{"id":29805,"date":"2026-10-26T04:13:18","date_gmt":"2026-10-26T04:13:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/?p=29805"},"modified":"2026-10-27T07:02:41","modified_gmt":"2026-10-27T07:02:41","slug":"dang-sau-su-banh-truong-quan-su-cua-trung-quoc-tai-dong-nam-a","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/?p=29805","title":{"rendered":"\u0110\u1eb1ng sau s\u1ef1 b\u00e0nh tr\u01b0\u1edbng qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c t\u1ea1i \u0110\u00f4ng Nam \u00c1<\/strong>
Lucas Myers<\/span>"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
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__________________________<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Ngu\u1ed3n:<\/strong> Lucas Myers, \u201cChina\u2019s Military Expansion in Southeast Asia Masks a More Complicated Reality\u201d, War on the Rocks<\/em><\/mark><\/strong>, 15\/10\/2026<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bi\u00ean d\u1ecbch:<\/strong> Vi\u00ean \u0110\u0103ng Huy<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Th\u00f4ng b\u00e1o c\u1ee7a B\u1ed9 Qu\u1ed1c ph\u00f2ng Trung Qu\u1ed1c ng\u00e0y 29\/9 v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c th\u00e0nh l\u1eadp m\u1ed9t \u201ctrung t\u00e2m hu\u1ea5n luy\u1ec7n v\u00e0 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 chung\u201d t\u1ea1i s\u00e2n bay Ban Keun \u1edf L\u00e0o \u0111\u00e3 thu h\u00fat s\u1ef1 ch\u00fa \u00fd \u0111\u1ebfn s\u1ef1 hi\u1ec7n di\u1ec7n qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a Qu\u00e2n Gi\u1ea3i ph\u00f3ng Nh\u00e2n d\u00e2n Trung Qu\u1ed1c (PLA) t\u1ea1i \u0110\u00f4ng Nam \u00c1.<\/strong> M\u1eb7c d\u00f9 Trung Qu\u1ed1c kh\u00f4ng g\u1ecdi c\u01a1 s\u1edf n\u00e0y l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t \u201cc\u0103n c\u1ee9\u201d v\u00e0 kh\u1eb3ng \u0111\u1ecbnh n\u00f3 \u201ckh\u00f4ng nh\u1eb1m v\u00e0o b\u1ea5t k\u1ef3 b\u00ean th\u1ee9 ba n\u00e0o\u201d, \u0111\u00e2y v\u1eabn l\u00e0 c\u01a1 s\u1edf qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean \u1edf n\u01b0\u1edbc ngo\u00e0i t\u1eadp trung v\u00e0o s\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh kh\u00f4ng qu\u00e2n m\u00e0 B\u1eafc Kinh c\u00f4ng khai th\u1eeba nh\u1eadn. Ban Keun, c\u00f9ng v\u1edbi Djibouti v\u00e0 C\u0103n c\u1ee9 H\u1ea3i qu\u00e2n Ream \u1edf Campuchia, \u0111ang t\u1ea1o th\u00e0nh nh\u1eefng m\u1eaft x\u00edch trong m\u1ea1ng l\u01b0\u1edbi c\u01a1 s\u1edf h\u1ea1 t\u1ea7ng an ninh ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u1edf n\u01b0\u1edbc ngo\u00e0i.<\/mark><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nh\u1eefng lo ng\u1ea1i v\u1ec1 di\u1ec5n bi\u1ebfn n\u00e0y l\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec1u d\u1ec5 hi\u1ec3u. M\u1eb7c d\u00f9 c\u00f3 quy m\u00f4 nh\u1ecf h\u01a1n c\u0103n c\u1ee9 c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c t\u1ea1i Djibouti, h\u00ecnh \u1ea3nh v\u1ec7 tinh cho th\u1ea5y t\u00e1m m\u00e1y bay t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng h\u1ea1ng nh\u1eb9 c\u00f9ng c\u00e1c ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ti\u1ec7n h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n tr\u00ean \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng b\u0103ng d\u00e0i 2.000 m hi\u1ec7n v\u1eabn \u0111ang \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng. D\u00f9 ch\u01b0a \u0111\u1ee7 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 c\u00e1c m\u00e1y bay n\u00e9m bom t\u1ea7m xa, c\u01a1 s\u1edf n\u00e0y nhi\u1ec1u kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng s\u1ebd gi\u00fap t\u0103ng c\u01b0\u1eddng n\u0103ng l\u1ef1c h\u1eadu c\u1ea7n v\u00e0 t\u00ecnh b\u00e1o c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c, \u0111a d\u1ea1ng h\u00f3a kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn c\u0103n c\u1ee9 t\u1ea1i \u0110\u00f4ng Nam \u00c1 thay v\u00ec ch\u1ec9 d\u1ef1a v\u00e0o Campuchia, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi \u0111\u01b0a L\u00e0o tham gia s\u00e2u h\u01a1n v\u00e0o m\u1ea1ng l\u01b0\u1edbi mua b\u00e1n v\u0169 kh\u00ed c\u1ee7a B\u1eafc Kinh.<\/strong> V\u1ec1 l\u00e2u d\u00e0i, trung t\u00e2m h\u1ed7n h\u1ee3p n\u00e0y c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u0103ng c\u01b0\u1eddng kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng tri\u1ec3n khai s\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 c\u1ee7a Kh\u00f4ng qu\u00e2n Trung Qu\u1ed1c tr\u00ean kh\u1eafp \u0110\u00f4ng Nam \u00c1 l\u1ee5c \u0111\u1ecba, qua \u0111\u00f3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn c\u00e1c l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng M\u1ef9 ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng \u1edf ph\u00eda \u0111\u00f4ng \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 D\u01b0\u01a1ng. \u0110\u1ed1i v\u1edbi Vi\u1ec7t Nam, di\u1ec5n bi\u1ebfn n\u00e0y c\u00e0ng l\u00e0m gia t\u0103ng c\u1ea3m gi\u00e1c b\u1ecb bao v\u00e2y v\u1ec1 m\u1eb7t chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c.<\/p>\n\n\n

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C\u0103n c\u1ee9 kh\u00f4ng qu\u00e2n m\u1edbi c\u1ee7a Trung C\u1ed9ng t\u1ea1i L\u00e0o, S\u00e2n bay Ban Keun<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

Ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng g\u1ea7n nh\u01b0 mang t\u00ednh b\u1ea3n n\u0103ng c\u1ee7a nhi\u1ec1u nh\u00e0 ho\u1ea1ch \u0111\u1ecbnh ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch t\u1ea1i Washington m\u1ed7i khi xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n th\u00f4ng tin \u0111\u1ed3n \u0111o\u00e1n ho\u1eb7c th\u00f4ng b\u00e1o v\u1ec1 m\u1ed9t c\u01a1 s\u1edf qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 m\u1edbi c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u1edf n\u01b0\u1edbc ngo\u00e0i l\u00e0 nh\u00ecn nh\u1eadn s\u1ef1 vi\u1ec7c qua l\u0103ng k\u00ednh c\u1ea1nh tranh M\u1ef9 \u2013 Trung. Trong tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p C\u0103n c\u1ee9 H\u1ea3i qu\u00e2n Ream t\u1ea1i Campuchia, Washington \u0111\u00e3 \u00e1p \u0111\u1eb7t c\u00e1c bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u00e1p tr\u1ea3. Tuy nhi\u00ean, c\u00e1ch ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng n\u00e0y cho th\u1ea5y M\u1ef9 ch\u01b0a hi\u1ec3u \u0111\u00fang nh\u1eefng l\u1ee3i \u00edch \u0111a d\u1ea1ng v\u00e0 ph\u1ee9c t\u1ea1p \u0111ang th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c trong khu v\u1ef1c h\u1ee3p t\u00e1c v\u1edbi Trung Qu\u1ed1c, c\u0169ng nh\u01b0 c\u00e1ch th\u1ee9c \u1ee9ng ph\u00f3 hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 v\u1edbi xu h\u01b0\u1edbng \u0111\u00f3.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

M\u1eb7c d\u00f9 c\u01a1 s\u1edf h\u00e0ng kh\u00f4ng t\u1ea1i L\u00e0o cho th\u1ea5y s\u1ef1 hi\u1ec7n di\u1ec7n an ninh ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng l\u1edbn c\u1ee7a B\u1eafc Kinh t\u1ea1i \u0110\u00f4ng Nam \u00c1, \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia x\u00edch l\u1ea1i g\u1ea7n Trung Qu\u1ed1c l\u1ea1i b\u1eaft ngu\u1ed3n t\u1eeb nh\u1eefng nh\u1eadn th\u1ee9c kh\u00e1c nhau v\u1ec1 c\u00e1c m\u1ed1i \u0111e d\u1ecda, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t l\u00e0 an ninh ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9 v\u00e0 nh\u1eefng lo ng\u1ea1i trong n\u1ed9i b\u1ed9 ASEAN, thay v\u00ec t\u1eeb s\u1ef1 \u0111\u1ed1i \u0111\u1ea7u ki\u1ec3u Chi\u1ebfn tranh L\u1ea1nh gi\u1eefa M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 Trung Qu\u1ed1c. C\u00e1c ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 trong khu v\u1ef1c v\u1eabn ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c theo \u0111u\u1ed5i chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00e2n b\u1eb1ng quan h\u1ec7 nh\u1eb1m ph\u00f2ng ng\u1eeba r\u1ee7i ro, qua \u0111\u00f3 \u0111\u1ec3 ng\u1ecf c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i cho M\u1ef9 c\u1ea1nh tranh hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 v\u1edbi B\u1eafc Kinh.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

S\u1ef1 hi\u1ec7n di\u1ec7n an ninh ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c t\u1ea1i \u0110\u00f4ng Nam \u00c1<\/h4>\n\n\n\n

So v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 can d\u1ef1 an ninh c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 trong khu v\u1ef1c, s\u1ef1 hi\u1ec7n di\u1ec7n c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u1eabn c\u00f2n h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf h\u01a1n, nh\u01b0ng \u0111ang ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng. Trung Qu\u1ed1c ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 h\u00f3a c\u00e1c th\u1ef1c th\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ecba l\u00fd t\u1ea1i Bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u00f4ng. \u1ede \u0110\u00f4ng Nam \u00c1 l\u1ee5c \u0111\u1ecba, s\u00e2n bay qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 t\u1ea1i L\u00e0o b\u1ed5 sung v\u00e0o m\u1ea1ng l\u01b0\u1edbi hi\u1ec7n di\u1ec7n qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 c\u1ee7a B\u1eafc Kinh b\u00ean c\u1ea1nh C\u0103n c\u1ee9 H\u1ea3i qu\u00e2n Ream \u1edf Campuchia, c\u01a1 s\u1edf \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u01b0a v\u00e0o ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng n\u0103m 2025, ch\u00ednh th\u1ee9c thu\u1ed9c quy\u1ec1n ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t c\u1ee7a Campuchia v\u00e0 l\u00e0 n\u01a1i c\u00e1c l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng h\u1ea3i qu\u00e2n lu\u00e2n phi\u00ean tri\u1ec3n khai.<\/strong> Campuchia, L\u00e0o v\u00e0 Th\u00e1i Lan n\u1ed5i b\u1eadt nh\u1edd m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 g\u1eafn k\u1ebft s\u00e2u r\u1ed9ng trong quan h\u1ec7 qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 v\u1edbi B\u1eafc Kinh, trong khi Indonesia, Malaysia v\u00e0 Th\u00e1i Lan g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y \u0111\u00e3 thi\u1ebft l\u1eadp c\u00e1c c\u01a1 ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed1i tho\u1ea1i 2+2 v\u1edbi Trung Qu\u1ed1c, c\u00f3 s\u1ef1 tham gia c\u1ee7a b\u1ed9 tr\u01b0\u1edfng ngo\u1ea1i giao v\u00e0 qu\u1ed1c ph\u00f2ng hai b\u00ean. Xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u v\u0169 kh\u00ed c\u0169ng l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c \u0111ang ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n m\u1ea1nh c\u1ee7a B\u1eafc Kinh. Indonesia d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn ti\u1ebfp nh\u1eadn c\u00e1c m\u00e1y bay chi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ea5u J-10, trong khi Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111\u00e3 v\u01b0\u1ee3t qua M\u1ef9 \u0111\u1ec3 tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh nh\u00e0 cung c\u1ea5p v\u0169 kh\u00ed ch\u00ednh cho Bangkok.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Tuy nhi\u00ean, l\u1ee3i th\u1ebf so s\u00e1nh l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c so v\u1edbi M\u1ef9 n\u1eb1m \u1edf kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 b\u1ea3o \u0111\u1ea3m an ninh ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9. S\u00e1ng ki\u1ebfn An ninh To\u00e0n c\u1ea7u<\/mark>, m\u1ed9t trong b\u1ed1n khu\u00f4n kh\u1ed5 h\u1ee3p t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed1i ngo\u1ea1i do B\u1eafc Kinh th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y, cam k\u1ebft cung c\u1ea5p h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 v\u1ec1 an ninh n\u1ed9i b\u1ed9 cho c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c theo ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9 chuy\u00ean ch\u1ebf, <\/mark>qua \u0111\u00f3 t\u0103ng c\u01b0\u1eddng n\u0103ng l\u1ef1c nh\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y nh\u1eefng chu\u1ea9n m\u1ef1c qu\u1ea3n tr\u1ecb m\u00e0 Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9.<\/strong> Campuchia, L\u00e0o, ch\u00ednh quy\u1ec1n qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 Myanmar v\u00e0 Vi\u1ec7t Nam \u0111\u1ec1u \u0111\u00e3 ch\u00ednh th\u1ee9c tham gia s\u00e1ng ki\u1ebfn n\u00e0y. M\u1eb7c d\u00f9 Bangkok v\u1eabn \u0111\u1ee9ng ngo\u00e0i khu\u00f4n kh\u1ed5 \u0111\u00f3, ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng h\u1ee3p t\u00e1c v\u1ec1 an ninh n\u1ed9i b\u1ed9 v\u00e0 c\u1ea3nh s\u00e1t, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t nh\u1eb1m v\u00e0o c\u00e1c trung t\u00e2m l\u1eeba \u0111\u1ea3o t\u1ea1i Myanmar, v\u1eabn ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh m\u1ed1i quan h\u1ec7 qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 n\u1ed3ng \u1ea5m gi\u1eefa Th\u00e1i Lan v\u00e0 PLA.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Do \u0110\u1ea3ng C\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n Trung Qu\u1ed1c theo \u0111u\u1ed5i quan ni\u1ec7m an ninh to\u00e0n di\u1ec7n, trong \u0111\u00f3 s\u1ef1 l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ea3ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u1ed3ng nh\u1ea5t v\u1edbi an ninh qu\u1ed1c gia, c\u00e1c th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn v\u1ec1 an ninh n\u1ed9i b\u1ed9 th\u01b0\u1eddng m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng sang h\u1ee3p t\u00e1c qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 b\u00ean ngo\u00e0i. \u0110\u00e1ng ch\u00fa \u00fd, n\u0103m 2026, B\u1eafc Kinh \u0111\u00e3 n\u00e2ng c\u1ea5p c\u01a1 ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed1i tho\u1ea1i an ninh 2+2 v\u1edbi Campuchia, L\u00e0o v\u00e0 Vi\u1ec7t Nam l\u00ean th\u00e0nh 3+3 b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch b\u1ed5 sung c\u00e1c c\u01a1 quan ph\u1ee5 tr\u00e1ch an ninh n\u1ed9i b\u1ed9. \u0110\u1ed1i v\u1edbi m\u1ed7i ch\u00ednh quy\u1ec1n n\u00e0y, s\u1ef1 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 v\u1ec1 an ninh n\u1ed9i b\u1ed9 t\u1eeb Trung Qu\u1ed1c c\u00f3 \u00fd ngh\u0129a \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t quan tr\u1ecdng, b\u1edfi B\u1eafc Kinh c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 chuy\u1ec3n giao nh\u1eefng kinh nghi\u1ec7m v\u00e0 n\u0103ng l\u1ef1c \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 trong l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c gi\u00e1m s\u00e1t c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 cao v\u00e0 ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u1ef1c thi ph\u00e1p lu\u1eadt mang t\u00ednh b\u00e1n qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1. Tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p Vi\u1ec7t Nam cho th\u1ea5y h\u1ee3p t\u00e1c an ninh n\u1ed9i b\u1ed9 gi\u00fap l\u00fd gi\u1ea3i ph\u1ea7n n\u00e0o ngh\u1ecbch l\u00fd trong c\u00e1ch ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn Trung Qu\u1ed1c: d\u00f9 B\u1eafc Kinh \u0111e d\u1ecda c\u00e1c y\u00eau s\u00e1ch c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7t Nam t\u1ea1i Bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u00f4ng, Trung Qu\u1ed1c nhi\u1ec1u kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng t\u00ecm c\u00e1ch l\u1eadt \u0111\u1ed5 \u0110\u1ea3ng C\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n Vi\u1ec7t Nam, trong khi m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c c\u00e1ch m\u1ea1ng l\u1ea1i c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn \u0111i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00f3.<\/p>\n\n\n

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C\u1ea3ng Ream c\u1ee7a Cam B\u1ed1t th\u00e0nh qu\u00e2n c\u1ea3ng v\u1edbi t\u00e0u chi\u1ebfn c\u1ee7a TC<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

T\u0103ng c\u01b0\u1eddng quan h\u1ec7 an ninh kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ed3ng ngh\u0129a v\u1edbi li\u00ean k\u1ebft chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c<\/h4>\n\n\n\n

N\u1ebfu nh\u00ecn qua l\u0103ng k\u00ednh c\u1ea1nh tranh M\u1ef9 \u2013 Trung, ng\u01b0\u1eddi ta c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 cho r\u1eb1ng s\u1ef1 hi\u1ec7n di\u1ec7n an ninh ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c t\u1ea1i \u0110\u00f4ng Nam \u00c1 \u0111\u1ed3ng ngh\u0129a v\u1edbi vi\u1ec7c Washington b\u1ecb suy gi\u1ea3m \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng. M\u1ef9 \u0111ang b\u1ecb ph\u00e2n t\u00e1n s\u1ef1 ch\u00fa \u00fd v\u00e0 ch\u01b0a \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 t\u01b0\u01a1ng x\u1ee9ng v\u00e0o \u0110\u00f4ng Nam \u00c1, trong khi quan h\u1ec7 an ninh ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng s\u00e2u s\u1eafc c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 v\u1ecb th\u1ebf th\u1ed1ng tr\u1ecb kinh t\u1ebf g\u1ea7n nh\u01b0 kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 th\u00e1ch th\u1ee9c c\u1ee7a n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y. Cu\u1ed9c kh\u1ea3o s\u00e1t th\u01b0\u1eddng ni\u00ean n\u0103m 2026 c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7n ISEAS t\u1ea1i Singapore \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi gi\u1edbi tinh hoa ASEAN cho th\u1ea5y \u0111a s\u1ed1 ng\u01b0\u1eddi \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c h\u1ecfi s\u1ebd \u0111\u1ee9ng v\u1ec1 ph\u00eda B\u1eafc Kinh n\u1ebfu bu\u1ed9c ph\u1ea3i l\u1ef1a ch\u1ecdn m\u1ed9t b\u00ean \u0111\u1ec3 li\u00ean k\u1ebft.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Tuy nhi\u00ean, c\u1ee5c di\u1ec7n \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb \u0110\u00f4ng Nam \u00c1 v\u1eabn li\u00ean t\u1ee5c bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng<\/strong>. C\u00e1c m\u1ed1i quan h\u1ec7 li\u00ean k\u1ebft trong khu v\u1ef1c mang nhi\u1ec1u chi\u1ec1u c\u1ea1nh v\u00e0 cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng ch\u1ec9 c\u00f3 t\u00ednh t\u1ea1m th\u1eddi, do m\u1ea1ng l\u01b0\u1edbi nh\u1eadn th\u1ee9c v\u1ec1 m\u1ed1i \u0111e d\u1ecda r\u1ea5t ph\u1ee9c t\u1ea1p, bao g\u1ed3m c\u1ea3 nh\u1eefng lo ng\u1ea1i \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi ch\u00ednh Trung Qu\u1ed1c. Tr\u00ean th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf, kh\u1ea3o s\u00e1t n\u0103m 2025 c\u1ee7a ISEAS cho th\u1ea5y \u0111a s\u1ed1 ng\u01b0\u1eddi \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c h\u1ecfi s\u1ebd l\u1ef1a ch\u1ecdn \u0111\u1ee9ng v\u1ec1 ph\u00eda M\u1ef9, c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 do c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng t\u1ea1i Bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u00f4ng gia t\u0103ng tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i. N\u0103m 2024, Trung Qu\u1ed1c d\u1eabn tr\u01b0\u1edbc v\u1edbi t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 50,5%, sau nh\u1eefng n\u0103m M\u1ef9 chi\u1ebfm \u01b0u th\u1ebf, nhi\u1ec1u kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng do s\u1ef1 \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 c\u1ee7a Washington d\u00e0nh cho Israel. Thay v\u00ec ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh nh\u1eefng chuy\u1ec3n d\u1ecbch b\u1ec1n v\u1eefng trong xu h\u01b0\u1edbng li\u00ean k\u1ebft chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1ee7a khu v\u1ef1c, k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 kh\u1ea3o s\u00e1t ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu cho th\u1ea5y ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng t\u1ee9c th\u1eddi tr\u01b0\u1edbc nh\u1eefng s\u1ef1 ki\u1ec7n c\u1ee5 th\u1ec3. Th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf, khi \u0111i s\u00e2u v\u00e0o nh\u1eefng n\u1ed9i dung kh\u00e1c c\u1ee7a kh\u1ea3o s\u00e1t, ch\u1eb3ng h\u1ea1n c\u00e1c s\u1ef1 ki\u1ec7n \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc ASEAN xem l\u00e0 m\u1ed1i quan ng\u1ea1i h\u00e0ng \u0111\u1ea7u, c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 th\u1ea5y r\u1ea5t \u00edt s\u1ef1 \u0111\u1ed3ng thu\u1eadn v\u1ec1 nh\u1eefng m\u1ed1i \u0111e d\u1ecda \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c cho l\u00e0 chi ph\u1ed1i l\u1ef1a ch\u1ecdn li\u00ean k\u1ebft c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ch\u00ednh nh\u1eadn th\u1ee9c \u0111a d\u1ea1ng v\u00e0 li\u00ean t\u1ee5c thay \u0111\u1ed5i v\u1ec1 c\u00e1c m\u1ed1i \u0111e d\u1ecda trong khu v\u1ef1c, ch\u1ee9 kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i c\u1ea1nh tranh gi\u1eefa c\u00e1c c\u01b0\u1eddng qu\u1ed1c, m\u1edbi l\u00e0 y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 l\u00fd gi\u1ea3i r\u00f5 h\u01a1n \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc t\u0103ng c\u01b0\u1eddng quan h\u1ec7 an ninh v\u1edbi Trung Qu\u1ed1c.<\/strong> M\u1eb7c d\u00f9 ASEAN t\u1ef1 nh\u1eadn \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u00f3ng vai tr\u00f2 gi\u1ea3m thi\u1ec3u xung \u0111\u1ed9t gi\u1eefa c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb th\u1eddi Chi\u1ebfn tranh L\u1ea1nh, m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 n\u01b0\u1edbc th\u00e0nh vi\u00ean l\u1ea1i lo ng\u1ea1i l\u1eabn nhau nhi\u1ec1u h\u01a1n c\u1ea3 Trung Qu\u1ed1c ho\u1eb7c M\u1ef9. \u0110\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi, h\u1ecd c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 coi B\u1eafc Kinh l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c trong m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c, nh\u01b0 an ninh n\u1ed9i b\u1ed9, nh\u01b0ng l\u1ea1i l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed1i th\u1ee7 trong nh\u1eefng l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c kh\u00e1c, ch\u1eb3ng h\u1ea1n tranh ch\u1ea5p tr\u00ean bi\u1ec3n. C\u00e1c ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 \u0110\u00f4ng Nam \u00c1 kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u00e0 M\u1ef9 ch\u1ec9 th\u00f4ng qua l\u0103ng k\u00ednh c\u1ea1nh tranh c\u01b0\u1eddng qu\u1ed1c. Thay v\u00e0o \u0111\u00f3, h\u00e0nh vi c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh nh\u1eefng t\u00ednh to\u00e1n lu\u00f4n thay \u0111\u1ed5i v\u1ec1 c\u00e1c m\u1ed1i \u0111e d\u1ecda t\u1eeb b\u00ean ngo\u00e0i, an ninh c\u1ee7a ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9 c\u1ea7m quy\u1ec1n v\u00e0 s\u1ef1 c\u1ea1nh tranh gi\u1eefa c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc trong khu v\u1ef1c.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

L\u00e0o, m\u1ed9t qu\u1ed1c gia kh\u00f4ng gi\u00e1p bi\u1ec3n v\u00e0 c\u0169ng theo ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9 c\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n, d\u01b0\u1eddng nh\u01b0 l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c t\u1ef1 nhi\u00ean c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c b\u1edfi n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y kh\u00f4ng coi B\u1eafc Kinh l\u00e0 m\u1ed1i \u0111e d\u1ecda an ninh tr\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp.<\/strong> Ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng hu\u1ea5n luy\u1ec7n v\u00e0 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 kh\u00f4ng qu\u00e2n gi\u00fap n\u00e2ng cao n\u0103ng l\u1ef1c c\u1ee7a ch\u00ednh L\u00e0o, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi b\u1ea3o \u0111\u1ea3m n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c nh\u1eadn \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 kinh t\u1ebf t\u1eeb Trung Qu\u1ed1c, b\u1ea5t ch\u1ea5p nh\u1eefng r\u1ee7i ro ph\u1ee5 thu\u1ed9c r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng. N\u1ebfu c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c B\u1eafc Kinh \u01b0u ti\u00ean nh\u1ea5t, L\u00e0o s\u1ebd c\u00f3 c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i h\u01b0\u1edfng l\u1ee3i.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

M\u1eb7c d\u00f9 th\u01b0\u1eddng b\u1ecb Washington xem th\u01b0\u1eddng v\u00e0 g\u1ecdi l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t \u201cqu\u1ed1c gia b\u00f9 nh\u00ecn c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c\u201d, m\u00f4i tr\u01b0\u1eddng an ninh khu v\u1ef1c m\u00e0 Campuchia ph\u1ea3i \u0111\u1ed1i m\u1eb7t nguy hi\u1ec3m h\u01a1n nhi\u1ec1u so v\u1edbi L\u00e0o. Ngo\u00e0i nh\u1eefng c\u00e2n nh\u1eafc v\u1ec1 an ninh ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9, m\u1ed9t ph\u1ea7n t\u00ednh to\u00e1n chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y Phnom Penh x\u00edch l\u1ea1i g\u1ea7n B\u1eafc Kinh l\u00e0 nh\u1eb1m ph\u00f2ng ng\u1eeba nh\u1eefng m\u1ed1i \u0111e d\u1ecda an ninh ti\u1ec1m t\u00e0ng t\u1eeb hai n\u01b0\u1edbc l\u00e1ng gi\u1ec1ng Vi\u1ec7t Nam v\u00e0 Th\u00e1i Lan.<\/strong> N\u0103m 2025, tranh ch\u1ea5p l\u00e3nh th\u1ed5 d\u1ecdc bi\u00ean gi\u1edbi \u0111\u00e3 ch\u00e2m ng\u00f2i cho m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c xung \u0111\u1ed9t v\u0169 trang ng\u1eafn nh\u01b0ng d\u1eef d\u1ed9i gi\u1eefa Campuchia v\u00e0 Th\u00e1i Lan, k\u1ebft th\u00fac b\u1eb1ng m\u1ed9t th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn ng\u1eebng b\u1eafn mong manh. Nh\u1eefng c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng v\u1eabn \u00e2m \u1ec9 gi\u1eefa hai n\u01b0\u1edbc cho th\u1ea5y nguy c\u01a1 chi\u1ebfn tranh t\u00e1i di\u1ec5n, khi\u1ebfn Phnom Penh hy v\u1ecdng quan h\u1ec7 an ninh v\u1edbi Trung Qu\u1ed1c c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 b\u00f9 \u0111\u1eafp ph\u1ea7n n\u00e0o th\u1ebf y\u1ebfu t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ed1i tr\u01b0\u1edbc c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed1i th\u1ee7 truy\u1ec1n th\u1ed1ng, ho\u1eb7c \u00edt nh\u1ea5t duy tr\u00ec s\u1ef1 tham gia c\u1ee7a B\u1eafc Kinh v\u1edbi t\u01b0 c\u00e1ch m\u1ed9t b\u00ean trung gian h\u00f2a gi\u1ea3i th\u00e2n thi\u1ec7n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u0110\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c n\u00e0y, c\u00f9ng v\u1edbi s\u1ef1 thi\u1ebfu tin t\u01b0\u1edfng v\u00e0o vi\u1ec7c ph\u1ee5 thu\u1ed9c ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n v\u00e0o B\u1eafc Kinh, \u0111\u00e3 th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y Phnom Penh kh\u00f4i ph\u1ee5c quan h\u1ec7 v\u1edbi M\u1ef9 d\u01b0\u1edbi th\u1eddi ch\u00ednh quy\u1ec1n Trump, v\u1ed1n \u00edt ch\u00fa tr\u1ecdng \u0111\u1ebfn v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 nh\u00e2n quy\u1ec1n h\u01a1n c\u00e1c ch\u00ednh quy\u1ec1n M\u1ef9 tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00e2y. <\/strong>Sau m\u01b0\u1eddi n\u0103m gi\u00e1n \u0111o\u1ea1n, Washington v\u00e0 Phnom Penh d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn n\u1ed1i l\u1ea1i c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c t\u1eadp tr\u1eadn qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 chung v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2027. Campuchia c\u0169ng \u0111\u00f3n m\u1ed9t chuy\u1ebfn th\u0103m c\u1ee7a H\u1ea3i qu\u00e2n M\u1ef9 t\u1edbi C\u0103n c\u1ee9 H\u1ea3i qu\u00e2n Ream h\u1ed3i \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m nay, qua \u0111\u00f3 th\u1ec3 hi\u1ec7n r\u1eb1ng c\u0103n c\u1ee9 n\u00e0y thu\u1ed9c quy\u1ec1n ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t c\u1ee7a Campuchia ch\u1ee9 kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i Trung Qu\u1ed1c. \u0110\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi, Campuchia v\u1eabn ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng quan h\u1ec7 an ninh v\u1edbi c\u00e1c c\u01b0\u1eddng qu\u1ed1c kh\u00e1c, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t l\u00e0 Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

M\u1eb7c d\u00f9 gi\u1edbi tinh hoa Th\u00e1i Lan coi Trung Qu\u1ed1c l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u01b0u ti\u00ean, Bangkok c\u0169ng \u0111ang \u1edf trong m\u1ed9t t\u00ecnh th\u1ebf ph\u1ee9c t\u1ea1p t\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1<\/strong>. Vi\u1ec7c v\u0169 kh\u00ed Trung Qu\u1ed1c trong tay qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed9i Campuchia \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c tri\u1ec3n khai tr\u00ean chi\u1ebfn tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u00e3 tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh m\u1ed9t v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 g\u00e2y b\u1ea5t b\u00ecnh. Trong m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p, h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c c\u00f2n l\u00e0m d\u1ea5y l\u00ean lo ng\u1ea1i v\u1ec1 \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb c\u1ee7a n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y. Trong chi\u1ebfn d\u1ecbch chung tr\u1ea5n \u00e1p c\u00e1c trung t\u00e2m l\u1eeba \u0111\u1ea3o n\u0103m 2025, m\u1ed9t quan ch\u1ee9c c\u1ea5p cao Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111\u00e3 tr\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp gi\u00e1m s\u00e1t vi\u1ec7c \u0111\u01b0a nh\u1eefng c\u00f4ng d\u00e2n Trung Qu\u1ed1c b\u1ecb b\u1eaft gi\u1eef t\u1ea1i Myanmar h\u1ed3i h\u01b0\u01a1ng qua l\u00e3nh th\u1ed5 Th\u00e1i Lan. S\u1ef1 vi\u1ec7c l\u00e0m d\u1ea5y l\u00ean tranh lu\u1eadn v\u1ec1 m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 can d\u1ef1 c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u00e0o c\u00e1c v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 an ninh v\u00e0 th\u1ef1c thi ph\u00e1p lu\u1eadt nh\u1ea1y c\u1ea3m tr\u00ean l\u00e3nh th\u1ed5 Th\u00e1i Lan d\u1ecdc bi\u00ean gi\u1edbi Myanmar. Sau \u0111\u00f3, v\u1ecb quan ch\u1ee9c n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 xin l\u1ed7i v\u00ec \u201cs\u1ef1 hi\u1ec3u l\u1ea7m\u201d ph\u00e1t sinh t\u1eeb nh\u1eefng h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng qu\u00e1 nhanh c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c, khi\u1ebfn ng\u01b0\u1eddi ta c\u00f3 c\u1ea3m gi\u00e1c B\u1eafc Kinh kh\u00f4ng t\u00f4n tr\u1ecdng ch\u1ee7 quy\u1ec1n Th\u00e1i Lan. \u0110i\u1ec1u quan tr\u1ecdng l\u00e0 Th\u00e1i Lan v\u1eabn ch\u01b0a t\u1eeb b\u1ecf quan h\u1ec7 qu\u1ed1c ph\u00f2ng v\u1edbi M\u1ef9, d\u00f9 li\u00ean minh gi\u1eefa hai n\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00e3 suy y\u1ebfu so v\u1edbi c\u00e1c th\u1eadp k\u1ef7 tr\u01b0\u1edbc. Cu\u1ed9c t\u1eadp tr\u1eadn qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 Cobra Gold gi\u1eefa M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 Th\u00e1i Lan v\u1eabn l\u00e0 cu\u1ed9c t\u1eadp tr\u1eadn l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t \u0110\u00f4ng Nam \u00c1, v\u00e0 hai b\u00ean \u0111\u00e3 b\u00e0y t\u1ecf \u00fd \u0111\u1ecbnh k\u00fd m\u1ed9t tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 t\u1ea7m nh\u00ecn chung m\u1edbi tr\u01b0\u1edbc cu\u1ed1i n\u0103m 2026.<\/p>\n\n\n

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Trong khi \u0111\u00f3, Vi\u1ec7t Nam cho th\u1ea5y nh\u1eefng ph\u00e2n t\u00edch ch\u1ec9 d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean an ninh \u0111\u1ed1i ngo\u1ea1i \u0111\u00e3 b\u1ecf s\u00f3t m\u1ed9t y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 then ch\u1ed1t: an ninh ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9.<\/mark> L\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c g\u1ea7n g\u0169i nh\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a L\u00e0o, Vi\u1ec7t Nam kh\u00f3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 y\u00ean t\u00e2m tr\u01b0\u1edbc th\u00f4ng b\u00e1o v\u1ec1 s\u1ef1 hi\u1ec7n di\u1ec7n c\u1ee7a Kh\u00f4ng qu\u00e2n Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u1edf ph\u00eda t\u00e2y l\u00e3nh th\u1ed5 m\u00ecnh. B\u1ecb k\u1eb9p gi\u1eefa ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng \u0111\u1ea3o c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c t\u1ea1i Bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u00f4ng v\u00e0 m\u1ed1i quan h\u1ec7 ch\u1eb7t ch\u1ebd gi\u1eefa B\u1eafc Kinh v\u1edbi Campuchia, H\u00e0 N\u1ed9i c\u00f3 nh\u1eefng lo ng\u1ea1i s\u00e2u s\u1eafc, nh\u1ea5t l\u00e0 khi t\u1eebng tr\u1ea3i qua chi\u1ebfn tranh v\u1edbi n\u01b0\u1edbc l\u00e1ng gi\u1ec1ng ph\u00eda b\u1eafc v\u00e0o n\u0103m 1979 v\u00e0 nhi\u1ec1u cu\u1ed9c \u0111\u1ee5ng \u0111\u1ed9 tr\u00ean bi\u1ec3n sau \u0111\u00f3.<\/mark><\/strong> Ch\u00ednh nh\u1eefng b\u1ea5t an v\u1ec1 an ninh n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh x\u00edch l\u1ea1i g\u1ea7n nhau gi\u1eefa M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 Vi\u1ec7t Nam trong nh\u1eefng th\u1eadp k\u1ef7 g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi khi\u1ebfn Vi\u1ec7t Nam duy tr\u00ec quan h\u1ec7 g\u1ea7n g\u0169i v\u1edbi Nga.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Tuy nhi\u00ean, m\u1ed9t l\u1ea7n n\u1eefa cho th\u1ea5y r\u1ea5t \u00edt quan h\u1ec7 song ph\u01b0\u01a1ng trong ASEAN ch\u1ec9 mang m\u1ed9t chi\u1ec1u c\u1ea1nh, quan h\u1ec7 Vi\u1ec7t Nam \u2013 L\u00e0o d\u01b0\u1eddng nh\u01b0 h\u1ea7u nh\u01b0 kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ecbu t\u1ed5n h\u1ea1i b\u1edfi c\u01a1 s\u1edf kh\u00f4ng qu\u00e2n n\u00f3i tr\u00ean. Trong khi \u0111\u00f3, quan h\u1ec7 gi\u1eefa \u0110\u1ea3ng C\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n Vi\u1ec7t Nam v\u00e0 \u0110\u1ea3ng C\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n Trung Qu\u1ed1c l\u1ea1i ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng s\u00e2u s\u1eafc trong nh\u1eefng n\u0103m g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y. T\u1ed5ng B\u00ed th\u01b0 \u0110\u1ea3ng C\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n Vi\u1ec7t Nam T\u00f4 L\u00e2m v\u1ec1 c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n theo \u0111u\u1ed5i c\u00e1ch ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn th\u1ef1c d\u1ee5ng trong chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c n\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f4i.<\/mark><\/strong> Tr\u00ean ph\u01b0\u01a1ng di\u1ec7n an ninh \u0111\u1ed1i ngo\u1ea1i, n\u01a1i Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111\u1eb7t ra nh\u1eefng th\u00e1ch th\u1ee9c, \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u1ec3 hi\u1ec7n qua vi\u1ec7c t\u0103ng c\u01b0\u1eddng quan h\u1ec7 v\u1edbi M\u1ef9. Tuy nhi\u00ean, x\u00e9t t\u1eeb g\u00f3c \u0111\u1ed9 an ninh ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9, n\u01a1i s\u1ef1 ch\u00fa tr\u1ecdng \u0111\u00f4i l\u00fac c\u1ee7a Washington v\u00e0o nh\u00e2n quy\u1ec1n v\u00e0 d\u00e2n ch\u1ee7 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u1ef1 n\u00f3 tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh m\u1ed9t m\u1ed1i \u0111e d\u1ecda, Vi\u1ec7t Nam nh\u00ecn th\u1ea5y l\u1ee3i \u00edch trong vi\u1ec7c h\u1ee3p t\u00e1c ch\u1eb7t ch\u1ebd v\u1edbi Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u1ec1 an ninh n\u1ed9i b\u1ed9. T\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1 Campuchia, n\u0103m 2026, Vi\u1ec7t Nam c\u0169ng n\u00e2ng c\u1ea5p c\u01a1 ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed1i tho\u1ea1i 2+2 v\u1edbi Trung Qu\u1ed1c l\u00ean khu\u00f4n kh\u1ed5 3+3, c\u00f3 s\u1ef1 tham gia c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c c\u01a1 quan ph\u1ee5 tr\u00e1ch an ninh n\u1ed9i b\u1ed9.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

M\u1ef9 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0m g\u00ec \u0111\u1ec3 m\u1ed9t l\u1ea7n n\u1eefa tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c an ninh \u0111\u00e1ng tin c\u1eady?<\/h4>\n\n\n\n

M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111ang c\u1ea1nh tranh \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng t\u1ea1i \u0110\u00f4ng Nam \u00c1, nh\u01b0ng \u0111i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00f3 kh\u00f4ng d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn s\u1ef1 h\u00ecnh th\u00e0nh nh\u1eefng kh\u1ed1i li\u00ean k\u1ebft c\u1ee9ng nh\u1eafc nh\u01b0 trong th\u1eddi k\u1ef3 Chi\u1ebfn tranh L\u1ea1nh. <\/strong>Thay v\u00e0o \u0111\u00f3, c\u00e1c m\u1ed1i quan h\u1ec7 an ninh v\u00e0 nh\u1eadn th\u1ee9c v\u1ec1 m\u1ed1i \u0111e d\u1ecda gi\u1eefa nh\u1eefng qu\u1ed1c gia nh\u01b0 Campuchia, L\u00e0o, Th\u00e1i Lan v\u00e0 Vi\u1ec7t Nam v\u1eeba c\u00f3 nhi\u1ec1u t\u1ea7ng n\u1ea5c v\u1eeba li\u00ean t\u1ee5c thay \u0111\u1ed5i, t\u1ea1o n\u00ean m\u1ed9t c\u1ee5c di\u1ec7n pha tr\u1ed9n, trong \u0111\u00f3 kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 c\u01b0\u1eddng qu\u1ed1c n\u00e0o chi\u1ebfm \u01b0u th\u1ebf tuy\u1ec7t \u0111\u1ed1i. C\u00e1c th\u1ee7 \u0111\u00f4 ASEAN \u0111ang ch\u1ee7 \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111a d\u1ea1ng h\u00f3a quan h\u1ec7 v\u1edbi ch\u00e2u \u00c2u, Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n, Trung \u0110\u00f4ng, Nga v\u00e0 H\u00e0n Qu\u1ed1c nh\u1eb1m t\u1ea1o ra nh\u1eefng l\u1ef1a ch\u1ecdn thay th\u1ebf cho Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u00e0 M\u1ef9.<\/strong> V\u00ec v\u1eady, b\u00e0i h\u1ecdc m\u00e0 c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 ho\u1ea1ch \u0111\u1ecbnh ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch Washington c\u1ea7n r\u00fat ra t\u1eeb vi\u1ec7c PLA m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng hi\u1ec7n di\u1ec7n sang L\u00e0o l\u00e0 ph\u1ea3i t\u0103ng c\u01b0\u1eddng h\u01a1n n\u1eefa can d\u1ef1 v\u00e0o khu v\u1ef1c, thay v\u00ec quay l\u01b0ng v\u1edbi Vi\u00eang Ch\u0103n v\u00e0 c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c th\u00e2n c\u1eadn kh\u00e1c c\u1ee7a B\u1eafc Kinh.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Tuy nhi\u00ean, Washington \u0111ang \u0111\u1ed1i m\u1eb7t v\u1edbi hai th\u00e1ch th\u1ee9c ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch t\u1ea1i \u0110\u00f4ng Nam \u00c1: vi\u1ec7c th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y d\u00e2n ch\u1ee7 v\u00e0 nh\u00e2n quy\u1ec1n khi\u1ebfn c\u00e1c ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 trong khu v\u1ef1c xa l\u00e1nh M\u1ef9, trong khi c\u00e1ch nh\u00ecn nh\u1eadn m\u1ecdi v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 qua l\u0103ng k\u00ednh c\u1ea1nh tranh c\u01b0\u1eddng qu\u1ed1c l\u1ea1i l\u00e0m lu m\u1edd s\u1ef1 kh\u00e1c bi\u1ec7t trong nh\u1eadn th\u1ee9c v\u1ec1 c\u00e1c m\u1ed1i \u0111e d\u1ecda gi\u1eefa t\u1eebng qu\u1ed1c gia.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

L\u1ee3i th\u1ebf c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c trong l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c b\u1ea3o \u0111\u1ea3m an ninh ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9 kh\u00f3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 b\u1ecb M\u1ef9 h\u00f3a gi\u1ea3i, b\u1edfi c\u00e1c gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb \u0111\u00f3ng vai tr\u00f2 quan tr\u1ecdng trong ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch \u0111\u1ed1i ngo\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a Washington. C\u00e1ch ch\u00ednh quy\u1ec1n Biden \u0111\u1ecbnh h\u00ecnh th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi th\u00e0nh cu\u1ed9c \u0111\u1ed1i \u0111\u1ea7u gi\u1eefa \u201cc\u00e1c n\u1ec1n d\u00e2n ch\u1ee7 v\u00e0 c\u00e1c ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9 chuy\u00ean ch\u1ebf\u201d \u0111\u00e3 khi\u1ebfn nhi\u1ec1u qu\u1ed1c gia \u0110\u00f4ng Nam \u00c1 c\u1ea3m th\u1ea5y b\u1ecb xa l\u00e1nh.<\/mark> Vi\u1ec7c T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng Trump t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ed1i gi\u1ea3m nh\u1ea5n m\u1ea1nh c\u00e1c gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb n\u00e0y sau \u0111\u00f3 \u0111\u00e3 t\u1ea1o \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n kh\u00f4i ph\u1ee5c quan h\u1ec7 v\u1edbi Campuchia v\u00e0 Th\u00e1i Lan. <\/mark><\/strong>Tuy nhi\u00ean, ch\u00ednh quy\u1ec1n c\u1ee7a \u00f4ng c\u0169ng t\u1eebng b\u01b0\u1edbc ti\u1ebfp x\u00fac v\u1edbi ch\u00ednh quy\u1ec1n qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 Myanmar m\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng mang l\u1ea1i l\u1ee3i \u00edch r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng n\u00e0o cho l\u1ee3i \u00edch qu\u1ed1c gia c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9, x\u00e9t \u0111\u1ebfn s\u1ef1 thi\u1ebfu tin c\u1eady c\u1ee7a Naypyidaw v\u00e0 vi\u1ec7c ch\u00ednh quy\u1ec1n n\u00e0y kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n nh\u1eefng cam k\u1ebft.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Trong th\u1eddi gian t\u1edbi, kh\u00f3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 h\u00ecnh dung Washington s\u1ebd t\u1eeb b\u1ecf c\u00e1c gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb m\u00e0 m\u00ecnh theo \u0111u\u1ed5i, v\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i ch\u00ednh quy\u1ec1n n\u00e0o c\u0169ng \u0111\u00e1ng \u0111\u1ec3 M\u1ef9 thi\u1ebft l\u1eadp quan h\u1ec7 h\u1ee3p t\u00e1c. Vi\u1ec7c c\u1ea1nh tranh v\u1edbi g\u00f3i h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 gi\u00e1m s\u00e1t an ninh c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i l\u1ef1a ch\u1ecdn th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi m\u1ed9t n\u1ec1n d\u00e2n ch\u1ee7. H\u01a1n n\u1eefa, s\u1ef1 t\u1ed3n t\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a m\u1ed9t x\u00e3 h\u1ed9i d\u00e2n s\u1ef1 \u0111\u1ed9c l\u1eadp, v\u1ed1n b\u1ecb nh\u1eefng ch\u00ednh quy\u1ec1n nh\u01b0 H\u00e0 N\u1ed9i nh\u00ecn nh\u1eadn qua l\u0103ng k\u00ednh nguy c\u01a1 \u201cc\u00e1ch m\u1ea1ng m\u00e0u\u201d, c\u0169ng g\u00f3p ph\u1ea7n \u0111\u1ecbnh h\u00ecnh nh\u1eadn th\u1ee9c v\u1ec1 m\u1ed1i \u0111e d\u1ecda c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd.<\/mark><\/strong> Ngo\u00e0i ra, c\u00f3 nh\u1eefng ch\u00ednh quy\u1ec1n, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t l\u00e0 ch\u00ednh quy\u1ec1n qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 Myanmar, m\u00e0 quy m\u00f4 b\u1ea1o l\u1ef1c v\u00e0 \u0111\u00e0n \u00e1p \u0111\u00e3 qu\u00e1 l\u1edbn \u0111\u1ec3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 bi\u1ec7n minh cho vi\u1ec7c h\u1ee3p t\u00e1c, nh\u1ea5t l\u00e0 khi m\u1ed9t phong tr\u00e0o kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 v\u1eabn c\u00f2n \u0111\u1ee7 s\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh v\u00e0 c\u00f3 l\u1eadp tr\u01b0\u1eddng ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p h\u01a1n v\u1edbi l\u1ee3i \u00edch qu\u1ed1c gia c\u0169ng nh\u01b0 c\u00e1c gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 \u0111ang ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c ng\u0103n c\u1ea3n ch\u00ednh quy\u1ec1n qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 quy\u1ec1n l\u1ef1c. Ngay c\u1ea3 khi c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 gi\u1ea3m b\u1edbt m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 g\u00e2y lo ng\u1ea1i, ch\u1eb3ng h\u1ea1n b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng lu\u1eadn \u0111i\u1ec7u \u0111\u1ed1i \u0111\u1ea7u gi\u1eefa \u201cc\u00e1c n\u1ec1n d\u00e2n ch\u1ee7 v\u00e0 c\u00e1c ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9 chuy\u00ean ch\u1ebf\u201d, Washington v\u1eabn ph\u1ea3i ch\u1ea5p nh\u1eadn r\u1eb1ng m\u00ecnh kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 c\u1ea1nh tranh ngang b\u1eb1ng v\u1edbi Trung Qu\u1ed1c trong l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c b\u1ea3o \u0111\u1ea3m an ninh ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Tuy nhi\u00ean, nh\u1eefng gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb m\u00e0 M\u1ef9 theo \u0111u\u1ed5i c\u0169ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 mang l\u1ea1i l\u1ee3i th\u1ebf, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t l\u00e0 t\u00ednh minh b\u1ea1ch v\u00e0 s\u1ef1 tin c\u1eady. M\u1eb7t kh\u00e1c, \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y c\u0169ng gi\u00fap l\u00fd gi\u1ea3i v\u00ec sao nh\u1eefng n\u1ec1n d\u00e2n ch\u1ee7 trong khu v\u1ef1c nh\u01b0 Philippines kh\u00f4ng tin t\u01b0\u1edfng Trung Qu\u1ed1c<\/mark><\/strong>, t\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1 t\u00e2m l\u00fd c\u1ee7a ng\u01b0\u1eddi d\u00e2n v\u00e0 gi\u1edbi tinh hoa t\u1ea1i nhi\u1ec1u qu\u1ed1c gia c\u00f3 quan h\u1ec7 g\u1ea7n g\u0169i v\u1edbi B\u1eafc Kinh. Ch\u1eb3ng h\u1ea1n, ISEAS ghi nh\u1eadn 90,6% ng\u01b0\u1eddi \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c h\u1ecfi t\u1ea1i Th\u00e1i Lan b\u00e0y t\u1ecf lo ng\u1ea1i v\u1ec1 \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c. M\u1ef9 v\u1eabn c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 v\u01b0\u1ee3t Trung Qu\u1ed1c trong l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c an ninh \u0111\u1ed1i ngo\u1ea1i, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c nhi\u1ec1u h\u01a1n \u0111\u1ec3 th\u1ea5u hi\u1ec3u nh\u1eadn th\u1ee9c v\u1ec1 c\u00e1c m\u1ed1i \u0111e d\u1ecda trong khu v\u1ef1c, bao g\u1ed3m c\u1ea3 nh\u1eefng m\u1ed1i \u0111e d\u1ecda li\u00ean quan \u0111\u1ebfn an ninh n\u1ed9i b\u1ed9.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u0110\u1ec3 x\u1eed l\u00fd hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 h\u01a1n nh\u1eadn th\u1ee9c v\u1ec1 c\u00e1c m\u1ed1i \u0111e d\u1ecda, Washington n\u00ean \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p v\u1edbi l\u1ee3i \u00edch c\u1ee7a t\u1eebng qu\u1ed1c gia, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u1eadn tr\u1ecdng v\u1ec1 nh\u1eefng m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau mu\u1ed1n \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c so v\u1edbi nguy c\u01a1 khi\u1ebfn c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c xa l\u00e1nh. Ch\u1eb3ng h\u1ea1n, nh\u1eefng bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t nh\u1eb1m v\u00e0o Campuchia \u0111\u00e3 l\u00e0m gia t\u0103ng lo ng\u1ea1i v\u1ec1 an ninh ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9 v\u00e0 th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y Phnom Penh x\u00edch l\u1ea1i g\u1ea7n Trung Qu\u1ed1c, nh\u01b0ng l\u1ea1i kh\u00f4ng gi\u00fap \u00edch \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 cho l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u0111\u1ed1i l\u1eadp Campuchia tr\u00ean th\u1ef1c \u0111\u1ecba ho\u1eb7c l\u00e0m thay \u0111\u1ed5i ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch c\u1ee7a Phnom Penh.<\/strong> Ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i, vi\u1ec7c ch\u00ednh quy\u1ec1n Trump n\u1edbi l\u1ecfng tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t nhi\u1ec1u kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng s\u1ebd gi\u00fap Campuchia quay tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i l\u1eadp tr\u01b0\u1eddng c\u00e2n b\u1eb1ng h\u01a1n so v\u1edbi nh\u1eefng bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t c\u00f3 m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau nh\u01b0ng thi\u1ebfu hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00e2y. Vi\u1ec7c th\u1ea5u hi\u1ec3u m\u00f4i tr\u01b0\u1eddng an ninh \u0111\u1ed1i ngo\u1ea1i c\u0169ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u1ea1o ra hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 c\u1ed9ng h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3. X\u00e9t \u0111\u1ebfn nh\u1eefng lo ng\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a Phnom Penh \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi Vi\u1ec7t Nam v\u00e0 Th\u00e1i Lan, Washington n\u00ean x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng h\u00ecnh \u1ea3nh m\u1ed9t b\u00ean trung gian h\u00f2a gi\u1ea3i \u0111\u00e1ng tin c\u1eady v\u00e0 ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng k\u1ecbp th\u1eddi h\u01a1n so v\u1edbi vai tr\u00f2 m\u00e0 ch\u00ednh quy\u1ec1n Trump v\u00e0 Trung Qu\u1ed1c t\u1eebng th\u1ec3 hi\u1ec7n trong cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn bi\u00ean gi\u1edbi Th\u00e1i Lan \u2013 Campuchia n\u0103m 2025, khi nh\u1eefng n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c h\u00f2a gi\u1ea3i khi \u0111\u00f3 mang t\u00ednh bi\u1ec3u t\u01b0\u1ee3ng nhi\u1ec1u h\u01a1n l\u00e0 th\u1ef1c ch\u1ea5t.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u0110\u1ed1i v\u1edbi L\u00e0o, th\u00e1ch th\u1ee9c l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t v\u1eabn l\u00e0 n\u0103ng l\u1ef1c qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd nh\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc c\u00f2n h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf v\u00e0 tr\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed9 ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n kinh t\u1ebf th\u1ea5p, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t l\u00e0 g\u00e1nh n\u1eb7ng n\u1ee3 kh\u1ed5ng l\u1ed3 \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi B\u1eafc Kinh. T\u1ea1i \u0111\u00e2y, vi\u1ec7c m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng quy m\u00f4 vi\u1ec7n tr\u1ee3 ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n truy\u1ec1n th\u1ed1ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 gi\u00fap M\u1ef9 t\u1ea1o d\u1ef1ng thi\u1ec7n c\u1ea3m v\u00e0 t\u1eebng b\u01b0\u1edbc l\u00e0m suy gi\u1ea3m v\u1ecb th\u1ebf th\u1ed1ng tr\u1ecb c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c.<\/strong> M\u1eb7c d\u00f9 kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i \u0111\u1ed1i m\u1eb7t v\u1edbi nh\u1eefng m\u1ed1i \u0111e d\u1ecda an ninh tr\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp t\u1eeb b\u00ean ngo\u00e0i, Vi\u00eang Ch\u0103n v\u1eabn coi tr\u1ecdng c\u00e1c ch\u01b0\u01a1ng tr\u00ecnh n\u00e2ng cao n\u0103ng l\u1ef1c v\u00e0 \u0111\u00e0o t\u1ea1o, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t trong l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c th\u1ef1c thi ph\u00e1p lu\u1eadt, nh\u1eb1m \u0111\u1ed1i ph\u00f3 hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 h\u01a1n v\u1edbi c\u00e1c t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c t\u1ed9i ph\u1ea1m ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng tr\u00ean l\u00e3nh th\u1ed5 n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y. M\u1ee5c ti\u00eau \u1edf \u0111\u00e2y kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i khi\u1ebfn L\u00e0o li\u00ean k\u1ebft v\u1edbi M\u1ef9, m\u00e0 \u0111\u01a1n gi\u1ea3n l\u00e0 cung c\u1ea5p th\u00eam nh\u1eefng l\u1ef1a ch\u1ecdn an ninh ngo\u00e0i c\u00e1c h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 do Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111\u01b0a ra.<\/p>\n\n\n

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T\u1eadp tr\u1eadn H\u1ed5 Mang V\u00e0ng 2025 t\u1ea1i Suranaree \u1edf Korat, Th\u00e1i Lan, v\u1edbi M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 Indonesia, Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n, Malaysia, Singapore, H\u00e0n Qu\u1ed1c, Th\u00e1i Lan<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

\u0110\u1ed1i v\u1edbi Bangkok, gi\u1edbi tinh hoa qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 v\u00e0 b\u1ea3o ho\u00e0ng Th\u00e1i Lan coi B\u1eafc Kinh l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u01b0u ti\u00ean trong vi\u1ec7c th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng kinh t\u1ebf v\u00e0 duy tr\u00ec \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh. V\u00ec v\u1eady, li\u00ean minh M\u1ef9 \u2013 Th\u00e1i kh\u00f3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 g\u1ea7n g\u0169i nh\u01b0 nh\u1eefng th\u1eadp k\u1ef7 tr\u01b0\u1edbc. Tuy nhi\u00ean, Washington v\u1eabn n\u00ean ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c vun \u0111\u1eafp quan h\u1ec7 qu\u1ed1c ph\u00f2ng, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi \u0111\u1ea9y nhanh vi\u1ec7c m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng nh\u1eefng h\u00ecnh th\u1ee9c h\u1ee3p t\u00e1c thay th\u1ebf, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t trong l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c ch\u1ed1ng t\u1ed9i ph\u1ea1m xuy\u00ean qu\u1ed1c gia. X\u00e3 h\u1ed9i Th\u00e1i Lan ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng lo ng\u1ea1i v\u1ec1 t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c trung t\u00e2m l\u1eeba \u0111\u1ea3o v\u00e0 t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng \u00f4 nhi\u1ec5m t\u1eeb Myanmar. Chi\u1ebfn d\u1ecbch tr\u1ea5n \u00e1p c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c t\u1eebng l\u00e0m d\u1ea5y l\u00ean tranh lu\u1eadn v\u1ec1 ch\u1ee7 quy\u1ec1n Th\u00e1i Lan n\u0103m 2025 c\u0169ng l\u00e0 l\u1eddi nh\u1eafc nh\u1edf v\u1ec1 c\u00e1ch h\u00e0nh x\u1eed \u0111\u00f4i khi mang t\u00ednh \u00e1p \u0111\u1eb7t c\u1ee7a B\u1eafc Kinh. \u0110\u00e1ng ch\u00fa \u00fd, g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y M\u1ef9 \u0111\u00e3 cam k\u1ebft d\u00e0nh ngu\u1ed3n l\u1ef1c cho ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng h\u1ee3p t\u00e1c th\u1ef1c thi ph\u00e1p lu\u1eadt trong khu v\u1ef1c v\u1edbi Th\u00e1i Lan. Vi\u1ec7c m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng c\u00e1c ch\u01b0\u01a1ng tr\u00ecnh h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 n\u00e0y, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi nh\u1ea5n m\u1ea1nh s\u1ef1 tin c\u1eady v\u00e0 tr\u00e1ch nhi\u1ec7m gi\u1ea3i tr\u00ecnh m\u00e0 m\u1ed9t qu\u1ed1c gia d\u00e2n ch\u1ee7 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 mang l\u1ea1i khi h\u1ee3p t\u00e1c v\u1edbi m\u1ed9t n\u1ec1n d\u00e2n ch\u1ee7 kh\u00e1c, s\u1ebd t\u1ea1o ra ph\u01b0\u01a1ng \u00e1n thay th\u1ebf cho nh\u1eefng h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 v\u1ec1 an ninh n\u1ed9i b\u1ed9 c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng, \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi Vi\u1ec7t Nam, quan h\u1ec7 v\u1edbi M\u1ef9 v\u1eabn ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u0103ng c\u01b0\u1eddng, d\u00f9 nh\u1eefng th\u00e1ch th\u1ee9c nh\u01b0 ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i v\u1eabn t\u1ed3n t\u1ea1i. Washington c\u0169ng kh\u00f3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 c\u1ea1nh tranh v\u1edbi Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u1ec1 an ninh n\u1ed9i b\u1ed9, x\u00e9t \u0111\u1ebfn m\u1ed1i quan h\u1ec7 gi\u1eefa hai \u0111\u1ea3ng c\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n Vi\u1ec7t Nam v\u00e0 Trung Qu\u1ed1c.<\/strong> V\u1ec1 c\u0103n b\u1ea3n h\u01a1n, v\u1eabn c\u00f2n nh\u1eefng nghi ng\u1edd v\u1ec1 m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 cam k\u1ebft c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi khu v\u1ef1c \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 D\u01b0\u01a1ng \u2013 Th\u00e1i B\u00ecnh D\u01b0\u01a1ng, c\u00f9ng m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 s\u1ef1 thi\u1ebfu tin t\u01b0\u1edfng b\u1eaft ngu\u1ed3n t\u1eeb th\u00e1i \u0111\u1ed9 kh\u00f4ng h\u00e0i l\u00f2ng c\u1ee7a Washington \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi vi\u1ec7c Vi\u1ec7t Nam mua v\u0169 kh\u00ed Nga.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Tuy nhi\u00ean, do v\u1ecb th\u1ebf t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ed1i d\u1ec5 b\u1ecb t\u1ed5n th\u01b0\u01a1ng c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7t Nam tr\u00ean ph\u01b0\u01a1ng di\u1ec7n an ninh \u0111\u1ed1i ngo\u1ea1i, M\u1ef9 c\u00f3 c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n th\u00eam nh\u1eefng bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p nh\u1eb1m c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 l\u00f2ng tin c\u1ee7a H\u00e0 N\u1ed9i. Hai \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c cung c\u1ea5p h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 an ninh \u0111\u1ed1i ngo\u1ea1i quan tr\u1ecdng nh\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7t Nam l\u00e0 M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 Nga \u0111\u1ec1u \u0111ang b\u1ecb ph\u00e2n t\u00e1n s\u1ef1 ch\u00fa \u00fd, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi \u0111\u1ed1i \u0111\u1ea7u v\u1edbi nhau, khi\u1ebfn H\u00e0 N\u1ed9i ph\u1ea7n n\u00e0o b\u1ea5t an. Vi\u1ec7c Moscow sa l\u1ea7y trong cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn t\u1ea1i Ukraine \u0111ang l\u00e0m suy y\u1ebfu v\u1ecb th\u1ebf c\u1ee7a Nga tr\u00ean th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng v\u0169 kh\u00ed \u0110\u00f4ng Nam \u00c1, trong khi quan h\u1ec7 ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng g\u1ea7n g\u0169i gi\u1eefa Nga v\u00e0 Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111\u1eb7t ra nghi v\u1ea5n v\u1ec1 m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 \u0111\u00e1ng tin c\u1eady c\u1ee7a Moscow n\u1ebfu x\u1ea3y ra xung \u0111\u1ed9t t\u1ea1i Bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u00f4ng. V\u00ec v\u1eady, \u01b0u ti\u00ean c\u1ee7a Washington n\u00ean l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea9y nhanh qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh ph\u00ea duy\u1ec7t c\u00e1c th\u01b0\u01a1ng v\u1ee5 b\u00e1n v\u0169 kh\u00ed cho Vi\u1ec7t Nam, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi th\u1ea5u hi\u1ec3u nh\u1eefng m\u1ed1i \u0111e d\u1ecda an ninh nghi\u00eam tr\u1ecdng m\u00e0 H\u00e0 N\u1ed9i \u0111ang \u0111\u1ed1i m\u1eb7t v\u00e0 tr\u00e1nh \u0111e d\u1ecda tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t Vi\u1ec7t Nam v\u00ec quan h\u1ec7 v\u1edbi Moscow. <\/strong>T\u1ea1i Bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u00f4ng, m\u1eb7c d\u00f9 Vi\u1ec7t Nam theo \u0111u\u1ed5i c\u00e1ch ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn k\u00edn \u0111\u00e1o h\u01a1n Philippines, nh\u1eefng h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u1ec3 hi\u1ec7n quy\u1ebft t\u00e2m c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 trong vi\u1ec7c h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 Manila v\u1eabn c\u00f3 t\u00e1c d\u1ee5ng \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi cho th\u1ea5y nh\u1eefng gi\u1edbi h\u1ea1n trong s\u1ef1 h\u1eadu thu\u1eabn c\u1ee7a Moscow. V\u1ec1 l\u00e2u d\u00e0i, nh\u1eefng \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u00e1i n\u00e0y c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 gi\u00fap Washington tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c Vi\u1ec7t Nam tin t\u01b0\u1edfng h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nh\u00ecn chung, c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia \u0110\u00f4ng Nam \u00c1 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 kh\u00f4ng ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n tin t\u01b0\u1edfng M\u1ef9, nh\u01b0ng kh\u00f4ng ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 n\u00e0o trong khu v\u1ef1c mu\u1ed1n Washington r\u00fat lui. M\u1eb7c d\u00f9 c\u1ea7n c\u00f3 nh\u1eefng \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf v\u1ec1 m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 m\u00e0 c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia \u0111ang theo \u0111u\u1ed5i chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00e2n b\u1eb1ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 r\u1eddi xa Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u00e0 x\u00edch l\u1ea1i g\u1ea7n M\u1ef9, Washington v\u1eabn c\u1ea7n d\u00e0nh nhi\u1ec1u ngu\u1ed3n l\u1ef1c v\u00e0 s\u1ef1 quan t\u00e2m h\u01a1n \u1edf c\u1ea5p \u0111\u1ed9 th\u1ec3 ch\u1ebf cho b\u1ee9c tranh an ninh c\u00f9ng nh\u1eefng nh\u1eadn th\u1ee9c ph\u1ee9c t\u1ea1p v\u1ec1 c\u00e1c m\u1ed1i \u0111e d\u1ecda t\u1ea1i \u0110\u00f4ng Nam \u00c1.<\/mark><\/strong> M\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn \u00e1p d\u1ee5ng chung cho m\u1ecdi qu\u1ed1c gia c\u00f3 nguy c\u01a1 khi\u1ebfn M\u1ef9 t\u1ef1 \u0111\u00e1nh m\u1ea5t th\u1ebf ch\u1ee7 \u0111\u1ed9ng v\u00e0o tay Trung Qu\u1ed1c, trong khi ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p v\u1edbi t\u1eebng \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c s\u1ebd gi\u00fap Washington \u0111\u1ed1i tr\u1ecdng v\u1edbi B\u1eafc Kinh hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Lucas Myers <\/strong>
Tr\u1ee3 l\u00fd Gi\u00e1m \u0111\u1ed1c Ch\u01b0\u01a1ng tr\u00ecnh Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u00e0 M\u1ef9 t\u1ea1i Tr\u01b0\u1eddng Ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch C\u00f4ng thu\u1ed9c \u0110\u1ea1i h\u1ecdc Maryland, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi l\u00e0 h\u1ecdc gi\u1ea3 th\u1ec9nh gi\u1ea3ng kh\u00f4ng th\u01b0\u1eddng tr\u00fa t\u1ea1i Trung t\u00e2m Nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u ch\u00e2u \u00c1 Sigur thu\u1ed9c \u0110\u1ea1i h\u1ecdc George Washington.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ngu\u1ed3n tr\u00edch: Nghi\u00ean C\u1ee9u Qu\u1ed1c T\u1ebf<\/strong>
https:\/\/nghiencuuquocte.org\/2026\/10\/21\/dang-sau-su-banh-truong-quan-su-cua-trung-quoc-tai-dong-nam-a\/#more-69201<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u1ea2nh minh h\u1ecda: V\u1eadn H\u1ed9i M\u1edbi<\/strong><\/p>\n

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<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Ngu\u1ed3n: Lucas Myers, \u201cChina\u2019s Military Expansion in Southeast Asia Masks a More Complicated Reality\u201d, War on the Rocks, 15\/10\/2026 Bi\u00ean d\u1ecbch: Vi\u00ean \u0110\u0103ng Huy Th\u00f4ng b\u00e1o c\u1ee7a B\u1ed9 Qu\u1ed1c ph\u00f2ng Trung Qu\u1ed1c ng\u00e0y 29\/9 v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c th\u00e0nh l\u1eadp m\u1ed9t \u201ctrung t\u00e2m hu\u1ea5n luy\u1ec7n v\u00e0 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 chung\u201d t\u1ea1i s\u00e2n bay\u0111\u1ecdc ti\u1ebfp…<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":29834,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[7,769,8,12,9],"tags":[202,165,547,118,212,119,875,270,488,98],"class_list":["entry","author-ntviet","post-29805","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-binhluan","category-chien-tranh","category-chinhtri-xahoi","category-chuyenmuc","category-kinhte","tag-an-ninh","tag-binh-luan","tag-cam-bot","tag-chinh-tri","tag-chuyen-de","tag-hoa-ky","tag-lao","tag-quan-su","tag-thai-lan","tag-trung-cong"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29805","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=29805"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29805\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":29848,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29805\/revisions\/29848"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/29834"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=29805"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=29805"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=29805"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}