{"id":3061,"date":"2020-07-02T05:50:58","date_gmt":"2020-07-02T05:50:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/?p=3061"},"modified":"2020-11-21T02:55:29","modified_gmt":"2020-11-21T02:55:29","slug":"ky-nguyen-canh-tranh-nuoc-lon-va-phan-ung-cua-my-duoi-thoi-trump-phan-1","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/?p=3061","title":{"rendered":"K\u1ef7 nguy\u00ean c\u1ea1nh tranh n\u01b0\u1edbc l\u1edbn v\u00e0 ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 d\u01b0\u1edbi th\u1eddi Trump (Ph\u1ea7n 1)<\/strong>
Elbridge A. Colby & A. Wess Mitchell<\/span>"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Nguy\u00ean t\u00e1c:<\/strong> Elbridge A. Colby & A. Wess Mitchell<\/span>, \u201cThe Age of Great-Power Competition\u201d,  Foreign Affairs, <\/em>Jan\/Feb 2020<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bi\u00ean d\u1ecbch: <\/strong>\u0110\u1ed7 \u0110\u1eb7ng Nh\u1eadt Huy | Bi\u00ean t\u1eadp: <\/strong>L\u00ea H\u1ed3ng Hi\u1ec7p<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nhi\u1ec1u ng\u01b0\u1eddi cho r\u1eb1ng ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch \u0111\u1ed1i ngo\u1ea1i hi\u1ec7n nay c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t m\u1edb h\u1ed7n \u0111\u1ed9n. C\u00e1c trang b\u00e1o gi\u1eadt t\u00edt r\u1eb1ng v\u1ecb th\u1ebf l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 \u0111\u00e3 ch\u1ebft. C\u00e1c nh\u00e0 b\u00ecnh lu\u1eadn n\u1ed5i ti\u1ebfng ch\u0103m ch\u1ec9 g\u1eedi \u0111i c\u00e1c c\u1eadp nh\u1eadt m\u1edbi nh\u1ea5t t\u1eeb ti\u1ec1n tuy\u1ebfn chi\u1ebfn d\u1ecbch m\u00e0 h\u1ecd cho l\u00e0 do T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng Donald Trump ti\u1ebfn h\u00e0nh nh\u1eb1m ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 tr\u1eadt t\u1ef1 th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi t\u1ef1 do h\u1eadu chi\u1ebfn. H\u1ecd n\u00f3i v\u1edbi ch\u00fang ta r\u1eb1ng thi\u1ec7t h\u1ea1i \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi v\u1ecb th\u1ebf to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u c\u1ee7a Washington gi\u1edd \u0111\u00e2y l\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 n\u00e0o kh\u1eafc ph\u1ee5c \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c n\u1eefa.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nh\u01b0ng \u1ea9n sau l\u00e0n s\u00f3ng ch\u1ec9 tr\u00edch th\u01b0\u1eddng nh\u1eadt \u1ea5y l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t vi\u1ec5n c\u1ea3nh kh\u00e1c. Tr\u00ean th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf, Hoa K\u1ef3 \u0111ang s\u1eeda so\u1ea1n cho m\u1ed9t th\u1eddi k\u1ef3 m\u1edbi \u2013 m\u1ed9t th\u1eddi k\u1ef3 h\u1ecd kh\u00f4ng c\u00f2n th\u1ed1ng tr\u1ecb tuy\u1ec7t \u0111\u1ed1i n\u1eefa, m\u00e0 thay v\u00e0o \u0111\u00f3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u1eb7c tr\u01b0ng b\u1edfi m\u1ed9t Trung Qu\u1ed1c tr\u1ed7i d\u1eady v\u00e0 m\u1ed9t n\u01b0\u1edbc Nga b\u00e1o th\u00f9 c\u00f9ng t\u00ecm c\u00e1ch l\u00e0m suy y\u1ebfu quy\u1ec1n l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 v\u1ebd l\u1ea1i ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u theo \u00fd m\u00ecnh.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh chuy\u1ec3n d\u1ecbch tr\u1ecdng t\u00e2m n\u00e0y c\u1ee7a Washington \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ti\u1ebfn h\u00e0nh m\u1ed9t th\u1eddi gian. C\u00e1c d\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean, ph\u1ea7n l\u1edbn mang t\u00ednh ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng th\u1ee5 \u0111\u1ed9ng, xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n d\u01b0\u1edbi th\u1eddi t\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng Barack Obama. Ch\u00ednh quy\u1ec1n Trump \u0111i m\u1ed9t b\u01b0\u1edbc xa h\u01a1n b\u1eb1ng vi\u1ec7c th\u1eeba nh\u1eadn c\u1ea1nh tranh n\u01b0\u1edbc l\u1edbn s\u1ebd \u0111\u1ecbnh h\u00ecnh l\u1ea1i ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch \u0111\u1ed1i ngo\u1ea1i Hoa K\u1ef3 t\u1eeb g\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ebfn ng\u1ecdn, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi d\u00f9ng nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh n\u00e0y l\u00e0m c\u01a1 s\u1edf cho c\u00e1c t\u00e0i li\u1ec7u chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c ch\u00ednh th\u1ee9c. Trong t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai khi gi\u1edbi s\u1eed h\u1ecdc nh\u00ecn l\u1ea1i c\u00e1c l\u1ef1a ch\u1ecdn h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a n\u01b0\u1edbc M\u1ef9 \u0111\u1ea7u th\u1ebf k\u1ec9 21, c\u00f3 l\u1ebd c\u00e2u chuy\u1ec7n quan tr\u1ecdng nh\u1ea5t s\u1ebd l\u00e0 vi\u1ec7c Washington \u0111\u01b0a c\u1ea1nh tranh quy\u1ec1n l\u1ef1c n\u01b0\u1edbc l\u1edbn tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh tr\u1ecdng t\u00e2m ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch. \u1ea8n sau c\u00e1c d\u00f2ng t\u00edt s\u1edbm n\u1edf ch\u00f3ng t\u00e0n, ch\u00ednh s\u1ef1 chuy\u1ec3n d\u1ecbch n\u00e0y, c\u00f9ng v\u1edbi qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh t\u00e1i \u0111\u1ecbnh h\u00ecnh h\u00e0nh vi qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1, kinh t\u1ebf, ngo\u1ea1i giao \u0111i k\u00e8m, m\u1edbi l\u00e0 nh\u00e2n t\u1ed1 n\u1ed5i b\u1eadt, nhi\u1ec1u kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng s\u1ebd ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c \u0111\u1ecbnh h\u01b0\u1edbng cho ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch \u0111\u1ed1i ngo\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a nhi\u1ec1u \u0111\u1eddi t\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng M\u1ef9 ti\u1ebfp theo, b\u1ea5t k\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea3ng n\u00e0o c\u1ea7m quy\u1ec1n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

C\u00e1i gi\u00e1 c\u1ee7a vi\u1ec7c kh\u00f4ng l\u00e0m g\u00ec<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Trong nhi\u1ec1u n\u0103m, c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch v\u00e0 gi\u1edbi ph\u00e2n t\u00edch M\u1ef9 \u0111\u00e3 tranh lu\u1eadn xem li\u1ec7u Trung Qu\u1ed1c tr\u1ed7i d\u1eady v\u00e0 Nga tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u1ebf n\u00e0o \u0111\u1ebfn c\u00e1c l\u1ee3i \u00edch c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9. K\u1ec3 t\u1eeb khi \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng trong b\u1ea3n m\u1edbi nh\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a Ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch Qu\u1ed1c ph\u00f2ng v\u00e0 Ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch An ninh Qu\u1ed1c gia, c\u1ee5m t\u1eeb \u201cc\u1ea1nh tranh n\u01b0\u1edbc l\u1edbn\u201d (great-power competition) tr\u1edf n\u00ean ph\u1ed5 bi\u1ebfn t\u1edbi m\u1ee9c \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u00f9ng nhi\u1ec1u \u0111\u1ebfn nh\u00e0m ch\u00e1n. Song gi\u1edd \u0111\u00e2y, th\u00e1ch th\u1ee9c n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh m\u1ed9t s\u1ef1 th\u1eadt hi\u1ec3n nhi\u00ean v\u00e0 r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng: M\u1ef9 \u0111ang \u0111\u1ed1i m\u1eb7t c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbch th\u1ee7 m\u1ea1nh v\u1edbi tham v\u1ecdng v\u01b0\u1ee3t tr\u1ed9i.<\/strong> Tr\u01b0\u1edbc h\u1ebft, Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u2013 v\u1edbi tham v\u1ecdng t\u00ecm ki\u1ebfm b\u00e1 quy\u1ec1n tr\u01b0\u1edbc h\u1ebft \u1edf \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 D\u01b0\u01a1ng \u2013 Th\u00e1i B\u00ecnh D\u01b0\u01a1ng v\u00e0 sau \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 quy\u1ec1n l\u1ef1c to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u \u2013 r\u1ed3i s\u1ebd tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed1i th\u1ee7 \u0111\u00e1ng g\u1eddm nh\u1ea5t trong l\u1ecbch s\u1eed n\u01b0\u1edbc M\u1ef9. Trong khi \u0111\u00f3, Nga tuy c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i \u0111\u1ed1i th\u1ee7 ngang c\u01a1, nh\u01b0ng \u0111\u1ee7 ti\u1ec1m l\u1ef1c \u0111\u1ec3 d\u01b0\u01a1ng oai di\u1ec5u v\u00f5 theo c\u00e1ch m\u00e0 t\u1ea1i th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m Chi\u1ebfn tranh L\u1ea1nh k\u1ebft th\u00fac kh\u00f4ng nhi\u1ec1u ng\u01b0\u1eddi cho r\u1eb1ng h\u1ecd c\u00f3 th\u1ec3. Nga c\u00f3 tham v\u1ecdng h\u1ed3i sinh \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u1edf \u0110\u00f4ng \u00c2u, n\u01a1i t\u1eebng n\u1eb1m trong v\u00f2ng ki\u1ec1m t\u1ecfa c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd, v\u00e0 n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c \u0111\u1ea9y nhanh qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh ch\u1ea5m d\u1ee9t quy\u1ec1n l\u1ef1c \u00e1p \u0111\u1ea3o c\u1ee7a ph\u01b0\u01a1ng T\u00e2y tr\u00ean to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u. Kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng qu\u1ea5y ph\u00e1 n\u1eb1m m\u1ed9t ph\u1ea7n \u1edf kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd, th\u00f4ng qua c\u00e1c h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng v\u00ec l\u1ee3i \u00edch t\u1ef1 th\u00e2n, nh\u1eb1m t\u1ea1o n\u00ean nh\u1eefng cu\u1ed9c kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng mang t\u00ednh h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng v\u1ed1n s\u1ebd l\u00e0m l\u1ee3i cho v\u1ecb th\u1ebf c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u1ec1 l\u00e2u d\u00e0i.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

M\u00e3i cho \u0111\u1ebfn g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y, Washington \u0111\u00e3 kh\u00f4ng th\u1eadt s\u1ef1 ch\u00fa t\u00e2m \u0111\u1ed1i ph\u00f3 v\u1edbi c\u00e1c th\u00e1ch th\u1ee9c n\u00e0y. S\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh kinh t\u1ebf v\u00e0 qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 l\u1edbn \u0111\u1ebfn n\u1ed7i khi\u1ebfn c\u1ea3 m\u1ed9t th\u1ebf h\u1ec7 l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o t\u1eeb sau khi Li\u00ean X\u00f4 s\u1ee5p \u0111\u1ed5, b\u1ea5t k\u1ec3 l\u00e0 D\u00e2n ch\u1ee7 hay C\u1ed9ng h\u00f2a, \u0111\u1ec1u tr\u1edf n\u00ean t\u1ef1 ph\u1ee5 r\u1eb1ng M\u1ef9 s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i \u0111\u1ed1i \u0111\u1ea7u v\u1edbi m\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ecbch th\u1ee7 ngang c\u01a1 n\u00e0o n\u1eefa. C\u1ea1nh tranh n\u01b0\u1edbc l\u1edbn, trong nh\u1eefng ng\u00e0y t\u1ef1 ph\u1ee5 \u1ea5y, l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t th\u1ee9 c\u1ee7a qu\u00e1 kh\u1ee9; v\u00e0 v\u00f4 ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh ng\u00f4n ng\u1eef chung c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u. C\u00f2n c\u00e1c c\u01b0\u1eddng qu\u1ed1c kh\u00e1c th\u00ec tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c ti\u1ec1m n\u0103ng nh\u1eb1m c\u00f9ng nhau gi\u1ea3i quy\u1ebft nh\u1eefng \u201cv\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u\u201d, t\u1eeb ph\u1ed5 bi\u1ebfn v\u0169 kh\u00ed h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n cho \u0111\u1ebfn kh\u1ee7ng b\u1ed1 v\u00e0 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed5i kh\u00ed h\u1eadu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

M\u1ed9t chu\u1ed7i c\u00e1c h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a Nga v\u00e0 Trung Qu\u1ed1c d\u1ea7n cho th\u1ea5y quan \u0111i\u1ec3m l\u1ea1c quan n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 sai. Khi Trung Qu\u1ed1c tr\u1edf n\u00ean then ch\u1ed1t trong h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u, h\u1ecd kh\u00f4ng h\u1ec1 thay \u0111\u1ed5i m\u00e0 c\u00f2n c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 h\u01a1n n\u1eefa cung c\u00e1ch l\u00e0m kinh t\u1ebf mang t\u00ednh ph\u00e2n bi\u1ec7t \u0111\u1ed1i x\u1eed c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh \u2013 \u00e9p bu\u1ed9c chuy\u1ec3n giao c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7, doanh nghi\u1ec7p li\u00ean doanh b\u1eaft bu\u1ed9c, v\u00e0 \u0103n c\u1eafp t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n tr\u00ed tu\u1ec7 tr\u1eafng tr\u1ee3n. Kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 v\u1eady, h\u1ecd c\u00f2n \u0111ang n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed9i c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh v\u1edbi quy m\u00f4 l\u1ecbch s\u1eed, nh\u1eb1m m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau th\u1ed1ng tr\u1ecb ch\u00e2u \u00c1 v\u00e0, v\u1ec1 l\u00e2u d\u00e0i, ph\u00f3ng chi\u1ebfu s\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd ra kh\u1eafp th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi; \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng th\u00f4ng qua S\u00e1ng ki\u1ebfn V\u00e0nh \u0111ai v\u00e0 Con \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng (BRI) v\u00e0 c\u00e1c d\u1ef1 \u00e1n kh\u00e1c. Trong khi \u0111\u00f3, Nga t\u00e1i thi\u1ebft qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed9i, x\u00e2m l\u01b0\u1ee3c Gruzia, s\u00e1p nh\u1eadp Crimea, ch\u00e2m ng\u00f2i phong tr\u00e0o ly khai \u00e2m \u1ec9 \u1edf \u0111\u00f4ng Ukraine, v\u00e0 kh\u1edfi \u0111\u1ed9ng m\u1ed9t chi\u1ebfn d\u1ecbch c\u00f3 h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng nh\u1eb1m kh\u00f4i ph\u1ee5c \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1, kinh t\u1ebf, ngo\u1ea1i giao \u1edf ch\u00e2u Phi, M\u1ef9 Latinh, v\u00e0 Trung \u0110\u00f4ng.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Th\u1ebf nh\u01b0ng nhi\u1ec1u ng\u01b0\u1eddi \u1edf Washington v\u1eabn kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ecbu ch\u1ea5p nh\u1eadn th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf m\u1edbi. Thay v\u00e0o \u0111\u00f3, c\u00e1c l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o M\u1ef9 ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c k\u00eau g\u1ecdi \u201cth\u1eddi k\u1ef3 can d\u1ef1\u201d v\u1edbi Moskva v\u00e0 tr\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ee3i B\u1eafc Kinh tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh \u201cth\u00e0nh vi\u00ean c\u00f3 tr\u00e1ch nhi\u1ec7m\u201d trong tr\u1eadt t\u1ef1 to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u. Nh\u00f3m th\u00e2n Nga bi\u1ec3u hi\u1ec7n m\u00ecnh qua mong mu\u1ed1n \u201cc\u00e0i \u0111\u1eb7t l\u1ea1i\u201d quan h\u1ec7 v\u1edbi Nga v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2009, ch\u1ec9 v\u00e0i th\u00e1ng sau khi Moskva x\u00e2m l\u01b0\u1ee3c Gruzia, trong khi nh\u00f3m th\u00e2n Trung bi\u1ec3u hi\u1ec7n qua c\u00e1c n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c b\u1ec1n b\u1ec9 nh\u1eb1m l\u00e0m s\u00e2u s\u1eafc quan h\u1ec7 v\u1edbi B\u1eafc Kinh v\u00e0 th\u1eadm ch\u00ed nh\u1eafm t\u1edbi x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng c\u01a1 ch\u1ebf \u201cG-2\u201d Trung-M\u1ef9 nh\u1eb1m l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o c\u1ed9ng \u0111\u1ed3ng qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf. Song ti\u1ebfn tr\u00ecnh qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 h\u00f3a tr\u1eafng tr\u1ee3n c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ea3o \u0111\u00e1 \u1edf Bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u00f4ng c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c c\u0169ng nh\u01b0 th\u00e1i \u0111\u1ed9 \u0111\u1ed1i \u0111\u1ea7u ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng l\u1ed9 r\u00f5 c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng \u0111\u00e3 bu\u1ed9c Washington ph\u1ea3i c\u00f3 c\u00e1i nh\u00ecn m\u1edbi v\u1ec1 B\u1eafc Kinh; trong khi \u0111\u00f3, vi\u1ec7c Nga chi\u1ebfm Crimea n\u0103m 2014 c\u0169ng \u0111\u00e3 k\u1ebft th\u00fac m\u1ecdi n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c \u201cc\u00e0i \u0111\u1eb7t l\u1ea1i\u201d. T\u1ea1i th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m ch\u00ednh quy\u1ec1n Obama m\u00e3n nhi\u1ec7m, m\u1ecdi s\u1ef1 tr\u1edf n\u00ean r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng r\u1eb1ng con \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng b\u1ea5y l\u00e2u Hoa K\u1ef3 l\u1ef1a ch\u1ecdn \u0111\u00e3 kh\u00f4ng c\u00f2n \u0111i \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c n\u1eefa.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

C\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch sau \u0111\u00f3 kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i s\u1ea3n ph\u1ea9m c\u1ee7a s\u1ef1 ti\u00ean \u0111o\u00e1n chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c; m\u00e0 thay v\u00e0o \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t chu\u1ed7i c\u00e1c s\u1eeda \u0111\u1ed5i ch\u1ec9 mang t\u00ednh ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng, ch\u1ec9nh l\u00fd l\u1ea1i c\u00e1c ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch tr\u01b0\u1edbc. T\u1ea1i th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m \u1ea5y n\u01b0\u1edbc M\u1ef9 c\u0169ng \u0111\u00e3 ph\u1ea3i g\u00e1nh thi\u1ec7t h\u1ea1i \u0111ang k\u1ec3. V\u00ec \u01b0u ti\u00ean v\u1ebb \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh b\u1ec1 ngo\u00e0i h\u01a1n c\u00e1c l\u1ee3i \u00edch qu\u1ed1c gia r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng, trong nhi\u1ec1u n\u0103m M\u1ef9 \u0111\u00e3 nh\u1eafm m\u1eaft l\u00e0m ng\u01a1 \u0111\u1ec3 Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0103n c\u1eafp t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n tr\u00ed tu\u1ec7 tr\u1eafng tr\u1ee3n \u2013 th\u1eadm ch\u00ed c\u1ea3 c\u00e1c b\u00ed m\u1eadt qu\u1ed1c gia \u2013 v\u00e0 th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c \u201ct\u1eb1m \u0103n d\u00e2u\u201d \u1edf Bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u00f4ng. Trong n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c \u0111\u01b0a Nga tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c nh\u1eb1m c\u00f9ng c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 nguy\u00ean tr\u1ea1ng tr\u1eadt t\u1ef1 th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi m\u00e0 t\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng Vladimir Putin r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng kh\u00f4ng \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9, Washington \u0111\u00e3 ve v\u00e3n v\u00e0 v\u00f4 t\u00ecnh khuy\u1ebfn kh\u00edch Nga x\u00e9t l\u1ea1i v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 l\u00e3nh th\u1ed5 c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi l\u00e0m nh\u1ee5t ch\u00ed c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed3ng minh NATO \u1edf tuy\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ea7u \u0110\u00f4ng \u00c2u. C\u00e1i gi\u00e1 nh\u1eadn v\u1ec1 l\u00e0 r\u1ea5t l\u1edbn, khi c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed3ng minh \u0110\u00f4ng \u00c1 v\u00e0 ch\u00e2u \u00c2u b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u ho\u00e0i nghi li\u1ec7u M\u1ef9 c\u00f3 s\u1eb5n s\u00e0ng \u0111\u1ee9ng l\u00ean t\u1ef1 b\u1ea3o v\u1ec7 ch\u00ednh m\u00ecnh hay kh\u00f4ng, hu\u1ed1ng h\u1ed3 chi l\u00e0 b\u1ea3o v\u1ec7 h\u1ecd.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

S\u1eeda sai<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u0110\u00e3 \u0111\u1ebfn l\u00fac th\u1eeba nh\u1eadn s\u1ef1 th\u1eadt. Ch\u00ednh quy\u1ec1n Trump, th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf v\u00e0 th\u1eb3ng th\u1eebng h\u01a1n c\u00e1c ch\u00ednh quy\u1ec1n ti\u1ec1n nhi\u1ec7m, \u0111\u00e3 th\u1eadt s\u1ef1 l\u00e0m v\u1eady. \u201cTrump,\u201d nh\u01b0 Henry Kissinger n\u00f3i tr\u00ean t\u1edd Financial Times <\/em>v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2018, \u201cc\u00f3 th\u1ec3 tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh m\u1ed9t trong s\u1ed1 c\u00e1c nh\u00e2n v\u1eadt l\u1ecbch s\u1eed th\u1ec9nh tho\u1ea3ng xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n nh\u1eb1m ch\u1ea5m d\u1ee9t m\u1ed9t giai \u0111o\u1ea1n v\u00e0 bu\u1ed9c n\u00f3 ph\u1ea3i \u0111o\u1ea1n tuy\u1ec7t v\u1edbi m\u1ecdi gi\u1ea3 v\u1edd g\u01b0\u1ee3ng g\u1ea1o c\u0169.\u201d T\u1eeb b\u1ecf t\u01b0 t\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u01a1n c\u1ef1c, ch\u00ednh quy\u1ec1n m\u1edbi d\u1ea7n l\u00e0m r\u00f5 m\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ea1i chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c m\u1edbi. Trong Chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c An ninh Qu\u1ed1c gia 2017, Chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c Qu\u1ed1c ph\u00f2ng 2018, v\u00e0 c\u00e1c chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c b\u1ed5 sung cho khu v\u1ef1c \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 D\u01b0\u01a1ng \u2013 Th\u00e1i B\u00ecnh D\u01b0\u01a1ng v\u00e0 Ch\u00e2u \u00c2u, Hoa K\u1ef3 n\u00eau r\u00f5 r\u1eb1ng gi\u1edd \u0111\u00e2y h\u1ecd xem quan h\u1ec7 v\u1edbi Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u00e0 Nga l\u00e0 quan h\u1ec7 c\u1ea1nh tranh v\u00e0 tr\u1ecdng t\u00e2m m\u1edbi s\u1ebd l\u00e0 c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 \u01b0u th\u1ebf tr\u01b0\u1edbc c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed1i th\u1ee7 n\u00e0y. Theo c\u1ea3 B\u1ed9 tr\u01b0\u1edfng Qu\u1ed1c ph\u00f2ng khi \u1ea5y l\u00e0 James Mattis v\u00e0 C\u1ed1 v\u1ea5n An ninh Qu\u1ed1c gia H. R. McMaster, c\u1ea1nh tranh n\u01b0\u1edbc l\u1edbn t\u1eeb gi\u1edd tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh tr\u1ecdng t\u00e2m c\u0103n b\u1ea3n c\u1ee7a an ninh qu\u1ed1c gia Hoa K\u1ef3.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

C\u1ed1t l\u00f5i c\u1ee7a s\u1ef1 chuy\u1ec3n d\u1ecbch n\u00e0y kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i l\u00e0 nh\u1eafm m\u1eaft \u0111\u1ed1i \u0111\u1ea7u, m\u00e0 nh\u1eb1m ph\u1ee5c v\u1ee5 m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau \u0111\u1ed1i ngo\u1ea1i tr\u1ecdng t\u00e2m c\u1ee7a Hoa K\u1ef3 su\u1ed1t t\u1eeb sau Th\u1ebf chi\u1ebfn II: \u0111\u1ea3m b\u1ea3o quy\u1ec1n t\u1ef1 do l\u1ef1a ch\u1ecdn h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t l\u00e0 c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed3ng minh M\u1ef9, m\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng b\u1ecb t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng b\u1edfi b\u1ea5t k\u00ec b\u00e1 quy\u1ec1n khu v\u1ef1c n\u00e0o. Nh\u01b0 \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ch\u1ec9 r\u00f5 trong c\u00e1c v\u0103n ki\u1ec7n chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1ee7a ch\u00ednh quy\u1ec1n Trump, t\u1ea7m nh\u00ecn n\u00e0y \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1ed1 t\u00ecnh gi\u1eef cho mang t\u00ednh to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u: n\u00f3 \u00e1p d\u1ee5ng cho kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc Ch\u00e2u \u00c1 \u0111ang \u0111\u1ed1i m\u1eb7t v\u1edbi \u00e1p l\u1ef1c kinh t\u1ebf, qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng l\u1edbn t\u1eeb B\u1eafc Kinh m\u00e0 c\u1ea3 c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia tr\u00ean l\u1ee5c \u0111\u1ecba Ch\u00e2u \u00c2u c\u0169ng nh\u01b0 c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia c\u1ea1nh \u0111\u00f3. Song tr\u01b0\u1edbc m\u1ed9t Trung Qu\u1ed1c m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd v\u00e0 m\u1ed9t n\u01b0\u1edbc Nga h\u1eadn th\u00f9 s\u1eb5n s\u00e0ng ch\u1edbp m\u1ecdi c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i, Hoa K\u1ef3 s\u1ebd ch\u1ec9 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u1ea7m nh\u00ecn v\u1ec1 m\u1ed9t th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi m\u1edf v\u00e0 t\u1ef1 do n\u1ebfu h\u1ecd gi\u1eef v\u1eefng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c s\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh v\u00e0 ti\u1ec1m n\u0103ng kinh t\u1ebf, duy tr\u00ec l\u1ee3i th\u1ebf tr\u00ean m\u1ecdi c\u00e1n c\u00e2n quy\u1ec1n l\u1ef1c khu v\u1ef1c, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi truy\u1ec1n t\u1ea3i th\u00f4ng \u0111i\u1ec7p v\u1ec1 c\u00e1c l\u1ee3i \u00edch v\u00e0 c\u00e1c l\u1eb1n ranh \u0111\u1ecf c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh th\u1eadt r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Tr\u00ean nhi\u1ec1u m\u1eb7t, B\u1ed9 Qu\u1ed1c ph\u00f2ng M\u1ef9 l\u00e0 c\u01a1 quan th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng nh\u1ea5t trong vi\u1ec7c bi\u1ebfn c\u00e1c l\u00fd thuy\u1ebft n\u00e0y th\u00e0nh th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf. Trong Chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c Qu\u1ed1c ph\u00f2ng, B\u00e1o c\u00e1o Chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 D\u01b0\u01a1ng \u2013 Th\u00e1i B\u00ecnh D\u01b0\u01a1ng 2019, v\u00e0 c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 c\u00f4ng khai kh\u00e1c, qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed9i M\u1ef9 v\u1ea1ch r\u00f5 m\u1ed1i b\u1eadn t\u00e2m s\u1ed1 m\u1ed9t l\u00fac n\u00e0y c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd l\u00e0 l\u00e0m sao \u0111\u1ec3 b\u1ea3o v\u1ec7 hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 c\u00e1c khu v\u1ef1c nh\u01b0 \u0110\u00e0i Loan v\u00e0 c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc Baltic tr\u01b0\u1edbc m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng kh\u1ea3 d\u0129 t\u1eeb Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u00e0 Nga, nh\u1ea5t l\u00e0 nh\u1eefng n\u01a1i b\u1ecb \u00e1p d\u1ee5ng chi\u1ebfn thu\u1eadt \u201cvi\u1ec7c \u0111\u00e3 r\u1ed3i\u201d, t\u1ee9c chi\u1ebfm c\u1ee9 c\u00e1c l\u00e3nh th\u1ed5 d\u1ec5 t\u1ed5n th\u01b0\u01a1ng, b\u00e1m r\u1ec5 \u1edf \u0111\u00f3, v\u00e0 khi\u1ebfn cho m\u1ecdi cu\u1ed9c ph\u1ea3n c\u00f4ng t\u00e1i chi\u1ebfm tr\u1edf n\u00ean qu\u00e1 t\u1ed1n k\u00e9m. \u0110\u1ec3 l\u01b0\u1eddng tr\u01b0\u1edbc c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng nh\u01b0 v\u1eady, L\u1ea7u N\u0103m G\u00f3c \u0111ang chuy\u1ec3n h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u1eeb chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c h\u1ecd v\u1eabn d\u00f9ng b\u1ea5y l\u00e2u t\u1eeb sau chi\u1ebfn d\u1ecbch B\u00e3o t\u00e1p Sa m\u1ea1c 3 th\u1eadp ni\u00ean tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u2013 t\u1ee9c ch\u1eadm r\u00e3i v\u00e0 t\u1eebng b\u01b0\u1edbc m\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ed5 qu\u00e2n v\u00e0o khu v\u1ef1c b\u1ecb \u0111e d\u1ecda v\u00e0 ch\u1ec9 ph\u1ea3n c\u00f4ng sau khi \u01b0u th\u1ebf c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c b\u1ea3o \u0111\u1ea3m \u2013 sang m\u1ed9t chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 d\u1eadp t\u1eaft c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng t\u1eeb Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u00e0 Nga ngay t\u1eeb trong tr\u1ee9ng n\u01b0\u1edbc, k\u1ec3 c\u1ea3 khi M\u1ef9 kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u01b0u th\u1ebf nh\u01b0 \u1edf Serbia v\u00e0 Iraq tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00e2y. C\u00f9ng v\u1edbi qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh \u0111\u00f3, c\u00e1c y\u00eau c\u1ea7u ng\u00e2n s\u00e1ch c\u1ee7a L\u1ea7u N\u0103m G\u00f3c \u0111ang ch\u1eadm r\u00e3i thay \u0111\u1ed5i. Ti\u00eam k\u00edch t\u1ea7m ng\u1eafn v\u00e0 c\u00e1c t\u00e0u \u0111\u1ed5 b\u1ed9 n\u1eb7ng n\u1ec1, v\u1ed1n d\u1ec5 b\u1ecb t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng, \u0111ang b\u1ecb thay th\u1ebf b\u1edfi c\u00e1c m\u00e1y bay n\u00e9m bom t\u1ea7m xa v\u00e0 t\u00e0u ng\u1ea7m b\u00ed m\u1eadt h\u01a1n, c\u00e1c t\u00e0u v\u00e0 m\u00e1y bay kh\u00f4ng ng\u01b0\u1eddi l\u00e1i, c\u00e1c t\u00ean l\u1eeda v\u00e0 ph\u00e1o m\u1eb7t \u0111\u1ea5t t\u1ea7m xa, c\u0169ng nh\u01b0 l\u01b0\u1ee3ng d\u1ed3i d\u00e0o \u0111\u1ea1n ph\u00e1o ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c, c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 b\u1eafn xuy\u00ean gi\u00e1p. Qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed9i M\u1ef9 c\u0169ng \u0111ang th\u1eed nghi\u1ec7m c\u00e1ch v\u1eadn h\u00e0nh c\u00e1c trang b\u1ecb m\u1edbi n\u00e0y \u2013 l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng m\u1edbi s\u1ebd tr\u00f4ng ra sao, v\u1eadn h\u00e0nh nh\u01b0 th\u1ebf n\u00e0o, v\u00e0 ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng \u1edf \u0111\u00e2u.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

S\u1ef1 chuy\u1ec3n d\u1ecbch trong l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c kinh t\u1ebf c\u0169ng m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd t\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1. Cho \u0111\u1ebfn m\u1ed9t v\u00e0i n\u0103m tr\u01b0\u1edbc, gi\u1edbi ch\u1ee9c M\u1ef9 v\u1eabn th\u01b0\u1eddng l\u1eadp lu\u1eadn r\u1eb1ng M\u1ef9 kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 ch\u1ecbu \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c b\u1ea5t k\u00ec b\u1ea5t \u1ed5n n\u00e0o trong quan h\u1ec7 kinh t\u1ebf M\u1ef9 \u2013 Trung. \u1ed4n \u0111\u1ecbnh v\u1edbi B\u1eafc Kinh d\u01b0\u1eddng nh\u01b0 l\u00e0 qu\u00e1 quan tr\u1ecdng n\u00ean kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 m\u1ea1o hi\u1ec3m y\u00eau c\u1ea7u Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed1i x\u1eed c\u00f4ng b\u1eb1ng v\u1edbi c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng ty M\u1ef9. Gi\u1edd \u0111\u00e2y, ch\u00ednh quy\u1ec1n Trump \u2013 h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng v\u1edbi s\u1ef1 \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 c\u1ee7a l\u01b0\u1ee1ng \u0111\u1ea3ng \u2013 \u0111ang \u00e1p thu\u1ebf l\u00ean h\u00e0ng nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u t\u1eeb Trung Qu\u1ed1c nh\u1eb1m bu\u1ed9c B\u1eafc Kinh thay \u0111\u1ed5i c\u00e1ch l\u00e0m kinh t\u1ebf d\u1ed1i tr\u00e1 c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh, ho\u1eb7c ch\u00ed \u00edt c\u0169ng khi\u1ebfn gi\u00e1 c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c m\u1eb7t h\u00e0ng nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh chi ph\u00ed m\u00e0 c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng ty v\u00e0 ng\u01b0\u1eddi lao \u0111\u1ed9ng M\u1ef9 ph\u1ea3i g\u00e1nh ch\u1ecbu t\u1eeb c\u00e1c c\u00e1ch l\u00e0m b\u1ea5t c\u00f4ng c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c. M\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 ng\u01b0\u1eddi \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u00fang khi ch\u1ec9 ra r\u1eb1ng c\u00e1c m\u1ee9c thu\u1ebf n\u00e0y \u0111ang g\u00e2y kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n cho t\u1ea7ng l\u1edbp trung l\u01b0u v\u00e0 d\u00e2n lao \u0111\u1ed9ng M\u1ef9. Song, n\u1ebfu Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u1eabn ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c c\u00e1ch l\u00e0m kinh t\u1ebf thi\u1ebfu c\u00f4ng b\u1eb1ng, v\u00e0 M\u1ef9 v\u1eabn l\u00e0m ng\u01a1, th\u00ec t\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh ch\u1ec9 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u1ed3i t\u1ec7 h\u01a1n. Tr\u00e1i l\u1ea1i, \u00e1p l\u1ef1c kinh t\u1ebf t\u1eeb M\u1ef9 \u0111\u00e3 gi\u00fap \u0111\u01b0a c\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i c\u1ea7n k\u00edp v\u00e0o ch\u01b0\u01a1ng tr\u00ecnh ngh\u1ecb s\u1ef1 (gi\u1eefa hai n\u01b0\u1edbc).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

M\u1ed9t qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh t\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1 c\u0169ng \u0111ang di\u1ec5n ra \u1edf Ch\u00e2u \u00c2u. T\u1eeb l\u00e2u Hoa K\u1ef3 l\u01b0\u1ee1ng l\u1ef1 kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ed1i di\u1ec7n v\u1edbi EU v\u1ec1 v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 thu\u1ebf quan m\u1ed9t ph\u00eda v\u00e0 h\u00e0ng r\u00e0o phi thu\u1ebf quan \u00e1p l\u00ean h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a M\u1ef9, ngay c\u1ea3 khi th\u00e2m h\u1ee5t th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i gia t\u0103ng. Kh\u00f4ng h\u1ec1 mu\u1ed1n duy tr\u00ec nguy\u00ean tr\u1ea1ng, ch\u00ednh quy\u1ec1n Trump \u0111\u00e3 d\u00f9ng li\u1ec7u ph\u00e1p s\u1ed1c nh\u1eb1m s\u1eeda \u0111\u1ed5i \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y, \u0111i\u1ec1u m\u00e0 c\u00e1c ch\u00ednh quy\u1ec1n tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00e3 kh\u00f4ng l\u00e0m \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c v\u1edbi c\u00e1ch ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn t\u1ebf nh\u1ecb v\u00e0 ti\u1ec7m ti\u1ebfn. Song thi\u1ec7t h\u1ea1i th\u1ee9 c\u1ea5p c\u1ee7a c\u00e1ch ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd n\u00e0y l\u00e0 r\u1ea5t l\u1edbn, v\u1edbi nguy c\u01a1 l\u00e0m lung lay m\u1ed1i quan h\u1ec7 xuy\u00ean \u0110\u1ea1i T\u00e2y D\u01b0\u01a1ng v\u00e0 l\u00e0m t\u1ed5n h\u1ea1i tinh th\u1ea7n chung c\u00f9ng ch\u1ed1ng l\u1ea1i Trung Qu\u1ed1c.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

M\u1ef9 c\u0169ng \u0111ang m\u00e0i s\u1eafc c\u00e1c v\u0169 kh\u00ed th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i \u0111\u1ea7y s\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh. Ch\u00ednh quy\u1ec1n Trump v\u00e0 Qu\u1ed1c h\u1ed9i \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1ea1i tu l\u1ea1i C\u00f4ng ty \u0110\u1ea7u t\u01b0 T\u01b0 nh\u00e2n H\u1ea3i ngo\u1ea1i (Overseas Private Investment Corporation) nh\u1eb1m cung c\u1ea5p cho c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc d\u1ec5 b\u1ecb t\u1ed5n th\u01b0\u01a1ng \u1edf ch\u00e2u \u00c1 v\u00e0 ch\u00e2u \u00c2u m\u1ed9t ngu\u1ed3n t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh thay th\u1ebf cho ti\u1ec1n c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c. \u0110\u1ea1o lu\u1eadt BUILD (N\u00e2ng cao S\u1eed d\u1ee5ng Ngu\u1ed3n v\u1ed1n nh\u1eb1m ph\u1ee5c v\u1ee5 Ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n \u2013 The Better Utilization of Investment for Developtment), \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u00f4ng qua n\u0103m 2018, mang \u0111\u1ebfn cho c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc ngu\u1ed3n ti\u1ec1n thay th\u1ebf c\u00e1c kho\u1ea3n t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh kh\u1ed5ng l\u1ed3 t\u1eeb Chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c V\u00e0nh \u0111ai v\u00e0 Con \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng c\u1ee7a B\u1eafc Kinh. Kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng cao s\u1ebd c\u00f2n c\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh kh\u00e1c n\u1eefa. \u0110\u1ea1o lu\u1eadt C\u00f4ng B\u1eb1ng (EQUITABLE ACT), \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c gi\u1edbi thi\u1ec7u b\u1edfi c\u00e1c th\u00e0nh vi\u00ean h\u00e0ng \u0111\u1ea7u t\u1eeb l\u01b0\u1ee1ng \u0111\u1ea3ng c\u1ee7a Qu\u1ed1c h\u1ed9i, s\u1ebd bu\u1ed9c c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng ty Trung Qu\u1ed1c ph\u1ea3i tu\u00e2n th\u1ee7 c\u00f9ng m\u1ed9t quy tr\u00ecnh c\u00f4ng khai nh\u01b0 c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng ty M\u1ef9 n\u1ebfu mu\u1ed1n ni\u00eam y\u1ebft tr\u00eam c\u00e1c s\u00e0n ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n M\u1ef9. Nhi\u1ec1u nh\u00e0 l\u1eadp ph\u00e1p quy\u1ec1n l\u1ef1c t\u1eeb c\u1ea3 hai \u0111\u1ea3ng \u0111\u00e3 d\u1ecda s\u1ebd t\u01b0\u1edbc b\u1ecf v\u1ecb th\u1ebf \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t v\u1ec1 kinh t\u1ebf v\u00e0 th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a H\u1ed3ng K\u00f4ng n\u1ebfu B\u1eafc Kinh vi ph\u1ea1m quy\u1ec1n t\u1ef1 ch\u1ee7 c\u1ee7a l\u00e3nh th\u1ed5 n\u00e0y. V\u00e0 cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng, gi\u1edbi ch\u1ee9c M\u1ef9 \u0111ang li\u00ean t\u1ee5c c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc v\u1ec1 c\u00e1c kho\u1ea3n \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 vi\u1ec5n th\u00f4ng c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u1ed1n c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 s\u1ebd trao cho B\u1eafc Kinh quy\u1ec1n ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn v\u00e0 l\u1ee3i d\u1ee5ng c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 nh\u1ea1y c\u1ea3m c\u1ee7a n\u01b0\u1edbc s\u1edf t\u1ea1i.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

C\u00e1c \u01b0u ti\u00ean c\u0169ng \u0111ang \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh trong l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c ngo\u1ea1i giao. Sau h\u00e0ng th\u1eadp ni\u00ean qu\u00e1 t\u1eadp trung v\u00e0o Trung \u0110\u00f4ng, Chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c An ninh Qu\u1ed1c gia 2017 v\u00e0 Chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c Qu\u1ed1c ph\u00f2ng 2018 l\u00e0 c\u00e1c b\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c mong ch\u1edd t\u1eeb l\u00e2u. C\u00e1c v\u0103n ki\u1ec7n n\u00e0y l\u1eadp lu\u1eadn r\u1eb1ng Ch\u00e2u \u00c1 v\u00e0 Ch\u00e2u \u00c2u l\u00e0 hai n\u01a1i t\u1ed3n t\u1ea1i c\u00e1c m\u1ed1i \u0111e d\u1ecda l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi M\u1ef9, v\u00e0 m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau trung t\u00e2m c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 ph\u1ea3i l\u00e0 ng\u0103n kh\u00f4ng cho c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc l\u1edbn \u1edf hai khu v\u1ef1c n\u00e0y t\u1eadp trung qu\u00e1 nhi\u1ec1u quy\u1ec1n l\u1ef1c d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn l\u00e0m l\u1ec7ch c\u00e1n c\u00e2n quy\u1ec1n l\u1ef1c khu v\u1ef1c theo h\u01b0\u1edbng c\u00f3 l\u1ee3i cho h\u1ecd. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 b\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh \u0111\u00e1ng hoan ngh\u00eanh, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t khi m\u1ecdi chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c An ninh Qu\u1ed1c gia t\u1eeb sau Chi\u1ebfn tranh L\u1ea1nh \u0111\u1ec1u xem nh\u1eb9 v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 c\u1ea1nh tranh n\u01b0\u1edbc l\u1edbn.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Tr\u00ean th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf, c\u00f3 hai s\u00e1ng ki\u1ebfn ngo\u1ea1i giao n\u1ed5i b\u1eadt nh\u1ea5t. Th\u1ee9 nh\u1ea5t<\/em> <\/span>l\u00e0 n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c c\u1ee7a ch\u00ednh quy\u1ec1n Trump nh\u1eb1m c\u00e2n b\u1eb1ng v\u1edbi c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed1i th\u1ee7 m\u1ea1nh b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1c li\u00ean minh l\u1edbn h\u01a1n v\u00e0 ti\u1ec1m l\u1ef1c h\u01a1n. \u1ede Ch\u00e2u \u00c2u, ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch n\u00e0y d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn vi\u1ec7c t\u0103ng 34 t\u1ef7 \u0111\u00f4 la ng\u00e2n s\u00e1ch qu\u1ed1c ph\u00f2ng c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc Ch\u00e2u \u00c2u, bao g\u1ed3m c\u1ea3 m\u1ed9t n\u01b0\u1edbc \u0110\u1ee9c mi\u1ec5n c\u01b0\u1ee1ng. \u1ede ch\u00e2u \u00c1, Hoa K\u1ef3 th\u1ebf hi\u1ec7n r\u00f5 r\u1eb1ng h\u1ecd s\u1ebd b\u1ea3o v\u1ec7 t\u00e0u v\u00e0 m\u00e1y bay c\u1ee7a Philippines \u1edf Bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u00f4ng, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi gia t\u0103ng h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 v\u00e0 ngo\u1ea1i giao cho \u0110\u00e0i Loan, trong khi t\u0103ng c\u01b0\u1eddng quan h\u1ec7 ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb, qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 v\u1edbi \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 v\u00e0 Vi\u1ec7t Nam \u2013 t\u1ea5t c\u1ea3 c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c c\u00f9ng chia s\u1ebb v\u1edbi Washington m\u1ed9t n\u1ed7i lo ng\u1ea1i chung tr\u01b0\u1edbc tham v\u1ecdng b\u00e1 quy\u1ec1n khu v\u1ef1c c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Th\u1ee9 hai,<\/span><\/em> <\/span>Hoa K\u1ef3 \u0111ang m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng kinh t\u1ebf, ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh \u1edf c\u00e1c khu v\u1ef1c m\u00e0 tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00e2y h\u1ecd \u0111\u00e3 b\u1ecf r\u01a1i, t\u0103ng c\u01b0\u1eddng hi\u1ec7n di\u1ec7n v\u00e0 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 \u1edf nh\u1eefng n\u01a1i Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u00e0 Nga \u0111ang t\u1ea1o \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng. M\u1ef9 \u0111\u00e3 gia t\u0103ng hi\u1ec7n di\u1ec7n ngo\u1ea1i giao \u1edf Trung \u00c2u, T\u00e2y Balkan, v\u00e0 \u0110\u00f4ng \u0110\u1ecba Trung H\u1ea3i, nh\u1eefng n\u01a1i m\u00e0 kho\u1ea3ng tr\u1ed1ng M\u1ef9 \u0111\u1ec3 l\u1ea1i \u0111\u00e3 gi\u00fap Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u00e0 Nga l\u1ee3i d\u1ee5ng c\u00e1c m\u00e2u thu\u1eabn ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb \u0111\u1ecba ph\u01b0\u01a1ng v\u00e0 th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y ch\u1ee7 ngh\u0129a ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb. \u1ede nhi\u1ec1u n\u01b0\u1edbc t\u1ea1i c\u00e1c khu v\u1ef1c n\u00e0y, Hoa K\u1ef3 \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng c\u01b0\u1eddng th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y qu\u1ea3n tr\u1ecb t\u1ed1t, ch\u1ed1ng tham nh\u0169ng, \u00e1p d\u1ee5ng c\u00e1c s\u00e1ng ki\u1ebfn ch\u1ed1ng l\u1ea1i tuy\u00ean truy\u1ec1n c\u1ee7a Nga, m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng c\u00e1c ch\u01b0\u01a1ng tr\u00ecnh trao \u0111\u1ed5i thanh ni\u00ean v\u00e0 v\u0103n h\u00f3a, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed3ng minh v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c v\u1ec1 m\u1ed1i nguy d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n khi k\u1ebft th\u00e2n v\u1edbi B\u1eafc Kinh v\u00e0 Moskva. \u1ede Ch\u00e2u \u00c1, Washington c\u0169ng n\u00e2ng c\u1ea5p kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh nh\u1eb1m c\u1ea1nh tranh v\u1edbi B\u1eafc Kinh b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch th\u00e0nh l\u1eadp C\u00f4ng ty T\u00e0i ch\u00ednh Ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n Qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf v\u00e0 \u0111em \u0111\u1ebfn nhi\u1ec1u l\u1ef1a ch\u1ecdn t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh h\u01a1n th\u00f4ng qua \u0110\u1ea1o lu\u1eadt BUILD. Hoa K\u1ef3 \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi c\u0169ng \u0111ang h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 c\u1ea3i thi\u1ec7n qu\u1ea3n tr\u1ecb v\u00e0 ch\u1ed1ng tham nh\u0169ng \u1edf khu v\u1ef1c, nh\u1ea5t l\u00e0 th\u00f4ng qua S\u00e1ng ki\u1ebfn Minh b\u1ea1ch \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 D\u01b0\u01a1ng \u2013 Th\u00e1i B\u00ecnh D\u01b0\u01a1ng, v\u00e0 hi\u1ec7n \u0111ang c\u00f4ng khai th\u00e1ch th\u1ee9c ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch \u0111\u1ed1i x\u1eed v\u1edbi ng\u01b0\u1eddi T\u00e2y T\u1ea1ng v\u00e0 Duy Ng\u00f4 Nh\u0129 thi\u1ec3u s\u1ed1 c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c. H\u01a1n n\u1eefa, M\u1ef9 c\u0169ng \u0111ang quan t\u00e2m nhi\u1ec1u h\u01a1n \u0111\u1ebfn c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc Nam Th\u00e1i B\u00ecnh D\u01b0\u01a1ng nh\u01b0 Micronesia, Papua New Guinea, v\u00e0 Qu\u1ea7n \u0111\u1ea3o Solomon, c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc c\u1ef1c k\u00ec d\u1ec5 b\u1ecb chi ph\u1ed1i tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u00e1p l\u1ef1c t\u1eeb Trung Qu\u1ed1c.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

T\u1ea5t c\u1ea3 c\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y \u0111\u1ec1u kh\u00f4ng l\u00e0m gi\u1ea3m nh\u1eb9 t\u1ea7m quan tr\u1ecdng c\u1ee7a nh\u1eefng c\u01a1n h\u1ed7n lo\u1ea1n th\u01b0\u1eddng nh\u1eadt \u1edf Washington hay c\u1ee7a vi\u1ec7c b\u1ea3o v\u1ec7 m\u1ecdi ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch c\u1ee7a ch\u00ednh quy\u1ec1n \u0111\u01b0\u01a1ng nhi\u1ec7m. Tham chi\u1ebfn v\u1edbi Iran, duy tr\u00ec hi\u1ec7n di\u1ec7n qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 l\u1edbn \u1edf Afghanistan, hay can thi\u1ec7p v\u00e0o Venezuela, nh\u01b0 mong mu\u1ed1n c\u1ee7a m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 ng\u01b0\u1eddi trong ch\u00ednh quy\u1ec1n, l\u00e0 nh\u1eefng \u0111i\u1ec1u \u0111i ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i mong mu\u1ed1n gi\u00e0nh chi\u1ebfn th\u1eafng trong m\u1ed9t th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi c\u1ea1nh tranh n\u01b0\u1edbc l\u1edbn. V\u00e0 n\u1ebfu qu\u00e1 \u00e9p bu\u1ed9c c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed3ng minh, M\u1ef9 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 s\u1ebd \u0111\u00e1nh m\u1ea5t l\u1ee3i th\u1ebf l\u1edbn duy nh\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh tr\u01b0\u1edbc c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed1i th\u1ee7. M\u1eb7t kh\u00e1c, Hoa K\u1ef3 v\u1eabn ch\u01b0a ch\u1eafc ch\u1eafn tr\u00ean \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng gi\u00e0nh th\u1eafng l\u1ee3i \u2013 m\u00e0 tr\u00e1i l\u1ea1i, c\u00e1c b\u01b0\u1edbc ti\u1ebfn cho \u0111\u1ebfn l\u00fac n\u00e0y l\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ed3ng \u0111\u1ec1u v\u00e0 ch\u1eadm ch\u1ea1p. D\u1eabu sao, M\u1ef9 gi\u1edd \u0111\u00e2y c\u0169ng \u0111\u00e3 c\u00f3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c m\u1ed9t khu\u00f4n kh\u1ed5 \u0111\u1ecbnh h\u01b0\u1edbng ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch \u0111\u1ed1i ngo\u1ea1i v\u1edbi s\u1ef1 \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 c\u1ee7a l\u01b0\u1ee1ng \u0111\u1ea3ng v\u00e0 c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng s\u1ebd \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c duy tr\u00ec l\u00e2u d\u00e0i, \u00edt nh\u1ea5t l\u00e0 v\u1ec1 c\u00e1c nguy\u00ean t\u1eafc c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n, b\u1edfi c\u00e1c ch\u00ednh quy\u1ec1n trong t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

(Xin xem ti\u1ebfp Ph\u1ea7n 2)<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Elibridge Colby t\u1eebng l\u00e0 Tr\u1ee3 l\u00fd B\u1ed9 tr\u01b0\u1edfng Qu\u1ed1c ph\u00f2ng M\u1ef9 \u0111\u1ea3m tr\u00e1ch Chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c v\u00e0 Ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n L\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng t\u1eeb 2017 \u0111\u1ebfn 2018 v\u00e0 hi\u1ec7n l\u00e0 th\u00e0nh vi\u00ean S\u00e1ng ki\u1ebfn Marathon.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

A Wess Mitchell t\u1eebng l\u00e0 Tr\u1ee3 l\u00fd Ngo\u1ea1i tr\u01b0\u1edfng M\u1ef9 \u0111\u1ea3m tr\u00e1ch C\u00e1c v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 ch\u00e2u \u00c2u v\u00e0 \u00c1-\u00c2u t\u1eeb 2017 \u0111\u1ebfn 2019. \u00d4ng hi\u1ec7n c\u0169ng l\u00e0 th\u00e0nh vi\u00ean c\u1ee7a S\u00e1ng ki\u1ebfn Marathon.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ngu\u1ed3n: Nghi\u00ean C\u1ee9u Qu\u1ed1c T\u1ebf<\/span><\/strong> (nghiencuuquocte.org)<\/p>\n\n\n\n

nghiencuuquocte.org\/2020\/02\/26\/ky-nguyen-canh-tranh-nuoc-lon-va-phan-ung-cua-my-duoi-thoi-trump-p1\/<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Nguy\u00ean t\u00e1c: Elbridge A. Colby & A. Wess Mitchell, \u201cThe Age of Great-Power Competition\u201d,  Foreign Affairs, Jan\/Feb 2020. Bi\u00ean d\u1ecbch: \u0110\u1ed7 \u0110\u1eb7ng Nh\u1eadt Huy | Bi\u00ean t\u1eadp: L\u00ea H\u1ed3ng Hi\u1ec7p Nhi\u1ec1u ng\u01b0\u1eddi cho r\u1eb1ng ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch \u0111\u1ed1i ngo\u1ea1i hi\u1ec7n nay c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t m\u1edb h\u1ed7n \u0111\u1ed9n. C\u00e1c trang b\u00e1o gi\u1eadt t\u00edt r\u1eb1ng v\u1ecb th\u1ebf\u0111\u1ecdc ti\u1ebfp…<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":3177,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[7,8,12,53],"tags":[],"class_list":["entry","author-ntviet","post-3061","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-binhluan","category-chinhtri-xahoi","category-chuyenmuc","category-kinhte-chinhtri"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3061","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=3061"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3061\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/3177"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=3061"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=3061"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=3061"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}