{"id":29022,"date":"2026-07-10T01:49:41","date_gmt":"2026-07-10T01:49:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/?p=29022"},"modified":"2026-07-10T01:49:44","modified_gmt":"2026-07-10T01:49:44","slug":"chien-luoc-dang-sau-tran-chien-gianh-crimea","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/?p=29022","title":{"rendered":"Chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u1eb1ng sau tr\u1eadn chi\u1ebfn gi\u00e0nh Crimea<\/strong>
Paul Hockenos<\/span>"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Ngu\u1ed3n:<\/strong>\u00a0Paul Hockenos, \u201cThe Strategy Behind the Battle for Crimea\u201d,\u00a0Foreign Policy<\/em>,<\/mark><\/strong> 02\/07\/2026<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bi\u00ean d\u1ecbch:<\/strong> Vi\u00ean \u0110\u0103ng Huy<\/p>\n\n\n\n

H\u00e0ng tr\u0103m x\u00e1c xe r\u01a1-mo\u00f3c, xe b\u1ed3n v\u00e0 nhi\u1ec1u lo\u1ea1i ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ti\u1ec7n v\u1eadn t\u1ea3i qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 ch\u00e1y r\u1ee5i n\u1eb1m la li\u1ec7t d\u1ecdc tuy\u1ebfn \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng ti\u1ebfp t\u1ebf ch\u00ednh c\u1ee7a Nga n\u1ed1i t\u1eeb l\u00e3nh th\u1ed5 Nga v\u00e0o Crimea v\u00e0 c\u00e1c v\u00f9ng \u0111ang chi\u1ebfm \u0111\u00f3ng \u1edf mi\u1ec1n Nam Ukraine.<\/strong> D\u1ecdc theo con \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng, nh\u1eefng khung xe b\u1ecb l\u1eadt ng\u01b0\u1ee3c ho\u1eb7c v\u1eb7n xo\u1eafn n\u1eb1m ng\u1ed5n ngang d\u01b0\u1edbi m\u01b0\u01a1ng, minh ch\u1ee9ng cho nh\u1eefng chuy\u1ebfn h\u00e0ng ti\u1ebfp t\u1ebf kh\u00f4ng bao gi\u1edd \u0111\u1ebfn \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u00edch. \u0110o\u1ea1n \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng d\u00e0i 627km n\u00e0y \u2014 l\u1ed9 tr\u00ecnh tr\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp nh\u1ea5t t\u1eeb trung t\u00e2m h\u1eadu c\u1ea7n Rostov-on-Don \u0111\u1ebfn v\u00f9ng Bi\u1ec3n \u0110en \u2014 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1ea3 binh s\u0129 Ukraine l\u1eabn Nga \u0111\u1eb7t cho bi\u1ec7t danh \u201cXa l\u1ed9 T\u1eed th\u1ea7n\u201d.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

K\u1ec3 t\u1eeb \u0111\u1ea7u th\u00e1ng T\u01b0, t\u1eebng \u0111\u1ee3t drone c\u1ee7a Ukraine v\u00f4 hi\u1ec7u h\u00f3a tuy\u1ebfn \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng ven bi\u1ec3n tr\u1ecdng y\u1ebfu d\u1ecdc Bi\u1ec3n Azov v\u00e0 \u0111\u00e1nh s\u1eadp c\u00e1c c\u00e2y c\u1ea7u ph\u00eda b\u1eafc Crimea b\u1eafc qua eo bi\u1ec3n Chongar. C\u00e1c \u0111\u00f2n t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng c\u1ee7a Ukraine l\u00e0m t\u00ea li\u1ec7t nh\u1eefng tuy\u1ebfn \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng bi\u1ec3n v\u00e0 gi\u00e1n \u0111o\u1ea1n v\u1eadn t\u1ea3i \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng s\u1eaft, khi\u1ebfn con \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng thi\u1ebft th\u1ef1c duy nh\u1ea5t d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn Crimea ch\u1ec9 c\u00f2n l\u00e0 c\u1ea7u Kerch \u1edf c\u1ef1c \u0111\u00f4ng. <\/mark><\/strong>Tuy nhi\u00ean, c\u00e2y c\u1ea7u n\u00e0y c\u0169ng \u0111ang b\u1ecb t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng v\u00e0 hi\u1ec7n ch\u1ec9 \u0111\u00e1p \u1ee9ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c m\u1ed9t ph\u1ea7n nh\u1ecf l\u01b0u l\u01b0\u1ee3ng giao th\u00f4ng tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00e2y, trong \u0111\u00f3 ph\u1ea7n l\u1edbn l\u00e0 d\u00f2ng ng\u01b0\u1eddi r\u1eddi b\u1ecf Crimea. Cu\u1ed1i th\u00e1ng S\u00e1u, h\u00e0ng km \u00f4 t\u00f4 n\u1ed1i \u0111u\u00f4i nhau ch\u1edd \u0111\u1ee3i tr\u00ean c\u1ea7u Kerch \u0111\u1ec3 t\u00ecm c\u00e1ch tho\u00e1t kh\u1ecfi b\u00e1n \u0111\u1ea3o n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh h\u00ecnh \u1ea3nh quen thu\u1ed9c m\u1ed7i ng\u00e0y.<\/p>\n\n\n

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Kho d\u1ef1 tr\u1eef nhi\u00ean li\u1ec7u t\u1ea1i Crimea b\u1ed1c ch\u00e1y sau \u0111\u1ee3t t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng b\u1eb1ng UAV c\u1ee7a Ukraine, 6-2026<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

S\u1ef1 si\u1ebft ch\u1eb7t v\u00f2ng v\u00e2y quanh Crimea kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 g\u00e2y b\u1ea5t ti\u1ec7n cho kh\u00e1ch du l\u1ecbch Nga \u0111\u1ebfn b\u00e1n \u0111\u1ea3o ngh\u1ec9 h\u00e8. Ukraine g\u00e2y ra t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng thi\u1ebfu h\u1ee5t tr\u1ea7m tr\u1ecdng nhi\u00ean li\u1ec7u v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea1n d\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u1ea1i c\u00e1c v\u00f9ng l\u00e3nh th\u1ed5 mi\u1ec1n Nam do Nga chi\u1ebfm \u0111\u00f3ng quanh Zaporizhzhia v\u00e0 Kherson.<\/mark><\/strong> Ng\u00e0y 11\/6, ch\u1ec9 trong m\u1ed9t \u0111\u00f2n t\u1eadp k\u00edch, Trung \u0111o\u00e0n T\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng \u0110\u1ed9c l\u1eadp s\u1ed1 1 c\u1ee7a Ukraine thi\u00eau r\u1ee5i s\u1ed1 \u0111\u1ea1n d\u01b0\u1ee3c v\u00e0 nhi\u00ean li\u1ec7u d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn chuy\u1ec3n t\u1edbi c\u00e1c v\u1ecb tr\u00ed t\u1ea1i Zaporizhzhia, c\u00f9ng v\u1edbi g\u1ea7n 50 ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ti\u1ec7n qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 \u0111\u00e3 ch\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ea7y kh\u00ed t\u00e0i s\u1eb5n s\u00e0ng xu\u1ea5t ph\u00e1t. Nh\u01b0 v\u1eady, chi\u1ebfn d\u1ecbch Crimea \u0111ang l\u00e0m suy y\u1ebfu nghi\u00eam tr\u1ecdng kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng ti\u1ebfn h\u00e0nh c\u00e1c ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 c\u1ee7a Nga t\u1ea1i c\u00e1c m\u1eb7t tr\u1eadn ph\u00eda Nam.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

C\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng c\u1ee7a Ukraine v\u00e0o h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng l\u1ecdc d\u1ea7u tr\u00ean kh\u1eafp n\u01b0\u1edbc Nga c\u00e0ng l\u00e0m tr\u1ea7m tr\u1ecdng th\u00eam kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng khi l\u00e0m gi\u1ea3m kho\u1ea3ng m\u1ed9t ph\u1ea7n t\u01b0 n\u0103ng l\u1ef1c l\u1ecdc d\u1ea7u c\u1ee7a Moscow, g\u00e2y thi\u1ebfu h\u1ee5t ngu\u1ed3n cung tr\u00ean to\u00e0n qu\u1ed1c.<\/mark><\/strong> T\u1ea1i Sevastopol, th\u00e0nh ph\u1ed1 l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t Crimea, t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng m\u1ea5t \u0111i\u1ec7n \u0111\u00e3 di\u1ec5n ra su\u1ed1t nhi\u1ec1u ng\u00e0y. Ng\u00e0y 21\/6, Th\u1ed1ng \u0111\u1ed1c Crimea do Nga b\u1ed5 nhi\u1ec7m, \u00f4ng Sergey Aksyonov, \u0111\u00ecnh ch\u1ec9 vi\u1ec7c b\u00e1n x\u0103ng d\u1ea7u cho d\u00e2n th\u01b0\u1eddng v\u00e0 th\u00f4ng b\u00e1o ch\u1ec9 c\u00e1c c\u01a1 quan ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7, nh\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc m\u1edbi \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1ea5p nhi\u00ean li\u1ec7u.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cVi\u1ec7c Ukraine c\u1eaft ngu\u1ed3n cung c\u1ea5p nhi\u00ean li\u1ec7u cho m\u1eb7t tr\u1eadn ph\u00eda Nam,\u201d<\/strong> \u00f4ng Serhii Kuzan, gi\u00e1m \u0111\u1ed1c Trung t\u00e2m An ninh v\u00e0 H\u1ee3p t\u00e1c Ukraine, m\u1ed9t t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c t\u01b0 v\u1ea5n c\u1ee7a Ukraine, gi\u1ea3i th\u00edch, \u201c\u0111\u00e3 l\u00e0m t\u00ea li\u1ec7t h\u1eadu c\u1ea7n qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 v\u00e0 c\u00f4 l\u1eadp c\u00e1c l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng Nga. \u0110\u00e3 c\u00f3 s\u1ef1 thi\u1ebfu h\u1ee5t nhi\u00ean li\u1ec7u t\u1ea1i c\u00e1c v\u00f9ng l\u00e3nh th\u1ed5 t\u1ea1m th\u1eddi b\u1ecb chi\u1ebfm \u0111\u00f3ng. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng trang thi\u1ebft b\u1ecb qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 v\u00e0 t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng ti\u00eau c\u1ef1c \u0111\u1ebfn h\u1eadu c\u1ea7n: g\u00e2y kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n cho vi\u1ec7c lu\u00e2n chuy\u1ec3n qu\u00e2n, s\u01a1 t\u00e1n th\u01b0\u01a1ng binh v\u00e0 ti\u1ebfp t\u1ebf v\u0169 kh\u00ed\u201d.<\/mark><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n

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C\u1ea7u Chongar n\u1ed1i li\u1ec1n Crimea v\u1edbi Melitopol ph\u00eda b\u1eafc (qua eo bi\u1ec3n Chongar) b\u1ecb ph\u00e1 h\u1ee7y<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

Th\u00e1ng 5 v\u1eeba qua, B\u1ed9 Qu\u1ed1c ph\u00f2ng Ukraine th\u00f4ng b\u00e1o m\u1ed9t chi\u1ebfn d\u1ecbch \u201cphong t\u1ecfa h\u1eadu c\u1ea7n\u201d chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c s\u1ebd bi\u1ebfn Crimea t\u1eeb m\u1ed9t b\u00e1n \u0111\u1ea3o th\u00e0nh m\u1ed9t h\u00f2n \u0111\u1ea3o b\u1ecb c\u00f4 l\u1eadp kh\u1ecfi \u0111\u1ea5t li\u1ec1n Nga. M\u1ee5c ti\u00eau c\u1ee7a chi\u1ebfn d\u1ecbch h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng, \u0111a ph\u01b0\u01a1ng di\u1ec7n n\u00e0y l\u00e0 b\u00f3p ngh\u1eb9t m\u1ecdi tuy\u1ebfn ti\u1ebfp t\u1ebf nu\u00f4i d\u01b0\u1ee1ng l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng Nga tr\u00ean kh\u1eafp mi\u1ec1n Nam Ukraine. Crimea \u0111\u00f3ng vai tr\u00f2 l\u00e0 trung t\u00e2m h\u1eadu c\u1ea7n v\u00e0 c\u0103n c\u1ee9 h\u1eadu ph\u01b0\u01a1ng then ch\u1ed1t cho to\u00e0n b\u1ed9 m\u1eb7t tr\u1eadn ph\u00eda Nam.<\/strong> M\u1ecdi l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng Nga t\u1ea1i c\u00e1c khu v\u1ef1c Kherson v\u00e0 Zaporizhzhia \u0111\u1ec1u nh\u1eadn ti\u1ebfp t\u1ebf v\u00e0 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 th\u00f4ng qua c\u00e1c tuy\u1ebfn \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng b\u1ed9 ho\u1eb7c qua Crimea. B\u1ed9 tr\u01b0\u1edfng Qu\u1ed1c ph\u00f2ng Ukraine Mykhailo Fedorov tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 Ukraine mu\u1ed1n c\u1eaft \u0111\u1ee9t ngu\u1ed3n ti\u1ebfp t\u1ebf t\u1eeb Nga t\u1edbi b\u00e1n \u0111\u1ea3o \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi ph\u00e1 h\u1ee7y c\u01a1 s\u1edf h\u1ea1 t\u1ea7ng thi\u1ebft y\u1ebfu, v\u1edbi m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau khi\u1ebfn s\u1ef1 chi\u1ebfm \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1ee7a Nga ph\u1ea3i \u201ct\u00e0n l\u1ee5i\u201d.<\/mark><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y s\u1ebd t\u1ea1o \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n cho Ukraine th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n ph\u1ea3n c\u00f4ng v\u00e0 gi\u00e0nh l\u1ea1i l\u00e3nh th\u1ed5. Tuy nhi\u00ean, cho \u0111\u1ebfn nay, \u0111i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00f3 v\u1eabn ch\u01b0a x\u1ea3y ra, d\u00f9 cu\u1ed9c t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng m\u00f9a h\u00e8 v\u1ed1n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c Nga th\u1ed5i ph\u1ed3ng c\u0169ng kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c b\u01b0\u1edbc ti\u1ebfn n\u00e0o \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cUkraine \u0111ang \u0111\u1ecbnh h\u00ecnh chi\u1ebfn tr\u01b0\u1eddng\u201d,<\/strong> George Barros t\u1eeb Vi\u1ec7n Nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u Chi\u1ebfn tranh (ISW) c\u00f3 tr\u1ee5 s\u1edf t\u1ea1i M\u1ef9 nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh. \u201cH\u1ecd \u0111ang l\u00e0m cho ti\u1ec1n tuy\u1ebfn c\u1ee7a Nga tr\u1edf n\u00ean m\u1ecfng manh. H\u1ecd c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ec3 Nga \u1edf t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng d\u1ec5 t\u1ed5n th\u01b0\u01a1ng n\u00e0y trong m\u1ed9t th\u1eddi gian, c\u00f3 l\u1ebd l\u00e0 h\u00e0ng th\u00e1ng, r\u1ed3i m\u1edbi ph\u1ea3n c\u00f4ng\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n

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Ukraine: drone FP-2 & Behemoth<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

Lo\u1ea1i v\u0169 kh\u00ed g\u00e2y ra s\u1ef1 t\u00e0n ph\u00e1 n\u00e0y ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu l\u00e0 drone t\u1ea7m trung \u2014 r\u1ebb, \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t trong n\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00e0 c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng \u0111\u00e1nh tr\u00fang m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau c\u00e1ch ti\u1ec1n tuy\u1ebfn g\u1ea7n 321km. Theo CNN, c\u00e1c m\u1eabu m\u1edbi \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c thi\u1ebft k\u1ebf bao g\u1ed3m FP-2 v\u00e0 Behemoth, trong \u0111\u00f3 chi\u1ebfc Behemoth c\u00f3 t\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 h\u00e0nh tr\u00ecnh 177 km\/gi\u1edd v\u00e0 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 mang \u0111\u1ea7u \u0111\u1ea1n n\u1eb7ng kho\u1ea3ng 70kg. Ph\u1ea1m vi ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a ch\u00fang k\u00e9o d\u00e0i c\u00e1c tuy\u1ebfn ti\u1ebfp t\u1ebf c\u1ee7a Nga, bu\u1ed9c h\u1eadu c\u1ea7n qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed9i ph\u1ea3i n\u00e9 tr\u00e1nh c\u00e1c l\u1ed9 tr\u00ecnh hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 nh\u1ea5t trong v\u00f9ng nguy hi\u1ec3m. V\u00ec th\u1ebf, Nga bu\u1ed9c ph\u1ea3i chuy\u1ec3n h\u01b0\u1edbng c\u00e1c \u0111o\u00e0n xe \u0111i qua nh\u1eefng \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng v\u00f2ng v\u00e8o, ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu t\u1eeb ph\u00eda b\u1eafc.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cChi\u1ebfn d\u1ecbch drone n\u00e0y kh\u00f4ng xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n sau m\u1ed9t \u0111\u00eam\u201d, Maksym Beznosiuk, chuy\u00ean gia t\u01b0 v\u1ea5n t\u1ea1i t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c GLOBSEC (Ba Lan) cho bi\u1ebft. \u201cN\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng c\u1ee7a Ukraine nh\u1eb1m l\u00e0m suy y\u1ebfu h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng ph\u00f2ng kh\u00f4ng c\u1ee7a Nga t\u1ea1i Crimea \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m nay, bao g\u1ed3m c\u00e1c h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng radar v\u00e0 d\u00e0n t\u00ean l\u1eeda \u0111\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed1i kh\u00f4ng, \u0111\u00e3 t\u1ea1o \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n cho c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng b\u1eb1ng drone s\u00e2u h\u01a1n.<\/mark><\/strong> \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y c\u0169ng l\u00e0m gi\u1ea3m kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng che ch\u1eafn c\u00e1c c\u01a1 s\u1edf qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 tr\u00ean kh\u1eafp b\u00e1n \u0111\u1ea3o Crimea c\u1ee7a Nga, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi t\u1ea1o ra nh\u1eefng c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i m\u1edbi cho c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng ti\u1ebfp theo v\u00e0o c\u00e1c m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau h\u1eadu c\u1ea7n\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

H\u01a1n n\u1eefa, b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch \u201cv\u1eaft ki\u1ec7t Crimea\u201d, theo \u00f4ng Kuzan, Ukraine \u0111ang l\u00e0m tr\u1ea7m tr\u1ecdng th\u00eam \u201cs\u1ef1 b\u1ea5t m\u00e3n v\u1ed1n \u0111\u00e3 nghi\u00eam tr\u1ecdng trong l\u00f2ng c\u00f4ng ch\u00fang t\u1ea1i Crimea b\u1ecb chi\u1ebfm \u0111\u00f3ng\u201d. C\u00e1c v\u1ee5 t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng v\u00e0o tr\u1ea1m \u0111i\u1ec7n Simferopol v\u00e0 tr\u1ea1m bi\u1ebfn \u00e1p Sevastopol ng\u00e0y 24\/6 c\u1eaft \u0111i\u1ec7n tr\u00ean di\u1ec7n r\u1ed9ng kh\u1eafp Crimea. B\u00e1n \u0111\u1ea3o n\u00e0y ph\u1ea3i tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng kh\u1ea9n c\u1ea5p do m\u1ea5t \u0111i\u1ec7n, h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf ph\u00e2n ph\u1ed1i nhi\u00ean li\u1ec7u v\u00e0 h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf giao th\u00f4ng. C\u00e1c v\u1ee5 c\u1eaft \u0111i\u1ec7n c\u0169ng l\u00e0m m\u1ea5t \u00e1p l\u1ef1c n\u01b0\u1edbc \u1edf m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 khu v\u1ef1c trong th\u00e0nh ph\u1ed1 v\u00e0 c\u00e1c n\u01a1i kh\u00e1c tr\u00ean b\u00e1n \u0111\u1ea3o.<\/p>\n\n\n

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\u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y khi\u1ebfn Nga ph\u1ea3i d\u1ed3n ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng nhi\u1ec1u ngu\u1ed3n l\u1ef1c v\u00e0o Crimea. \u00d4ng Kuzan nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh Ukraine \u0111ang \u201cchuy\u1ec3n h\u01b0\u1edbng s\u1ef1 ch\u00fa \u00fd v\u00e0 s\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh c\u1ee7a Nga\u201d. \u201cCh\u00fang ta bi\u1ebft l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng FSB [c\u01a1 quan an ninh n\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh c\u1ee7a Nga] v\u1edbi qu\u00e2n s\u1ed1 \u0111\u00f4ng h\u01a1n \u0111ang c\u00f3 m\u1eb7t t\u1ea1i Crimea, c\u00f3 l\u1ebd l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ed1i ph\u00f3 v\u1edbi s\u1ef1 b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed3ng c\u1ee7a ng\u01b0\u1eddi d\u00e2n<\/mark>. C\u0169ng c\u00f3 th\u00eam nhi\u1ec1u binh s\u0129 \u1edf \u0111\u00f3, v\u00ed d\u1ee5 nh\u01b0 \u0111\u1ec3 v\u1eadn h\u00e0nh c\u00e1c h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng ph\u00f2ng kh\u00f4ng nh\u1ecf b\u1ecb r\u00fat kh\u1ecfi Nga v\u00e0 ti\u1ec1n tuy\u1ebfn nh\u1eb1m b\u1ea3o v\u1ec7 c\u00e1c tuy\u1ebfn cao t\u1ed1c [ti\u1ebfp t\u1ebf]. V\u00e0 Nga c\u0169ng kh\u00f4ng ng\u1eebng th\u1eed nghi\u1ec7m c\u00e1c c\u00e1ch m\u1edbi \u0111\u1ec3 ti\u1ebfp t\u1ebf cho Crimea nh\u01b0 x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng c\u00e1c c\u1ea7u phao nh\u1ecf\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Theo \u00f4ng Barros, l\u1ec7nh phong t\u1ecfa kh\u00f4ng ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n tuy\u1ec7t \u0111\u1ed1i v\u00e0 Ukraine c\u0169ng kh\u00f4ng mu\u1ed1n nh\u01b0 v\u1eady. \u201cV\u1eabn c\u00f3 nh\u1eefng c\u00e1ch \u0111\u1ec3 ra v\u00e0o Crimea, v\u00e0 c\u00f3 l\u1ebd \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 ch\u1ee7 \u00fd\u201d<\/strong>, \u00f4ng n\u00f3i. \u201cN\u1ebfu b\u1ea1n b\u1eaby ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n ai \u0111\u00f3 v\u00e0 ch\u1eb7n m\u1ecdi \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng lui, \u0111i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00f3 s\u1ebd thay \u0111\u1ed5i toan t\u00ednh c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ed1i ph\u01b0\u01a1ng. Th\u00f4ng th\u01b0\u1eddng, b\u1ea1n s\u1ebd mu\u1ed1n ch\u1eeba l\u1ea1i m\u1ed9t l\u1ed1i tho\u00e1t \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ed1i ph\u01b0\u01a1ng c\u00f3 \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c r\u00fat lui thay v\u00ec c\u1ed1 th\u1ee7 v\u00e0 chi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ea5u \u0111\u1ebfn c\u00f9ng\u201d.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u0110\u1ed1i v\u1edbi Nga, Crimea l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n \u0111\u1ecba chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c v\u00f4 gi\u00e1 v\u00ec nhi\u1ec1u l\u00fd do. Nga khoe khoang b\u00e1n \u0111\u1ea3o n\u00e0y l\u00e0 \u201ct\u00e0u s\u00e2n bay kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 \u0111\u00e1nh ch\u00ecm\u201d, \u0111\u00f3ng vai tr\u00f2 l\u00e0 n\u1ec1n t\u1ea3ng \u0111\u1ec3 tri\u1ec3n khai s\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh kh\u00f4ng qu\u00e2n v\u00e0 h\u1ea3i qu\u00e2n tr\u00ean kh\u1eafp v\u00f9ng Bi\u1ec3n \u0110en, bao g\u1ed3m c\u1ea3 eo bi\u1ec3n Kerch, n\u01a1i k\u1ebft n\u1ed1i Bi\u1ec3n \u0110en v\u1edbi Bi\u1ec3n Azov. Sevastopol l\u00e0 c\u1ea3ng ch\u00ednh c\u1ee7a H\u1ea1m \u0111\u1ed9i Bi\u1ec3n \u0110en Nga, n\u01a1i Moscow s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng \u0111\u1ec3 b\u00f3p ngh\u1eb9t ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u ng\u0169 c\u1ed1c v\u00e0 th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a Ukraine. Ngo\u00e0i ra, Nga c\u00f2n th\u01b0\u1eddng xuy\u00ean ph\u00f3ng t\u00ean l\u1eeda t\u1eeb b\u00e1n \u0111\u1ea3o v\u00e0o Mykolaiv v\u00e0 Odesa, n\u01a1i ch\u1ec9 c\u00e1ch \u0111\u00f3 v\u1ecfn v\u1eb9n 321km.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

B\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch \u0111e d\u1ecda ph\u00e1o \u0111\u00e0i n\u00e0y c\u1ee7a Nga, Ukraine \u0111ang g\u1eedi m\u1ed9t th\u00f4ng \u0111i\u1ec7p t\u1edbi ng\u01b0\u1eddi d\u00e2n Nga r\u1eb1ng cu\u1ed9c x\u00e2m l\u01b0\u1ee3c b\u00e1n \u0111\u1ea3o c\u1ee7a T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng Vladimir Putin kh\u00f4ng mang l\u1ea1i s\u1ef1 an ninh nh\u01b0 \u00f4ng t\u1eebng h\u1ee9a h\u1eb9n n\u0103m 2014.<\/mark><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Paul Hockenos <\/strong>
Nh\u00e0 b\u00e1o l\u00e0m vi\u1ec7c t\u1ea1i Berlin. Cu\u1ed1n s\u00e1ch g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y nh\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a \u00f4ng l\u00e0<\/em>\u00a0Berlin Calling: A Story of Anarchy, Music, the Wall, and the Birth of the New Berlin.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ngu\u1ed3n tr\u00edch: Nghi\u00ean C\u1ee9u Qu\u1ed1c T\u1ebf<\/strong>
https:\/\/nghiencuuquocte.org\/2026\/07\/07\/chien-luoc-dang-sau-tran-chien-gianh-crimea\/#more-67709<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u1ea2nh minh h\u1ecda: V\u1eadn H\u1ed9i M\u1edbi<\/strong><\/p>\n

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Ngu\u1ed3n:\u00a0Paul Hockenos, \u201cThe Strategy Behind the Battle for Crimea\u201d,\u00a0Foreign Policy, 02\/07\/2026 Bi\u00ean d\u1ecbch: Vi\u00ean \u0110\u0103ng Huy H\u00e0ng tr\u0103m x\u00e1c xe r\u01a1-mo\u00f3c, xe b\u1ed3n v\u00e0 nhi\u1ec1u lo\u1ea1i ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ti\u1ec7n v\u1eadn t\u1ea3i qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 ch\u00e1y r\u1ee5i n\u1eb1m la li\u1ec7t d\u1ecdc tuy\u1ebfn \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng ti\u1ebfp t\u1ebf ch\u00ednh c\u1ee7a Nga n\u1ed1i t\u1eeb l\u00e3nh th\u1ed5 Nga v\u00e0o\u0111\u1ecdc ti\u1ebfp…<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":29024,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[7,769,8,12,9],"tags":[819,165,118,212,284,289],"class_list":["entry","author-ntviet","post-29022","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-binhluan","category-chien-tranh","category-chinhtri-xahoi","category-chuyenmuc","category-kinhte","tag-ban-dao-crimea","tag-binh-luan","tag-chinh-tri","tag-chuyen-de","tag-nga","tag-ukraine"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29022","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=29022"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29022\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":29029,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29022\/revisions\/29029"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/29024"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=29022"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=29022"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=29022"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}