{"id":29813,"date":"2026-11-06T22:52:11","date_gmt":"2026-11-06T22:52:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/?p=29813"},"modified":"2026-11-06T22:52:14","modified_gmt":"2026-11-06T22:52:14","slug":"truc-noi-day-iran-trieu-tien-nga-trung-quoc-buoc-vao-cuoc-chien","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/?p=29813","title":{"rendered":"Tr\u1ee5c n\u1ed5i d\u1eady Iran \u2013 Tri\u1ec1u Ti\u00ean \u2013 Nga \u2013 Trung Qu\u1ed1c b\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00e0o cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn<\/strong>
Andrea Kendall-Taylor, Richard Fontaine<\/span>"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Ngu\u1ed3n:<\/strong> Andrea Kendall-Taylor v\u00e0 Richard Fontaine, \u201cThe Axis of Upheaval Goes to War\u201d, Foreign Affairs<\/em><\/mark><\/strong>, 16\/10\/2026<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bi\u00ean d\u1ecbch:<\/strong> Vi\u00ean \u0110\u0103ng Huy<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ng\u00e0y 17\/7, m\u1ed9t t\u00ean l\u1eeda c\u1ee7a Iran \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u00e1nh tr\u00fang C\u0103n c\u1ee9 Kh\u00f4ng qu\u00e2n Muwaffaq Salti t\u1ea1i Jordan, khi\u1ebfn ba binh s\u0129 M\u1ef9 thi\u1ec7t m\u1ea1ng v\u00e0 b\u1ed1n ng\u01b0\u1eddi kh\u00e1c b\u1ecb th\u01b0\u01a1ng. Cu\u1ed9c t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng c\u00f3 \u0111\u1ed9 ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c kh\u00e1c th\u01b0\u1eddng.<\/strong> Trong nh\u1eefng tu\u1ea7n sau \u0111\u00f3, gi\u1edbi ch\u1ee9c M\u1ef9 ph\u00e1t hi\u1ec7n r\u1eb1ng tr\u01b0\u1edbc cu\u1ed9c t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng, Tehran \u0111\u00e3 nh\u1eadn \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c nh\u1eefng h\u00ecnh \u1ea3nh v\u1ec7 tinh c\u00f3 \u0111\u1ed9 ph\u00e2n gi\u1ea3i cao v\u1ec1 c\u0103n c\u1ee9 n\u00e0y, c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 gi\u00fap x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c h\u01a1n. Sau cu\u1ed9c t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng, Iran ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c nh\u1eadn \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c nh\u1eefng h\u00ecnh \u1ea3nh kh\u00e1c, c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 thi\u1ec7t h\u1ea1i v\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh c\u00e1c \u0111\u00f2n t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng trong t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai. Nh\u1eefng h\u00ecnh \u1ea3nh \u0111\u00f3 \u0111\u1ebfn t\u1eeb c\u00e1c th\u1ef1c th\u1ec3 Trung Qu\u1ed1c.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Trung Qu\u1ed1c kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i qu\u1ed1c gia duy nh\u1ea5t h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 Iran. Nga c\u0169ng \u0111\u00e3 gi\u00fap Tehran x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh v\u00e0 t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng c\u00e1c m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed3ng minh. <\/strong>Hai ng\u00e0y tr\u01b0\u1edbc cu\u1ed9c t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng ng\u00e0y 27\/3 nh\u1eb1m v\u00e0o C\u0103n c\u1ee9 Kh\u00f4ng qu\u00e2n Prince Sultan t\u1ea1i \u1ea2 R\u1eadp Saudi, 14 v\u1ec7 tinh do th\u00e1m c\u1ee7a Nga \u0111\u00e3 bay qua khu v\u1ef1c n\u00e0y, khi\u1ebfn 12 qu\u00e2n nh\u00e2n M\u1ef9 b\u1ecb th\u01b0\u01a1ng. Sau \u0111\u00f3, gi\u1edbi ch\u1ee9c M\u1ef9 k\u1ebft lu\u1eadn r\u1eb1ng Moscow \u0111\u00e3 cung c\u1ea5p cho Iran th\u00f4ng tin t\u00ecnh b\u00e1o v\u1ec7 tinh, h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c c\u1ee7a Tehran. Moscow c\u00f2n cung c\u1ea5p cho Iran v\u0169 kh\u00ed v\u00e0 chuy\u00ean m\u00f4n qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1, bao g\u1ed3m nh\u1eefng phi\u00ean b\u1ea3n n\u00e2ng c\u1ea5p c\u1ee7a drone Iran \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1ea3i ti\u1ebfn qua kinh nghi\u1ec7m th\u1ef1c chi\u1ebfn t\u1ea1i Ukraine. C\u00e1c k\u1ef9 s\u01b0 Nga c\u0169ng \u0111ang gi\u00fap Iran ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n t\u00ean l\u1eeda h\u00e0nh tr\u00ecnh si\u00eau thanh c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng v\u01b0\u1ee3t qua h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng ph\u00f2ng kh\u00f4ng c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 Israel.<\/p>\n\n\n

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C\u1ea3 Nga l\u1eabn Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ec1u ch\u01b0a tr\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp tham chi\u1ebfn c\u00f9ng Iran trong cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn ch\u1ed1ng M\u1ef9. H\u1ecd c\u0169ng kh\u00f4ng c\u1ea7n ph\u1ea3i l\u00e0m v\u1eady. B\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch cung c\u1ea5p th\u00f4ng tin t\u00ecnh b\u00e1o v\u1ec1 c\u00e1c m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau M\u1ef9, c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 v\u00e0 linh ki\u1ec7n qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1, c\u00f9ng s\u1ef1 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 kinh t\u1ebf v\u00e0 ngo\u1ea1i giao, hai n\u01b0\u1edbc c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u00e1p \u1ee9ng nh\u1eefng nhu c\u1ea7u thi\u1ebft y\u1ebfu c\u1ee7a Iran m\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i tr\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp tham gia cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

M\u1ef9 b\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00e0o cu\u1ed9c xung \u0111\u1ed9t v\u1edbi nh\u1eefng l\u1ee3i th\u1ebf m\u00e0 c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed1i th\u1ee7 kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c: m\u1ed9t m\u1ea1ng l\u01b0\u1edbi r\u1ed9ng l\u1edbn g\u1ed3m c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed3ng minh ch\u00ednh th\u1ee9c, c\u0103n c\u1ee9 qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1, c\u01a1 ch\u1ebf chia s\u1ebb t\u00ecnh b\u00e1o, quan h\u1ec7 \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c ph\u00f2ng v\u00e0 c\u00e1c l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng ph\u1ed1i h\u1ee3p t\u00e1c chi\u1ebfn tr\u00ean kh\u1eafp ch\u00e2u \u00c2u, Trung \u0110\u00f4ng v\u00e0 ch\u00e2u \u00c1.<\/mark><\/strong> Tuy nhi\u00ean, nhi\u1ec1u \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c truy\u1ec1n th\u1ed1ng c\u1ee7a Washington l\u1ea1i ng\u1ea7n ng\u1ea1i \u0111\u1ec3 m\u00ecnh b\u1ecb g\u1eafn v\u1edbi chi\u1ebfn d\u1ecbch qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 n\u00e0y, th\u1eadm ch\u00ed m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 n\u01b0\u1edbc c\u00f2n t\u1eeb ch\u1ed1i cho M\u1ef9 ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn c\u00e1c c\u01a1 s\u1edf ho\u1eb7c s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 h\u00ecnh th\u1ee9c h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 nh\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ecbnh, \u00edt nh\u1ea5t trong m\u1ed9t kho\u1ea3ng th\u1eddi gian. Nh\u1eefng \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c kh\u00e1c c\u00f4ng khai ph\u1ea3n \u0111\u1ed1i l\u1eddi k\u00eau g\u1ecdi c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 b\u1ea3o \u0111\u1ea3m an ninh t\u1ea1i eo bi\u1ec3n Hormuz.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

S\u1ef1 t\u01b0\u01a1ng ph\u1ea3n n\u00e0y cho th\u1ea5y m\u1ed9t chuy\u1ec3n bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u00e1ng ch\u00fa \u00fd k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb khi ch\u00fang t\u00f4i l\u1ea7n \u0111\u1ea7u m\u00f4 t\u1ea3 Nga, Trung Qu\u1ed1c, Iran v\u00e0 Tri\u1ec1u Ti\u00ean l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t \u201ctr\u1ee5c n\u1ed5i d\u1eady\u201d tr\u00ean t\u1ea1p ch\u00ed Foreign Affairs<\/em> hai n\u0103m tr\u01b0\u1edbc.<\/strong> Khi cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u, c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed1i th\u1ee7 c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 s\u1edf h\u1eefu m\u1ea1ng l\u01b0\u1edbi h\u1ee3p t\u00e1c y\u1ebfu h\u01a1n, trong khi Washington c\u00f3 m\u1ed9t m\u1ea1ng l\u01b0\u1edbi v\u01b0\u1ee3t tr\u1ed9i. Nh\u01b0ng sau v\u00e0i n\u0103m h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 Nga ti\u1ebfn h\u00e0nh cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn t\u1ea1i Ukraine, c\u00e1c th\u00e0nh vi\u00ean trong tr\u1ee5c hi\u1ec7n \u0111ang t\u00ecm ra c\u00e1ch v\u1eadn h\u00e0nh m\u1ea1ng l\u01b0\u1edbi c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh t\u1ea1i m\u1ed9t chi\u1ebfn tr\u01b0\u1eddng m\u1edbi. H\u1ecd \u0111ang tinh ch\u1ec9nh ph\u01b0\u01a1ng th\u1ee9c h\u1ee3p t\u00e1c nh\u1eb1m gi\u00fap c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c t\u0103ng c\u01b0\u1eddng kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng ch\u1ed1ng ch\u1ecbu v\u00e0 tr\u1edf n\u00ean nguy hi\u1ec3m h\u01a1n \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi M\u1ef9, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf chi ph\u00ed v\u00e0 r\u1ee7i ro. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

NH\u1eeeNG NGU\u1ed2N C\u01a0N G\u00c2Y BI\u1ebeN \u0110\u1ed8NG<\/h4>\n\n\n\n

Trong giai \u0111o\u1ea1n \u0111\u1ea7u nhi\u1ec7m k\u1ef3 c\u1ee7a ch\u00ednh quy\u1ec1n Trump, gi\u1edbi ch\u1ee9c M\u1ef9 t\u1eebng b\u00e0y t\u1ecf hy v\u1ecdng r\u1eb1ng vi\u1ec7c b\u00ecnh th\u01b0\u1eddng h\u00f3a quan h\u1ec7 v\u1edbi Moscow c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00f4i k\u00e9o Nga r\u1eddi kh\u1ecfi nh\u00f3m n\u00e0y. Tuy nhi\u00ean, th\u00e1i \u0111\u1ed9 th\u00e2n thi\u1ec7n m\u00e0 T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng Donald Trump th\u01b0\u1eddng xuy\u00ean th\u1ec3 hi\u1ec7n \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi \u0110i\u1ec7n Kremlin v\u1eabn kh\u00f4ng t\u1ea1o ra b\u1ea5t k\u1ef3 r\u1ea1n n\u1ee9t n\u00e0o trong quan h\u1ec7 gi\u1eefa Nga v\u00e0 ba qu\u1ed1c gia c\u00f2n l\u1ea1i.<\/strong> T\u1eeb g\u00f3c nh\u00ecn c\u1ee7a Moscow, ch\u00ednh quy\u1ec1n Trump \u0111\u00e3 kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c m\u1ed9t th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn v\u1ec1 Ukraine, v\u00e0 b\u1ea5t k\u1ef3 s\u1ef1 x\u00edch l\u1ea1i g\u1ea7n nhau n\u00e0o v\u1edbi Washington do Trump th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y c\u0169ng kh\u00f3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 k\u00e9o d\u00e0i. Qu\u1ed1c h\u1ed9i M\u1ef9 v\u1eabn ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c g\u00e2y s\u1ee9c \u00e9p l\u00ean Nga, trong khi m\u1ed9t ch\u00ednh quy\u1ec1n t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u00e1p d\u1ee5ng \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng l\u1ed1i c\u1ee9ng r\u1eafn h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Quan tr\u1ecdng h\u01a1n, nh\u1eefng n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c l\u00e0m suy y\u1ebfu tr\u1ee5c n\u00e0y cho th\u1ea5y Washington ch\u01b0a hi\u1ec3u \u0111\u00fang y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 g\u1eafn k\u1ebft c\u00e1c th\u00e0nh vi\u00ean c\u1ee7a n\u00f3. C\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia trong nh\u00f3m ph\u1ea3n \u0111\u1ed1i m\u1ed9t tr\u1eadt t\u1ef1 qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf m\u00e0 h\u1ecd cho r\u1eb1ng \u0111ang c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 s\u1ef1 th\u1ed1ng tr\u1ecb c\u1ee7a ph\u01b0\u01a1ng T\u00e2y b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch g\u00e2y b\u1ea5t l\u1ee3i cho m\u00ecnh. Nh\u01b0ng c\u1ee5 th\u1ec3 h\u01a1n, \u0111i\u1ec1u h\u1ecd ch\u1ed1ng l\u1ea1i l\u00e0 quy\u1ec1n l\u1ef1c v\u01b0\u1ee3t tr\u1ed9i c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 trong vi\u1ec7c ki\u1ec1m ch\u1ebf, c\u00f4 l\u1eadp v\u00e0 tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t h\u1ecd, th\u1eadm ch\u00ed c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng \u0111e d\u1ecda s\u1ef1 t\u1ed3n t\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9 c\u1ea7m quy\u1ec1n<\/mark><\/strong>. Nh\u1eefng h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 ch\u1ec9 l\u00e0m s\u1ed1ng l\u1ea1i nh\u1eefng lo ng\u1ea1i \u1ea5y. Vi\u1ec7c M\u1ef9 b\u1eaft gi\u1eef nh\u00e0 l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o Venezuela Nicol\u00e1s Maduro v\u00e0 s\u00e1t h\u1ea1i L\u00e3nh t\u1ee5 T\u1ed1i cao Iran Ali Khamenei c\u00e0ng c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 nh\u1eefng n\u1ed7i lo \u0111\u00e3 t\u1ed3n t\u1ea1i t\u1eeb l\u00e2u t\u1ea1i B\u1eafc Kinh, Moscow, B\u00ecnh Nh\u01b0\u1ee1ng v\u00e0 Tehran v\u1ec1 s\u1ef1 can thi\u1ec7p c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 an ninh ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9.<\/p>\n\n\n

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C\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia trong tr\u1ee5c c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 gi\u1ea3m b\u1edbt nh\u1eefng l\u1eddi l\u1ebd ch\u1ed1ng M\u1ef9 khi \u0111i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00f3 mang l\u1ea1i l\u1ee3i \u00edch chi\u1ebfn thu\u1eadt, nh\u01b0ng \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c gi\u1ea3m thi\u1ec3u kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng b\u1ecb t\u1ed5n th\u01b0\u01a1ng tr\u01b0\u1edbc s\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh c\u1ee7a Washington v\u1eabn kh\u00f4ng thay \u0111\u1ed5i. B\u1ea3n th\u00e2n th\u00e1i \u0111\u1ed9 ho\u00e0i nghi c\u1ee7a ch\u00ednh quy\u1ec1n Trump \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi tr\u1eadt t\u1ef1 qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf c\u0169ng kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 xoa d\u1ecbu nh\u1eefng lo ng\u1ea1i t\u1ea1i th\u1ee7 \u0111\u00f4 c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y<\/strong>. Tr\u00e1i l\u1ea1i, n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c c\u1ee7a Trump nh\u1eb1m t\u1ea1o d\u1ef1ng m\u1ed9t th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi v\u1eadn h\u00e0nh d\u1ef1a nhi\u1ec1u h\u01a1n v\u00e0o c\u00e1c giao d\u1ecbch c\u00f3 \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n v\u00e0 s\u1ee9c \u00e9p c\u01b0\u1ee1ng ch\u1ebf c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 khi\u1ebfn quan h\u1ec7 \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c gi\u1eefa h\u1ecd tr\u1edf n\u00ean gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb h\u01a1n. Khi c\u00e1c quy t\u1eafc v\u00e0 th\u1ec3 ch\u1ebf ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng \u00edt kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng t\u1ea1o ra r\u00e0ng bu\u1ed9c, c\u00f2n s\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh \u00e1p \u0111\u1eb7t tr\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp tr\u1edf n\u00ean quan tr\u1ecdng h\u01a1n, c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia s\u1ebd t\u00ecm ki\u1ebfm \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ec3 c\u00f9ng gi\u1ea3m thi\u1ec3u t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a l\u1ec7nh tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t, ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn nh\u1eefng c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 thi\u1ebft y\u1ebfu, b\u00f9 \u0111\u1eafp c\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec3m y\u1ebfu qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1, m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng kh\u00f4ng gian h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng v\u00e0 ch\u1ed1ng l\u1ea1i s\u1ef1 c\u00f4 l\u1eadp. Quan h\u1ec7 h\u1ee3p t\u00e1c trong tr\u1ee5c n\u00e0y \u0111ang ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n \u0111\u1ec3 th\u00edch \u1ee9ng v\u1edbi ho\u00e0n c\u1ea3nh m\u1edbi.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

CHI\u1ebeN TR\u01af\u1edcNG M\u1edaI, TH\u00c1CH TH\u1ee8C M\u1edaI<\/h4>\n\n\n\n

Khi Nga ph\u00e1t \u0111\u1ed9ng cu\u1ed9c x\u00e2m l\u01b0\u1ee3c to\u00e0n di\u1ec7n Ukraine n\u0103m 2022, quan h\u1ec7 h\u1ee3p t\u00e1c gi\u1eefa b\u1ed1n qu\u1ed1c gia v\u1eabn t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ed1i d\u1ec5 nh\u1eadn di\u1ec7n. Iran cung c\u1ea5p drone cho Nga, c\u00f2n Tri\u1ec1u Ti\u00ean chuy\u1ec3n giao \u0111\u1ea1n d\u01b0\u1ee3c, t\u00ean l\u1eeda \u0111\u1ea1n \u0111\u1ea1o v\u00e0 sau \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 c\u1ea3 binh s\u0129. Trung Qu\u1ed1c tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh ngu\u1ed3n h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 s\u1ed1ng c\u00f2n quan tr\u1ecdng nh\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a Moscow th\u00f4ng qua vi\u1ec7c mua d\u1ea7u c\u1ee7a Nga v\u00e0 cung c\u1ea5p m\u00e1y c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5, linh ki\u1ec7n vi \u0111i\u1ec7n t\u1eed c\u00f9ng nh\u1eefng th\u00e0nh ph\u1ea7n kh\u00e1c m\u00e0 Nga c\u1ea7n \u0111\u1ec3 duy tr\u00ec, r\u1ed3i m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng n\u0103ng l\u1ef1c s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1. \u0110\u1ed5i l\u1ea1i, Nga chuy\u1ec3n giao cho c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c nh\u1eefng c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng tinh vi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nh\u1eefng ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng trao \u0111\u1ed5i n\u00e0y c\u00f3 t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3, nh\u01b0ng v\u1ec1 c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n v\u1eabn c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c hi\u1ec3u l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t chu\u1ed7i giao d\u1ecbch song ph\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1eadp trung ph\u1ee5c v\u1ee5 cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn c\u1ee7a Nga. Gi\u1edd \u0111\u00e2y, c\u00e1ch nh\u00ecn nh\u1eadn \u1ea5y ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng kh\u00f4ng c\u00f2n \u0111\u1ea7y \u0111\u1ee7. Quan h\u1ec7 h\u1ee3p t\u00e1c \u0111ang mang t\u00ednh m\u1ea1ng l\u01b0\u1edbi h\u01a1n v\u00e0 ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u1edbi vi\u1ec7c gi\u1ea3i quy\u1ebft nh\u1eefng th\u00e1ch th\u1ee9c m\u1edbi t\u1ea1i c\u00e1c khu v\u1ef1c m\u1edbi.<\/mark><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ch\u01b0\u01a1ng tr\u00ecnh drone c\u1ee7a Nga cho th\u1ea5y r\u00f5 s\u1ef1 thay \u0111\u1ed5i n\u00e0y. Ban \u0111\u1ea7u, Iran b\u00e1n cho Nga drone Shahed, sau \u0111\u00f3 gi\u00fap Moscow thi\u1ebft l\u1eadp d\u00e2y chuy\u1ec1n s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t trong n\u01b0\u1edbc. Nh\u01b0ng Nga kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u01a1n thu\u1ea7n sao ch\u00e9p nh\u1eefng c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c chuy\u1ec3n giao. N\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y t\u00edch h\u1ee3p c\u00e1c linh ki\u1ec7n Trung Qu\u1ed1c, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi li\u00ean t\u1ee5c \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng d\u1eabn \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng, th\u00f4ng tin li\u00ean l\u1ea1c, t\u1ea3i tr\u1ecdng, \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u01a1 v\u00e0 chi\u1ebfn thu\u1eadt s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng drone \u0111\u1ec3 th\u00edch \u1ee9ng v\u1edbi h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng ph\u00f2ng th\u1ee7 c\u1ee7a Ukraine. C\u00e1c \u0111\u01a1n v\u1ecb qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 m\u1edbi chuy\u1ec3n nh\u1eefng c\u1ea3i ti\u1ebfn \u0111\u00e3 ch\u1ee9ng minh hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 tr\u00ean chi\u1ebfn tr\u01b0\u1eddng tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i d\u00e2y chuy\u1ec1n s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t, t\u1ea1o th\u00e0nh m\u1ed9t chu tr\u00ecnh th\u00edch nghi v\u1edbi th\u1ef1c chi\u1ebfn nhanh b\u1ea5t th\u01b0\u1eddng. L\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng H\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng Kh\u00f4ng ng\u01b0\u1eddi l\u00e1i Nga, m\u1ed9t qu\u00e2n ch\u1ee7ng chuy\u00ean v\u1ec1 drone v\u00e0 robot thu\u1ed9c qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed9i Nga, \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u00e0nh l\u1eadp n\u0103m ngo\u00e1i nh\u1eb1m th\u1ec3 ch\u1ebf h\u00f3a chu tr\u00ecnh n\u00e0y. S\u1ef1 k\u1ebft h\u1ee3p gi\u1eefa n\u0103ng l\u1ef1c c\u1ea3i ti\u1ebfn trong n\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00e0 quan h\u1ec7 \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c trong tr\u1ee5c \u0111\u00e3 ch\u1ee9ng t\u1ecf hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3.<\/strong> Ch\u1eb3ng h\u1ea1n, nh\u1eefng drone Geran th\u1ebf h\u1ec7 m\u1edbi s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u01a1 ph\u1ea3n l\u1ef1c c\u1ee7a Nga c\u00f3 t\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 cao h\u01a1n, mang \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u1ea3i tr\u1ecdng l\u1edbn h\u01a1n v\u00e0 kh\u00f3 b\u1ecb l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng Ukraine \u0111\u00e1nh ch\u1eb7n h\u01a1n \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 so v\u1edbi c\u00e1c phi\u00ean b\u1ea3n tr\u01b0\u1edbc.<\/p>\n\n\n

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\"\"<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

Nh\u1eefng c\u1ea3i ti\u1ebfn c\u1ee7a Nga c\u0169ng kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c gi\u1eef l\u1ea1i t\u1ea1i n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y m\u00e0 c\u00f2n lan truy\u1ec1n trong to\u00e0n b\u1ed9 m\u1ea1ng l\u01b0\u1edbi h\u1ee3p t\u00e1c c\u1ee7a tr\u1ee5c. \u0110\u1ed1i v\u1edbi Iran, c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 t\u1eebng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c chuy\u1ec3n giao t\u1eeb Tehran sang Nga gi\u1edd \u0111\u00e2y \u0111ang quay tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i, k\u00e8m theo nh\u1eefng t\u01b0 v\u1ea5n chi\u1ebfn thu\u1eadt \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u00fac k\u1ebft t\u1eeb kinh nghi\u1ec7m th\u1ef1c chi\u1ebfn c\u1ee7a Moscow t\u1ea1i Ukraine.<\/strong> N\u1ebfu c\u00e1c drone s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u01a1 ph\u1ea3n l\u1ef1c c\u1ee7a Nga c\u0169ng xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i Trung \u0110\u00f4ng, \u0111i\u1ec1u nhi\u1ec1u kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng s\u1ebd x\u1ea3y ra, c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng c\u1ee7a Iran nh\u1eb1m v\u00e0o l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 c\u01a1 s\u1edf h\u1ea1 t\u1ea7ng n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng trong khu v\u1ef1c s\u1ebd tr\u1edf n\u00ean kh\u00f3 ng\u0103n ch\u1eb7n h\u01a1n v\u00e0 \u0111\u00f2i h\u1ecfi chi ph\u00ed ph\u00f2ng th\u1ee7 cao h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Tri\u1ec1u Ti\u00ean v\u00e0 Trung Qu\u1ed1c c\u0169ng \u0111ang h\u01b0\u1edfng l\u1ee3i. Theo c\u00e1c b\u00e1o c\u00e1o t\u1eeb Ukraine, Nga \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c m\u1ed9t th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn gi\u00fap Tri\u1ec1u Ti\u00ean m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t drone ki\u1ec3u Shahed. C\u00e1c k\u1ef9 s\u01b0 Tri\u1ec1u Ti\u00ean \u0111\u00e3 t\u00edch l\u0169y kinh nghi\u1ec7m trong th\u1eddi gian l\u00e0m vi\u1ec7c t\u1ea1i nh\u00e0 m\u00e1y s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t drone Yelabuga quy m\u00f4 l\u1edbn c\u1ee7a Nga, trong khi c\u00e1c l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng Tri\u1ec1u Ti\u00ean chi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ea5u c\u00f9ng qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed9i Nga c\u0169ng c\u00f3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c tr\u1ea3i nghi\u1ec7m tr\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp v\u1ec1 c\u00e1ch t\u00edch h\u1ee3p drone v\u00e0o t\u00e1c chi\u1ebfn hi\u1ec7n \u0111\u1ea1i<\/strong>. Qu\u00e2n nh\u00e2n Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng Nga hu\u1ea5n luy\u1ec7n v\u1ec1 chi\u1ebfn tranh b\u1eb1ng drone, c\u00f2n c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 cung c\u1ea5p Trung Qu\u1ed1c thu th\u1eadp \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c nh\u1eefng th\u00f4ng tin qu\u00fd gi\u00e1 v\u1ec1 hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 do h\u1ecd s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t trong \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n chi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ea5u th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf. Nh\u01b0 v\u1eady, B\u1eafc Kinh \u0111ang h\u01b0\u1edfng l\u1ee3i t\u1eeb qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n chi\u1ebfn tranh b\u1eb1ng drone, v\u1ed1n b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u t\u1eeb c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 c\u1ee7a Iran v\u00e0 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ho\u00e0n thi\u1ec7n th\u00f4ng qua cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn c\u1ee7a Nga t\u1ea1i Ukraine.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

M\u00d4 H\u00ccNH C\u00d3 TH\u1ec2 \u0110\u01af\u1ee2C NH\u00c2N R\u1ed8NG<\/h4>\n\n\n\n

Hai n\u0103m tr\u01b0\u1edbc, v\u1eabn ch\u01b0a r\u00f5 li\u1ec7u quan h\u1ec7 \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c gi\u1eefa b\u1ed1n th\u00e0nh vi\u00ean c\u1ee7a tr\u1ee5c c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u1ed3n t\u1ea1i l\u00e2u h\u01a1n cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn \u0111\u00e3 th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y s\u1ef1 h\u00ecnh th\u00e0nh c\u1ee7a n\u00f3 hay kh\u00f4ng. N\u1ebfu chi\u1ebfn tranh Ukraine k\u1ebft th\u00fac v\u00e0 Nga kh\u00f4ng c\u00f2n c\u1ea7n \u0111\u1ebfn drone c\u1ee7a Iran, \u0111\u1ea1n d\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1ee7a Tri\u1ec1u Ti\u00ean hay s\u1ef1 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 kinh t\u1ebf v\u00e0 c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 t\u1eeb Trung Qu\u1ed1c, c\u00e1c m\u1ed1i quan h\u1ec7 n\u00e0y c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 s\u1ebd m\u1ea5t \u0111i \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Tuy nhi\u00ean, cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 t\u1ea1o ra nhu c\u1ea7u h\u1ee3p t\u00e1c tr\u01b0\u1edbc m\u1eaft. N\u00f3 c\u00f2n ch\u1ee9ng minh hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf c\u1ee7a nh\u1eefng g\u00ec c\u00e1c m\u1ed1i quan h\u1ec7 \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c n\u00e0y c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c, v\u01b0\u1ee3t xa kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng c\u1ee7a t\u1eebng qu\u1ed1c gia n\u1ebfu h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u01a1n \u0111\u1ed9c.<\/mark> H\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng ph\u00f2ng th\u1ee7 c\u1ee7a Ukraine, c\u00e1c l\u1ec7nh tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t c\u1ee7a ph\u01b0\u01a1ng T\u00e2y, ngu\u1ed3n vi\u1ec7n tr\u1ee3 qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 nh\u1eefng n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c c\u00f4 l\u1eadp ngo\u1ea1i giao \u0111\u1ec1u t\u1ecf ra k\u00e9m hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 h\u01a1n so v\u1edbi tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p Nga ph\u1ea3i t\u1ef1 m\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed1i ph\u00f3. B\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch gi\u00fap nhau ch\u1ed1ng ch\u1ecbu s\u1ee9c \u00e9p, c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia trong tr\u1ee5c khi\u1ebfn M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed3ng minh kh\u00f3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 bu\u1ed9c h\u1ecd thay \u0111\u1ed5i \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng l\u1ed1i.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Iran hi\u1ec7n \u0111ang ch\u1ee9ng minh r\u1eb1ng m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh n\u00e0y c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u00e1p d\u1ee5ng \u1edf nh\u1eefng chi\u1ebfn tr\u01b0\u1eddng kh\u00e1c. S\u1ef1 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 c\u1ee7a Nga d\u00e0nh cho Tehran mang l\u1ea1i hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 th\u1ef1c ch\u1ea5t v\u1ec1 m\u1eb7t t\u00e1c chi\u1ebfn, nh\u01b0ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c gi\u1edbi h\u1ea1n m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch th\u1eadn tr\u1ecdng. Ngay c\u1ea3 khi \u0111ang ti\u1ebfn h\u00e0nh cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn ri\u00eang t\u1ea1i Ukraine, Moscow v\u1eabn t\u00ecm \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00e1ch gi\u00fap Iran t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng c\u00e1c m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 duy tr\u00ec kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng chi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ea5u th\u00f4ng qua s\u1ef1 che ch\u1eafn v\u1ec1 ngo\u1ea1i giao v\u00e0 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 v\u1eadt ch\u1ea5t, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi tr\u00e1nh nh\u1eefng h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 k\u00e9o Nga v\u00e0o m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c xung \u0111\u1ed9t tr\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp v\u1edbi M\u1ef9. Trung Qu\u1ed1c th\u1eadm ch\u00ed c\u00f2n th\u1eadn tr\u1ecdng h\u01a1n, nh\u01b0ng vi\u1ec7c n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y cung c\u1ea5p c\u00e1c thi\u1ebft b\u1ecb \u0111i\u1ec7n t\u1eed l\u01b0\u1ee1ng d\u1ee5ng v\u00e0 mua d\u1ea7u Iran c\u0169ng g\u00f3p ph\u1ea7n n\u00e2ng cao kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng ch\u1ed1ng ch\u1ecbu c\u1ee7a Tehran tr\u01b0\u1edbc s\u1ee9c \u00e9p t\u1eeb Washington.<\/p>\n\n\n

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S\u1ef1 ki\u1ec1m ch\u1ebf \u1ea5y kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i l\u00e0 d\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u cho th\u1ea5y tr\u1ee5c \u0111ang suy y\u1ebfu, m\u00e0 tr\u00e1i l\u1ea1i ch\u00ednh l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t \u0111\u1eb7c \u0111i\u1ec3m n\u1ed5i b\u1eadt trong c\u00e1ch th\u1ee9c v\u1eadn h\u00e0nh c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c m\u1ed1i quan h\u1ec7 \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c n\u00e0y.<\/strong> Ngo\u1ea1i tr\u1eeb tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t \u0111\u00e1ng ch\u00fa \u00fd l\u00e0 binh s\u0129 Tri\u1ec1u Ti\u00ean \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c tri\u1ec3n khai \u0111\u1ec3 chi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ea5u h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 Nga, c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia trong tr\u1ee5c nh\u00ecn chung tr\u00e1nh tr\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp tham gia nh\u1eefng cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn c\u1ee7a nhau. Thay v\u00e0o \u0111\u00f3, h\u1ecd cung c\u1ea5p s\u1ef1 h\u1eadu thu\u1eabn ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb, h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 kinh t\u1ebf, t\u00ecnh b\u00e1o, c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 v\u00e0 vi\u1ec7n tr\u1ee3 qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 c\u00f3 gi\u1edbi h\u1ea1n, mi\u1ec5n l\u00e0 nh\u1eefng ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng n\u00e0y ph\u1ee5c v\u1ee5 l\u1ee3i \u00edch ri\u00eang v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 r\u1ee7i ro c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

C\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn t\u1ea1i Ukraine v\u00e0 Iran c\u00f2n mang \u0111\u1ebfn cho tr\u1ee5c m\u1ed9t b\u00e0i h\u1ecdc kh\u00e1c: h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 m\u1ed9t th\u00e0nh vi\u00ean kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 gi\u00fap ch\u00ednh qu\u1ed1c gia nh\u1eadn vi\u1ec7n tr\u1ee3 tr\u1edf n\u00ean m\u1ea1nh h\u01a1n. Xung \u0111\u1ed9t t\u1ea1i m\u1ed9t chi\u1ebfn tr\u01b0\u1eddng c\u00f2n c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u1ea1o ra nh\u1eefng c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i cho c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c \u1edf nh\u1eefng khu v\u1ef1c kh\u00e1c. Ch\u1eb3ng h\u1ea1n, vi\u1ec7c Iran \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda eo bi\u1ec3n Hormuz \u0111\u00e3 khi\u1ebfn gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u t\u0103ng v\u1ecdt, mang l\u1ea1i ngu\u1ed3n thu b\u1ea5t ng\u1edd cho Nga v\u00e0 th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y Washington t\u1ea1m th\u1eddi n\u1edbi l\u1ecfng nh\u1eefng h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u d\u1ea7u c\u1ee7a Moscow. Nh\u01b0 v\u1eady, cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn c\u1ee7a Iran \u0111\u00e3 t\u1ea1o ra nh\u1eefng ngu\u1ed3n l\u1ef1c m\u00e0 Nga c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng \u0111\u1ec3 duy tr\u00ec cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn c\u1ee7a ch\u00ednh m\u00ecnh.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng Iran, M\u1ef9 \u0111\u00e3 \u0111i\u1ec1u chuy\u1ec3n nh\u1eefng kh\u00ed t\u00e0i qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 quan tr\u1ecdng, bao g\u1ed3m c\u00e1c h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng ph\u00f2ng kh\u00f4ng v\u00e0 ph\u00f2ng th\u1ee7 t\u00ean l\u1eeda, t\u1eeb khu v\u1ef1c \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 D\u01b0\u01a1ng \u2013 Th\u00e1i B\u00ecnh D\u01b0\u01a1ng sang Trung \u0110\u00f4ng. Khi giao tranh ti\u1ebfp di\u1ec5n, qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed9i M\u1ef9 tri\u1ec3n khai hai t\u00e0u s\u00e2n bay \u0111\u1ebfn khu v\u1ef1c n\u00e0y, khi\u1ebfn \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 D\u01b0\u01a1ng \u2013 Th\u00e1i B\u00ecnh D\u01b0\u01a1ng kh\u00f4ng c\u00f2n t\u00e0u s\u00e2n bay M\u1ef9 n\u00e0o. S\u1ef1 hi\u1ec7n di\u1ec7n qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 m\u1ecfng h\u01a1n c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 t\u1ea1i T\u00e2y Th\u00e1i B\u00ecnh D\u01b0\u01a1ng gi\u00fap Trung Qu\u1ed1c c\u00f3 th\u00eam quy\u1ec1n t\u1ef1 do h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng v\u1ec1 m\u1eb7t t\u00e1c chi\u1ebfn, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi khi\u1ebfn B\u1eafc Kinh \u00edt b\u1ecb \u0111e d\u1ecda h\u01a1n khi kho d\u1ef1 tr\u1eef \u0111\u1ea1n d\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1ee7a Washington suy gi\u1ea3m. N\u1ebfu M\u1ef9 chuy\u1ec3n sang chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c ki\u1ec1m ch\u1ebf Iran k\u00e9o d\u00e0i, t\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1 c\u00e1ch n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y t\u1eebng \u0111\u1ed1i ph\u00f3 v\u1edbi Iraq trong th\u1eadp ni\u00ean 1990, B\u1eafc Kinh c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 h\u01b0\u1edfng l\u1ee3i t\u1eeb s\u1ef1 ph\u00e2n t\u00e1n ngu\u1ed3n l\u1ef1c \u1ea5y trong nhi\u1ec1u n\u0103m.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

TR\u01af\u1edaC H\u1ebeT, \u0110\u1eeaNG G\u00c2Y TH\u00caM T\u1ed4N H\u1ea0I<\/h4>\n\n\n\n

Kinh nghi\u1ec7m t\u1eeb tr\u1ee5c g\u00e2y bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng cho th\u1ea5y quy m\u00f4 v\u00e0 s\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh c\u1ee7a m\u1ed9t m\u1ea1ng l\u01b0\u1edbi s\u1ebd \u00edt c\u00f3 \u00fd ngh\u0129a n\u1ebfu c\u00e1c th\u00e0nh vi\u00ean kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 chuy\u1ec3n h\u00f3a n\u0103ng l\u1ef1c ri\u00eang l\u1ebb th\u00e0nh s\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh t\u1eadp th\u1ec3. M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed3ng minh v\u1ed1n xu\u1ea5t ph\u00e1t t\u1eeb m\u1ed9t v\u1ecb th\u1ebf c\u00f3 nhi\u1ec1u l\u1ee3i th\u1ebf \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3: ngu\u1ed3n l\u1ef1c kinh t\u1ebf v\u00e0 c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 l\u1edbn h\u01a1n, qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed9i c\u00f3 n\u0103ng l\u1ef1c v\u01b0\u1ee3t tr\u1ed9i h\u01a1n, c\u00f9ng m\u1ea1ng l\u01b0\u1edbi \u0111\u1ed3ng minh v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c r\u1ed9ng l\u1edbn h\u01a1n r\u1ea5t nhi\u1ec1u. V\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 \u0111\u1eb7t ra l\u00e0 m\u1ea1ng l\u01b0\u1edbi n\u00e0o c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 khai th\u00e1c hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 h\u01a1n nh\u1eefng ngu\u1ed3n l\u1ef1c m\u00e0 m\u00ecnh s\u1edf h\u1eefu.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u0110i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00f3 tr\u01b0\u1edbc h\u1ebft b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u t\u1eeb vai tr\u00f2 l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o. Trong nhi\u1ec1u th\u1eadp k\u1ef7, M\u1ef9 \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 m\u1ed9t tr\u1eadt t\u1ef1 qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf ng\u0103n c\u1ea5m c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn tranh x\u00e2m l\u01b0\u1ee3c nh\u1eb1m chi\u1ebfm \u0111o\u1ea1t l\u00e3nh th\u1ed5, b\u1ea3o v\u1ec7 quy\u1ec1n t\u1ef1 do h\u00e0ng h\u1ea3i, duy tr\u00ec m\u1ed9t n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u nh\u00ecn chung c\u1edfi m\u1edf v\u00e0 cho ph\u00e9p ng\u01b0\u1eddi d\u00e2n th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n c\u00e1c quy\u1ec1n d\u00e2n ch\u1ee7, ngay c\u1ea3 khi nh\u1eefng ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9 chuy\u00ean ch\u1ebf v\u1eabn ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c t\u1ed3n t\u1ea1i. Washington k\u1ebft h\u1ee3p t\u1ea7m nh\u00ecn n\u00e0y v\u1edbi m\u1ed9t th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn ng\u1ea7m: b\u1ea5t k\u1ef3 qu\u1ed1c gia n\u00e0o mong mu\u1ed1n tham gia tr\u1eadt t\u1ef1 \u0111\u00f3 \u0111\u1ec1u c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0m nh\u01b0 v\u1eady. Vi\u1ec7c tu\u00e2n th\u1ee7 nh\u1eefng nguy\u00ean t\u1eafc n\u1ec1n t\u1ea3ng c\u1ee7a tr\u1eadt t\u1ef1 s\u1ebd mang l\u1ea1i c\u00e1c l\u1ee3i \u00edch, bao g\u1ed3m nh\u1eefng l\u1ee3i \u00edch t\u1eeb M\u1ef9 nh\u01b0 quan h\u1ec7 th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i, s\u1ef1 \u01b0u ti\u00ean trong ngo\u1ea1i giao v\u00e0 \u0111\u00f4i khi l\u00e0 c\u00e1c li\u00ean minh qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n

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\u0110\u1ed1i v\u1edbi nh\u1eefng qu\u1ed1c gia b\u00e1c b\u1ecf tr\u1eadt t\u1ef1 qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf c\u1edfi m\u1edf, nh\u01b0 c\u00e1c th\u00e0nh vi\u00ean c\u1ee7a tr\u1ee5c hi\u1ec7n nay, l\u1ee3i \u00edch nh\u1eadn \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u00edt h\u01a1n r\u1ea5t nhi\u1ec1u, trong khi c\u00e1i gi\u00e1 ph\u1ea3i tr\u1ea3 l\u1ea1i \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3. M\u1ef9 \u00e1p \u0111\u1eb7t tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t, g\u00e2y s\u1ee9c \u00e9p v\u00e0 \u0111\u00f4i khi ti\u1ebfn h\u00e0nh chi\u1ebfn tranh ch\u1ed1ng l\u1ea1i nh\u1eefng qu\u1ed1c gia b\u1ecb coi l\u00e0 b\u1ea5t h\u1ea3o, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi ch\u1ed1ng l\u1ea1i vi\u1ec7c h\u00ecnh th\u00e0nh c\u00e1c tr\u1eadt t\u1ef1 c\u1ea1nh tranh, ch\u1eb3ng h\u1ea1n nh\u01b0 kh\u1ed1i c\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n trong th\u1eddi k\u1ef3 Chi\u1ebfn tranh L\u1ea1nh. Ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch \u0111\u1ed1i ngo\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng tr\u00ean m\u1ed9t ti\u1ec1n \u0111\u1ec1 t\u01b0\u1edfng ch\u1eebng kh\u00f4ng g\u00e2y tranh c\u00e3i: Washington n\u00ean k\u1ebft giao v\u1edbi nh\u1eefng qu\u1ed1c gia c\u00f3 c\u00f9ng quan \u0111i\u1ec3m v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed1i x\u1eed v\u1edbi h\u1ecd t\u1ed1t h\u01a1n so v\u1edbi nh\u1eefng n\u01b0\u1edbc b\u00e1c b\u1ecf tr\u1eadt t\u1ef1 m\u00e0 M\u1ef9 \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ng\u1eebng g\u00e2y th\u00eam t\u1ed5n h\u1ea1i s\u1ebd l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t kh\u1edfi \u0111\u1ea7u t\u1ed1t trong c\u00e1ch M\u1ef9 \u0111\u1ed1i ph\u00f3 v\u1edbi tr\u1ee5c n\u00e0y. Xa h\u01a1n, Washington c\u1ea7n gi\u00fap c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh tr\u1edf n\u00ean m\u1ea1nh h\u01a1n. C\u0169ng nh\u01b0 c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia trong tr\u1ee5c \u0111ang h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 nhau t\u00ecm c\u00e1ch v\u01b0\u1ee3t qua c\u00e1c l\u1ec7nh tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t, duy tr\u00ec kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn nh\u1eefng c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 v\u00e0 linh ki\u1ec7n thi\u1ebft y\u1ebfu, c\u0169ng nh\u01b0 b\u1ea3o v\u1ec7 n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf tr\u01b0\u1edbc s\u1ee9c \u00e9p, M\u1ef9 c\u0169ng c\u1ea7n h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 m\u1ea1ng l\u01b0\u1edbi \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh. \u0110i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00f3 c\u00f3 ngh\u0129a l\u00e0 Washington ph\u1ea3i c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 c\u00e1c chu\u1ed7i cung \u1ee9ng \u0111i qua nh\u1eefng \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c \u0111\u00e1ng tin c\u1eady, chia s\u1ebb c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 v\u00e0 khuy\u1ebfn kh\u00edch c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed3ng minh \u0111\u1ea3m nh\u1eadn tr\u00e1ch nhi\u1ec7m an ninh l\u1edbn h\u01a1n. Tuy nhi\u00ean, Washington ph\u1ea3i th\u1eadn tr\u1ecdng \u0111\u1ec3 kh\u00f4ng chuy\u1ec3n giao tr\u00e1ch nhi\u1ec7m qu\u1ed1c ph\u00f2ng nhanh h\u01a1n t\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed3ng minh c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n n\u0103ng l\u1ef1c c\u1ea7n thi\u1ebft \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea3m nh\u1eadn ch\u00fang, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi tr\u00e1nh th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n \u0111i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00f3 theo nh\u1eefng c\u00e1ch l\u00e0m x\u00f3i m\u00f2n l\u00f2ng tin, kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng ph\u1ed1i h\u1ee3p t\u00e1c chi\u1ebfn v\u00e0 s\u1ef1 \u0111i\u1ec1u ph\u1ed1i chung. N\u1ebfu kh\u00f4ng, M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed3ng minh c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 tr\u1edf n\u00ean m\u1ea1nh h\u01a1n khi x\u00e9t ri\u00eang t\u1eebng qu\u1ed1c gia, nh\u01b0ng l\u1ea1i k\u00e9m hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 h\u01a1n khi h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng t\u1eadp th\u1ec3.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

M\u1ef9 c\u0169ng c\u1ea7n \u0111\u1ea3o ng\u01b0\u1ee3c nh\u1eefng ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch \u0111ang l\u00e0m suy y\u1ebfu ch\u00ednh m\u1ea1ng l\u01b0\u1edbi \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh. Thu\u1ebf quan v\u00e0 c\u00e1c bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p b\u1ea3o h\u1ed9 th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i kh\u00e1c g\u00e2y t\u1ed5n h\u1ea1i cho n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf v\u00e0 n\u1ec1n t\u1ea3ng c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed3ng minh. Vi\u1ec7c b\u00e0y t\u1ecf mong mu\u1ed1n chi\u1ebfm \u0111o\u1ea1t l\u00e3nh th\u1ed5 c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ed3ng minh v\u00e0 t\u00ecm c\u00e1ch l\u00e0m suy y\u1ebfu c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd c\u0169ng kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 gi\u00fap h\u00ecnh th\u00e0nh m\u1ed9t m\u1ea1ng l\u01b0\u1edbi qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf c\u00f3 n\u0103ng l\u1ef1c m\u1ea1nh h\u01a1n. Washington c\u1ea7n th\u1ec3 hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea7m nh\u00ecn v\u00e0 vai tr\u00f2 l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi nh\u1eefng qu\u1ed1c gia b\u1ea1n b\u00e8, thay v\u00ec mang \u0111\u1ebfn s\u1ef1 b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ecbnh g\u00e2y b\u1ea5t an v\u00e0 c\u00e1ch h\u00e0nh x\u1eed mang t\u00ednh \u0111\u1ed5i ch\u00e1c \u0111\u1ea7y \u00e1p \u0111\u1eb7t.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ngay c\u1ea3 khi M\u1ef9 thay \u0111\u1ed5i \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng l\u1ed1i, c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 ho\u1ea1ch \u0111\u1ecbnh ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch t\u1ea1i Washington v\u00e0 c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u1ed3ng minh v\u1eabn c\u1ea7n chu\u1ea9n b\u1ecb cho m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c \u0111\u1ea5u tranh l\u00e2u d\u00e0i. Nh\u01b0 n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c thay \u0111\u1ed5i ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9 th\u1ea5t b\u1ea1i t\u1ea1i Iran \u0111\u00e3 cho th\u1ea5y, kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 con \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng t\u1eaft n\u00e0o \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u00e1nh b\u1ea1i c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia trong tr\u1ee5c, d\u00f9 \u0111\u1ed1i ph\u00f3 v\u1edbi h\u1ecd ri\u00eang l\u1ebb hay c\u00f9ng l\u00fac. Cu\u1ed9c c\u1ea1nh tranh gi\u1eefa c\u00e1c m\u1ea1ng l\u01b0\u1edbi s\u1ebd di\u1ec5n ra tr\u00ean ph\u1ea1m vi g\u1ea7n nh\u01b0 to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u, tr\u1ea3i r\u1ed9ng tr\u00ean nhi\u1ec1u l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c, v\u1edbi nh\u1eefng l\u1ee3i \u00edch v\u00e0 h\u1ec7 qu\u1ea3 v\u00f4 c\u00f9ng l\u1edbn ph\u1ee5 thu\u1ed9c v\u00e0o k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng. M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed3ng minh c\u00f3 \u0111\u1ee7 n\u0103ng l\u1ef1c \u0111\u1ec3 gi\u00e0nh chi\u1ebfn th\u1eafng. \u0110i\u1ec1u h\u1ecd c\u1ea7n l\u00e0m l\u00e0 ch\u1ee9ng t\u1ecf quy\u1ebft t\u00e2m.<\/mark><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Andrea Kendall-Taylor <\/strong>
Nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u vi\u00ean cao c\u1ea5p ki\u00eam Gi\u00e1m \u0111\u1ed1c Ch\u01b0\u01a1ng tr\u00ecnh An ninh Xuy\u00ean \u0110\u1ea1i T\u00e2y D\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ea1i Trung t\u00e2m An ninh M\u1ef9 M\u1edbi (CNAS). T\u1eeb n\u0103m 2015 \u0111\u1ebfn n\u0103m 2018, b\u00e0 gi\u1eef ch\u1ee9c Ph\u00f3 S\u0129 quan T\u00ecnh b\u00e1o Qu\u1ed1c gia ph\u1ee5 tr\u00e1ch Nga v\u00e0 khu v\u1ef1c \u00c1-\u00c2u t\u1ea1i H\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ed3ng T\u00ecnh b\u00e1o Qu\u1ed1c gia M\u1ef9.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Richard Fontaine <\/strong>
Gi\u00e1m \u0111\u1ed1c \u0111i\u1ec1u h\u00e0nh Trung t\u00e2m An ninh M\u1ef9 M\u1edbi (CNAS). \u00d4ng t\u1eebng c\u00f4ng t\u00e1c t\u1ea1i B\u1ed9 Ngo\u1ea1i giao M\u1ef9, H\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ed3ng An ninh Qu\u1ed1c gia v\u00e0 gi\u1eef vai tr\u00f2 c\u1ed1 v\u1ea5n ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch \u0111\u1ed1i ngo\u1ea1i cho Th\u01b0\u1ee3ng ngh\u1ecb s\u0129 M\u1ef9 John McCain.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ngu\u1ed3n tr\u00edch: Nghi\u00ean C\u1ee9u Qu\u1ed1c T\u1ebf<\/strong>
https:\/\/nghiencuuquocte.org\/2026\/10\/23\/truc-noi-day-iran-trieu-tien-nga-trung-quoc-buoc-vao-cuoc-chien\/#more-69203<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u1ea2nh minh h\u1ecda: V\u1eadn H\u1ed9i M\u1edbi<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

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Ngu\u1ed3n: Andrea Kendall-Taylor v\u00e0 Richard Fontaine, \u201cThe Axis of Upheaval Goes to War\u201d, Foreign Affairs, 16\/10\/2026 Bi\u00ean d\u1ecbch: Vi\u00ean \u0110\u0103ng Huy Ng\u00e0y 17\/7, m\u1ed9t t\u00ean l\u1eeda c\u1ee7a Iran \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u00e1nh tr\u00fang C\u0103n c\u1ee9 Kh\u00f4ng qu\u00e2n Muwaffaq Salti t\u1ea1i Jordan, khi\u1ebfn ba binh s\u0129 M\u1ef9 thi\u1ec7t m\u1ea1ng v\u00e0 b\u1ed1n ng\u01b0\u1eddi kh\u00e1c\u0111\u1ecdc ti\u1ebfp…<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":29814,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[7,769,8,12,9],"tags":[328,165,118,212,119,82,284,643,98],"class_list":["entry","author-ntviet","post-29813","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-binhluan","category-chien-tranh","category-chinhtri-xahoi","category-chuyenmuc","category-kinhte","tag-bac-han","tag-binh-luan","tag-chinh-tri","tag-chuyen-de","tag-hoa-ky","tag-kinh-te","tag-nga","tag-truc-ma-quy","tag-trung-cong"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29813","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=29813"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29813\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":29817,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29813\/revisions\/29817"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/29814"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=29813"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=29813"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=29813"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}