{"id":29763,"date":"2026-10-24T23:49:46","date_gmt":"2026-10-24T23:49:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/?p=29763"},"modified":"2026-10-24T23:51:35","modified_gmt":"2026-10-24T23:51:35","slug":"nhung-cuoc-chien-moi-tai-khu-vuc-bien-do","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/?p=29763","title":{"rendered":"Nh\u1eefng cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn m\u1edbi t\u1ea1i khu v\u1ef1c Bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u1ecf<\/strong>
Alan Boswell<\/span>"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Ngu\u1ed3n:<\/strong> Alan Boswell, \u201cThe New Red Sea Wars\u201d, Foreign Affairs<\/em><\/mark><\/strong>, 06\/10\/2026<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bi\u00ean d\u1ecbch:<\/strong> Vi\u00ean \u0110\u0103ng Huy<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ng\u00e0y 3 th\u00e1ng S\u00e1u, Ngo\u1ea1i tr\u01b0\u1edfng M\u1ef9 Marco Rubio n\u00f3i v\u1edbi Qu\u1ed1c h\u1ed9i r\u1eb1ng cu\u1ed9c xung \u0111\u1ed9t \u0111\u00e3 ho\u00e0nh h\u00e0nh su\u1ed1t ba n\u0103m t\u1ea1i Sudan gi\u1edd \u0111\u00e2y l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t \u201ccu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn \u1ee7y nhi\u1ec7m\u201d, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi \u0111\u1ed5 l\u1ed7i cho \u1ea2 R\u1eadp Saudi v\u00e0 C\u00e1c Ti\u1ec3u v\u01b0\u01a1ng qu\u1ed1c \u1ea2 R\u1eadp Th\u1ed1ng nh\u1ea5t (UAE) v\u00ec c\u1ea3n tr\u1edf nh\u1eefng n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 nh\u1eb1m ch\u1ea5m d\u1ee9t chi\u1ebfn s\u1ef1.<\/strong> Rubio \u0111\u00e3 n\u00f3i ra \u0111i\u1ec1u m\u00e0 nhi\u1ec1u nh\u00e0 quan s\u00e1t t\u1eeb l\u00e2u \u0111\u00e3 nh\u1eadn th\u1ea5y: nh\u1eefng g\u00ec kh\u1edfi \u0111\u1ea7u nh\u01b0 m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c tranh gi\u00e0nh quy\u1ec1n l\u1ef1c trong n\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00e3 bi\u1ebfn th\u00e0nh m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn khu v\u1ef1c r\u1ed9ng l\u1edbn h\u01a1n, l\u00f4i k\u00e9o c\u00e1c c\u01b0\u1eddng qu\u1ed1c b\u00ean ngo\u00e0i v\u00e0 lan qua bi\u00ean gi\u1edbi Sudan.<\/mark><\/p>\n\n\n\n

S\u1ef1 lan r\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a cu\u1ed9c xung \u0111\u1ed9t t\u1ea1i Sudan l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t ph\u1ea7n c\u1ee7a m\u1ed9t chuy\u1ec3n d\u1ecbch \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb l\u1edbn h\u01a1n.<\/strong> Trong ph\u1ea7n l\u1edbn th\u1ebf k\u1ef7 qua, c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 ho\u1ea1ch \u0111\u1ecbnh ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch coi v\u00f9ng S\u1eebng ch\u00e2u Phi v\u00e0 b\u00e1n \u0111\u1ea3o \u1ea2 R\u1eadp l\u00e0 hai kh\u00f4ng gian chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u00e1ch bi\u1ec7t, b\u1ecb ng\u0103n c\u00e1ch b\u1edfi Bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u1ecf. S\u1ef1 ph\u00e2n bi\u1ec7t \u0111\u00f3 gi\u1edd \u0111\u00e2y \u0111ang m\u1ea5t d\u1ea7n \u00fd ngh\u0129a. C\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn \u1edf m\u1ed9t b\u00ean Bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u1ecf ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u1ebfn nh\u1eefng t\u00ednh to\u00e1n qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 \u1edf b\u1edd b\u00ean kia.<\/strong> S\u1ef1 \u0111an xen n\u00e0y c\u00e0ng s\u00e2u s\u1eafc h\u01a1n sau quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 Israel h\u1ed3i th\u00e1ng Hai ph\u00e1t \u0111\u1ed9ng chi\u1ebfn tranh v\u1edbi Iran, di\u1ec5n bi\u1ebfn l\u00e0m r\u1ea1n n\u1ee9t th\u00eam quan h\u1ec7 v\u1ed1n \u0111\u00e3 b\u1ea5t h\u00f2a gi\u1eefa Abu Dhabi v\u00e0 Riyadh, l\u00e0m suy y\u1ebfu tr\u1eadt t\u1ef1 an ninh khu v\u1ef1c do M\u1ef9 l\u00e0m tr\u1ee5 c\u1ed9t, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi nh\u1ea5n m\u1ea1nh t\u1ea7m quan tr\u1ecdng c\u1ee7a vi\u1ec7c b\u1ea3o \u0111\u1ea3m an to\u00e0n cho Bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u1ecf \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng v\u1eadn t\u1ea3i bi\u1ec3n.<\/p>\n\n\n

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Trong th\u1eadp k\u1ef7 qua, UAE l\u00e0 qu\u1ed1c gia b\u00ean ngo\u00e0i can d\u1ef1 quy\u1ebft li\u1ec7t nh\u1ea5t v\u00e0o v\u00f9ng S\u1eebng ch\u00e2u Phi, thi\u1ebft l\u1eadp c\u00e1c c\u1ea3ng v\u00e0 c\u0103n c\u1ee9 qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1, cung c\u1ea5p nh\u1eefng g\u00f3i t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh l\u1edbn cho c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed3ng minh ch\u1ee7 ch\u1ed1t v\u00e0 can d\u1ef1 s\u00e2u v\u00e0o cu\u1ed9c n\u1ed9i chi\u1ebfn Sudan. <\/mark><\/strong>Nh\u01b0ng cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y v\u1edbi Iran, c\u00f9ng v\u1edbi s\u1ef1 tan v\u1ee1 c\u1ee7a quan h\u1ec7 \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c an ninh gi\u1eefa UAE v\u00e0 \u1ea2 R\u1eadp Saudi t\u1ea1i Yemen h\u1ed3i th\u00e1ng M\u01b0\u1eddi hai n\u0103m ngo\u00e1i, \u0111\u00e3 khi\u1ebfn Riyadh b\u1edbt tin t\u01b0\u1edfng v\u00e0o s\u1ef1 b\u1ea3o v\u1ec7 c\u1ee7a Washington, lo ng\u1ea1i h\u01a1n v\u1ec1 quan h\u1ec7 an ninh gi\u1eefa UAE v\u00e0 Israel, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi quy\u1ebft t\u00e2m h\u01a1n trong vi\u1ec7c \u0111\u1ecbnh h\u00ecnh c\u1ee5c di\u1ec7n an ninh Bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u1ecf. V\u00ec v\u1eady, khi \u1ea2 R\u1eadp Saudi nghi\u00eang v\u1ec1 m\u1ed9t li\u00ean minh v\u1edbi Ai C\u1eadp, Th\u1ed5 Nh\u0129 K\u1ef3 v\u00e0 Pakistan, n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y c\u0169ng \u0111\u01b0a li\u00ean minh \u0111\u00f3 v\u00e0o vi\u1ec7c c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 c\u00e1c quan h\u1ec7 \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c ch\u1ee7 ch\u1ed1t t\u1ea1i v\u00f9ng S\u1eebng. Riyadh \u0111ang t\u00ecm c\u00e1ch \u0111\u1ed1i tr\u1ecdng v\u1edbi c\u00e1c phe ph\u00e1i t\u1ea1i \u0111\u00e2y \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c UAE ho\u1eb7c Israel h\u1eadu thu\u1eabn, ngay c\u1ea3 khi v\u1eabn ph\u1ea3i \u0111\u1ed1i ph\u00f3 v\u1edbi c\u00e1c m\u1ed1i \u0111e d\u1ecda t\u1eeb Iran v\u00e0 c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed3ng minh c\u1ee7a n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y, trong \u0111\u00f3 c\u00f3 l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng Houthi \u0111ang ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t b\u1edd bi\u1ec3n Bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u1ecf c\u1ee7a Yemen.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u0110\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi, nguy c\u01a1 xung \u0111\u1ed9t \u0111ang gia t\u0103ng gi\u1eefa L\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng V\u0169 trang Sudan (SAF), \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u1ea2 R\u1eadp Saudi v\u00e0 c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed3ng minh h\u1eadu thu\u1eabn, v\u1edbi Ethiopia, m\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ed3ng minh c\u1ee7a UAE, c\u0169ng nh\u01b0 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn tr\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp kh\u00e1c c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 n\u1ed5 ra gi\u1eefa Ethiopia v\u00e0 Eritrea<\/mark><\/strong>. M\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn m\u1edbi gi\u1eefa Ethiopia v\u00e0 Eritrea tr\u00ean Bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u1ecf nhi\u1ec1u kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng s\u1ebd bi\u1ebfn th\u00e0nh m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c xung \u0111\u1ed9t khu v\u1ef1c, ch\u1ed3ng l\u1ea5n v\u1edbi cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn t\u1ea1i Sudan. N\u00f3 kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 b\u1ecb l\u00e0m tr\u1ea7m tr\u1ecdng th\u00eam b\u1edfi r\u1ea1n n\u1ee9t hi\u1ec7n nay gi\u1eefa UAE v\u00e0 \u1ea2 R\u1eadp Saudi, m\u00e0 c\u00f2n c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 kho\u00e9t s\u00e2u th\u00eam s\u1ef1 chia r\u1ebd \u0111\u00f3.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

M\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 Trung \u0110\u00f4ng t\u1eebng coi v\u00f9ng S\u1eebng ch\u00e2u Phi l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t chi\u1ebfn tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u00edt r\u1ee7i ro, n\u01a1i h\u1ecd c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 c\u1ea1nh tranh \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng v\u1edbi chi ph\u00ed t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ed1i th\u1ea5p. Nh\u01b0ng khi c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn \u1edf Trung \u0110\u00f4ng v\u00e0 v\u00f9ng S\u1eebng ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng g\u1eafn b\u00f3 kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 t\u00e1ch r\u1eddi, m\u1ed9t kh\u00f4ng gian an ninh th\u1ed1ng nh\u1ea5t \u0111ang h\u00ecnh th\u00e0nh. Tr\u1eeb khi c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o \u1edf c\u1ea3 Trung \u0110\u00f4ng l\u1eabn v\u00f9ng S\u1eebng nh\u1eadn ra nh\u1eefng th\u1ebf l\u01b0\u1ee1ng nan an ninh c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd \u0111\u00e3 \u0111an xen \u0111\u1ebfn m\u1ee9c n\u00e0o, b\u1ea5t \u1ed5n s\u1ebd ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c d\u1ed9i qua d\u1ed9i l\u1ea1i theo c\u1ea3 hai h\u01b0\u1edbng, khi\u1ebfn nh\u1eefng xung \u0111\u1ed9t v\u00e0 tranh ch\u1ea5p ch\u1ed3ng l\u1ea5n ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng kh\u00f3 gi\u1ea3i quy\u1ebft.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

S\u1ef0 PH\u00c2N T\u00c1CH QUY\u1ec0N L\u1ef0C<\/h4>\n\n\n\n

\u1ede m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 kh\u00eda c\u1ea1nh, s\u1ef1 \u0111an xen ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng s\u00e2u gi\u1eefa v\u00f9ng S\u1eebng ch\u00e2u Phi v\u00e0 Trung \u0110\u00f4ng l\u00e0 s\u1ef1 tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i v\u1edbi m\u1ed9t tr\u1ea1ng th\u00e1i t\u1eebng ph\u1ed5 bi\u1ebfn trong l\u1ecbch s\u1eed.<\/strong> Su\u1ed1t h\u00e0ng thi\u00ean ni\u00ean k\u1ef7, Bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u1ecf \u0111\u00e3 k\u1ebft n\u1ed1i nh\u1eefng v\u00f9ng \u0111\u1ea5t ng\u00e0y nay l\u00e0 Djibouti, Eritrea, Ethiopia v\u00e0 Yemen, v\u1edbi con ng\u01b0\u1eddi, h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a v\u00e0 c\u00e1c d\u00f2ng \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng v\u0103n h\u00f3a th\u01b0\u1eddng xuy\u00ean qua l\u1ea1i gi\u1eefa hai b\u1edd. Ti\u1ebfng Amharic, ng\u00f4n ng\u1eef ch\u1ee7 \u0111\u1ea1o c\u1ee7a Ethiopia, v\u00e0 ti\u1ebfng Tigrinya, \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng r\u1ed9ng r\u00e3i \u1edf Eritrea v\u00e0 mi\u1ec1n b\u1eafc Ethiopia, \u0111\u1ec1u thu\u1ed9c nh\u00f3m ng\u00f4n ng\u1eef Semit. Kit\u00f4 gi\u00e1o c\u0169ng lan truy\u1ec1n s\u1edbm t\u1edbi khu v\u1ef1c nay l\u00e0 mi\u1ec1n b\u1eafc Ethiopia, bi\u1ebfn n\u01a1i \u0111\u00e2y th\u00e0nh qu\u00ea h\u01b0\u01a1ng c\u1ee7a m\u1ed9t trong nh\u1eefng truy\u1ec1n th\u1ed1ng Ch\u00ednh th\u1ed1ng gi\u00e1o l\u00e2u \u0111\u1eddi nh\u1ea5t th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

V\u00e0o th\u1ebf k\u1ef7 th\u1ee9 s\u00e1u, m\u1ed9t v\u1ecb vua c\u1ee7a Aksum, thu\u1ed9c Ethiopia ng\u00e0y nay, \u0111\u00e3 c\u00f3 th\u1eddi gian ng\u1eafn chinh ph\u1ee5c m\u1ed9t ph\u1ea7n l\u00e3nh th\u1ed5 Yemen. Kh\u00f4ng l\u00e2u sau \u0111\u00f3, Nh\u00e0 ti\u00ean tri Muhammad c\u1eed m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 t\u00edn \u0111\u1ed3 \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh v\u01b0\u1ee3t Bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u1ecf t\u1edbi l\u00e1nh n\u1ea1n d\u01b0\u1edbi s\u1ef1 b\u1ea3o h\u1ed9 c\u1ee7a m\u1ed9t v\u1ecb vua Aksum theo Kit\u00f4 gi\u00e1o. H\u1ed3i gi\u00e1o sau \u0111\u00f3 lan truy\u1ec1n qua bi\u1ec3n v\u00e0 d\u1ecdc theo b\u1edd bi\u1ec3n \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 D\u01b0\u01a1ng c\u1ee7a ch\u00e2u Phi. T\u1eeb th\u1ebf k\u1ef7 16 \u0111\u1ebfn th\u1ebf k\u1ef7 20, \u0110\u1ebf qu\u1ed1c Ottoman cai tr\u1ecb l\u00e3nh th\u1ed5 \u1edf c\u1ea3 hai b\u00ean Bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u1ecf, c\u00f2n c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 cai tr\u1ecb Oman x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng m\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ebf qu\u1ed1c n\u1ed1i b\u00e1n \u0111\u1ea3o \u1ea2 R\u1eadp v\u1edbi ph\u1ea7n l\u1edbn b\u1edd bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u00f4ng Phi, cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng chuy\u1ec3n th\u1ee7 \u0111\u00f4 t\u1eeb Muscat sang Zanzibar. Nh\u1eefng m\u1ed1i li\u00ean k\u1ebft n\u00e0y k\u00e9o d\u00e0i \u0111\u1ebfn t\u1eadn th\u1eddi hi\u1ec7n \u0111\u1ea1i. Khi v\u01b0\u01a1ng qu\u1ed1c \u1ea2 R\u1eadp Saudi chinh ph\u1ee5c v\u00f9ng Hejaz \u1edf ph\u00eda t\u00e2y b\u00e1n \u0111\u1ea3o \u1ea2 R\u1eadp v\u00e0o \u0111\u1ea7u th\u1ebf k\u1ef7 20, gi\u1edbi tinh hoa t\u1ea1i th\u00e0nh ph\u1ed1 c\u1ea3ng Jeddah \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0a gia \u0111\u00ecnh v\u01b0\u1ee3t Bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u1ecf t\u1edbi C\u1ea3ng Sudan \u0111\u1ec3 l\u00e1nh n\u1ea1n. V\u00e0 v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng T\u01b0 n\u0103m 2023, khi chi\u1ebfn tranh b\u00f9ng n\u1ed5 \u1edf Khartoum, nhi\u1ec1u ng\u01b0\u1eddi Sudan \u0111\u00e3 t\u00ecm n\u01a1i tr\u00fa \u1ea9n t\u1ea1i Jeddah.<\/p>\n\n\n

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T\u01b0\u1edbng t\u01b0 l\u1ec7nh qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed9i Abdel Fattah al-Burhan (tr\u00e1i) v\u00e0 t\u01b0\u1edbng Hemeti l\u00e3nh t\u1ee5 d\u00e2n qu\u00e2n (RSF – paramilitary Rapid Support Forces )<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

Tuy nhi\u00ean, t\u1eeb th\u1ebf k\u1ef7 20, m\u1ed9t s\u1ef1 t\u00e1ch bi\u1ec7t d\u1ea7n h\u00ecnh th\u00e0nh gi\u1eefa hai b\u1edd Bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u1ecf, khi ch\u1ee7 ngh\u0129a th\u1ef1c d\u00e2n ch\u00e2u \u00c2u v\u00e0 c\u00e1c phong tr\u00e0o d\u00e2n t\u1ed9c ch\u1ee7 ngh\u0129a c\u1eaft \u0111\u1ee9t nh\u1eefng m\u1ed1i li\u00ean k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3n tr\u1ecb xuy\u00ean Bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u1ecf v\u00e0 V\u1ecbnh Aden.<\/strong> C\u00e1c k\u1ebft n\u1ed1i v\u1eabn t\u1ed3n t\u1ea1i: ch\u1eb3ng h\u1ea1n, sau c\u00fa b\u00f9ng n\u1ed5 d\u1ea7u m\u1ecf nh\u1eefng n\u0103m 1970 l\u00e0m thay \u0111\u1ed5i c\u00e1c n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf v\u00f9ng V\u1ecbnh, ngu\u1ed3n v\u1ed1n t\u1eeb V\u1ecbnh Ba T\u01b0 ch\u1ea3y sang c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc ch\u00e2u Phi l\u00e2n c\u1eadn, trong khi lao \u0111\u1ed9ng v\u00e0 h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a ch\u00e2u Phi \u0111i theo chi\u1ec1u ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i; c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc Trung \u0110\u00f4ng c\u0169ng \u0111\u00f3ng vai tr\u00f2 \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 trong cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn gi\u1eefa Ethiopia v\u00e0 Somalia trong th\u1eadp k\u1ef7 \u0111\u00f3. Nh\u01b0ng kho\u1ea3ng c\u00e1ch ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb gi\u1eefa b\u1edd \u1ea2 R\u1eadp v\u00e0 b\u1edd ch\u00e2u Phi c\u1ee7a Bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u1ecf c\u00e0ng m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng sau khi Chi\u1ebfn tranh L\u1ea1nh k\u1ebft th\u00fac. Chi\u1ebfn tranh V\u00f9ng V\u1ecbnh l\u1ea7n th\u1ee9 nh\u1ea5t n\u0103m 1990\u20131991 \u0111\u00e3 l\u00e0m \u0111\u1ea3o l\u1ed9n Trung \u0110\u00f4ng v\u00e0 m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng hi\u1ec7n di\u1ec7n qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 trong khu v\u1ef1c, gi\u00fap c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00f9ng V\u1ecbnh gi\u1ea3m b\u1edbt g\u00e1nh n\u1eb7ng ph\u1ea3i t\u1ef1 qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd m\u00f4i tr\u01b0\u1eddng an ninh l\u00e2n c\u1eadn. C\u0169ng v\u00e0o kho\u1ea3ng th\u1eddi gian \u0111\u00f3, c\u00e1c th\u1ef1c th\u1ec3 ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb \u1edf v\u00f9ng S\u1eebng ch\u00e2u Phi b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u ph\u00e2n m\u1ea3nh. S\u1ef1 s\u1ee5p \u0111\u1ed5 c\u1ee7a Somalia khi\u1ebfn Somaliland, m\u1ed9t c\u1ef1u thu\u1ed9c \u0111\u1ecba c\u1ee7a Anh d\u1ecdc V\u1ecbnh Aden, tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 \u0111\u1ed9c l\u1eadp n\u0103m 1991.<\/strong> Thay \u0111\u1ed5i ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9 \u1edf Ethiopia d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn vi\u1ec7c Eritrea ly khai n\u0103m 1993, c\u00f2n cu\u1ed9c n\u1ed9i chi\u1ebfn ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng nghi\u00eam tr\u1ecdng t\u1ea1i Sudan cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng d\u1eabn t\u1edbi vi\u1ec7c Nam Sudan t\u00e1ch ra n\u0103m 2011.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

M\u1ef9 \u0111\u00e3 th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n nhi\u1ec1u n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n v\u00e0 th\u01b0\u1eddng ph\u1ea3n t\u00e1c d\u1ee5ng nh\u1eb1m x\u1eed l\u00fd nh\u1eefng bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng n\u00e0y t\u1ea1i v\u00f9ng S\u1eebng ch\u00e2u Phi. Tuy nhi\u00ean, Washington hi\u1ebfm khi coi v\u00f9ng S\u1eebng ch\u00e2u Phi v\u00e0 Trung \u0110\u00f4ng, hay vai tr\u00f2 c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh t\u1ea1i hai khu v\u1ef1c, l\u00e0 nh\u1eefng v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 c\u00f3 li\u00ean h\u1ec7 v\u1edbi nhau. Trong khi c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00f9ng V\u1ecbnh t\u1eadp trung v\u00e0o nh\u1eefng m\u1ed1i \u0111e d\u1ecda t\u1eeb Iran v\u00e0 Levant, v\u00f9ng S\u1eebng ch\u00e2u Phi l\u1ea1i ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu b\u1ecb chi ph\u1ed1i b\u1edfi c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c n\u1ed9i chi\u1ebfn.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

C\u00e1c nh\u00e0 l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o khu v\u1ef1c c\u0169ng kh\u00f4ng coi hai kh\u00f4ng gian n\u00e0y g\u1eafn b\u00f3 m\u1eadt thi\u1ebft v\u1edbi nhau.<\/strong> Nh\u1eefng nh\u00e0 l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o \u0110\u00f4ng Phi nh\u01b0 T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng Ethiopia Meles Zenawi ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu t\u00ecm ki\u1ebfm \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng tr\u00ean l\u1ee5c \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00e2u Phi h\u01a1n l\u00e0 \u1edf b\u00ean kia Bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u1ecf, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 c\u00e1c th\u1ec3 ch\u1ebf nh\u01b0 Li\u00ean minh ch\u00e2u Phi. Gi\u1edbi tinh hoa Kit\u00f4 gi\u00e1o c\u00f3 \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng t\u1ea1i Ethiopia v\u00e0 Kenya, hai qu\u1ed1c gia m\u1ea1nh nh\u1ea5t \u1edf v\u00f9ng S\u1eebng ch\u00e2u Phi, \u00edt g\u1eafn b\u00f3 v\u1edbi th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi \u1ea2 R\u1eadp.<\/strong> Quy\u1ec1n l\u1ef1c ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb t\u1ea1i khu v\u1ef1c V\u1ecbnh Ba T\u01b0 t\u1eadp trung \u1edf Riyadh v\u00e0 c\u00e1c th\u1ee7 \u0111\u00f4 v\u00f9ng V\u1ecbnh nh\u01b0 Abu Dhabi v\u00e0 Doha, ch\u1ee9 kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i d\u1ecdc b\u1edd Bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u1ecf. Khi Sudan chia t\u00e1ch, ti\u1ebfn tr\u00ecnh n\u00e0y do Li\u00ean minh ch\u00e2u Phi d\u1eabn d\u1eaft v\u1edbi s\u1ef1 h\u1eadu thu\u1eabn c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 ch\u00e2u \u00c2u, trong khi th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi \u1ea2 R\u1eadp ph\u1ea7n l\u1edbn \u0111\u1ee9ng b\u00ean l\u1ec1.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

V\u00d9NG S\u1eeaNG CH\u00c2U PHI QUAY TR\u1ede L\u1ea0I<\/h4>\n\n\n
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Kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng nh\u00e2n \u0111\u1ea1o: Ng\u01b0\u1eddi d\u00e2n ng\u1ed3i ch\u1edd th\u1ef1c ph\u1ea9m h\u00e0ng ng\u00e0y<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

Trong nh\u1eefng bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a M\u00f9a xu\u00e2n \u1ea2 R\u1eadp, v\u00f9ng S\u1eebng ch\u00e2u Phi b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u b\u1ecb k\u00e9o tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i ph\u1ea1m vi \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng c\u1ee7a Trung \u0110\u00f4ng. M\u1ed9t b\u01b0\u1edbc ngo\u1eb7t quan tr\u1ecdng di\u1ec5n ra v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2011, khi Recep Tayyip Erdogan c\u1ee7a Th\u1ed5 Nh\u0129 K\u1ef3 tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh nh\u00e0 l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o ngo\u00e0i ch\u00e2u Phi \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean t\u1edbi th\u0103m Mogadishu, th\u1ee7 \u0111\u00f4 Somalia, trong g\u1ea7n 20 n\u0103m, trong n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng c\u1ee7a Th\u1ed5 Nh\u0129 K\u1ef3 t\u1ea1i khu v\u1ef1c. C\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c n\u1ed5i d\u1eady c\u0169ng l\u00e0m Yemen b\u1ea5t \u1ed5n v\u00e0 d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn vi\u1ec7c l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng Houthi chi\u1ebfm ph\u1ea7n l\u1edbn \u0111\u1ea5t n\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2014. Quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u1ee7a \u1ea2 R\u1eadp Saudi v\u00e0 UAE can thi\u1ec7p qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 ch\u1ed1ng l\u1ea1i Houthi n\u0103m 2015 c\u00e0ng l\u00e0m t\u0103ng t\u1ea7m quan tr\u1ecdng chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1ee7a v\u00f9ng S\u1eebng ch\u00e2u Phi, b\u1edfi c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00f9ng V\u1ecbnh c\u1ea7n c\u00e1c c\u0103n c\u1ee9 qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 v\u00e0 nh\u00e2n l\u1ef1c \u0111\u1ec3 duy tr\u00ec chi\u1ebfn d\u1ecbch ch\u1ed1ng nh\u00f3m n\u1ed5i d\u1eady n\u00e0y. UAE \u0111\u00e3 m\u1edf m\u1ed9t c\u0103n c\u1ee9 qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 tr\u00ean b\u1edd bi\u1ec3n Eritrea, trong khi ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9 Omar al-Bashir \u1edf Sudan \u0111\u01b0a h\u00e0ng ch\u1ee5c ngh\u00ecn binh s\u0129 thu\u1ed9c L\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng H\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 Nhanh (RSF) b\u00e1n qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 sang Yemen \u0111\u1ec3 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c c\u1ee7a \u1ea2 R\u1eadp Saudi v\u00e0 UAE t\u1ea1i \u0111\u00e2y.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

C\u00f9ng l\u00fac \u0111\u00f3, c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc Trung \u0110\u00f4ng b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u nghi ng\u1edd nh\u1eefng cam k\u1ebft an ninh c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi khu v\u1ef1c trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch \u201cxoay tr\u1ee5c sang ch\u00e2u \u00c1\u201d \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ch\u00ednh quy\u1ec1n Obama c\u00f4ng khai th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y v\u00e0 ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng ngo\u1ea1i giao v\u1edbi Iran, khi\u1ebfn h\u1ecd lao v\u00e0o cu\u1ed9c \u0111ua nh\u1eb1m t\u1ef1 b\u1ea3o \u0111\u1ea3m l\u1ee3i \u00edch c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh tr\u00ean m\u1ed9t kh\u00f4ng gian r\u1ed9ng l\u1edbn h\u01a1n. C\u00e1c ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 Trung \u0110\u00f4ng tr\u1edf n\u00ean b\u1ea5t an h\u01a1n v\u00e0 s\u1ef1 c\u1ea1nh tranh gi\u1eefa h\u1ecd ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng gay g\u1eaft. Cu\u1ed9c kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng n\u1ed9i b\u1ed9 v\u00f9ng V\u1ecbnh n\u0103m 2017, l\u00ean \u0111\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ec9nh \u0111i\u1ec3m khi c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc l\u00e1ng gi\u1ec1ng phong t\u1ecfa Qatar, \u0111\u00e3 nhanh ch\u00f3ng lan sang ch\u00e2u Phi, khi nh\u1eefng kh\u1ed1i b\u1ea3o tr\u1ee3 l\u1ecfng l\u1ebbo c\u1ea1nh tranh \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng v\u00e0 \u1ea2 R\u1eadp Saudi c\u00f9ng UAE g\u00e2y s\u1ee9c \u00e9p bu\u1ed9c c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o v\u00f9ng S\u1eebng ch\u00e2u Phi ph\u1ea3i ch\u1ecdn phe. UAE b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u1ebfn h\u00e0nh nh\u1eefng can thi\u1ec7p ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng tham v\u1ecdng trong khu v\u1ef1c: ch\u1eb3ng h\u1ea1n, n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y \u0111\u1eb7t c\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1edbn v\u00e0o nh\u00e0 l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o Ethiopia Abiy Ahmed, ng\u01b0\u1eddi l\u00ean n\u1eafm quy\u1ec1n n\u0103m 2018, b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 ch\u00ednh quy\u1ec1n c\u1ee7a \u00f4ng v\u1edbi kho\u1ea3n r\u00f3t v\u1ed1n ban \u0111\u1ea7u 3 t\u1ef7 USD v\u00e0 cung c\u1ea5p vi\u1ec7n tr\u1ee3 qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 quan tr\u1ecdng khi \u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i \u0111\u1ed1i m\u1eb7t v\u1edbi cu\u1ed9c n\u1ed5i d\u1eady \u1edf v\u00f9ng Tigray.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn th\u1ea3m kh\u1ed1c t\u1ea1i Sudan c\u00e0ng th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh h\u1ed9i nh\u1eadp gi\u1eefa v\u00f9ng S\u1eebng ch\u00e2u Phi v\u00e0 Trung \u0110\u00f4ng. Khi c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c bi\u1ec3u t\u00ecnh l\u1edbn n\u0103m 2019 \u0111e d\u1ecda l\u1eadt \u0111\u1ed5 ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9 Bashir \u1edf Khartoum, Abu Dhabi v\u00e0 Riyadh \u0111\u00e3 h\u1eadu thu\u1eabn m\u1ed9t ch\u00ednh quy\u1ec1n qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 l\u00ean n\u1eafm quy\u1ec1n. Sau khi hai nh\u00e0 l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o c\u1ee7a ch\u00ednh quy\u1ec1n qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 quay sang \u0111\u1ed1i \u0111\u1ea7u nhau n\u0103m 2023, UAE n\u1ed5i l\u00ean nh\u01b0 nh\u00e0 b\u1ea3o tr\u1ee3 ch\u00ednh c\u1ee7a RSF, d\u00f9 Abu Dhabi ch\u00ednh th\u1ee9c ph\u1ee7 nh\u1eadn m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 can d\u1ef1 c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh. \u1ea2 R\u1eadp Saudi c\u0169ng c\u00f3 quan h\u1ec7 l\u1ecbch s\u1eed v\u1edbi RSF v\u00e0 ban \u0111\u1ea7u t\u00ecm c\u00e1ch h\u00f2a gi\u1ea3i gi\u1eefa hai b\u00ean, nh\u01b0ng m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 can thi\u1ec7p c\u1ee7a UAE cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng \u0111\u00e3 khi\u1ebfn Riyadh chuy\u1ec3n sang \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 SAF m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch d\u1ee9t kho\u00e1t h\u01a1n. \u1ea2 R\u1eadp Saudi \u0111\u00e3 tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed3ng minh quan tr\u1ecdng nh\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed9i Sudan.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n

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Qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed9i c\u1ee7a ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 Sudan<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

Trong n\u0103m qua, nh\u1eefng tranh ch\u1ea5p t\u1ea1i v\u00f9ng S\u1eebng ch\u00e2u Phi b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u lan ng\u01b0\u1ee3c tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i qua Bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u1ecf. C\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng gi\u1eefa Abu Dhabi v\u00e0 Riyadh v\u1ec1 cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn Sudan d\u01b0\u1eddng nh\u01b0 g\u00f3p ph\u1ea7n l\u00e0m tan v\u1ee1 quan h\u1ec7 \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c gi\u1eefa UAE v\u00e0 \u1ea2 R\u1eadp Saudi nh\u1eb1m ch\u1ed1ng l\u1ea1i l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng Houthi.<\/mark><\/strong> V\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 12\/2025, \u1ea2 R\u1eadp Saudi v\u00e0 ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 Yemen y\u00eau c\u1ea7u UAE r\u00fat kh\u1ecfi n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y sau m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng b\u1ea5t ng\u1edd g\u1ea7n bi\u00ean gi\u1edbi Saudi c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng ly khai do UAE h\u1eadu thu\u1eabn<\/mark>. C\u0169ng trong th\u00e1ng \u0111\u00f3, Israel tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh qu\u1ed1c gia \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean c\u00f4ng nh\u1eadn n\u1ec1n \u0111\u1ed9c l\u1eadp c\u1ee7a Somaliland. Ai C\u1eadp, \u1ea2 R\u1eadp Saudi, Th\u1ed5 Nh\u0129 K\u1ef3 c\u00f9ng nhi\u1ec1u n\u01b0\u1edbc kh\u00e1c \u1edf ch\u00e2u Phi v\u00e0 Trung \u0110\u00f4ng k\u1ecbch li\u1ec7t ph\u1ea3n \u0111\u1ed1i \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u00e1i n\u00e0y, trong khi UAE gi\u1eef im l\u1eb7ng, l\u00e0m s\u00e2u s\u1eafc th\u00eam c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng trong n\u1ed9i b\u1ed9 v\u00f9ng V\u1ecbnh.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

R\u1ea1n n\u1ee9t gi\u1eefa UAE v\u00e0 \u1ea2 R\u1eadp Saudi, v\u1ed1n c\u00e0ng tr\u1ea7m tr\u1ecdng th\u00eam b\u1edfi ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb v\u00f9ng S\u1eebng ch\u00e2u Phi, \u0111\u00e3 c\u1ea3n tr\u1edf m\u1ed9t ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng t\u1eadp th\u1ec3 c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00f9ng V\u1ecbnh sau khi M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 Israel ph\u00e1t \u0111\u1ed9ng chi\u1ebfn tranh v\u1edbi Iran h\u1ed3i th\u00e1ng Hai.<\/mark><\/strong> B\u1ea3n th\u00e2n cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn n\u00e0y l\u1ea1i khi\u1ebfn v\u00f9ng S\u1eebng ch\u00e2u Phi v\u00e0 Trung \u0110\u00f4ng g\u1eafn k\u1ebft ch\u1eb7t ch\u1ebd h\u01a1n. \u1ea2 R\u1eadp Saudi t\u00ecm c\u00e1ch t\u1ef1 b\u1ea3o v\u1ec7 m\u00ecnh th\u00f4ng qua c\u00e1c hi\u1ec7p \u01b0\u1edbc an ninh khu v\u1ef1c m\u1edbi v\u00e0 nh\u1eefng li\u00ean minh ngo\u1ea1i giao, trong khi UAE t\u0103ng c\u01b0\u1eddng quan h\u1ec7 \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c an ninh v\u1edbi M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 Israel. D\u00f9 c\u1ea3 hai ph\u00eda \u0111\u1ec1u c\u1ed1 h\u1ea1 th\u1ea5p m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 r\u1ea1n n\u1ee9t tr\u01b0\u1edbc c\u00f4ng ch\u00fang, t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a n\u00f3 v\u1eabn lan sang b\u1edd b\u00ean kia Bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u1ecf.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u1ea2 R\u1eadp Saudi \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1ea9y m\u1ea1nh can d\u1ef1 v\u00e0o c\u1ea3 Sudan l\u1eabn Somalia, ph\u1ed1i h\u1ee3p v\u1edbi Ai C\u1eadp v\u00e0 Th\u1ed5 Nh\u0129 K\u1ef3.<\/strong> S\u1ef1 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 n\u00e0y d\u01b0\u1eddng nh\u01b0 \u0111\u00e3 g\u00f3p ph\u1ea7n th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y nh\u1eefng b\u01b0\u1edbc ti\u1ebfn g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y c\u1ee7a SAF tr\u00ean chi\u1ebfn tr\u01b0\u1eddng v\u00e0 khi\u1ebfn c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o SAF th\u00eam c\u1ee9ng r\u1eafn trong vi\u1ec7c ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c b\u00e1c b\u1ecf c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ec1 xu\u1ea5t \u0111\u00ecnh chi\u1ebfn c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9. <\/mark>Trong khi \u0111\u00f3, ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 Somalia \u0111ang m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng quan h\u1ec7 \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c v\u1edbi nh\u1eefng \u0111\u1ed3ng minh ch\u1ee7 ch\u1ed1t c\u1ee7a \u1ea2 R\u1eadp Saudi, trong \u0111\u00f3 c\u00f3 Pakistan. \u1ea2 R\u1eadp Saudi v\u00e0 Ai C\u1eadp c\u0169ng ph\u1ea3n \u0111\u1ed1i n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c c\u1ee7a Ethiopia nh\u1eb1m gi\u00e0nh l\u1ea1i m\u1ed9t c\u1ea3ng bi\u1ec3n c\u00f3 ch\u1ee7 quy\u1ec1n v\u00e0 thi\u1ebft l\u1eadp s\u1ef1 hi\u1ec7n di\u1ec7n h\u1ea3i qu\u00e2n tr\u00ean Bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u1ecf, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi t\u0103ng c\u01b0\u1eddng quan h\u1ec7 v\u1edbi c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc l\u00e1ng gi\u1ec1ng ven bi\u1ec3n c\u1ee7a Ethiopia. Mong mu\u1ed1n ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t an ninh h\u00e0ng h\u1ea3i t\u1ea1i Bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u1ecf c\u1ee7a \u1ea2 R\u1eadp Saudi c\u00e0ng tr\u1edf n\u00ean c\u1ea5p b\u00e1ch sau khi cu\u1ed9c t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 Israel khi\u1ebfn Iran b\u00f3p ngh\u1eb9t eo bi\u1ec3n Hormuz, bu\u1ed9c Riyadh ph\u1ea3i chuy\u1ec3n ph\u1ea7n l\u1edbn l\u01b0\u1ee3ng d\u1ea7u xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u qua eo bi\u1ec3n Bab el-Mandeb.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

S\u1ef1 can d\u1ef1 ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng s\u00e2u c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc Trung \u0110\u00f4ng v\u00e0o v\u00f9ng S\u1eebng ch\u00e2u Phi l\u00e0m gia t\u0103ng nguy c\u01a1 nh\u1eefng xung \u0111\u1ed9t n\u1ed9i b\u1ed9 t\u1ea1i Ethiopia v\u00e0 Sudan h\u1ee3p nh\u1ea5t th\u00e0nh m\u1ed9t v\u00f9ng chi\u1ebfn s\u1ef1 khu v\u1ef1c r\u1ed9ng l\u1edbn h\u01a1n<\/strong>. Vi\u1ec7c UAE h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 cho RSF th\u00f4ng qua Ethiopia \u0111\u00e3 g\u00f3p ph\u1ea7n l\u00e0m d\u1ea5y l\u00ean s\u1ef1 ng\u1edd v\u1ef1c gi\u1eefa Khartoum v\u00e0 Addis Ababa.<\/mark> Trong khi \u0111\u00f3, Ethiopia c\u00e1o bu\u1ed9c SAF cho h\u00e0ng ngh\u00ecn chi\u1ebfn binh trung th\u00e0nh v\u1edbi M\u1eb7t tr\u1eadn Gi\u1ea3i ph\u00f3ng Nh\u00e2n d\u00e2n Tigray (TPLF) tr\u00fa \u1ea9n an to\u00e0n, l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng m\u00e0 h\u1ed3i th\u00e1ng T\u01b0 \u0111\u00e3 tr\u00ean th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf h\u1ee7y b\u1ecf th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn h\u00f2a b\u00ecnh n\u0103m 2022 v\u00e0 gi\u00e0nh l\u1ea1i quy\u1ec1n ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t v\u00f9ng Tigray c\u1ee7a Ethiopia. Cu\u1ed1i th\u00e1ng 9, v\u1edbi s\u1ef1 h\u1eadu thu\u1eabn k\u00edn \u0111\u00e1o t\u1eeb Eritrea, TPLF ph\u00e1t \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng quy m\u00f4 l\u1edbn nh\u1eb1m v\u00e0o qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed9i Ethiopia, \u0111\u1ea9y khu v\u1ef1c tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i chi\u1ebfn tranh. \u0110\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ea7u th\u00e1ng 10, qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed9i Ethiopia \u0111\u00e3 t\u00e1i chi\u1ebfm th\u1ee7 ph\u1ee7 v\u00f9ng Tigray, m\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u00e1i c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ch\u1ec9 khi\u1ebfn giao tranh d\u1ecbch chuy\u1ec3n l\u00ean ph\u00eda b\u1eafc, v\u1ec1 h\u01b0\u1edbng bi\u00ean gi\u1edbi Eritrea \u2013 Ethiopia. M\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn m\u1edbi gi\u1eefa Eritrea v\u00e0 Ethiopia tr\u00ean th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf s\u1ebd \u0111\u1eb7t Ai C\u1eadp v\u00e0 \u1ea2 R\u1eadp Saudi \u0111\u1ed1i \u0111\u1ea7u v\u1edbi UAE.<\/p>\n\n\n

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L\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng d\u00e2n qu\u00e2n RSF<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

Trong khi \u0111\u00f3, t\u1ea1i Somalia, nh\u1eefng cu\u1ed9c \u0111\u1ea5u tranh ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb l\u00e2u \u0111\u1eddi ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng b\u1ecb cu\u1ed1n v\u00e0o c\u00e1c xung \u0111\u1ed9t an ninh \u0111ang m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a Trung \u0110\u00f4ng. Vi\u1ec7c Israel c\u00f4ng nh\u1eadn Somaliland, n\u1eb1m g\u1ea7n eo bi\u1ec3n Bab el-Mandeb \u1edf V\u1ecbnh Aden, \u0111\u00e3 g\u00e2y lo ng\u1ea1i s\u00e2u s\u1eafc t\u1ea1i Ai C\u1eadp, Th\u1ed5 Nh\u0129 K\u1ef3 v\u00e0 \u1ea2 R\u1eadp Saudi.<\/strong> \u0110\u00e1p l\u1ea1i, \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m 2026, Mogadishu k\u00fd m\u1ed9t th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn h\u1ee3p t\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c ph\u00f2ng ch\u00ednh th\u1ee9c v\u1edbi Riyadh v\u00e0 h\u1ee7y b\u1ecf c\u00e1c th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn an ninh v\u00e0 kinh t\u1ebf hi\u1ec7n c\u00f3 v\u1edbi Abu Dhabi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

UAE t\u1eeb l\u00e2u \u0111\u00e3 g\u1eafn b\u00f3 v\u1edbi Somaliland th\u00f4ng qua vi\u1ec7c x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng c\u01a1 s\u1edf h\u1ea1 t\u1ea7ng qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 quan tr\u1ecdng t\u1ea1i \u0111\u00e2y v\u00e0 c\u1ea3i t\u1ea1o m\u1ed9t c\u1ea3ng l\u1edbn \u1edf Berbera; n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y c\u0169ng thi\u1ebft l\u1eadp m\u1ed9t ti\u1ec1n \u0111\u1ed3n qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 v\u00e0 ti\u1ebfp qu\u1ea3n c\u1ea3ng Bosaso \u1edf v\u00f9ng b\u00e1n t\u1ef1 tr\u1ecb Puntland l\u00e2n c\u1eadn, n\u01a1i \u0111\u00e3 b\u1ea5t h\u00f2a v\u1edbi ch\u00ednh quy\u1ec1n li\u00ean bang Somalia trong nhi\u1ec1u n\u0103m. Khi l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng Houthi \u1edf Yemen m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng quanh eo bi\u1ec3n Bab el-Mandeb v\u00e0 n\u1ed1i l\u1ea1i c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng nh\u1eb1m v\u00e0o \u1ea2 R\u1eadp Saudi, h\u1ecd c\u0169ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c cho l\u00e0 \u0111\u00e3 t\u00ecm c\u00e1ch x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng nh\u1eefng \u0111\u1ea7u m\u1ed1i ri\u00eang t\u1ea1i v\u00f9ng S\u1eebng, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t v\u1edbi nh\u00f3m n\u1ed5i d\u1eady H\u1ed3i gi\u00e1o al-Shabab, l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t nhi\u1ec1u khu v\u1ef1c r\u1ed9ng l\u1edbn \u1edf mi\u1ec1n nam Somalia. L\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng Houthi \u0111\u00e3 \u0111e d\u1ecda t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng Somaliland n\u1ebfu Israel thi\u1ebft l\u1eadp s\u1ef1 hi\u1ec7n di\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i \u0111\u00e2y, v\u00e0 c\u00e1c quan ch\u1ee9c M\u1ef9 kh\u1eb3ng \u0111\u1ecbnh r\u1eb1ng nh\u00f3m n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 g\u1eedi v\u0169 kh\u00ed cho al-Shabab.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

M\u1ed8T LI\u00caN MINH HO\u00c0N THI\u1ec6N H\u01a0N<\/h4>\n\n\n\n

\u1ede m\u1ed9t m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 n\u00e0o \u0111\u00f3, s\u1ef1 m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng c\u1ee7a Trung \u0110\u00f4ng v\u00e0o v\u00f9ng S\u1eebng ch\u00e2u Phi \u0111ang l\u1ea5p \u0111\u1ea7y kho\u1ea3ng tr\u1ed1ng do c\u00e1c b\u00ean kh\u00e1c \u0111\u1ec3 l\u1ea1i. Vi\u1ec7c M\u1ef9 n\u00f3i chung r\u00fat lui kh\u1ecfi ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng ngo\u1ea1i giao v\u00e0 vi\u1ec7n tr\u1ee3 t\u1ea1i ch\u00e2u Phi \u0111\u00e3 khuy\u1ebfn kh\u00edch c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o v\u00f9ng S\u1eebng t\u00ecm ki\u1ebfm quan h\u1ec7 \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c \u1edf n\u01a1i kh\u00e1c. H\u1ecd c\u0169ng c\u1ea7n b\u00f9 \u0111\u1eafp cho nh\u1eefng s\u1ef1 r\u00fat lui c\u1ee5 th\u1ec3. Ch\u1eb3ng h\u1ea1n, trong h\u01a1n 15 n\u0103m, Li\u00ean H\u1ee3p Qu\u1ed1c \u0111\u00e3 cung c\u1ea5p h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 h\u1eadu c\u1ea7n cho m\u1ed9t l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 c\u1ee7a Li\u00ean minh ch\u00e2u Phi t\u1ea1i Somalia nh\u1eb1m ch\u1ed1ng l\u1ea1i al-Shabab. S\u1ee9 m\u1ec7nh n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng trong vi\u1ec7c gi\u00fap chi\u1ebfm v\u00e0 gi\u1eef l\u00e3nh th\u1ed5. Nh\u01b0ng v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng B\u1ea3y, ch\u00ednh quy\u1ec1n Trump tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 s\u1ebd ng\u0103n Li\u00ean H\u1ee3p Qu\u1ed1c ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c cung c\u1ea5p h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 h\u1eadu c\u1ea7n cho s\u1ee9 m\u1ec7nh. \u0110\u1ed9ng th\u00e1i n\u00e0y nhi\u1ec1u kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng s\u1ebd th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y s\u1ef1 can d\u1ef1 l\u1edbn h\u01a1n n\u1eefa c\u1ee7a Th\u1ed5 Nh\u0129 K\u1ef3, b\u00ean b\u1ea3o tr\u1ee3 h\u00e0ng \u0111\u1ea7u c\u1ee7a ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 Somalia, c\u00f9ng c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u1ed3ng minh kh\u00e1c.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Vi\u1ec7c v\u00f9ng S\u1eebng ch\u00e2u Phi t\u00e1i h\u1ed9i nh\u1eadp v\u1edbi \u0110\u1ea1i Trung \u0110\u00f4ng v\u1ec1 b\u1ea3n ch\u1ea5t kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t xu h\u01b0\u1edbng ti\u00eau c\u1ef1c. C\u00e1c nh\u00e0 l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o v\u00f9ng S\u1eebng c\u00f3 l\u00fd khi mu\u1ed1n \u0111a d\u1ea1ng h\u00f3a \u0111\u1ed3ng minh.<\/strong> C\u00e1c kho\u1ea3n \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 t\u1eeb nh\u1eefng n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf do nh\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc d\u1eabn d\u1eaft \u1edf v\u00f9ng V\u1ecbnh \u0111\u00e3 mang l\u1ea1i cho c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00f9ng S\u1eebng ch\u00e2u Phi m\u1ed9t ngu\u1ed3n h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 kinh t\u1ebf quan tr\u1ecdng, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t trong l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c h\u1ea1 t\u1ea7ng. C\u00e1c th\u1ee7 \u0111\u00f4 Trung \u0110\u00f4ng c\u0169ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u00f3ng vai tr\u00f2 l\u00e0 nh\u1eefng trung t\u00e2m then ch\u1ed1t cho ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng h\u00f2a gi\u1ea3i xung \u0111\u1ed9t. Ch\u1eb3ng h\u1ea1n, n\u0103m 2024, Erdogan \u0111\u00e3 l\u00e0m trung gian cho m\u1ed9t th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn h\u00f2a ho\u00e3n gi\u1eefa Ethiopia v\u00e0 Somalia.<\/p>\n\n\n

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Ng\u01b0\u1eddi d\u00e2n Sudan ph\u1ea3i d\u1eddi b\u1ecf ch\u1ed7 \u1edf \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111i t\u1ecb n\u1ea1n<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

Nh\u01b0ng hi\u1ec7n nay, nh\u1eefng l\u1ee3i \u00edch \u0111\u00f3 \u0111ang b\u1ecb l\u1ea5n \u00e1t b\u1edfi th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf r\u1eb1ng qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh h\u1ed9i nh\u1eadp gi\u1eefa hai khu v\u1ef1c ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu di\u1ec5n ra th\u00f4ng qua chi\u1ebfn tranh \u1ee7y nhi\u1ec7m v\u00e0 v\u0169 kh\u00ed. V\u1ed1n d\u0129 kh\u00f3 c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng v\u00f9ng S\u1eebng ch\u00e2u Phi v\u00e0 Trung \u0110\u00f4ng ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c t\u00e1ch bi\u1ec7t nh\u01b0 trong th\u1ebf k\u1ef7 20. Trong ph\u1ea7n l\u1edbn l\u1ecbch s\u1eed, Bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u1ecf \u0111\u00e3 k\u1ebft n\u1ed1i c\u00e1c x\u00e3 h\u1ed9i \u1edf hai b\u00ean b\u1edd, v\u00e0 ng\u00e0y nay \u0111\u1ecba l\u00fd \u0111ang m\u1ed9t l\u1ea7n n\u1eefa kh\u1eb3ng \u0111\u1ecbnh vai tr\u00f2 c\u1ee7a n\u00f3. M\u1ed1i nguy l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t s\u1ebd xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n n\u1ebfu m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 Trung \u0110\u00f4ng ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c h\u00e0nh x\u1eed nh\u01b0 th\u1ec3 h\u1ecd c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 h\u1eadu thu\u1eabn c\u00e1c phe tham chi\u1ebfn kh\u00e1c nhau \u1edf v\u00f9ng S\u1eebng ch\u00e2u Phi m\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i g\u00e1nh ch\u1ecbu h\u1eadu qu\u1ea3, v\u00e0 n\u1ebfu c\u00e1c ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 v\u00f9ng S\u1eebng ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu t\u00ecm ki\u1ebfm s\u1ef1 b\u1ea3o tr\u1ee3 t\u1eeb Trung \u0110\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ec3 t\u1ef1 trang b\u1ecb v\u0169 kh\u00ed ch\u1ed1ng l\u1ea1i c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed1i th\u1ee7 \u0111\u1ecba ph\u01b0\u01a1ng.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u0110\u1ec3 ch\u1eb7n \u0111\u1ee9ng qu\u1ef9 \u0111\u1ea1o n\u00e0y, \u1ea2 R\u1eadp Saudi v\u00e0 UAE c\u1ea7n nh\u1ea5t tr\u00ed c\u00f9ng nhau h\u1ea1 nhi\u1ec7t c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c xung \u0111\u1ed9t t\u1ea1i v\u00f9ng S\u1eebng ch\u00e2u Phi tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn khu v\u1ef1c m\u1edbi b\u00f9ng n\u1ed5<\/strong>. \u0110\u1ed1i v\u1edbi Sudan, hai n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00ean l\u00f9i l\u1ea1i kh\u1ecfi nh\u1eefng y\u00eau s\u00e1ch t\u1ed1i \u0111a v\u00e0 g\u00e2y s\u1ee9c \u00e9p bu\u1ed9c c\u00e1c b\u00ean tham chi\u1ebfn m\u00e0 m\u00ecnh h\u1eadu thu\u1eabn ch\u1ea5p nh\u1eadn m\u1ed9t l\u1ec7nh ng\u1eebng b\u1eafn v\u00e0 m\u1ed9t ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 chuy\u1ec3n ti\u1ebfp. \u1ea2 R\u1eadp Saudi v\u00e0 UAE c\u0169ng c\u1ea7n ph\u1ed1i h\u1ee3p \u0111\u1ec3 ng\u0103n ch\u1eb7n m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn xuy\u00ean bi\u00ean gi\u1edbi m\u1edbi li\u00ean quan \u0111\u1ebfn Ethiopia: Abu Dhabi c\u1ea7n can ng\u0103n m\u1ecdi n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c c\u1ee7a Ethiopia nh\u1eb1m m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn v\u1edbi TPLF sang Eritrea v\u00e0 t\u1edbi t\u1eadn b\u1edd Bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u1ecf, trong khi Riyadh n\u00ean ng\u0103n c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed3ng minh ch\u1ee7 ch\u1ed1t c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh l\u00e0 Ai C\u1eadp, Eritrea v\u00e0 Sudan can thi\u1ec7p v\u00e0o n\u1ed9i b\u1ed9 Ethiopia.<\/mark><\/strong> Hai n\u01b0\u1edbc c\u0169ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 c\u00f9ng nhau kh\u1edfi \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ea1i c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n k\u00edn gi\u1eefa ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 Somalia \u1edf Mogadishu v\u00e0 ch\u00ednh quy\u1ec1n Somaliland t\u1ea1i Hargeisa v\u1ec1 tranh ch\u1ea5p k\u00e9o d\u00e0i gi\u1eefa hai b\u00ean.<\/strong> Trong khi \u0111\u00f3, c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o t\u1ea1i ch\u00ednh v\u00f9ng S\u1eebng ch\u00e2u Phi c\u00f3 kinh nghi\u1ec7m qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd nh\u1eefng m\u1ed1i quan h\u1ec7 th\u00f9 \u0111\u1ecbch gi\u1eefa c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia \u0111\u1ec3 ch\u00fang \u00e2m \u1ec9 thay v\u00ec b\u00f9ng ph\u00e1t th\u00e0nh xung \u0111\u1ed9t khu v\u1ef1c c\u00f4ng khai. H\u1ecd n\u00ean ngay l\u1eadp t\u1ee9c tri\u1ec7u t\u1eadp m\u1ed9t h\u1ed9i ngh\u1ecb th\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u0111\u1ec9nh khu v\u1ef1c gi\u1eefa c\u00e1c nguy\u00ean th\u1ee7 v\u00f9ng S\u1eebng ch\u00e2u Phi, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi khuy\u1ebfn kh\u00edch c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed3ng minh Trung \u0110\u00f4ng c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh \u00e1p d\u1ee5ng m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn t\u1eadp th\u1ec3 h\u01a1n \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi an ninh khu v\u1ef1c.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

M\u1ed9t phi\u00ean b\u1ea3n h\u1ed9i nh\u1eadp kh\u00e1c, t\u1ed3i t\u1ec7 h\u01a1n, c\u0169ng ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 x\u1ea3y ra. UAE v\u00e0 \u1ea2 R\u1eadp Saudi c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 nh\u1eefng v\u1ecb th\u1ebf ri\u00eang t\u1ea1i v\u00f9ng S\u1eebng ch\u00e2u Phi ngay c\u1ea3 khi hai th\u1ee7 \u0111\u00f4 h\u00e0n g\u1eafn \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed3ng. Nh\u1eefng c\u1ea1nh tranh kh\u00e1c gi\u1eefa c\u00e1c c\u01b0\u1eddng qu\u1ed1c Trung \u0110\u00f4ng, ch\u1eb3ng h\u1ea1n gi\u1eefa Th\u1ed5 Nh\u0129 K\u1ef3 v\u00e0 Qatar \u1edf m\u1ed9t ph\u00eda v\u1edbi Israel v\u00e0 UAE \u1edf ph\u00eda kia, c\u0169ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0m s\u00e2u s\u1eafc th\u00eam c\u00e1c \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u1ee9t g\u00e3y n\u1ed9i b\u1ed9 c\u1ee7a v\u00f9ng S\u1eebng.<\/mark><\/strong> B\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch n\u00e0y hay c\u00e1ch kh\u00e1c, vi\u1ec7c v\u00f9ng S\u1eebng ch\u00e2u Phi quay tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i v\u0169ng l\u1ea7y xung \u0111\u1ed9t c\u1ee7a Trung \u0110\u00f4ng nhi\u1ec1u kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng l\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea3o ng\u01b0\u1ee3c. C\u00e2u h\u1ecfi gi\u1edd \u0111\u00e2y l\u00e0 li\u1ec7u c\u00e1c c\u01b0\u1eddng qu\u1ed1c kh\u00e1c nhau c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u00ecm \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00e1ch qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd nh\u1eefng l\u1ee3i \u00edch kh\u00e1c bi\u1ec7t \u0111\u1ec3 xoa d\u1ecbu xung \u0111\u1ed9t hay kh\u00f4ng, hay li\u1ec7u, h\u1ebft cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn n\u00e0y \u0111\u1ebfn cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn kh\u00e1c, h\u1ecd s\u1ebd ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c nh\u1eadn ra r\u1eb1ng nh\u1eefng xung \u0111\u1ed9t ph\u00e1t \u0111\u1ed9ng \u1edf m\u1ed9t b\u00ean Bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u1ecf kh\u00f4ng c\u00f2n b\u1ecb gi\u1edbi h\u1ea1n t\u1ea1i \u0111\u00f3 n\u1eefa, khi\u1ebfn h\u00e0ng tri\u1ec7u d\u00e2n th\u01b0\u1eddng tr\u00ean kh\u1eafp v\u00f9ng S\u1eebng ch\u00e2u Phi ph\u1ea3i tr\u1ea3 gi\u00e1.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Alan Boswell <\/strong>
Gi\u00e1m \u0111\u1ed1c D\u1ef1 \u00e1n ph\u1ee5 tr\u00e1ch v\u00f9ng S\u1eebng ch\u00e2u Phi t\u1ea1i T\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c Nh\u00f3m Kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng Qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf (International Crisis Group) v\u00e0 l\u00e0 ng\u01b0\u1eddi d\u1eabn ch\u01b0\u01a1ng tr\u00ecnh The Horn, m\u1ed9t trong c\u00e1c podcast c\u1ee7a t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c n\u00e0y.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ngu\u1ed3n tr\u00edch: Nghi\u00ean C\u1ee9u Qu\u1ed1c T\u1ebf<\/strong>
https:\/\/nghiencuuquocte.org\/2026\/10\/14\/nhung-cuoc-chien-moi-tai-khu-vuc-bien-do\/#more-69095<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u1ea2nh minh h\u1ecda: V\u1eadn H\u1ed9i M\u1edbi<\/strong><\/p>\n

<\/div>

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<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Ngu\u1ed3n: Alan Boswell, \u201cThe New Red Sea Wars\u201d, Foreign Affairs, 06\/10\/2026 Bi\u00ean d\u1ecbch: Vi\u00ean \u0110\u0103ng Huy Ng\u00e0y 3 th\u00e1ng S\u00e1u, Ngo\u1ea1i tr\u01b0\u1edfng M\u1ef9 Marco Rubio n\u00f3i v\u1edbi Qu\u1ed1c h\u1ed9i r\u1eb1ng cu\u1ed9c xung \u0111\u1ed9t \u0111\u00e3 ho\u00e0nh h\u00e0nh su\u1ed1t ba n\u0103m t\u1ea1i Sudan gi\u1edd \u0111\u00e2y l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t \u201ccu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn \u1ee7y nhi\u1ec7m\u201d, \u0111\u1ed3ng\u0111\u1ecdc ti\u1ebfp…<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":29818,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[7,769,8,12,9],"tags":[165,118,212,883,82,882,642,740,207,226],"class_list":["entry","author-ntviet","post-29763","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-binhluan","category-chien-tranh","category-chinhtri-xahoi","category-chuyenmuc","category-kinhte","tag-binh-luan","tag-chinh-tri","tag-chuyen-de","tag-khung-hoang-nhan-dao","tag-kinh-te","tag-luc-luong-rsf","tag-noi-chien","tag-sudan","tag-trung-dong","tag-xa-hoi"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29763","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=29763"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29763\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":29824,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29763\/revisions\/29824"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/29818"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=29763"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=29763"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=29763"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}