{"id":9627,"date":"2021-04-06T02:42:58","date_gmt":"2021-04-06T02:42:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/?p=9627"},"modified":"2021-04-06T02:44:34","modified_gmt":"2021-04-06T02:44:34","slug":"my-can-phai-lam-gi-de-doi-pho-trung-quoc-tren-bien-dong","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/?p=9627","title":{"rendered":"M\u1ef9 c\u1ea7n ph\u1ea3i l\u00e0m g\u00ec \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ed1i ph\u00f3 Trung Qu\u1ed1c tr\u00ean Bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u00f4ng?<\/strong>
Lynn Kuok<\/span>"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
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________________________________<\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n

Ngu\u1ed3n:\u00a0Lynn Kuok<\/strong>, \u201cHow China\u2019s actions in the South China Sea undermine the rule of Law<\/span><\/strong>\u201d,\u00a0Brooking Institution<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bi\u00ean d\u1ecbch:\u00a0<\/strong>Nguy\u1ec5n Tu\u1ea5n Anh<\/p>\n\n\n\n

M\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 ng\u01b0\u1eddi cho r\u1eb1ng \u201ctr\u00f2 ch\u01a1i\u201d \u1edf Bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u00f4ng \u0111\u00e3 k\u1ebft th\u00fac v\u00e0 Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111\u00e3 th\u1eafng. L\u1eadp lu\u1eadn n\u00e0y kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 sai, m\u00e0 c\u00f2n nguy hi\u1ec3m: l\u1eadp lu\u1eadn n\u00e0y ch\u00ednh l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t l\u1eddi ti\u00ean tri t\u1ef1 ho\u00e0n th\u00e0nh.<\/strong>[1]\u00a0Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111\u00e3 gi\u00e0nh \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ee3i th\u1ebf, nh\u01b0ng M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed3ng minh, th\u00f4ng qua vi\u1ec7c kh\u1eb3ng \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u00e1c quy\u1ec1n v\u00e0 t\u1ef1 do h\u00e0ng h\u1ea3i, cho \u0111\u1ebfn nay \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1ea9y l\u00f9i th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng c\u00e1c n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c c\u1ee7a B\u1eafc Kinh nh\u1eb1m \u00e1p \u0111\u1eb7t quy\u1ec1n ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t Bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u00f4ng. H\u01a1n n\u1eefa, trong khi Trung Qu\u1ed1c c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 quy\u1ec1n ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t c\u00e1c th\u1ef1c th\u1ec3 \u0111\u00e3 chi\u1ebfm, h\u1ecd \u0111\u00e3 kh\u00f4ng x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c tr\u00ean b\u00e3i c\u1ea1n Scarborough, b\u00e3i \u0111\u00e1 ng\u1ea7m c\u00e1ch th\u1ee7 \u0111\u00f4 Philippines 200 d\u1eb7m, m\u1eb7c d\u00f9 Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111\u00e3 ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t Scarborough t\u1eeb n\u0103m 2012<\/span>. M\u1ed9t c\u0103n c\u1ee9 c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c tr\u00ean b\u00e3i c\u1ea1n Scarborough s\u1ebd l\u00e0m t\u1ed5n h\u1ea1i \u0111\u1ebfn l\u1ee3i \u00edch c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9: v\u00ec n\u00f3 s\u1ebd cho ph\u00e9p B\u1eafc Kinh ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t m\u1ed9t tam gi\u00e1c an ninh \u1edf Bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u00f4ng v\u00e0 m\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ec9nh tam gi\u00e1c g\u1ea7n c\u01a1 s\u1edf qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 \u1edf Philippines. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y s\u1ebd g\u00e2y kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n cho c\u00e1c k\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

M\u1ef9 c\u1ea7n x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh l\u1eadp tr\u01b0\u1eddng c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh tr\u00ean Bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u00f4ng nh\u01b0 th\u1ebf n\u00e0o? Sau \u0111\u00e2y l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 g\u1ee3i \u00fd.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u0110\u1ea7u ti\u00ean<\/strong><\/em>, Hoa K\u1ef3 n\u00ean ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c th\u01b0\u1eddng xuy\u00ean kh\u1eb3ng \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u00e1c quy\u1ec1n v\u00e0 t\u1ef1 do h\u00e0ng h\u1ea3i v\u00e0 khuy\u1ebfn kh\u00edch c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc kh\u00e1c l\u00e0m nh\u01b0 v\u1eady.\u00a0V\u1ec1 m\u1eb7t lu\u1eadt ph\u00e1p, c\u00e1c kh\u1eb3ng \u0111\u1ecbnh th\u01b0\u1eddng xuy\u00ean v\u1ec1 c\u00e1c quy\u1ec1n v\u00e0 t\u1ef1 do h\u00e0ng h\u1ea3i \u0111\u1ea3m b\u1ea3o r\u1eb1ng c\u00e1c quy\u1ec1n kh\u00f4ng b\u1ecb m\u1ea5t \u0111i th\u00f4ng qua vi\u1ec7c ch\u1ea5p nh\u1eadn c\u00e1c y\u00eau s\u00e1ch bi\u1ec3n qu\u00e1 m\u1ee9c,<\/strong>\u00a0v\u00e0 tr\u00ean th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf, M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc c\u1ea7n \u0111\u1ec1 ph\u00f2ng ch\u1ed1ng l\u1ea1i Trung Qu\u1ed1c bi\u1ebfn Bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u00f4ng th\u00e0nh ao nh\u00e0 c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh. S\u1ef1 tham gia c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia kh\u00e1c ngo\u00e0i M\u1ef9 gi\u00fap v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 v\u01b0\u1ee3t ra ngo\u00e0i khu\u00f4n kh\u1ed5 c\u1ea1nh tranh M\u1ef9 \u2013 Trung v\u00e0 g\u1eedi \u0111i th\u00f4ng \u0111i\u1ec7p quan tr\u1ecdng r\u1eb1ng c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y quan t\u00e2m \u0111\u1ebfn vi\u1ec7c duy tr\u00ec c\u00e1c v\u00f9ng bi\u1ec3n m\u1edf v\u00e0 c\u00e1c lu\u1eadt l\u1ec7 quan tr\u1ecdng. N\u00f3 c\u0169ng gi\u00fap b\u00e1c b\u1ecf tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 c\u1ee7a B\u1eafc Kinh r\u1eb1ng tranh ch\u1ea5p ch\u1ec9 li\u00ean quan \u0111\u1ebfn c\u00e1c b\u00ean tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 ch\u1ee7 quy\u1ec1n l\u00e3nh th\u1ed5 \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi c\u00e1c th\u1ef1c th\u1ec3 v\u00e0 c\u00e1c c\u01b0\u1eddng qu\u1ed1c kh\u00e1c kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 l\u1ee3i \u00edch h\u1ee3p ph\u00e1p \u1edf Bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u00f4ng.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u0110\u1ee9c \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c cho l\u00e0 \u0111ang c\u00e2n nh\u1eafc g\u1eedi m\u1ed9t con t\u00e0u qua eo bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u00e0i Loan, nh\u01b0ng trong c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c tr\u00f2 chuy\u1ec7n g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y, c\u00e1c quan ch\u1ee9c c\u1ea5p cao c\u1ee7a \u0110\u1ee9c \u0111\u00e3 b\u00e1c b\u1ecf \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y. S\u1ef1 tham gia c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c c\u01b0\u1eddng qu\u1ed1c ph\u01b0\u01a1ng T\u00e2y v\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i ph\u01b0\u01a1ng T\u00e2y kh\u00e1c, ch\u1eb3ng h\u1ea1n nh\u01b0 \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9, s\u1ebd nh\u1ea5n m\u1ea1nh r\u1eb1ng m\u1ed9t li\u00ean minh qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf s\u1eb5n s\u00e0ng \u0111\u1ee9ng l\u00ean cho m\u1ed9t tr\u1eadt t\u1ef1 d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean lu\u1eadt l\u1ec7.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n

Th\u1ee9 hai<\/strong><\/em>, c\u00f9ng v\u1edbi c\u00e1c c\u01b0\u1eddng qu\u1ed1c bi\u1ec3n kh\u00e1c, M\u1ef9 n\u00ean t\u00ecm c\u00e1ch thuy\u1ebft ph\u1ee5c Trung Qu\u1ed1c r\u1eb1ng l\u1ee3i \u00edch c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd v\u1edbi t\u01b0 c\u00e1ch l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t c\u01b0\u1eddng qu\u1ed1c bi\u1ec3n \u0111ang ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n nhanh ch\u00f3ng c\u00f9ng v\u1edbi c\u00e1c l\u1ee3i \u00edch kinh t\u1ebf v\u00e0 qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 tr\u1ea3i kh\u1eafp to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u n\u1eb1m \u1edf vi\u1ec7c duy tr\u00ec c\u00e1c quy\u1ec1n v\u00e0 t\u1ef1 do h\u00e0ng h\u1ea3i, thay v\u00ec ph\u00e1 ho\u1ea1i ch\u00fang<\/strong>. Trong khi c\u00e1c chi\u1ebfn d\u1ecbch b\u1ea3o v\u1ec7 t\u1ef1 do h\u00e0ng h\u1ea3i (FONOPS) c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 l\u00e0 ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n c\u1ea7n thi\u1ebft nh\u1eb1m l\u00e0m cho Trung Qu\u1ed1c th\u1ea5y r\u1eb1ng n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd trong vi\u1ec7c \u0111\u01b0a ra c\u00e1c lu\u1eadt l\u1ec7 kh\u00e1c cho Bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u00f4ng s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng mang l\u1ea1i k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3, M\u1ef9 c\u0169ng kh\u00f4ng n\u00ean b\u1ecf qua c\u00e1c m\u0169i nh\u1ecdn kh\u00e1c c\u1ee7a Ch\u01b0\u01a1ng tr\u00ecnh T\u1ef1 do H\u00e0ng h\u1ea3i, bao g\u1ed3m c\u1ea3 c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c th\u1ea3o lu\u1eadn \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c s\u1ef1 \u0111\u1ed3ng nh\u1ea5t l\u1edbn h\u01a1n trong vi\u1ec7c gi\u1ea3i th\u00edch UNCLOS.49<\/sup>\u00a0Trung Qu\u1ed1c ph\u1ea3i \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y c\u0169ng nh\u01b0 thuy\u1ebft ph\u1ee5c \u0111\u1ec3 ch\u1ea5p nh\u1eadn m\u1ed9t t\u1ea7m nh\u00ecn h\u1ee3p ph\u00e1p v\u1ec1 l\u1ee3i \u00edch c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Th\u1ee9 ba<\/strong><\/em>, M\u1ef9 c\u1ea7n ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c t\u1eadp tr\u1eadn song ph\u01b0\u01a1ng v\u00e0 \u0111a ph\u01b0\u01a1ng trong khu v\u1ef1c v\u1edbi c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed3ng minh v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c<\/strong>. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t quan tr\u1ecdng trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n v\u1ec1 B\u1ed9 Quy t\u1eafc \u1ee9ng x\u1eed, trong \u0111\u00f3 B\u1eafc Kinh t\u00ecm c\u00e1ch lo\u1ea1i tr\u1eeb s\u1ef1 tham gia c\u1ee7a \u201cc\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc ngo\u00e0i khu v\u1ef1c\u201d d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean l\u00fd do h\u1ecd kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 l\u1ee3i \u00edch h\u1ee3p ph\u00e1p \u1edf Bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u00f4ng. C\u1ee5 th\u1ec3, Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111ang t\u00ecm ki\u1ebfm s\u1ef1 th\u1ed1ng nh\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c b\u00ean trong vi\u1ec7c kh\u00f4ng t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c t\u1eadp tr\u1eadn chung v\u1edbi c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc ngo\u00e0i khu v\u1ef1c.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Th\u1ee9 t\u01b0<\/strong><\/em>, M\u1ef9 n\u00ean ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c \u0111\u01a1n ph\u01b0\u01a1ng v\u00e0 c\u00f9ng v\u1edbi c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc kh\u00e1c<\/strong> (bao g\u1ed3m \u00dac, Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n v\u00e0 \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9) gi\u00fap \u0111\u1ee1 t\u0103ng c\u01b0\u1eddng n\u0103ng l\u1ef1c khu v\u1ef1c, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t l\u00e0 trong l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c h\u00e0ng h\u1ea3i.<\/strong> N\u0103ng l\u1ef1c gi\u00e1m s\u00e1t v\u00e0 tu\u1ea7n tra<\/strong> v\u00f9ng \u0111\u1eb7c quy\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c n\u00e2ng cao s\u1ebd gi\u00fap c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia ven bi\u1ec3n t\u1ef1 tin h\u01a1n trong vi\u1ec7c ph\u01a1i b\u00e0y c\u00e1c h\u00e0nh vi phi ph\u00e1p v\u00e0 mang t\u00ednh c\u01b0\u1ee1ng b\u1ee9c.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Th\u1ee9 n\u0103m<\/strong><\/em>, M\u1ef9 c\u1ea7n ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c t\u0103ng c\u01b0\u1eddng quan h\u1ec7 v\u1edbi c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed3ng minh v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c trong khu v\u1ef1c. \u0110\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t, Washington c\u1ea7n th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y quan h\u1ec7 t\u1ed1t h\u01a1n v\u1edbi Philippines, m\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ed3ng minh quan tr\u1ecdng \u1edf \u0110\u00f4ng Nam \u00c1.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

V\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 3\/2019, sau khi B\u1ed9 tr\u01b0\u1edfng Qu\u1ed1c ph\u00f2ng Philippines Delfin Lorenzana \u0111\u1ec1 ngh\u1ecb xem x\u00e9t l\u1ea1i s\u1ef1 ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p hi\u1ec7n nay c\u1ee7a Hi\u1ec7p \u01b0\u1edbc Ph\u00f2ng th\u1ee7 chung M\u1ef9 \u2013 Phi (MDT) n\u0103m 1951, Washington \u0111\u00e3 l\u00e0m r\u00f5 r\u1eb1ng kh\u00e1i ni\u1ec7m \u201cTh\u00e1i B\u00ecnh D\u01b0\u01a1ng\u201d trong hi\u1ec7p \u01b0\u1edbc c\u00f3 bao g\u1ed3m c\u1ea3 khu v\u1ef1c Bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u00f4ng. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y t\u00edch c\u1ef1c \u1edf ch\u1ed7 n\u00f3 \u0111\u00e3 m\u1edf \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng cho nh\u1eefng ti\u1ebfn b\u1ed9 l\u1edbn h\u01a1n trong khu\u00f4n kh\u1ed5 Th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn H\u1ee3p t\u00e1c Qu\u1ed1c ph\u00f2ng N\u00e2ng cao (EDCA) n\u0103m 2014, cho ph\u00e9p qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed9i M\u1ef9 x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng c\u00e1c c\u01a1 s\u1edf, b\u1ed1 tr\u00ed tr\u01b0\u1edbc c\u00e1c kh\u00ed t\u00e0i qu\u1ed1c ph\u00f2ng v\u00e0 tri\u1ec3n khai binh l\u00ednh lu\u00e2n phi\u00ean t\u1ea1i 5 c\u0103n c\u1ee9 c\u1ee7a qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed9i Philippines.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i, vi\u1ec7c th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y nh\u00e2n quy\u1ec1n \u1edf Philippines, m\u1eb7c d\u00f9 r\u1ea5t quan tr\u1ecdng, nh\u01b0ng \u0111\u00f2i h\u1ecfi m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn uy\u1ec3n chuy\u1ec3n h\u01a1n. Nh\u1eefng n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y nh\u1eb1m s\u1eeda \u0111\u1ed5i d\u1ef1 lu\u1eadt ph\u00e2n b\u1ed5 ng\u00e2n s\u00e1ch Nh\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00e0 Ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng n\u01b0\u1edbc ngo\u00e0i n\u0103m 2020 [c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9] nh\u1eb1m c\u1ea5m m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 quan ch\u1ee9c Philippines ch\u1ecbu tr\u00e1ch nhi\u1ec7m v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c giam gi\u1eef Th\u01b0\u1ee3ng ngh\u1ecb s\u0129 Leila de Lima kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c nh\u1eadp c\u1ea3nh v\u00e0o M\u1ef9 (v\u1edbi l\u00fd do M\u1ef9 c\u00f3 quy\u1ec1n can thi\u1ec7p v\u00ec \u0111\u00e3 \u201cvi\u1ec7n tr\u1ee3 cho Philippines\u201d) \u0111\u00e3 l\u00e0m d\u1ea5y l\u00ean s\u1ef1 ph\u1eabn n\u1ed9 s\u00e2u s\u1eafc \u1edf Manila, trong khi c\u00f3 r\u1ea5t \u00edt k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ghi nh\u1eadn. H\u01a1n n\u1eefa, nh\u1eefng c\u1ed1 g\u1eafng nh\u01b0 v\u1eady \u0111\u00e3 g\u00e2y kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n cho n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c t\u1ea1o m\u1ed9t n\u1ec1n t\u1ea3ng v\u1eefng ch\u1eafc h\u01a1n cho quan h\u1ec7 M\u1ef9 \u2013 Philippines.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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b\u00e3i c\u1ea1n Scarborough<\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n

Th\u1ee9 s\u00e1u<\/strong><\/em>, Washington n\u00ean th\u00f4ng b\u00e1o v\u1edbi Trung Qu\u1ed1c r\u1eb1ng vi\u1ec7c x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng tr\u00ean b\u00e3i c\u1ea1n Scarborough s\u1ebd g\u00e2y ra h\u1eadu qu\u1ea3 nghi\u00eam tr\u1ecdng<\/span>. Quan \u0111i\u1ec3m c\u1ee7a nhi\u1ec1u ng\u01b0\u1eddi m\u00e0 t\u00f4i \u0111\u00e3 n\u00f3i chuy\u1ec7n \u1edf Philippines l\u00e0\u00a0B\u1eafc Kinh c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng c\u1ed1 g\u1eafng x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng tr\u00ean b\u00e3i c\u1ea1n Scarborough tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi k\u1ebft th\u00fac nhi\u1ec7m k\u1ef3 c\u1ee7a t\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng Duterte<\/strong>. Ch\u00ednh quy\u1ec1n Obama \u0111\u00e3 c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o ri\u00eang v\u1edbi Trung Qu\u1ed1c r\u1eb1ng vi\u1ec7c x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng tr\u00ean b\u00e3i c\u1ea1n Scarborough l\u00e0 l\u1eb1n ranh \u0111\u1ecf<\/strong>; kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 d\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u n\u00e0o cho th\u1ea5y ch\u00ednh quy\u1ec1n Trump \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0a ra nh\u1eefng c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o t\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1. V\u1ec1 m\u1eb7t k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt, b\u00e3i c\u1ea1n Scarborough kh\u00f4ng n\u1eb1m trong Hi\u1ec7p \u01b0\u1edbc Ph\u00f2ng th\u1ee7 chung gi\u1eefa M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 Philippines v\u00ec t\u00f2a \u00e1n kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u01b0a ra ph\u00e1n quy\u1ebft v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c n\u00f3 c\u00f3 ph\u1ea3i l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t ph\u1ea7n l\u00e3nh th\u1ed5 c\u1ee7a Philippines hay kh\u00f4ng v\u00e0 M\u1ef9 kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u01b0a ra quan \u0111i\u1ec3m n\u00e0o v\u1ec1 c\u00e1c tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 tranh ch\u1ea5p ch\u1ee7 quy\u1ec1n. Tuy nhi\u00ean, vi\u1ec7c M\u1ef9 kh\u00f4ng th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng ng\u0103n ch\u1eb7n Trung Qu\u1ed1c x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng tr\u00ean b\u00e3i c\u1ea1n Scarborough s\u1ebd g\u00e2y \u1ea5n t\u01b0\u1ee3ng r\u1eb1ng M\u1ef9 l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t con h\u1ed5 gi\u1ea5y v\u00e0 l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ed3ng minh kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u00e1ng tin c\u1eady.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Th\u1ee9 b\u1ea3y<\/strong><\/em>, M\u1ef9 n\u00ean h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 c\u00e1c n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc ven bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u00f4ng ch\u1ed1ng l\u1ea1i c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c x\u00e2m nh\u1eadp v\u00e0o EEZ c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd, bao g\u1ed3m b\u1ea5t k\u1ef3 h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng ph\u00e1p l\u00fd n\u00e0o do c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc ven Bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u00f4ng kh\u1edfi x\u01b0\u1edbng. Washington \u0111\u00e3 \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 nguy\u00ean t\u1eafc v\u00f9ng bi\u1ec3n m\u1edf, nh\u01b0ng \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi nhi\u1ec1u qu\u1ed1c gia ven bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u00f4ng Nam \u00c1, vi\u1ec7c ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn c\u00e1c ngu\u1ed3n t\u00e0i nguy\u00ean v\u1ec1 c\u00e1 v\u00e0 d\u1ea7u kh\u00ed trong EEZ ch\u00ednh l\u00e0 \u201cb\u00e1nh m\u00ec v\u00e0 b\u01a1\u201d[2], v\u00e0 v\u00ec th\u1ebf \u0111\u00e2y l\u00e0 \u01b0u ti\u00ean c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd. Sau khi th\u1ea5t b\u1ea1i trong vi\u1ec7c k\u00eau g\u1ecdi Trung Qu\u1ed1c ch\u1ea5m d\u1ee9t g\u00e2y \u00e1p l\u1ef1c nh\u1eb1m khi\u1ebfn Vi\u1ec7t Nam ng\u1eebng th\u0103m d\u00f2 d\u1ea7u kh\u00ed trong EEZ c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7t Nam v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 7 n\u0103m 2017 v\u00e0 m\u1ed9t l\u1ea7n n\u1eefa v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 3 v\u00e0 th\u00e1ng 5 n\u0103m 2018, M\u1ef9 \u0111\u00e3 th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n c\u00e1c b\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111i \u0111\u00fang h\u01b0\u1edbng d\u00f9 mu\u1ed9n m\u00e0ng. M\u1ed9t tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 c\u1ee7a B\u1ed9 Ngo\u1ea1i giao v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 7 n\u0103m 2019 \u0111\u00e3 l\u00ean \u00e1n \u201cTrung Qu\u1ed1c can thi\u1ec7p v\u00e0o c\u00e1c ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng d\u1ea7u kh\u00ed \u1edf Bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u00f4ng, bao g\u1ed3m c\u1ea3 c\u00e1c ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u0103m d\u00f2 v\u00e0 khai th\u00e1c l\u00e2u \u0111\u1eddi c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7t Nam\u201d. V\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 8, B\u1ed9 Ngo\u1ea1i giao \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0a ra m\u1ed9t tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 kh\u00e1c b\u00e0y t\u1ecf r\u1eb1ng \u201cM\u1ef9 lo ng\u1ea1i s\u00e2u s\u1eafc v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111ang ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c can thi\u1ec7p v\u00e0o c\u00e1c ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng d\u1ea7u kh\u00ed \u0111\u00e3 c\u00f3 t\u1eeb l\u00e2u c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7t Nam trong khu v\u1ef1c EEZ c\u1ee7a n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y.\u201d N\u1ebfu B\u1eafc Kinh g\u00e2y s\u1ee9c \u00e9p bu\u1ed9c ExxonMobil r\u00fat kh\u1ecfi d\u1ef1 \u00e1n C\u00e1 voi xanh ngo\u00e0i kh\u01a1i mi\u1ec1n Trung Vi\u1ec7t Nam, Washington c\u1ea7n \u0111\u01b0a ra nh\u1eefng tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd t\u1ed1 c\u00e1o \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y; c\u00f2n vi\u1ec7c g\u00ec s\u1ebd x\u1ea3y ra trong tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p ExxonMobil ti\u1ebfn h\u00e0nh khoan v\u00e0 Trung Qu\u1ed1c can thi\u1ec7p tr\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t c\u00e2u h\u1ecfi kh\u00f3 h\u01a1n. Tuy nhi\u00ean, \u0111i\u1ec1u r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng l\u00e0 nh\u1eefng n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c c\u1ee7a B\u1eafc Kinh trong c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n v\u1ec1 B\u1ed9 Quy t\u1eafc \u1ee9ng x\u1eed nh\u1eb1m lo\u1ea1i tr\u1eeb h\u1ee3p t\u00e1c kinh t\u1ebf bi\u1ec3n v\u1edbi \u201cc\u00e1c c\u00f4ng ty c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia b\u00ean ngo\u00e0i khu v\u1ef1c\u201d t\u1ea1o th\u00eam \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c cho s\u1ef1 c\u1ea7n thi\u1ebft ph\u1ea3i h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd c\u00e1c \u0111\u1eb7c quy\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc ven Bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u00f4ng.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Th\u1ee9 t\u00e1m<\/strong><\/em>, Washington n\u00ean t\u00e1i k\u00eau g\u1ecdi Trung Qu\u1ed1c tu\u00e2n theo ph\u00e1n quy\u1ebft c\u1ee7a t\u00f2a tr\u1ecdng t\u00e0i. Nh\u1eefng tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 th\u1ec3 hi\u1ec7n quan ng\u1ea1i g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y v\u1ec1 c\u00e1c ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u1edf Bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u00f4ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch d\u1eabn chi\u1ebfu c\u00e1c ph\u00e1n quy\u1ebft c\u1ee7a t\u00f2a, trong \u0111\u00f3 n\u00eau r\u00f5 quy\u1ec1n c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia ven bi\u1ec3n \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi EEZ c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd kh\u00f4ng b\u1ecb c\u1ea3n tr\u1edf b\u1edfi b\u1ea5t k\u1ef3 y\u00eau s\u00e1ch \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u00edn \u0111o\u1ea1n n\u00e0o ho\u1eb7c y\u00eau s\u00e1ch d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean c\u00e1c th\u1ef1c th\u1ec3 tr\u00ean Bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u00f4ng. Nh\u01b0ng Washington \u0111\u00e3 im l\u1eb7ng tr\u01b0\u1edbc ph\u00e1n quy\u1ebft m\u1ed9t ph\u1ea7n v\u00ec s\u1ef1 th\u1eadn tr\u1ecdng c\u1ee7a Manila, m\u1ed9t ph\u1ea7n v\u00ec \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng c\u1ee7a ph\u00e1n quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi c\u00e1c tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 EEZ c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 xung quanh c\u00e1c th\u1ef1c th\u1ec3 nh\u1ecf, kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 ng\u01b0\u1eddi \u1edf t\u1ea1i Th\u00e1i B\u00ecnh D\u01b0\u01a1ng (c\u00e1c th\u1ef1c th\u1ec3 n\u00e0y c\u0169ng kh\u00f4ng t\u1ea1o ra EEZ). M\u1ef9 kh\u00f4ng n\u00ean b\u1ecf l\u1ee1 c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i ch\u1ee9ng t\u1ecf s\u1ef1 nh\u1ea5t qu\u00e1n trong vi\u1ec7c \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 ph\u00e1p lu\u1eadt \u1edf c\u1ea3 trong v\u00e0 ngo\u00e0i Bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u00f4ng. Theo \u0111\u00f3, M\u1ef9 cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng c\u0169ng n\u00ean tham gia UNCLOS. Vi\u1ec7c \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 lu\u1eadt ph\u00e1p qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf s\u1ebd t\u0103ng c\u01b0\u1eddng s\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh h\u01a1n l\u00e0 l\u00e0m t\u1ed5n h\u1ea1i l\u1ee3i \u00edch c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t l\u00e0 v\u00ec n\u00f3 cho ph\u00e9p c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia kh\u00e1c li\u00ean k\u1ebft \u0111\u1eb1ng sau M\u1ef9, khi hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i h\u1ecd c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 c\u00f2n \u0111ang ng\u1ea7n ng\u1ea1i tham gia m\u1ed9t nh\u00f3m \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c coi l\u00e0 ch\u1ed1ng Trung Qu\u1ed1c.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng<\/strong>, M\u1ef9 ph\u1ea3i ghi nh\u1edb r\u1eb1ng kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 xem x\u00e9t c\u00e1c s\u1ef1 ki\u1ec7n \u1edf Bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u00f4ng m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch bi\u1ec7t l\u1eadp<\/strong>: c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc trong khu v\u1ef1c \u0111ang gi\u01a1 ng\u00f3n tay l\u00ean \u0111\u1ec3 x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u00f3 th\u1ed5i[3]\u00a0trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh kinh t\u1ebf v\u00e0 chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c r\u1ed9ng l\u1edbn h\u01a1n. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y s\u1ebd \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn vi\u1ec7c x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh ch\u1ed7 \u0111\u1ee9ng v\u00e0 quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd \u1edf Bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u00f4ng. D\u00f9 c\u00f3 nhi\u1ec1u l\u1eddi b\u00e0n t\u00e1n v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c ch\u1ed1ng l\u1ea1i S\u00e1ng ki\u1ebfn V\u00e0nh \u0111ai v\u00e0 Con \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng (BRI) v\u00e0 c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc \u0110\u00f4ng Nam \u00c1 v\u1eabn \u0111ang th\u1eadn tr\u1ecdng tr\u01b0\u1edbc c\u00e1c d\u1ef1 \u00e1n BRI, nh\u01b0ng h\u1ecd v\u1eabn \u0111\u1ec3 ng\u1ecf kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng tham gia s\u00e1ng ki\u1ebfn n\u00e0y. S\u1ef1 c\u1edfi m\u1edf n\u00e0y \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi ngu\u1ed3n v\u1ed1n Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111\u00e3 v\u00e0 \u0111ang thay \u0111\u1ed5i m\u00f4i tr\u01b0\u1eddng chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c khu v\u1ef1c. <\/strong>H\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c c\u1ea3 \u1edf Bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u00f4ng v\u00e0 th\u00f4ng qua BRI \u0111\u1ec1u c\u00f3 li\u00ean quan v\u1edbi nhau v\u00e0 ch\u00fang l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t ph\u1ea7n trong nh\u1eefng n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c r\u1ed9ng l\u1edbn h\u01a1n c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c nh\u1eb1m m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh trong khu v\u1ef1c. M\u1ef9 ph\u1ea3i h\u1ee3p t\u00e1c v\u1edbi c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed3ng minh v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ec3 th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n, bao g\u1ed3m vi\u1ec7c \u0111\u1ea3m b\u1ea3o c\u00e1c l\u1ef1a ch\u1ecdn kh\u1ea3 thi \u0111\u1ec3 ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n c\u01a1 s\u1edf h\u1ea1 t\u1ea7ng v\u00e0 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng m\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng c\u1ea7n ti\u1ec1n c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nh\u1eefng n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c b\u1ea3o v\u1ec7 tr\u1eadt t\u1ef1 d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean lu\u1eadt l\u1ec7 trong m\u1ed9t khu v\u1ef1c n\u01a1i c\u00f3 nhu c\u1ea7u ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n cao ch\u1ec9 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c s\u1ee9c h\u00fat n\u1ebfu c\u00e1c c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i kinh t\u1ebf c\u0169ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c cung c\u1ea5p \u0111\u1ee7 ti\u1ec1n. Cho \u0111\u1ebfn nay, d\u01b0\u1eddng nh\u01b0 m\u1edbi ch\u1ec9 c\u00f3 ti\u1ebfn b\u1ed9 khi\u00eam t\u1ed1n li\u00ean quan \u0111\u1ebfn \u0110\u1ea1o lu\u1eadt BUILD m\u00e0 M\u1ef9 th\u00f4ng qua n\u0103m 2018 nh\u1eb1m t\u1ea1o \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n thu\u1eadn l\u1ee3i cho s\u1ef1 tham gia c\u1ee7a khu v\u1ef1c t\u01b0 nh\u00e2n v\u00e0o ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n c\u00e1c n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf c\u00f3 thu nh\u1eadp th\u1ea5p ho\u1eb7c trung b\u00ecnh th\u1ea5p, v\u00e0 trong khu\u00f4n kh\u1ed5 Hi\u1ec7p \u0111\u1ecbnh \u0110\u1ed1i t\u00e1c Ba b\u00ean v\u1ec1 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 C\u01a1 s\u1edf h\u1ea1 t\u1ea7ng trong khu v\u1ef1c \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 D\u01b0\u01a1ng \u2013 Th\u00e1i B\u00ecnh D\u01b0\u01a1ng gi\u1eefa M\u1ef9, Nh\u1eadt v\u00e0 \u00dac.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u1ea2nh h\u01b0\u1edfng ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng t\u0103ng c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u1edf \u0110\u00f4ng \u00c1 x\u1ea3y ra \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi v\u1edbi s\u1ef1 suy y\u1ebfu c\u1ee7a lu\u1eadt bi\u1ec3n qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf<\/strong>. Nh\u1eefng n\u01b0\u1edbc t\u00ecm c\u00e1ch ch\u1ed1ng l\u1ea1i \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y, bao g\u1ed3m c\u1ea3 M\u1ef9, ph\u1ea3i \u0111\u00e1p tr\u1ea3 c\u1ea3 \u1edf Bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u00f4ng, n\u01a1i c\u1ea7n ph\u1ea3i c\u00f3 nh\u1eefng n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c b\u1ec1n v\u1eefng \u0111\u1ec3 thuy\u1ebft ph\u1ee5c Trung Qu\u1ed1c r\u1eb1ng l\u1ee3i \u00edch c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd n\u1eb1m \u1edf vi\u1ec7c duy tr\u00ec c\u00e1c quy\u1ec1n v\u00e0 t\u1ef1 do h\u00e0ng h\u1ea3i thay v\u00ec ph\u00e1 ho\u1ea1i ch\u00fang, v\u00e0 trong khu v\u1ef1c r\u1ed9ng l\u1edbn h\u01a1n n\u01a1i c\u00f3 nhu c\u1ea7u ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n v\u00e0 x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng c\u01a1 s\u1edf h\u1ea1 t\u1ea7ng cao.<\/strong> T\u1ea5t nhi\u00ean t\u1ea5t c\u1ea3 nh\u1eefng \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean gi\u1ea3 \u0111\u1ecbnh r\u1eb1ng M\u1ef9 quan t\u00e2m \u0111\u1ebfn vi\u1ec7c th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y m\u1ed9t th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi n\u01a1i c\u00e1c lu\u1eadt l\u1ec7 l\u00e0 quan tr\u1ecdng. Vi\u1ec7c Washington \u00e1p \u0111\u1eb7t thu\u1ebf quan d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean c\u00e1c l\u00fd do kh\u00f4ng r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng v\u1ec1 an ninh qu\u1ed1c gia, c\u0169ng nh\u01b0 c\u00e1c b\u00e1o c\u00e1o g\u1ea7n nh\u01b0 h\u00e0ng ng\u00e0y v\u1ec1 c\u00e1c h\u00e0nh vi sai tr\u00e1i nghi\u00eam tr\u1ecdng trong n\u01b0\u1edbc \u1edf c\u1ea5p \u0111\u1ed9 cao nh\u1ea5t cho th\u1ea5y \u0111i\u1ec1u ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i. N\u1ebfu lu\u1eadt ph\u00e1p qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh n\u1ea1n nh\u00e2n c\u1ee7a ch\u00ednh c\u00e1c h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng (v\u00e0 khi\u1ebfm khuy\u1ebft) c\u1ee7a hai si\u00eau c\u01b0\u1eddng, ch\u00fang ta c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 s\u1ebd th\u1ea5y m\u1ed9t tr\u1eadt t\u1ef1 k\u00e9m \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh h\u01a1n nhi\u1ec1u. Hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i, ch\u00fang ta \u0111\u00e3 ph\u1ea3i \u0111\u1ed1i m\u1eb7t v\u1edbi b\u1ea5t \u1ed5n ph\u00e1t sinh t\u1eeb c\u00e1c c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac c\u1ee7a tr\u1eadt t\u1ef1 qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf \u0111ang b\u1ecb th\u00e1ch th\u1ee9c. T\u1ea5t c\u1ea3 c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia c\u1ea7n ph\u1ea3i h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea3m b\u1ea3o r\u1eb1ng tr\u1eadt t\u1ef1 qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf c\u1ee7a ch\u00fang ta kh\u00f4ng b\u1ecb x\u00e9 r\u00e1ch ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Lynn Kuok l\u00e0 nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u vi\u00ean cao c\u1ea5p t\u1ea1i \u0110\u1ea1i h\u1ecdc Cambridge v\u00e0 l\u00e0 th\u00e0nh vi\u00ean cao c\u1ea5p v\u1ec1 An ninh Ch\u00e2u \u00c1 \u2013 Th\u00e1i B\u00ecnh D\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ea1i Vi\u1ec7n Nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u Chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c Qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf (IISS).<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014-<\/p>\n\n\n\n

[1]\u00a0Self-fulfilling prophecy: m\u1ed9t l\u1eddi ti\u00ean tri t\u1ef1 ho\u00e0n th\u00e0nh l\u00e0 l\u1eddi ti\u00ean tri tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh s\u1ef1 th\u1eadt b\u1edfi v\u00ec m\u1ecdi ng\u01b0\u1eddi mong \u0111\u1ee3i hay ngh\u0129 r\u1eb1ng \u0111i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00f3 s\u1ebd th\u00e0nh s\u1ef1 th\u1eadt v\u00e0 c\u01b0 x\u1eed theo c\u00e1ch c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 khi\u1ebfn \u0111i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00f3 x\u1ea3y ra. V\u00ed d\u1ee5: N\u1ebfu b\u1ea1n ngh\u0129 r\u1eb1ng b\u1ea1n s\u1ebd th\u1ea5t b\u1ea1i, th\u00ec b\u1ea1n s\u1ebd th\u1ea5t b\u1ea1i.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

[2]\u00a0bread and butter: \u00fd n\u00f3i \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 l\u1ee3i \u00edch hay nhu c\u1ea7u thi\u1ebft y\u1ebfu, c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

[3]\u00a0Hold one\u2019s finger up to determine which way the wind is blowing: tr\u00ean \u0111\u1ed3ng c\u1ecf ng\u01b0\u1eddi ta th\u01b0\u1eddng d\u00ednh l\u00e1 c\u1ecf v\u00e0o ng\u00f3n tay r\u1ed3i gi\u01a1 l\u00ean \u0111\u1ec3 x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u00f3. \u1ede \u0111\u00e2y \u00fd n\u00f3i c\u00f2n xem x\u00e9t t\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh th\u1ebf n\u00e0o.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

________________<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ngu\u1ed3n: Nghi\u00ean C\u1ee9u Qu\u1ed1c T\u1ebf<\/strong>
http:\/\/nghiencuuquocte.org\/2021\/04\/03\/my-can-phai-lam-gi-de-doi-pho-trung-quoc-tren-bien-dong\/#_ftn2<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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Ngu\u1ed3n:\u00a0Lynn Kuok, \u201cHow China\u2019s actions in the South China Sea undermine the rule of Law\u201d,\u00a0Brooking Institution Bi\u00ean d\u1ecbch:\u00a0Nguy\u1ec5n Tu\u1ea5n Anh M\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 ng\u01b0\u1eddi cho r\u1eb1ng \u201ctr\u00f2 ch\u01a1i\u201d \u1edf Bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u00f4ng \u0111\u00e3 k\u1ebft th\u00fac v\u00e0 Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111\u00e3 th\u1eafng. L\u1eadp lu\u1eadn n\u00e0y kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 sai, m\u00e0 c\u00f2n nguy hi\u1ec3m: l\u1eadp lu\u1eadn\u0111\u1ecdc ti\u1ebfp…<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":3542,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[7,8],"tags":[85,165,229,118,206,119,98],"class_list":["entry","author-ntviet","post-9627","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-binhluan","category-chinhtri-xahoi","tag-bien-dong","tag-binh-luan","tag-canh-tranh","tag-chinh-tri","tag-dia-chinh-tri","tag-hoa-ky","tag-trung-cong"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9627","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=9627"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9627\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/3542"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=9627"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=9627"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanhoimoi.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=9627"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}