thay th\u1ebf nhau m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch h\u00f2a b\u00ecnh.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

L\u1ef1a ch\u1ecdn thay th\u1ebf l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ph\u00e1p c\u0169 \u0111\u1ec3 gi\u1ea3i quy\u1ebft nh\u1eefng c\u00e2u h\u1ecfi n\u00e0y \u2014 t\u1ee9c l\u00e0 chi\u1ebfn tranh \u2014 v\u00e0 trong th\u1eddi \u0111\u1ea1i h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n, n\u00f3 s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ti\u1ebfp n\u1ed1i b\u1eb1ng m\u1ed9t h\u1ed9i ngh\u1ecb h\u00f2a b\u00ecnh. Chu k\u1ef3 c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ebf ch\u1ebf lu\u00f4n k\u1ebft th\u00fac trong th\u1ea3m h\u1ecda khi c\u01b0\u1eddng qu\u1ed1c hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i t\u1eeb ch\u1ed1i ch\u1ea5p nh\u1eadn r\u1eb1ng chu k\u1ef3 \u0111\u00f3 th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 t\u1ed3n t\u1ea1i. S\u00e1u th\u1ebf k\u1ef7 sau khi Ibn Khaldun l\u1ea7n \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean ph\u00e1t hi\u1ec7n ra chu k\u1ef3 c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c n\u1ec1n v\u0103n minh, \u0111i\u1ec1u t\u1ed1i thi\u1ec3u ch\u00fang ta c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0m l\u00e0 th\u1eeba nh\u1eadn quan \u0111i\u1ec3m n\u00e0y. Quy\u1ec1n l\u1ef1c \u2014 gi\u1ed1ng nh\u01b0 tu\u1ed5i tr\u1ebb \u2014 hi\u1ebfm khi b\u1ecb thuy\u1ebft ph\u1ee5c v\u1ec1 s\u1ef1 v\u00f4 th\u01b0\u1eddng c\u1ee7a ch\u00ednh n\u00f3 cho \u0111\u1ebfn khi nh\u1eefng b\u1eb1ng ch\u1ee9ng hi\u1ec3n nhi\u00ean tr\u1edf n\u00ean kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 ph\u1edbt l\u1edd.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bruno Ma\u00e7\u00e3es <\/strong>
Nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u vi\u00ean c\u1ea5p cao t\u1ea1i Vi\u1ec7n Hudson v\u00e0 nguy\u00ean b\u1ed9 tr\u01b0\u1edfng ph\u1ee5 tr\u00e1ch c\u00e1c v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 ch\u00e2u \u00c2u c\u1ee7a B\u1ed3 \u0110\u00e0o Nha. \u00d4ng l\u00e0 t\u00e1c gi\u1ea3 c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c cu\u1ed1n<\/em> The Dawn of Eurasia v\u00e0<\/em> Belt and Road. Cu\u1ed1n s\u00e1ch m\u1edbi c\u1ee7a \u00f4ng,<\/em> History Has Begun, s\u1ebd \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c xu\u1ea5t b\u1ea3n t\u1ea1i M\u1ef9 v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 9.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ngu\u1ed3n tr\u00edch: Nghi\u00ean C\u1ee9u Qu\u1ed1c T\u1ebf<\/strong>
https:\/\/nghiencuuquocte.org\/2026\/06\/15\/dieu-gi-se-den-sau-trat-tu-the-gioi\/#more-67397<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u1ea2nh minh h\u1ecda: V\u1eadn H\u1ed9i M\u1edbi<\/strong><\/p>\n

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Ngu\u1ed3n: Bruno Ma\u00e7\u00e3es, \u201cWhat Comes After Global Order,\u201d Foreign Policy, 27\/11\/2026 Bi\u00ean d\u1ecbch: Nguy\u1ec5n Th\u1ecb Kim Ph\u1ee5ng Thay v\u00ec m\u1ed9t khu\u00f4n kh\u1ed5 qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf m\u1edbi, ch\u00fang ta c\u1ea7n m\u1ed9t h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng \u0111\u1ec3 chuy\u1ec3n \u0111\u1ed5i t\u1eeb khu\u00f4n kh\u1ed5 n\u00e0y sang khu\u00f4n kh\u1ed5 ti\u1ebfp theo. M\u1ecdi \u0111\u1ebf ch\u1ebf cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng \u0111\u1ec1u nh\u1eadn ra c\u00f9ng m\u1ed9t s\u1ef1\u0111\u1ecdc ti\u1ebfp…<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":28823,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[7,8,12,9],"tags":[165,118,212,206,119,831,832,98],"class_list":["entry","author-ntviet","post-28895","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-binhluan","category-chinhtri-xahoi","category-chuyenmuc","category-kinhte","tag-binh-luan","tag-chinh-tri","tag-chuyen-de","tag-dia-chinh-tri","tag-hoa-ky","tag-quyen-luc","tag-thong-tri","tag-trung-cong"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/28895","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=28895"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/28895\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":29258,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/28895\/revisions\/29258"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/28823"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=28895"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=28895"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=28895"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}