{"id":4778,"date":"2020-09-14T06:52:21","date_gmt":"2020-09-14T06:52:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/?p=4778"},"modified":"2020-10-01T06:00:39","modified_gmt":"2020-10-01T06:00:39","slug":"chuyen-gia-kinh-te-che-ba-dinh-qua-u-me","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/?p=4778","title":{"rendered":"Chuy\u00ean gia kinh t\u1ebf ch\u00ea: Ba-\u0110\u00ecnh qu\u00e1 u-m\u00ea!"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
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                Tr\u1ea7n Nguy\u00ean Thao<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

C\u00e0ng g\u1ea7n ng\u00e0y di\u1ec5n ra \u0111\u1ea1i h\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ea3ng l\u1ea7n th\u1ee9 13, Ba \u0110\u00ecnh c\u00e0ng \u0111\u1ec3 l\u1ed9 nh\u1eefng ng\u00e2n ng\u00f4, l\u00fang t\u00fang v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c ch\u1ecdn \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng h\u01b0\u1edbng kinh t\u1ebf trong ho\u00e0n c\u1ea3nh \u0111\u1ea1i dich V\u0169 H\u00e1n quay l\u1ea1i Vi\u1ec7t Nam. N\u1ebfu so s\u00e1nh v\u1edbi c\u00e1ch gi\u1ea3i quy\u1ebft c\u00f9ng s\u1ef1 vi\u1ec7c v\u1edbi B\u1eafc Kinh, th\u00ec \u0111\u00e0n anh ph\u01b0\u01a1ng B\u1eafc th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf h\u01a1n nhi\u1ec1u : Ba th\u00e1ng tr\u01b0\u1edbc, B\u1eafc Kinh \u0111\u00e3 ch\u1ecdn \u201cslogan\u201d b\u1ecf h\u1eb3n theo \u0111u\u1ed5i t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng kinh t\u1ebf \u0111\u1ec3 gi\u1ea3i quy\u1ebft n\u1ea1n th\u1ea5t nghi\u1ec7p t\u0103ng cao nh\u1eb1m \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh x\u00e3 h\u1ed9i; trong khi Ba \u0110\u00ecnh v\u1eabn g\u00e2n c\u1ed5 h\u00f4 kh\u1ea9u hi\u1ec7u \u201cv\u1eeba ch\u1ed1ng d\u1ecbch, v\u1eeba ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n kinh t\u1ebf\u201d.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Khi k\u1ebft th\u00fac b\u00e0i n\u00e0y (23\/08), \u0111\u00e3 c\u00f3 40 t\u1ec9nh, th\u00e0nh t\u1ea1i Vi\u1ec7t Nam \u0111ang b\u1ecb Covid chi\u1ebfu c\u1ed1, tr\u00ean 1000 ng\u01b0\u1eddi nhi\u1ec5m b\u1ec7nh, 26 ng\u01b0\u1eddi ch\u1ebft v\u00ec virus V\u0169 H\u00e1n, kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 gi\u1ea5u \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c, \u0111\u00e0nh ph\u1ea3i n\u00f3i ra. C\u00e1c c\u01a1 quan y t\u1ebf n\u00f3i l\u00e0 virus V\u0169 H\u00e1n ch\u1ee7ng m\u1edbi \u0111ang l\u00e2y lan v\u00e0 di\u1ec5n bi\u1ebfn kh\u00e1 ph\u01b0c t\u1ea1p b\u1edfi s\u1ed1 ng\u01b0\u1eddi T\u1ea7u nh\u1eadp l\u1eadu \u0111\u1ee7 m\u1eb7t h\u00e0ng, k\u1ec3 c\u1ea3 ma t\u00fay . . .  v\u1eabn ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c mang m\u1ea7m b\u1ec7nh \u0111\u1ebfn Vi\u1ec7t Nam trong ho\u00e0n c\u1ea3nh th\u1eddi ti\u1ebft kh\u00e1 n\u00f3ng b\u1ee9c; khi\u1ebfn Vi\u1ec7t Nam th\u00e0nh \u0111i\u1ec3m \u0111\u1ebfn cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng c\u1ee7a b\u1ecdn t\u1ed9i ph\u1ea1m T\u1ea7u c\u1ed9ng. To\u00e0n th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi c\u00f3 tr\u00ean 23 tri\u00eau ng\u01b0\u1eddi l\u00e2y b\u1ec7nh t\u1ea1i 215 qu\u1ed1c gia v\u00e0 v\u00f9ng l\u00e3nh th\u1ed5, \u0111\u01b0a kinh t\u1ebf to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u v\u00e0o suy gi\u1ea3m nghi\u00eam tr\u1ecdng, nh\u01b0ng Vc l\u1ea1i \u0111ang h\u1ef3 h\u1ee5c t\u00ecm ki\u1ebfm k\u1ef3 t\u00edch t\u0103ng \u201cch\u1ec9 ti\u00eau\u201d GDP!<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ti\u00eam nhi\u1ec5m th\u00f3i quen h\u00f4 kh\u1ea9u hi\u1ec7u \u201c\u0111\u1ed9i \u0111\u00e1 v\u00e1 tr\u1eddi\u201d ng\u00e0y 03\/8, Th\u1ee7 t\u01b0\u1edbng Vc Nguy\u1ec5n Xu\u00e2n Ph\u00fac th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y to\u00e0n n\u1ed9i c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ea1t m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau k\u00e9p \u201cv\u1eeba ch\u1ed1ng d\u1ecbch, v\u1eeba t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng kinh t\u1ebf\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Quan \u0111i\u1ec3m gi\u1edbi chuy\u00ean gia, qua Ti\u1ebfn S\u1ef9 H\u00e0 Ho\u00e0ng H\u1ee3p, n\u00f3i v\u1edbi RFA, t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng ch\u1eb3ng l\u00e0 c\u00e1i g\u00ec h\u1ebft. T\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng ch\u1ec9 \u0111em l\u1ea1i th\u00e0nh t\u00edch cho Ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7. Nh\u01b0ng n\u1ebfu nh\u01b0 ng\u01b0\u1eddi d\u00e2n \u0111\u00f3i \u0111\u1ebfn n\u01a1i; gi\u1ea3m thu nh\u1eadp, kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 vi\u1ec7c l\u00e0m, th\u00ec ng\u01b0\u1eddi d\u00e2n m\u1ea5t h\u1ebft t\u00edn nhi\u1ec7m n\u01a1i Ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7. Nh\u01b0 v\u1eady th\u00ec t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng c\u0169ng v\u00f4 \u00edch.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Trong ho\u00e0n c\u1ea3nh tr\u00ean 57% t\u1ed5ng s\u1ed1 c\u00f4ng nh\u00e2n \u0111ang m\u1ea5t ho\u1eb7c gi\u1ea3m thu nh\u1eadp. Trung b\u00ecnh h\u00e0ng th\u00e1ng v\u1eabn c\u00f3 h\u01a1n 9000 doanh nghi\u1ec7p ph\u00e1 s\u1ea3n. Trong l\u00fac c\u00f4ng nh\u00e2n th\u1ea5t nghi\u1ec7p cao, l\u1ea1i x\u1ea9y ra hi\u1ec7n t\u01b0\u1ee3ng nhi\u1ec1u c\u00f4ng ty l\u1edbn \u1edf B\u00ecnh D\u01b0\u01a1ng kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 t\u00ecm ra h\u00e0ng ng\u00e0n c\u00f4ng nh\u00e2n c\u00f3 tay ngh\u1ec1 th\u00edch h\u1ee3p. Sau \u0111\u1ea1i d\u1ecbch, th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng c\u00f4ng nh\u00e2n Vi\u1ec7t nam s\u1ebd r\u01a1i v\u00e0o x\u00e1o tr\u1ed9n. B\u1edfi v\u00ec, trong kho\u1ea3ng th\u1eddi gian t\u1ea1m ngh\u1ec9, ng\u01b0\u1eddi lao \u0111\u1ed9ng ph\u1ea3i lo cho cu\u1ed9c s\u1ed1ng n\u00ean t\u00ecm vi\u1ec7c kh\u00e1c hay v\u1ec1 qu\u00ea sinh s\u1ed1ng kh\u00f4ng quay l\u1ea1i, khi doanh nghi\u1ec7p c\u1ea7n ng\u01b0\u1eddi l\u00e0m, kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 li\u00ean l\u1ea1c \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c v\u1edbi ng\u01b0\u1eddi \u0111\u00e3 quen vi\u1ec7c.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

G\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y nh\u1ea5t, h\u00f4m 17\/08, c\u00f4ng ty Apple loan b\u00e1o \u201cng\u1eebng l\u1eafp r\u00e1p Iphone t\u1ea1i Vi\u1ec7t nam, n\u1ee3i do c\u00f4ng ty Luxshare, c\u00f3 nh\u00e0 m\u00e1y \u0111\u1ebfn 28 ng\u00e0n c\u00f4ng nh\u00e2n \u0111ang l\u00e0m vi\u1ec7c, ch\u1ec9 v\u00ec l\u00fd do \u201cc\u01a1 s\u1edf n\u00e0y v\u1eabn ch\u01b0a \u0111\u00e1p \u1ee9ng c\u00e1c y\u00eau c\u1ea7u c\u1ee7a Apple, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t l\u00e0 nh\u1eefng li\u00ean quan \u0111\u1ebfn ph\u00fac l\u1ee3i c\u00f4ng nh\u00e2n trong k\u00fd t\u00fac x\u00e1\u201d. C\u00f4ng ty Luxshare mu\u1ed1n s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t Iphone, n\u00ean \u0111\u00e3 b\u1ecf ra 270 tri\u00eau M\u1ef9 Kim m\u1edf nh\u00e0 m\u00e1y tr\u00ean khu \u0111\u1ea5t r\u1ed9ng 30 m\u1eabu T\u00e2y, t\u1ea1i V\u00e2n Trung, T\u1ec9nh B\u1eafc Giang v\u1edbi c\u01a1 s\u1edf r\u1ed9ng \u0111\u1ee7 \u0111\u1ec3 thu\u00ea 60 ng\u00e0n c\u00f4ng nh\u00e2n Vi\u00eat Nam l\u00e0m vi\u1ec7c trong t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

N\u1eeda \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m, c\u00f3 \u0111\u1ebfn 74% nh\u00e0 m\u00e1y \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda, 95% du kh\u00e1ch trong n\u01b0\u1edbc h\u1ee7y b\u1ecf c\u00e1c chuy\u1ebfn du l\u1ecbch n\u1ed9i \u0111ia, l\u00e0m cho 72% c\u00f4ng nh\u00e2n vi\u00ean du l\u1ecbch m\u1ea5t vi\u1ec7c l\u00e0m, ti\u1ebfp \u0111\u1ebfn l\u00e0 67,8% khu v\u1ef1c c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p, 25,1% khu v\u1ef1c n\u00f4ng, l\u00e2m nghi\u1ec7p v\u00e0 th\u1ee7y s\u1ea3n. . .  Ch\u00ednh do t\u00ecnh c\u1ea3nh th\u00ea th\u1ea3m n\u00e0y, m\u00e0 t\u1eeb cu\u1ed1i th\u00e1ng 07, H\u00e0-n\u1ed9i xoay sang c\u00e1ch \u201c\u0103n s\u01b0\u01a1ng\u201d : 10 th\u00e0nh ph\u1ed1 t\u1eeb Nam ra B\u1eafc, c\u00f3 nh\u1eefng \u0111\u1ecba \u0111i\u1ec3m d\u00e2n ch\u00fang hay t\u1ee5 t\u1eadp \u0103n u\u1ed1ng, nay \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c khuy\u1ebfn kh\u00edch m\u1edf b\u00e1n m\u1ecdi m\u1eb7t h\u00e0ng v\u00e0 d\u1ecbch v\u1ee5 t\u1eeb nh\u00e1 nhem t\u1ed1i \u0111\u1ebfn 6 gi\u1edd s\u00e1ng h\u00f4m sau, v\u1edbi hy v\u1ecdng thu th\u00eam \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ti\u1ec1n thu\u1ebf v\u00e0 gi\u00fap d\u00e2n bu\u00f4n th\u00fang b\u00e1n b\u01b0ng ki\u1ebfm s\u1ed1ng [1]<\/p>\n\n\n\n

H\u01b0\u1edfng \u1ee9ng ch\u01b0\u01a1ng tr\u00ecnh c\u1ee7a gi\u1edbi l\u00e0m kinh t\u1ebf \u201cch\u1ee3 \u0111\u00eam\u201d b\u00e0 con ra b\u00e1n h\u00e0ng rong, l\u1ea1i b\u1ecb gi\u1edbi tuy\u00ean gi\u00e1o mi\u1ec7t th\u1ecb l\u00e0 \u201ck\u00fd sinh tr\u00f9ng\u201d. B\u1ea3n tin \u0111\u00e3 qua ki\u1ec3m duy\u1ec7t c\u1ee7a \u0111\u00e0i Ti\u1ebfng N\u00f3i Vi\u1ec7t nam VTV ph\u00e1t \u0111i h\u00f4m 17\/08 \u0111\u00e3 c\u00f4ng khai l\u00ean \u00e1n ng\u01b0\u1eddi bu\u00f4n b\u00e1n h\u00e0ng rong l\u00e0 ch\u1ecdn l\u1ed1i \u201cs\u1ed1ng k\u00fd sinh\u201d. S\u1ef1 ki\u1ec7n n\u00e0y g\u00e2y ra m\u1ed9t l\u00e0n s\u00f3ng ph\u1eabn n\u1ed9 d\u1eef d\u1ed9i trong d\u00e2n ch\u00fang v\u00e0 to\u00e0n th\u1ec3 l\u00e0ng b\u00e1o m\u1ea1ng, khi\u1ebfn \u0111\u00e0i VTV ph\u1ea3i c\u00f4ng khai xin l\u1ed7i.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Vi\u1ec5n \u1ea3nh tr\u01b0\u1edbc m\u1eaft l\u00e0 k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n x\u1ea5u nh\u1ea5t \u0111ang d\u1ea7n h\u00e9 l\u1ed9 : s\u1ed1 lao \u0111\u1ed9ng m\u1ea5t vi\u1ec7c l\u00e0m c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u0103ng kho\u1ea3ng 60.000 \u0111\u1ebfn 70.000 m\u1ed7i th\u00e1ng, t\u1eadp trung ch\u00ednh \u1edf c\u00e1c l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c nh\u01b0 du l\u1ecbch, ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng d\u1ecbch v\u1ee5 l\u01b0u tr\u00fa v\u00e0 \u0103n u\u1ed1ng, x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng, v\u1eadn t\u1ea3i, ch\u1ebf bi\u1ebfn ch\u1ebf t\u1ea1o… S\u1ed1 doanh nghi\u1ec7p c\u00f2n l\u1ea1i s\u1ebd b\u1ecb \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng l\u00ean \u0111\u1ebfn 70%, trong khi s\u1ed1 lao \u0111\u1ed9ng b\u1ecb ng\u1eebng vi\u1ec7c, gi\u00e3n vi\u1ec7c, gi\u1ea3m vi\u1ec7c c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00ean t\u1edbi th\u00eam 5 tri\u1ec7u ng\u01b0\u1eddi. Trong ho\u00e0n c\u1ea3nh kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i, H\u00e0-n\u1ed9i \u0111ang c\u00f3 khuynh h\u01b0\u1edbng ch\u1ea5p nh\u1eadn cho c\u00f4ng nh\u00e2n t\u1ea1m ng\u1eebng \u0111\u00f3ng qu\u1ef9 h\u01b0u tr\u00ed v\u00e0 t\u1eed tu\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ebfn h\u1ebft n\u0103m nay.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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Doanh nghi\u1ec7p \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda v\u00e0 thua l\u1ed7 khi\u1ebfn ng\u00e2n s\u00e1ch th\u1ea5t thu ti\u1ec1n thu\u1ebf th\u00eam 1 t\u1ef7 M\u1ef9 Kim trong n\u1eeda c\u00f2n l\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a n\u0103m 2020. Ki\u1ec1u h\u1ed1i c\u0169ng suy gi\u1ea3m \u00edt nh\u1ea5t 20%, trong l\u00fac m\u1ed7i n\u0103m H\u00e0-n\u1ed9i bu\u1ed9c ph\u1ea3i c\u00f3 4 t\u1ef9 M\u1ef9 Kim \u0111\u1ec3 tr\u1ea3 ti\u1ec1n l\u1eddi cho h\u00e0ng n\u00fai n\u1ee3 . . .  M\u1ecdi kho\u1ea3n thi\u1ebfu chi s\u1ebd  \u201cg\u00e2y kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n cho ng\u00e2n s\u00e1ch v\u00e0 c\u1ea3 d\u00e2n ch\u00fang s\u1ed1ng gi\u1eadt v\u1ea1t v\u00e1 vai trong ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9 tham nh\u0169ng t\u1ed9t c\u00f9ng\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Chi ti\u00eau c\u00f4ng, hi\u1ec7n t\u0103ng kho\u1ea3ng 9,5% trong kho\u1ea3ng th\u1eddi gian n\u1eeda \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m 2020 so v\u1edbi 2019. M\u1ee9c t\u0103ng n\u00e0y l\u00e0 do chi ti\u00eau li\u00ean quan \u0111\u1ebfn Covid-19 k\u1ebft h\u1ee3p v\u1edbi n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c \u0111\u1ea9y nhanh gi\u1ea3i ng\u00e2n ch\u01b0\u01a1ng tr\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u00f4ng. D\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 l\u00e0 gi\u1ea3i ng\u00e2n \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 t\u0103ng 19% trong 6 th\u00e1ng \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m 2020 so v\u1edbi c\u00f9ng k\u1ef3 n\u0103m 2019 v\u00e0 d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn s\u1ebd ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u1ea9y m\u1ea1nh trong nh\u1eefng th\u00e1ng t\u1edbi. \u0110\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u00f4ng, n\u1ebfu kh\u00f4ng b\u1ecb c\u1eaft x\u00e9n nhi\u1ec1u s\u1ebd c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 thu d\u1ee5ng ph\u1ea7n n\u00e0o nh\u00e2n c\u00f4ng \u0111ang l\u00e2y l\u1ea5t ch\u1edd vi\u1ec7c.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

G\u00f3i k\u00edch c\u1ea7u kinh t\u1ebf 62.000 t\u1ef7 \u0111\u1ed3ng v\u1edbi hy v\u1ecdng kinh t\u1ebf s\u1ebd b\u1eadt d\u1eady nh\u01b0 l\u00f2 xo, \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c H\u00e0-n\u1ed9i \u0111\u01b0a ra g\u1ea7n 3 th\u00e1ng tr\u01b0\u1edbc, m\u1edbi gi\u1ea3i ng\u00e2n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c 28%.  C\u00e1c doanh nghi\u1ec7p nh\u1ecf t\u1ea1i n\u00f4ng th\u00f4n hay kinh t\u1ebf gia \u0111\u00ecnh b\u1ecb \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng l\u1edbn b\u1edfi d\u1ecbch b\u1ec7nh Covid, kh\u00f4ng n\u1eb1m trong th\u00e0nh ph\u1ea7n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c nh\u1eadn tr\u1ee3 gi\u00fap t\u1eeb l\u1ea7n tr\u01b0\u1edbc, c\u00f2n ph\u1ea3i ch\u1edd \u0111\u1ec3 hy v\u1ecdng c\u00f3 g\u00f3i k\u00edch c\u1ea7u \u201cc\u00f2 con\u201d 18 ng\u00e0n t\u1ef7 \u0111ang b\u00e0n c\u00e3i.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

V\u1ec1 gi\u1ea3i ph\u00e1p gi\u00fap v\u1ef1c d\u1eady kinh t\u1ebf trong giai \u0111oan h\u1eadu Covid, kinh t\u1ebf gia Ph\u00f9ng \u0110\u1ee9c T\u00f9ng cho bi\u1ebft \u00f4ng c\u00f9ng c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed3ng nghi\u1ec7p \u0111\u1ec1 ngh\u1ecb ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 n\u00ean m\u1ea1nh d\u1ea1n b\u1ecf t\u1ea5t c\u1ea3 c\u00e1c lo\u1ea1i thu\u1ebf v\u00e0 ph\u00ed li\u00ean quan \u0111\u1ebfn x\u0103ng d\u1ea7u (chi\u1ebfm \u0111\u1ebfn 64% t\u1ed5ng gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb x\u0103ng d\u1ea7u) v\u00e0 tr\u1ea3 thay cho doanh nghi\u1ec7p c\u00e1c kh\u1ecfan ph\u00ed BOT \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng b\u1ed9. Vi\u1ec7c gi\u1ea3m thu\u1ebf ph\u00ed s\u1ebd t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng t\u1ee9c th\u1eddi cho doanh nghi\u1ec7p. Thu\u1ebf kh\u00f3a v\u00e0 ph\u00ed t\u1ea1i Vi\u1ec7t Nam b\u1ecb xem nh\u01b0 cao nh\u1ea5t th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi, \u0111\u1ebfn 32% tr\u00ean GDP, Ng\u00e2n H\u00e0ng Th\u1ebf Gi\u1edbi khuy\u1ebfn c\u00e1o ch\u1ec9 n\u00ean thu thu\u1ebf \u0111\u1ebfn 18% GDP th\u00f4i.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Gi\u1ea3m l\u00e3i xu\u1ea5t cho doanh nghi\u1ec7p vay \u0111\u1ec3 s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t c\u0169ng l\u00e0 nh\u1eefng \u01b0u t\u01b0 v\u1ef1c d\u1eady n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf. Nh\u01b0ng trong ho\u00e0n c\u1ea3nh kh\u00f4ng \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh t\u00e0i ch\u00e1nh, v\u1eadt gi\u00e1 t\u0103ng cao, gi\u1ea3m l\u00e3i xu\u1ea5t l\u1ea1i b\u1ecb d\u00e2n ch\u00fang r\u00fat ti\u1ec1n kh\u1ecfi ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng \u0111\u1ec3 mua v\u00e0ng v\u00e0 ngo\u1ea1i t\u1ec7.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hi\u1ec7p \u0111\u1ecbnh th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i v\u1edbi \u00c2u Ch\u00e2u FTA c\u0169ng l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t tia hy v\u1ecdng kh\u00e1c cho Vi\u1ec7t Nam sau \u0111ai d\u1ecbch. Tuy nhi\u00ean c\u00e1c doanh nghi\u1ec7p hi\u1ec3u bi\u1ebft v\u1ec1 hi\u1ec7p \u0111inh th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i n\u00e0y l\u1ea1i th\u1ea5p \u0111\u1ebfn m\u1ee9c \u0111\u00e1ng ng\u1ea1c nhi\u00ean.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

N\u1ebfu sau \u0111ai d\u1ecbch m\u00e0 c\u00e1c th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng c\u1ee7a 27 n\u01b0\u1edbc \u00c2u Ch\u00e2u \u0111\u01b0a \u0111\u01a1n \u0111\u1eb7t h\u00e0ng, ch\u01b0a ch\u1eafc l\u00fac \u0111\u00f3 Vi\u1ec7t Nam \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u00e1p \u1ee9ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c. V\u00ec ng\u00e0y nay s\u1ed1 nh\u00e0 m\u00e1y s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda qu\u00e1 nhi\u1ec1u, doanh nghi\u1ec7p VN l\u1ea1i kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ecbu h\u1ecdc h\u1ecfi, t\u00ecm hi\u1ec3u c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i c\u1ee7a FTA d\u00e0nh cho t\u1eebng lo\u1ea1i h\u00e0ng ra sao, th\u00ec l\u00e0m c\u00e1ch n\u00e0o c\u1ea1nh tranh hay \u0111\u00e1p \u1ee9ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00e1c ti\u00eau chu\u1ea9n c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ed1i ph\u01b0\u01a1ng. T\u00ecnh c\u1ea3nh n\u00e0y \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00e1c quan ch\u1ee9c C\u00f4ng Th\u01b0\u01a1ng v\u00ed von nh\u01b0 v\u0169 \u0111i\u1ec7u t\u0103ng-g\u00f4 \u0111\u01a1n \u0111\u1ed9c; kh\u00fac t\u0103ng g\u00f4 \u1ea5m \u00e1p vang l\u00ean, nh\u01b0ng ch\u1ec9 m\u1ed9t ng\u01b0\u1eddi nh\u1ea3y th\u00f4i th\u00ec l\u00e0m sao ho\u00e0n th\u00e0nh v\u0169 \u0111i\u1ec7u.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n

Nh\u00ecn t\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh kinh t\u1ebf v\u00e0 \u0111\u1eddi s\u1ed1ng d\u00e2n sinh r\u1ed1i m\u00f9 nh\u01b0 m\u1edbi t\u1ea3 s\u01a1 qua, trong khi gi\u1edbi \u0111i\u1ec1u h\u00e0nh kinh t\u1ebf qu\u1ed1c gia l\u1ea1i kh\u0103ng kh\u0103ng mu\u1ed1n t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng GDP, th\u00ec \u0111\u00fang l\u00e0 \u201ckh\u00f4ng bi\u1ebft nh\u01b0 th\u1ebf n\u00e0o l\u00e0 ph\u1ea3i, qu\u1ea5y n\u1eefa\u201d <\/em>[2]. Nh\u00ecn  sang Trung c\u1ed9ng hay c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc, ngay t\u1eeb th\u00e1ng 05\/2020, khi b\u1ecb \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ea1i d\u1ecbch bao ph\u1ee7 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng c\u00f4ng nh\u00e2n, ng\u01b0\u1eddi ta tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 b\u1ecf h\u1eb3n theo \u0111u\u1ed5i t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng kinh t\u1ebf, \u0111\u1ec3 ch\u0103m ch\u00fa v\u00e0o c\u1ee9u \u0111\u00f3i v\u00e0 t\u1ea1o c\u00f4ng \u0103n vi\u1ec7c l\u00e0m, tr\u00e1nh cho x\u00e3 h\u1ed9i b\u1ecb nhi\u1ec5u lo\u1ea1n [3].<\/p>\n\n\n\n

B\u1ec7nh say men chi\u1ebfm ng\u00f4i v\u1ecb cao nh\u1ea5t \u0110\u00f4ng Nam \u00c1 \u0111\u00e3 th\u00fac b\u00e1ch Ba-\u0110\u00ecnh ch\u0103m ch\u0103m \u0111\u1ea9y t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng GDP cao ng\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ec3 t\u00f4 \u0111i\u1ec3m cho Vi\u1ec7t Nam th\u00e0nh \u201cm\u00f9a Xu\u00e2n\u201d tr\u00ean c\u00e1nh \u0111\u1ed3ng kh\u00f4 c\u1ea1n, nh\u1eb1m m\u1ee5c \u0111\u00edch m\u1ef5 d\u00e2n. Do v\u1eady, t\u1eeb n\u0103m 2016, Ba \u0110\u00ecnh li\u00ean t\u1ee5c cho in th\u00eam h\u00e0ng tri\u1ec7u t\u1ef7 ti\u1ec1n m\u1edbi [4], 50% s\u1ed1 ti\u1ec1n m\u1edbi \u0111\u1ea9y v\u00e0o th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu \u0111\u1ec3 trang tr\u1ea3i cho th\u00e2m h\u1ee5t ng\u00e2n s\u00e1ch v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea3o n\u1ee3 trong n\u01b0\u1edbc.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 d\u01b0 n\u1ee3 t\u00edn d\u1ee5ng\/GDP c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7t Nam (bi\u1ec3u hi\u1ec7n m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng \u0111\u00f2n b\u1ea9y t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh) \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng v\u1ecdt trong nh\u1eefng n\u0103m g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y. Trung b\u00ecnh trong giai \u0111o\u1ea1n 2011-2015, Vi\u1ec7t Nam c\u1ea7n 1,01 \u0111\u1ed3ng t\u00edn d\u1ee5ng \u0111\u1ec3 t\u1ea1o ra 1 \u0111\u1ed3ng GDP, nh\u01b0ng \u0111\u1ebfn giai \u0111o\u1ea1n 2016-2019 th\u00ec c\u1ea7n 1,30 \u0111\u1ed3ng, t\u1ee9c t\u0103ng 28%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Vi\u1ec7c H\u00e0-n\u1ed9i b\u01a1m ti\u1ec1n v\u00e0o th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng l\u00ean \u0111\u1ebfn 180% t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 M2\/GDP b\u1ecf xa c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc \u00c1 Ch\u00e2u; trong d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n s\u1ebd \u0111\u1ea9y l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t t\u0103ng cao, kh\u00f4ng gi\u00fap \u00edch g\u00ec cho n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf, v\u00ec tr\u00ean danh ngh\u0129a GDP t\u0103ng l\u00ean nh\u01b0ng n\u0103ng l\u1ef1c s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf kh\u00f4ng thay \u0111\u1ed5i. Vi\u1ec7c n\u00e0y \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c m\u00f4 t\u1ea3 nh\u01b0 \u201ctr\u00f2 l\u1eeba t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng GDP\u201d \u2013 ng\u00f3n ngh\u1ec1 duy nh\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ea3ng csVN.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Adam Smith [5]<\/sup> ng\u01b0\u1eddi cha c\u1ee7a n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf ho\u00e0n h\u1ea3o quan ni\u1ec7m r\u1eb1ng : M\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ea5t n\u01b0\u1edbc gi\u00e0u m\u1ea1nh \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u1ec3 hi\u1ec7n qua n\u1ec1n gi\u00e1o d\u1ee5c nh\u00e2n b\u1ea3n, ti\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ebfn tr\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed9 c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 cao, t\u1ef1 s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t v\u00e0 ti\u00eau th\u1ee5 . . .  ch\u1ee9 kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i tr\u00ean nh\u1eefng con s\u1ed1 \u201c\u0111\u1ea1t ch\u1ec9 ti\u00eau\u201d. V\u00ec th\u1ebf vi\u1ec7c d\u00f9ng Ng\u00e2n H\u00e0ng Nh\u00e0 N\u01b0\u1edbc in th\u00eam v\u00e0 tung ti\u1ec1n m\u1edbi v\u00e0o th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng mua l\u1ea5y t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng GDP ch\u1ec9 \u0111\u1ec3 ph\u1ee5c v\u1ee5 cho m\u1ee5c \u0111\u00edch ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

TNT 23\/08\/2020<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

[1]<\/sup> https:\/\/baodautu.vn\/10-dia-phuong-duoc-thi-diem-hoat-dong-kinh-te-ban-dem-d126597.html<\/p>\n\n\n\n

[2]<\/sup> https:\/\/www.rfa.org\/vietnamese\/in_depth\/what-should-vn-government-need-to-do-for-economic-stabilization-to-end-2021-08132020145538.html<\/p>\n\n\n\n

[3]<\/sup> http:\/\/tapchicongthuong.vn\/bai-viet\/trung-quoc-lan-dau-tien-bo-muc-tieu-tang-truong-gdp-xac-dinh-that-nghiep-la-van-de-kinh-te-trong-tam-hang-dau-71935.htm<\/p>\n\n\n\n

[4]<\/sup> https:\/\/vietnamfinance.vn\/pgsts-pham-the-anh-tang-truong-cua-viet-nam-van-dua-vao-bom-tien-la-chinh-20180504224233810.htm<\/p>\n\n\n\n

[5]<\/sup> https:\/\/vi.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Adam_Smith<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

                Tr\u1ea7n Nguy\u00ean Thao C\u00e0ng g\u1ea7n ng\u00e0y di\u1ec5n ra \u0111\u1ea1i h\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ea3ng l\u1ea7n th\u1ee9 13, Ba \u0110\u00ecnh c\u00e0ng \u0111\u1ec3 l\u1ed9 nh\u1eefng ng\u00e2n ng\u00f4, l\u00fang t\u00fang v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c ch\u1ecdn \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng h\u01b0\u1edbng kinh t\u1ebf trong ho\u00e0n c\u1ea3nh \u0111\u1ea1i dich V\u0169 H\u00e1n quay l\u1ea1i Vi\u1ec7t Nam. N\u1ebfu so s\u00e1nh v\u1edbi c\u00e1ch gi\u1ea3i quy\u1ebft\u0111\u1ecdc ti\u1ebfp…<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":4781,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[12,53],"tags":[],"class_list":["entry","author-ntviet","post-4778","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-chuyenmuc","category-kinhte-chinhtri"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4778","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=4778"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4778\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/4781"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=4778"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=4778"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=4778"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}